{"text_format":"1","workbook":"xlsx","n_sheets":15,"sheets":["Intro","hist","SC-1","SC2_Harvest","SC3_Rebuilding","SC4_Faster_Rebuild","dbPES","SC_mp","Comparisons","paraplot","upside","downside","UIC","Stranding","ConversionFactors"],"not_rendered":{"charts":1390,"images":1,"macros":1,"external_links":14,"defined_names":20,"comments":11,"pivot_tables":0},"unopened":[],"bounds":{"document_bytes":16777216,"sheet_cells":100000,"rows_first":2000,"rows_last":500,"rows_between":2000,"halvings":0,"cell_chars":16384,"cell_head_chars":4096},"cells_cut":0,"cells_raw":0,"read":"whole","date_system":"1900"}

{"sheet":"Intro","index":0,"n_rows":37,"n_cols":10,"rows_kept":37,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["GTM_Nor model"]
["Last update","ug+pes","on","12/6 &13/7/21",", PES 3 jul 21 - mainly update of figures formatting and legends, adjustment of BAU brown- vs greenfield investment, same output"]
["Green Transition Model (GTM) for Norway"]
["Done by Jorgen Randers, Per Espen Stokness and Ulrich Goluke (UG)"]
["See [link to published paper] for a conceptual description of the model."]
["For questions contact UG at post@blue-way.net"]
[]
["Historical data with sources and visualizations are on tab hist"]
["The four scenarios are on tabs SC-1 (BAU), SC2_Harvest, SC3_Rebuilding and SC4_Faster_Rebuild"]
["You can create your own scenario on SC_mp, either directly or through making changes on the dashboard tab dbPES"]
["Results with many visualizations on each scenario tab and for comparing the sceanrios on tab Comparisons"]
["Note that the sheet is completely unprotected, thus can change any and every cell on any tab. It is up to you to make physically and logically possible changes only."]
["For safety's sake, work only on a copy!"]
["The dashboard to change policies and sensitivities is on tab dbPES"]
["Sensitivty results are on tab paraplot"]
["Tabs upside, downside, UIC and Stranding are helper tabs."]
[]
["The spreadsheet was created on a Win 10 machine with EXCEL 2019."]
["Make sure you set you spreadsheet to automatic recalculation."]
[]
["Export data for post processing and production quality graphs"]
[]
["Conceptualization of energy employment"]
["for GTM",null,null,"A Employment (1000 p)",null,null,"B Money spent (GNOK/yr)",null,null,"C Intensities**"]
[null,"Activity (for O&G: Mtoe/yr - for wind: TWh/yr)",null,"Aa: direct","Ab: indirect (\"ringvirkninger\")","Total","Ba: direct","Bb: indirect (\"ringvirkninger\")","Total"]
[1,"Exploration",null,"Aa1","Ab2","A1","Ba1","Bb2","B1"]
[2,"Construction",null,"Aa2","Ab3","A2","Ba2","Bb3","B2"]
[3,"Production",null,"Aa3","Ab4","A3","Ba3","Bb4","B3"]
[4,"Taking out of service*",null,"Aa4","Ab5","A4","Ba4","Bb5","B4"]
[5,"Breaking up",null,"Aa5","Ab6","A5","Ba5","Bb6","B5"]
[6,"All activities",null,"Aa6","Ab7","A6","Ba6","Bb7","B6"]
[7,"All investment (1,2,4,5)",null,"Aa7","Ab8","A7","Ba7","Bb8","B7"]
[]
[null,"* Taking out of service can happen because equipment has reached the end of its life, for political reasons, or economic reasons (revenue < opex), but the activity is the same"]
[null,"1,2, 4, 5 are investments",null,"CAPEX = B7","CAPEX + OPEX = B6"]
[null,"3 is operations",null,"OPEX = B3"]
[null,"** Intensities can be calculated per activity (eg Aa1/1; or Bb2/2; ...) or related to activity 3 (eg Bb4/3; or B6/3; …) or any other activity"]

{"sheet":"hist","index":1,"n_rows":507,"n_cols":48,"rows_kept":507,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Historical Inputs to GTM_Nor model","if variable has a yellow background, data is an educated guess - so far!"]
["Last update",{"$f":"Intro!B2","v":"ug+pes"},{"$f":"Intro!D2","v":"12/6 &13/7/21"}]
["Time",null,null,null,null,1980,{"$f":"F3+1","v":1981},1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021]
["Population"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Birth rate (\",B5,\")\")","v":"Birth rate (percent/yr)"},"percent/yr","SSB 06913: Befolkning og endringer, etter år, region og statistikkvariabel",null,null,{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!P$60","v":1.2512932408247321},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Q$60","v":1.2390954808251513},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!R$60","v":1.2477286080101524},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!S$60","v":1.2113248454643299},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!T$60","v":1.2160064706617939},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!U$60","v":1.2333794437563392},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!V$60","v":1.2626025230411615},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!W$60","v":1.293898414114071},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!X$60","v":1.3702248701792563},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Y$60","v":1.4050559553589157},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Z$60","v":1.4395778428939816},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AA$60","v":1.4308337039363928},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AB$60","v":1.4065079040460648},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AC$60","v":1.3881293748300543},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AD$60","v":1.3894698385942519},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AE$60","v":1.3865297890493307},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AF$60","v":1.394224245227127},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AG$60","v":1.3613679379080905},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AH$60","v":1.3208985242888727},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AI$60","v":1.3339395126884872},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AJ$60","v":1.3226312309687827},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AK$60","v":1.2589498329719795},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AL$60","v":1.2253136890575866},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AM$60","v":1.2402213234240986},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AN$60","v":1.2441624246825256},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AO$60","v":1.2321217411654271},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AP$60","v":1.2616861402446737},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AQ$60","v":1.2488213326087227},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AR$60","v":1.277070217646777},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AS$60","v":1.2878465227497951},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AT$60","v":1.2647073534863436},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AU$60","v":1.2239078675000838},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AV$60","v":1.2085152641364496},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AW$60","v":1.1679229501462502},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AX$60","v":1.156456300341981},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AY$60","v":1.1432493928338716},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AZ$60","v":1.1294623977629394},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BA$60","v":1.077017608485757},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BB$60","v":1.0408603791171531},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BC$60","v":1.022763358515014}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Death rate (\",B6,\")\")","v":"Death rate (percent/yr)"},"percent/yr","SSB 06913: Befolkning og endringer, etter år, region og statistikkvariabel",null,null,{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!P$61","v":1.0135085439701881},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Q$61","v":1.0236930460323435},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!R$61","v":1.0093344075803075},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!S$61","v":1.0242301354684074},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!T$61","v":1.0299314064377183},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!U$61","v":1.0702763851518808},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!V$61","v":1.0473200651954335},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!W$61","v":1.0767279101218747},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!X$61","v":1.0802972353737439},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Y$61","v":1.0702762536706119},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Z$61","v":1.0871660497846032},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AA$61","v":1.0570540468677569},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AB$61","v":1.0466736271753736},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AC$61","v":1.0838611293769234},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AD$61","v":1.0190262473654943},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AE$61","v":1.0392304313530691},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AF$61","v":1.0036712031720221},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AG$61","v":1.0152038124949632},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AH$61","v":0.99855147558662527},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AI$61","v":1.0161227661664636},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AJ$61","v":0.98251712572320571},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AK$61","v":0.97660985967159297},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AL$61","v":0.98285480362134414},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AM$61","v":0.93312057416856542},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AN$61","v":0.90006306995346985},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AO$61","v":0.89510965592594416},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AP$61","v":0.889031315116808},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AQ$61","v":0.8962358266180801},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AR$61","v":0.88052552884411384},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AS$61","v":0.86365541963622661},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AT$61","v":0.85420543703541174},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AU$61","v":0.8412689863738122},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AV$61","v":0.84222011404228359},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AW$61","v":0.81725900886409875},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AX$61","v":0.79063529544401157},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AY$61","v":0.78839645809111547},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AZ$61","v":0.78109162185928804},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BA$61","v":0.77541920732432068},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BB$61","v":0.77120351747359472},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BC$61","v":0.76355820676804897}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Population (\",B7,\")\")","v":"Population (Mp)"},"Mp","SSB 06913: Befolkning og endringer, etter år, region og statistikkvariabel",null,null,{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!P$59","v":4.0789},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Q$59","v":4.0923400000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!R$59","v":4.1070630000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!S$59","v":4.1225110000000003},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!T$59","v":4.1343529999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!U$59","v":4.1458449999999996},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!V$59","v":4.1591870000000002},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!W$59","v":4.1755209999999998},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!X$59","v":4.1982889999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Y$59","v":4.2206859999999997},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Z$59","v":4.2331159999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AA$59","v":4.2498300000000002},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AB$59","v":4.2736340000000004},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AC$59","v":4.2991669999999997},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AD$59","v":4.3248150000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AE$59","v":4.3484100000000003},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AF$59","v":4.3699570000000003},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AG$59","v":4.3927139999999998},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AH$59","v":4.4175990000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AI$59","v":4.4453290000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AJ$59","v":4.478497},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AK$59","v":4.5034359999999998},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AL$59","v":4.5240660000000004},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AM$59","v":4.5522520000000002},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AN$59","v":4.5774569999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AO$59","v":4.606363},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AP$59","v":4.6402190000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AQ$59","v":4.6811340000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AR$59","v":4.737171},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AS$59","v":4.7992520000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AT$59","v":4.8581989999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AU$59","v":4.9203049999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AV$59","v":4.9858700000000002},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AW$59","v":5.0512750000000004},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AX$59","v":5.1090559999999998},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AY$59","v":5.1658020000000002},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AZ$59","v":5.2139850000000001},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BA$59","v":5.2583169999999999},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BB$59","v":5.2956190000000003},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BC$59","v":5.3282119999999997},5.37,null,"2020 from update of SSB table 06913"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Net migration (\",B8,\")\")","v":"Net migration (percent/yr)"},"percent/yr","SSB 06913: Befolkning og endringer, etter år, region og statistikkvariabel",null,null,{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!P$62","v":9.9806320331461904E-2},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Q$62","v":0.12648020447958871},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!R$62","v":0.13975923914485849},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!S$62","v":0.10394150555329022},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!T$62","v":9.0969493896626633E-2},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!U$62","v":0.15022269284066336},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!V$62","v":0.17914558782762113},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!W$62","v":0.32975525688890078},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!X$62","v":0.24159842259549069},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Y$62","v":-3.4425683407863082E-2},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!Z$62","v":4.0395774649218209E-2},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AA$62","v":0.18930168971464739},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AB$62","v":0.23263573810953395},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AC$62","v":0.29791817810287435},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AD$62","v":0.17193799041115054},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AE$62","v":0.14639833870311217},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AF$62","v":0.13311343795831398},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AG$62","v":0.24358517308433919},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AH$62","v":0.31290753189685167},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AI$62","v":0.42739243821998329},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AJ$62","v":0.21632257429222349},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AK$62","v":0.17664290110928632},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AL$62","v":0.37961426734269571},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AM$62","v":0.2478992814984759},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AN$62","v":0.28861002954260412},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AO$62","v":0.40029411490149602},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AP$62","v":0.51124742172729343},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AQ$62","v":0.84705970818182086},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AR$62","v":0.91501868942455311},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AS$62","v":0.80506295564392127},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AT$62","v":0.87163988136344361},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AU$62","v":0.95587570282736534},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AV$62","v":0.94954340967574358},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AW$62","v":0.79332445768642568},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AX$62","v":0.74681115258865827},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AY$62","v":0.57690945181406494},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!AZ$62","v":0.50011651356879616},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BA$62","v":0.40600443069522052},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BB$62","v":0.34184861108776893},{"$f":"[1]Folkemengde!BC$62","v":0.47533769301972217}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Net migration (\",B9,\")\")","v":"Net migration (p/yr)"},"p/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F7*F8*1000000/100","v":4070.9999999999995},{"$f":"G7*G8*1000000/100","v":5176.0000000000009},5740,4285.0000000000009,3761,6227.9999999999991,7451.0000000000009,13768.999999999998,10143,-1452.9999999999998,1709.9999999999998,{"$f":"Q7*Q8*1000000/100","v":8045},9942.0000000000018,12808,7436,6366,5817,10699.999999999998,13823,18999.000000000004,9688,7954.9999999999991,17174.000000000004,11285,13211,18438.999999999996,23722.999999999996,39652,43346,38637.000000000007,42346,47032,47343,40073,38155,29802.000000000004,26075.999999999996,21349,18102.999999999996,25326.999999999996]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Births (\",B10,\")\")","v":"Births (p/yr)"},"p/yr",null,null,null,{"$f":"(F7*1000000)*(F5/100)","v":51039},{"$f":"(G7*1000000)*(G5/100)","v":50708},51245,49937.000000000007,50274,51133.999999999993,52513.999999999993,54027,57526,59303.000000000007,60939,60808,60109,59678,60091.999999999993,60292,60927,59801,58351.999999999993,59298.000000000007,59234,56695.999999999993,55433.999999999993,56458,56951,56756,58545,58459.000000000007,60497,61806.999999999993,61442.000000000007,60220,60255,58995.000000000007,59084,59058,58890,56633,55119.999999999993,54495]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Deaths (\",B11,\")\")","v":"Deaths (p/yr)"},"p/yr",null,null,null,{"$f":"(F7*1000000)*(F6/100)","v":41340},{"$f":"(G7*1000000)*(G6/100)","v":41893},41454,42224,42581,44371.999999999993,43559.999999999993,44959.000000000007,45354,45173,46021,44922.999999999993,44731.000000000007,46597,44071.000000000007,45189.999999999993,43860,44594.999999999993,44112,45170,44002,43981,44465,42478,41200,41232,41253,41954,41712,41449,41499,41393,41992,41282,40394,40727.000000000007,40726,40774,40840,40684]
[]
["Offshore"]
["Oil production (Mtoe/yr)"]
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["Conversion Sm^3 o.e. to Mtoe","Mtoe/MSm3 o.e.","calculated line 15 div line 16",null,null,{"$f":"F15/F16","v":0.88610228209319364},{"$f":"G15/G16","v":0.88230014255313882},{"$f":"H15/H16","v":0.88310219140499235},0.87981079371731785,0.87360437666779545,0.87458989487671368,0.88126312359586156,0.8790046482742131,0.87971633761760704,0.87067142051071189,0.86840676160032515,0.86437056103472698,0.86173541015965005,0.86253280654372544,0.86480001926450367,0.86524702576448509,0.86267050751635765,0.86175940233850501,0.86080464749143681,0.85919521190622228,0.85702876648221094,0.86596044005464123,0.86829361431218821,0.87109382179192918,{"$f":"AD15/AD16","v":0.87483759486452051},0.8853861575664107,0.89190509011533481,0.89947419093889414,0.90249826700193181,0.90591919588798153,0.90641036741230985,0.91333622702614992,0.92647290782225444,0.93086103739938209,0.93535376935611148,0.93725450610796157,0.94033167085583858,0.94359531270710584,0.94616608045036521,0.94245573383741066,null,null,"accessed May 21, 2101"]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Realized oil price (\",B23,\")\")","v":"Realized oil price (NOK/barrel)"},"NOK/barrel","1 toe = 7.33 barrels",null,null,{"$f":"F22/7.33","v":248.30594240525537},{"$f":"G22/7.33","v":272.11785294758613},257.99252742218761,239.82521161012326,257.57222328215374,253.16477563793595,116.74082769952906,124.87225496463692,95.723950216332327,123.09725234728911,138.59153588741125,127.86398485593934,114.39980754362055,115.80998490606822,105.08309523949214,103.23326203917024,127.59956222633275,126.70250696108272,88.805838567929328,130.18697892855073,233.79066458809206,211.38458028599297,183.17275451532112,186.54802078888363,231.12461974375111,307.58385491868665,355.82502865811534,390.3967127665905,469.91618583245952,338.30781824488417,437.27337761941118,527.35507872976848,544.42456090463679,541.39577691922329,512.24025320669227,345.7576019253558,316.39492519299989,382.72132411914686,484.36479794426157,495.02361245798636]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil price historical Brent (\",B25,\")\")","v":"Oil price historical Brent (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel","bp Statistical Review of World Energy June 2020",null,null,{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$14","v":36.83},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$15","v":35.93},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$16","v":32.97},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$17","v":29.55},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$18","v":28.78},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$19","v":27.56},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$20","v":14.43},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$21","v":18.435039370078702},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$22","v":14.9238416988417},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$23","v":18.226113281250001},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$24","v":23.725820312500002},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$25","v":20.0009143968872},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$26","v":19.3208365758755},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$27","v":16.971634241245098},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$28","v":15.817626459144},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$29","v":17.016679687500002},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$30","v":20.668488372093002},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$31","v":19.0925875486381},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$32","v":12.7156614785992},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$33","v":17.970077821011699},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$34","v":28.49544921875},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$35","v":24.443891050583701},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$36","v":25.023255813953501},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$37","v":28.830703124999999},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$38","v":38.265000000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$39","v":54.521089494163398},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$40","v":65.144062500000004},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$41","v":72.389078431372496},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$42","v":97.255972762645996},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$43","v":61.671264822134397},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$44","v":79.495533596838001},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$45","v":111.255597609562},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$46","v":111.669702380952},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$47","v":108.65851778656101},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$48","v":98.946007905138302},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$49","v":52.3867588932806},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$50","v":43.734169960474297},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$51","v":54.192440476190498},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$52","v":71.310059760956193},{"$f":"'[2]Oil - Spot crude prices'!$C$53","v":64.210573122529595}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil price historical Brent (\",B26,\")\")","v":"Oil price historical Brent (constant USD/barrel)"},"constant USD/barrel","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F25/F154","v":165.46685217779},{"$f":"G25/G154","v":143.00541663406855},118.74433101774358,99.499394140015355,91.24060747862633,83.055660984298925,43.727525346551531,52.101641377229008,40.220068072498464,46.509603625647081,58.320945400161911,48.100849070058914,46.764459567606607,40.157732724411929,37.485602668326855,39.129269397312122,45.583913593065439,40.967068242216357,27.474427564067579,36.401037683597679,50.02328056709883,42.204483322419271,43.921751886625657,49.195262742484289,61.692410201204567,80.82684517167371,88.793949094008894,95.835544181768938,116.62123495289373,78.018868523069543,94.903868649425519,124.46028676214922,120.88249173016548,114.69227150169961,104.13780216296533,56.755846408735522,48.090603869972234,57.325626277937964,71.310059760956193,64.592176348560841]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Exchange rate (\",B27,\")\")","v":"Exchange rate (NOK/USD)"},"NOK/USD","https://fxtop.com/de/historische-wechselkurse.php?A=1&C1=USD&C2=NOK&TR=1&YA=1&DD1=01&MM1=01&YYYY1=1980&B=1&P=&I=1&DD2=31&MM2=12&YYYY2=2019&btnOK=Gehen",null,null,4.9385320000000004,5.7374809999999998,4.9385320000000004,7.2986409999999999,8.158849,8.5874640000000007,7.3933530000000003,6.7371319999999999,6.5182570000000002,6.9052540000000002,6.2597649999999998,6.490259,6.215522,7.0985230000000001,7.0552539999999997,6.3383279999999997,6.4568479999999999,7.0790649999999999,7.5519930000000004,7.8025370000000001,8.8069109999999995,8.9916099999999997,7.9769139999999998,7.0808559999999998,6.7362679999999999,6.4437199999999999,6.4138640000000002,5.8609179999999999,5.6382570000000003,6.2811959999999996,6.0475329999999996,5.6049129999999998,5.8213309999999998,5.8771930000000001,6.3025799999999998,8.0715789999999998,8.3964890000000008,8.2657039999999995,8.134544,8.802308,{"$f":"1/0.106718","v":9.3704904514702303}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil exports (\",B28,\")\")","v":"Oil exports (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F20/F154","v":128.04250032764094},{"$f":"G20/G154","v":123.5705307608663},114.8149993483363,136.88490253719269,163.94142786430595,168.99536651003376,86.442923633799651,104.84461418119625,90.773700241207777,151.49593911983223,183.28490204324825,193.3469532992105,200.0667354003572,211.60401106711373,218.30938043219376,225.36832300946861,299.34964186063661,292.05625368376559,196.80087347635538,270.7844653726724,454.38223308814958,405.22631222284997,347.39832097729715,333.93093750437049,382.85569752148552,429.11051544523912,421.52278030281633,409.97720633541439,430.92527269320834,308.07269700730075,336.64114435446362,359.37623868671358,332.13816938975373,304.1254941799495,297.49460535094164,213.55559414345211,206.2816521072852,235.97017071627894,261.334,253.40911219198344]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Gas production (Gcm/yr)"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Gas production (\",B35,\")\")","v":"Gas production (Gcm/yr)"},"Gcm/yr","bp Statistical Review of World Energy June 2020",null,null,{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!L$24","v":24.900154622500004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!M$24","v":24.763988585000003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!N$24","v":23.780336722500003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!O$24","v":23.435477710000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!P$24","v":25.767875537500004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!Q$24","v":25.989261594999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!R$24","v":25.894030227500004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!S$24","v":27.939754355000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!T$24","v":28.117098224999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!U$24","v":28.522198017499999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!V$24","v":25.288355117500004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!W$24","v":24.839309410000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!X$24","v":25.639906557500002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!Y$24","v":24.617819140000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!Z$24","v":26.640295940000005},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AA$24","v":27.604998000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AB$24","v":37.117458427500004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AC$24","v":42.622637577500008},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AD$24","v":43.86310477},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AE$24","v":48.107261060000006},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AF$24","v":49.422477397500003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AG$24","v":53.631215332500005},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AH$24","v":65.101939795000007},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AI$24","v":72.412740450000015},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AJ$24","v":78.585029467500007},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AK$24","v":85.198778515000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AL$24","v":88.003283780000004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AM$24","v":89.632569795000009},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AN$24","v":99.359480690000012},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AO$24","v":103.60072300000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AP$24","v":106.44590389250001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AQ$24","v":100.506816645},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AR$24","v":113.86224402000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AS$24","v":107.93024421500002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AT$24","v":108.0077713675},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AU$24","v":116.23836246499999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AV$24","v":115.89055473499999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AW$24","v":123.21922733750003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AX$24","v":121.28686556750002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Production - Bcm'!AY$24","v":114.38536992750001}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Gas consumption (\",B36,\")\")","v":"Gas consumption (Gcm/yr)"},"Gcm/yr","bp Statistical Review of World Energy June 2020",null,null,{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!Q$44","v":0.822241},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!R$44","v":1.0106470000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!S$44","v":1.090894},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!T$44","v":1.2281280000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!U$44","v":1.1816080000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!V$44","v":1.245573},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!W$44","v":1.3723400000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!X$44","v":1.5107370000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!Y$44","v":1.9026680000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!Z$44","v":2.1073560000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AA$44","v":2.2317970000000003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AB$44","v":2.5144060000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AC$44","v":2.7063009999999998},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AD$44","v":2.8470240000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AE$44","v":3.0563640000000003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AF$44","v":3.085439},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AG$44","v":3.3494400000000004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AH$44","v":3.8681380000000005},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AI$44","v":3.9507109999999996},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AJ$44","v":3.7739350000000003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AK$44","v":4.236809},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AL$44","v":3.9262880000000004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AM$44","v":4.1902889999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AN$44","v":4.5147659999999998},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AO$44","v":4.7741150000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AP$44","v":4.3699212837175008},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AQ$44","v":4.3054754870999998},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AR$44","v":4.1754855000000006},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AS$44","v":4.2949275},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AT$44","v":4.1031080000000006},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AU$44","v":4.0814100845975005},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AV$44","v":4.0197476363725002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AW$44","v":4.0018203421675},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AX$44","v":3.9740991069125009},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AY$44","v":4.3014429277150006},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!AZ$44","v":4.5096366473650011},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!BA$44","v":4.3724127419475005},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!BB$44","v":4.5847279801850007},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!BC$44","v":4.4828251527400003},{"$f":"'[2]Gas Consumption - Bcm'!BD$44","v":4.4938872886450003}]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Gas exports (\",B38,\")\")","v":"Gas exports (Gcm/yr)"},"Gcm/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F35-F36","v":24.077913622500006},23.753341585000005,22.689442722500004,22.207349709999999,24.586267537500003,24.743688594999998,24.521690227500002,26.429017355000003,26.214430225000001,26.4148420175,23.056558117500003,22.324903410000001,22.933605557500002,21.770795140000001,23.583931940000006,24.519559000000001,33.768018427500003,38.754499577500006,39.912393770000001,44.333326060000005,45.185668397500002,49.704927332500006,60.911650795000007,67.897974450000021,73.810914467500012,80.828857231282498,83.697808292900007,85.457084295000016,95.064553190000012,99.49761500000001,102.36449380790251,96.4870690086275,109.8604236778325,103.95614510808751,103.706328439785,111.728725817635,111.5181419930525,118.63449935731504,116.80404041476001,109.89148263885501]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Gas price historical: German average import (\",B59,\")\")","v":"Gas price historical: German average import (USD/MBtu)"},"USD/MBtu","bp Statistical Review of World Energy June 2020",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$6","v":3.9956346778413083},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$7","v":4.2535868025601697},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$8","v":3.9286188092638987},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$9","v":2.5475032714532073},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$10","v":2.2203590887643148},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$11","v":2.0005137748936912},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$12","v":2.7758931339153379},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$13","v":3.2332890000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$14","v":2.6986979999999998},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$15","v":2.5113759999999998},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$16","v":2.3504640000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$17","v":2.4301620000000002},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$18","v":2.4968349999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$19","v":2.6647620000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$20","v":2.3305560000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$21","v":1.8628119999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$22","v":2.91031},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$23","v":3.6670579999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$24","v":3.2121789999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$25","v":4.0631579999999996},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$26","v":4.3018530000000004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$27","v":5.8303180000000001},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$28","v":7.8742669999999997},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$29","v":7.9940009999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$30","v":11.600519999999999},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$31","v":8.5313610000000004},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$32","v":8.0310260000000007},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$33","v":10.49128},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$34","v":10.92553},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$35","v":10.72630774306378},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$36","v":9.1147955709960815},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$37","v":6.7190853799308634},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$38","v":4.9313132613275243},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$39","v":5.6182412114278408},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$40","v":6.6227098519258414},{"$f":"'[2]Gas - Prices '!$D$41","v":5.2529612203432903}]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average Gas price (\",B61,\")\")","v":"Average Gas price (USD/kgoe-gass)"},"USD/kgoe-gass",null,null,null,{"$f":"F46/F362/1000","v":0.40570965506216766},{"$f":"G46/G362/1000","v":0.51929531811120389},0.62601780279684438,0.61557915328037838,0.61258611140397035,0.62729477537985967,0.46496532979980387,0.2514604999412105,0.2171589137740719,0.19572735023250712,0.19904960878986555,0.22971119280331861,0.19721618631967641,0.19481087745800613,0.17504538462270572,0.17472508425276756,0.17386118680918136,0.20179789703073889,0.18526404163694499,0.15052858327200139,0.24333392872457091,0.28386881274939491,0.24809388162394369,0.21311669285811274,0.2110128913074846,0.26059193920023233,0.32878854878714747,0.28882845930646905,0.36466132086189124,0.27007618838715752,0.25972906215306002,0.33234069750966161,0.37312123675052739,0.36245220544857198,0.30334795593936054,0.26728191327090672,{"$f":"AP46/AP362/1000","v":0.19138194531379996},0.21741537348900808,0.26659624800418319,0.21954710810231928]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average Gas price (\",B62,\")\")","v":"Average Gas price (USD/kgoe-gass)"},"USD/kgoe-gass",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(AP49*ConversionFactors!$C$6*1000)/AP362/1000","v":0.10712866022465356},{"$f":"(AQ49*ConversionFactors!$C$6*1000)/AQ362/1000","v":0.13024975590884658},{"$f":"(AR49*ConversionFactors!$C$6*1000)/AR362/1000","v":0.16851749590858206},{"$f":"(AS49*ConversionFactors!$C$6*1000)/AS362/1000","v":0.11069109543129362}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Gas exports (\",B63,\")\")","v":"Gas exports (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,null,{"$f":"F52/F154","v":57.951586376359302},{"$f":"G52/G154","v":67.821104910785635},77.769073086628353,78.087663265688533,84.38329566569135,88.308419224343666,74.397399499874325,46.697780416634913,39.969857736397849,36.164271142808623,34.35716207580812,39.222044148425596,35.093609772433147,34.640695099157377,33.938803473435954,35.000165745259331,46.226836317681745,59.139932291289142,58.813607105896743,51.753260116147807,83.892783604481522,105.35283265819845,104.27689255278746,106.19979503419542,119.33325822194062,152.90230003664334,200.20328395896442,178.44781671736658,256.2044157645862,209.97992942976498,190.27324938687792,223.8337798021148,273.06396037830535,262.59251921416143,235.35882348098022,239.08051245561208,177.17932952581228,214.84770242624535,265.435,177.58314098454858]
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["Oil and gas O&G","1 Gcm =",{"$f":"ConversionFactors!C4","v":0.85985},"Mtoe"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas production (\",B83,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas production (Mtoe/yr)"},"Mtoe/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F15+F35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":46.46002831339203},{"$f":"G15+G35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":45.585656293823128},{"$f":"H15+H35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":45.679038819175148},{"$f":"I15+I35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":51.548637020093409},{"$f":"J15+J35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":58.111274505791144},{"$f":"K15+K35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":61.557687683628487},{"$f":"L15+L35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":65.299031601909277},{"$f":"M15+M35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":74.13927521130023},{"$f":"N15+N35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":81.156029034707529},{"$f":"O15+O35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":99.433901783092665},{"$f":"P15+P35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":103.88724364110698},{"$f":"Q15+Q35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":115.2003250941477},{"$f":"R15+R35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":128.94717620721514},{"$f":"S15+S35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":135.29597426088196},{"$f":"T15+T35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":151.48961969395555},{"$f":"U15+U35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":162.13584481430448},{"$f":"V15+V35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":186.57971504534336},{"$f":"W15+W35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":192.87700522950038},{"$f":"X15+X35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":187.31590131166368},{"$f":"Y15+Y35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":191.03872972114232},{"$f":"Z15+Z35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":202.40998944222912},{"$f":"AA15+AA35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":207.65971799796222},{"$f":"AB15+AB35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":213.11499712670752},{"$f":"AC15+AC35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":215.41439764638091},{"$f":"AD15+AD35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":217.56420548787713},{"$f":"AE15+AE35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":211.45667576665329},{"$f":"AF15+AF35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":204.28454412605731},{"$f":"AG15+AG35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":195.26329166494136},{"$f":"AH15+AH35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":199.65650588907511},{"$f":"AI15+AI35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":197.24671303852969},{"$f":"AJ15+AJ35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":189.93216138087854},{"$f":"AK15+AK35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":179.59830149009485},{"$f":"AL15+AL35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":184.76808316065805},{"$f":"AM15+AM35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":175.57441264038977},{"$f":"AN15+AN35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":177.67095975867829},{"$f":"AO15+AO35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":187.4140266080646},{"$f":"AP15+AP35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":189.79448742287624},{"$f":"AQ15+AQ35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":194.63447520226137},{"$f":"AR15+AR35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"AS15+AS35*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":176.72297655781881},{"$f":"AT88*ConversionFactors!C5","v":191.71565363999989},null,"2020 data from https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/facts/historical-production/"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas consumption (\",B84,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas consumption (Mtoe/yr)"},"Mtoe/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F18+F36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.098003923849998},{"$f":"G18+G36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":9.5960048229500021},{"$f":"H18+H36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":9.3120052059000002},{"$f":"I18+I36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":9.3280058608000012},{"$f":"J18+J36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":9.5810056388000007},{"$f":"K18+K36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.063005944050001},{"$f":"L18+L36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.878006548999998},{"$f":"M18+M36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.88500720945},{"$f":"N18+N36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.612009079800002},{"$f":"O18+O36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.9250100566},{"$f":"P18+P36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.664321594053517},{"$f":"Q18+Q36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.22500943562344},{"$f":"R18+R36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":10.655248815728905},{"$f":"S18+S36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":11.227846716282814},{"$f":"T18+T36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":11.616151914501563},{"$f":"U18+U36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":11.531062636747656},{"$f":"V18+V36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":12.425814690054688},{"$f":"W18+W36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":12.996723903635937},{"$f":"X18+X36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.073351784080712},{"$f":"Y18+Y36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":12.834757560857254},{"$f":"Z18+Z36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":12.516549027243752},{"$f":"AA18+AA36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.449023302992625},{"$f":"AB18+AB36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.330087226874609},{"$f":"AC18+AC36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.914414088892723},{"$f":"AD18+AD36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.927943317087577},{"$f":"AE18+AE36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.572088645925811},{"$f":"AF18+AF36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.74774006511125},{"$f":"AG18+AG36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.565885853427048},{"$f":"AH18+AH36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.583562216948032},{"$f":"AI18+AI36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.491671445562556},{"$f":"AJ18+AJ36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.937082448561625},{"$f":"AK18+AK36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.5277142949364},{"$f":"AL18+AL36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.418280710660264},{"$f":"AM18+AM36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.583209121700159},{"$f":"AN18+AN36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.217049423238159},{"$f":"AO18+AO36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.567981099572048},{"$f":"AP18+AP36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.016928026611096},{"$f":"AQ18+AQ36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.109530248703825},{"$f":"AR18+AR36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":13.394189367428417},{"$f":"AS18+AS36*ConversionFactors!$C$4","v":12.807293214916875}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas exports (\",B85,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas exports (Mtoe/yr)"},"Mtoe/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F19+F44","v":36.361909486342881},37.415900570485384,37.892739816873728,44.053761879876447,50.316034454303349,53.533970026162905,57.148834376624762,66.168348352226801,73.984990003812243,91.962494110422611,96.749699833892905,108.37129495602308,121.70832685000924,127.87319855744204,144.85120325094638,156.19907846401702,179.98891018571663,185.52335046963441,179.35188672309664,183.0179419749891,194.83233742108928,202.04390119401398,208.23503938835779,{"$f":"AC19+AC44","v":210.76838724790414},{"$f":"AD19+AD44","v":213.50751067922306},209.38915011200211,202.74487704361778,193.86101549142458,198.38052844492859,195.9840001715371,186.9704931016044,177.9235523783442,184.29222715870489,174.92300096697113,177.798677113395,188.08026850695711,191.68838757518188,196.83284572854603,188.20330848595654,176.3412335374228]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of O&G exports as oil (\",B86,\")\")","v":"Fraction of O&G exports as oil (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F19/F85*100","v":43.063278530839},{"$f":"G15/G83*100","v":53.289439450940833},55.236530672667804,60.908771455802537,61.872273548721864,63.697683549598324,65.903044279656882,67.596125382022834,70.209869560736109,75.335563097135264,79.069430099713927,81.460052149389711,82.902709231849954,84.354573812585954,84.879057383412928,85.360326979215955,82.894471341040656,80.998732908878694,79.865195441292713,78.347307646558789,79.005029688828984,77.793092975257423,73.733475500342621,71.095666976659672,68.941886632452025,65.3554708355651,62.95871335643497,60.529926295374224,57.209383640740484,54.837735798340461,51.810420206600824,51.881067039506782,47.012249710103923,47.142741876432822,47.728946623305092,46.670183777360123,47.496634469226976,45.564601278346181,44.360227374274146,44.345516215328061]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of O&G exported (\",B87,\")\")","v":"Fraction of O&G exported (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F85/F83*100","v":78.264931827132827},{"$f":"G85/G83*100","v":82.078231646640248},82.954328279270001,85.460575538989531,86.585666692423075,86.965531098726572,87.518655291901439,89.248712188841978,91.163886261822284,92.486056024465029,93.129528172032636,94.072039178237048,94.386190089519118,94.513675854739702,95.61790672098833,96.338399841758076,96.467566231396049,96.187386489583858,95.748351030104914,95.80148603486785,96.256285550915152,97.295663859081543,97.710176287852534,97.843221971586345,98.135403386068432,99.02224621324666,99.246312495628914,99.281853664577682,99.36091366596618,99.35983071781483,98.440670470055366,99.06750281163265,99.742457683268057,99.628982570055442,100.07188420374955,100.35549201463229,100.99786889388724,101.1294867078405,100.40980694028391,99.783987895727236]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas production (\",B88,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas production (MSm3 o.e./yr)"},"MSm3 o.e./yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F41+F16","v":55.797736999999984},{"$f":"G41+G16","v":54.65231},54.817390000000003,61.97907699999999,69.761684000000002,73.986725999999962,78.767297999999982,89.281110000000012,97.945603000000006,119.67164699999998,125.08141800000001,138.49160000000009,154.84570500000001,162.63947099999999,182.64886900000005,195.70921700000008,224.91548299999994,232.307816,225.375382,229.66505599999991,243.61257199999977,251.51043400000006,258.36437499999988,261.705198,264.40588799999989,257.73686600000008,249.5663890000001,238.34070700000001,243.58358500000003,240.60631200000012,231.1134800000001,219.59927999999988,226.27914800000002,215.38257700000008,217.76705200000015,229.93665600000014,232.942295,239.04463000000013,229.53741399999979,215.63937899999988,228.23292099999986]
[]
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[]
["Reserves"]
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["Oil & Gas Investments in nominal GNOK/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!E5/1000","v":54.94},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!F5/1000","v":65.218000000000004},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!G5/1000","v":72.665000000000006},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!H5/1000","v":90.543000000000006},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!I5/1000","v":97.013999999999996},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!J5/1000","v":113.852},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!K5/1000","v":129.35400000000001},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!L5/1000","v":140.51900000000001},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!M5/1000","v":131.839},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!N5/1000","v":153.24100000000001},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!O5/1000","v":179.322},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!P5/1000","v":218.65899999999999},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!Q5/1000","v":224.40199999999999},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!R5/1000","v":201.19200000000001},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!S5/1000","v":164.49199999999999},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!T5/1000","v":148.809},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!U5/1000","v":151.83099999999999},{"$f":"[7]Investeringer!V5/1000","v":177.55099999999999}]
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[]
["Oil and gas production","Mtoe/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F83","v":46.46002831339203},45.585656293823128,45.679038819175148,51.548637020093409,58.111274505791144,61.557687683628487,65.299031601909277,74.13927521130023,81.156029034707529,99.433901783092665,103.88724364110698,115.2003250941477,128.94717620721514,135.29597426088196,151.48961969395555,162.13584481430448,186.57971504534336,192.87700522950038,187.31590131166368,191.03872972114232,202.40998944222912,207.65971799796222,213.11499712670752,215.41439764638091,217.56420548787713,211.45667576665329,204.28454412605731,195.26329166494136,199.65650588907511,197.24671303852969,189.93216138087854,179.59830149009485,184.76808316065805,175.57441264038977,177.67095975867829,187.4140266080646,189.79448742287624,194.63447520226137,187.43518608484678,176.72297655781881]
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["Annual Oil & Gas Investments in 2018-GNOK/yr"]
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["Onshore activities","2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB158+AB159","v":78.739945124779851},{"$f":"AC158+AC159","v":79.449350181355015},72.489589637176522,79.92535996931862,82.23082732816151,101.62880518071553,111.27920391353295,126.69741256516346,110.53280717891633,126.3983042905618,152.64120912347556,177.6677818241439,171.33175125531034,152.19286713655777,135.05100704635223,121.33994854833585,117.911,143.9373655729554]
["Shutdown&Removal spending","2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB131/AB$154","v":6.2995466574417041},{"$f":"AC131/AC$154","v":18.379093035015892},26.368205118011254,25.223045916902915,25.074479927213435,15.326733245322005,6.3157462420941384,9.1831903925164422,8.103693770512967,6.0789498487884801,4.4707264387832897,5.0063764425824147,8.6439441799856471,11.755979991733795,9.15756602654373,5.2044543262702891,1.97,2.0652009722845359]
["Pipelines","2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(AB162:AR162)","v":3.7182467121529705},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.6499230587894125,1.4606353762857303,1.9217915316826299,3.0598546357404266,1.7228822911501296,1.9355345948571108,1.6655727226635195,1.5800805620957481,2.2312615876677571,1.5549761298888454,1.1009028542960304,2.9597047322372103,8.5723761531697438,11.949908700472191,10.014163521101555,5.5186256545024595,4.3120000000000003,3.9533559771447768]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A133,\" (\",B163,\")\")","v":"Pipelines (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F133/F$154","v":0.69187877370023521},{"$f":"G133/G$154","v":1.2258744314860315},9.0507887123927695,16.87954188913357,15.169781333746595,4.0262105615030253,1.3878868058711435,1.9105307487529628,0.91361214838101756,1.2019031688020647,7.0892219665615377,12.921702324452188,11.441305841388473,15.836760402913956,20.406887557416177,13.994547580687753,13.215229161047185,17.523976018538509,18.121591579616315,9.5063622734776967,1.2130388472388358,3.7587780113556333,1.8886353311249022,4.9415888431349,9.9088345249340968,14.847114426812196,7.2200217533403759,4.7977957399194047,2.1140422678587365,0.66796039774744198,0.65899218640588664,0.52578329571781102,0.36480261740192949,3.4251932439763726,4.7761133189790428,4.7474614619645639,1.3382274080576033,2.2891136508229488,2.1880000000000002,0.71924924266119972]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual investments in O&G fields (green and brown) (\",B164,\")\")","v":"Annual investments in O&G fields (green and brown) (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB159+AB158","v":78.739945124779851},{"$f":"AC159+AC158","v":79.449350181355015},72.489589637176522,79.92535996931862,82.23082732816151,101.62880518071553,111.27920391353295,126.69741256516346,110.53280717891633,126.3983042905618,152.64120912347556,177.6677818241439,171.33175125531034,152.19286713655777,135.05100704635223,121.33994854833585,117.911,143.9373655729554]
[{"$f":"A128","v":"Exploration "}]
["New 'green'-field dev. spending"]
["Brownfield dev. spending"]
["Onshore activities"]
["Shutdown&Removal spending"]
["Pipelines"]
[]
["Total annual investments in O&G extraction, right axis"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Distribution of investment"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of investment spent on exploration (\",B179,\")\")","v":"Fraction of investment spent on exploration (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"K128/K$126*100","v":23.678915129699512},20.429540965343897,14.98700548739137,16.268957100724002,17.348927421092313,16.467086710327173,21.740084994561869,16.195758559435301,10.916083721835417,10.652641151235256,11.583519063469703,13.404773829849711,16.55977869218291,8.932999473690721,7.7690769070464727,12.035926197619304,11.617914606821348,8.3096630465051522,6.6332916145181482,6.0283528014552239,9.3594774488376729,12.788111384897185,18.528867438400408,22.05014460267574,22.38215313841604,22.883453807307653,21.57463409525306,18.341862959817639,18.358138282562876,18.518720663683006,17.504788907011367,14.100750267952842,14.86525190256676,17.00714366859793,15.701553982220812]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of investment spent on greenfield dev. (\",B180,\")\")","v":"Fraction of investment spent on greenfield dev. (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB129/AB$126*100","v":33.203378817413906},26.913449504187923,20.621175904628757,24.237532286906422,23.240803331952289,27.907609681750557,27.575612699955325,26.130965562071847,23.118816029005156,24.530018589793944,29.04393688821348,29.350460044379655,33.077720772841388,30.207460024693994,33.81656714132599,35.99669948992117,41.407215840366739,43.920355583704676]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of investment spent on brownfield dev. (\",B181,\")\")","v":"Fraction of investment spent on brownfield dev. (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB130/AB$126*100","v":50.078900956093939},47.796925644234776,46.97154196545349,42.711851778263473,42.535816306504728,41.734405051348119,45.157573810064974,45.40934774378352,47.40377950596784,49.428560207367852,49.73852411388728,48.787915362975475,40.963504712003775,41.169865199254097,41.40437911499005,42.225389378358472,37.387649271933867,36.994729579949784]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of investment spent on Shutdown&Removal (\",B182,\")\")","v":"Fraction of investment spent on Shutdown&Removal (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB132/AB$126*100","v":1.7451034994894643},1.3735117614967425,1.7919692118041464,2.5630836479237038,1.37813733400205,1.3263417643429982,1.0886347783150849,0.89220021287082729,1.4235986807528542,0.90985259078888803,0.56820721405265273,1.3016795565747814,3.7045628206527668,5.604418497121574,5.5777063236870319,3.5575952647227291,2.8815246954418181,2.2223981542219908]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Fraction of investment spent on onshore activities (\",B183,\")\")","v":"Fraction of investment spent on onshore activities (pct)"},"pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB131/AB$126*100","v":6.6629536804975409},17.2828214755624,24.586960116658403,21.128054838068746,20.057131642643757,10.502776064157928,4.1280341089888788,5.1853333428577546,5.1703519769664936,3.5569345167962716,2.3074688240289638,2.2018067535072001,3.7354910308190514,5.5134673719189671,5.1005971520440978,3.3550639644308662,1.3164665236596433,1.1609626999027347]
[]
[]
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[]
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[]
["Cumulativ"]
["Cumulative O&G investments (2018-GNOK)",null,"calculated",null,{"$f":"UIC!Q20","v":277.21763326796133},{"$f":"F155+E202","v":321.98758118953822},{"$f":"G155+F202","v":378.32208347282813},426.56894602404719,500.6968364468031,587.74950638271696,682.01285979084059,782.11040776362574,878.03261724983213,957.07219567968014,1037.4568065510896,1109.2683636007182,1199.9319139319155,1307.734816591023,1428.1396260729712,1537.2362546533514,1634.9566438312165,1727.3353301862937,1843.9050675634385,1996.9436045841423,2127.4013607100287,2220.2629076582775,{"$f":"AA155+Z202","v":2315.1681676262083},2409.7140246067315,2516.0571530189736,2623.3018265894407,2742.6821145023619,2867.694671634581,3013.6249776003197,3166.6214421484556,3343.7207679838007,3500.454657796608,3671.3588400378876,3865.1090823912018,4092.4849151979588,4323.8853953134303,4537.1094688709945,4716.6485650506211,4871.7719806351552,5021.4149806351552,5203.2492367238801]
["Cumulative O&G exploration investments (2018-GNOK)",null,"calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"UIC!V51","v":89.860641038275574},{"$f":"UIC!W51","v":112.18118049019387},{"$f":"UIC!X51","v":132.63065005859877},{"$f":"UIC!Y51","v":147.00651685792357},{"$f":"UIC!Z51","v":159.86543196526864},{"$f":"UIC!AA51","v":173.81129976307693},{"$f":"UIC!AB51","v":185.63657113047535},{"$f":"UIC!AC51","v":205.346904031565},{"$f":"UIC!AD51","v":222.80640186629711},{"$f":"UIC!AE51","v":235.949891674463},{"$f":"UIC!AF51","v":247.57156402522688},{"$f":"UIC!AG51","v":258.89102393454169},{"$f":"UIC!AH51","v":271.27417790742601},{"$f":"UIC!AI51","v":290.57786843913999},{"$f":"UIC!AJ51","v":304.24880014574347},{"$f":"UIC!AK51","v":314.38416355037072},{"$f":"UIC!AL51","v":325.56091080702953},{"$f":"UIC!AM51","v":336.5869228674855},{"$f":"UIC!AN51","v":344.44321915269262},{"$f":"UIC!AO51","v":351.49726897227816},{"$f":"UIC!AP51","v":357.96235625587491},{"$f":"UIC!AQ51","v":369.13572738144228},{"$f":"UIC!AR51","v":385.12247243261874},{"$f":"UIC!AS51","v":412.16170537746257},{"$f":"UIC!AT51","v":445.89764704730811},{"$f":"UIC!AU51","v":485.53628936287743},{"$f":"UIC!AV51","v":521.40241663858762},{"$f":"UIC!AW51","v":558.27436861062813},{"$f":"UIC!AX51","v":593.81177254738759},{"$f":"UIC!AY51","v":635.55374235518104},{"$f":"UIC!AZ51","v":678.40615088218647},{"$f":"UIC!BA51","v":715.73057485736877},{"$f":"UIC!BB51","v":741.04693444299755},{"$f":"UIC!BC51","v":764.106420929504},{"$f":"UIC!BD51","v":789.55642092950404},{"$f":"UIC!BE51","v":818.10722480744482}]
["Cumulative O&G greenfield investments (2018-GNOK)",null,"calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"UIC!AM52","v":667.82989957895438},{"$f":"UIC!AN52","v":699.22173583027916},{"$f":"UIC!AO52","v":727.84233999668163},{"$f":"UIC!AP52","v":749.95745278199263},{"$f":"UIC!AQ52","v":778.89228860908872},{"$f":"UIC!AR52","v":807.94621115243228},{"$f":"UIC!AS52","v":848.67187134873495},{"$f":"UIC!AT52","v":890.86158385715339},{"$f":"UIC!AU52","v":937.13934770184881},{"$f":"UIC!AV52","v":973.37436734277537},{"$f":"UIC!AW52","v":1015.2971950172966},{"$f":"UIC!AX52","v":1071.569893127154},{"$f":"UIC!AY52","v":1138.3057460856767},{"$f":"UIC!AZ52","v":1214.8477507652865},{"$f":"UIC!BA52","v":1279.2573275482118},{"$f":"UIC!BB52","v":1339.9712865527249},{"$f":"UIC!BC52","v":1395.810596299191},{"$f":"UIC!BD52","v":1457.773596299191},{"$f":"UIC!BE52","v":1537.6358481463433}]
["Cumulative O&G brownfield investments (2018-GNOK)",null,"calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"UIC!AM53","v":1036.2501105750539},{"$f":"UIC!AN53","v":1083.5967576468729},{"$f":"UIC!AO53","v":1134.4255036618254},{"$f":"UIC!AP53","v":1184.799980513691},{"$f":"UIC!AQ53","v":1235.789512139522},{"$f":"UIC!AR53","v":1288.9646238013472},{"$f":"UIC!AS53","v":1349.8677687857601},{"$f":"UIC!AT53","v":1418.9572601908744},{"$f":"UIC!AU53","v":1499.3769089113425},{"$f":"UIC!AV53","v":1573.6746964493323},{"$f":"UIC!AW53","v":1658.1501730653729},{"$f":"UIC!AX53","v":1754.5186840789911},{"$f":"UIC!AY53","v":1865.4506129446122},{"$f":"UIC!AZ53","v":1960.2403595203125},{"$f":"UIC!BA53","v":2048.0244231763199},{"$f":"UIC!BB53","v":2122.3614712181588},{"$f":"UIC!BC53","v":2187.8629374657376},{"$f":"UIC!BD53","v":2243.8109374657374},{"$f":"UIC!BE53","v":2311.0800287894745}]
["Cumulative O&G shutdown and removal investments (2018-GNOK)",null,"calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"UIC!AM54","v":51.326090532411953},{"$f":"UIC!AN54","v":57.625520239205599},{"$f":"UIC!AO54","v":59.086155615491329},{"$f":"UIC!AP54","v":61.007947147173958},{"$f":"UIC!AQ54","v":64.067763785514273},{"$f":"UIC!AR54","v":65.790608507544036},{"$f":"UIC!AS54","v":67.726143102401153},{"$f":"UIC!AT54","v":69.391715825064665},{"$f":"UIC!AU54","v":70.97179638716041},{"$f":"UIC!AV54","v":73.20305797482817},{"$f":"UIC!AW54","v":74.758034104717012},{"$f":"UIC!AX54","v":75.858936959013036},{"$f":"UIC!AY54","v":78.818641691250249},{"$f":"UIC!AZ54","v":87.391017844419991},{"$f":"UIC!BA54","v":99.340987263196226},{"$f":"UIC!BB54","v":109.35515078429779},{"$f":"UIC!BC54","v":114.87381407160933},{"$f":"UIC!BD54","v":119.18581407160933},{"$f":"UIC!BE54","v":123.22689522266845}]
["Cumulative O&G onshore activities investments (2018-GNOK)",null,"calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"UIC!AM55","v":193.10097721112109},{"$f":"UIC!AN55","v":194.75086963920302},{"$f":"UIC!AO55","v":213.12996267421892},{"$f":"UIC!AP55","v":239.49816779223016},{"$f":"UIC!AQ55","v":264.72090048831649},{"$f":"UIC!AR55","v":289.79483364216094},{"$f":"UIC!AS55","v":305.12156688748297},{"$f":"UIC!AT55","v":311.43731312957709},{"$f":"UIC!AU55","v":320.62050352209354},{"$f":"UIC!AV55","v":328.7241972926065},{"$f":"UIC!AW55","v":334.80314714139496},{"$f":"UIC!AX55","v":339.27387358017825},{"$f":"UIC!AY55","v":344.28025002276064},{"$f":"UIC!AZ55","v":352.92419420274626},{"$f":"UIC!BA55","v":364.68023392741907},{"$f":"UIC!BB55","v":373.83779995396281},{"$f":"UIC!BC55","v":379.04228977063383},{"$f":"UIC!BD55","v":381.01228977063386},{"$f":"UIC!BE55","v":383.12331765946959}]
[]
["Cumulative O&G production (Mtoe)",null,"calculated",null,{"$f":"UIC!Q14","v":110.95094151126486},{"$f":"UIC!R14","v":157.41085099760775},{"$f":"UIC!S14","v":202.99638911418526},{"$f":"UIC!T14","v":248.67531445024019},{"$f":"UIC!U14","v":300.22383963292924},{"$f":"UIC!V14","v":358.33499117078463},{"$f":"UIC!W14","v":419.89255482999192},{"$f":"UIC!X14","v":485.19146286193757},{"$f":"UIC!Y14","v":559.33060474079002},{"$f":"UIC!Z14","v":640.48649959674003},{"$f":"UIC!AA14","v":739.92026526788163},{"$f":"UIC!AB14","v":843.80738822939202},{"$f":"UIC!AC14","v":959.00759478685245},{"$f":"UIC!AD14","v":1087.9546486368179},{"$f":"UIC!AE14","v":1223.2505054179956},{"$f":"UIC!AF14","v":1374.7399979807019},{"$f":"UIC!AG14","v":1536.8757110600634},{"$f":"UIC!AH14","v":1723.4552489756611},{"$f":"UIC!AI14","v":1916.3320508039246},{"$f":"UIC!AJ14","v":2103.647742794667},{"$f":"UIC!AK14","v":2294.6862429411758},{"$f":"UIC!AL14","v":2497.0959965323732},{"$f":"UIC!AM14","v":2704.7554585946127},{"$f":"UIC!AN14","v":2917.8701450456833},{"$f":"UIC!AO14","v":3133.2841971282555},{"$f":"UIC!AP14","v":3350.8480275972906},{"$f":"UIC!AQ14","v":3562.3042967833585},{"$f":"UIC!AR14","v":3766.5884209453361},{"$f":"UIC!AS14","v":3961.8464842654621},{"$f":"UIC!AT14","v":4161.5219135043353},{"$f":"UIC!AU14","v":4358.7412078875568},{"$f":"UIC!AV14","v":4548.6497832379737},{"$f":"UIC!AW14","v":4728.2444467358546},{"$f":"UIC!AX14","v":4913.0093781083133},{"$f":"UIC!AY14","v":5088.5848380524385},{"$f":"UIC!AZ14","v":5266.2559323859705},{"$f":"UIC!BA14","v":5453.6695405113524},{"$f":"UIC!BB14","v":5643.4891739785271},{"$f":"UIC!BC14","v":5838.0171030767397},{"$f":"UIC!BD14","v":6024.8464181534437},{"$f":"UIC!BE14","v":6201.5693947112613}]
[]
["Ratio of cumulative investment to cumulative production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F202/F209","v":2.0455234130868885},{"$f":"G202/G209","v":1.8636887341873964},1.7153650613334337,1.6677450966551608,1.6402235920705606,1.624255662420538,1.6119624264414916,1.5697918365413561,1.4942894132542486,1.4021197353953909,1.3145990175890232,1.2512225351026656,1.2020122513650588,1.1674956353972348,1.1182014467545378,1.063818389519281,1.0022513385322531,0.9622054104819141,0.94927661317062062,0.92709901724222987,0.88913798698226909,0.85596210195991862,0.82584690367329694,0.80300955633868509,0.78287699262519717,0.76991797611981438,0.76135068426585584,0.76066172416548206,0.76092869579098443,0.76712991400659891,0.76955906139355401,0.77647399185810106,0.7867090788822001,0.80424814470898776,0.82105492988344331,0.8319369985966516,0.83576816037825319,0.83449087157823565,0.83345111760942936,0.83902136790749204]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"O&G Production (\",B227,\")\")","v":"O&G Production (Mtoe/yr)"},"Mtoe/yr","line 83",null,null,{"$f":"F83","v":46.46002831339203},45.585656293823128,45.679038819175148,51.548637020093409,58.111274505791144,61.557687683628487,65.299031601909277,74.13927521130023,81.156029034707529,99.433901783092665,103.88724364110698,115.2003250941477,128.94717620721514,135.29597426088196,151.48961969395555,162.13584481430448,186.57971504534336,192.87700522950038,187.31590131166368,191.03872972114232,202.40998944222912,207.65971799796222,213.11499712670752,215.41439764638091,217.56420548787713,211.45667576665329,204.28454412605731,195.26329166494136,199.65650588907511,197.24671303852969,189.93216138087854,179.59830149009485,184.76808316065805,175.57441264038977,177.67095975867829,187.4140266080646,189.79448742287624,194.63447520226137,187.43518608484678,176.72297655781881,191.71565363999989]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Net change in \",LEFT(A227,SEARCH(\" (\",A227)),\" (\",B228,\")\")","v":"Net change in O&G Production  ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr","calculated",null,null,null,{"$f":"G227-F227","v":-0.8743720195689022},{"$f":"H227-G227","v":9.3382525352019741E-2},{"$f":"I227-H227","v":5.8695982009182615},6.562637485697735,3.4464131778373428,3.7413439182807906,8.8402436093909529,7.0167538234072993,18.277872748385136,4.453341858014312,11.313081453040724,13.746851113067436,6.348798053666826,16.193645433073584,10.64622512034893,24.443870231038886,6.2972901841570206,-5.5611039178367037,3.7228284094786375,11.371259721086801,5.2497285557330997,5.4552791287453033,2.2994005196733838,2.1498078414962265,-6.1075297212238411,-7.1721316405959783,-9.0212524611159495,4.3932142241337431,-2.4097928505454149,-7.3145516576511511,-10.333859890783685,5.1697816705631965,-9.1936705202682845,2.0965471182885267,9.7430668493863095,2.3804608148116415,4.839987779385126,-7.1992891174145939,-10.712209527027966,14.992677082181075]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Pct change in \",LEFT(A227,SEARCH(\" (\",A227)),\" (\",B229,\")\")","v":"Pct change in O&G Production  (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr","calculated",null,null,null,{"$f":"G228/F227*100","v":-1.8819877027859362},{"$f":"H228/G227*100","v":0.20485067660344974},12.849653479254739,12.730962184586279,5.9307134581842407,6.0777850160798295,13.538092974004339,9.464287050836738,22.521891430356138,4.4786956743676134,10.889769577604106,11.932996805202411,4.9235650135249598,11.969051940783165,7.027692816086538,15.076166691600276,3.3751204854325283,-2.883238419851895,1.9874598917709856,5.9523321463063201,2.5936113974411583,2.6270280925638341,1.0789482442224727,0.99798707281641386,-2.8072309539742548,-3.3917735699725884,-4.4160230034579762,2.2498925357010791,-1.2069693596081685,-3.7083262605356291,-5.4408162449437851,2.878524812133771,-4.9757893046248034,1.1941074367041509,5.4837700334482555,1.2701615017267913,2.5501203144015836,-3.6988766301207407,-5.7151539957811561,8.4837169304218296]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Cumulative O&G production (sold and delivered) (\",B230,\")\")","v":"Cumulative O&G production (sold and delivered) (Mtoe)"},"Mtoe","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"UIC!R14","v":157.41085099760775},{"$f":"UIC!S14","v":202.99638911418526},{"$f":"UIC!T14","v":248.67531445024019},{"$f":"UIC!U14","v":300.22383963292924},{"$f":"UIC!V14","v":358.33499117078463},{"$f":"UIC!W14","v":419.89255482999192},{"$f":"UIC!X14","v":485.19146286193757},{"$f":"UIC!Y14","v":559.33060474079002},{"$f":"UIC!Z14","v":640.48649959674003},{"$f":"UIC!AA14","v":739.92026526788163},{"$f":"UIC!AB14","v":843.80738822939202},{"$f":"UIC!AC14","v":959.00759478685245},{"$f":"UIC!AD14","v":1087.9546486368179},{"$f":"UIC!AE14","v":1223.2505054179956},{"$f":"UIC!AF14","v":1374.7399979807019},{"$f":"UIC!AG14","v":1536.8757110600634},{"$f":"UIC!AH14","v":1723.4552489756611},{"$f":"UIC!AI14","v":1916.3320508039246},{"$f":"UIC!AJ14","v":2103.647742794667},{"$f":"UIC!AK14","v":2294.6862429411758},{"$f":"UIC!AL14","v":2497.0959965323732},{"$f":"UIC!AM14","v":2704.7554585946127},{"$f":"UIC!AN14","v":2917.8701450456833},{"$f":"UIC!AO14","v":3133.2841971282555},{"$f":"UIC!AP14","v":3350.8480275972906},{"$f":"UIC!AQ14","v":3562.3042967833585},{"$f":"UIC!AR14","v":3766.5884209453361},{"$f":"UIC!AS14","v":3961.8464842654621},{"$f":"UIC!AT14","v":4161.5219135043353},{"$f":"UIC!AU14","v":4358.7412078875568},{"$f":"UIC!AV14","v":4548.6497832379737},{"$f":"UIC!AW14","v":4728.2444467358546},{"$f":"UIC!AX14","v":4913.0093781083133},{"$f":"UIC!AY14","v":5088.5848380524385},{"$f":"UIC!AZ14","v":5266.2559323859705},{"$f":"UIC!BA14","v":5453.6695405113524},{"$f":"UIC!BB14","v":5643.4891739785271},{"$f":"UIC!BC14","v":5838.0171030767397},{"$f":"UIC!BD14","v":6024.8464181534437},{"$f":"UIC!BE14","v":6201.5693947112613},{"$f":"AS230+AT227","v":6393.2850483512611}]
["Note: the net change in OG production gives me the sum of natural decline rate, greenfield development rate and brownfield development rate. If I assume a linearly rising decline rate from 2% in 1980 to 15% in 2020"]
["I get an estimate of the natural decline rate in Mtoe/yr. The sum of the development rates (green and brown) must then be net change + decline"]
["I then split the invetment in field development into green and brown and averages for the years I have data"]
["Assumed natural decline rate from",2,"%/yr in 1980 to",10,"%/yr in 2020"]
["Number of years from 1980",null,null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"G235+1","v":2},{"$f":"H235+1","v":3},4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Natural decline rate (\",B236,\")\")","v":"Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr",null,null,null,{"$f":"B234","v":2},{"$f":"$F236+(($D$234-$F236)/40*G235)","v":2.2000000000000002},2.4,2.6,2.8,3,3.2,3.4000000000000004,3.6,3.8,4,4.2,4.4000000000000004,4.5999999999999996,4.8000000000000007,5,5.2,5.4,5.6,5.8000000000000007,6,6.2,6.4,6.6000000000000005,6.8000000000000007,7,7.2,7.4,7.6000000000000005,7.8000000000000007,8,8.1999999999999993,8.4,8.6000000000000014,8.8000000000000007,9,9.1999999999999993,9.4,9.6000000000000014,9.8000000000000007]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Natural decline rate (\",B237,\")\")","v":"Natural decline rate ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F227*F236/100","v":0.92920056626784064},{"$f":"G227*G236/100","v":1.0028844384641089},1.0962969316602034,1.3402645625224288,1.6271156861621521,1.8467306305088544,2.089569011261097,2.5207353571842082,2.9216170452494712,3.7784882677575213,4.155489745644279,4.8384136539542038,5.6736757531174673,6.2236148160005698,7.2715017453098678,8.1067922407152242,9.7021451823578548,10.415358282393022,10.489690473453166,11.080246323826257,12.144599366533749,12.874902515873657,13.639359816109282,14.217350244661141,14.794365973175648,14.80196730366573,14.708487177076126,14.449483583205661,15.17389444756971,15.385243617005317,15.194572910470283,14.727060722187778,15.520518985495277,15.099399487073521,15.635044458763691,16.867262394725813,17.461092842904613,18.29564066901257,17.993777864145294]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Development (brown and green) must have been (\",B238,\")\")","v":"Development (brown and green) must have been ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr",null,null,"avg.",null,{"$f":"G228+G237","v":5.4828546698938441E-2},{"$f":"H228+H237","v":1.0962669638161286},6.9658951325784653,7.902902048220164,5.0735288639994947,5.5880745487896455,10.929812620652051,9.537489180591507,21.199489793634605,8.2318301257718325,15.468571198685002,18.585264767021641,12.022473806784294,22.417260249074154,17.9177268656588,32.550662471754109,15.999435366514875,4.8542543645563185,14.212518882931803,22.45150604491306,17.394327922266847,18.33018164461896,15.938760335782666,16.367158086157367,8.6868362519518065,7.6298356630697519,5.6872347159601766,18.842697807339405,12.764101597024295,8.0706919593541659,4.8607130196865977,19.896842392750976,6.326848465226993,17.195946605362046,25.37811130815,19.247723209537455,22.301080622289739,11.096351551597976,7.2815683371173279]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green dev as frac of green and brown dev. (\",B239,\")\")","v":"Green dev as frac of green and brown dev. (fraction)"},"fraction",null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(AB239:AR239)","v":0.39020414331269648},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB158/(AB158+AB159)","v":0.39868479714667854},0.36023710830952937,0.30507984520261555,0.36202771131267036,0.35332924464188037,0.400729499120693,0.37913384554045754,0.36526210683974042,0.32782140041258495,0.33167238998831733,0.3686599341881312,0.37562158019498459,0.44674734320289938,0.42320806964841218,0.44956317122222494,0.46018586323534538,0.52550652610867521,0.54279564181232387]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green dev. (\",B240,\")\")","v":"Green dev. ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr",null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(AB240:AR240)","v":5.5945797649692022},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB238*AB239","v":7.3079647506466809},{"$f":"AC238*AC239","v":5.7417329334009706},4.9932900553316273,3.1448754468420481,2.6958440715741161,2.2790427191085385,7.1439044800533358,4.6622426412455891,2.645745540414072,1.6121643042867848,7.3351686070631938,2.3765008181627763,7.6822434598044103,10.740221498044702,8.6530674848872806,10.262642037249437,5.8312051563608609,3.9524035589458957]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Brown dev. (\",B241,\")\")","v":"Brown dev. ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr",null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(AB241:AR241)","v":8.4419564253755262},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB238*(1-AB239)","v":11.022216893972281},{"$f":"AC238*(1-AC239)","v":10.197027402381694},11.37386803082574,5.541960805109758,4.9339915914956363,3.4081919968516381,11.698793327286069,8.101858955778706,5.4249464189400936,3.2485487153998127,12.561673785687784,3.9503476470642167,9.5137031455576349,14.637889810105298,10.594655724650174,12.038438585040302,5.2651463952371156,3.3291647781714322]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Average unit costs"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per find, (\",B259,\")\")","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel","OD https://www.npd.no/fakta/publikasjoner/rapporter/ressursrapporter/ressursrapport-2020/ Figure 4.19",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per find, (\",B260,\")\")","v":"Average cost per find, (GNOK/Mtoe)"},"GNOK/Mtoe","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*Z27/1000","v":1.6138664407499999},{"$f":"AA259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AA27/1000","v":1.6477125324999999},{"$f":"AB259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AB27/1000","v":1.4617694905},{"$f":"AC259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AC27/1000","v":1.2975668619999998},{"$f":"AD259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AD27/1000","v":1.2344211109999998},{"$f":"AE259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AE27/1000","v":1.1808116900000001},{"$f":"AF259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AF27/1000","v":1.1753405780000001},{"$f":"AG259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AG27/1000","v":1.0740132234999999},{"$f":"AH259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AH27/1000","v":1.0332105952500001},{"$f":"AI259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AI27/1000","v":1.1510291669999999},{"$f":"AJ259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AJ27/1000","v":0.93089675468999999},{"$f":"AK259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AK27/1000","v":0.86276425809000001},{"$f":"AL259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AL27/1000","v":0.89607748083000005},{"$f":"AM259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AM27/1000","v":0.90467631849000008},{"$f":"AN259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AN27/1000","v":0.97015613940000001},{"$f":"AO259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AO27/1000","v":1.24245815547},{"$f":"AP259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AP27/1000","v":1.2924715517700001},{"$f":"AQ259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AQ27/1000","v":1.27233981672},{"$f":"AR259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AR27/1000","v":1.25215035792},{"$f":"AS259*ConversionFactors!$C$7*AS27/1000","v":1.3549392704400001}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per find, (\",B261,\")\")","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},"2018-GNOK/Mtoe","calculated",null,"avg.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z260/Z399*$AR399","v":2.8331153211068352},2.8449176096445128,2.5657523287348951,2.214102875856617,1.9901845953440129,1.750538819565401,1.6020359714449033,1.4218808135555758,1.2389398014509274,1.4561399625155811,1.1113291443683104,0.96516390435338795,0.9700041851682828,0.95491254671105241,1.0210611852969651,1.3460799204010503,1.4212168074883778,1.3459013137427542,1.25215035792,1.3283718337647059]
["Using average investment flows (per activity) and average development (per activity) I can estimate the average unit cost per activity"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (\",B263,\")\")","v":"Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr))"},"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)","calculated",null,{"$f":"E158/E240","v":8.3057761739025224},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"$E263","v":8.3057761739025224},{"$f":"$E263","v":8.3057761739025224},8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224,8.3057761739025224]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (\",B264,\")\")","v":"Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr))"},"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)","calculated",null,{"$f":"E159/E241","v":8.4142929539631801},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"$E264","v":8.4142929539631801},8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801,8.4142929539631801]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per installation, (\",B265,\")\")","v":"Average cost per installation, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr))"},"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)","calculated"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (\",B266,\")\")","v":"Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr))"},"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)","exogenous",null,{"$f":"'SC-1'!$B$365","v":0.7},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7]
["Back-calculated rates, deduced from money spent and cost per activity"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Addition to reserves, calculated from OD data (\",B268,\")\")","v":"Addition to reserves, calculated from OD data (Mtoe/yr)"},"Mtoe/yr","line 102",null,null,{"$f":"F123","v":131.87111269047637},484.53125012976216,248.72999726190483,1947.4131079047611,480.21205859523798,699.27572624999993,354.75377086785738,188.00756333333447,86.74385166666616,35.09620326190452,83.663966076192082,255.20441890476104,229.43268559523858,20.749678333333577,262.86067197619013,98.863225773809972,79.33711165476052,627.69101948809657,115.67029185714273,20.849930119047713,167.13728878571237,45.652436928570751,14.649270879761389,194.38959904761941,13.191709619048197,78.166661023811685,2.9122995023790281,81.450049442857562,161.28118568928585,155.67749117499989,573.63267342618929,139.34672399999909,142.50867109523824,154.89943563527413,123.62061138095305,24.393315416666155,69.813394821429029,32.154460435715009,91.714136904762199,86.238924035715172]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Greenfield dev., back-calculated (\",B269,\")\")","v":"Greenfield dev., back-calculated ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF158/$E263","v":3.4981145046297017},{"$f":"AG158/$E263","v":4.9032937251868436},5.0795628999710178,5.5717566758064345,4.3626289563135812,5.0474304624589355,6.7751281676324275,8.0348725466757234,9.2155149713896236,7.7547538202991069,7.3098477172165719,6.722903169856556,7.4602299294668191,9.4065350535732293]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Brownfield dev., IOR and EOR (\",B270,\")\")","v":"Brownfield dev., IOR and EOR ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF159/$E264","v":6.3197551491214705},{"$f":"AG159/$E264","v":7.2380585412975398},8.2109681446939558,9.5575052069692852,8.8299501746008353,10.039521689847053,11.452954103318708,13.18374930283021,11.265325214408406,10.432679026238478,8.8346161048298057,7.7844947803767841,6.6491623605341879,7.8210719790795551]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Shutdown&Removal, back-calculated (\",B271,\")\")","v":"Shutdown&Removal, back-calculated ((Mtoe/yr)/yr)"},"(Mtoe/yr)/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF162/$E266","v":2.4612604159287566},{"$f":"AG162/$E266","v":2.7650494212244441},2.379389603805028,2.2572579458510686,3.1875165538110819,2.2213944712697793,1.5727183632800434,4.228149617481729,12.24625164738535,17.071298143531703,14.305947887287937,7.8837509350035138,6.160000000000001,5.6476513959211099]
["Reserves"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Operating Capacity"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas Direct Employment (in producing O&G, SSB table 07840)"]
[{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$3","v":"Utvinning av råolje og naturgass"},"1000 p",{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$A$1","v":"07840: Oljevirksomhet, etter år, næring (SN2007) og statistikkvariabel"},null,null,{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$20/1000","v":5.0339999999999998},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$21/1000","v":7.8609999999999998},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$22/1000","v":8.3040000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$23/1000","v":9.218},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$24/1000","v":11.215},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$25/1000","v":12.727},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$26/1000","v":13.420999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$27/1000","v":13.557},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$28/1000","v":14.061999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$29/1000","v":14.566000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$30/1000","v":14.648},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$31/1000","v":15.725},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$32/1000","v":16.010999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$33/1000","v":17.065000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$34/1000","v":16.605},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$35/1000","v":16.177},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$36/1000","v":15.944000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$37/1000","v":15.695},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$38/1000","v":15.561},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$39/1000","v":15.707000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$40/1000","v":13.984},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$41/1000","v":14.276},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$42/1000","v":15.832000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$43/1000","v":15.558},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$44/1000","v":15.295},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$45/1000","v":15.63},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$46/1000","v":17.196000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$47/1000","v":17.510999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$48/1000","v":19.957000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$49/1000","v":21.234000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$50/1000","v":21.725000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$51/1000","v":23.654},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$52/1000","v":25.228000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$53/1000","v":26.684000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$54/1000","v":26.899000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$55/1000","v":26.074999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$56/1000","v":24.92},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$57/1000","v":23.527999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$B$58/1000","v":23.504000000000001},23.47,null,null,"2019 data from SSB 07840 update"]
[{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$3","v":"Tjenester tilknyttet utvinning av råolje og naturgass"},"1000 p",{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$A$1","v":"07840: Oljevirksomhet, etter år, næring (SN2007) og statistikkvariabel"},null,null,{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$20/1000","v":3.3860000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$21/1000","v":4.1710000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$22/1000","v":4.577},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$23/1000","v":3.9319999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$24/1000","v":4.093},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$25/1000","v":4.8330000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$26/1000","v":3.8980000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$27/1000","v":3.468},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$28/1000","v":3.44},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$29/1000","v":3.1579999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$30/1000","v":3.65},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$31/1000","v":3.6360000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$32/1000","v":3.6989999999999998},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$33/1000","v":4.173},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$34/1000","v":4.6029999999999998},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$35/1000","v":4.4370000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$36/1000","v":5.5170000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$37/1000","v":7.28},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$38/1000","v":8.6839999999999993},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$39/1000","v":9.0820000000000007},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$40/1000","v":7.7430000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$41/1000","v":9.7859999999999996},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$42/1000","v":12.358000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$43/1000","v":12.569000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$44/1000","v":12.356999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$45/1000","v":11.840999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$46/1000","v":13.468},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$47/1000","v":15.696999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$48/1000","v":17.818999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$49/1000","v":26.523},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$50/1000","v":26.827999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$51/1000","v":30.754000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$52/1000","v":31.420999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$53/1000","v":35.676000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$54/1000","v":36.814},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$55/1000","v":33.281999999999996},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$56/1000","v":29.181999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$57/1000","v":25.484999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$J$58/1000","v":29.86},33.15,null,null,"2020 data from SSB 07840 update"]
[{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$3","v":"Rørtransport"},"1000 p",{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$A$1","v":"07840: Oljevirksomhet, etter år, næring (SN2007) og statistikkvariabel"},null,null,{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$20/1000","v":0},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$21/1000","v":0},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$22/1000","v":0},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$23/1000","v":0.40200000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$24/1000","v":0.40200000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$25/1000","v":0.28100000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$26/1000","v":0.30499999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$27/1000","v":0.26600000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$28/1000","v":0.23100000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$29/1000","v":0.26500000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$30/1000","v":0.32},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$31/1000","v":0.48},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$32/1000","v":0.67800000000000005},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$33/1000","v":0.77900000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$34/1000","v":0.65600000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$35/1000","v":0.52700000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$36/1000","v":0.22800000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$37/1000","v":0.27900000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$38/1000","v":0.27600000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$39/1000","v":0.27200000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$40/1000","v":0.71399999999999997},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$41/1000","v":0.61199999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$42/1000","v":0.53700000000000003},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$43/1000","v":0.57799999999999996},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$44/1000","v":0.58899999999999997},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$45/1000","v":0.58799999999999997},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$46/1000","v":0.628},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$47/1000","v":0.68400000000000005},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$48/1000","v":0.193},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$49/1000","v":0.19900000000000001},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$50/1000","v":0.20499999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$51/1000","v":0.215},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$52/1000","v":0.23499999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$53/1000","v":0.36499999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$54/1000","v":0.35899999999999999},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$55/1000","v":0.39500000000000002},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$56/1000","v":0.437},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$57/1000","v":0.312},{"$f":"[8]Sysselsatte!$R$58/1000","v":0.31},0.32,null,null,"2021 data from SSB 07840 update"]
["Oil and gas direct employment","1000 p","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F303+F304+F305","v":8.42},12.032,12.881,13.552,15.709999999999999,17.841000000000001,17.623999999999999,17.290999999999997,17.733000000000001,17.989000000000001,18.617999999999999,19.841000000000001,20.388000000000002,22.016999999999999,21.863999999999997,21.141000000000002,21.689000000000004,23.254000000000001,24.520999999999997,25.061,22.440999999999999,24.673999999999996,28.727,28.705000000000002,28.241,28.059000000000001,31.292000000000002,33.891999999999996,37.968999999999994,47.956000000000003,48.757999999999996,54.623000000000005,56.884,62.725000000000001,64.072000000000003,59.752000000000002,54.539000000000001,49.324999999999996,53.674000000000007,56.94]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"annual diff \",A306)","v":"annual diff Oil and gas direct employment"},"Mtoe/yr","calculated",null,null,null,{"$f":"(G306-F306)","v":3.6120000000000001},{"$f":"(H306-G306)","v":0.8490000000000002},0.67099999999999937,2.1579999999999995,2.131000000000002,-0.2170000000000023,-0.33300000000000196,0.44200000000000372,0.25600000000000023,0.62899999999999778,1.2230000000000025,0.5470000000000006,1.6289999999999978,-0.15300000000000225,-0.72299999999999542,0.54800000000000182,1.5649999999999977,1.2669999999999959,0.5400000000000027,-2.620000000000001,2.232999999999997,4.0530000000000044,-2.1999999999998465E-2,-0.46400000000000219,-0.18199999999999861,3.2330000000000005,2.5999999999999943,4.0769999999999982,9.987000000000009,0.8019999999999925,5.8650000000000091,2.2609999999999957,5.8410000000000011,1.3470000000000013,-4.32,-5.213000000000001,-5.2140000000000057,4.3490000000000109,3.2659999999999911]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas indirect Employment (people engaged in exploration, field development and maintenance, Shutdown&Removal)"]
["Indirect employment has been examined by both SSB and Menon Economics as reported here: https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/employment/"]
["Menon: https://www.menon.no/wp-content/uploads/2019-04-Bakgrunnsnotat-om-olje-og-gassrelaterte-inntekter-og-velferd-i-kommunene.pdf"]
["SSB: https://www.ssb.no/nasjonalregnskap-og-konjunkturer/artikler-og-publikasjoner/_attachment/405655?_ts=16ecb1da138"]
["Oil and gas indirect employment","1000 p","wild guess of (but informed by https://www.ssb.no/nasjonalregnskap-og-konjunkturer/artikler-og-publikasjoner/ringvirkninger-av-petroleumsnaeringen-i-norsk-okonomi--405658, SSB and Menon above)",165,"pct",{"$f":"F306*$D$319/100","v":13.892999999999999},{"$f":"G306*$D$319/100","v":19.852799999999998},21.253650000000004,22.360799999999998,25.921499999999995,29.437650000000005,29.079599999999996,28.530149999999995,29.259450000000001,{"$f":"O306*$D$319/100","v":29.681850000000001},30.7197,32.737650000000002,33.640200000000007,36.328049999999998,36.075599999999994,34.882650000000005,35.786850000000001,38.369100000000003,40.459649999999996,41.350649999999995,37.027650000000001,40.712099999999992,47.399549999999998,47.363250000000008,46.597650000000002,46.297350000000009,51.631800000000005,55.92179999999999,62.648849999999996,79.127400000000009,80.450699999999998,90.127949999999998,93.85860000000001,103.49625,105.71880000000002,98.590800000000002,89.989350000000002,81.38624999999999,88.562100000000015,93.951000000000008]
["Total oil and gas employment","1000 p","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F319+F306","v":22.312999999999999},{"$f":"G319+G306","v":31.884799999999998},34.134650000000008,35.912799999999997,41.631499999999996,47.278650000000006,46.703599999999994,45.821149999999989,46.992450000000005,47.670850000000002,49.337699999999998,52.578650000000003,54.028200000000012,58.345050000000001,57.939599999999992,56.023650000000004,57.475850000000008,61.623100000000008,64.980649999999997,66.411649999999995,59.468649999999997,65.386099999999985,76.126549999999995,76.068250000000006,74.838650000000001,74.356350000000006,82.9238,89.813799999999986,100.61784999999999,127.08340000000001,129.20869999999999,144.75094999999999,150.74260000000001,166.22125,169.79080000000002,158.34280000000001,144.52834999999999,130.71124999999998,142.23610000000002,150.89100000000002]
[]
["Labor intensities"]
["Fractional split of investment"]
[{"$f":"A179","v":"Fraction of investment spent on exploration (pct)"},null,"row 179",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"K179","v":23.678915129699512},20.429540965343897,14.98700548739137,16.268957100724002,17.348927421092313,16.467086710327173,21.740084994561869,16.195758559435301,10.916083721835417,10.652641151235256,11.583519063469703,13.404773829849711,16.55977869218291,8.932999473690721,7.7690769070464727,12.035926197619304,11.617914606821348,8.3096630465051522,6.6332916145181482,6.0283528014552239,9.3594774488376729,12.788111384897185,18.528867438400408,22.05014460267574,22.38215313841604,22.883453807307653,21.57463409525306,18.341862959817639,18.358138282562876,18.518720663683006,17.504788907011367,14.100750267952842,14.86525190256676,17.00714366859793,15.701553982220812]
[{"$f":"A180","v":"Fraction of investment spent on greenfield dev. (pct)"},null,"row 180",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB180","v":33.203378817413906},26.913449504187923,20.621175904628757,24.237532286906422,23.240803331952289,27.907609681750557,27.575612699955325,26.130965562071847,23.118816029005156,24.530018589793944,29.04393688821348,29.350460044379655,33.077720772841388,30.207460024693994,33.81656714132599,35.99669948992117,41.407215840366739,43.920355583704676]
[{"$f":"A181","v":"Fraction of investment spent on brownfield dev. (pct)"},null,"row 181",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB181","v":50.078900956093939},47.796925644234776,46.97154196545349,42.711851778263473,42.535816306504728,41.734405051348119,45.157573810064974,45.40934774378352,47.40377950596784,49.428560207367852,49.73852411388728,48.787915362975475,40.963504712003775,41.169865199254097,41.40437911499005,42.225389378358472,37.387649271933867,36.994729579949784]
[{"$f":"A182","v":"Fraction of investment spent on Shutdown&Removal (pct)"},null,"row 182",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB182","v":1.7451034994894643},1.3735117614967425,1.7919692118041464,2.5630836479237038,1.37813733400205,1.3263417643429982,1.0886347783150849,0.89220021287082729,1.4235986807528542,0.90985259078888803,0.56820721405265273,1.3016795565747814,3.7045628206527668,5.604418497121574,5.5777063236870319,3.5575952647227291,2.8815246954418181,2.2223981542219908]
[{"$f":"A183","v":"Fraction of investment spent on onshore activities (pct)"},null,"row 183",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB183","v":6.6629536804975409},17.2828214755624,24.586960116658403,21.128054838068746,20.057131642643757,10.502776064157928,4.1280341089888788,5.1853333428577546,5.1703519769664936,3.5569345167962716,2.3074688240289638,2.2018067535072001,3.7354910308190514,5.5134673719189671,5.1005971520440978,3.3550639644308662,1.3164665236596433,1.1609626999027347]
[]
["Employment O&G offshore"]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A306,\" (\",B332,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas direct employment (1000 p)"},{"$f":"B319","v":"1000 p"},"row306",null,null,{"$f":"F306","v":8.42},12.032,12.881,13.552,15.709999999999999,17.841000000000001,17.623999999999999,17.290999999999997,17.733000000000001,17.989000000000001,18.617999999999999,19.841000000000001,20.388000000000002,22.016999999999999,21.863999999999997,21.141000000000002,21.689000000000004,23.254000000000001,24.520999999999997,25.061,22.440999999999999,24.673999999999996,28.727,28.705000000000002,28.241,28.059000000000001,31.292000000000002,33.891999999999996,37.968999999999994,47.956000000000003,48.757999999999996,54.623000000000005,56.884,62.725000000000001,64.072000000000003,59.752000000000002,54.539000000000001,49.324999999999996,53.674000000000007,56.94]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A319,\" (\",B333,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas indirect employment (1000 p)"},{"$f":"B320","v":"1000 p"},"row 319",null,null,{"$f":"F319","v":13.892999999999999},{"$f":"G319","v":19.852799999999998},21.253650000000004,22.360799999999998,25.921499999999995,29.437650000000005,29.079599999999996,28.530149999999995,29.259450000000001,{"$f":"O319","v":29.681850000000001},30.7197,32.737650000000002,33.640200000000007,36.328049999999998,36.075599999999994,34.882650000000005,35.786850000000001,38.369100000000003,40.459649999999996,41.350649999999995,37.027650000000001,40.712099999999992,47.399549999999998,47.363250000000008,46.597650000000002,46.297350000000009,51.631800000000005,55.92179999999999,62.648849999999996,79.127400000000009,80.450699999999998,90.127949999999998,93.85860000000001,103.49625,105.71880000000002,98.590800000000002,89.989350000000002,81.38624999999999,88.562100000000015,93.951000000000008]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A320,\" (\",B334,\")\")","v":"Total oil and gas employment (1000 p)"},{"$f":"B320","v":"1000 p"},"calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F332+F333","v":22.312999999999999},{"$f":"G332+G333","v":31.884799999999998},34.134650000000008,35.912799999999997,41.631499999999996,47.278650000000006,46.703599999999994,45.821149999999989,46.992450000000005,47.670850000000002,49.337699999999998,52.578650000000003,54.028200000000012,58.345050000000001,57.939599999999992,56.023650000000004,57.475850000000008,61.623100000000008,64.980649999999997,66.411649999999995,59.468649999999997,65.386099999999985,76.126549999999995,76.068250000000006,74.838650000000001,74.356350000000006,82.9238,89.813799999999986,100.61784999999999,127.08340000000001,129.20869999999999,144.75094999999999,150.74260000000001,166.22125,169.79080000000002,158.34280000000001,144.52834999999999,130.71124999999998,142.23610000000002,150.89100000000002]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average wage O&G sector (\",B335,\")\")","v":"Average wage O&G sector (NOK/p-yr)"},"NOK/p-yr","05322: Average annual earnings for full-time employees in oil and gas extraction and mining",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,417200,435600,472200,502900,515200,533500,545600,570000,615300,643100]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Average wage O&G sector (\",B336,\")\")","v":"Average wage O&G sector (NOK/p-mo)"},"NOK/p-mo","07593: Average monthly earnings for full-time employees in oil, gas and mining",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52200,56600,56000,58800,60200,63800,65400,66800]
["Average wage O&G sector (NOK/p-mo)","NOK/p-mo","11419: Monthly earnings, by occupation, sector, industry (SIC2007)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,70070,71240,72030,75000,76860]
["Average wage O&G sector (NOK/p-yr)","NOK/p-yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Y335","v":417200},{"$f":"Z335","v":435600},472200,502900,515200,533500,545600,570000,615300,643100,{"$f":"AI336*12","v":679200},{"$f":"AJ336*12","v":672000},705600,722400,765600,784800,801600,{"$f":"AP337*12","v":854880},{"$f":"AQ337*12","v":864360},{"$f":"AR337*12","v":900000},{"$f":"AS337*12","v":922320}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Wage bill, O&G, production (\",B339,\")\")","v":"Wage bill, O&G, production (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Y338*Y332/1000000","v":10.455449199999999},9.7752996000000003,11.651062799999998,{"$f":"AB338*AB332/1000000","v":14.446808300000001},14.788816000000002,15.066573500000001,15.308990400000001,17.83644,20.853747599999998,24.417863899999993,32.5717152,32.765375999999996,38.541988800000006,41.093001600000001,48.022260000000003,50.283705600000005,47.8972032,46.624300320000003,42.634557000000001,{"$f":"AR338*AR332/1000000","v":48.30660000000001},{"$f":"AS338*AS332/1000000","v":52.516900799999995}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Consumer price index (\",B340,\")\")","v":"Consumer price index (2015=100)"},"2015=100","SSB Table 03014: Consumer Price Index, by consumption group, contents and year",null,null,28.7,32.6,36.299999999999997,39.4,41.9,44.2,47.4,51.6,55,57.5,59.9,61.9,63.4,64.8,65.7,67.3,68.2,69.900000000000006,71.5,73.2,75.5,77.7,78.7,80.7,81,82.3,84.2,84.8,88,89.9,92.1,93.3,93.9,95.9,97.9,100,103.6,105.5,108.4,110.8]
["Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr)","2018-NOK/p-yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Y338/(Y399/$AR$399)","v":845100.00862878654},764688.45420728938,815293.97196239315,882708.83645233582,879111.3853532807,860130.6897254053,808845.29518409725,776932.67876232101,814592.63763035589,771151.77677819249,859239.96619330032,802251.35736368783,789346.15629465424,781998.25166514493,808113.3890873068,825979.22713414545,868453.92695362738,940036.02843080019,914333.76858841209,900000,904235.29411764699]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Labor intensity, production (\",B342,\")\")","v":"Labor intensity, production (p/(Mtoe/yr))"},"p/(Mtoe/yr)","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F332/F83*1000","v":181.23105615010891},263.94267359994859,281.98929603117682,262.89734866738564,270.34340811840912,289.82570124616439,269.89680501608984,233.22321334704014,218.50502311314705,180.91415178740152,179.21353332193976,172.23041674391894,158.11125609479774,162.73211468617777,144.32672049854233,130.39066114105097,116.24521987681808,120.56387941284419,130.90719916618812,131.18282369539065,110.86903399303324,118.81938508768525,134.79576936070981,133.25478850824743,129.80535992430799,132.69384803421232,153.17849979238142,173.57077057861127,190.17161414762393,243.12699188367409,256.71271071476741,304.13984735269088,307.86702457988201,357.25592958965433,360.62168002596394,318.8235218111941,287.35818800934425,253.42375726983701,286.36032071215942,322.19919055839819]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Labor intensity, exploration (\",B343,\")\")","v":"Labor intensity, exploration (p/(Mtoe/yr))"},"p/(Mtoe/yr)","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(AH333*AVERAGE(AF324:AH324)/100)/AVERAGE(AF268:AH268)*1000","v":136.10734414075694},{"$f":"(AI333*AVERAGE(AG324:AI324)/100)/AVERAGE(AG268:AI268)*1000","v":125.04628971864027},60.809026848604226,69.35044183244689,68.900031279208847,138.09134560629423,138.6522288462341,176.99880005652423,207.07455467866009,299.30740591956106,210.21460455213648,212.73013480023766]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Labor intensity, greenfield dev. (\",B344,\")\")","v":"Labor intensity, greenfield dev. (p/((Mtoe/yr)/yr))"},"p/((Mtoe/yr)/yr)","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(AF333*AF325/100)/AF269*1000","v":3430.3179838354617},3182.847805107675,3401.0415024242593,3710.9936501615384,4263.3122168526579,4380.1302571744063,4023.5744437122348,3780.5983016182417,3794.6191370709207,3840.4541508549523,4163.056487636436,4357.6953435789337,{"$f":"(AR333*AR325/100)/AR269*1000","v":4915.5455323053711},{"$f":"(AS333*AS325/100)/AS269*1000","v":4386.6963807009588}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Labor intensity, brownfield dev. (\",B345,\")\")","v":"Labor intensity, brownfield dev. (p/((Mtoe/yr)/yr))"},"p/((Mtoe/yr)/yr)","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(AF333*AF326/100)/AF270*1000","v":3475.1358376273356},3224.4324069560453,3445.4768525912186,3759.4785928459328,4319.0133222616587,4437.3576157984353,4076.1433227458301,3829.9926442786523,3844.1966650092891,3890.630523260802,4217.4477300429444,4414.629585156059,{"$f":"(AR333*AR326/100)/AR270*1000","v":4979.7682084573453},{"$f":"(AS333*AS326/100)/AS270*1000","v":4444.0095271631917}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Labor intensity, Shutdown&Removal (\",B346,\")\")","v":"Labor intensity, Shutdown&Removal (p/((Mtoe/yr)/yr))"},"p/((Mtoe/yr)/yr)","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(AF333*AF327/100)/AF271*1000","v":289.10273265365316},268.24626825075336,286.6353489246967,312.7577123105321,359.30640187173003,369.15167418741811,339.1016145424507,318.62390169482899,319.80555944858747,323.66847472309655,350.85697956826561,367.26088888475414,{"$f":"(AR333*AR327/100)/AR271*1000","v":414.27577634770756},{"$f":"(AS333*AS327/100)/AS271*1000","v":369.70505852770742}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, O&G, exploration (\",B347,\")\")","v":"Employees, O&G, exploration (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"K333*K324/100","v":6.9705161596779899},5.9408287945581426,4.2758151460609888,4.760207368407789,5.1494826137374892,5.0586396361523764,7.1171929352221843,5.4482855709111551,3.9656003525102306,3.8430042111550256,4.0406384125934149,4.7971463033275716,6.3538380461823536,3.6142603215571074,3.2125638000636121,4.4566206267127839,4.729897012643713,3.938742890559733,3.1417424906132676,2.8090707391873,4.3331900326594486,6.6027320940273455,10.361676191167398,13.81416201691342,17.710415842447016,18.409898772155657,19.44477543005263,17.215415788003401,18.999984692266981,19.577769260997712,17.258111421733762,12.689173511254021,12.098271076552738,{"$f":"AR$333*AR324/100","v":15.061883582927369},14.751766981836276]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, O&G, greenfield dev. (\",B348,\")\")","v":"Employees, O&G, greenfield dev. (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB$333*AB325/100","v":15.738252144249513},12.747084372292289,9.6089833739232429,11.221335154232072,11.999645094746944,15.60643767100918,17.275804236975958,20.67675364416284,18.599249327046849,22.108402889600189,27.26023254816074,30.376625503681279,34.969369468398646,29.781776498026005,30.431308962792841,29.296363838615967,36.671099899761437,41.263613274446378]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, O&G, brownfield dev. (\",B349,\")\")","v":"Employees, O&G, brownfield dev. (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB$333*AB326/100","v":23.737173698134225},22.638177385193032,21.887634724665141,19.774455509263866,21.96200760374191,23.338630524004788,28.290700679906891,35.931236226614566,38.136672439007668,44.548948029416394,46.683882393957013,50.493662853853515,43.306125619473853,40.589699458866207,37.259531637115302,34.365660962944268,33.111287335859345,34.756918387658622]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, O&G, Shutdown&Removal (\",B350,\")\")","v":"Employees, O&G, Shutdown&Removal (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AB$333*AB327/100","v":0.82717120579225833},0.65053980937710609,0.83501554142425494,1.186639807272005,0.71155711201727045,0.74171418877236261,0.68201716931445011,0.70597483123915117,1.1452951038564365,0.82003148809991355,0.53331133620882321,1.3471895280715274,3.9164193592402579,5.5254410316601366,5.0193416655948564,2.8953933761354018,2.5519387823018791,2.0879652898731025]
[]
["CO2 offset cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Offshore Emissions (\",B353,\")\")","v":"Offshore Emissions (MtCO2e/yr)"},"MtCO2e/yr","08940: Greenhouse gases, by source (activity), energy product, pollutant, contents",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!I5/1000","v":8.1790000000000003},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!J5/1000","v":8.0619999999999994},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!K5/1000","v":8.6509999999999998},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!L5/1000","v":9.1709999999999994},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!M5/1000","v":9.9570000000000007},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!N5/1000","v":10.135},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!O5/1000","v":11.023999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!P5/1000","v":11.523999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!Q5/1000","v":11.186},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!R5/1000","v":11.688000000000001},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!S5/1000","v":13.032},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!T5/1000","v":14.007999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!U5/1000","v":13.72},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!V5/1000","v":13.875999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!W5/1000","v":14.105},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!X5/1000","v":14.073},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!Y5/1000","v":13.682},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!Z5/1000","v":15.138},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AA5/1000","v":14.842000000000001},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AB5/1000","v":13.747},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AC5/1000","v":13.927},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AD5/1000","v":13.622999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AE5/1000","v":13.73},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AF5/1000","v":13.67},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AG5/1000","v":14.367000000000001},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AH5/1000","v":14.888},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AI5/1000","v":14.548999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AJ5/1000","v":14.298999999999999},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AK5/1000","v":14.157},{"$f":"[10]UtslippCO2ekvival!AL5/1000","v":13.919},13.4,13.4,"2020 and 2021 data from https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/environment-and-technology/emissions-to-air/"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Offshore Emissions from production figures (\",B354,\")\")","v":"Offshore Emissions from production figures (MtCO2e/yr)"},"MtCO2e/yr","http://folk.uio.no/roberan/t/export_emissions.shtml",null,null,{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!O$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!O$72)/1","v":115.719762},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!P$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!P$72)/1","v":112.86934299999999},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!Q$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!Q$72)/1","v":113.14558300000002},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!R$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!R$72)/1","v":128.13030000000001},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!S$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!S$72)/1","v":144.828115},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!T$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!T$72)/1","v":153.481008},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!U$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!U$72)/1","v":165.29626200000001},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!V$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!V$72)/1","v":188.27568200000002},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!W$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!W$72)/1","v":207.35029800000001},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!X$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!X$72)/1","v":255.81488199999998},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!Y$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!Y$72)/1","v":269.35722799999996},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!Z$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!Z$72)/1","v":300.23263600000001},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AA$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AA$72)/1","v":335.17620999999997},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AB$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AB$72)/1","v":355.88779600000004},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AC$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AC$72)/1","v":395.072744},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AD$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AD$72)/1","v":422.28934099999998},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AE$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AE$72)/1","v":486.41505100000001},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AF$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AF$72)/1","v":496.97885100000002},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AG$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AG$72)/1","v":484.39228400000002},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AH$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AH$72)/1","v":488.05572000000001},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AI$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AI$72)/1","v":510.80219899999997},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AJ$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AJ$72)/1","v":533.00753800000007},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AK$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AK$72)/1","v":542.68345299999999},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AL$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AL$72)/1","v":548.34823400000005},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AM$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AM$72)/1","v":550.55522499999995},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AN$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AN$72)/1","v":532.31028200000003},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AO$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AO$72)/1","v":512.73449800000003},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AP$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AP$72)/1","v":486.059437},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AQ$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AQ$72)/1","v":497.047347},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AR$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AR$72)/1","v":491.15454199999999},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AS$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AS$72)/1","v":467.86801000000003},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AT$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AT$72)/1","v":442.251439},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AU$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AU$72)/1","v":451.699747},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AV$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AV$72)/1","v":429.98864400000002},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AW$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AW$72)/1","v":433.09927400000004},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AX$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AX$72)/1","v":457.64997700000004},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AY$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AY$72)/1","v":464.98475199999996},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!AZ$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!AZ$72)/1","v":474.52617700000002},{"$f":"([11]extract_emi_RobinA!BA$71+[11]extract_emi_RobinA!BA$72)/1","v":455.003647}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Offshore emission intensity (\",B355,\")\")","v":"Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe)"},"MtCO2e/Mtoe","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"P353/P83","v":7.8729589055760302E-2},6.9982441398592526E-2,6.7089487761236757E-2,6.778472197787784E-2,6.5727275704536514E-2,6.2509311322290873E-2,5.9084665218407592E-2,5.9747920631014716E-2,5.9717300675868869E-2,6.1181311334413076E-2,6.4384174100851538E-2,6.7456510752544996E-2,6.4378388123679423E-2,6.4415378691532535E-2,6.4831436625203243E-2,6.6552639915373676E-2,6.6975208812455653E-2,7.7526092441255093E-2,7.4337672764071605E-2,6.9694444020036439E-2,7.332618077288991E-2,7.5852610447718127E-2,7.4309370780567124E-2,7.7858725508020324E-2,8.0862961620255719E-2,7.943909145677229E-2,7.6656599448980539E-2,7.3465915969617837E-2,{"$f":"AR353/AR83","v":7.5530108811007954E-2},{"$f":"AS353/AS83","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"AT353/AT83","v":6.9895179374148936E-2}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Carbon offset price EU (\",B356,\")\")","v":"Carbon offset price EU (EUR/tCO2)"},"EUR/tCO2","https://ember-climate.org/carbon-price-viewer/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,24.067153846153825,13.777490384615358,14.406721153846124,12.58955434782607,7.3633477088948736,4.4574107142857153,6.0029716117216108,7.6935096153846132,5.3537211538461511,5.8372403846153844,16.032198113207524,24.887798076923062,24.804413461538431,50]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Carbon offset price EU (\",B357,\")\")","v":"Carbon offset price EU (NOK/tCO2)"},"NOK/tCO2","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AH356*AH362","v":197.92107715176905},{"$f":"AI356*AI362","v":120.24818633564401},{"$f":"AJ356*AJ362","v":115.31162662292284},98.115281779695522,55.041429108113171,34.797721712142867,50.151093967591571,68.854025991586511,49.739281751923052,54.443906043865375,153.86890916612242,245.17183920640372,265.97239259918234,517.52605000000005]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Carbon offset price EU (\",B358,\")\")","v":"Carbon offset price EU (2018-NOK/tCO2)"},"2018-NOK/tCO2","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AH357*$AR$399/AH$399","v":237.33041565454894},{"$f":"AI357*$AR$399/AI$399","v":152.12315600978275},137.66206693162891,109.76037492427662,59.58236618451761,36.730021976641495,52.782571145875622,74.596493586527487,54.693894903469875,57.591630558749657,153.86890916612242,240.36454824157227,255.64436043750706,{"$f":"AU357","v":517.52605000000005}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (\",B359,\")\")","v":"Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (NOK/tCO2)"},"NOK/tCO2","From JR",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360,360]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (\",B360,\")\")","v":"Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (2018-NOK/tCO2)"},"2018-NOK/tCO2","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"P359*$AR$399/P$399+P358","v":884.92368514637781},865.77570013079969,871.34971502006567,851.82037129075525,853.15056563347139,827.80761239690946,793.97237950216743,772.45394473783062,777.84344445712077,729.23298922905838,631.97392909693338,621.57100784934676,631.88542677041335,614.28590591455952,580.40683842763997,533.69557600123721,490.69432342883437,476.60222581980844,669.01233081572025,607.55069992849326,567.43957980503319,512.48800568685533,449.28249159904169,416.72064380452866,431.67212487713499,464.6207122782763,450.55409778000001,438.40536174925865,513.86890916612242,593.30572471216055,{"$f":"AT359*$AR$399/AT$399+AT358","v":601.66512168318172}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"O&G Offshore carbon offset cost (\",B361,\")\")","v":"O&G Offshore carbon offset cost (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"MAX(P357,P359)*P353/1000","v":2.9444400000000002},2.9023199999999996,3.11436,3.3015599999999998,3.5845200000000004,3.6486000000000001,3.9686399999999997,4.1486399999999994,4.0269599999999999,4.2076799999999999,4.6915200000000006,5.0428800000000003,4.9391999999999996,4.9953599999999998,5.0777999999999999,5.0662799999999999,4.9255200000000006,{"$f":"MAX(AG357,AG359)*AG353/1000","v":5.4496799999999999},{"$f":"MAX(AH357,AH359)*AH353/1000","v":5.3431199999999999},{"$f":"MAX(AI357,AI359)*AI353/1000","v":4.9489200000000002},5.0137200000000002,4.90428,4.9428000000000001,4.9211999999999998,5.1721199999999996,5.35968,5.2376399999999999,5.1476399999999991,5.0965200000000008,5.01084,4.8239999999999998,6.9348490700000012]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Exchange rate (\",B362,\")\")","v":"Exchange rate (NOK/EUR)"},"NOK/EUR","Source https://fxtop.com/en",null,null,6.671564,6.1335170000000003,6.0754989999999998,6.2951259999999998,6.2171370000000001,6.2996470000000002,7.1864970000000001,7.730073,7.6131460000000004,7.5339879999999999,7.9380730000000002,7.9944439999999997,8.0713980000000003,8.4004689999999993,8.4642119999999998,8.4393080000000005,8.330921,7.9965669999999998,8.4171879999999994,8.3116610000000009,8.1129189999999998,8.0480490000000007,7.5085800000000003,8.0033340000000006,8.3693629999999999,8.0093890000000005,8.0470249999999997,8.0165059999999997,8.2237010000000001,8.7278730000000007,8.004016,7.7933880000000002,7.4750550000000002,7.8067120000000001,8.3543780000000005,8.9496249999999993,9.2905999999999995,9.3269939999999991,9.5974930000000001,9.8510860000000005,10.722785,10.350521000000001]
[]
[]
["Operating costs"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Money spend on direct operations (\",B366,\")\")","v":"Money spend on direct operations (2019-GNOK/yr)"},"2019-GNOK/yr","https://www.npd.no/en/facts/publications/reports2/resource-report/resource-report-2019/ Table 2.21",null,null,22.53,23.15,22.79,23.57,22.58,24.68,25.31,31.37,27.13,29.92,24.62,28.89,28.74,29.08,28.88,25.39,27.73,30.28,31.43,32.799999999999997,37.729999999999997,40.409999999999997,41.14,40.770000000000003,40.03,42.94,46.95,56.46,62.06,65.17,65.17,64.89,71.52,72.91,73.819999999999993,66.569999999999993,58.44,56.68,58.06,62.4,null,null,"2019 data from https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/investments-operating-costs/"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Production cost intensity (\",B367,\")\")","v":"Production cost intensity (2019-MNOK/Mtoe)"},"2019-MNOK/Mtoe","https://www.npd.no/en/facts/publications/reports2/resource-report/resource-report-2019/ Table 2.21",null,null,733.53,479.41,454.08,383.05,325.23,336.67,321.08999999999997,350.36,276.26,249.27,196.04,207.82,184.81,177.98,157.22,128.9,122.57,129.57,137.72999999999999,142.68,154.65,160.59,159.26,155.79,151.44999999999999,166.72,188.47,237.82,258.13,277,285.01,296.77999999999997,318.41000000000003,341.2,341.11,{"$f":"AO366/AO83*1000","v":355.20286930933173},{"$f":"AP366/AP83*1000","v":307.91199888641302},{"$f":"AQ366/AQ83*1000","v":291.21254053835503},{"$f":"AR366/AR83*1000","v":309.76040951946891},{"$f":"AS366/AS83*1000","v":353.09500335166928}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Production cost intensity (\",B368,\")\")","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},"2018-MNOK/Mtoe","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F367*$AR$399/$AS$399","v":719.14705882352939},470.00980392156862,445.1764705882353,375.53921568627453,318.85294117647061,330.06862745098039,314.79411764705878,343.49019607843138,270.84313725490193,244.38235294117646,{"$f":"P367*$AR$399/$AS$399","v":192.19607843137254},203.74509803921569,181.18627450980392,174.49019607843138,154.13725490196077,126.37254901960785,120.16666666666667,127.02941176470588,135.02941176470586,139.88235294117646,151.61764705882354,157.44117647058823,156.13725490196077,152.73529411764707,148.48039215686273,163.45098039215685,184.77450980392157,233.15686274509804,253.06862745098039,271.56862745098039,279.42156862745099,290.96078431372547,312.16666666666669,334.50980392156862,334.42156862745099,348.2381071660115,301.87450871216964,{"$f":"AQ367*$AR$399/$AS$399","v":285.50249072387749},{"$f":"AR367*$AR$399/$AS$399","v":303.68667599947935},{"$f":"AS367*$AR$399/$AS$399","v":346.17157191340129}]
[]
["O&G revenue"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil price (Brent) (\",B371,\")\")","v":"Oil price (Brent) (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel","bp Statistical Review of World Energy June 2020",null,null,{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!F$61","v":36.83},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!G$61","v":35.93},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!H$61","v":32.97},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!I$61","v":29.55},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!J$61","v":28.78},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!K$61","v":27.56},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!L$61","v":14.43},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!M$61","v":18.435039370078702},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!N$61","v":14.9238416988417},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!O$61","v":18.226113281250001},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!P$61","v":23.725820312500002},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!Q$61","v":20.0009143968872},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!R$61","v":19.3208365758755},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!S$61","v":16.971634241245098},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!T$61","v":15.817626459144},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!U$61","v":17.016679687500002},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!V$61","v":20.668488372093002},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!W$61","v":19.0925875486381},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!X$61","v":12.7156614785992},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!Y$61","v":17.970077821011699},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!Z$61","v":28.49544921875},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AA$61","v":24.443891050583701},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AB$61","v":25.023255813953501},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AC$61","v":28.830703124999999},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AD$61","v":38.265000000000001},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AE$61","v":54.521089494163398},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AF$61","v":65.144062500000004},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AG$61","v":72.389078431372496},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AH$61","v":97.255972762645996},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AI$61","v":61.671264822134397},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AJ$61","v":79.495533596838001},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AK$61","v":111.255597609562},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AL$61","v":111.669702380952},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AM$61","v":108.65851778656101},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AN$61","v":98.946007905138302},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AO$61","v":52.3867588932806},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AP$61","v":43.734169960474297},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AQ$61","v":54.192440476190498},{"$f":"'[5]Oil - Spot crude prices'!AR$61","v":71.310059760956193},{"$f":"AS25","v":64.210573122529595}]
[]
["GDP"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employment Mainland Norway (\",B374,\")\")","v":"Employment Mainland Norway (1000 p)"},"1000 p","04526 and 07458: Employment and unemployment, seasonally adjusted, by quarter, age and contents",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2047.25,2024.5,2004.9166666666667,2000.25,2000.5,2030.9166666666667,2076.3333333333335,2131.75,2198.25,2250.75,2263,2273.5,2281.5,2290.5,2275,2279.5,2291,2355,2436.75,2504.75,2495.75,2497.75,2541.5,2583,2602.75,2625,2639.75,2638.75,2645.75,2694.5,2725.5,2720.5]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employment intensity mainland Norway (\",B375,\")\")","v":"Employment intensity mainland Norway (p/2015-MNOK)"},"p/2015-MNOK","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O374/O385","v":1.133804811454145},1.1005041487985481,1.0581158737372247,1.0194131570301375,0.9913280633008914,0.95772515846887796,0.93984340315778425,0.9188525897280585,0.90016071524527197,0.8983627712488913,0.88595382018493574,0.86160936749348727,0.84664925130384261,0.83856138270414315,0.8250903773176802,0.79546740106275138,0.7794285719339723,0.78299937107071826,0.78786031012712188,0.80646080130845654,0.81735057423422941,0.81250700143355226,0.81892342453341116,0.81030677004735185,0.80747187134523157,0.79851339160384205,0.78681147847670896,0.7778561706691911,0.7616766219934612,0.75837320574162681,0.7604631696428571,0.77973631413012323]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A306,\" (\",B376,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas direct employment (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F306","v":8.42},12.032,12.881,13.552,15.709999999999999,17.841000000000001,17.623999999999999,17.290999999999997,17.733000000000001,17.989000000000001,18.617999999999999,19.841000000000001,20.388000000000002,22.016999999999999,21.863999999999997,21.141000000000002,21.689000000000004,23.254000000000001,24.520999999999997,25.061,22.440999999999999,24.673999999999996,28.727,28.705000000000002,28.241,28.059000000000001,31.292000000000002,33.891999999999996,37.968999999999994,47.956000000000003,48.757999999999996,54.623000000000005,56.884,62.725000000000001,64.072000000000003,59.752000000000002,54.539000000000001,49.324999999999996,53.674000000000007,56.94,0]
[{"$f":"A333","v":"Oil and gas indirect employment (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F333","v":13.892999999999999},19.852799999999998,21.253650000000004,22.360799999999998,25.921499999999995,29.437650000000005,29.079599999999996,28.530149999999995,29.259450000000001,29.681850000000001,30.7197,32.737650000000002,33.640200000000007,36.328049999999998,36.075599999999994,34.882650000000005,35.786850000000001,38.369100000000003,40.459649999999996,41.350649999999995,37.027650000000001,40.712099999999992,47.399549999999998,47.363250000000008,46.597650000000002,46.297350000000009,51.631800000000005,55.92179999999999,62.648849999999996,79.127400000000009,80.450699999999998,90.127949999999998,93.85860000000001,103.49625,105.71880000000002,98.590800000000002,89.989350000000002,81.38624999999999,88.562100000000015,93.951000000000008,0]
["Fraction of employees in O&G extration","pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O376/O$374*100","v":0.87869092685309569},0.91963447764880213,0.98961719107194812,1.0192725909261342,1.1005748562859285,1.0765582044232898,1.0181891154278375,1.0174269965990383,1.0578414648015466,1.0894590691991557,1.107423773751657,0.98706839674510649,1.0814814814814813,1.2541803099759878,1.2617582417582418,1.2389120421144988,1.2247490178961153,1.328747346072187,1.390868985328819,1.5158798283261801,1.9215065611539617,1.9520768691822639,2.1492425732834941,2.2022454510259388,2.4099510133512632,2.440838095238095,2.2635476844398141,2.0668498342018,1.8643106869507697,1.9919836704397849,{"$f":"AS376/AS$374*100","v":2.0891579526692352},{"$f":"AT376/AT$374*100","v":0}]
["Fraction of employees in O&G investment","pct","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O377/O$374*100","v":1.4498400293076079},1.5173968881205235,1.6328683652687144,1.6817997750281217,1.8159485128717821,1.7763210372984279,1.6800120404559322,1.6787545443884131,1.7454384169225523,1.7976074641786071,1.8272492266902338,1.6286628546294262,1.7844444444444441,2.0693975114603798,2.0819010989010995,2.0442048694889232,2.0208358795285908,2.1924331210191084,2.2949338257925511,2.5012017167381972,3.1704858259040374,3.2209268341507356,3.5462502459177649,3.6337049941927999,3.9764191720295843,4.0273828571428574,3.7348536793256941,3.4103022264329699,3.0761126334687705,3.2867730562256456,{"$f":"AS377/AS$374*100","v":3.4471106219042382},{"$f":"AT377/AT$374*100","v":0}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employment Mainland (\",B380,\")\")","v":"Employment Mainland (1000 p)"},"1000 p","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O374-O376-O377","v":1999.57915},{"$f":"P374-P376-P377","v":1975.1623},1952.3380166666668,1946.2218,1942.1549499999999,1972.9770666666668,2020.3096833333334,2074.2741500000002,2136.6269000000002,2185.76935,2196.58835,2214.0313500000002,2216.1138999999998,2214.37345,2198.9317500000002,2204.6613499999999,2216.64365,2272.0762,2346.9362000000001,2404.1321499999999,2368.6666,2368.5413000000003,2396.7490499999999,2432.2574,2436.5287499999999,2455.2091999999998,2481.4072000000001,2494.22165,2515.0387500000002,2552.2638999999999,{"$f":"AS374-AS376-AS377","v":2574.6089999999999},{"$f":"AT374-AT376-AT377","v":2720.5}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"GDP per person (\",B381,\")\")","v":"GDP per person (NOK/p-yr)"},"NOK/p-yr","09842: GDP and other main aggregates (NOK per capita), by contents and year",null,null,77902,89034,98261,108917,122337,135436,139636,151634,157759,167649,176792,185391,189691,198377,206900,220945,240719,259092,262482,283665,335626,346565,343978,354965,388296,430427,475535,499065,546765,502924,530036,563827,590617,604552,611359,599467,591684,624484,664706,663693]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Mainland GDP per person (\",B382,\")\")","v":"Mainland GDP per person (2018-KNOK/p-yr)"},"2018-KNOK/p-yr","09842: GDP and other main aggregates (NOK per capita), by contents and year",null,null,{"$f":"F385/F7","v":349.99181966750467},354.3652731588549,353.89556294008196,366.74028803885125,387.84232790523657,408.15408204170939,423.14183848170961,428.55239579350109,425.16383161192022,427.80862918576935,434.57618928999563,445.85284117485861,459.13110775519795,469.39324943207271,490.32458897101452,508.05542478065314,530.90065894828399,555.93510402781681,567.1386194110944,574.60521080461331,589.18578313079809,598.37432315363571,603.76301480453674,605.69443498044882,626.02681592805243,638.10273803190148,648.17312525480759,660.70969396878525,655.63489539749401,636.23733916048195,632.77098281491021,630.74642186103472,639.34310825541661,638.12247335359143,643.4376074433028,649.46291196246273,650.62263410776904,660.58911696881626,670.93195337504449,672.64590823338119]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"RoC in 2018-GDP pp (pct/yr)\")","v":"RoC in 2018-GDP pp (pct/yr)"},"NOK/p-yr","09842: GDP and other main aggregates (NOK per capita), by contents and year",null,null,null,{"$f":"(G382-F382)/F382*100","v":1.2495873462142779},{"$f":"(H382-G382)/G382*100","v":-0.13254973168953377},3.6295241997549508,5.7539464723738902,5.2371163937103029,3.6720829459862228,1.2786628075364264,-0.79070009054707568,0.62206551385660735,1.5819129495135937,2.5948618821676859,2.9781724717397826,2.2351222784813758,4.4592331833205989,3.6161424918232639,4.4966027431936197,4.7154669442539658,2.0152559718044016,1.316537286999089,2.5374939266157654,1.5595318634492221,0.90055529497000986,0.31989706698701337,3.3568710183477117,1.9289784074100917,1.5781764632394737,1.9341389245426253,-0.76808295952306627,-2.9585911874400508,-0.54482126907949358,-0.31995161106616216,1.3629385909185392,-0.19092016259562725,0.83293322389637636,0.93642405253579419,0.17856633903882527,1.5318377103057199,1.5656988800674523,{"$f":"(AS382-AR382)/AR382*100","v":0.25545882107937429}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"GDP (\",B384,\")\")","v":"GDP (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F7*F381/1000","v":317.75446779999999},364.35739955999998,403.56411744300004,449.01153058700004,505.78434296099999,561.49666342,580.77223593199994,633.15095131399994,662.317874351,707.59378721399992,748.38104387199996,787.88023353000005,810.669907094,852.85585195900001,894.80422349999992,960.75944745000004,1051.9316790830001,1138.1170556880002,1159.540220718,1260.9842507849999,1503.1000341219999,1560.7332973399998,1556.179174548,1615.89013118,1777.4082432719999,1982.7030070010001,2206.5865421650001,2336.19013971,2590.1193018149997,2413.6590128480002,2575.0203651639999,2774.2008072350004,2944.7395817900001,3053.7584038000005,3123.467367104,3096.727827534,3085.03150074,3283.734833428,3553,3568,3324,null,"2018 to 2020 data from https://www.ssb.no/en/knr"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"GDP (\",B385,\")\")","v":"GDP (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F384/(F399/$AR$399)","v":1427.5816332417849},{"$f":"G384/(G399/$AR$399)","v":1450.1831819589083},1453.4713724153819,1511.8908715833327,1603.4770919019986,1692.1435602622105,1759.9260337692265,1789.4295282360754,1784.960637454177,1805.6458918835679,1839.6114201025091,1894.7987800101496,1962.1583125602779,2017.9999679811356,2120.5631372506782,2209.2332896704402,2320.0130508756665,2442.0639145544474,2505.3909979718314,2554.309207140861,{"$f":"Z384/(Z399/$AR$399)","v":2638.66676219393},2694.7404683657164,2731.4637273347016,{"$f":"AC384/(AC399/$AR$399)","v":2757.2737030286185},{"$f":"AD384/(AD399/$AR$399)","v":2865.6108307575751},2939.3328426688436,3007.6652510967383,3092.8706125668755,3105.854613065042,3053.4633224406216,3074.127355940414,3103.4647732149583,3187.6816231574339,3223.3320965891626,3287.3587689338506,3354.9968095415138,3392.3366548983963,3473.5869837721148,3553,3584,3489,null,"2019 to 2020 data from https://www.ssb.no/en/knr"]
["Offshore (O&G) share of GDP","pct","Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/",null,null,13.463030862859316,14.29154578056124,14.347121746120076,15.504484529319015,17.127620506785973,16.711000316499586,9.8956373203554477,9.060523725142744,7.2438125297402136,10.604754210559738,12.547675566105672,12.592916982560148,12.351231654927544,12.376081365443067,12.343033046788886,12.257744996044179,15.388480968490677,15.348187218532603,10.697846761200779,13.645137154545864,22.312598231387206,20.507624467335674,17.760626664770481,17.760083536785562,19.831017038507699,22.784319696560832,24.040107980943159,21.205928244431369,24.49903915860212,18.284392589441712,19.022650772010888,21.853536545322186,21.716885629238071,20.263907810045765,18.367626990964762,15.000218567431912,12.207873865289844,14.465090845310193,17.014098548229001,13.313067365591916,10.1]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"'GDP' offshore (\",B387,\")\")","v":"'GDP' offshore (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated; see also EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015",null,null,{"$f":"F384*F386/100","v":42.779382068028362},{"$f":"G384*G386/100","v":52.072304562979838},57.89983525320222,69.616923294719939,86.628822845100927,93.831709201250817,57.471114125149782,57.366792159771947,47.97706516894678,75.038581943235769,93.904425383293514,99.217103730433919,100.12771818196583,105.55013416838851,110.44598101066768,117.7674430938241,161.87630623721188,174.68033647304526,124.04583594690094,172.06303051683582,335.38067162948579,320.06932355515261,276.38717342637722,286.98343716024181,352.47813156711067,451.74539174843272,530.46578742942586,495.41080468038359,634.55434200616855,441.32288967957174,489.83713137330722,606.26098724972394,639.50572705623779,618.81078768755719,573.70683517417069,464.51594256858596,376.6167543147975,474.9952267744556,604.51092141857634,475.01024360431956,335.72399999999999]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"'GDP' offshore (\",B388,\")\")","v":"'GDP' offshore (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F387/(F399/$AR$399)","v":192.19575587585254},{"$f":"G387/(G399/$AR$399)","v":207.25359335165712},208.53130734543717,234.41088628482422,274.63747121422205,282.77411571104534,174.15589740831899,162.13168695053949,129.29920230683646,191.48430874732159,230.82847267149211,238.6104373532406,242.35071862073715,249.74931799196037,261.7418088088744,270.80218301552065,357.01476680050183,374.8125416020427,268.02288973194544,348.53899466556356,588.7551133134848,552.62725562176354,485.12507509554058,489.69411299570328,568.27977210485676,669.70699181967871,723.04597406896107,655.87192279403666,760.90453786405487,558.30722144965375,584.78051120739701,678.21680838573127,692.26517232533956,653.17304446444325,603.80979653254087,503.25685436159443,414.13217991598901,502.45751279350668,604.51092141857634,465.69631725913683,322.68742791234138]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"'GDP' Mainland (\",B389,\")\")","v":"'GDP' Mainland (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F384-F387","v":274.9750857319716},312.28509499702011,345.6642821897978,379.39460729228011,419.15552011589909,467.66495421874919,523.30112180685012,575.78415915422795,614.34080918205325,632.55520527076419,654.47661848870644,688.66312979956615,710.54218891203413,747.30571779061154,784.35824248933227,842.99200435617593,890.05537284578816,963.43671921495491,1035.494384771099,1088.921220268164,{"$f":"Z384-Z387","v":1167.7193624925142},1240.6639737848473,1279.7920011216229,1328.9066940197581,1424.9301117048892,1530.9576152525674,1676.1207547355743,1840.7793350296165,1955.5649598088312,1972.3361231684285,2085.1832337906926,2167.9398199852767,2305.2338547337622,2434.947616112443,2549.7605319298291,2632.2118849654139,2708.4147464252023,2808.7396066535443,2925,3068,2985,null,"2018 to 2020 data from https://www.ssb.no/en/knr"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"'GDP' Mainland (\",B390,\")\")","v":"'GDP' Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F389/(F399/$AR$399)","v":1235.3858773659322},{"$f":"G389/(G399/$AR$399)","v":1242.9295886072512},1244.9400650699447,1277.4799852985084,1328.8396206877767,1409.3694445511651,1585.7701363609074,1627.2978412855357,1655.6614351473406,1614.1615831362465,1608.782947431017,1656.1883426569091,1719.8075939395405,1768.2506499891754,1858.8213284418039,1938.4311066549196,1962.9982840751645,2067.2513729524048,2237.3681082398857,2205.7702124752977,2049.9116488804457,2142.1132127439528,2246.3386522391611,2267.5795900329149,2297.3310586527182,2269.6258508491651,2284.6192770277776,2436.998689772839,2344.9500752009872,2495.1561009909678,2489.346844733017,2425.2479648292274,2495.4164508320941,2570.159052124719,2683.5489724013096,2851.7399551799194,2978.2044749824072,2971.129470978608,2935,3003,2869,null,"2019 to 2020 data from https://www.ssb.no/en/knr"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"'GDPpp' Mainland (\",B391,\")\")","v":"'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr)"},"2018-KNOK/p-yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F390/F7","v":302.87231296818561},303.72099791494622,303.12173567095141,309.87909681708754,321.41416581694324,339.94745209991333,381.26925679487539,389.72330429796324,394.36576070569242,382.44057556905358,380.04697897034168,389.70696302132296,402.42276103651841,411.30075895846232,429.80366291779046,445.77928637247163,449.2031120844357,470.60914344808356,506.46699898290581,496.1995416931565,457.72312650437095,475.66196405232648,496.53091980514012,498.12259735025981,501.87933139573312,492.71537020620502,492.35160604009798,520.6000703617625,495.01064563660191,519.90520626776174,512.40116856740883,492.90602205132149,500.49769665717196,508.8139236380357,525.25338778852881,552.04205565368534,571.19544359686631,565.03430108504449,554.23171493266409,563.60370045336037,534.2644320297951]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual RoC in \",A389,\" (\",B392,\")\")","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDP' Mainland (GNOK/yr) (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr","calculated",null,null,null,{"$f":"(G389-F389)/F389*100","v":13.568505366852019},{"$f":"(H389-G389)/G389*100","v":10.688690471473256},{"$f":"(I389-H389)/H389*100","v":9.7581170055521156},10.48009435542339,11.573134976115055,11.896586880460845,10.02922316813784,6.696372141335277,2.9648683298382843,3.4655336064397448,5.2234885624794298,3.1770336127673682,5.1740106994728734,4.9581481603359716,7.4753803416097986,5.5828961895737379,8.2445821471245555,7.4792318082768805,5.1595485482883854,7.2363492195463754,6.2467587363312829,3.1537973346166583,3.837709007017593,7.225745653720324,7.4408914989394974,9.4818522757770065,9.8237898330910394,6.2357080283807012,0.85761218391010408,5.7214948961631693,3.9687920396395757,6.3329264716129403,5.6269241887245238,4.7152109169680028,3.2336900663051726,2.8950124378300082,3.7041911827115603,4.139237153599062,4.8888888888888893,-2.7053455019556716]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual RoC in \",A391,\" (\",B393,\")\")","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr","calculated",null,null,null,{"$f":"(G391-F391)/F391*100","v":0.28021212584385724},{"$f":"(H391-G391)/G391*100","v":-0.19730682044006451},2.2292565497419399,3.7224417904717546,5.766169713106378,12.155350610722399,2.2173430856073888,1.1912185790613619,-3.0238895778628159,-0.62587412309751278,2.5417868278161291,3.2629127066687018,2.2061371228299556,4.49863112486908,3.7169584238133555,0.76805401610861013,4.7653346087291162,7.6194557700466774,-2.0272707422928948,-7.7542222343645122,3.9191459878713877,4.3873501204561078,0.32055960296376634,0.75417860290962146,-1.8259291858150437,-7.3828459208570688E-2,5.7374575354515898,-4.9153709693851226,5.0290960104796358,-1.4433472890610328,-3.8046647259983102,1.5401870267797264,1.6615914591431473,3.2309383424396918,5.100141853048239,3.4695523188900923,-1.0786399963250028,-1.9118460829078907,1.6909868685221172,-5.2056557471082767]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Ratio of GDP offshore to production offshore (\",B394,\")\")","v":"Ratio of GDP offshore to production offshore (GNOK/Mtoe)"},"GNOK/Mtoe","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F387/F83","v":0.92077821777171132},1.1422958183896028,1.2675361993146192,1.3505094861690252,1.4907403697791526,1.5242890487292577,0.88012199745194053,0.77377060938718434,0.59117068367685544,0.75465792448662639,0.90390717947719834,0.86125715052755747,0.77650182909831933,0.78014245985518693,0.72906632965211993,0.72635044538549831,0.86759863577812857,0.90565661917654061,0.66222800668966442,0.9006709308002353,1.6569373505412317,1.5413163739261819,1.2968921809948983,1.332238886053229,1.62011085774287,2.1363496333733294,2.5967005467730968,2.5371425445929443,3.1782302268612943,2.2374156855702068,2.5790109890394879,3.3756498932322043,3.4611265978236077,3.5244929963399674,3.229041121595833,2.4785548391210832,1.9843397952632171,2.440447542917807,3.2251731067449141,2.6878805057298787]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (\",B395,\")\")","v":"Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK)"},"GNOK/GNOK","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F387/(F52+F20)","v":1.033343367425019},1.0828769638983475,1.0828066138016572,1.0904223309115961,1.1059610469315442,1.0989893324109958,1.0827875374484199,1.0698767653817967,0.98895275841417296,1.0203777800276823,1.0605875918601029,1.0259769787542932,1.0305764708869751,1.0142322321574004,1.0376360485782383,1.0400727995568675,1.0330991527041411,1.0672454786529642,1.0485434515346266,1.0806146603078362,1.0937812364597987,1.0823537568313943,1.0740573327104388,1.1126105877025856,1.1316054755995013,1.1506739611312322,1.1629655175024463,1.1146227592282487,1.1073667033247274,1.0777036790440406,1.1098207187987004,1.1629032199122327,1.1438577927520628,1.1525538786962981,1.1331630123055862,1.111835417070183,1.0799851868950732,1.1145465668674956,1.147582567346553,1.1086817092569881]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employment intensity mainland (\",B396,\")\")","v":"Employment intensity mainland (p/2018-MNOK)"},"p/2018-MNOK","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O380/O390","v":1.2387726054754096},1.2277369692126805,1.1788140070679796,1.1316508933082541,1.0983482177777733,1.0614129698633039,1.0422396114039403,1.0566866852750518,1.0335593087300818,0.97693774303394454,0.99583734406087843,1.0800618413038376,1.0345456471748546,0.98577008760130713,0.96972638123281119,0.95966201375126803,0.97665597577268426,0.99450977361790638,0.96304368559950515,1.0252380958660454,0.94930597691233354,0.95147098726374024,0.98824907174750098,0.9746899757709645,0.94800699123493992,0.91491127057875699,0.87013796454082548,0.83749174072902899,0.84649247855618215,0.86959587734241905,0.85734565434565435,0.94823980481003833]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Labour productivity mainland (\",B397,\")\")","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"},"2018-MNOK/p","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1/O396","v":0.80725065728768297},{"$f":"1/P396","v":0.81450671037565725},0.84831024572507663,0.88366474671054474,0.91045807132390522,0.94214036232173315,0.95947226439893052,0.946354311012922,0.96753035026957901,1.0236066802930903,1.0041800560743654,0.9258729100111639,0.96660790437890087,1.0144353258205661,1.0312187224696332,1.0420335343805607,1.0239019929293394,1.005520535371031,1.0383744942759157,0.97538318565432736,1.0534011418031428,1.0510041960142373,1.0118906544801707,1.0259672561103501,1.0548445414915457,1.093002165518649,1.1492430404731313,1.1940416261651834,1.1813454051070218,1.1499594536442725,1.1663907024328743,1.0545855541260798]
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[]
["Offshore GDP"]
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[]
["CO2e emissions"]
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["Mainland energy use",null,null,null,null,"1 Mtoe =",{"$f":"ConversionFactors!C3","v":4.4000000000000004},"TWh in a modern power plant"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Renewable, gross use (\",B437,\")\")","v":"Renewable, gross use (TWh/y)"},"TWh/y",{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$A$1","v":"08307: Produksjon, import, eksport og forbruk av elektrisk kraft (GWh)"},null,null,{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$26/1000","v":83.637},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$27/1000","v":88.168000000000006},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$28/1000","v":87.093999999999994},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$29/1000","v":92.953000000000003},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$30/1000","v":98.396000000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$31/1000","v":102.748},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$32/1000","v":99.316000000000003},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$33/1000","v":103.946},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$34/1000","v":104.39100000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$35/1000","v":104.345},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$36/1000","v":105.941},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$37/1000","v":108.23399999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$38/1000","v":108.774},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$39/1000","v":112.197},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$40/1000","v":113.08199999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$41/1000","v":116.349},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$42/1000","v":113.688},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$43/1000","v":115.238},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$44/1000","v":120.42100000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$45/1000","v":120.526},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$46/1000","v":123.761},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$47/1000","v":125.206},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$48/1000","v":120.8},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$49/1000","v":115.13},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$50/1000","v":121.964},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$51/1000","v":125.76900000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$52/1000","v":122.255},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$53/1000","v":127.128},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$54/1000","v":128.23099999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$55/1000","v":122.79},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$56/1000","v":131.18},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$57/1000","v":124.557},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$58/1000","v":129.9},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$59/1000","v":128.97},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$60/1000","v":126.383},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$61/1000","v":129.88399999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$62/1000","v":132.57900000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$H$63/1000","v":134.238},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!H$64/1000","v":136.90799999999999},134.9,null,null,"2019 data from SSB 08307 update"]
["Renewable (electricity) use, offshore","TWh/y","estimate",1,"pct",{"$f":"F439*$D$438/100","v":0.84099000000000002},{"$f":"G439*$D$438/100","v":0.93397000000000008},0.93156000000000005,1.06369,1.0666599999999999,1.0329200000000001,0.97284000000000004,1.0428299999999999,1.10019,1.19197,1.21848,1.11009,1.17503,1.20096,1.1321399999999999,1.23011,1.0471200000000001,1.1142000000000001,1.16787,1.22445,1.4281600000000001,1.21608,1.3047300000000002,1.0724500000000001,1.1047199999999999,1.3781100000000002,1.214,1.37164,1.4210800000000001,1.3177300000000001,1.2363,1.2763100000000001,1.47716,1.33975,1.4196799999999998,1.4451099999999999,1.4898899999999999,1.4940199999999999,1.4705699999999999,1.3480000000000001]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Renewable, installed capacity (\",B439,\")\")","v":"Renewable, installed capacity (TWh)"},"TWh",{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$A$1","v":"08307: Produksjon, import, eksport og forbruk av elektrisk kraft (GWh)"},null,null,{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$26/1000","v":84.099000000000004},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$27/1000","v":93.397000000000006},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$28/1000","v":93.156000000000006},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$29/1000","v":106.369},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$30/1000","v":106.666},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$31/1000","v":103.292},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$32/1000","v":97.284000000000006},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$33/1000","v":104.283},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$34/1000","v":110.01900000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$35/1000","v":119.197},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$36/1000","v":121.848},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$37/1000","v":111.009},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$38/1000","v":117.503},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$39/1000","v":120.096},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$40/1000","v":113.214},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$41/1000","v":123.011},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$42/1000","v":104.712},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$43/1000","v":111.42},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$44/1000","v":116.78700000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$45/1000","v":122.44499999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$46/1000","v":142.816},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$47/1000","v":121.608},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$48/1000","v":130.47300000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$49/1000","v":107.245},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$50/1000","v":110.47199999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$51/1000","v":137.81100000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$52/1000","v":121.4},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$53/1000","v":137.16399999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$54/1000","v":142.108},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$55/1000","v":131.773},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$56/1000","v":123.63},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$57/1000","v":127.631},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$58/1000","v":147.71600000000001},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$59/1000","v":133.97499999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$60/1000","v":141.96799999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$61/1000","v":144.511},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$62/1000","v":148.989},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$63/1000","v":149.40199999999999},{"$f":"[13]NorRen!$B$64/1000","v":147.05699999999999},134.80000000000001,154,null,"2019 data from SSB 08307 update, \"produksjon i alt\" GWh/1000, 2020 data from NVE https://energifaktanorge.no/norsk-energiforsyning/kraftforsyningen"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"RoC, Renewable, installed capacity (\",B440,\")\")","v":"RoC, Renewable, installed capacity (TWh)"},"TWh","calculated",null,null,null,{"$f":"(G439-F439)/F439*100","v":11.056017312928812},{"$f":"(H439-G439)/G439*100","v":-0.25803826675374975},{"$f":"(I439-H439)/H439*100","v":14.183734810425516},0.27921668907294145,-3.1631447696548061,-5.8165201564496716,7.1943999013198425,5.5004171341445911,8.3421954389696289,2.2240492629848037,-8.8955091589521356,5.8499761280616882,2.2067521680297553,-5.7304156674660307,8.6535234158319625,-14.875905406833528,6.4061425624570232,4.8169089929994655,4.8447173058645117,16.636857364531021,-14.849876764508178,7.2898164594434656,-17.802917078629299,3.0089980884889638,24.747447316967207,-11.908338231345828,12.985172981878074,3.6044443148348084,-7.2726377121625854,-6.1795663755093999,3.2362695138720414,15.736772414225388,-9.3023098377968623,5.9660384400074609,1.7912487321086488,3.0987260485361037,0.27720167260669076,-1.5695907685305412,-8.334863352305554]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Renewable, net mainland exports (\",B441,\")\")","v":"Renewable, net mainland exports (TWh/y)"},"TWh/y","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F439-F437-F438","v":-0.37898999999999672},4.2950299999999988,5.1304400000000117,12.352309999999997,7.2033399999999963,-0.48892000000000313,-3.0048399999999966,-0.70582999999999663,4.5278100000000006,13.660030000000004,14.688519999999997,1.6649100000000057,7.5539699999999996,6.6980400000000007,-1.0001399999999949,5.4318899999999921,-10.023119999999999,-4.9321999999999981,-4.8018700000000001,0.69454999999999689,17.626840000000009,-4.8140799999999988,8.3682700000000168,-8.9574499999999908,-12.596720000000005,10.663890000000002,-2.0689999999999897,8.6643599999999878,12.45592000000001,7.6652699999999898,-8.7863000000000113,1.797689999999998,16.338840000000001,3.6652499999999955,14.165319999999994,13.18189000000001,14.920109999999998,13.669979999999988,8.6784300000000005,-1.4479999999999944]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas, production (\",B442,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas, production (Mtoe/y)"},"Mtoe/y","line 94 this sheet",null,null,{"$f":"F135","v":46.46002831339203},45.585656293823128,45.679038819175148,51.548637020093409,58.111274505791144,61.557687683628487,65.299031601909277,74.13927521130023,81.156029034707529,99.433901783092665,103.88724364110698,115.2003250941477,128.94717620721514,135.29597426088196,151.48961969395555,162.13584481430448,186.57971504534336,192.87700522950038,187.31590131166368,191.03872972114232,202.40998944222912,207.65971799796222,213.11499712670752,215.41439764638091,217.56420548787713,211.45667576665329,204.28454412605731,195.26329166494136,199.65650588907511,197.24671303852969,189.93216138087854,179.59830149009485,184.76808316065805,175.57441264038977,177.67095975867829,187.4140266080646,189.79448742287624,194.63447520226137,187.43518608484678,176.72297655781881]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas, mainland use (\",B443,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas, mainland use (Mtoe/y)"},"Mtoe/y","lines 28 and 46 this sheet",null,null,{"$f":"F18+F36*$C$82","v":10.098003923849998},9.5960048229500021,9.3120052059000002,9.3280058608000012,9.5810056388000007,10.063005944050001,10.878006548999998,10.88500720945,10.612009079800002,10.9250100566,10.664321594053517,10.22500943562344,10.655248815728905,11.227846716282814,11.616151914501563,11.531062636747656,12.425814690054688,12.996723903635937,13.073351784080712,12.834757560857254,12.516549027243752,13.449023302992625,13.330087226874609,13.914414088892723,13.927943317087577,13.572088645925811,13.74774006511125,13.565885853427048,13.583562216948032,13.491671445562556,13.937082448561625,13.5277142949364,13.418280710660264,13.583209121700159,13.217049423238159,13.567981099572048,13.016928026611096,13.109530248703825,13.394189367428417,12.807293214916875]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas, offshore use (\",B444,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas, offshore use (Mtoe/y)"},"Mtoe/y","estimate",2.5,"pct",{"$f":"F442*$D$444/100","v":1.1615007078348007},{"$f":"G442*$D$444/100","v":1.1396414073455781},1.1419759704793788,1.288715925502335,1.4527818626447786,1.5389421920907123,1.632475790047732,1.8534818802825057,2.0289007258676883,2.4858475445773167,2.5971810910276747,2.8800081273536926,3.2236794051803783,3.3823993565220491,3.7872404923488885,4.0533961203576121,4.6644928761335844,4.8219251307375091,4.6828975327915918,4.7759682430285579,5.0602497360557273,5.1914929499490547,5.327874928167688,5.3853599411595221,5.439105137196929,5.2864168941663321,5.1071136031514328,4.8815822916235341,4.9914126472268778,4.9311678259632421,4.748304034521964,4.489957537252371,4.6192020790164516,4.3893603160097436,4.4417739939669572,4.6853506652016153,4.7448621855719066,4.8658618800565341,4.6858796521211694,4.4180744139454706]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil and gas, net exports (\",B445,\")\")","v":"Oil and gas, net exports (Mtoe/y)"},"Mtoe/y","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F442-F443-F444","v":35.200523681707224},{"$f":"G442-G443-G444","v":34.850010063527549},35.225057642795768,40.931915233791067,47.077487004346366,49.955739547487767,52.788549262861544,61.40078612156772,68.51511922903984,86.023044181915353,90.62574095602578,102.09530753117058,115.06824798630585,120.68572818807711,136.08622728710509,146.55138605719921,169.48940747915509,175.05835619512695,169.55965199479138,173.42800391725652,184.83319067892964,189.01920174502052,194.45703497166522,196.11462361632866,198.19715703359265,192.59817022656114,185.42969045779461,176.81582351989078,181.08153102490022,178.8238737670039,171.24677489779495,161.58062965790609,166.73060037098134,157.60184320267987,160.01213634147317,169.16069484329094,172.03269721069324,176.65908307350099,169.35511706529718,159.49760892895645]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All energy use, mainland (\",B446,\")\")","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},"Mtoe/y","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F437/$G$436+F443","v":29.106413014759088},29.634186641131819,29.106096114990905,30.453687678981819,31.94373291152727,33.414824125868179,33.449824730818179,34.509098118540905,34.33723635252727,34.639782783872725,34.741821594053512,34.823645799259801,35.376612452092537,36.727164898100995,37.316606459956105,37.974017182202203,38.263996508236502,39.187178449090482,40.441760874989804,40.227030288129981,40.644049027243753,41.904932393901717,40.784632681420064,40.080323179801809,41.647034226178484,42.155952282289448,41.532967337838521,42.458613126154319,42.72697130785712,41.398489627380741,43.750718812197988,41.83612338584549,42.941007983387536,42.894572758063795,41.940458514147245,43.08707200866295,43.148518935702,43.618166612340183,44.509643912882957,43.466384124007782]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All energy use pp, mainland (\",B447,\")\")","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},"toe/p-y","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F446/F7","v":7.1358486392799749},7.2413794164541114,7.0868394555892866,7.3871695379301148,7.7264164215119679,8.0598343946452857,8.0423949995078789,8.2646208984557639,8.1788643784473312,8.2071451853733564,8.2071508538989981,8.1941267766616068,8.2778760305848689,8.542856069117807,8.6284861803235753,8.732851129999748,8.7561494331034613,8.9209492011295257,9.1546925999824342,9.0492807817216629,9.0753770801328564,9.3051022361374116,9.0150392769292189,8.8045044913598378,9.0982906505027756,9.1516782941964081,8.9506480917901765,9.0701554636449888,9.0195121324218857,8.6260295619777292,9.0055427561114705,8.5027500095716615,8.612540636516302,8.4918308264871332,8.2090426321706484,8.3408291701197506,8.2755356863707892,8.2950812232012989,8.404993620742534,8.1577805320073189]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Renewable as fraction of total (\",B448,\")\")","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},"percent","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"(F437/$G$436)/F446*100","v":65.306601267804567},67.618463974877969,68.006684341621778,69.369864303041709,70.006618621136212,69.88460598761705,67.479630651165081,68.457572631833727,69.094749004111563,68.461089595266259,69.304080486445059,70.637739958172958,69.880528187490029,69.429040473354476,68.871360457262682,69.634335547327666,67.526092870670283,66.83424421454464,67.673633637041746,68.094195696458158,69.204473159517406,67.905870419803321,67.315907118743539,65.2836779122959,66.557178498120393,67.805047896812155,66.899210563781693,68.049154565836432,68.208459899777324,67.410232675157218,68.144334934501984,67.664990921426366,68.751826422306266,68.333501773492685,68.486158970389383,68.510319993792763,69.832271540980727,69.944793037231975,69.907219672113399,70.535176842917963]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Electricity price, wholesale (\",B449,\")\")","v":"Electricity price, wholesale (ore/kWh)"},"ore/kWh",{"$f":"CONCATENATE([14]KraftPris!$A$1,\" and table 09365\")","v":"08926: Electricity prices in the wholesale market (øre/kWh), by type of contract, contents and year and table 09365"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!C$5","v":12.8},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!D$5","v":12.3},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!E$5","v":10.7},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!F$5","v":19.2},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!G$5","v":18.100000000000001},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!H$5","v":25.5},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!I$5","v":20.399999999999999},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!J$5","v":21.2},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!K$5","v":34.6},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!L$5","v":22},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!M$5","v":31.4},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!N$5","v":33.700000000000003},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!O$5","v":40.6},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!P$5","v":36.700000000000003},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!Q$5","v":23.9},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!R$5","v":28.9},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!S$5","v":24},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!T$5","v":19.399999999999999},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!U$5","v":24.2},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!V$5","v":26.6},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!W$5","v":40},{"$f":"[14]KraftPris!X$5","v":38.700000000000003}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Revenue from mainland electricity exports (\",B450,\")\")","v":"Revenue from mainland electricity exports (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X449*X441/100","v":-0.61463936000000008},8.5429649999999621E-2,1.8860718800000007,-0.92430335999999969,1.5146568700000032,-2.2841497499999979,-2.5697308800000007,2.2607446800000002,-0.71587399999999646,1.9061591999999974,3.9111588800000026,2.583195989999997,-3.5672378000000049,0.65975222999999927,3.9049827599999998,1.0592572499999986,3.3996767999999986,2.5572866600000017,3.6106666199999995,3.636214679999997,{"$f":"AR449*AR441/100","v":3.4713720000000001},{"$f":"AS449*AS441/100","v":-0.56037599999999788}]
[]
["Green offshore el-price"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nordpool SYS spot price (\",B453,\")\")","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (NOK/MWh)"},"NOK/MWh","https://www.nordpoolgroup.com/historical-market-data/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,103.40583333333335,186.80416666666665,200.54250000000002,290.8,242.08500000000004,234.56416666666664,391.36249999999995,223.73999999999998,369.41666666666669,306.56250000000006,425.96083333333337,368.00166666666661,234.14333333333332,296.68,247.65,187.59166666666667,249.44249999999997,274.45249999999999,422.33249999999998,383.70333333333338,104.84888888888888]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nordpool SYS spot price (\",B454,\")\")","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (ore/kWh)"},"ore/kWh","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z453/10","v":10.340583333333335},{"$f":"AA453/10","v":18.680416666666666},20.054250000000003,29.080000000000002,24.208500000000004,23.456416666666662,39.136249999999997,22.373999999999999,36.94166666666667,30.656250000000007,42.59608333333334,36.800166666666662,23.414333333333332,29.667999999999999,24.765000000000001,18.759166666666665,24.944249999999997,27.445249999999998,42.233249999999998,38.370333333333335,10.484888888888888]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nordpool SYS spot price (\",B455,\")\")","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},"2018-ore/kWh","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z454/(Z399/$AR$399)","v":18.152719662002589},{"$f":"AA454/(AA399/$AR$399)","v":32.253348373738149},35.199967555029346,49.620650399987191,39.029941522432011,34.773849455115787,53.344265875810322,29.620828334701091,44.297359488645206,38.782501786827694,50.852329869856298,41.167899814818576,25.346023990270751,31.315449356638215,26.064443883762884,20.323692562430455,27.428988515563571,29.032022377656435,42.233249999999998,37.617973856209154,10.077747874749027]
[]
["Oil fund"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Value of fund at year-end (\",B458,\")\")","v":"Value of fund at year-end (Nominal GNOK)"},"Nominal GNOK","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,172,222,386,614,609,845,1016,1399,1784,2019,2275,2640,3077,3312,3816,5038,6431,7475,7510,8488,8256,10088,10914]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Cumulative change from exchange rate fluctuation (\",B459,\")\")","v":"Cumulative change from exchange rate fluctuation (GNOK)"},"GNOK","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,18.329999999999998,21.24,29.52,14.09,-86.56,-45.74,-94.9,-59.23,-87.05,-240.55,265.61,-152,-160.5,-111.29,-330.86,-39.43,662.83,1330.97,1024.8699999999999,1039.5999999999999,1263.21,1389.86,2062]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual flow to fund from exchange rate (\",B460,\")\")","v":"Annual flow to fund from exchange rate (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X459-W459","v":18.329999999999998},{"$f":"Y459-X459","v":2.91},{"$f":"Z459-Y459","v":8.2800000000000011},-15.43,-100.65,40.82,-49.160000000000004,35.670000000000009,-27.82,-153.5,506.16,-417.61,-8.5,49.209999999999994,-219.57,291.43,702.26,668.14,-306.10000000000014,14.730000000000018,223.61000000000013,126.64999999999986,672.1400000000001]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Cumulative return on portfolio of oil fund (\",B461,\")\")","v":"Cumulative return on portfolio of oil fund (GNOK)"},"GNOK","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.2,35.44,41.33,32.74,3.32,94.9,176.98,303.67,427.83,502.64,-130.5,482.31,746.18,659.94,1107.3599999999999,1798.89,2342.5300000000002,2676.31,3122.98,4150.74,3665.55,5357.68,5169.6899999999996]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual return on portfolio of oil fund (\",B462,\")\")","v":"Annual return on portfolio of oil fund (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X461-W461","v":12.2},{"$f":"Y461-X461","v":23.24},{"$f":"Z461-Y461","v":5.8900000000000006},{"$f":"AA461-Z461","v":-8.5899999999999963},-29.42,91.580000000000013,82.079999999999984,126.69000000000003,124.15999999999997,74.81,-633.14,612.80999999999995,263.86999999999995,-86.239999999999895,447.41999999999985,691.5300000000002,543.6400000000001,333.77999999999975,446.67000000000007,1027.7599999999998,-485.1899999999996,1692.13,1070]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Reported annual rate of return on portfolio of oil fund (\",B463,\")\")","v":"Reported annual rate of return on portfolio of oil fund (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.26,12.44,2.4900000000000002,-2.4700000000000002,-4.74,12.59,8.94,11.09,7.92,4.26,-23.31,25.62,9.6199999999999992,-2.54,13.42,15.95,7.58,2.74,6.92,13.66,-6.12,19.95,10.86]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Reported accumulated annualised return on portfolio of oil fund (\",B464,\")\")","v":"Reported accumulated annualised return on portfolio of oil fund (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.26,10.84,7.98,5.27,3.19,4.7,5.29,6,6.21,6.02,2.94,4.66,5.04,4.4800000000000004,5.05,5.7,5.81,5.64,5.7,6.09,5.47,6.09,6.29]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Calculated rate of return on portfolio of oil fund (\",B465,\")\")","v":"Calculated rate of return on portfolio of oil fund (pct/yr)"},"pct/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Y462/X458*100","v":13.511627906976742},{"$f":"Z462/Y458*100","v":2.6531531531531534},{"$f":"AA462/Z458*100","v":-2.2253886010362685},-4.7915309446254071,15.037766830870281,9.713609467455619,{"$f":"AE462/AD458*100","v":12.469488188976381},8.8749106504646154,4.1933856502242159,-31.359088657751361,26.936703296703296,9.9950757575757549,-2.8027299317517027,13.509057971014487,18.121855345911957,10.790789996030172,5.1901726014616658,5.9755183946488302,13.685219707057254,-5.7161875589066868,20.49576065891473,10.606661379857256]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Cumulative tilførsel fra staten (\",B466,\")\")","v":"Cumulative tilførsel fra staten (GNOK)"},{"$f":"B461","v":"GNOK"},"https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,141.31,165.73,315.60000000000002,566.86,692.24,796.15,934.32,1154.6099999999999,1442.91,1756.56,2140.3200000000002,2309.73,2491.73,2762.93,3039.26,3278.27,3425.38,3467.88,3362.65,3298.11,3327.19,3340.54,3168.76]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual net tilførsel fra staten (\",B467,\")\")","v":"Annual net tilførsel fra staten (GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"B462","v":"GNOK/yr"},"https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X466-W466","v":141.31},{"$f":"Y466-X466","v":24.419999999999987},{"$f":"Z466-Y466","v":149.87000000000003},251.26,125.38,103.90999999999997,138.17000000000007,220.28999999999985,288.30000000000018,313.64999999999986,383.76000000000022,169.40999999999985,182,271.19999999999982,276.33000000000038,239.00999999999976,147.11000000000013,42.5,-105.23000000000002,-64.539999999999964,29.079999999999927,13.349999999999909,-171.77999999999975]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"3 pst. av fondskapitalen (\",B468,\")\")","v":"3 pst. av fondskapitalen (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AQ458*0.03","v":254.64},{"$f":"AR458*0.03","v":247.67999999999998},{"$f":"AS458*0.03","v":302.64},{"$f":"AT458*0.03","v":327.42}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"3 pst. av fondskapitalen, before the 3pct rule (\",B469,\")\")","v":"3 pst. av fondskapitalen, before the 3pct rule (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/market-value/",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X458*0.03","v":5.16},{"$f":"Y458*0.03","v":6.66},11.58,18.419999999999998,18.27,25.349999999999998,30.48,41.97,53.519999999999996,60.57,68.25,79.2,92.31,99.36,114.47999999999999,151.13999999999999,192.93,224.25,225.29999999999998]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskudd (\",B470,\")\")","v":"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskudd (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","Nasjonalbudsjettet 2020, table 3.5 https://www.nbim.no/contentassets/3d447c795db84a18b54df8dd87d3b60e/spu_annual_report_2019_en_web.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,17.2,32.9,39.1,43,45.1,41.6,43.6,53.7,93.9,102.1,95.4,111.3,126.3,151.4,175.8,203.2,218.3,214.1,239,243.6]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskudd (\",B471,\")\")","v":"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskudd (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,{"$f":"F389*F472/100*-1","v":13.693072491531289},18.866990726946035,20.072655237870396,21.011024828246295,17.420003524029873,24.751985833135191,26.698958935329646,24.376845075258419,16.113630986130353,20.890920102084053,30.18057647205795,36.764749490836607,44.56710824842343,43.945664877672215,39.542071366955398,27.286808419402693,23.809452384788052,19.361290377090015,21.787628180825809,20.280702252072672,15.782013585420122,17.853072431503357,33.109140407415204,38.504927180865749,42.641544110312459,45.210135573687623,42.853712036953894,46.321366561160893,57.02499562437373,94.790064742028591,103.0563510407413,94.98184864844481,112.05444587664277,128.07822600267707,153.65623228119901,176.47810464688385,201.38179237373981,215.56396266960729,211.60199128151075,238.22040671470563]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskudd (\",B472,\")\")","v":"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskudd (pct of fastlands BNP)"},"pct of fastlands BNP","https://www.regjeringen.no/no/statsbudsjett/2020/dokumenter-og-pressemeldinger/nasjonalbudsjettet-2020-tallene-bak-figurene/id2669689/ Vedlegg 1 Beregning av strukturell, oljekorrigert budsjettbalanse",null,null,-4.9797502399466227,-6.0415918112025384,-5.8069798564981259,-5.5380399258178459,-4.1559761682759504,-5.2926749395802508,-5.1020259316746133,-4.2336776182008347,-2.6229139828077503,-3.302624012577958,-4.6114063695277361,-5.3385680022592332,-6.2722677054072697,-5.8805471216781733,-5.0413279576765833,-3.2369000273309392,-2.6750529361630289,-2.0096068575076038,-2.104079800069806,-1.8624581718664854,-1.3515245265551803,-1.4389933784439357,-2.5870719912609244,-2.8974891430784875,-2.9925358275496783,-2.9530625226505145,-2.5567198494427399,-2.5163997487192362,-2.9160368894085873,-4.8059792460604829,-4.94231630921918,-4.3812031945190189,-4.8608710845774148,-5.2599992359245302,-6.0263005234025533,-6.7045554218065044,-7.4354119006160611,-7.6747578222973702,-7.2342561121884019,-7.7646807925262591,-12.3,null,"2020 from: https://www.regjeringen.no/no/statsbudsjett/2021/nasjonalbudsjettet-2021-tallene-bak-figurene/id2767861/  Vedl 1"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Inflow of O&G revenue to fund calc (\",B473,\")\")","v":"Inflow of O&G revenue to fund calc (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X467+X471","v":163.09762818082581},{"$f":"Y467+Y471","v":44.700702252072659},165.65201358542015,269.11307243150333,158.48914040741519,142.41492718086573,180.81154411031252,265.50013557368749,331.15371203695406,359.97136656116078,440.78499562437395,264.20006474202842,285.05635104074133,366.18184864844466,388.38444587664316,367.08822600267683,300.76623228119911,218.97810464688385,96.151792373739795,151.02396266960733,240.68199128151068,251.57040671470554,-171.77999999999975]
["State net cashflow from O&G (incl SDØE)","2021-GNOK/yr","https://www.norskpetroleum.no/okonomi/statens-inntekter/ ",null,null,74.026980570700516,95.614036968024507,95.349084326999417,90.582507691618844,109.24868916295452,101.03993970645327,60.246560168494682,18.273158810932078,5.6853912706143568,29.141033320276183,65.329313785357456,72.957660049955265,55.05099686536564,49.481007582357194,44.540046884812263,65.471629167500566,117.2436216665354,142.33023415620383,72.19023712337659,69.781868318063161,244.55238384177608,358.25345723791906,246.46693870132594,246.68925253823014,287.49285816840614,383.08734381324297,482.90559232806061,426.89255674255844,540.70001243035063,356.09179326387607,342.92094317529052,430.19716802509004,481.88748091386822,411.79063112474108,364.24444606080414,249.71671769936532,137.80224679683172,182.02314690277177,265.01062605947999,265.46722571999993,106.825]
["State net cashflow from O&G (incl SDØE)","2018-GNOK/yr","As above, but adjusted for inflation 2018--> 2021, ie *0,966, NorgesBank",null,null,{"$f":"F474*0.966","v":71.510063231296698},{"$f":"G474*0.966","v":92.363159711111678},92.107215459881431,87.502702430103795,105.53423373141406,97.604581756433859,58.198177122765863,17.651871411360386,5.4920879674134682,28.15023818738679,63.108117116655301,70.477099608256779,53.17926297194321,47.798653324557044,43.025685290728646,63.245593775805546,113.25733852987319,137.49100619489289,69.735769061181784,67.409284795249008,236.23760279115569,346.07283969182981,238.08706278548087,238.3018179519303,277.71810099068034,370.06237412359269,466.48680218890655,412.37820981331146,522.31621200771872,343.98467229290429,331.26163110733063,415.57046431223694,465.50330656279669,397.78974966649986,351.8601348947368,241.22634929758689,133.11697040573944,175.83435990807752,256.00026477345767,256.44134004551995,103.19295]
["State net cashflow from O&G (incl SDØE)","GNOK/yr","Using GDP-deflator",null,null,{"$f":"F475/($AR$399/F399)","v":15.916877574843785},{"$f":"G475/($AR$399/G399)","v":23.206172231308628},25.574062085191379,25.987141722400519,33.28863464112289,32.387705321083878,19.2052874985696,6.2457330675616101,2.0378645623883531,11.031472859393629,25.67331233567096,29.305229813148284,21.971126334113382,20.200873067600103,18.155349511092943,27.504474975005675,51.352720728546515,64.077298805122354,32.274973892139506,33.277900046657187,134.57127436624305,200.43763418137948,135.64380340411793,139.65590555910816,172.25592418499625,249.6225576435817,342.24004796819725,311.48859046436712,435.58423394358567,271.90819632891777,277.47888995245472,371.48026538214515,430.02601085732442,376.86274779908342,334.31813391178923,222.65664947274843,121.05816396252703,166.22396826137748,256.00026477345767,261.57016684643037,107.36194518000001]
[]
[]
["Oil fund in 2018 NOK"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Value of fund at year-end (\",B480,\")\")","v":"Value of fund at year-end (2018-GNOK)"},"2018-GNOK","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X458/(X$399/100)","v":371.63631235173551},{"$f":"Y458/(Y399/100)","v":449.69367669125268},677.61649064282301,1060.1238856097191,1068.9395136199494,1441.8655291605633,1638.0370773402283,2074.0003078492523,2431.6629805473349,2672.9441498060924,2727.9898805324024,3339.8019887372097,3673.403908642958,3705.0942030157239,4130.8213293939552,5317.7576465802658,6768.4408890159139,8098.4195408911728,8258.0836766742814,8978.7415287362237,8256,9890.1960784313724,10490.196078431372]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Cumulative change from exchange rate fluctuation (\",B481,\")\")","v":"Cumulative change from exchange rate fluctuation (2018-GNOK)"},"2018-GNOK","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X459/(X$399/100)","v":39.605195380275063},{"$f":"Y459/(Y$399/100)","v":43.024746364514442},51.821862185948532,24.327598612770267,-151.93334039235273,-78.048437045922086,-153.00169157439731,-87.807747129314649,-118.65261348466674,-318.46295950265255,318.49731523877426,-192.29162965456661,-191.60914115605939,-124.4987722987983,-358.15606526291509,-41.619528385204426,697.60934138802963,1441.9737065337692,1126.9590170057484,1099.7054304045921,1263.21,1362.6078431372548,1981.9300269127259]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual flow to fund from exchange rate (\",B482,\")\")","v":"Annual flow to fund from exchange rate (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X460/(X$399/100)","v":39.605195380275063},{"$f":"Y460/(Y$399/100)","v":5.8946333296015556},14.535400369229469,-26.641224030876167,-176.66463390122809,69.653196331756433,-79.257778269729954,52.880336655455928,-37.91976688275048,-203.21789350927941,606.94477271660696,-528.30860171081292,-10.147524609510933,55.050629749518045,-237.68460149240846,307.6129636647255,739.10827223142826,723.86328187973618,-336.5911336125165,15.581628501211679,223.61000000000013,124.16666666666653,646.0399846212996]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Cumulative tilførsel fra staten (\",B489,\")\")","v":"Cumulative tilførsel fra staten (2018-GNOK)"},"2018-GNOK","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X466/(X$399/100)","v":305.32515871176599},335.71050918036622,554.03047784164494,978.7326153041131,1215.0454661876415,1358.5103444274348,1506.3492146658682,1711.6951361299678,1966.7437394963872,2325.5011271834519,2566.4928796048844,2921.9851694871195,2974.6931170890207,3090.8562579523655,3290.0000087981848,3460.3107106102993,3605.1130543332811,3757.1032986576165,3697.6091977854558,3488.7932638242492,3327.19,3275.0392156862745,3045.713187235679]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Annual net tilførsel fra staten (\",B490,\")\")","v":"Annual net tilførsel fra staten (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X467/(X$399/100)","v":305.32515871176599},49.466304436037767,263.09425764932615,433.82203175618571,220.07165224576229,177.30680134328293,222.76336907096405,326.57721788142351,392.96437067925842,415.23968924550792,460.17292156180895,214.31661170907961,217.2764092859988,303.38814850780909,299.12732126609882,252.28210700856454,154.82900624834892,46.044525817775899,-115.71213652415909,-68.271439475098433,29.079999999999927,13.088235294117558,-165.1095732410609]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"3 pst. av fondskapitalen (\",B491,\")\")","v":"3 pst. av fondskapitalen (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AQ468/(AQ$399/100)","v":269.3622458620867},{"$f":"AR468/(AR$399/100)","v":247.67999999999998},{"$f":"AS468/(AS$399/100)","v":296.70588235294116},{"$f":"AT468/(AT$399/100)","v":314.70588235294122}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"3 pst. av fondskapitalen, before the 3pct rule (\",B492,\")\")","v":"3 pst. av fondskapitalen, before the 3pct rule (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X469/(X$399/100)","v":11.149089370552066},13.49081030073758,20.328494719284691,31.803716568291573,32.068185408598474,43.255965874816894,49.141112320206851,62.220009235477562,72.949889416420035,80.188324494182766,81.839696415972071,100.19405966211629,110.20211725928874,111.15282609047172,123.92463988181865,159.53272939740796,203.05322667047741,242.95258622673518,247.74251030022842]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskutt (\",B493,\")\")","v":"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskutt (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X470/(X$399/100)","v":0},0,0,29.697281486135456,57.747307057629442,66.718274781275767,69.32637236774589,66.860195771266106,56.702455151776419,57.721825127065685,64.39255234487473,118.7906843721303,121.88967795659603,106.72282215208337,120.48228877399035,133.31337649128378,159.34410676364629,190.46182679447068,223.44109229030812,{"$f":"AQ470/(AQ$399/100)","v":230.92121533024476},214.1,234.31372549019608,234.14071510957325]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskutt (\",B494,\")\")","v":"Strukturelt oljekorrigert budsjett underskutt (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X471/(X$399/100)","v":47.076010418679395},41.081547574842915,27.705058707330931,30.824867290158135,58.114398100947483,65.702872431867391,68.748455007608911,67.02347040581455,58.411314539964408,61.324628905734798,68.379609231075193,119.91668437043786,123.03139510027295,106.2550413101056,121.29897669828524,135.19034650380536,161.71872576958395,191.19648578083766,221.44176995752198,228.02699148451319,211.60199128151075,233.54941834775062,0]
["O&G exports (2018-GNOK)","2018-GNOK/yr","calculated",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z28 + Z63","v":538.27501669263108},{"$f":"AA28 + AA63","v":510.57914488104842},451.67521353008459,440.13073253856589,502.18895574342616,582.0128154818824,621.72606426178072,588.42502305278094,687.1296884577946,518.05262643706578,526.91439374134154,583.21001848882838,605.20212976805908,566.71801339411093,532.85342883192186,452.63610659906419,383.4609816330975,450.81787314252426,526.76900000000001,430.99225317653202,0]
["SDFI (\"SDØE\") from NP","2021-GNOK/yr","Norsk petroleum: https://www.norskpetroleum.no/okonomi/statens-inntekter/ ",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,148.84375804531425,184.7120800859627,108.72392913492448,95.675473457809176,113.23721959033273,137.07815559136282,170.56726514421487,150.08239960930064,199.9126404179824,121.33716865896906,129.26406331930789,156.69230240277611,181.41802592218866,148.29344750380506,131.89760879518042,106.08112161560722,73.392779724719716,95.731329350429093,125.33354526335999,99.69719087999998,56.387]
["SDØE contribution to State Net CashFlow","2018-GNOK/yr","converted accodring to KPI 2020-->2018",null,"avg.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z496*0.966","v":143.78307027177357},{"$f":"AA496*0.966","v":178.43186936303997},105.02731554433704,92.422507360243657,109.38715412426141,132.41749830125647,164.76797812931156,144.97959802258441,193.11561064377099,117.21170492456412,124.86908516645143,151.36476412108172,175.24981304083425,143.25147028867568,127.41309009614427,102.47436348067657,70.897425214079249,92.476464152514495,121.07220472440575,96.307486390079973,54.469842]
["SDØE as a fraction of Exports","pct/yr","average, calculated",null,{"$f":"ROUND(AVERAGE(Z498:AS498),2)","v":0.24},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Z497/Z495","v":0.26711823103964977},{"$f":"AA497/AA495","v":0.34946956050194711},0.23252840182106102,0.2099887613554576,0.21782070846685148,0.22751646489368157,0.26501700282575769,0.24638584754676543,0.28104681530673331,0.22625443621566749,0.23698173109263884,0.25953731815733749,0.28957236668680914,0.25277380796621113,0.23911470434834009,0.22639458493629688,0.18488823794311152,0.20513042996251932,0.22983927437720472,0.22345526092468526,{"$error":"#DIV/0!"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All O&G sector investment (\",B507,\")\")","v":"All O&G sector investment (Nominal-GNOK/yr)"},"Nominal-GNOK/yr",{"$f":"C126","v":"07840: Oljevirksomhet, etter år, næring (SN2007) og statistikkvariabel"},null,null,{"$f":"F126","v":9.9649999999999999},14.154,13.396000000000001,22.015000000000001,27.459,31.279,33.031999999999996,33.94,29.327999999999999,31.501000000000001,29.213999999999999,37.698999999999998,44.539000000000001,50.886000000000003,46.034999999999997,42.497,41.886000000000003,54.326999999999998,70.828999999999994,64.403000000000006,52.898000000000003,54.966999999999999,53.864999999999995,62.322000000000003,66.518999999999991,80.527999999999992,91.717999999999989,110.22799999999999,127.59099999999999,139.99100000000001,131.28700000000001,152.77199999999999,178.98399999999998,215.41400000000002,219.864,196.809,163.27499999999998,146.64400000000001,149.643,176.83600000000001]

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["Future Inputs to GTM for Norway model",null,null,{"$f":"hist!A2","v":"Last update"},{"$f":"hist!B2","v":"ug+pes"},"on",{"$f":"hist!C2","v":"12/6 &13/7/21"}]
[]
["Population",null,null,{"$f":"RIGHT(CELL(\"filename\",A1),LEN(CELL(\"filename\",A1))-FIND(\"]\",CELL(\"filename\",A1)))","v":"SC-1"},null,null,-0.2,"Future annual RoC, birth rate (pct/yr)"]
["future annual rate of change",null,null,null,null,null,0.7,"Future annual RoC, death rate (pct/yr)"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC-1"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801354,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471808,3.2485285330564553,3.2007432171070804,3.1689940711032158,3.1385759817249954,3.109448458137265,3.0815733532531921,3.0549147448410596,3.0580362901188631,3.0615060791661119,3.0653244170150025,3.0694917169117759,3.0740085018061394,3.078875405920801,3.084093176404044,3.0896626750684297,3.0955848802188393,3.1018608885732712,3.0988103899821757,3.0959885519272099,3.0933925231886374,3.0910194960144701,3.0888667055843446,3.0869314294803996,3.0852109871650688,3.0837027394656871,3.0824040880658714,3.0813124750035725,3.0804253821757452,3.0797403308495488,3.0792548811800118,3.0789666317340934,3.0788732190210744,3.0789723170291881,3.0792616367684515,3.0797389258196159,3.0804019678891601,3.0812485823702831,3.081210403171045,3.0813424325013998,3.0816423761699689,3.0821079739227848,3.0827369990138758,3.0835272577812178,3.0844765892279984,3.0855828646091181,3.0868439870228821,3.0882578910078151]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,4.1145783660573869,3.9679071609619365,3.8421091137346854,3.7326146900171846,3.6357974586250386,3.5487866103214469,3.4728281024778007,3.4059776783272397,3.346671834289245,3.2936521380820345,3.2459046594338394,3.2083309855708442,3.1789660042898977,3.1562376868349187,3.13888849285029,3.1259124946414598,3.1165050768973281,3.1100226967986715,3.1059506924526232,3.1038775300058665,3.1034742017193473,3.1025414393719131,3.1012308618829723,3.0996631941441053,3.0979344545181782,3.0961209047314115,3.0942830096812091,3.0924686051779808,3.0907154320355219,3.0890531632415916,3.087505025593988,3.0860890969103396,3.0848193436981814,3.0837064511945473,3.0827584873024567,3.0819814336461802,3.0813796103227817,3.0809560156119158,3.0807125976534557,3.0806504717005967,3.0807700938345342,3.0808581557018364,3.0809550110617492,3.0810924840833933,3.0812955820512715,3.0815838654437924,3.0819725439112773,3.0824733529746213,3.0830952553015205,3.083845001645793,3.0847275795181974]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A91","v":"Exploration "},{"$f":"F91","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"U90*(1+$E$86/100)","v":27.093082849760762},26.280290364267938,25.491881653339899,24.7271252037397,23.98531144762751,23.265752104198683,22.567779541072721,21.890746154840539,21.234023770195321,20.597003057089463,19.979092965376779,19.379720176415475,18.798328571123012,18.234378713989322,17.687347352569642,17.156726931992551,16.642025124032774,16.142764370311792,15.658481439202438,15.188726996026364,14.733065186145573,14.291073230561206,13.86234103364437,13.446470802635039,13.043076678555988,12.651784378199308,12.272230846853327,11.904063921447728,11.546942003804295,11.200533743690166,10.864517731379459,10.538582199438075,10.222424733454933,9.9157519914512839,9.6182794317077445,9.3297310487565124,9.049839117293816,8.7783439437750008,8.5149936254617504,8.2595438166978976,8.0117575021969607,7.7714047771310515,7.5382626338171201,7.3121147548026064,7.0927513121585282,6.8799687727937719,6.6735697096099589,6.4733626183216604,6.2791617397720101,6.09078688757885,5.9080632809514846]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":35.947075510513436}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A91","v":"Exploration "},{"$f":"B91","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$91=1,U91,U98)","v":27.931013247176043},28,27.4,26.8,26.2,25.6,25,24,23,22,21,20,19,18,17,16,15,14,13,12,11,10,9,8,7,6,5,4.2,3.4,2.5999999999999996,1.7999999999999998,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T101","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B$91=1,$B$92=2),U91/U100,IF(AND($B$91=1,$B$92=1),U94,IF(AND($B$91=2,$B$92=1),U98/U93,IF(AND($B$91=2,$B$92=2),U101,\"oops\"))))","v":41.228435630337565},40.422414228689803,39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,34.647783624591256,33.204125973566626,31.760468322541989,30.316810671517352,28.873153020492715,27.429495369468079,25.985837718443445,24.542180067418808,23.098522416394172,21.654864765369538,20.211207114344901,18.767549463320265,17.323891812295628,15.880234161270995,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,27.568456023582719,26.948165763052113,26.292036509690842,25.598882819889905,24.867486167893048,24.096594096688367,23.284919348168337,22.431138972068833,21.533893413186082,20.591785576359193,19.603379868693949,18.567201218491554,17.481734070333591,16.345421355761907,15.156663438979221,13.913817036982925,12.615194113531185,11.259060746326583,9.8436359667883853,8.3670905717701274,7.1689232018926443,5.9194823009913549,4.617196194773256,3.2604508513860382,1.8475888157854219,1.8845405921011302,{"$f":"BB104*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":1.9222314039431532},1.9606760320220162,1.9998895526624565,2.0398873437157059,2.0806850905900198,2.1222987924018204,2.1647447682498564,2.208039663614854,2.252200456887151,2.2972444660248938,2.343189355345392,2.3900531424522997,2.4378542053013454,2.4866112894073726,2.53634351519552,2.5870703854994304,2.6388117932094186,2.6915880290736074,2.7454197896550792]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3901.770692272783,3729.7627448033481,3562.4156014564551,3401.6262998672414,3249.0201101331991,3105.9229792373631,2971.272935511216,2843.9135284894896,2722.8264315375727,2607.1339369378061,2496.0797535880574,2389.2020445671105,2286.1039020302364,2186.4269415018002,2089.8455496150077,1996.0635047421219,1904.7959801809689,1815.7823218716223,1728.7850969972674,1643.5879896771362,1560.28251104366,1478.759923643644,1398.9258394367685,1320.6923501576189,1243.97682627425,1169.8563470682375,1098.7025867529642,1030.8610482000643,966.60396333338656,906.12663239940844,849.55004181639822,796.92570035383596,748.24197475023595,703.43154016004655,662.37958447808296,624.93240929896808,591.42972867650565,562.1235773429562,537.08905321031568,516.22748341181807,499.29493308607374,485.94056959753721,475.74818237046685,468.27605923817481,463.09144266843833]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,65.475083056008955,63.269606574122349,60.949720999737863,58.511732159748348,55.951843877759359,55.041693884014485,54.072757152968691,53.04304627512748,51.950517859311425,50.793071088352676,50.688739374765788,50.559917164200073,50.405666569461857,50.225021984068398,50.016989348631427,48.543761662362648,46.991598072903663,45.357930435201375,43.640119452761851,41.835452858850637,40.282520848730108,38.650737377061205,36.937569558186055,35.140414731605084,33.256598684137593,32.414098184139441,{"$f":"BB167*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":31.524595024667708},30.586546099543451,29.598365379404356,28.558422812019884,27.465043195788265,26.316505025782568,25.111039311698335,23.846828367040427,22.522004568871509,21.823822427236493,21.088704198108527,20.315451710844549,19.502833642410764,18.649584670555296,17.754404606368642,16.815957505746294,15.832870759256512,14.80373415990484,13.727098948275396]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A191","v":"Brownfield dev. spending"},{"$f":"F191","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"U190*(1+$E$180/100)","v":65.874599636853972},{"$f":"V190*(1+$E$180/100)","v":65.940474236490815},66.006414710727299,66.072421125438012,66.138493546563438,66.204632040109999,66.270836672150097,66.337107508822243,66.403444616331058,66.469848060947385,66.536317909008318,66.602854226917316,66.66945708114423,66.736126538225363,66.80286266476358,66.869665527428339,66.936535192955759,67.00347172814871,67.070475199876853,67.137545675076723,67.204683220751789,67.271887903972541,67.339159791876511,67.406498951668382,67.473905450620038,67.541379356070649,67.608920735426707,67.676529656162131,67.744206185818285,67.811950392004093,67.879762342396091,67.947642104738478,68.015589746843204,68.08360533659004,68.151688941926622,68.219840630868546,68.288060471499406,68.356348531970895,68.424704880502858,68.493129585383357,68.561622714968735,68.630184337683701,68.69881452202138,68.767513336543388,68.836280849879927,68.905117130729792,68.974022247860518,69.042996270108375,69.112039266378474,69.181151305644846,69.250332456950488]
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[]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V202+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)","3 | 3",{"$f":"U192/U196","v":7.8056168577013061},8.0057337133581044,8.2023051610458371,8.395174409142621,8.5842033054272147,8.7692716751831554,8.9502766023874702,9.1271316658470134,9.2997661412008661,9.4681241787512,9.6321639661336942,9.7918568839053961,9.9471866612237498,10.098148537923903,10.244748438479103,10.387002162555433,10.524934596150791,10.658578946640622,10.787976004439972,10.913173433433014,11.034225091815927,11.151190384545455,11.264133648181263,11.373123568553194,11.478232631371341,11.579536605625366,11.677114059385808,11.771045907421977,11.86141498988488,11.948305681166712,12.031803527938004,12.111994915276542,12.188966759736507,12.262806228159079,12.333600480994896,12.401436438892423,12.466400571302014,12.528578705851999,12.588055857268481,12.64491607463359,12.69924230580606,12.751116277862254,12.800618392454119,12.84782763502178,12.892821496842256,12.935675908940988,12.976465186939045,13.015261985955641,13.052137264732156,13.08716025819019,13.120398457681723,13.1519175982341]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,34,33,32,31,30,30,30,30,30,30,30,30,29.999999999999996,30,30,31,32,33,34,35,35,35,35,35,35,34.5,34,33.5,33,32.5,32,31.5,31,30.500000000000004,30,27.5,25.000000000000004,22.5,20,17.5,15,12.5,10,7.5,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U216","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V216*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":51},48.898800000000001,46.693152000000005,44.379718560000001,41.9550705216,39.415684674240005,39.055312700075518,38.664759573074768,38.242962195913954,37.788827019837477,37.301229251839572,38.047253836876372,38.808198913613893,39.58436289188618,40.376050149723902,41.183571152718386,42.00724257577275,42.847387427288204,43.704335175833975,44.578421879350657,45.469990316937661,47.925369794052301,50.460776454124741,53.07842923268246,55.780603811800852,58.569634002390892,59.741026682438701,60.935847216087481,62.15456416040923,63.397655443617417,64.665608552489772,65.016650427488997,{"$f":"BB216*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":65.355867734067203},65.682647072737538,65.996355237861067,66.296338670760449,66.581922898880634,66.852411960657349,67.107087815745544,67.345209740253054,67.566013706614527,63.17422281568458,58.579733883634809,53.776195705176747,48.757084106026909,43.515697564629022,38.045152727932802,32.338379818742879,26.388117932094186,20.186910218052056,13.727098948275396]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G232+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M232+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N232+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D230","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V232+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A234","v":"Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"},{"$f":"E234*(1+$E$230/100)","v":9.6960000000000015},{"$f":"U233*(1+$E$230/100)","v":9.7929600000000008},{"$f":"V233*(1+$E$230/100)","v":9.8908896000000013},9.9897984960000006,10.089696480960001,10.190593445769601,10.292499380227296,10.395424374029568,10.499378617769864,10.604372403947563,10.710416127987038,10.817520289266909,10.925695492159578,11.034952447081174,11.145301971551985,11.256754991267506,11.369322541180182,11.483015766591985,11.597845924257905,11.713824383500484,11.830962627335488,11.949272253608843,12.068764976144932,12.189452625906382,12.311347152165446,12.4344606236871,12.558805229923971,12.68439328222321,12.811237215045443,12.939349587195897,13.068743083067856,13.199430513898534,13.331424819037519,13.464739067227894,13.599386457900174,13.735380322479175,13.872734125703968,14.011461466961007,14.151576081630617,14.293091842446923,14.436022760871392,14.580382988480107,14.726186818364909,14.873448686548558,15.022183173414044,15.172405005148185,15.324129055199668,15.477370345751664,15.632144049209181,15.788465489701274,15.946350144598286,16.105813646044268]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V238+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A234","v":"Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"},{"$f":"B234","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$234=1,U233,U236)","v":4},3,3.6,4.2,4.8,5.4,6,6.8,7.6,8.4,9.1999999999999993,10,9.8000000000000007,9.6,9.4,9.1999999999999993,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9,9.6,10.199999999999999,10.8,11.4,12,12.6,13.2,13.8,14.399999999999999,15,16.5,18,19.5,21,22.5,24,25.5,27,28.5,30]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801354,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471808,3.2485285330564553,3.2007432171070804,3.1689940711032158,3.1385759817249954,3.109448458137265,3.0815733532531921,3.0549147448410596,3.0580362901188631,3.0615060791661119,3.0653244170150025,3.0694917169117759,3.0740085018061394,3.078875405920801,3.084093176404044,3.0896626750684297,3.0955848802188393,3.1018608885732712,3.0988103899821757,3.0959885519272099,3.0933925231886374,3.0910194960144701,3.0888667055843446,3.0869314294803996,3.0852109871650688,3.0837027394656871,3.0824040880658714,3.0813124750035725,3.0804253821757452,3.0797403308495488,3.0792548811800118,3.0789666317340934,3.0788732190210744,3.0789723170291881,3.0792616367684515,3.0797389258196159,3.0804019678891601,3.0812485823702831,3.081210403171045,3.0813424325013998,3.0816423761699689,3.0821079739227848,3.0827369990138758,3.0835272577812178,3.0844765892279984,3.0855828646091181,3.0868439870228821]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},4.0835421119661639,3.9430781576889582,3.8222459111163025,3.7167241279224781,3.6230850089492734,3.5386166505808347,3.4646921346853108,3.3994689040932475,3.3414648149020509,3.2894865225722794,3.2425721670260352,3.2056649916446007,3.1768332091489029,3.1545314507221227,3.1375235039600535,3.1248205035292709,3.1156314840075767,3.10932382248687,3.1053915930031821,3.1034302504463134,3.103116378071705,3.102255180453799,3.101001854748481,3.0994799884365123,3.0977878899521039,3.0960036530785522,3.0941892083589217,3.092393564120151,3.090655399189258,3.0890051369645808,3.0874666045723793,3.0860583600930527,3.0847947542443519,3.083686779631484,3.0827427500520059,3.0819688438458197,3.0813695384824933,3.080947958139685,3.0807061516756713,3.0806453149183692,3.0807659684087518,3.0808548553612103,3.0809523707892481,3.0810903718653924,3.0812938922768707,3.0815825136242716,3.0819714624556607,3.0824724878101284,3.0830945631699262,3.0838444479405176]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,205.21207344300123,199.10761166943507,191.10611226073127,181.47934275453508,170.52662626530406,160.63588144459038,151.90158708914541,144.18561936831111,137.34735936513619,131.26539046409346,125.64525848426752,120.42203434916981,115.55719468970698,111.01796839703849,106.77496373210772,102.81678576935016,99.119261866518912,95.659170780502848,92.415395575254323,89.368840767779631,86.431023413499531,83.587594099539544,80.83207305099387,78.159181534393284,75.564136857037042,72.597417966297826,69.285196203924372,65.700742517702224,61.920988585002746,58.020248234034824,54.0679991135869,50.127383254624633,46.254092241213989,42.495613332988249,38.890832830139487,34.946338273487122,30.749808984574141,26.478181783665114,22.305227449522206,18.376207976768985,14.798021139561163,11.636044878094975,8.915780783316686]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AM284*(1+(AZ$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AM293*(1+(AZ$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,201,201,201,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,97,97]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV GL (2020a)",210,210,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,210,210,210,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,140,140]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Ministry Finance (2021)",214,214,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,217,217,217,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,83,83]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",175,175,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,110,110,110,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,60,60]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
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["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
["Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed",1,{"$f":"IF(B373=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"B366","v":12},{"$f":"E373","v":12},{"$f":"F373","v":12},12,12,12,12,12,12,{"$f":"M373","v":12},{"$f":"N373","v":12},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A374","v":"Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr))"},{"$f":"E374*(1+$E$370/100)","v":0.7034999999999999},{"$f":"U373*(1+$E$370/100)","v":0.70701749999999985},{"$f":"V373*(1+$E$370/100)","v":0.71055258749999983},0.71410535043749979,0.71767587718968717,0.72126425657563553,0.72487057785851361,0.72849493074780614,0.73213740540154504,0.73579809242855265,0.73947708289069536,0.74317446830514877,0.74689034064667448,0.75062479234990775,0.75437791631165718,0.75814980589321534,0.76194055492268131,0.76575025769729466,0.76957900898578102,0.77342690403070979,0.77729403855086321,0.78118050874361744,0.78508641128733547,0.78901184334377206,0.79295690256049078,0.79692168707329314,0.80090629550865955,0.80491082698620275,0.80893538112113372,0.81298005802673934,0.81704495831687296,0.8211301831084572,0.82523583402399936,0.82936201319411929,0.83350882326008979,0.83767636737639017,0.84186474921327203,0.84607407295933834,0.85030444332413491,0.85455596554075552,0.85882874536845921,0.86312288909530144,0.86743850354077789,0.87177569605848171,0.87613457453877397,0.88051524741146769,0.88491782364852489,0.8893424127667674,0.89378912483060113,0.89825807045475403,0.90274936080702772,0.90726310761106277]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2019,2020,{"$f":"V375+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V379+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
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["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"SC-1"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"SC-1"}]
["Production costs"]
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[]
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[]
[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC-1"}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,56.057294941236869,53.953547786225279,51.370008585830597,48.391064372461194,45.105873019417466,42.148912122496249,39.537484685711654,37.228161453507269,35.178139891683756,33.350757948756545,31.666822947803571,30.106984957433376,28.659011862288686,27.312434558502108,26.057904426012296,24.890693290425766,23.803123272787719,22.787958220350259,21.838662949836849,20.949359983151851,20.098201982845037,19.281121542401582,18.495969489428678,17.740926733149681,17.014333510744645,16.215237212749329,15.351312021094497,14.440367359614179,13.500466062205847,12.548545183386507,11.599973854023077,10.668286313032704,9.7650103230178615,8.899581046965702,8.0793350803781916,7.2016658961648199,6.2860326354139113,5.3693941425302461,4.486903172350301,3.6668982138639645,2.9292033154172858,2.2848314987307834,1.7366451492680681,1.280722647810788]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.680055491511027,64.479484010126569,62.619753821210274,60.168206196590042,57.205153343456317,54.524112188075549,52.168871387720081,50.104203794294257,48.292047574981304,46.699112641309917,45.228021047862676,43.860192057115327,42.585784048080662,41.396537830236149,40.284990505635854,39.250115934886161,38.28583012580242,37.386060857918473,36.545214173529097,35.75817924952824,34.99145615270605,34.24027731405279,33.502888593898845,32.777937813835955,32.064202148544815,{"$f":"BE593*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":31.169438192734404},30.098949539851436,28.879139819100338,27.53942985455712,26.109570871667511,24.618610502285865,23.094116982329094,21.561530108831935,20.043640500080382,18.560207802559592,16.874866868647338,15.023952053828729,13.089800090287772,11.157184082844013,9.3005135056159016,7.5780551504228075,6.0292403043471419,4.6743332945186804,3.5161213023591897]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"SC-1"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-0.5},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.954570347727819E-2},6.91979749598918E-2,6.885198508509234E-2,6.8507725159666882E-2,6.8165186533868549E-2,6.7824360601199202E-2,6.7485238798193209E-2,6.7147812604202245E-2,6.6812073541181238E-2,6.6478013173475334E-2,6.6145623107607951E-2,6.5814894992069911E-2,6.5485820517109564E-2,6.5158391414524022E-2,6.4832599457451401E-2,6.4508436460164145E-2,6.4185894277863323E-2,6.3864964806474009E-2,6.3545639982441643E-2,6.3227911782529428E-2,6.2911772223616783E-2,6.2597213362498696E-2,6.2284227295686202E-2,6.197280615920777E-2,6.1662942128411731E-2,6.1354627417769675E-2,6.1047854280680824E-2,6.0742615009277419E-2,6.0438901934231029E-2,6.0136707424559871E-2,5.983602388743707E-2,5.9536843767999885E-2,5.9239159549159884E-2,5.8942963751414085E-2,5.8648248932657014E-2,5.8355007687993732E-2,5.8063232649553764E-2,5.7772916486305996E-2,5.7484051903874463E-2,5.7196631644355088E-2,5.6910648486133315E-2,5.662609524370265E-2,5.6342964767484134E-2,5.606124994364671E-2,5.5780943693928477E-2,5.5502038975458835E-2,5.5224528780581539E-2,5.4948406136678632E-2,5.4673664105995237E-2,5.4400295785465264E-2]
[null,null,null,null,2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A621,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price EU (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F609","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price EU (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E609","v":2},{"$f":"hist!AS358","v":240.36454824157227},{"$f":"hist!AT358","v":255.64436043750706},{"$f":"hist!AU358","v":517.52605000000005},527.87657100000001,538.43410242000004,549.20278446840007,560.18684015776807,571.39057696092345,582.81838850014196,594.47475627014478,606.36425139554774,618.49153642345868,630.86136715192788,643.4785944949665,656.34816638486586,669.47512971256322,682.86463230681454,696.52192495295083,710.45236345200988,724.66141072105006,739.1546389354711,753.93773171418059,769.01648634846424,784.39681607543355,800.08475239694224,816.08644744488106,832.40817639377872,849.05633992165428,866.03746672008742,883.35821605448916,901.02538037557895,919.04588798309055,937.42680574275244,956.17534185760746,975.29884869475961,994.80482566865487,1014.700922182028,1034.9949406256685,1055.6948394381818,1076.8087362269455,1098.3449109514845,1120.3118091705142,1142.7180453539245,1165.5724062610029,1188.883854386223,1212.6615314739474,1236.9147621034265,1261.653057345495,1286.8861184924049,1312.623840862253,1338.876317679498,1365.653844033088]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A622,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F610","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E610","v":1},{"$f":"F616","v":593.30572471216055},{"$f":"X610*(1+$W610/100)","v":599.23878195928216},{"$f":"Y610*(1+$W610/100)","v":605.23116977887503},611.28348147666384,617.39631629143048,623.57027945434481,629.80598224888831,636.10404207137719,642.46508249209091,648.88973331701186,655.378630650182,661.93241695668382,668.5517411262507,675.23725853751318,681.98963112288834,688.80952743411729,695.69762270845843,702.65459893554305,709.68114492489849,716.77795637414749,723.94573593788903,731.18519329726792,738.49704523024059,745.88201568254306,753.34083583936854,760.87424419776221,768.48298663973981,776.16781650613723,783.92949467119865,791.76878961791067,799.6864775140898,807.68334228923072,815.76017571212299,823.91777746924424,832.15695524393664,840.47852479637606,848.88331004433985,857.37214314478331,865.9458645762312,874.60532322199356,883.35137645421355,892.18489021875564,901.10673912094319,910.11780651215258,919.21898457727411,928.41117442304687,937.69528616727735,947.07223902895009,956.54296141923965,966.1083910334321,975.76947494376645,985.52716969320409]
[null,null,null,null,1.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A623,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/EUR): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F611","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/EUR): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E611","v":1.2},{"$f":"F617","v":9.8510860000000005},{"$f":"G617","v":10.722785},{"$f":"Y611*(1+$W611/100)","v":10.85145842},10.981675921040001,11.113456032092481,11.24681750447759,11.381779314531322,11.518360666305698,11.656580994301367,11.796459966232984,11.93801748582778,12.081273695657714,12.226248980005607,12.372963967765674,12.521439535378862,12.671696809803409,12.82375717152105,12.977642257579303,13.133373964670255,13.290974452246299,13.450466145673255,13.611871739421334,13.775214200294389,13.940516770697922,14.107802971946297,14.277096607609653,14.448421766900969,14.621802828103782,14.797264462041028,14.97483163558552,15.154529615212546,15.336383970595097,15.520420578242238,15.706665625181145,15.895145612683319,16.085887360035517,16.278918008355944,16.474265024456216,16.671956204749691,16.872019679206687,17.074483915357167,17.279377722341454,17.486730255009551,17.696571018069665,17.908929870286503,18.123837028729941,18.341323073074701,18.561418949951598,18.784155977351016,19.00956584907923,19.237680639268181,19.4685328069394]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A624,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/USD): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F612","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/USD): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E612","v":0.2},{"$f":"F618","v":8.802308},{"$f":"X612*(1+$W612/100)","v":8.8199126159999999},{"$f":"Y612*(1+$W612/100)","v":8.837552441231999},8.8552275461144632,8.872938001206693,8.8906838772091064,8.9084652449635247,8.9262821754534514,8.9441347398043582,8.9620230092839677,8.9799470553025351,8.9979069494131405,9.015902763311967,9.0339345688385908,9.0520024379762685,9.0701064428522216,9.088246655737926,9.1064231490494016,9.1246359953475,9.1428852673381957,9.1611710378728723,9.1794933799486174,9.1978523667085152,9.2162480714419317,9.2346805675848156,9.253149928719985,9.2716562285774256,9.2901995410345801,9.3087799401166489,9.3273974999968825,9.346052294996877,9.3647443995868702,9.3834738883860442,9.4022408361628163,9.4210453178351425,9.4398874084708133,9.4587671832877547,9.4776847176543306,9.4966400870896397,9.5156333672638187,9.5346646339983465,9.5537339632663425,9.5728414311928756,9.5919871140552608,9.6111710882833705,9.6303934304599377,9.6496542173208582,9.6689535257554997,9.6882914328070111,9.7076680156726258,9.7270833517039712,9.7465375184073793]
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[]
[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44652685492725275,0.44067221822876107,0.4349954588282347,0.42949089176887117,0.42415312360640361,0.42293211954896659,0.42172587486927948,0.42053445478835,0.41935792689040269,0.41819636119432796,0.4170498302275929,0.41591840910271216,0.41480217559639165,0.41370121023145501,0.4126155963616745,0.41026364494010287,0.40792269936419651,0.40559274087302277,0.40327375042607899,0.40096570870560633,0.39866859611892841,0.39638239280081311,0.39410707861585598,0.39184263316088713,0.38958903576739856,{"$f":"BX489/(BX667/(AY1244/100))","v":0.38734626550399193},0.38511430117884815,0.38289312134221565,0.38068270428891676,0.37848302806087558,0.37629407044966051,0.3741158089990464,0.37194822100759289,0.36979128353123841,0.3676449733859109,0.36538283023082369,0.36313176264951613,0.36089175012566882,0.35866277183884221,0.35644480666719364,0.35423783319022095,0.35204182969152947,0.34985677416162181,0.34768264430071316,0.34551941752156612]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2081]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",1.5]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A785","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E779*(1+$E$780/100)","v":24.375},{"$f":"U784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":23.765625},{"$f":"V784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":23.171484374999999},{"$f":"W784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":22.592197265625},22.027392333984373,21.476707525634765,20.939789837493894,20.416295091556545,19.905887714267632,19.408240521410942,18.923034508375668,18.449958645666275,17.988709679524618,17.538991937536501,17.100517139098088,16.673004210620636,16.25617910535512,15.849774627721242,15.453530262028211,15.067192005477505,14.690512205340568,14.323249400207054,13.965168165201877,13.61603896107183,13.275637987045034,12.943747037368908,12.620153361434685,12.304649527398817,11.997033289213848,11.697107456983501,11.404679770558912,11.11956277629494,10.841573706887566,10.570534364215376,10.306271005109991,10.048614229982242,9.7973988742326856,9.5524639023768678,9.3136523048174453,9.080810997197009,8.8537907222670835,8.6324459542104055,8.4166348053551445,8.2062189352212656,8.001063461840733,7.8010368752947148,7.6060109534123468,7.4158606795770377,7.2304641625876114,7.0497025585229212,6.8734599945598482,6.7016234946958519]
["Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B785=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E779","v":25},{"$f":"E785","v":25},{"$f":"F785","v":25},25,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,null,null,null,null,"GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"IF(U783<$E$777,0,IF(U783=$E$777,U784*$E778,T785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V783<$E$777,0,IF(V783=$E$777,V784*$E778,U785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(W783<$E$777,0,IF(W783=$E$777,W784*$E778,V785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(X783<$E$777,0,IF(X783=$E$777,X784*$E778,W785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(AB783<$E$777,0,IF(AB783=$E$777,AB784*$E778,AA785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AC783<$E$777,0,IF(AC783=$E$777,AC784*$E778,AB785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T791,SEARCH(\" (\",T791)), \" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual GO planning and constructing spending  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)*(1+('SC-1'!S1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)*(1+('SC-1'!T1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,W785,W791)*(1+('SC-1'!U1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,X785,X791)*(1+('SC-1'!V1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Y785,Y791)*(1+('SC-1'!W1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Z785,Z791)*(1+('SC-1'!X1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AA785,AA791)*(1+('SC-1'!Y1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)*(1+('SC-1'!Z1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AC785,AC791)*(1+('SC-1'!AA1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AD785,AD791)*(1+('SC-1'!AB1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AE785,AE791)*(1+('SC-1'!AC1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AF785,AF791)*(1+('SC-1'!AD1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AG785,AG791)*(1+('SC-1'!AE1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AH785,AH791)*(1+('SC-1'!AF1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AI785,AI791)*(1+('SC-1'!AG1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AJ785,AJ791)*(1+('SC-1'!AH1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AK785,AK791)*(1+('SC-1'!AI1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AL785,AL791)*(1+('SC-1'!AJ1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AM785,AM791)*(1+('SC-1'!AK1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AN785,AN791)*(1+('SC-1'!AL1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AO785,AO791)*(1+('SC-1'!AM1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AP785,AP791)*(1+('SC-1'!AN1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AQ785,AQ791)*(1+('SC-1'!AO1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AR785,AR791)*(1+('SC-1'!AP1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AS785,AS791)*(1+('SC-1'!AQ1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AT785,AT791)*(1+('SC-1'!AR1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AU785,AU791)*(1+('SC-1'!AS1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AV785,AV791)*(1+('SC-1'!AT1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AW785,AW791)*(1+('SC-1'!AU1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AX785,AX791)*(1+('SC-1'!AV1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AY785,AY791)*(1+('SC-1'!AW1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AZ785,AZ791)*(1+('SC-1'!AX1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BA785,BA791)*(1+('SC-1'!AY1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BB785,BB791)*(1+('SC-1'!AZ1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BC785,BC791)*(1+('SC-1'!BA1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BD785,BD791)*(1+('SC-1'!BB1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BE785,BE791)*(1+('SC-1'!BC1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BF785,BF791)*(1+('SC-1'!BD1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BG785,BG791)*(1+('SC-1'!BE1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BH785,BH791)*(1+('SC-1'!BF1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+('SC-1'!BG1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+('SC-1'!BH1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+('SC-1'!BI1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+('SC-1'!BJ1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+('SC-1'!BK1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+('SC-1'!BL1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+('SC-1'!BM1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+('SC-1'!BN1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+('SC-1'!BO1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+('SC-1'!BP1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+('SC-1'!BQ1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+('SC-1'!BR1244-'SC-1'!$S1244)/'SC-1'!$S1244)","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"SC-1"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"E849*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.98},{"$f":"U848*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.9601000000000002},3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T848","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"F849","v":4},{"$f":"G849","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"H849","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"I849","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"J849","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"K849","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"L849","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"M849","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"N849","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"O849","v":4}]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T855,SEARCH(\"(\",T855)),\" Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal ( Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U855*(1+('SC-1'!T$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"V855*(1+('SC-1'!T$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"W855*(1+('SC-1'!U$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"X855*(1+('SC-1'!V$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Y855*(1+('SC-1'!W$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Z855*(1+('SC-1'!X$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AA855*(1+('SC-1'!Y$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AB855*(1+('SC-1'!Z$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AC855*(1+('SC-1'!AA$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AD855*(1+('SC-1'!AB$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AE855*(1+('SC-1'!AC$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AF855*(1+('SC-1'!AD$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AG855*(1+('SC-1'!AE$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AH855*(1+('SC-1'!AF$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AI855*(1+('SC-1'!AG$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AJ855*(1+('SC-1'!AH$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AK855*(1+('SC-1'!AI$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AL855*(1+('SC-1'!AJ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AM855*(1+('SC-1'!AK$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AN855*(1+('SC-1'!AL$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AO855*(1+('SC-1'!AM$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AP855*(1+('SC-1'!AN$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AQ855*(1+('SC-1'!AO$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AR855*(1+('SC-1'!AP$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AS855*(1+('SC-1'!AQ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AT855*(1+('SC-1'!AR$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AU855*(1+('SC-1'!AS$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AV855*(1+('SC-1'!AT$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AW855*(1+('SC-1'!AU$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AX855*(1+('SC-1'!AV$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AY855*(1+('SC-1'!AW$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AZ855*(1+('SC-1'!AX$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BA855*(1+('SC-1'!AY$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BB855*(1+('SC-1'!AZ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BC855*(1+('SC-1'!BA$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BD855*(1+('SC-1'!BB$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BE855*(1+('SC-1'!BC$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BF855*(1+('SC-1'!BD$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BG855*(1+('SC-1'!BE$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BH855*(1+('SC-1'!BF$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BI855*(1+('SC-1'!BG$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BJ855*(1+('SC-1'!BH$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BK855*(1+('SC-1'!BI$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BL855*(1+('SC-1'!BJ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BM855*(1+('SC-1'!BK$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BN855*(1+('SC-1'!BL$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BO855*(1+('SC-1'!BM$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BP855*(1+('SC-1'!BN$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BQ855*(1+('SC-1'!BO$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BR855*(1+('SC-1'!BP$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BS855*(1+('SC-1'!BQ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BT855*(1+('SC-1'!BR$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC-1"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC-1"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC-1"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,119.16520877176099,115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,73.197664853697844,71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,44.961933061321098,43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},11640,11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,4391.8598912218686,4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A950,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F940","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E940","v":-1},{"$f":"F945","v":80},{"$f":"X940*(1+$W940/100)","v":79.2},78.408000000000001,77.623919999999998,76.847680799999992,76.079203991999989,75.318411952079984,74.565227832559188,73.819575554233595,73.081379798691259,72.350566000704347,71.627060340697298,70.91078973729033,70.201681839917427,69.499665021518254,68.804668371303066,68.11662168759004,67.435455470714146,66.76110091600701,66.093489906846941,65.432555007778475,64.778229457700689,64.130447163123677,63.489142691492439,62.854251264577513,62.225708751931741,61.603451664412425,60.987417147768298,60.377542976290613,59.773767546527708,59.176029871062433,58.584269572351808,57.998426876628287,57.418442607862005,56.844258181783381,56.275815599965547,55.713057443965894,55.155926869526233,54.604367600830969,54.058323924822659,53.517740685574431,52.982563278718686,52.452737645931499,51.928210269472181,51.408928166777457,50.894838885109685,50.38589049625859,49.882031591296006,49.383211275383047,48.889379162629218,48.400485371002922,47.916480517292889]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V946","v":"Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$950=1,X940,X946)","v":80},79.2,78.408000000000001,77.623919999999998,76.847680799999992,76.079203991999989,75.318411952079984,74.565227832559188,73.819575554233595,73.081379798691259,72.350566000704347,71.627060340697298,70.91078973729033,70.201681839917427,69.499665021518254,68.804668371303066,68.11662168759004,67.435455470714146,66.76110091600701,66.093489906846941,65.432555007778475,64.778229457700689,64.130447163123677,63.489142691492439,62.854251264577513,62.225708751931741,61.603451664412425,60.987417147768298,60.377542976290613,59.773767546527708,59.176029871062433,58.584269572351808,{"$f":"IF($B$950=1,BD940,BD946)","v":57.998426876628287},57.418442607862005,56.844258181783381,56.275815599965547,55.713057443965894,55.155926869526233,54.604367600830969,54.058323924822659,53.517740685574431,52.982563278718686,52.452737645931499,51.928210269472181,51.408928166777457,50.894838885109685,50.38589049625859,49.882031591296006,49.383211275383047,48.889379162629218,48.400485371002922,47.916480517292889]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V947","v":"Labor intensity GO Shutdown&Removal  p/(GW/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$951=1,X941,X947)","v":700},693,686.07,679.2093000000001,672.41720700000008,665.69303493000007,659.03610458070011,652.44574353489315,645.9212860995442,639.46207323854878,633.06745250616325,626.73677798110157,620.46941020129054,614.26471609927762,608.12206893828488,602.04084824890208,596.02043976641301,590.06023536874886,584.15963301506133,578.31803668491068,572.53485631806154,566.80950775488088,561.14141267733203,555.52999855055873,549.97469856505313,544.47495157940261,539.03020206360861,533.6399000429725,528.30350104254273,523.02046603211727,517.79026137179608,512.61235875807813,{"$f":"IF($B$951=1,BD941,BD947)","v":507.48623517049737},502.41137281879242,497.38725909060446,492.41338649969839,487.48925263470142,482.61436010835439,477.78821650727082,473.01033434219812,468.28023099877612,463.59742868878834,458.96145440190043,454.37183985788141,449.82812145930257,445.32984024470954,440.87654184226244,436.46777642383984,432.10309865960141,427.78206767300537,423.5042469962753,419.26920452631254]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC-1"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (\",C985,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U799*X951/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA799*BD951/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (\",C986,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U823*X953/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA823*BD953/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (\",C987,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U854*X954/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA854*BD954/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"SUM(AL985:AL987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA800*BD950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AK988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"(AK990+AK991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"SC-1"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"MIN(0,BW1608)*-1","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC-1"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,{"$f":"BD1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.29515679761779179},0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1063","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"F1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"G1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"H1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"I1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"J1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"K1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"L1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"M1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"N1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"O1063","v":0.35}]
["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
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["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"SC-1"}]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, Green offshore, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"F990*X592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!S$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"G990*Y592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!T$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"H990*Z592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!U$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"I990*AA592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!V$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"J990*AB592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!W$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"K990*AC592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!X$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"L990*AD592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!Y$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"M990*AE592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!Z$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"N990*AF592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AA$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"O990*AG592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AB$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"P990*AH592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AC$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Q990*AI592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AD$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"R990*AJ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AE$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"S990*AK592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AF$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"T990*AL592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AG$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"U990*AM592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AH$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"V990*AN592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AI$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"W990*AO592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AJ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"X990*AP592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AK$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Y990*AQ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AL$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Z990*AR592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AM$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AA990*AS592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AN$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AB990*AT592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AO$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AC990*AU592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AP$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AD990*AV592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AQ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AE990*AW592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AR$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AF990*AX592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AS$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AG990*AY592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AT$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AH990*AZ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AU$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AI990*BA592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AV$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AJ990*BB592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AW$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AK990*BC592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AX$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AL990*BD592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AY$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AM990*BE592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!AZ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AN990*BF592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BA$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AO990*BG592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BB$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AP990*BH592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BC$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AQ990*BI592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BD$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AR990*BJ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BE$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AS990*BK592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BF$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AT990*BL592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BG$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AU990*BM592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BH$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AV990*BN592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BI$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AW990*BO592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BJ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AX990*BP592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BK$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AY990*BQ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BL$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AZ990*BR592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BM$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BA990*BS592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BN$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BB990*BT592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BO$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BC990*BU592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BP$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BD990*BV592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BQ$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BE990*BW592*$B1067/1000000*(1+('SC-1'!BR$1244-'SC-1'!$S$1244)/'SC-1'!$S$1244)","v":0}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, Green offshore, operations (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"F990*X592*$B1067/1000000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AL990*BD592*$B1067/1000000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
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["Green offshore OPEX",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1104+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1058,\" (\",B1105,\")\")","v":"Green offshore operations (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR899","v":0},{"$f":"X1068","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1068","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1106,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (GNOK/yr)"},"GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR876","v":0},{"$f":"X1092","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1092","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[{"$f":"A1163","v":"Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)"},null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AK1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1058,\" (\",B1112,\")\")","v":"Green offshore operations (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"F1114-F1113","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AL1114-AL1113","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1113,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"X1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1104,\" (\",B1114,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1112+E1113","v":0},{"$f":"X1069","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1069","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore OPEX (\",B1115,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036=0,\"\",SUM(E1114)/E1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,\"\",SUM(F1114)/F1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(G1036=0,0,G1114/G1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(N1036=0,0,N1114/N1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O1114/O1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(BE1036=0,\"\",BE1114/BE1036)","v":""}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore revenue (\",B1116,\")\")","v":"Green offshore revenue (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1155","v":0},{"$f":"F1164","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AL1164","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees per GO OPEX (\",B1117,\")\")","v":"Employees per GO OPEX (p/2018-MNOK)"},"p/2018-MNOK",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(O1114=0,\"\",O990/O1114)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,{"$f":"BD1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":59.2353845011461},59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR455","v":42.233249999999998},{"$f":"hist!AS455","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[{"$f":"hist!A455","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B1140=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1140+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100*(AY1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(AL1038>0,AL1164/AL1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,{"$f":"AK1162","v":2050},2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AK1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AK909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AK1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX (\",B1210,\")\")","v":"OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1115","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,""]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"CAPEX (\",B1211,\")\")","v":"CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O913","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"LCOE (\",B1212,\")\")","v":"LCOE (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1210+O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1210+P1211","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$error":"#VALUE!"}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Revenue (\",B1213,\")\")","v":"Revenue (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1165","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1214,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1213-O1210-O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1213-P1210-P1211","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$error":"#VALUE!"}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1215,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1164-O911-O1114","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"SC-1"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,{"$f":"AY1241*BA22","v":5168.0283591996267},5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1236","v":"GDP nominal Mainland (GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1242*S1244/100","v":3063.06},{"$f":"T1242*T1244/100","v":2983.4346009050273},2964.6020040302815,3007.1904980255508,3112.5509743982325,3285.9174077439038,3536.8121481298558,3793.5830746444303,4055.4959021008872,4321.063522395707,4588.6525057543922,4856.4957267412192,5121.7131831321531,5381.6384750627331,5633.9859130135274,5876.4340541593047,6106.6594603465928,6338.6251828155646,6572.3764929576973,6807.4670973239936,7043.4296362714322,7279.7769480661,7516.0034879834193,7751.3319597027803,7985.2014019095404,8217.0379590730754,8446.2570640676422,8680.9034646487908,8920.7812365541413,9165.9674471339695,9416.5391155104553,9672.5731706734114,9934.1464085223288,10201.606688222746,10475.051556863571,10754.579207423216,11040.288455359008,11332.278714353659,11630.649971216004,11935.502759933996,12246.938134878455,12565.057643156875,12889.963296117186,13221.668695171922,13560.269935807022,13905.863225933022,14258.544849645114,14618.411130270541,14985.558392718631,15360.082925149871,15742.080939981615,16131.648534249058]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1237","v":"Inflation-GDP deflator  Mainland  (NOKt/NOK2018)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1231=1,S1237,S1230)","v":102},104.04,106.1208,108.243216,110.40808032000001,112.61624192640001,114.868566764928,117.16593810022657,119.5092568622311,121.89944199947573,124.33743083946524,126.82417945625456,129.36066304537965,131.94787630628724,134.58683383241299,137.27857050906127,140.02414191924251,142.82462475762736,145.6811172527799,148.59473959783551,151.56663438979223,154.59796707758807,157.68992641913982,160.84372494752262,164.06059944647308,167.34181143540255,170.68864766411059,174.1024206173928,177.58446902974066,181.13615841033547,184.75888157854217,188.45405921011303,192.22314039431529,196.06760320220161,199.98895526624565,203.98873437157056,208.06850905900197,212.22987924018202,216.47447682498566,220.80396636148538,225.22004568871509,229.72444660248939,234.31893553453918,239.00531424522995,243.78542053013456,248.66112894073726,253.63435151955201,258.70703854994304,263.8811793209419,269.15880290736072,274.54197896550795,280.0328185448181]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1241/S1241)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.3458518144600085},"pct/yr"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1268+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1268+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1268+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",{"$f":"E1269","v":1.1499594536442725},{"$f":"F1269","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"G1269","v":1.0545855541260798},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*1","v":1.0636684433008639},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*2","v":1.0727513324756479},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*3","v":1.081834221650432},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*4","v":1.090917110825216},{"$f":"H1269","v":1.1000000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*1","v":1.1200000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*2","v":1.1400000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*3","v":1.1599999999999999},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*4","v":1.18},{"$f":"I1269","v":1.2},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*1","v":1.204},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*2","v":1.208},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*3","v":1.212},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*4","v":1.216},{"$f":"J1269","v":1.22},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*1","v":1.226},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*2","v":1.232},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*3","v":1.238},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*4","v":1.244},{"$f":"K1269","v":1.25},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*1","v":1.26},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*2","v":1.27},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*3","v":1.28},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*4","v":1.29},{"$f":"L1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*1","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*2","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*3","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*4","v":1.3},{"$f":"M1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*1","v":1.31},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*2","v":1.32},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*3","v":1.33},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*4","v":1.34},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*5","v":1.35},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*6","v":1.3599999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*7","v":1.3699999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*8","v":1.38},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*9","v":1.39},{"$f":"N1269","v":1.4},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*1","v":1.4049999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*2","v":1.41},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*3","v":1.415},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*4","v":1.42},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*5","v":1.4249999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*6","v":1.43},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*7","v":1.4350000000000001},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*8","v":1.44},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*9","v":1.4449999999999998},{"$f":"O1269","v":1.45}]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A397","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"},{"$f":"hist!AR397","v":1.1499594536442725},{"$f":"hist!AS397","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"hist!AT397","v":1.0545855541260798},1.1000000000000001,1.2,1.22,1.25,1.3,1.3,1.4,1.45,null,"Annual rate of change",null,{"$f":"F1269","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"G1269","v":1.0545855541260798},{"$f":"T1269*(1+$E$1266/100)","v":1.0704043374379708},1.0864604024995403,1.1027573085370332,1.1192986681650887,1.1360881481875649,1.1531294704103783,1.1704264124665338,1.1879828086535318,1.2058025507833345,1.2238895890450845,1.2422479328807607,1.2608816518739721,1.2797948766520815,1.2989917998018625,1.3184766767988902,1.3382538269508735,1.3583276343551365,1.3787025488704634,1.3993830871035202,1.4203738334100728,1.4416794409112237,1.463304632524892,1.4852542020127653,1.5075330150429567,1.5301460102686009,1.5530982004226297,1.5763946734289689,1.6000405935304032,1.624041202433359,1.6484018204698592,1.6731278477769069,1.6982247654935603,1.7236981369759634,1.7495536090306028,1.7757969131660616,1.8024338668635522,1.8294703748665053,1.8569124304895028,1.8847661169468453,1.9130376087010477,1.9417331728315632,1.9708591704240366,2.0004220579803969,2.0304283888501025,2.0608848146828538,2.0917980869030965,2.1231750582066429,2.1550226840797424,2.1873480243409382,2.2201582447060519]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,{"$f":"IF($B$1271=1,S1269,S1268)","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"IF($B$1271=1,T1269,T1268)","v":1.0545855541260798},1.0704043374379708,1.0864604024995403,1.1027573085370332,1.1192986681650887,1.1360881481875649,1.1531294704103783,1.1704264124665338,1.1879828086535318,1.2058025507833345,1.2238895890450845,1.2422479328807607,1.2608816518739721,1.2797948766520815,1.2989917998018625,1.3184766767988902,1.3382538269508735,1.3583276343551365,1.3787025488704634,1.3993830871035202,1.4203738334100728,1.4416794409112237,1.463304632524892,1.4852542020127653,1.5075330150429567,1.5301460102686009,1.5530982004226297,1.5763946734289689,1.6000405935304032,1.624041202433359,1.6484018204698592,1.6731278477769069,1.6982247654935603,1.7236981369759634,1.7495536090306028,1.7757969131660616,1.8024338668635522,1.8294703748665053,1.8569124304895028,1.8847661169468453,1.9130376087010477,1.9417331728315632,1.9708591704240366,2.0004220579803969,2.0304283888501025,2.0608848146828538,2.0917980869030965,2.1231750582066429,2.1550226840797424,2.1873480243409382,2.2201582447060519]
[{"$f":"hist!A397","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1271=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1271=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\"f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1265,\" (1000 p)\")","v":"Mainland employment (1000 p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",null,{"$f":"S$1242/S1268","v":2574.6089999999999},2719.1574813780253,2626.392367880444,2589.7699706230537,2605.8829146463609,2674.6309076561051,2799.098013999806,2890.8809165346415,2976.7171507086873,3055.8423398705759,3127.528482729716,3191.0947814807732,3288.4143477512084,3376.3322778257057,3453.9063712185357,3520.2827190132489,3574.711121558903,3619.9411469343413,3661.91671230266,3700.5090529687923,3735.5985057486796,3767.075123006035,3782.7921343973394,3794.6217633813635,3802.520907694965,3806.4586566026164,3806.4164825413113,3835.4538817151547,3864.1551540099658,3892.5106130001395,3920.5106490301414,3948.1457346707716,3945.0598161829212,3941.7475345735647,3938.2067893188555,3934.4355968476361,3930.4320896032609,3926.1945151329082,3921.7212352006809,3917.0107249210419,3912.0615719092989,3906.8724754460791,3915.3263817584043,3923.3730120973569,3931.0101546569495,3938.2357300594831,3945.0477925284245,3951.4445309882221,3957.4242700901741,3962.9854711634976,3968.1267330908331,3972.8467931074633]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,2574.6089999999999,2719.1574813780253,2609.8648741719521,2557.0919845764702,2556.4403816272065,2606.8114840941348,2710.1839063384468,2807.8257555645755,2899.3343927164101,2983.8622987040894,3060.603584909974,3128.8065296516443,3187.1664020490589,3234.7281646549955,3270.9417722218982,3295.3739869436031,3307.7168864983082,3316.2975190239604,3321.3499272571999,3322.8561239178475,3320.8094223648327,3315.2144829734161,3306.087299356966,3293.3468072051319,3277.0328171794818,3257.1967698348926,3233.9014669816224,3210.4151848691117,3186.6396054777751,3162.5846352653984,3138.2601845954832,3113.6761627750529,3088.8424731358164,3063.8504698316015,3038.70783255776,3013.4222081351572,2988.0012075841523,2962.4524032453587,2936.7833259486247,2911.0014622316326,2885.1142516094387,2859.1290838962559,2833.0532965806974,2806.8753110690577,2780.6028965983796,2754.2437681594688,2727.8055834566944,2701.2959399340548,2674.7223718689179,2648.092347534784,2621.4132664343283,2594.6924566039329]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,{"$f":"S$1242/S1270","v":2574.6089999999999},2719.1574813780253,2609.8648741719521,2557.0919845764702,2556.4403816272065,2606.8114840941348,2710.1839063384468,2807.8257555645755,2899.3343927164101,2983.8622987040894,3060.603584909974,3128.8065296516443,3187.1664020490589,3234.7281646549955,3270.9417722218982,3295.3739869436031,3307.7168864983082,3316.2975190239604,3321.3499272571999,3322.8561239178475,3320.8094223648327,3315.2144829734161,3306.087299356966,3293.3468072051319,3277.0328171794818,3257.1967698348926,3233.9014669816224,3210.4151848691117,3186.6396054777751,3162.5846352653984,3138.2601845954832,3113.6761627750529,3088.8424731358164,3063.8504698316015,3038.70783255776,3013.4222081351572,2988.0012075841523,2962.4524032453587,2936.7833259486247,2911.0014622316326,2885.1142516094387,2859.1290838962559,2833.0532965806974,2806.8753110690577,2780.6028965983796,2754.2437681594688,2727.8055834566944,2701.2959399340548,2674.7223718689179,2648.092347534784,2621.4132664343283,2594.6924566039329]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr -  : Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(hist!A435,\" annual RoC in pct/yr\")","v":"  annual RoC in pct/yr"},{"$f":"hist!AR435","v":2.8283906521528777},{"$f":"hist!AS435","v":2.8401785911822031},2.8,2.5,2.2000000000000002,2,1.8,1.6,1.4,1.2,1,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1292+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1292+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1292+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
[{"$f":"hist!A435","v":" "},1,{"$f":"IF(B1296=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1296=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\"f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1297+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1297+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1297+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1302+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1302+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1302+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"SC-1"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1329+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1329+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
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["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.713643390366158,54.03858815695795,55.221339561330169,56.250835213203388,57.117085999899516,57.818656935733735,58.339528985162261,58.669222886918384,58.801141407955114,58.732139781449369,58.614572205021474,58.442033069551755,58.215867265620034,57.937030877418707,57.606264681599988,57.225286923961093,56.793872510765155,56.312608340580006,55.782406785589458,55.204434659451032,54.629960455073885,54.062310364361906,53.501592644149504,52.947696786522066,52.400335337068974,{"$f":"BX1460/BA22/10","v":51.865158343297068},51.334097803633348,50.80905829747298,50.290472415933415,49.777267686237266,49.267909885352331,48.761553305795019,48.258636589182061,47.760604755193626,47.26894277058669,46.774900582931032,46.284522424876812,45.799893054832935,45.32189340613877,44.848500698057073,44.377281445041923,43.908359482835237,43.444754205521988,42.989715533862764,42.543706924619201]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"SC-1"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.0123460652255236,7.7026838420069765,7.5329482942609172,7.489880142237328,7.5692889779486805,7.7752449773949603,7.9577025669009327,8.1127091008926708,8.2399600742058663,8.3395582781741542,8.3280999912530884,8.2881529790460071,8.2300116719941592,8.1532041981351071,8.0566139912357624,7.9395293285043369,7.8210087095570797,7.6997625694377456,7.5755337537367433,7.4482185645871573,7.317779258904749,7.1842295547389075,7.0476835088220744,6.9082314399269276,6.7659945862214697,6.6211249256781972,6.4801554228959066,6.3427196274349686,6.2086653475766056,6.0778693030371667,5.9502176949823022,5.8256037139280705,5.7029372049743818,5.5822793059907001,5.4637791135890623,5.3475720882825684,5.2337685459197676,5.1224520311648876,5.013679538304193,4.9074826335975059,4.8038692599895541,4.7028260725011366,4.6034648041263528,4.5059165317561884,4.410432527976111,4.3172275974915202,4.2264465913695686,4.1381587973180869,4.0523630975216598,3.968999347760672]
[null,null,null,"plus behavioural change",null,{"$f":"F1495*IF(F1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(F1488-$F1485)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1495*IF(G1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(G1488-$F1485)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.0123460652255236,7.7026838420069765,7.5329482942609172,7.489880142237328,7.5692889779486805,7.7752449773949603,7.9577025669009327,8.1127091008926708,8.2399600742058663,8.3395582781741542,8.3280999912530884,8.2881529790460071,8.2300116719941592,8.1532041981351071,8.0566139912357624,7.9395293285043369,7.8210087095570797,7.6997625694377456,7.5755337537367433,7.4482185645871573,7.317779258904749,7.1842295547389075,7.0476835088220744,6.9082314399269276,6.7659945862214697,6.6211249256781972,6.4801554228959066,6.3427196274349686,6.2086653475766056,6.0778693030371667,5.8910120396885866,5.7102490316032011,5.5343899386750017,5.3633950035944249,5.1973074618183448,5.0361537335295798,4.8799334470337321,4.7286192035497319,4.5821580830124553,4.4404739152406778,4.3034700646003152,4.1710325540275424,4.0422814109069671,3.9172556449018674,3.7960944563135706,3.6788986827559178,3.5657042883622183,3.4564807734892935,3.3511386775505527,3.2495418249581136]
[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2333886040772253},8.1272476516631755,8.0083877801827246,7.9046862525936454,7.8376067976646526,7.8251344336107138,7.8516480602687579,7.9038602683935402,7.971080229556005,8.0447758392796356,8.1014406696743269,8.1387831315486636,8.1570288396377624,8.1562639113372306,8.1363339273169366,8.096973007554416,8.0417801479549489,7.9733766322515081,7.8938080565485551,7.8046901581562755,7.7073079783059706,7.6026922935925576,7.491690536638461,7.3749987172961546,7.2531978910812178,7.1267832980006141,6.9974577229796724,6.8665101038707315,6.7349411526119063,6.6035267826969584,6.4610238340952844,6.3108688735968679,6.1555730866124945,5.9971374700088802,5.8371714683707729,5.6769679214025341,5.5175610265287736,5.3597726619329649,5.2042497461488626,5.0514945799672253,4.9018896768938429,4.755718252320583,4.61303088403786,4.4738758362106612,4.338319560231243,4.206435384736178,4.0782891654613858,3.9539274870669674,3.8333697251636845,3.7166041451225702]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},{"$f":"IF($B$1504=1,AD1502,IF($B$1504=2,AD1503,F1490))","v":8.1577805320073189},8.1169916293472824,8.0764066712005462,8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,{"$f":"BJ1509*BA9","v":42.971989254964022},42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"SC-1"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,0.6,"Future annual RoC, renewable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.326662990146076},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.748622968086949},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.173114705895472},71.600153394130842,72.029754314495634,72.461932840382602,72.896704437424901,73.334084664049456,73.774089172033754,74.216733707065956,74.662034109308351,75.110006313964206,75.560666351847985,76.014030349959071,76.47011453205883,76.928935219251187,77.390508830566688,77.854851883550083,78.321980994851387,78.79191288082049,79.264664358105421,79.74025234425406,80.218693858319583,80.700006021469505,81.184206057598317,81.671311293943901,82.161339161707559,82.654307196677806,83.150233039857866,83.649134438097008,84.151029244725592,84.655935420193941,85.163871032715107,85.674854258911395,86.188903384464865,86.706036804771657,87.226273025600292,87.749630663753891,88.276128447736411,88.805785218422827,89.338619929733369,89.874651649311772,90.41389955920765,90.956382956562891,91.502121254302267,92.051133981828087,92.603440785719059,93.159061430433368,93.718015799015973,94.280323893810063,94.846005837172925,95.415081872195969]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Births (p/yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)*(U20/100)","v":54495},{"$f":"(V22*1000000)*(V20/100)","v":53673.499999999993},53781.69301499999,53875.041907608793,53953.63972068236,54017.581717698486,54066.96536762148,54545.34844669341,55023.243100582047,55500.591407553853,55977.335272212746,56453.41643543703,56815.372547171348,57170.007461830362,57517.195977852207,57856.815167042252,58188.744444135897,58628.503709557757,59065.839136906543,59500.680002266723,59932.95568799146,60362.595695976372,60201.62318453427,60032.258442638798,59854.569582475138,59668.627284466362,59474.504765520636,59272.2777460039,59060.063035562634,58837.964110368484,58606.088642043404,58364.548425979934,58234.026649744861,58096.042924101326,57950.655046472595,57797.923360016699,57637.910718542742,57470.682450002663,57296.306318586969,57114.852485454663,56926.39346812803,56731.004098584614,56528.761480079127,56319.366496961804,56102.905315384523,55879.466566867144,55649.14129292607,55412.022888323001,55168.207042982358,54917.791682626776,54660.876908181286,54397.564933997477]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Deaths (p/yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)*(U21/100)","v":40684},{"$f":"(V22*1000000)*(V21/100)","v":40255.124999999993},40498.26281249999,40732.138539018742,40956.710314283169,41171.937284831161,41377.779618077664,42017.656628652032,42659.720865431023,43303.888860329324,43950.076488825667,44598.198983995251,45588.382762400965,46578.751099379711,47568.893691424484,48558.398443767604,49546.8517049078,50186.924279976462,50826.792813290893,51466.341606657326,52105.454652717723,52744.015656678392,53087.954819955507,53427.530598262034,53762.651927341802,54093.228711166325,54419.171860451381,54978.913563194779,55533.196923115065,56081.806932082385,56624.530317056277,57161.155674928792,57691.473606424253,58216.82471812232,58737.041805975874,59251.959167815861,59761.412692383783,60265.239947571492,60763.28026780083,61255.374840476958,61741.366791449334,62221.101269415376,62755.471707906421,63282.932419579643,63803.304084162788,64316.410096656713,64822.07667088091,65320.132941201948,65810.411062360334,66292.746307313399,66766.977163013391,67232.945424041827]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Calculated life expectancy (yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)/U27","v":130.96578507521383}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB births main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,55000,55000,55000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,60400,60400,60400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,56600,56600,56600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,48000,48000,48000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,46200,46200,46200,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,38100,38100,38100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801354,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471808,3.2485285330564553,3.2007432171070804,3.1689940711032158,3.138575981724995,3.1094484581372646,3.0815733532531926,3.0549147448410592,3.0580362901188636,3.0615060791661111,3.0653244170150029,3.0694917169117759,3.0740085018061394,3.0788754059208006,3.0840931764040436,3.0896626750684293,3.0955848802188397,3.1018608885732712,3.0988103899821762,3.0959885519272095,3.0933925231886383,3.0910194960144706,3.0888667055843442,3.0869314294803996,3.0852109871650693,3.0837027394656871,3.0824040880658718,3.0813124750035716,3.0804253821757452,3.0797403308495479,3.0792548811800109,3.0789666317340934,3.0788732190210748,3.0789723170291876,3.0792616367684515,3.0797389258196159,3.0804019678891592,3.0812485823702831,3.0812104031710441,3.0813424325013998,3.0816423761699689,3.0821079739227857,3.0827369990138762,3.0835272577812183,3.0844765892279984,3.0855828646091181,3.0868439870228825,3.0882578910078151]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,4.1145783660573869,3.9679071609619365,3.8421091137346854,3.7326146900171846,3.6357974586250386,3.5487866103214469,3.4728281024778007,3.4059776783272397,3.3466718342892445,3.2936521380820341,3.245904659433839,3.2083309855708437,3.1789660042898973,3.1562376868349182,3.1388884928502896,3.1259124946414594,3.1165050768973277,3.110022696798671,3.1059506924526228,3.1038775300058661,3.1034742017193473,3.1025414393719131,3.1012308618829723,3.0996631941441053,3.0979344545181782,3.0961209047314115,3.0942830096812091,3.0924686051779813,3.0907154320355223,3.0890531632415921,3.087505025593988,3.0860890969103396,3.0848193436981814,3.0837064511945473,3.0827584873024567,3.0819814336461802,3.0813796103227817,3.0809560156119158,3.0807125976534557,3.0806504717005962,3.0807700938345337,3.080858155701836,3.0809550110617487,3.0810924840833929,3.0812955820512715,3.0815838654437924,3.0819725439112777,3.0824733529746218,3.083095255301521,3.0838450016457934,3.0847275795181979]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T94","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"(U98/U100)*$E$85","v":41.228435630337565},{"$f":"(V98/V100)*$E$85","v":40.422414228689803},39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,31.760468322541989,27.429495369468079,23.098522416394172,18.767549463320265,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.1549261208197088,0.86619459061478143,0.57746306040985418,0.28873153020492709,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":33.059760208464169}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,25.271084688284162,22.261528239043049,19.121481097956977,15.846927459931845,12.433743083946524,11.414176151062911,10.348853043630372,9.2363513414401091,8.0752100299447811,6.8639285254530646,5.8810139606081853,4.8560372417593296,3.7877090485722773,2.6747053127610392,1.5156663438979221,1.2367837366207046,0.94613955851483889,0.64337489979009033,0.32812119889294611,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3898.8833769707335,3722.3039678212995,3549.8773578371852,3384.5495336322733,3228.8419939097357,3087.6968251310673,2959.1139516482503,2841.0425467433697,2731.7566879864312,2629.8295806972978,2534.3673168476025,2444.8262955693094,2360.7492172586772,2281.7172288409702,2207.3435213936036,2138.1367086635814,2073.6670894272434,2013.5316634670367,1957.3595438654984,1904.8099575754391,1855.8585714838969,1810.2177737334785,1767.6233299399257,1727.8324769511057,1690.622172159083,1655.7874856890478,1623.4339047756098,1593.6464801272336,1566.4641733947417,1541.8796317204146,1519.8424612556207,1500.2639103680172,1483.0225248750123,1467.9704622392289,1454.9401505926842,1443.7509816748402,1434.3383701952737,1426.6092306085222,1420.427484416665,1415.6229558986813,1412.0052386412124,1409.3780066020433,1407.5518349736503,1406.3543708345426,1405.6372049669567]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 1",{"$f":"U141/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S156","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"2 | 1",{"$f":"U150/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,6.1403051240709416,5.0567218668819525,3.9731386096929624,2.8895553525039728,1.8059720953149829,1.5651758159396518,1.3243795365643207,1.0835832571889896,0.84278697781365863,0.60199069843832764,0.48159255875066209,0.3611944190629966,0.24079627937533105,0.12039813968766552,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S157","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"3 | 1",{"$f":"U143/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7769173713076754,10.065641962429106,10.288580204331344,10.459487186045871,10.589796666295852,10.688746371596341,10.763652080612502,10.820225061390961,10.862877804611772,10.894993463136226,10.919151418512911,10.937310059930105,10.950951689474014,10.961195672588863,10.96888584691612,10.974657524125762,10.978988559766002,10.982238118395163,10.984676008719774,10.986504832344242,10.987876678421342,10.988905691452352,10.989677523500799,10.990256438195734,10.990690647089005,10.991016316625174,10.991260576014833,10.991443774628312,10.991581175878538,10.991684228104424,10.991761517998466,10.991819485826607,10.991862961926993,10.991895569131254,10.991920024606996,10.99193836625461,10.991952122513274,10.991962439720185,10.991970177632631,10.991975981071048,10.99198033365216,10.991983598089289,10.991986046417862,10.9919878826647,10.991989259850058,10.991990292739207,10.99199106740614,10.991991648406382,10.991992084156585,10.991992410969251,10.991992656078757]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 2",{"$f":"U141/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4130812924033034,9.3679346195380599,9.3232189411631765,9.2789281148393616,9.2350561142963841,9.1915970266996965,9.0847179915055136,8.9802959456261409,8.8782471280622062,8.7784915423536418,8.680952747438603,8.5855576623019143,8.492236383363851,8.4009220136502591,8.311550502866746,8.2240604975734133,8.1383932007236908,8.0544922398914878,7.9723035435660625,7.8917752249441833,7.8128574726947422,7.7355024482126158,7.6596641889164143,7.5852985171793605,7.5123629545141748,7.4408166406616587,7.3706202572591906,7.3017359557894794,7.234127289532168,7.1677591492612311,7.1025977024497653,7.038610335761029,6.9757656006203055,6.9140331616767625,6.8533837479778432,6.7937891066910803,6.7352219592196052,6.6776559595681562,6.6210656548260518,6.5654264476426398,6.5107145605789514,6.4569070022270596,6.4039815349956903,6.3519166444672699,6.3006915102376952,6.2502859781557936,6.2006805338847162,6.1518562777123957,6.1037949005427672,6.056478661003676,6.0098903636113397]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 2",{"$f":"U150/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 2",{"$f":"U143/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7837213682916833,10.024336832922913,10.197451590026303,10.317596135522392,10.396747143899816,10.444509993187285,10.395405232014841,10.329927300133795,10.252799051086249,10.167570463027033,10.076891965679829,9.9827306925661361,9.8865384373903105,9.7893804145023662,9.6920330554864353,9.5950577874340848,9.4988564159638376,9.4037125463804756,9.3098224766595248,9.2173181889848212,9.1262844317411176,9.0367713930026508,8.9488040915259823,8.8623893271305754,8.7775208183966491,8.6941829951999274,8.6123537937186896,8.5320067121586014,8.453112318900688,8.3756393553073263,8.2995555386736619,8.2248281435329833,8.1514244192834671,8.0793118870898297,8.0084585478791936,7.938833024995005,7.870404658952415,7.8031435672016549,7.7370206784430655,7.67200774854527,7.608077363271101,7.5452029316477143,7.4833586728038091,7.4225195983464802,7.3626614917947615,7.3037608861760894,7.2457950405881961,7.1887419163046644,7.1325801528369448,7.0772890442438561,7.0228485158900336]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 3",{"$f":"U141/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.3886753699638241,8.1189370030927517,7.8730616163340041,7.6485301350709554,7.4431382878311316,7.254951351884932,7.0822661729446406,6.9235791776794953,6.7775593417537499,6.6430252703501713,6.5189257034291028,6.4043228826006269,6.2983783168919807,6.2003405658835504,6.1095347245790803,6.0253533480397454,5.9472485976665714,5.8747254269730158,5.8073356542670904,5.7446727940683582,5.6863675392852633,5.6320838029469806,5.5815152422443868,5.5343821992898032,5.4904290027621192,5.449421582793657,5.411145358347099,5.3754033621452972,5.3420145731342465,5.3108124306282409,5.2816435078284147,5.2543663254225548,5.2288502885487311,5.2049747326075577,5.182628065295444,5.1617069938523619,5.1421158279127708,5.1237658495512717,5.1065747431536863,5.0904660786436304,5.075368842374397,5.0612170106731966,5.0479491616140697,5.0355081211092978,5.0238406398574469,5.0128970980781657,5.0026312353071445,4.9929999028257512,4.9839628365644266,4.9754824485516256,4.9675236351852332]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 3",{"$f":"U150/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},6.4422079112141866,6.2350583238983157,6.0462346667781945,5.873802379066996,5.7160686577306086,5.5715477036976724,4.623091821174568,3.7219458626862929,2.8627100783489796,2.0406439903147757,1.2515764672935954,1.0656305681344032,0.88677109147257471,0.71424655176392016,0.54738926470269822,0.38560497033881852,0.30448519602215651,0.22557913468297625,0.14866099054189133,7.3528447359311119E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 3",{"$f":"U143/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.718979462656149,8.687823148823032,8.611313882525188,8.5046940753674374,8.3794213893150307,8.2438788030785854,8.1040519802144875,7.9641105365779401,7.8268776466217229,7.6941952040481425,7.5672005086228662,7.446532085616397,7.3324806932085043,7.2250989117956896,7.1242799383627826,7.0298137496932629,6.9414267787225628,6.8588096628311872,6.781636412631908,6.709577443002634,6.6423082371983737,6.5795149228121534,6.5208976796902052,6.466172639634773,6.4150727494755149,6.3673479332756502,6.3227647916640075,6.2811060060339843,6.2421695649798812,6.2057678943090435,6.1717269462661282,6.1398852853380443,6.1100931950843362,6.0822118213503078,6.0561123608816327,6.0316752999860404,6.0087897049152108,5.9873525636620446,5.9672681775926524,5.948447600548997,5.9308081226166438,5.9142727955451804,5.8987699967599596,5.8842330289586684,5.8705997524066307,5.8578122472040786,5.8458165029783871,5.834562133642005,5.8240021150440802,5.8140925435253745,5.8047924135584736]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" BEFORE contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr BEFORE contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"CONCATENATE(B142,\" | \",B143)","v":"2 | 2"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),U156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),U157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),U158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),U159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),U160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),U161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),U162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),U163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),U164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":9.4065350535732293},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),V156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),V157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),V158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),V159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),V160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),V161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),V162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),V163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),V164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.2289156626506017},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),W156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),W157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),W158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),W159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),W160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),W161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),W162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),W163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),W164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.1942446043165464},7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" AFTER contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr AFTER contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"E142/E143","v":7.4602299294668191},{"$f":"MIN(U109,U165)","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T141,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual New 'green'-field dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U166*U155","v":78.12857472694742},60,59.999999999999993,60,60,60,60,51,42,33,24,15,13,11.000000000000002,9,7,5,4,3,2,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T141,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"New 'green'-field dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,58.582969050113284,49.209694002095162,39.438054764536268,29.255866079874174,18.650614625919786,16.487143329313096,14.229672934991765,11.875308867565852,9.4210783682689101,6.8639285254530646,5.6009656767697003,4.2847387427288197,2.9136223450555985,1.4859473959783551,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T190,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,29.4,23.8,18.200000000000003,12.600000000000001,7,7.0000000000000009,7.0000000000000009,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,7,6.9999999999999991,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,6.8,6.6000000000000005,6.4,6.1999999999999993,5.9999999999999991,5.8,5.6,5.4,5.2,5,4.5,4,3.4999999999999996,3,2.5,2,1.5,1,0.49999999999999994,0]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G232+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M232+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N232+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D230","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V232+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V238+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801354,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471808,3.2485285330564553,3.2007432171070804,3.1689940711032158,3.138575981724995,3.1094484581372646,3.0815733532531926,3.0549147448410592,3.0580362901188636,3.0615060791661111,3.0653244170150029,3.0694917169117759,3.0740085018061394,3.0788754059208006,3.0840931764040436,3.0896626750684293,3.0955848802188397,3.1018608885732712,3.0988103899821762,3.0959885519272095,3.0933925231886383,3.0910194960144706,3.0888667055843442,3.0869314294803996,3.0852109871650693,3.0837027394656871,3.0824040880658718,3.0813124750035716,3.0804253821757452,3.0797403308495479,3.0792548811800109,3.0789666317340934,3.0788732190210748,3.0789723170291876,3.0792616367684515,3.0797389258196159,3.0804019678891592,3.0812485823702831,3.0812104031710441,3.0813424325013998,3.0816423761699689,3.0821079739227857,3.0827369990138762,3.0835272577812183,3.0844765892279984,3.0855828646091181,3.0868439870228825]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},4.0835421119661639,3.9430781576889582,3.8222459111163025,3.7167241279224781,3.6230850089492734,3.5386166505808347,3.4646921346853108,3.3994689040932475,3.3414648149020509,3.2894865225722794,3.2425721670260352,3.2056649916446007,3.1768332091489029,3.1545314507221227,3.1375235039600535,3.1248205035292709,3.1156314840075767,3.10932382248687,3.1053915930031817,3.1034302504463134,3.103116378071705,3.1022551804537994,3.1010018547484814,3.0994799884365127,3.0977878899521043,3.0960036530785522,3.0941892083589217,3.0923935641201514,3.0906553991892585,3.0890051369645812,3.0874666045723793,3.0860583600930527,3.0847947542443519,3.0836867796314835,3.0827427500520055,3.0819688438458193,3.0813695384824928,3.0809479581396846,3.0807061516756709,3.0806453149183683,3.0807659684087514,3.0808548553612098,3.0809523707892477,3.0810903718653919,3.0812938922768707,3.0815825136242716,3.0819714624556611,3.0824724878101284,3.0830945631699262,3.0838444479405176]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,204.00890451890206,195.52513240050831,184.09537366823238,170.14411623278363,154.13808763789021,140.13213469101385,128.17700846205284,117.94780466308626,109.14539554425657,101.52562598399879,94.449457291776923,87.830588203296401,81.630572189551629,75.81736509839142,70.361738850841718,65.335813826952929,60.712889020616444,56.460851131743119,52.549586290059267,48.951386091542169,45.640797750418358,42.594443793552692,39.790852988819985,37.210304792022832,34.834686470035244,32.353580913437952,29.78742464837616,27.182306732491924,24.584541674326957,22.037170464793956,19.578550887603534,17.241385493004753,15.052062635783315,13.030311646544783,11.189168917843952,9.4126114795665536,7.7291395867513373,6.1817461918572594,4.8045285179837407,3.6177172574689185,2.6272320391690807,1.8261716283930489,1.1974641391077196]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T321","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"G322","v":350},{"$f":"$V324+(($AA324-$V324)/5)*1","v":340},{"$f":"$V324+(($AA324-$V324)/5)*2","v":330},{"$f":"$V324+(($AA324-$V324)/5)*3","v":320},{"$f":"$V324+(($AA324-$V324)/5)*4","v":310},{"$f":"H322","v":300},{"$f":"$AA324+(($AF324-$AA324)/5)*1","v":295},{"$f":"$AA324+(($AF324-$AA324)/5)*2","v":290},{"$f":"$AA324+(($AF324-$AA324)/5)*3","v":285},{"$f":"$AA324+(($AF324-$AA324)/5)*4","v":280},{"$f":"I322","v":275},{"$f":"$AF324+(($AK324-$AF324)/5)*1","v":270},{"$f":"$AF324+(($AK324-$AF324)/5)*2","v":265},{"$f":"$AF324+(($AK324-$AF324)/5)*3","v":260},{"$f":"$AF324+(($AK324-$AF324)/5)*4","v":255},{"$f":"J322","v":250},{"$f":"$AK324+(($AP324-$AK324)/5)*1","v":248},{"$f":"$AK324+(($AP324-$AK324)/5)*2","v":246},{"$f":"$AK324+(($AP324-$AK324)/5)*3","v":244},{"$f":"$AK324+(($AP324-$AK324)/5)*4","v":242},{"$f":"K322","v":240},{"$f":"$AP324+(($AU324-$AP324)/5)*1","v":238},{"$f":"$AP324+(($AU324-$AP324)/5)*2","v":236},{"$f":"$AP324+(($AU324-$AP324)/5)*3","v":234},{"$f":"$AP324+(($AU324-$AP324)/5)*4","v":232},{"$f":"L322","v":230},{"$f":"$AU324+(($AZ324-$AU324)/5)*1","v":228},{"$f":"$AU324+(($AZ324-$AU324)/5)*2","v":226},{"$f":"$AU324+(($AZ324-$AU324)/5)*3","v":224},{"$f":"$AU324+(($AZ324-$AU324)/5)*4","v":222},{"$f":"M322","v":220},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*1","v":219},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*2","v":218},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*3","v":217},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*4","v":216},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*5","v":215},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*6","v":214},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*7","v":213},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*8","v":212},{"$f":"$AZ324+(($BJ324-$AZ324)/10)*9","v":211},{"$f":"N322","v":210},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*1","v":209},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*2","v":208},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*3","v":207},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*4","v":206},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*5","v":205},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*6","v":204},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*7","v":203},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*8","v":202},{"$f":"$BJ324+(($BT324-$BJ324)/10)*9","v":201},{"$f":"O322","v":200}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V326+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"B322","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$322=1,U321,U324)","v":353.09500335166928},350,340,330,320,310,300,295,290,285,280,275,270,265,260,255,250,248,246,244,242,240,238,236,234,232,230,228,226,224,222,220,219,218,217,216,215,214,213,212,211,210,209,208,207,206,205,204,203,202,201,200]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U328*U327/1000","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V328*V327/1000","v":67.058292465428963},67.745150375678719,67.654085002984118,66.83559552642447,65.349743279809715,63.266693472324491,61.710564208864128,59.162582310481596,55.724662734144871,51.546704627105065,46.789631964015499,41.617283662230356,37.135015693118675,33.326022200133735,30.076690189086996,27.286348886064143,25.1783552440317,23.234566493777123,21.43066352160432,19.754598469871492,18.196167623613938,16.746093846500326,15.419252063160892,14.206816030824248,13.098917462564405,12.086404846713631,11.160916028871615,10.314820291594549,9.5411554097558042,8.8335693635180359,8.1862670542450235,7.6287963369377181,7.0530806391294734,6.4638711486976259,5.8713782542182553,5.2856764599802952,4.715954479465907,4.1702313390595531,3.6551737245170073,3.1759852161502793,2.7363654457744047,2.3385363038293865,1.9578231877498431,1.5999318944575269,1.2734397155225954,0.98492834618666691,0.73801432052365945,0.53332810395132335,0.3688866689353959,0.24069029196065164,0.14343317351719637]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (Nominal-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U329","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V329*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":68.399458314737544},70.48205445085614,71.795056237846779,72.344998030553995,72.151397049286118,71.248572579626867,70.886040649272857,69.318394568394467,66.596130322561166,62.83514530955901,58.177026283298098,52.780778516605544,48.038102522624101,43.972978550438292,40.479265047076183,37.458309694904024,35.255775879833983,33.184682408798587,31.220430052957123,29.354294154903542,27.579318855036679,25.889120651594574,24.314607232780109,22.850772100419505,21.490162510081905,20.225608807906877,19.050416636607913,17.958351810000124,16.943610173717222,16.000788195588893,15.124855452455778,14.376776365831541,13.55765309907812,12.673557235330053,11.742108030340621,10.78218451368984,9.8124161733259303,8.850476934922316,7.9125181971925338,7.0127013283142121,6.162843507183327,5.3721895825703676,4.5875504531838152,3.8239222520578733,3.104460365684508,2.4491339448850988,1.8718578359816116,1.3797573434870303,0.97342249234446121,0.64783910855552151,0.3937842730671417]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"O&G Production (MSm3 o.e./yr)",{"$f":"T328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":223.13712629148426},{"$f":"U328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":216.50585921492637},{"$f":"V328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":228.0894301545203},{"$f":"W328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":237.20290747786663},{"$f":"X328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":244.06235571062095},{"$f":"Y328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":248.64432859532914},{"$f":"Z328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":250.95907557530614},{"$f":"AA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":251.0583074298591},{"$f":"AB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":249.03375386950816},{"$f":"AC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":242.86774347488341},{"$f":"AD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":232.76801476250989},{"$f":"AE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":219.16115912884808},{"$f":"AF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"AG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":183.49772337844072},{"$f":"AH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":166.82396987025459},{"$f":"AI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":152.5916767405391},{"$f":"AJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":140.41405317034079},{"$f":"AK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":129.93499469554354},{"$f":"AL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":120.86384045714142},{"$f":"AM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":112.43983010925825},{"$f":"AN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":104.56022405154334},{"$f":"AO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":97.179252606609083},{"$f":"AP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":90.2587679742755},{"$f":"AQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":83.763974822430626},{"$f":"AR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":77.780730746372541},{"$f":"AS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":72.277248834067194},{"$f":"AT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":67.215298966360862},{"$f":"AU328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":62.559031297689607},{"$f":"AV328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":58.275459632788298},{"$f":"AW328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":54.334283036212334},{"$f":"AX328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":50.707671182800823},{"$f":"AY328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":47.370063081928556},{"$f":"AZ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"BA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":41.469864845280057},{"$f":"BB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":38.516167754092798},{"$f":"BC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":35.461219819495426},{"$f":"BD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":32.359888967252289},{"$f":"BE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":29.267311517055902},{"$f":"BF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":26.23472674380233},{"$f":"BG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":23.307798675718495},{"$f":"BH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":20.525458920243754},{"$f":"BI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":17.919122185456327},{"$f":"BJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":15.512275769696171},{"$f":"BK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":13.320439187909468},{"$f":"BL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11.205489856626849},{"$f":"BM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9.20135665089445},{"$f":"BN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7.3592216569729283},{"$f":"BO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":5.7196768071235011},{"$f":"BP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":4.3068062588915694},{"$f":"BQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":3.1276571894870009},{"$f":"BR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":2.1740138433250582},{"$f":"BS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":1.4255525465568091},{"$f":"BT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":0.8537688899833118}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A114","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR114+U328","v":6206.7113398939819},{"$f":"U332+V328","v":6398.3064612237786},{"$f":"V332+W328","v":6597.5569035051867},6802.5692823021081,7011.430518322185,7222.2361418054425,7433.125120046524,7642.3134732969111,7846.3223778158135,8041.847510216322,8225.9428838845542,8396.0870001173371,8550.2250877552269,8690.3572224462405,8818.5342309082935,8936.48203557138,9045.6274311156358,9147.1530570996347,9241.6025143914121,9329.4331025947085,9411.06367478426,9486.8810398826517,9557.2427787334927,9622.578592560445,9683.2914815810618,9739.7523327128056,9792.3019190028645,9841.2533050944057,9886.8941028448244,9929.4885466383766,9969.2793996271957,10006.489704419218,10041.324390889255,10073.677971802692,10103.465396451069,10130.64770318356,10155.232244857887,10177.26941532268,10196.847966210284,10214.089351703289,10229.141414339072,10242.171725985618,10253.360894903462,10262.77350638303,10270.50264596978,10276.684392161638,10281.488920679622,10285.10663793709,10287.733869976259,10289.560041604651,10290.757505743759,10291.474671611344]
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[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)","Sm^3 o.e./yr",null,226.56913915464031,229.41,242.25,251.2,253.73,253.20999999999998,250.29000000000002,245.52999999999997,238.92000000000002,229.01000000000002,217.81]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S336","v":"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)"},"Mtoe/yr",null,{"$f":"V336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":190.31807688989787},{"$f":"W336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.70439999999999},{"$f":"X336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":203.48999999999998},{"$f":"Y336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":211.00799999999998},{"$f":"Z336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":213.13319999999999},{"$f":"AA336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":212.69639999999998},{"$f":"AB336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":210.24360000000001},{"$f":"AC336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":206.24519999999998},{"$f":"AD336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":200.69280000000001},{"$f":"AE336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.36840000000001},{"$f":"AF336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":182.96039999999999}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,179,179,179,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48,48]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV-GL"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"FIN-PM"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",177,177,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,41,41,41,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9,9]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
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["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G535+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M535+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N535+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F533","v":"pct/yr - Fraction of O&G exports as oil (pct): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E533","v":-2},{"$f":"F536","v":44.345516215328061},{"$f":"MAX(0,MIN(100,X535*(1+$W535/100)))","v":43.458605891021499},42.589433773201065,41.737645097737044,40.9028921957823,40.084834351866654,39.283137664829319,38.497474911532734,37.727525413302082,36.97297490503604,36.233515406935318,35.508845098796613,34.798668196820678,34.102694832884261,33.420640936226576,32.752228117502042,32.097183555152,31.455239884048961,30.82613508636798,30.209612384640621,29.60542013694781,29.013311734208852,28.433045499524674,27.864384589534179,27.307096897743495,26.760954959788624,26.225735860592852,25.701221143380995,25.187196720513374,24.683452786103107,24.189783730381045,23.705988055773425,23.231868294657957,22.767230928764796,22.3118863101895,21.86564858398571,21.428335612305997,20.999768900059877,20.57977352205868,20.168178051617506,19.764814490585156,19.369518200773452,18.982127836757982,18.602485280022822,18.230435574422366,17.865826862933918,17.508510325675239,17.158340119161736,16.815173316778502,16.47886985044293,16.149292453434072,15.82630660436539]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y538+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
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[]
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[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Production costs"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y560+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G561+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M561+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N561+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F559","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E559","v":1},{"$f":"F562","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"X561*(1+$W561/100)","v":356.62595338518599},360.19221291903784,363.79413504822821,367.43207639871048,371.10639716269759,374.81746113432456,378.56563574566781,382.35129210312448,386.17480502415572,390.03655307439726,393.93691860514122,397.87628779119262,401.85505066910457,405.87360117579561,409.93233718755357,414.0316605594291,418.17197716502341,422.35369693667366,426.57723390604042,430.84300624510081,435.15143630755182,439.50295067062734,443.89798017733364,448.33695997910695,452.820329578898,457.34853287468701,461.92201820343388,466.5412383854682,471.20665076932289,475.91871727701613,480.6779044497863,485.48468349428418,490.33953032922705,495.2429256325193,500.19535488884452,505.19730843773294,510.24928152211027,515.35177433733134,520.50529208070463,525.71034500151166,530.96744845152682,536.27712293604213,541.63989416540255,547.0562931070566,552.52685603812722,558.0521245985085,563.6326458444936,569.26897230293855,574.96166202596794,580.71127864622758,586.5183914326899]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D561","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y564+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production cost (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X568*AR528/1000","v":62.400000000000006},{"$f":"Y568*AS528/1000","v":63.226390038833031},64.55714329917619,65.19393645742106,65.164705638263854,64.506520785876688,63.266693472324491,61.50137585561373,58.754564501443788,55.138087336943343,50.810323132432138,45.938911382851586,41.309007486954577,37.275147827809683,33.838730233981948,30.902324821728598,28.377802841506711,26.19361150387169,24.179061066694892,22.308969403637285,20.57090419176701,18.954341274597855,17.590434712710429,16.333953456738232,15.178222255154111,14.11521278293578,13.137396572514817,12.237846522885542,11.410199437604589,10.648610948388173,9.9477132472049963,9.302576198005708,8.708671617508811,8.088395228359488,7.4468561620940399,6.7955766831229809,6.1461354185817392,5.509292616198489,4.8946377219008834,4.3103463732511882,3.7630156589458288,3.2575779116361958,2.7972922294609881,2.3531528698916384,1.9322848966878343,1.5454365479643148,1.2011321294959352,0.90442931436722962,0.65680800979227016,0.45654290709826223,0.29936603477692991,0.17929146689649547]
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[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A589,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D583","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y584+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G585+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M585+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N585+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F583","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E583","v":0.2},{"$f":"F586","v":904235.29411764699},{"$f":"X585*(1+$W585/100)","v":906043.76470588229},907855.85223529406,909671.56393976463,911490.90706764418,913313.88888177951,915140.51665954303,916970.79769286211,918804.73928824789,920642.34876682435,922483.63346435805,924328.6007312868,926177.25793274934,928029.61244861479,929885.67167351197,931745.443016859,933608.93390289275,935476.15177069849,937347.10407423985,939221.79828238836,941100.24187895318,942982.44236271107,944868.40724743647,946758.14406193129,948651.6603500552,950548.96367075527,952450.06159809674,954354.96172129293,956263.6716447355,958176.19898802496,960092.55138600105,962012.73648877302,963936.76196175057,965864.63548567402,967796.3647566454,969731.9574861587,971671.42140113097,973614.76424393326,975561.99377242115,977513.11775996594,979468.14399548585,981427.08028347685,983389.93444404379,985356.71431293187,987327.42774155771,989302.0825970408,991280.68676223489,993263.24813575938,995249.77463203087,997240.27418129495,999234.75472965755,1001233.2242391169]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A589","v":"Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr)"},{"$f":"hist!AR341","v":900000},{"$f":"hist!AS341","v":904235.29411764699},925000,925000,925000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D585","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y588+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,55.728628142491758,52.98277894012962,49.485496900519713,45.368551352715329,40.77095267007639,36.768977002605148,33.362367084121672,30.453660596121527,27.954902160016552,25.794739693510696,23.804433829465502,21.958723850917902,20.244966511930691,18.652447460055633,17.171436094545204,15.817005858316111,14.579975217641998,13.45012199225353,12.41798183082455,11.47491899968446,10.613063870105881,9.825245679837149,9.1049304448156452,8.4461643286650112,7.8435220462418158,7.2264414340028233,6.5999098672706502,5.9743996773421086,5.360101285745996,4.7661710817921286,4.2004638995192627,3.669372405466103,3.1777414688979264,2.7288537679635345,2.324482104897359,1.9397306394665041,1.5800300974344856,1.2535691485298259,0.96647542813783371,0.72190089307043703,0.52004904756696446,0.35858356532258712,0.23324600942356058,0.13857160073090186]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.294969953537333,63.319325376307596,60.322544592401393,56.410091161049699,51.707426180322294,47.564592445573183,44.020934853006359,40.986617582389115,38.376090072477417,36.118862916140593,33.998593292611801,31.989714240469862,30.082955270072414,28.270886846530605,26.546691120194065,24.94182489968971,23.450975236481057,22.066350766773049,20.780475739420968,19.586384061113492,18.477601099524289,17.448110371406333,16.492321233672129,15.60503874992726,14.78143568118282,13.890892663196221,12.940285090263171,11.948139498146434,10.93400277382754,9.9169011090861883,8.9146394614771722,7.9432547174931374,7.0165792040403492,6.1459257029856955,5.3399036518493546,4.5451561866352224,3.7763558995425055,3.0560188203794629,2.403248710542361,1.8309886487530576,1.3454034899676783,0.94623454102432281,0.62780216679364542,0.38043721493080018]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-0.5},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.954570347727819E-2},6.91979749598918E-2,6.885198508509234E-2,6.8507725159666882E-2,6.8165186533868549E-2,6.7824360601199202E-2,6.7485238798193209E-2,6.7147812604202245E-2,6.6812073541181238E-2,6.6478013173475334E-2,6.6145623107607951E-2,6.5814894992069911E-2,6.5485820517109564E-2,6.5158391414524022E-2,6.4832599457451401E-2,6.4508436460164145E-2,{"$f":"AO608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.4185894277863323E-2},6.3864964806474009E-2,6.3545639982441643E-2,6.3227911782529428E-2,6.2911772223616783E-2,6.2597213362498696E-2,6.2284227295686202E-2,6.197280615920777E-2,6.1662942128411731E-2,6.1354627417769675E-2,6.1047854280680824E-2,6.0742615009277419E-2,6.0438901934231029E-2,6.0136707424559871E-2,5.983602388743707E-2,5.9536843767999885E-2,{"$f":"BE608*(1+$W608/100)","v":5.9239159549159884E-2},5.8942963751414085E-2,5.8648248932657014E-2,5.8355007687993732E-2,5.8063232649553764E-2,5.7772916486305996E-2,5.7484051903874463E-2,5.7196631644355088E-2,5.6910648486133315E-2,5.662609524370265E-2,5.6342964767484134E-2,5.606124994364671E-2,5.5780943693928477E-2,5.5502038975458835E-2,5.5224528780581539E-2,5.4948406136678632E-2,{"$f":"BU608*(1+$W608/100)","v":5.4673664105995237E-2},5.4400295785465264E-2]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX per Mtoe (\",B673,\")\")","v":"OPEX per Mtoe (2018-NOK/Mtoe)"},"2018-NOK/Mtoe",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(X528=0,\"\",X669/X528*1000)","v":503.26734553894727},{"$f":"IF(Y528=0,\"\",Y669/Y528*1000)","v":452.69819356737412},474.7905695133922,498.49850368990406,479.6643284794672,445.91712592483731,443.8928681422932,465.13638874311431,561.14025828495096,551.4673815164665,658.62446313128305,647.09078391413789,674.80854801291309,688.72390733575946,756.61389577405316,765.79231281667057,692.69371348845891,639.05597554555516,567.73999008752355,594.67553733237526,678.53258723041074,648.92339544903064,{"$f":"IF(AT528=0,\"\",AT669/AT528*1000)","v":652.02890565157406},655.71716432247752,659.98802530065939,664.84134359724976,670.27697538618975,672.54790463182758,674.66833927432754,676.63813892040639,678.45716430273512,680.12527727090969,675.26790940994204,670.42735614902335,665.60348263506103,660.79615509648454,656.00524083457162,651.23060821484307,646.47212665852874,641.72966663409977,637.00309964887083,632.29229824066738,629.55792028328699,626.83905603712481,624.13558108221673,621.44737199644715,618.77430634754558,616.11626268514794,613.47312053292308,610.84476038075866,608.23106367701484,605.63191282083505,603.04719115452167,600.47678295597245,597.92057343117506,595.3784487067669,592.85029582264849,590.33600272466072,587.83545825731881,585.34855215660468,582.87517504281857,580.41521841348504,578.16857463631857,575.93513694224509,573.71479941847826,{"$f":"IF(CK528=0,\"\",CK669/CK528*1000)","v":571.50745700165157},569.3130054710083,567.13134144164053,564.96236235778849,562.80596648618871,560.66205290947937,558.53052151965517]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX per barrel (\",B674,\")\")","v":"OPEX per barrel (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X673/hist!Y27/7.33","v":8.7995191491403588},{"$f":"Y673/hist!Z27/7.33","v":7.0126341024384136},{"$f":"Z673/hist!AA27/7.33","v":7.2037834292765535},{"$f":"AA673/hist!AB27/7.33","v":8.5256004269078023},{"$f":"AB673/hist!AC27/7.33","v":9.2416110207249424},{"$f":"AC673/hist!AD27/7.33","v":9.0308955742745169},{"$f":"AD673/hist!AE27/7.33","v":9.39804525779833},{"$f":"AE673/hist!AF27/7.33","v":9.8936511988424325},{"$f":"AF673/hist!AG27/7.33","v":13.061763254094398},{"$f":"AG673/hist!AH27/7.33","v":13.343537707891755},{"$f":"AH673/hist!AI27/7.33","v":14.305121060656907},{"$f":"AI673/hist!AJ27/7.33","v":14.597651558815638},{"$f":"AJ673/hist!AK27/7.33","v":16.425088748626532},{"$f":"AK673/hist!AL27/7.33","v":16.140570836189607},{"$f":"AL673/hist!AM27/7.33","v":17.563068123387325},{"$f":"AM673/hist!AN27/7.33","v":16.576340566267906},{"$f":"AN673/hist!AO27/7.33","v":11.70789367771901},{"$f":"AO673/hist!AP27/7.33","v":10.383343036121872},{"$f":"AP673/hist!AQ27/7.33","v":9.3705625141665703},{"$f":"AQ673/hist!AR27/7.33","v":9.973391937310577},{"$f":"AR673/hist!AS27/7.33","v":10.516474533365157},{"$f":"AS673/hist!AT27/7.33","v":9.4477226351336494},{"$f":"AT673/Z624/7.33","v":9.8837184424977114},{"$f":"AU673/AA624/7.33","v":9.9396265624143929},10.004366004254349,10.07793457021752,10.160330080130208,10.194753746124414,10.226896153923411,10.256755175388909,10.284328699450283,10.309614631967708,10.235984681066274,10.162609612687939,10.089487382674868,10.016615963263369,9.9439933429524281,9.871617526373246,9.799486534159902,9.727598402820977,9.6559511846122597,9.5845429474104495,9.5430941379913143,9.5018804916950863,9.4609001225135163,9.4201511595641509,9.3796317469690109,9.3393400437342411,9.2992742236307873,9.2594324750759238,9.2198130010158383,9.1804140188090813,9.1412337601109837,9.1022704707590183,9.0635224106590115,9.0249878536723802,8.9866650875041465,8.9485524135919459,8.9106481469958894,8.8729506162892928,8.8354581634503351,8.7981691437545102,8.7641136067351617,8.7302582528762329,8.6966014767087803,8.6631416856397081,8.6298772998485411,8.5968067521849409,8.5639284880671287,8.5312409653810626,8.4987426543804663,8.4664320375876176]
[]
[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44652685492725275,0.44067221822876101,0.43499545882823465,0.42949089176887117,0.42415312360640361,0.42293211954896659,0.42172587486927948,0.42053445478835011,0.41935792689040269,0.41819636119432807,0.41704983022759301,0.41591840910271216,0.41480217559639154,0.41370121023145501,0.4126155963616745,0.41026364494010287,0.40792269936419645,0.40559274087302277,0.40327375042607899,0.40096570870560627,0.39866859611892852,0.396382392800813,0.39410707861585603,0.39184263316088719,0.38958903576739851,0.38734626550399198,0.38511430117884815,0.38289312134221554,0.38068270428891676,0.37848302806087553,0.3762940704496604,0.37411580899904634,0.37194822100759295,0.36979128353123841,0.36764497338591096,0.36538283023082369,0.36313176264951619,0.36089175012566882,0.35866277183884226,0.35644480666719375,0.35423783319022112,0.35204182969152942,0.34985677416162186,0.34768264430071316,0.34551941752156606]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A696,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Average Gas price (2018-NOK/toe-gass): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y689+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR26","v":71.310059760956193},{"$f":"hist!AS26","v":64.592176348560841},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
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["Offshore, Revenue - Calculations",null,null,null,1980,{"$f":"E714+1","v":1981},1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,{"$f":"BQ714+1","v":2045},2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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["Oil exports M USD/yr","Million constant USD / yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR728*X699","v":34415.502555145969},28486.674466139397,29136.599053453603,29460.160408539501,29472.960857977036,29194.270875606264,28647.564504388964,27859.875470102277,26611.719772325756,24955.07075976182,22963.282519086999,20713.465727081966,18282.802556267241,16191.445777511839,14427.990150191601,12936.110596880226,11666.297453080313,10578.741432565846,9591.717502204945,8690.8379926270209,7867.8504308882466,7115.6665738093225,6427.8991393454671,5808.8769406759693,5252.5606907556939,4752.7193803609525,4303.6810294656707,3900.3354123863678,3538.0826454837511,3212.7826008518191,2920.7090293272513,2658.5082394503379,2423.1619023420058,2187.4399291191762,1953.2890932629407,1724.5642321737375,1504.8329516178617,1297.1196896613765,1103.8391838038117,926.7729521224378,767.07443147379104,625.29918748550585,501.4565822876155,386.71821035848205,282.57962574786046,202.38497814694668,154.15015135874646,113.7506474381578,80.955016015304381,55.145870709086829,35.43724890692129,20.799034256347177]
["Oil exports M NOK/yr","Million constant NOK /yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR729*X624","v":302935.85346518183},256380.07019525458,262229.39148108242,265141.44367685553,265256.64772179333,262748.43788045639,257828.08053950066,250738.87923092049,239505.47795093182,224595.63683785638,206669.54267178298,186421.19154373769,164545.22300640517,145723.01199760655,129851.91135172441,116424.99537192204,104996.67707772282,95208.672893092618,86325.457519844509,78217.541933643195,70810.65387799422,64040.999164283901,57851.0922541092,52279.892466083722,47273.046216801245,42774.474423248575,38733.129265191033,35103.018711477307,31842.74380935376,28915.043407666373,26286.381263945263,23926.57415505304,21808.457121078052,19686.959362072586,17579.601839366467,15521.078089563638,13543.496564560755,11674.077206952388,9934.552654234305,8340.9565691019397,6903.6698832641196,5627.6926873695529,4513.1092405885393,3480.4638932263383,2543.2166317307442,1821.4648033225201,1387.351362228718,1023.7558269434202,728.59514413773945,496.31283638178144,318.93524016229162,187.19130830712459]
["Oil exports G NOK/yr","Giga NOK / yr",null,null,{"$f":"hist!F$20","v":28.5},{"$f":"hist!G$20","v":31.047000000000001},{"$f":"hist!H$20","v":31.879000000000001},{"$f":"hist!I$20","v":40.652999999999999},{"$f":"hist!J$20","v":51.712000000000003},{"$f":"hist!K$20","v":56.076999999999998},{"$f":"hist!L$20","v":28.526},{"$f":"hist!M$20","v":37.097000000000001},{"$f":"hist!N$20","v":33.682000000000002},{"$f":"hist!O$20","v":59.368000000000002},{"$f":"hist!P$20","v":74.563000000000002},{"$f":"hist!Q$20","v":80.396000000000001},{"$f":"hist!R$20","v":82.658000000000001},{"$f":"hist!S$20","v":89.429000000000002},{"$f":"hist!T$20","v":92.119},{"$f":"hist!U$20","v":98.009},{"$f":"hist!V$20","v":135.72999999999999},{"$f":"hist!W$20","v":136.11199999999999},{"$f":"hist!X$20","v":91.082999999999998},{"$f":"hist!Y$20","v":133.678},{"$f":"hist!Z$20","v":258.83600000000001},{"$f":"hist!AA$20","v":234.69800000000001},{"$f":"hist!AB$20","v":197.92099999999999},{"$f":"hist!AC$20","v":195.69900000000001},{"$f":"hist!AD$20","v":237.46799999999999},{"$f":"hist!AE$20","v":289.45299999999997},{"$f":"hist!AF$20","v":309.25200000000001},{"$f":"hist!AG$20","v":309.67500000000001},{"$f":"hist!AH$20","v":359.36900000000003},{"$f":"hist!AI$20","v":243.52099999999999},{"$f":"hist!AJ$20","v":281.98500000000001},{"$f":"hist!AK$20","v":321.24799999999999},{"$f":"hist!AL$20","v":306.82499999999999},{"$f":"hist!AM$20","v":288.12599999999998},{"$f":"hist!AN$20","v":282.66300000000001},{"$f":"hist!AO$20","v":197.11600000000001},{"$f":"hist!AP$20","v":187.595},{"$f":"hist!AQ$20","v":223.07300000000001},{"$f":"hist!AR$20","v":261.334},{"$f":"AR730/1000","v":302.93585346518182},{"$f":"AS730/1000*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":261.50767159915966},272.82345889691817,281.37022116142856,287.12232614785989,290.09550633459958,290.35629493455752,288.02015689500206,280.61884004264056,268.41257652991754,251.92901929977185,231.79132010580187,208.68312891233757,188.50825452980195,171.33683937172313,156.69271506060326,144.13793737431311,133.31512725125137,123.2940107730229,113.94818897659304,105.22090673753013,97.064787062900066,89.436612557032831,82.440123961772841,76.035728431267046,70.176059148859935,64.816720137986692,59.916867927900306,55.438987763079894,51.348626305223362,47.614141206604636,44.20647080893653,41.098922695768543,37.842891533928587,34.467903978935986,31.040441917376477,27.627207231704627,24.290078390902615,21.084089101133767,18.056042095162695,15.243576926750505,12.674692041714186,10.367715227507833,8.155385946271938,6.0784229026050181,4.4404656305881938,3.4498035596926271,2.5965964528115708,1.8849269204174346,1.3096761657654614,0.85844227447054022,0.513918722277805]
[]
["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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[]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2081]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",1.5]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A785","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E779*(1+$E$780/100)","v":24.375},{"$f":"U784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":23.765625},{"$f":"V784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":23.171484374999999},{"$f":"W784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":22.592197265625},22.027392333984373,21.476707525634765,20.939789837493894,20.416295091556545,19.905887714267632,19.408240521410942,18.923034508375668,18.449958645666275,17.988709679524618,17.538991937536501,17.100517139098088,16.673004210620636,16.25617910535512,15.849774627721242,15.453530262028211,15.067192005477505,14.690512205340568,14.323249400207054,13.965168165201877,13.61603896107183,13.275637987045034,12.943747037368908,12.620153361434685,12.304649527398817,11.997033289213848,11.697107456983501,11.404679770558912,11.11956277629494,10.841573706887566,10.570534364215376,10.306271005109991,10.048614229982242,9.7973988742326856,9.5524639023768678,9.3136523048174453,9.080810997197009,8.8537907222670835,8.6324459542104055,8.4166348053551445,8.2062189352212656,8.001063461840733,7.8010368752947148,7.6060109534123468,7.4158606795770377,7.2304641625876114,7.0497025585229212,6.8734599945598482,6.7016234946958519]
["Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B785=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E779","v":25},{"$f":"E785","v":25},{"$f":"F785","v":25},25,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,null,null,null,null,"GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"IF(U783<$E$777,0,IF(U783=$E$777,U784*$E778,T785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V783<$E$777,0,IF(V783=$E$777,V784*$E778,U785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(W783<$E$777,0,IF(W783=$E$777,W784*$E778,V785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(X783<$E$777,0,IF(X783=$E$777,X784*$E778,W785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(AB783<$E$777,0,IF(AB783=$E$777,AB784*$E778,AA785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AC783<$E$777,0,IF(AC783=$E$777,AC784*$E778,AB785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!S1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!T1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,W785,W791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!U1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,X785,X791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!V1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Y785,Y791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!W1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Z785,Z791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!X1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AA785,AA791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!Y1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!Z1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AC785,AC791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AA1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AD785,AD791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AB1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AE785,AE791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AC1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AF785,AF791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AD1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AG785,AG791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AE1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AH785,AH791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AF1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AI785,AI791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AG1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AJ785,AJ791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AH1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AK785,AK791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AI1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AL785,AL791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AJ1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AM785,AM791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AK1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AN785,AN791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AL1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AO785,AO791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AM1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AP785,AP791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AN1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AQ785,AQ791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AO1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AR785,AR791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AP1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AS785,AS791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AQ1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AT785,AT791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AR1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AU785,AU791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AS1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AV785,AV791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AT1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AW785,AW791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AU1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AX785,AX791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AV1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AY785,AY791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AW1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AZ785,AZ791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AX1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BA785,BA791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AY1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BB785,BB791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AZ1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BC785,BC791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BA1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BD785,BD791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BB1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BE785,BE791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BC1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BF785,BF791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BD1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BG785,BG791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BE1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BH785,BH791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BF1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BG1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BH1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BI1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BJ1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BK1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BL1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BM1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BN1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BO1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BP1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BQ1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BR1244-SC2_Harvest!$S1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S1244)","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"E849*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.98},{"$f":"U848*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.9601000000000002},3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T848","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"F849","v":4},{"$f":"G849","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"H849","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"I849","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"J849","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"K849","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"L849","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"M849","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"N849","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"O849","v":4}]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T855,SEARCH(\"(\",T855)),\" Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal ( Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!T$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"V855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!T$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"W855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!U$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"X855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!V$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Y855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!W$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Z855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!X$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AA855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!Y$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AB855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!Z$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AC855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AA$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AD855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AB$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AE855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AC$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AF855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AD$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AG855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AE$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AH855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AF$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AI855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AG$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AJ855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AH$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AK855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AI$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AL855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AJ$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AM855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AK$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AN855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AL$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AO855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AM$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AP855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AN$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AQ855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AO$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AR855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AP$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AS855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AQ$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AT855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AR$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AU855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AS$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AV855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AT$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AW855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AU$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AX855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AV$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AY855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AW$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AZ855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AX$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BA855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AY$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BB855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!AZ$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BC855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BA$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BD855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BB$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BE855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BC$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BF855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BD$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BG855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BE$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BH855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BF$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BI855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BG$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BJ855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BH$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BK855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BI$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BL855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BJ$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BM855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BK$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BN855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BL$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BO855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BM$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BP855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BN$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BQ855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BO$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BR855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BP$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BS855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BQ$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BT855*(1+(SC2_Harvest!BR$1244-SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)/SC2_Harvest!$S$1244)","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC2_Harvest"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,{"$f":"AN937*(1+$W937/100)","v":119.16520877176099},115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,{"$f":"BD937*(1+$W937/100)","v":73.197664853697844},71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,{"$f":"BT937*(1+$W937/100)","v":44.961933061321098},43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},11640,11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,4391.8598912218686,4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A950,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F940","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E940","v":-1},{"$f":"F945","v":80},{"$f":"X940*(1+$W940/100)","v":79.2},78.408000000000001,77.623919999999998,76.847680799999992,76.079203991999989,75.318411952079984,74.565227832559188,73.819575554233595,73.081379798691259,72.350566000704347,71.627060340697298,70.91078973729033,70.201681839917427,69.499665021518254,68.804668371303066,68.11662168759004,{"$f":"AN940*(1+$W940/100)","v":67.435455470714146},66.76110091600701,66.093489906846941,65.432555007778475,64.778229457700689,64.130447163123677,63.489142691492439,62.854251264577513,62.225708751931741,61.603451664412425,60.987417147768298,60.377542976290613,59.773767546527708,59.176029871062433,58.584269572351808,57.998426876628287,{"$f":"BD940*(1+$W940/100)","v":57.418442607862005},56.844258181783381,56.275815599965547,55.713057443965894,55.155926869526233,54.604367600830969,54.058323924822659,53.517740685574431,52.982563278718686,52.452737645931499,51.928210269472181,51.408928166777457,50.894838885109685,50.38589049625859,49.882031591296006,49.383211275383047,{"$f":"BT940*(1+$W940/100)","v":48.889379162629218},48.400485371002922,47.916480517292889]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V947","v":"Labor intensity GO Shutdown&Removal  p/(GW/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$951=1,X941,X947)","v":700},693,686.07,679.2093000000001,672.41720700000008,665.69303493000007,659.03610458070011,652.44574353489315,645.9212860995442,639.46207323854878,633.06745250616325,626.73677798110157,620.46941020129054,614.26471609927762,608.12206893828488,602.04084824890208,596.02043976641301,590.06023536874886,584.15963301506133,578.31803668491068,572.53485631806154,566.80950775488088,561.14141267733203,555.52999855055873,549.97469856505313,544.47495157940261,539.03020206360861,533.6399000429725,528.30350104254273,523.02046603211727,517.79026137179608,512.61235875807813,507.48623517049737,502.41137281879242,497.38725909060446,492.41338649969839,487.48925263470142,482.61436010835439,477.78821650727082,473.01033434219812,468.28023099877612,463.59742868878834,458.96145440190043,454.37183985788141,449.82812145930257,445.32984024470954,440.87654184226244,436.46777642383984,432.10309865960141,427.78206767300537,423.5042469962753,419.26920452631254]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC2_Harvest"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (\",C985,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U799*X951/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (\",C986,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U823*X953/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (\",C987,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U854*X954/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"SC2_Harvest"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1063","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"F1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"G1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"H1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"I1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"J1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"K1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"L1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"M1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"N1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"O1063","v":0.35}]
["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,1,"Green offshore wage level relative to O&G sector",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1065","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1066=1,X1062,X1065)","v":0.34825},0.34650874999999998,0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore OPEX (Nominal 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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X1067*U800","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
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["Green offshore OPEX",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1104+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"A1163","v":"Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)"},null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1058,\" (\",B1112,\")\")","v":"Green offshore operations (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"F1114-F1113","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1113,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"X1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1104,\" (\",B1114,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1112+E1113","v":0},{"$f":"X1069","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore OPEX (\",B1115,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,\"\",SUM(F1114)/F1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(G1036=0,\"\",SUM(G1114)/G1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(H1036=0,0,H1114/H1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O1114/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P1114/P1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore revenue (\",B1116,\")\")","v":"Green offshore revenue (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1155","v":0},{"$f":"F1164","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees per GO OPEX (\",B1117,\")\")","v":"Employees per GO OPEX (p/2018-MNOK)"},"p/2018-MNOK",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(O1114=0,\"\",O990/O1114)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,59.2353845011461,59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR455","v":42.233249999999998},{"$f":"hist!AS455","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[{"$f":"hist!A455","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B1140=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1140+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1140","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},null,{"$f":"F1138","v":37.617973856209154},{"$f":"G1138","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"H1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"I1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"J1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"K1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"L1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"M1138","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*4","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*5","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*6","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*7","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*8","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*9","v":50},{"$f":"N1138","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*4","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*5","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*6","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*7","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*8","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*9","v":50},{"$f":"O1138","v":50}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1141","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1140=1,X1137,X1141)","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100*(AY1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(AL1038>0,AL1164/AL1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX (\",B1210,\")\")","v":"OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1115","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"CAPEX (\",B1211,\")\")","v":"CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O913","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"LCOE (\",B1212,\")\")","v":"LCOE (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1210+O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1210+P1211","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Revenue (\",B1213,\")\")","v":"Revenue (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1165","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1214,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1213-O1210-O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1213-P1210-P1211","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1215,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1164-O911-O1114","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1239+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1239+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1239+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1233","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1232=1,S1233,S1226)","v":1.6909868685221172},-5.2056557471082767,-3.1645245976866212,-1.1233934482649657,0.91773770115668984,2.9588688505783454,5,4.66,4.32,3.98,3.6399999999999997,3.3,2.94,2.58,2.2199999999999998,1.8599999999999999,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1000000000000001,1,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,5168.0283591996267,5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1236","v":"GDP nominal Mainland (GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1242*S1244/100","v":3063.06},{"$f":"T1242*T1244/100","v":2983.4346009050273},2964.6020040302815,3007.1904980255508,3112.5509743982325,3285.9174077439038,3536.8121481298558,3793.5830746444303,4055.4959021008872,4321.063522395707,4588.6525057543922,4856.4957267412192,5121.7131831321531,5381.6384750627331,5633.9859130135274,5876.4340541593047,6106.6594603465928,6338.6251828155646,6572.3764929576973,6807.4670973239936,7043.4296362714322,7279.7769480661,7516.0034879834193,7751.3319597027803,7985.2014019095404,8217.0379590730754,8446.2570640676422,8680.9034646487908,8920.7812365541413,9165.9674471339695,9416.5391155104553,9672.5731706734114,9934.1464085223288,10201.606688222746,10475.051556863571,10754.579207423216,11040.288455359008,11332.278714353659,11630.649971216004,11935.502759933996,12246.938134878455,12565.057643156875,12889.963296117186,13221.668695171922,13560.269935807022,13905.863225933022,14258.544849645114,14618.411130270541,14985.558392718631,15360.082925149871,15742.080939981615,16131.648534249058]
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[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
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["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Mainland CO2e emissions per unit GDP (kgCO2e/2018-NOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1318+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1318+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1318+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1318+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1318+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1329+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1329+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1325","v":"Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1323=1,S1325,S1319)","v":1.1086817092569881},1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001,1.1000000000000001]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A430","v":"Offshore emissions (MtCO2e/yr)"},null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1357+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1357+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1357+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,{"$f":"X608*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,13.857012176619332,14.186441454457233,14.380510707308256,14.441813715703201,14.375286539740276,14.188066304425279,13.767589638415902,13.129084949841165,12.299793644113182,11.310842800312308,10.195559851423329,9.2227817297036729,8.3937765705660254,7.6852892227211962,7.0761797119458869,6.5492593928671763,6.0623228803315605,5.6092974245354359,5.1872669519179606,4.7937736720249182,4.4265816878417619,4.0898398783382648,3.7814553795378458,3.499037382771403,3.2403620982759032,3.0033940552299621,2.7862727703215651,2.5872979008860773,2.4049154616706949,2.2377052124565751,2.0843691317324096,1.9262300921786983,1.764582001303733,1.6022057204130904,1.4418403200112078,1.2859792518946798,1.1367939551280513,0.99608512419557127,0.86525354981573754,0.74528993545857203,0.6367828591353859,0.5329994341339046,0.43548263941929749,0.34655641834989603,0.26800113473752468,0.20079068422622995,0.14508765136035881,0.10034522031222103,6.5469752120550215E-2,3.9014035323917229E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",null,{"$f":"X614*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,14.329323399412543,15.158022315460572,15.864696751335551,16.438419276216774,16.871118259286533,16.609555248080717,16.07590167608948,15.290065353719751,14.285800996654833,13.10109694992434,11.806977513062391,10.678068663455255,9.7158172414236041,8.8932644715967033,8.1859046658192423,7.5738116984063097,7.0081497310498477,6.481897409403274,5.9916839987130892,5.5346676521825735,5.1082622405711087,4.7172457583060012,4.3591854316802596,4.0313047708064582,3.7310206265942076,3.455967858062877,3.2039840020793688,2.9730921767899781,2.7614851974241073,2.5675110306495754,2.3896594918444181,2.2065142182964688,2.0195873911599036,1.8320874737699557,1.6471642921799061,1.4676755529552776,1.296100068759354,1.1344831654397127,0.98440489638022877,0.84697025702541096,0.7239392289845038,0.60617217928408607,0.49543784751076075,0.39439540704049314,0.30508756089196754,0.22863973067203566,0.16525289526373516,0.11431834393740486,7.4602015866410937E-2,4.4464283790330877E-2]
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["GDP value created by Green Offshore",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"SC2_Harvest"},2018,{"$f":"E1375+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1375+1","v":2056},{"$f":"AQ1375+1","v":2057},2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Percent of investment spending being imported",{"$f":"$B$939","v":50},"pct"]
["Green offshore revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore investment spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"F909*$B$939/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore operations spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1105","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore wages paid (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["'GDP' green offshore (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(E1377:E1380)","v":0},{"$f":"SUM(F1377:F1380)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"SUM(L1377:L1380)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["'GDP' green offshore (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1381*(100/S1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Employment Norway (1000 p)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(O1457:O1459)","v":2024.5},{"$f":"SUM(P1457:P1459)","v":2004.9166666666667},2000.25,2000.4999999999998,2030.9166666666667,2076.3333333333335,2131.75,2198.25,2250.75,2263,2273.5,2281.5,2290.5,2275,2279.5,2291,2355,2436.75,2504.75,2495.75,2497.7500000000005,2541.5,2583,2602.75,2625,2639.75,2638.75,2645.75,2694.5,{"$f":"SUM(AR1457:AR1459)","v":2725.5},{"$f":"SUM(AS1457:AS1459)","v":2844.0997788717273},2734.4713564675089,2680.671019155594,2678.5061537170627,2726.9304635921189,2827.955392632593,2916.5598745303296,2998.2891626607548,3072.4051506114224,3138.2140011696238,3195.0641348329882,3247.820374842302,3290.4373174492225,3322.0496379934052,3342.0635002879808,3350.1385485767019,3355.1017581650958,3356.6068773958709,3354.7493294010437,3349.5689750400779,3341.0752090801448,3329.8638256371341,3315.2520623708442,3297.2526921853223,3275.8899947451473,3251.2046124293211,3226.5139752022174,3201.6401612606628,3176.5828673293408,3151.3437012226823,3125.9252749042057,3100.2717873634092,3074.4590701685124,3048.56566773946,3022.6096373699197,2996.5532507261501,2970.34576785747,2943.9670425091754,2917.4473488134827,2890.8529896561658,2864.247070214421,2837.5515615463955,2810.7764474803671,2783.9277514275032,2757.0265778591356,2730.079654593133,2703.0884337851294,2676.0629222836023,2649.0243690846546,2621.9937833577173,2594.9779432406503]
["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.614842479969901,53.837424437046501,54.915196975571497,55.837976744786729,56.596470799726077,57.278793919551767,57.785527996033103,58.104048345963221,58.226502764868727,58.149388964921421,58.027631058658471,57.851134447930178,57.622094646939374,57.34170339073917,57.010594486113838,56.639345869471413,56.218551276365574,55.748788234015407,55.230788518098748,54.665518027384294,54.108851782184601,53.559382038261994,53.016864585355506,52.481090679490499,51.951871443031223,51.428051929261095,50.909312866042498,50.396771310908107,49.890539770598267,49.389812238180596,48.893574542771709,48.401321694693777,47.913379691980531,47.430664896250065,46.954038935578609,46.482050503051006,46.015004176524272,45.552822290464157,45.095675513434458,44.643500833238491,44.196150823531937,43.753619798069124,43.316087747762808,42.883732843498443,42.456502828507396]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.0123460652255236,7.7026838420069765,7.5329482942609172,7.489880142237328,7.5692889779486805,7.7752449773949603,7.9577025669009327,8.1066516646975941,8.2223868410851892,8.3060458801882362,8.2758158122737431,8.2151995375126283,8.1419041209317751,8.0547665939545112,7.9514709578074614,7.8303527173312215,7.7097608345052375,7.5869842515908408,7.4616454320259802,7.3336059016281787,7.2027976659678279,7.0692043751552562,6.9331629923482083,6.7947049869506246,6.6538793274301682,6.5107721992888692,6.3718580559062943,6.2368998831129145,6.105679322375706,5.9779986382071364,5.8536783920008615,5.732555390432104,5.6138288214582861,5.4974996070569322,5.3836171228844467,5.2722203170098565,5.1633318397315744,5.0569572904521181,4.9530855660916711,4.8516898781623778,4.7527293045906074,4.6561507534653748,4.5616906533953303,4.4693399658307271,4.3793688005276872,4.2919130328055219,4.2063591665935611,4.1226630477195938,4.0407728506316243,3.9606320438209228]
[null,null,null,"plus behavioural change",null,{"$f":"F1495*IF(F1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(F1488-$F1485)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1495*IF(G1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(G1488-$F1485)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.0123460652255236,7.7026838420069765,7.5329482942609172,7.489880142237328,7.5692889779486805,7.7752449773949603,7.9577025669009327,8.1066516646975941,8.2223868410851892,8.3060458801882362,8.2758158122737431,8.2151995375126283,8.1419041209317751,8.0547665939545112,7.9514709578074614,7.8303527173312215,7.7097608345052375,7.5869842515908408,7.4616454320259802,7.3336059016281787,7.2027976659678279,7.0692043751552562,6.9331629923482083,6.7947049869506246,6.6538793274301682,6.5107721992888692,6.3718580559062943,6.2368998831129145,6.105679322375706,5.9779986382071364,5.7954333188215506,5.6190431883590364,5.447915105890079,5.2819395642043467,5.1210550175335623,4.9651901078021874,4.81425869748933,4.6681599377954202,4.5267793621679733,4.3899905424676451,4.2576571468763964,4.1296352596844317,4.0055997200194691,3.8854575060919601,3.7693576583212183,3.657327033688361,3.5487572348226744,3.4435376354461842,3.3415540170201794,3.2426912559022902]
[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2333886040772253},8.1272476516631755,8.0083877801827246,7.9046862525936454,7.8376067976646526,7.8251344336107138,7.8516480602687579,7.9026487811545252,7.9665963931406578,8.0344862905501735,8.0827521948948871,8.1092416634184357,8.1157741549211035,8.1035726427277854,8.0731523057437204,8.0245923880612207,7.961626077350024,7.8866977121981874,7.8016872561637456,7.708070985256632,7.6070163213988709,7.4994539321501481,7.3861957441897603,7.2678975927419334,7.1450939396795805,7.0182295916014379,6.8889552844624093,6.7585442041925106,6.6279712278291498,6.497976709904747,6.357468031688108,6.2097830630222939,6.0574094715958511,5.9023154901175499,5.7460633956007525,5.5898887380410391,5.4347627299306973,5.2814421715036417,5.1305096096365084,4.9824057962027357,4.8374560663374675,4.6958919050068602,4.5578334680093819,4.4233582756258976,4.2925581521649621,4.165511928469642,4.0421609897402488,3.9224363188814357,3.8062598585091845,3.6935461379878056]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},{"$f":"IF($B$1504=1,AD1502,IF($B$1504=2,AD1503,F1490))","v":8.1577805320073189},8.1169916293472824,8.0764066712005462,8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,42.971989254964022,42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"SC2_Harvest"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,0.6,"Future annual RoC, reneawable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.326662990146076},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.748622968086949},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.173114705895472},71.600153394130842,72.029754314495634,72.461932840382602,72.896704437424901,73.334084664049456,73.774089172033754,74.216733707065956,74.662034109308351,75.110006313964206,75.560666351847985,76.014030349959071,76.47011453205883,76.928935219251187,77.390508830566688,77.854851883550083,78.321980994851387,78.79191288082049,79.264664358105421,79.74025234425406,80.218693858319583,80.700006021469505,81.184206057598317,81.671311293943901,82.161339161707559,82.654307196677806,83.150233039857866,83.649134438097008,84.151029244725592,84.655935420193941,85.163871032715107,85.674854258911395,86.188903384464865,86.706036804771657,87.226273025600292,87.749630663753891,88.276128447736411,88.805785218422827,89.338619929733369,89.874651649311772,90.41389955920765,90.956382956562891,91.502121254302267,92.051133981828087,92.603440785719059,93.159061430433368,93.718015799015973,94.280323893810063,94.846005837172925,95.415081872195969]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801358,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471803,3.2485285330564553,3.20074321710708,3.1703516863442687,3.1415188201223816,3.1141981941505064,3.0883467506122333,3.0639246279621704,3.0780929353806084,3.0928764576555339,3.1082872978993756,3.1243381660730227,3.141042407899088,3.1683958980296612,3.1968404380120847,3.2264157552283481,3.2571639706986377,3.2891297704926017,3.2978691647559666,3.3070166708008348,3.3165750431995105,3.3265472071449551,3.3369362626197194,3.3406891391553448,3.3447321371549341,3.3490642880186527,3.353684685847572,3.3585924875356414,3.3613522406608509,3.3643636106719543,3.367624950970816,3.3711346618855655,3.3748911903999699,3.3788930298930726,3.3831387198891383,3.3876268458179148,3.3923560387852714,3.3973249753542381,3.4051338580387456,3.4132207072317464,3.4215854465820659,3.4302280645857466,3.4391486150061938,3.4483472173225351,3.4578240572068242,3.467579387030824,3.4776135264030823,3.4879268627370847]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,4.1145783660573869,3.9679071609619365,3.8421091137346854,3.7326146900171846,3.6357974586250386,3.5487866103214469,3.4730996255260114,3.4067834644452852,3.3482664103863296,3.2962824784315101,3.2498109083376421,3.2154673137462355,3.1909491425280954,3.1744167736023514,3.1644010520964856,3.1597293232570061,3.1614626382115372,3.1685381981716465,3.180113709582987,3.195523761806117,3.2142449635434138,3.2309698037859245,3.2461791771889064,3.2602583503910272,3.2735161217418129,3.2862001499173941,3.2970979477649842,3.306624785642974,3.3151126861181099,3.3228270860640023,3.3299801663583302,3.3362545812188342,3.3418763871094583,3.3470260998817301,3.3518478122824971,3.3564564879059917,3.3609437963034079,3.3653827810205539,3.3698315939800261,3.3743364829410751,3.3789341814237077,3.3841741167467152,3.3899834348437214,3.3963038371913905,3.4030886826702615,3.410300669137448,3.4179099787744653,3.4258927944609372,3.4342301129749147,3.4429067956605484,3.4519108090758555]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A91","v":"Exploration "},{"$f":"F91","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"U90*(1+$E$86/100)","v":27.093082849760762},26.280290364267938,25.491881653339899,24.7271252037397,23.98531144762751,23.265752104198683,22.567779541072721,21.890746154840539,21.234023770195321,20.597003057089463,19.979092965376779,19.379720176415475,18.798328571123012,18.234378713989322,17.687347352569642,17.156726931992551,16.642025124032774,16.142764370311792,15.658481439202438,15.188726996026364,14.733065186145573,14.291073230561206,13.86234103364437,13.446470802635039,13.043076678555988,12.651784378199308,12.272230846853327,11.904063921447728,11.546942003804295,11.200533743690166,10.864517731379459,10.538582199438075,10.222424733454933,9.9157519914512839,9.6182794317077445,9.3297310487565124,9.049839117293816,8.7783439437750008,8.5149936254617504,8.2595438166978976,8.0117575021969607,7.7714047771310515,7.5382626338171201,7.3121147548026064,7.0927513121585282,6.8799687727937719,6.6735697096099589,6.4733626183216604,6.2791617397720101,6.09078688757885,5.9080632809514846]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T94","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"(U98/U100)*$E$85","v":41.228435630337565},{"$f":"(V98/V100)*$E$85","v":40.422414228689803},39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,31.760468322541989,27.429495369468079,23.098522416394172,18.767549463320265,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.1549261208197088,0.86619459061478143,0.57746306040985418,0.28873153020492709,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":33.059760208464169}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,25.271084688284162,22.261528239043049,19.121481097956977,15.846927459931845,12.433743083946524,11.414176151062911,10.348853043630372,9.2363513414401091,8.0752100299447811,6.8639285254530646,5.8810139606081853,4.8560372417593296,3.7877090485722773,2.6747053127610392,1.5156663438979221,1.2367837366207046,0.94613955851483889,0.64337489979009033,0.32812119889294611,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BB104*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3898.8833769707335,3722.3039678212995,3549.8773578371852,3384.5495336322733,3228.8419939097357,3087.6968251310673,2959.1139516482503,2841.0425467433697,2731.7566879864312,2629.8295806972978,2534.3673168476025,2444.8262955693094,2360.7492172586772,2281.7172288409702,2207.3435213936036,2138.1367086635814,2073.6670894272434,2013.5316634670367,1957.3595438654984,1904.8099575754391,1855.8585714838969,1810.2177737334785,1767.6233299399257,1727.8324769511057,1690.622172159083,1655.7874856890478,1623.4339047756098,1593.6464801272336,1566.4641733947417,1541.8796317204146,1519.8424612556207,1500.2639103680172,1483.0225248750123,1467.9704622392289,1454.9401505926842,1443.7509816748402,1434.3383701952737,1426.6092306085222,1420.427484416665,1415.6229558986813,1412.0052386412124,1409.3780066020433,1407.5518349736503,1406.3543708345426,1405.6372049669567]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 1",{"$f":"U141/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S156","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"2 | 1",{"$f":"U150/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,6.1403051240709416,5.0567218668819525,3.9731386096929624,2.8895553525039728,1.8059720953149829,1.5651758159396518,1.3243795365643207,1.0835832571889896,0.84278697781365863,0.60199069843832764,0.48159255875066209,0.3611944190629966,0.24079627937533105,0.12039813968766552,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S157","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"3 | 1",{"$f":"U143/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7769173713076754,10.065641962429106,10.288580204331344,10.459487186045871,10.589796666295852,10.688746371596341,10.763652080612502,10.820225061390961,10.862877804611772,10.894993463136226,10.919151418512911,10.937310059930105,10.950951689474014,10.961195672588863,10.96888584691612,10.974657524125762,10.978988559766002,10.982238118395163,10.984676008719774,10.986504832344242,10.987876678421342,10.988905691452352,10.989677523500799,10.990256438195734,10.990690647089005,10.991016316625174,10.991260576014833,10.991443774628312,10.991581175878538,10.991684228104424,10.991761517998466,10.991819485826607,10.991862961926993,10.991895569131254,10.991920024606996,10.99193836625461,10.991952122513274,10.991962439720185,10.991970177632631,10.991975981071048,10.99198033365216,10.991983598089289,10.991986046417862,10.9919878826647,10.991989259850058,10.991990292739207,10.99199106740614,10.991991648406382,10.991992084156585,10.991992410969251,10.991992656078757]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 2",{"$f":"U141/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4130812924033034,9.3679346195380599,9.3232189411631765,9.2789281148393616,9.2350561142963841,9.1915970266996965,9.0847179915055136,8.9802959456261409,8.8782471280622062,8.7784915423536418,8.680952747438603,8.5855576623019143,8.492236383363851,8.4009220136502591,8.311550502866746,8.2240604975734133,8.1383932007236908,8.0544922398914878,7.9723035435660625,7.8917752249441833,7.8128574726947422,7.7355024482126158,7.6596641889164143,7.5852985171793605,7.5123629545141748,7.4408166406616587,7.3706202572591906,7.3017359557894794,7.234127289532168,7.1677591492612311,7.1025977024497653,7.038610335761029,6.9757656006203055,6.9140331616767625,6.8533837479778432,6.7937891066910803,6.7352219592196052,6.6776559595681562,6.6210656548260518,6.5654264476426398,6.5107145605789514,6.4569070022270596,6.4039815349956903,6.3519166444672699,6.3006915102376952,6.2502859781557936,6.2006805338847162,6.1518562777123957,6.1037949005427672,6.056478661003676,6.0098903636113397]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 2",{"$f":"U150/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 2",{"$f":"U143/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7837213682916833,10.024336832922913,10.197451590026303,10.317596135522392,10.396747143899816,10.444509993187285,10.395405232014841,10.329927300133795,10.252799051086249,10.167570463027033,10.076891965679829,9.9827306925661361,9.8865384373903105,9.7893804145023662,9.6920330554864353,9.5950577874340848,9.4988564159638376,9.4037125463804756,9.3098224766595248,9.2173181889848212,9.1262844317411176,9.0367713930026508,8.9488040915259823,8.8623893271305754,8.7775208183966491,8.6941829951999274,8.6123537937186896,8.5320067121586014,8.453112318900688,8.3756393553073263,8.2995555386736619,8.2248281435329833,8.1514244192834671,8.0793118870898297,8.0084585478791936,7.938833024995005,7.870404658952415,7.8031435672016549,7.7370206784430655,7.67200774854527,7.608077363271101,7.5452029316477143,7.4833586728038091,7.4225195983464802,7.3626614917947615,7.3037608861760894,7.2457950405881961,7.1887419163046644,7.1325801528369448,7.0772890442438561,7.0228485158900336]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 3",{"$f":"U141/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.3886753699638241,8.1189370030927517,7.8730616163340041,7.6485301350709554,7.4431382878311316,7.254951351884932,7.0822661729446406,6.9235791776794953,6.7775593417537499,6.6430252703501713,6.5189257034291028,6.4043228826006269,6.2983783168919807,6.2003405658835504,6.1095347245790803,6.0253533480397454,5.9472485976665714,5.8747254269730158,5.8073356542670904,5.7446727940683582,5.6863675392852633,5.6320838029469806,5.5815152422443868,5.5343821992898032,5.4904290027621192,5.449421582793657,5.411145358347099,5.3754033621452972,5.3420145731342465,5.3108124306282409,5.2816435078284147,5.2543663254225548,5.2288502885487311,5.2049747326075577,5.182628065295444,5.1617069938523619,5.1421158279127708,5.1237658495512717,5.1065747431536863,5.0904660786436304,5.075368842374397,5.0612170106731966,5.0479491616140697,5.0355081211092978,5.0238406398574469,5.0128970980781657,5.0026312353071445,4.9929999028257512,4.9839628365644266,4.9754824485516256,4.9675236351852332]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 3",{"$f":"U150/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},6.4422079112141866,6.2350583238983157,6.0462346667781945,5.873802379066996,5.7160686577306086,5.5715477036976724,4.623091821174568,3.7219458626862929,2.8627100783489796,2.0406439903147757,1.2515764672935954,1.0656305681344032,0.88677109147257471,0.71424655176392016,0.54738926470269822,0.38560497033881852,0.30448519602215651,0.22557913468297625,0.14866099054189133,7.3528447359311119E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 3",{"$f":"U143/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.718979462656149,8.687823148823032,8.611313882525188,8.5046940753674374,8.3794213893150307,8.2438788030785854,8.1040519802144875,7.9641105365779401,7.8268776466217229,7.6941952040481425,7.5672005086228662,7.446532085616397,7.3324806932085043,7.2250989117956896,7.1242799383627826,7.0298137496932629,6.9414267787225628,6.8588096628311872,6.781636412631908,6.709577443002634,6.6423082371983737,6.5795149228121534,6.5208976796902052,6.466172639634773,6.4150727494755149,6.3673479332756502,6.3227647916640075,6.2811060060339843,6.2421695649798812,6.2057678943090435,6.1717269462661282,6.1398852853380443,6.1100931950843362,6.0822118213503078,6.0561123608816327,6.0316752999860404,6.0087897049152108,5.9873525636620446,5.9672681775926524,5.948447600548997,5.9308081226166438,5.9142727955451804,5.8987699967599596,5.8842330289586684,5.8705997524066307,5.8578122472040786,5.8458165029783871,5.834562133642005,5.8240021150440802,5.8140925435253745,5.8047924135584736]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" BEFORE contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr BEFORE contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"CONCATENATE(B142,\" | \",B143)","v":"2 | 2"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),U156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),U157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),U158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),U159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),U160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),U161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),U162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),U163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),U164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":9.4065350535732293},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),V156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),V157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),V158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),V159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),V160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),V161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),V162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),V163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),V164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.2289156626506017},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),W156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),W157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),W158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),W159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),W160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),W161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),W162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),W163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),W164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.1942446043165464},7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" AFTER contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr AFTER contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"E142/E143","v":7.4602299294668191},{"$f":"MIN(U109,U165)","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T141,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual New 'green'-field dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U166*U155","v":78.12857472694742},60,59.999999999999993,60,60,60,60,51,42,33,24,15,13,11.000000000000002,9,7,5,4,3,2,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T141,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"New 'green'-field dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,58.582969050113284,49.209694002095162,39.438054764536268,29.255866079874174,18.650614625919786,16.487143329313096,14.229672934991765,11.875308867565852,9.4210783682689101,6.8639285254530646,5.6009656767697003,4.2847387427288197,2.9136223450555985,1.4859473959783551,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BB167*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T190,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,29.4,23.8,18.200000000000003,12.600000000000001,7,7.0000000000000009,7.0000000000000009,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,7,6.9999999999999991,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,6.8,6.6000000000000005,6.4,6.1999999999999993,5.9999999999999991,5.8,5.6,5.4,5.2,5,4.5,4,3.4999999999999996,3,2.5,2,1.5,1,0.49999999999999994,0]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G232+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M232+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N232+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D230","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V232+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801358,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471803,3.2485285330564553,3.20074321710708,3.1703516863442687,3.1415188201223816,3.1141981941505064,3.0883467506122333,3.0639246279621704,3.0780929353806084,3.0928764576555339,3.1082872978993756,3.1243381660730227,3.141042407899088,3.1683958980296612,3.1968404380120847,3.2264157552283481,3.2571639706986377,3.2891297704926017,3.2978691647559666,3.3070166708008348,3.3165750431995105,3.3265472071449551,3.3369362626197194,3.3406891391553448,3.3447321371549341,3.3490642880186527,3.353684685847572,3.3585924875356414,3.3613522406608509,3.3643636106719543,3.367624950970816,3.3711346618855655,3.3748911903999699,3.3788930298930726,3.3831387198891383,3.3876268458179148,3.3923560387852714,3.3973249753542381,3.4051338580387456,3.4132207072317464,3.4215854465820659,3.4302280645857466,3.4391486150061938,3.4483472173225351,3.4578240572068242,3.467579387030824,3.4776135264030823]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},4.0835421119661639,3.9430781576889582,3.8222459111163025,3.7167241279224781,3.6230850089492734,3.5386166505808347,3.4649636577335214,3.4002746902112935,3.343059390999136,3.2921168629217554,3.2464784159298383,3.2128013198199925,3.188816347387101,3.1727105374895559,3.1630360632062491,3.1586373321448167,3.1605890453217858,3.1678393238598455,3.1795546101335459,3.1950764822465643,3.2138871398957716,3.2306835448678104,3.2459501700544151,3.2600751446834342,3.2733695571757382,3.2860828982645343,3.2970041464426965,3.3065497445851442,3.3150526532718461,3.3227790597869911,3.329941745336721,3.3362238444015468,3.3418517976556283,3.3470064283186658,3.3518320750320458,3.3564438981056308,3.360933724463119,3.3653747235483227,3.3698251480022412,3.3743313261588472,3.3789300559979254,3.3841708164060895,3.3899807945712208,3.39630172497339,3.4030869928958611,3.4102993173179277,3.4179088973188492,3.4258919292964443,3.4342294208433204,3.442906241955273]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,204.00890451890206,195.52513240050831,184.09537366823238,170.14411623278363,154.13808763789021,140.13213469101385,128.17700846205284,117.94780466308626,109.14539554425657,101.52562598399879,94.449457291776923,87.830588203296401,81.630572189551629,75.81736509839142,70.361738850841718,65.335813826952929,60.712889020616444,56.460851131743119,52.549586290059267,48.951386091542169,45.640797750418358,42.594443793552692,39.790852988819985,37.210304792022832,34.834686470035244,32.353580913437952,29.78742464837616,27.182306732491924,24.584541674326957,22.037170464793956,19.578550887603534,17.241385493004753,15.052062635783315,13.030311646544783,11.189168917843952,9.4126114795665536,7.7291395867513373,6.1817461918572594,4.8045285179837407,3.6177172574689185,2.6272320391690807,1.8261716283930489,1.1974641391077196]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AM284*(1+(AZ$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AM293*(1+(AZ$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V326+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U328*U327/1000","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V328*V327/1000","v":67.058292465428963},67.745150375678719,67.654085002984118,66.83559552642447,65.349743279809715,63.266693472324491,61.710564208864128,59.162582310481596,55.724662734144871,51.546704627105065,46.789631964015499,41.617283662230356,37.135015693118675,33.326022200133735,30.076690189086996,27.286348886064143,25.1783552440317,23.234566493777123,21.43066352160432,19.754598469871492,18.196167623613938,16.746093846500326,15.419252063160892,14.206816030824248,13.098917462564405,12.086404846713631,11.160916028871615,10.314820291594549,9.5411554097558042,8.8335693635180359,8.1862670542450235,7.6287963369377181,7.0530806391294734,6.4638711486976259,5.8713782542182553,5.2856764599802952,4.715954479465907,4.1702313390595531,3.6551737245170073,3.1759852161502793,2.7363654457744047,2.3385363038293865,1.9578231877498431,1.5999318944575269,1.2734397155225954,0.98492834618666691,0.73801432052365945,0.53332810395132335,0.3688866689353959,0.24069029196065164,0.14343317351719637]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (Nominal-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U329","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V329*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":68.399458314737544},70.48205445085614,71.795056237846779,72.344998030553995,72.151397049286118,71.248572579626867,70.886040649272857,69.318394568394467,66.596130322561166,62.83514530955901,58.177026283298098,52.780778516605544,48.038102522624101,43.972978550438292,40.479265047076183,37.458309694904024,35.255775879833983,33.184682408798587,31.220430052957123,29.354294154903542,27.579318855036679,25.889120651594574,24.314607232780109,22.850772100419505,21.490162510081905,20.225608807906877,19.050416636607913,17.958351810000124,16.943610173717222,16.000788195588893,15.124855452455778,14.376776365831541,{"$f":"BB329*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":13.55765309907812},12.673557235330053,11.742108030340621,10.78218451368984,9.8124161733259303,8.850476934922316,7.9125181971925338,7.0127013283142121,6.162843507183327,5.3721895825703676,4.5875504531838152,3.8239222520578733,3.104460365684508,2.4491339448850988,1.8718578359816116,1.3797573434870303,0.97342249234446121,0.64783910855552151,0.3937842730671417]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"O&G Production (MSm3 o.e./yr)",{"$f":"T328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":223.13712629148426},{"$f":"U328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":216.50585921492637},{"$f":"V328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":228.0894301545203},{"$f":"W328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":237.20290747786663},{"$f":"X328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":244.06235571062095},{"$f":"Y328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":248.64432859532914},{"$f":"Z328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":250.95907557530614},{"$f":"AA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":251.0583074298591},{"$f":"AB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":249.03375386950816},{"$f":"AC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":242.86774347488341},{"$f":"AD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":232.76801476250989},{"$f":"AE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":219.16115912884808},{"$f":"AF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"AG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":183.49772337844072},{"$f":"AH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":166.82396987025459},{"$f":"AI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":152.5916767405391},{"$f":"AJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":140.41405317034079},{"$f":"AK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":129.93499469554354},{"$f":"AL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":120.86384045714142},{"$f":"AM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":112.43983010925825},{"$f":"AN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":104.56022405154334},{"$f":"AO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":97.179252606609083},{"$f":"AP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":90.2587679742755},{"$f":"AQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":83.763974822430626},{"$f":"AR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":77.780730746372541},{"$f":"AS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":72.277248834067194},{"$f":"AT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":67.215298966360862},{"$f":"AU328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":62.559031297689607},{"$f":"AV328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":58.275459632788298},{"$f":"AW328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":54.334283036212334},{"$f":"AX328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":50.707671182800823},{"$f":"AY328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":47.370063081928556},{"$f":"AZ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"BA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":41.469864845280057},{"$f":"BB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":38.516167754092798},{"$f":"BC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":35.461219819495426},{"$f":"BD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":32.359888967252289},{"$f":"BE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":29.267311517055902},{"$f":"BF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":26.23472674380233},{"$f":"BG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":23.307798675718495},{"$f":"BH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":20.525458920243754},{"$f":"BI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":17.919122185456327},{"$f":"BJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":15.512275769696171},{"$f":"BK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":13.320439187909468},{"$f":"BL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11.205489856626849},{"$f":"BM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9.20135665089445},{"$f":"BN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7.3592216569729283},{"$f":"BO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":5.7196768071235011},{"$f":"BP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":4.3068062588915694},{"$f":"BQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":3.1276571894870009},{"$f":"BR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":2.1740138433250582},{"$f":"BS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":1.4255525465568091},{"$f":"BT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":0.8537688899833118}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A114","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR114+U328","v":6206.7113398939819},{"$f":"U332+V328","v":6398.3064612237786},{"$f":"V332+W328","v":6597.5569035051867},6802.5692823021081,7011.430518322185,7222.2361418054425,7433.125120046524,7642.3134732969111,7846.3223778158135,8041.847510216322,8225.9428838845542,8396.0870001173371,8550.2250877552269,8690.3572224462405,8818.5342309082935,8936.48203557138,9045.6274311156358,9147.1530570996347,9241.6025143914121,9329.4331025947085,9411.06367478426,9486.8810398826517,9557.2427787334927,9622.578592560445,9683.2914815810618,9739.7523327128056,9792.3019190028645,9841.2533050944057,9886.8941028448244,9929.4885466383766,9969.2793996271957,10006.489704419218,10041.324390889255,10073.677971802692,10103.465396451069,10130.64770318356,10155.232244857887,10177.26941532268,10196.847966210284,10214.089351703289,10229.141414339072,10242.171725985618,10253.360894903462,10262.77350638303,10270.50264596978,10276.684392161638,10281.488920679622,10285.10663793709,10287.733869976259,10289.560041604651,10290.757505743759,10291.474671611344]
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[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)","Sm^3 o.e./yr",null,226.56913915464031,229.41,242.25,251.2,253.73,253.20999999999998,250.29000000000002,245.52999999999997,238.92000000000002,229.01000000000002,217.81]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S336","v":"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)"},"Mtoe/yr",null,{"$f":"V336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":190.31807688989787},{"$f":"W336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.70439999999999},{"$f":"X336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":203.48999999999998},{"$f":"Y336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":211.00799999999998},{"$f":"Z336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":213.13319999999999},{"$f":"AA336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":212.69639999999998},{"$f":"AB336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":210.24360000000001},{"$f":"AC336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":206.24519999999998},{"$f":"AD336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":200.69280000000001},{"$f":"AE336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.36840000000001},{"$f":"AF336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":182.96039999999999}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,179,179,179,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48,48]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV-GL"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"FIN-PM"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",175,175,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40,40,40,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12,12]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
["Employees per CAPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA496/AA418","v":0.46793525757400095},0.36840691676478465,0.32766852850841177,0.30587646538482754,0.3301743668908238,0.34296137627988055,0.39257563421809422,0.42362883195962125,0.48675570888455405,0.50860170124130655,0.47325278643586405,0.44515488444146301,0.43979893065617826,0.4368879501082088,0.4756588263723695,0.50705232964255653,0.5840313920520841,0.510686302632127,0.44950296368096837,0.44646899462164136,0.44346879472356082,0.44070194456310147,0.43821330868616259,0.43601704211109693,0.43181785554599783,0.42796001167720471,0.42467745326798167,0.42234910453013075,0.4218438326820822,0.42242552837076164,0.42327894970559993,0.42348349587802459,0.42293271554785616,0.42181309720637983,0.41958833051542183,0.41695570650843822,0.41441741280860889,0.41234534537809991,0.41108376862778578,0.40652939739823107,0.40223366525301851,0.3981608131563818,{"$f":"BQ496/BQ418","v":0.39424457825259468},0.39042139647651125,0.38560806449779211,0.38088731870693526,0.37625900939814982,0.37173358847306759,0.3673247168911638,0.36456970075108519,0.36192737604687136,0.36044496856562924,0.36013301036116252,0.36008373369790919,0.3593401528244321,0.35746095367599595,0.35461110213727309,0.35146645408931088,0.34887416485692696,0.34791064549149425,0.34706234686533893,0.34621840045537644,0.34551820018284851,0.34486063101715636,0.34404348201010687,0.34311509386590333,0.34285153744351554,0.34598280578649088,0.36794232406443189]
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[]
["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G535+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M535+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N535+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F533","v":"pct/yr - Fraction of O&G exports as oil (pct): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E533","v":-2},{"$f":"F536","v":44.345516215328061},{"$f":"MAX(0,MIN(100,X535*(1+$W535/100)))","v":43.458605891021499},42.589433773201065,41.737645097737044,40.9028921957823,40.084834351866654,39.283137664829319,38.497474911532734,37.727525413302082,36.97297490503604,36.233515406935318,35.508845098796613,34.798668196820678,34.102694832884261,33.420640936226576,32.752228117502042,32.097183555152,31.455239884048961,30.82613508636798,30.209612384640621,29.60542013694781,29.013311734208852,28.433045499524674,27.864384589534179,27.307096897743495,26.760954959788624,26.225735860592852,25.701221143380995,25.187196720513374,24.683452786103107,24.189783730381045,23.705988055773425,23.231868294657957,22.767230928764796,22.3118863101895,21.86564858398571,21.428335612305997,20.999768900059877,20.57977352205868,20.168178051617506,19.764814490585156,19.369518200773452,18.982127836757982,18.602485280022822,18.230435574422366,17.865826862933918,17.508510325675239,17.158340119161736,16.815173316778502,16.47886985044293,16.149292453434072,15.82630660436539]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A86","v":"Fraction of O&G exports as oil (pct)"},{"$f":"hist!AR86","v":44.360227374274146},{"$f":"hist!AS86","v":44.345516215328061},45,43,41,39,35,30,25,15,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D535","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y538+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V539","v":"Fraction of O&G exports as oil (pct)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$539=1,X535,X539)","v":44.345516215328061},43.458605891021499,42.589433773201065,41.737645097737044,40.9028921957823,40.084834351866654,39.283137664829319,38.497474911532734,37.727525413302082,36.97297490503604,36.233515406935318,35.508845098796613,34.798668196820678,34.102694832884261,33.420640936226576,32.752228117502042,32.097183555152,31.455239884048961,30.82613508636798,30.209612384640621,29.60542013694781,29.013311734208852,28.433045499524674,27.864384589534179,27.307096897743495,26.760954959788624,26.225735860592852,25.701221143380995,25.187196720513374,24.683452786103107,24.189783730381045,23.705988055773425,23.231868294657957,22.767230928764796,22.3118863101895,21.86564858398571,21.428335612305997,20.999768900059877,20.57977352205868,20.168178051617506,19.764814490585156,19.369518200773452,18.982127836757982,18.602485280022822,18.230435574422366,17.865826862933918,17.508510325675239,17.158340119161736,16.815173316778502,16.47886985044293,16.149292453434072,15.82630660436539]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Production costs"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A565,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D559","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y560+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G561+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M561+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N561+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F559","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E559","v":1},{"$f":"F562","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"X561*(1+$W561/100)","v":356.62595338518599},360.19221291903784,363.79413504822821,367.43207639871048,371.10639716269759,374.81746113432456,378.56563574566781,382.35129210312448,386.17480502415572,390.03655307439726,393.93691860514122,397.87628779119262,401.85505066910457,405.87360117579561,409.93233718755357,414.0316605594291,418.17197716502341,422.35369693667366,426.57723390604042,430.84300624510081,435.15143630755182,439.50295067062734,443.89798017733364,448.33695997910695,452.820329578898,457.34853287468701,461.92201820343388,466.5412383854682,471.20665076932289,475.91871727701613,480.6779044497863,485.48468349428418,490.33953032922705,495.2429256325193,500.19535488884452,505.19730843773294,510.24928152211027,515.35177433733134,520.50529208070463,525.71034500151166,530.96744845152682,536.27712293604213,541.63989416540255,547.0562931070566,552.52685603812722,558.0521245985085,563.6326458444936,569.26897230293855,574.96166202596794,580.71127864622758,586.5183914326899]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A565","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR367","v":309.76040951946891},{"$f":"hist!AS367","v":353.09500335166928},330,300,270,260,250,250,250,250,250]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D561","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y564+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A368","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B565=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A565","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},null,{"$f":"F562","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"G562","v":330},{"$f":"$Y565+(($AD565-$Y565)/5)*1","v":324},{"$f":"$Y565+(($AD565-$Y565)/5)*2","v":318},{"$f":"$Y565+(($AD565-$Y565)/5)*3","v":312},{"$f":"$Y565+(($AD565-$Y565)/5)*4","v":306},{"$f":"H562","v":300},{"$f":"$AD565+(($AI565-$AD565)/5)*1","v":294},{"$f":"$AD565+(($AI565-$AD565)/5)*2","v":288},{"$f":"$AD565+(($AI565-$AD565)/5)*3","v":282},{"$f":"$AD565+(($AI565-$AD565)/5)*4","v":276},{"$f":"I562","v":270},{"$f":"$AI565+(($AN565-$AI565)/5)*1","v":268},{"$f":"$AI565+(($AN565-$AI565)/5)*2","v":266},{"$f":"$AI565+(($AN565-$AI565)/5)*3","v":264},{"$f":"$AI565+(($AN565-$AI565)/5)*4","v":262},{"$f":"J562","v":260},{"$f":"$AN565+(($AS565-$AN565)/5)*1","v":258},{"$f":"$AN565+(($AS565-$AN565)/5)*2","v":256},{"$f":"$AN565+(($AS565-$AN565)/5)*3","v":254},{"$f":"$AN565+(($AS565-$AN565)/5)*4","v":252},{"$f":"K562","v":250},{"$f":"$AS565+(($AX565-$AS565)/5)*1","v":250},{"$f":"$AS565+(($AX565-$AS565)/5)*2","v":250},{"$f":"$AS565+(($AX565-$AS565)/5)*3","v":250},{"$f":"$AS565+(($AX565-$AS565)/5)*4","v":250},{"$f":"L562","v":250},{"$f":"$AX565+(($BC565-$AX565)/5)*1","v":250},{"$f":"$AX565+(($BC565-$AX565)/5)*2","v":250},{"$f":"$AX565+(($BC565-$AX565)/5)*3","v":250},{"$f":"$AX565+(($BC565-$AX565)/5)*4","v":250},{"$f":"M562","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*1","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*2","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*3","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*4","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*5","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*6","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*7","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*8","v":250},{"$f":"$BC565+(($BM565-$BC565)/10)*9","v":250},{"$f":"N562","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*1","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*2","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*3","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*4","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*5","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*6","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*7","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*8","v":250},{"$f":"$BM565+(($BW565-$BM565)/10)*9","v":250},{"$f":"O562","v":250}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production cost (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X568*AR528/1000","v":62.400000000000006},{"$f":"Y568*AS528/1000","v":63.226390038833031},64.55714329917619,65.19393645742106,65.164705638263854,64.506520785876688,63.266693472324491,61.50137585561373,58.754564501443788,55.138087336943343,50.810323132432138,45.938911382851586,41.309007486954577,37.275147827809683,33.838730233981948,30.902324821728598,28.377802841506711,26.19361150387169,24.179061066694892,22.308969403637285,20.57090419176701,18.954341274597855,17.590434712710429,16.333953456738232,15.178222255154111,14.11521278293578,13.137396572514817,12.237846522885542,11.410199437604589,10.648610948388173,9.9477132472049963,9.302576198005708,8.708671617508811,8.088395228359488,7.4468561620940399,6.7955766831229809,6.1461354185817392,5.509292616198489,4.8946377219008834,4.3103463732511882,3.7630156589458288,3.2575779116361958,2.7972922294609881,2.3531528698916384,1.9322848966878343,1.5454365479643148,1.2011321294959352,0.90442931436722962,0.65680800979227016,0.45654290709826223,0.29936603477692991,0.17929146689649547]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Operating cost (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X569","v":62.400000000000006},{"$f":"Y569*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":64.490917839609693},67.165251888462905,69.184326920106898,70.536373079790138,71.220411280908223,71.248572579626867,70.645748986054969,68.840336674819326,65.895118424428944,61.937500376565318,57.11926216905632,52.389809786852908,48.219378381200038,44.649485912752731,41.590460558172389,38.956642082700192,36.67737974595633,34.533653238424549,32.499955874799632,30.567281516676417,28.728457140663213,27.194454465960693,25.756999187267063,24.413218056003743,23.157502704829636,21.98435739989878,20.888614733122711,19.86543341814173,18.910279211737969,18.018905625663169,17.187335741427017,16.411845166474361,{"$f":"BE569*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":15.547767315456559},14.600872390933242,13.590402812894238,12.537423853127722,11.46310300622188,10.387883726434643,9.330799760840252,8.308887829756177,7.3367184609325315,6.4260640939836922,5.5138827562305472,4.6182635894418755,3.7675489874811996,2.9867487132745105,2.2939434264480534,1.699208551092402,1.2047308073570064,0.80577003551681781,0.49223034133392718]
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[]
[]
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[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A589,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D583","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y584+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G585+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M585+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N585+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F583","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E583","v":0.2},{"$f":"F586","v":904235.29411764699},{"$f":"X585*(1+$W585/100)","v":906043.76470588229},907855.85223529406,909671.56393976463,911490.90706764418,913313.88888177951,915140.51665954303,916970.79769286211,918804.73928824789,920642.34876682435,922483.63346435805,924328.6007312868,926177.25793274934,928029.61244861479,929885.67167351197,931745.443016859,933608.93390289275,935476.15177069849,937347.10407423985,939221.79828238836,941100.24187895318,942982.44236271107,944868.40724743647,946758.14406193129,948651.6603500552,950548.96367075527,952450.06159809674,954354.96172129293,956263.6716447355,958176.19898802496,960092.55138600105,962012.73648877302,963936.76196175057,965864.63548567402,967796.3647566454,969731.9574861587,971671.42140113097,973614.76424393326,975561.99377242115,977513.11775996594,979468.14399548585,981427.08028347685,983389.93444404379,985356.71431293187,987327.42774155771,989302.0825970408,991280.68676223489,993263.24813575938,995249.77463203087,997240.27418129495,999234.75472965755,1001233.2242391169]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A589","v":"Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr)"},{"$f":"hist!AR341","v":900000},{"$f":"hist!AS341","v":904235.29411764699},925000,925000,925000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D585","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y588+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,55.728628142491758,52.98277894012962,49.485496900519713,45.368551352715329,40.77095267007639,36.768977002605148,33.362367084121672,30.453660596121527,27.954902160016552,25.794739693510696,23.804433829465502,21.958723850917902,20.244966511930691,18.652447460055633,17.171436094545204,15.817005858316111,14.579975217641998,13.45012199225353,12.41798183082455,11.47491899968446,10.613063870105881,9.825245679837149,9.1049304448156452,8.4461643286650112,7.8435220462418158,7.2264414340028233,6.5999098672706502,5.9743996773421086,5.360101285745996,4.7661710817921286,4.2004638995192627,3.669372405466103,3.1777414688979264,2.7288537679635345,2.324482104897359,1.9397306394665041,1.5800300974344856,1.2535691485298259,0.96647542813783371,0.72190089307043703,0.52004904756696446,0.35858356532258712,0.23324600942356058,0.13857160073090186]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.294969953537333,63.319325376307596,60.322544592401393,56.410091161049699,51.707426180322294,47.564592445573183,44.020934853006359,40.986617582389115,38.376090072477417,36.118862916140593,33.998593292611801,31.989714240469862,30.082955270072414,28.270886846530605,26.546691120194065,24.94182489968971,23.450975236481057,22.066350766773049,20.780475739420968,19.586384061113492,18.477601099524289,17.448110371406333,16.492321233672129,15.60503874992726,14.78143568118282,{"$f":"BE593*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":13.890892663196221},12.940285090263171,11.948139498146434,10.93400277382754,9.9169011090861883,8.9146394614771722,7.9432547174931374,7.0165792040403492,6.1459257029856955,5.3399036518493546,4.5451561866352224,3.7763558995425055,3.0560188203794629,2.403248710542361,1.8309886487530576,1.3454034899676783,0.94623454102432281,0.62780216679364542,0.38043721493080018]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-2},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.8497275786665951E-2},6.7127330270932636E-2,6.5784783665513977E-2,6.4469087992203702E-2,6.3179706232359634E-2,6.1916112107712439E-2,6.067778986555819E-2,5.9464234068247024E-2,5.8274949386882081E-2,5.7109450399144439E-2,5.5967261391161552E-2,5.4847916163338319E-2,5.3750957840071549E-2,5.267593868327012E-2,5.1622419909604714E-2,5.0589971511412618E-2,4.9578172081184362E-2,4.8586608639560672E-2,4.7614876466769457E-2,4.6662578937434064E-2,4.572932735868538E-2,4.4814740811511669E-2,4.3918445995281434E-2,4.3040077075375806E-2,4.2179275533868292E-2,4.1335690023190923E-2,4.0508976222727103E-2,3.9698796698272559E-2,3.890482076430711E-2,3.8126724349020966E-2,3.7364189862040549E-2,3.661690606479974E-2,{"$f":"BE608*(1+$W608/100)","v":3.5884567943503747E-2},3.5166876584633668E-2,3.4463539052940993E-2,3.3774268271882173E-2,3.3098782906444531E-2,3.2436807248315637E-2,3.1788071103349323E-2,3.1152309681282336E-2,3.0529263487656687E-2,2.9918678217903553E-2,2.9320304653545484E-2,2.8733898560474574E-2,2.8159220589265083E-2,2.7596036177479782E-2,2.7044115453930186E-2,2.6503233144851583E-2,2.5973168481954551E-2,2.5453705112315459E-2]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX per barrel (\",B674,\")\")","v":"OPEX per barrel (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X673/hist!Y27/7.33","v":8.7995191491403588},{"$f":"Y673/hist!Z27/7.33","v":7.0126341024384136},{"$f":"Z673/hist!AA27/7.33","v":7.2037834292765535},{"$f":"AA673/hist!AB27/7.33","v":8.5256004269078023},{"$f":"AB673/hist!AC27/7.33","v":9.2416110207249424},{"$f":"AC673/hist!AD27/7.33","v":9.0308955742745169},{"$f":"AD673/hist!AE27/7.33","v":9.39804525779833},{"$f":"AE673/hist!AF27/7.33","v":9.8936511988424325},{"$f":"AF673/hist!AG27/7.33","v":13.061763254094398},{"$f":"AG673/hist!AH27/7.33","v":13.343537707891755},{"$f":"AH673/hist!AI27/7.33","v":14.305121060656907},{"$f":"AI673/hist!AJ27/7.33","v":14.597651558815638},{"$f":"AJ673/hist!AK27/7.33","v":16.425088748626532},{"$f":"AK673/hist!AL27/7.33","v":16.140570836189607},{"$f":"AL673/hist!AM27/7.33","v":17.563068123387325},{"$f":"AM673/hist!AN27/7.33","v":16.576340566267906},{"$f":"AN673/hist!AO27/7.33","v":11.70789367771901},{"$f":"AO673/hist!AP27/7.33","v":10.383343036121872},{"$f":"AP673/hist!AQ27/7.33","v":9.3705625141665703},{"$f":"AQ673/hist!AR27/7.33","v":9.973391937310577},{"$f":"AR673/hist!AS27/7.33","v":10.516474533365157},{"$f":"AS673/hist!AT27/7.33","v":9.4477226351336494},{"$f":"AT673/Z624/7.33","v":9.8837184424977114},{"$f":"AU673/AA624/7.33","v":9.9396265624143929},10.004366004254349,10.07793457021752,10.160330080130208,10.190388125387715,10.217316041751211,10.241111701082406,10.261772992310677,10.27929782129619,10.169287697588935,10.05953245640478,9.9500300535858877,9.8407784613685703,9.7317756682518084,9.5927028681952873,9.4538748925046008,9.3152897776883403,9.1769455760022858,9.0388403553231349,8.9670747352324849,8.8955442782647367,8.8242470984116554,8.7531813247907699,8.6823451015241115,8.6299266740207372,8.5777341296486718,8.5257656568252038,8.4740194584965103,8.4224937520211487,8.3772501311887471,8.3322234797024759,8.2874120574681687,8.2428141383472333,8.1984280100446938,8.1542519739981927,8.1102843452678304,8.0665234524269351,8.0229676374536698,7.9796152556235418,7.9304013132684332,7.881387554073747,7.8325723725705343,7.7839541761657074,7.7355313850387812,7.6873024320394219,7.6392657625858504,7.5914198345640242,7.5437631182276688,7.4962940960990618]
[]
[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44671814959369494,0.44108540788292777,0.43565992187504488,0.43043492656491733,0.42540408161614884,0.42570599097717698,0.42604717947274301,0.42642856883009994,0.42685111968543044,0.42731583356671826,0.42917585064533886,0.43112341718660546,0.43316193882477882,0.43529501814373062,0.43752646895360092,0.43661781580516051,0.43572744038595901,0.4348555031405314,0.4340021698098227,0.43316761161230932,0.43144069753470027,0.42972520625615007,0.42802113373496564,0.42632847626361337,0.42464723048029124,{"$f":"BX489/(BX667/(AY1244/100))","v":0.42267124696389541},0.42070577439821555,0.41875079483287553,0.41680629026041732,0.41487224262020195,0.41294863380234731,0.41103544565170635,0.40913265997188542,0.40724025852930229,0.40535822305728592,0.40379502973394776,0.40224313878763585,0.40070255055235288,0.39917326585993673,0.397655286055141,0.39614861301107179,0.39465324914498734,0.39316919743447587,0.39169646143402209,0.39023504529197733]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A696,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Average Gas price (2018-NOK/toe-gass): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y689+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G691+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M691+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N691+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F689","v":"pct/yr - Average Gas price (2018-NOK/toe-gass): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},{"$f":"E689","v":2},{"$f":"F693","v":2162.777442967244},{"$f":"G693","v":1470},1499.4,1529.3880000000001,1559.9757600000003,1591.1752752000002,1622.9987807040002,1655.4587563180803,1688.5679314444419,1722.3392900733309,1756.7860758747975,1791.9217973922935,1827.7602333401394,1864.3154380069423,1901.6017467670811,1939.6337817024228,1978.4264573364712,2017.9949864832006,2058.3548862128646,2099.5219839371221,2141.5124236158645,2184.3426720881816,2228.0295255299452,2272.5901160405442,2318.0419183613553,2364.4027567285825,2411.6908118631541,2459.9246281004171,2509.1231206624257,2559.3055830756743,2610.491694737188,2662.701528631932,2715.9555592045708,2770.2746703886623,2825.6801637964359,2882.1937670723646,2939.8376424138119,2998.6343952620882,3058.6070831673301,3119.7792248306769,3182.1748093272904,3245.8183055138361,3310.7346716241127,3376.9493650565951,3444.4883523577269,3513.3781194048815,3583.6456817929793,3655.3185954288388,3728.4249673374156,3802.9934666841641,3879.0533360178474,3956.6344027382042]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR26","v":71.310059760956193},{"$f":"hist!AS26","v":64.592176348560841},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
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["Offshore, Revenue - Calculations",null,null,null,1980,{"$f":"E714+1","v":1981},1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,{"$f":"BQ714+1","v":2045},2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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[]
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["Oil exports M USD/yr","Million constant USD / yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR728*X699","v":34415.502555145969},28525.792528316917,29194.684825788197,29536.812584887495,29567.773654606615,29306.834666075225,28777.466423955429,28006.69999089868,26775.049250476332,25134.485955576813,23158.363091421084,20923.790702900598,18507.950776422927,16430.996319691931,14681.522729960783,13203.205947703758,11946.537686178684,10871.710377417396,9897.0010284803884,9008.0243143084826,8196.5303932953575,7455.433924226134,6778.3507819142997,6169.6131761977786,5623.1854420111658,5132.8404035421008,4692.9101122843513,4298.2885594037034,3944.3802511829263,3627.0496109560945,3342.5750908452378,3087.6078399116341,2859.1344986680592,2629.9300665568103,2401.9465147912338,2178.3248800096585,1930.7432931816172,1696.0721597520067,1476.7096546703381,1274.4206735373489,1090.3419921792317,925.01249676716566,778.42487048919782,641.73404720494705,516.41895539848508,404.76995629389336,308.30030271749291,227.5012948763156,161.91003203060876,110.29174141817366,70.874497813842581,41.598068512694354]
["Oil exports M NOK/yr","Million constant NOK /yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR729*X624","v":302935.85346518183},256732.13275485224,262752.1634320938,265831.31326398748,266109.96289145952,263761.51199467701,258997.19781559886,252060.29991808813,240975.44325428698,226210.37360019132,208425.26782278976,188314.11632610537,166571.55698780634,147878.96687722739,132133.70456964706,118828.85352933382,107518.83917560815,97845.393396756554,89073.009256323494,81072.218828776342,73768.773539658214,67098.905318035206,61005.157037228695,55526.51858578001,50608.66897810049,46195.563631878904,42236.19101055916,38684.597034633334,35499.422260646337,32643.446498604852,30083.175817607142,27788.470559204707,25732.210488012533,23669.370599011294,21617.518633121104,19604.923920086927,17376.689638634554,15264.649437768059,13290.386892033042,11469.786061836139,9813.0779296130859,8325.1124709044907,7005.8238344027804,5775.6064248445236,4647.7705985863658,3642.9296066450402,2774.702724457436,2047.5116538868403,1457.1902882754789,992.62567276356287,637.87048032458324,374.38261661424917]
["Oil exports G NOK/yr","Giga NOK / yr",null,null,{"$f":"hist!F$20","v":28.5},{"$f":"hist!G$20","v":31.047000000000001},{"$f":"hist!H$20","v":31.879000000000001},{"$f":"hist!I$20","v":40.652999999999999},{"$f":"hist!J$20","v":51.712000000000003},{"$f":"hist!K$20","v":56.076999999999998},{"$f":"hist!L$20","v":28.526},{"$f":"hist!M$20","v":37.097000000000001},{"$f":"hist!N$20","v":33.682000000000002},{"$f":"hist!O$20","v":59.368000000000002},{"$f":"hist!P$20","v":74.563000000000002},{"$f":"hist!Q$20","v":80.396000000000001},{"$f":"hist!R$20","v":82.658000000000001},{"$f":"hist!S$20","v":89.429000000000002},{"$f":"hist!T$20","v":92.119},{"$f":"hist!U$20","v":98.009},{"$f":"hist!V$20","v":135.72999999999999},{"$f":"hist!W$20","v":136.11199999999999},{"$f":"hist!X$20","v":91.082999999999998},{"$f":"hist!Y$20","v":133.678},{"$f":"hist!Z$20","v":258.83600000000001},{"$f":"hist!AA$20","v":234.69800000000001},{"$f":"hist!AB$20","v":197.92099999999999},{"$f":"hist!AC$20","v":195.69900000000001},{"$f":"hist!AD$20","v":237.46799999999999},{"$f":"hist!AE$20","v":289.45299999999997},{"$f":"hist!AF$20","v":309.25200000000001},{"$f":"hist!AG$20","v":309.67500000000001},{"$f":"hist!AH$20","v":359.36900000000003},{"$f":"hist!AI$20","v":243.52099999999999},{"$f":"hist!AJ$20","v":281.98500000000001},{"$f":"hist!AK$20","v":321.24799999999999},{"$f":"hist!AL$20","v":306.82499999999999},{"$f":"hist!AM$20","v":288.12599999999998},{"$f":"hist!AN$20","v":282.66300000000001},{"$f":"hist!AO$20","v":197.11600000000001},{"$f":"hist!AP$20","v":187.595},{"$f":"hist!AQ$20","v":223.07300000000001},{"$f":"hist!AR$20","v":261.334},{"$f":"AR730/1000","v":302.93585346518182},{"$f":"AS730/1000*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":261.86677540994924},273.36735083475043,282.10231628624962,288.04598193012242,291.21402201632941,291.6729108746116,289.53805389928681,282.34113868006449,270.34233643486527,254.06923846189355,234.14493414792139,211.25301035729285,191.29721205703871,174.34761706447293,159.92799164448596,147.60032544821146,137.00717251131553,127.21819123067068,118.10691417137998,109.6165169457721,101.69955250293927,94.312732592045705,87.559726301026487,81.400868330738149,75.788718612137444,70.678807118386345,66.03021553272626,61.805353460974857,57.969691137554896,54.491509003840605,51.341667412969088,48.493395189150057,{"$f":"BY730/1000*(1+(AZ1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":45.498007476988271},42.38495065574989,39.207682528524131,35.446489269526474,31.760928498247328,28.206172051514709,24.829159370304907,21.667665290729225,18.749822110608015,16.094090033527088,13.533339495360144,11.10841872454875,8.8809312611763875,6.8996071193852542,5.1931929056231416,3.7698538408348692,2.6193523315309228,1.7168845489410804,1.02783744455561]
[]
["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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["O&G Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF736-AF734-AF735","v":251.47357240000002},353.61801609999998,166.82136479999994,207.12990399999998,260.2257312000001,262.5381984,195.63654,157.14817440000004,101.15611680000004,75.147059680000012,175.07180299999999,265.66287999999997,201.09176838571295,139.51191753094869,155.97739732819963,169.73843104649052,180.28482768542139,187.46644071046657,191.25524116756984,208.77827486785833,220.83268517652056,227.47711950253156,229.20502293653908,226.71130298429159,203.94765532398446,184.15806865141312,168.44837825471575,156.58477758805867,148.02881663242067,140.82008179519138,134.84974816424713,129.57397383732652,124.75248854984068,120.28004559875978,113.16309286203591,106.5282197142258,100.39234002608492,94.760342656635203,89.628504027299684,84.540839068612144,79.917611104155554,75.732643133677541,71.957798079251589,68.565832247178122,65.882588981143925,62.806330545226928,59.059206325069425,54.687143521571599,48.506429149402521,42.491045172457468,36.953178300695953,31.936148102054517,27.2543849585992,22.686160412565037,18.896105618598192,15.179146776668158,11.67198862704878,8.4887010048302063,5.801091760935261,3.7643216220774152,2.4194589035769134,1.6683043585281103,1.3533664813348807,1.3734359195215089]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2027]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",1.5]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green Offshore capactiy to produce (GW)",0,{"$f":"0","v":0},{"$f":"U800+U799-U823","v":0},{"$f":"V800+V799-V823","v":0},0,0,0,0,{"$f":"AA800+AA799-AA823","v":0},{"$f":"AB800+AB799-AB823","v":0},{"$f":"AC800+AC799-AC823","v":0},1.5,3.0538461538461537,{"$f":"AF800+AF799-AF823","v":4.6634714003944771},6.3308780660496637,8.0581403556001643,9.8474069324678624,11.700903591582094,13.620936028202991,15.609892706138483,17.670247828922943,19.804564417653509,22.015497499312865,24.30579740954461,26.678313213989803,29.135996252440719,31.681903810220643,34.319202921356769,37.051174308277268,39.881216462933381,42.8128498744233,45.849721408376958,48.995608843549462,52.254425571266623,55.630225463568507,59.127207916106869,62.749723072069685,66.502277233631162,70.389538467658952,74.416342412651844,78.587698294131656,82.908795155972285,87.385008315417451,92.021906049817062,96.825256523400242,101.80103496270179,106.95543108956801,112.2948568209884,117.82595424533157,123.55560388490758,129.49093325513505,135.63932573096042,142.008429731559]
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36302488},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BG1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":90.649130042058843},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BH1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":93.386733769329012},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BI1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":96.207013129162746},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BJ1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":99.112464925663474},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BK1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":102.1056613664185},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BL1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":105.18925233968434},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BM1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":108.36596776034283},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BN1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":111.63861998670517},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BO1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":115.01010631030366},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BP1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":118.48341152087481},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BQ1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":122.06161054880525},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+(SC3_Rebuilding!BR1244-SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)/SC3_Rebuilding!$S1244)","v":125.74787118737915}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA825+AZ823-BA854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T848","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"F849","v":4},{"$f":"G849","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"H849","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"I849","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"J849","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"K849","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"L849","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"M849","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"N849","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"O849","v":4}]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,{"$f":"IF($B852=1,BA848,BA850)","v":3.3901714012093813},3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T855,SEARCH(\"(\",T855)),\" Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal ( Nominal 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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,{"$f":"BB889+1","v":2053},2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.64341255764305,165.34991967509694,178.51255781727988,192.14770091841302,206.27231069497151,220.90395774556021,236.06084340822133,{"$f":"BA800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":251.76182240236258},268.02642628347309,284.87488773980294,302.32816576123179,320.40797171163496,339.1367963371809,358.53793774415658,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,21.940430769230769,44.40903597633136,74.911206498558641,113.73532673184025,161.1801333324704,217.55508683671295,283.18075662059493,358.38921967877013,443.52447371852088,538.94286508277548,645.0135320344649,762.11886395365082,890.65497701865365,1031.0322069629131,1183.6756195205562,1349.0255391956532,1527.5380970129331,1719.6857979313461,1925.9581086263177,2146.862066371878,2382.9229097800994,2634.6847321824621,2902.7111584659351,3187.5860462057381,3489.91421196697,3810.3221836786051,4149.4589800157864,4507.9969177599432,4886.6324481410693,5286.0870232025436,5707.1079932662251,6150.4695366142441,6616.9736225439865,7107.4510089942842,7622.7622759838232,8163.7988961473457,8731.4843437013533,9326.7752432188372,9950.6625596420781,10604.172831013846,11288.369445460497]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,34.98438011639913,36.040908395914379,37.129343829470997,38.250650013121017,39.405819643517283,40.595875396751502,41.821870833733399,43.08489133291215,44.38605505116611,45.726513913711329,47.107454633905405,48.530099763849364,49.995708776717613,51.505579181774479,53.061047673064074,54.663491312790605,56.314328750436886,58.015021478700092,59.767075127356833,61.572040796203005,63.431516428248337,65.347148224381428,67.320632100757763,69.353715190200646,{"$f":"BA802+BA856","v":71.44819738894472},73.60593295009086,75.828832125183609,78.118862855364142,80.478052513596154,82.908489699506745,85.412326088431854,87.991778336302488,90.649130042058843,93.386733769329012,96.207013129162746,99.112464925663474,102.1056613664185,105.18925233968434,108.36596776034283,111.63861998670517,115.01010631030366,118.48341152087481,122.06161054880525,125.74787118737915]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,29.858831571401446,30.157419887115459,30.458994085986614,30.76358402684648,31.071219867114944,31.381932065786096,31.695751386443956,32.012708900308397,32.332835989311484,32.656164349204602,32.982725992696651,33.312553252623616,33.645678785149855,33.982135573001351,34.321956928731367,34.665176498018681,35.011828262998868,35.361946545628861,35.715566011085151,36.072721671196,36.433448887907957,36.797783376787038,37.165761210554912,37.537418822660463,{"$f":"BA801+BA855","v":37.912793010887071},38.291920940995944,38.674840150405906,39.061588551909963,39.45220443742906,39.846726481803351,40.245193746621382,40.6476456840876,41.054122140928477,41.46466336233776,41.879309995961137,42.298103095920752,42.721084126879958,43.148294968148761,43.579777917830249,44.015575697008551,44.455731453978636,44.900288768518422,45.349291656203604,45.802784572765638]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},0,0.45375761941851767,0.45143065726765341,0.4491156282560243,0.44681247118804479,0.44452112518195214,0.44224152966819857,0.43997362438784887,0.437717349390988,0.43547264503513677,0.43323945198367453,0.43101771120427113,0.42880736396732599,0.42660835184441664,0.42442061670675291,0.42224410072364144,0.4200787463609561,0.41792449637961787,0.41578129383408136,0.41364908207082968,0.41152780472687672,0.40941740572827723,0.40731782928864502,0.40522901990767762,0.40315092236968958,0.40108348174215269,0.39902664337424415,0.39698035289540201,0.39494455621388708,0.39291919951535431,0.39090422926142948,0.38889959218829384,0.38690523530527704,0.38492110589345507,0.3829471515042579,0.38098331995808221,0.37902955934291255,0.37708581801294894,0.3751520445872415,0.37322818794833262,0.3713141972409052,0.36941002187043909,0.36751561150187267,0.3656309160582733]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":4.2146110538240773},2.0908504963492502,1.3828726607958615,1.0288425881993455,0.8163932935503605,0.67473578656938205,0.57353193181575313,0.49761266371448315,0.43855072489892355,0.39128976154895317,0.35261209400092769,0.32037260205480511,0.29308620168052513,0.26969211742452426,0.24941244585679079,0.23166375772865438,0.21599989937258016,0.20207386030577726,0.18961168264707889,0.1783941977127621,0.16824398073194721,0.15901586337106657,0.15058992125619158,0.14286621461906601,0.13576079119241449,0.12920261151837054,0.12313115752605489,0.1174945535611725,0.11224807617245602,0.10735296194515227,0.10277544608072245,9.848598124712421E-2,9.4458598460552073E-2,9.0670380756945904E-2,8.7101027095382949E-2,8.3732488948324732E-2,8.0548665827201771E-2,7.753514888686848E-2,7.4679003979419803E-2,7.1968587253757196E-2,6.9393387744330348E-2,6.6943892450869485E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,119.16520877176099,115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,{"$f":"BD937*(1+$W937/100)","v":73.197664853697844},71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,44.961933061321098,43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},{"$f":"X938*(1+$W938/100)","v":11640},11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,{"$f":"BD938*(1+$W938/100)","v":4391.8598912218686},4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
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[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A951,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO Shutdown&Removal  p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F941","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO Shutdown&Removal  p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E941","v":-1},{"$f":"F946","v":700},{"$f":"X941*(1+$W941/100)","v":693},686.07,679.2093000000001,672.41720700000008,665.69303493000007,659.03610458070011,652.44574353489315,645.9212860995442,639.46207323854878,633.06745250616325,626.73677798110157,620.46941020129054,614.26471609927762,608.12206893828488,602.04084824890208,596.02043976641301,590.06023536874886,584.15963301506133,578.31803668491068,572.53485631806154,566.80950775488088,561.14141267733203,555.52999855055873,549.97469856505313,544.47495157940261,539.03020206360861,533.6399000429725,528.30350104254273,523.02046603211727,517.79026137179608,512.61235875807813,507.48623517049737,{"$f":"BD941*(1+$W941/100)","v":502.41137281879242},497.38725909060446,492.41338649969839,487.48925263470142,482.61436010835439,477.78821650727082,473.01033434219812,468.28023099877612,463.59742868878834,458.96145440190043,454.37183985788141,449.82812145930257,445.32984024470954,440.87654184226244,436.46777642383984,432.10309865960141,427.78206767300537,423.5042469962753,419.26920452631254]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G942+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M942+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N942+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D942","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y942+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (\",C985,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U799*X951/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.684159055782173,13.750123719948505,13.81640636762415,13.883008531652701,13.949931752266819,14.017177577123901,14.084747561341834,14.152643267534966,14.220866265850264,14.289418134003594,14.358300457316227,14.427514828751493,14.497062848951627,14.566946126274779,14.637166276832208,14.707724924525657,14.778623701084909,14.849864246105524,14.921448207086751,14.993377239469631,15.065653006675275,15.13827718014335,15.211251439370709,{"$f":"BA799*BD951/1000","v":15.284577471950243},15.358256973609901,15.432291648251917,15.506683207992213,15.581433373199967,15.656543872537444,15.732016442999933,15.80785282995593,15.884054787187516,15.96062407693088,16.037562469917113,16.114871745413122,16.192553691262805,16.270610103928384,16.349042788531936,16.427853558897169,16.507044237591337,16.586616655967422,16.666572654206441,16.74691408136005]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (\",C986,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U823*X953/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA823*BD953/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (\",C987,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U854*X954/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"BA854*BD954/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.684159055782173,13.750123719948505,13.81640636762415,13.883008531652701,13.949931752266819,14.017177577123901,14.084747561341834,14.152643267534966,14.220866265850264,14.289418134003594,14.358300457316227,14.427514828751493,14.497062848951627,14.566946126274779,14.637166276832208,14.707724924525657,14.778623701084909,14.849864246105524,14.921448207086751,14.993377239469631,15.065653006675275,15.13827718014335,15.211251439370709,{"$f":"SUM(AL985:AL987)","v":15.284577471950243},15.358256973609901,15.432291648251917,15.506683207992213,15.581433373199967,15.656543872537444,15.732016442999933,15.80785282995593,15.884054787187516,15.96062407693088,16.037562469917113,16.114871745413122,16.192553691262805,16.270610103928384,16.349042788531936,16.427853558897169,16.507044237591337,16.586616655967422,16.666572654206441,16.74691408136005]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.22122723806847841,0.43688408773225823,0.64714280137688096,0.85217048859729327,1.0521292706010212,1.2471764299798271,1.437464555988792,1.6231416854676102,1.8043514395348279,1.9812331561818415,2.1539220188896651,2.3225491813877905,2.4872418886708751,2.6481235943855248,2.8053140746960796,2.958929538735029,3.1090827357405173,3.2558830589803405,3.3994366465588333,3.5398464792001612,3.6772124750987398,3.8116315819247615,{"$f":"BA800*BD950/1000","v":3.9431978660701783},4.0720025992179352,4.1981343423147575,4.3216790270253869,4.4427200347438331,4.5613382732349175,4.6776122509772247,4.7916181492764069,4.9034298922157369,5.0131192145087962,5.120755727317249,5.2264069820947245,5.3301385325160613,5.4320139945493278,5.5320951047263573,5.6304417766658315,5.7271121559013611,5.8221626730653799,5.9156480954782253,6.0076215771902159]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.8420795278910864,6.8750618599742523,6.9082031838120752,6.9415042658263504,6.9749658761334095,7.0085887885619504,7.0423737806709168,7.076321633767483,7.1104331329251318,7.1447090670017968,7.1791502286581137,7.2137574143757464,7.2485314244758134,7.2834730631373894,7.3185831384161038,7.3538624622628284,7.3893118505424544,7.4249321230527618,7.4607241035433756,7.4966886197348153,7.5328265033376374,7.5691385900716748,{"$f":"AK988*($B$939/100)","v":7.6056257196853547},7.6422887359751215,7.6791284868049505,7.7161458241259586,7.7533416039961063,7.7907166865999837,7.8282719362687221,7.8660082214999667,7.9039264149779651,7.942027393593758,7.9803120384654402,8.0187812349585563,8.0574358727065611,8.0962768456314027,8.1353050519641918,8.1745213942659678,8.2139267794485846,8.2535221187956687,8.293308327983711,8.3332863271032203,8.3734570406800248]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,18.131510748911378,18.805166109813236,19.464481269592483,20.109914728088562,20.74191136653636,21.360902856781873,21.967308058224468,22.561533402854128,23.143973268740769,23.715010342322056,24.27501596982588,24.82435049815334,25.363363605538549,25.892394622291899,26.411772841924318,26.921817822941104,27.42283968158533,27.915139375802188,28.399008980687846,28.874731955678165,29.342583403725168,29.802830322701599,{"$f":"(AK990+AK991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":30.255731849266805},30.701539495420043,31.140497377960646,31.572842441067895,31.998804672206955,32.418607311561118,32.832467055184644,33.240594252064554,33.643193095274086,34.040461807395161,34.432592820381728,34.819772950030881,35.202183565223407,35.580000752090776,35.953395473260827,36.322533722329659,36.687576673703198,37.04868082794713,37.405998152780093,37.759676219840827,38.109858337356137]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,24.973590276802465,25.901455207855967,26.809568541136816,27.698561795291795,28.569047731267062,29.421620915944843,30.256858268875213,31.075319592610402,31.877548087133512,32.664070848858685,33.435399354665833,34.192029931418752,34.934444211402152,35.663109574100162,36.378479574725944,37.080994359900011,37.771081070862813,38.449154234595468,39.115616143211561,39.770857221971809,40.415256386262968,41.049181387872011,41.672989150876923,42.287026097465343,42.89162846398353,43.48712260750861,44.073825303228446,44.652044032904939,45.222077264688281,45.784214724541741,46.338737659528462,46.885919093204656,47.426024073355961,47.959309912306686,48.486026420024693,49.006416130238236,49.520714519774344,50.029150221321984,50.531945229817616,51.029315102644162,51.521469153829187,52.008610642422269,52.490936955226374]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.64341255764305,165.34991967509694,178.51255781727988,192.14770091841302,206.27231069497151,220.90395774556021,236.06084340822133,{"$f":"BA890","v":251.76182240236258},268.02642628347309,284.87488773980294,302.32816576123179,320.40797171163496,339.1367963371809,358.53793774415658,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0.23600897347301952,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.37246873357176469,0.91758270351846249,1.4449425262256455,1.9542466220511301,2.4451913666297855,2.9174712095513371,{"$f":"MIN(0,BW1608)*-1","v":3.3707787955502795},3.8048050881982931,4.2192394960876811,4.6137700014911047,4.9486007701266033,3.4340557245818104,1.8925418678819597,0.32441228811535439,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,{"$f":"MAX(0,W1036-W1037)","v":65.625669783882017},75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.27094382407128,164.43233697157848,177.06761529105424,190.19345429636189,203.82711932834172,217.98648653600887,232.69006461267105,247.95701731416429,263.80718678738538,280.26111773831184,297.37956499110521,316.97391598705315,337.24425446929894,358.21352545604122,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,100,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":100},100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,99.75598767917279,99.445066132888698,99.190565333949991,98.982945612822647,98.814580901143998,98.679303331943146,98.572072035800886,{"$f":"IF(AL1036=0,0,AL1038/AL1036*100)","v":98.488728333830736},98.42581212808274,98.380422353793008,98.363169121981571,98.928224005714682,99.441953250628586,99.909518002430502,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,{"$f":"BD1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.29515679761779179},0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, Green offshore, operations 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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1113,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"X1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.20407850639469449,0.40382445749532297,0.59936894527015738,0.79083944827309272,0.9783599334801929,1.1620509552717386,1.3420297516398911,1.5184103376998455,1.6913035965801568,1.8608173677658013,2.0270565329654668,2.190123099572574,2.3501162817875558,2.5071325794670498,2.6612658547638146,2.8126074066193678,2.961246043169635,3.107268152122189,3.2507577691620169,3.3917966444411536,3.5304643072059809,3.6668381286144709,{"$f":"BD1093","v":3.800993382794172},3.9330033061903484,4.0629391552522529,4.1908702625042062,4.3168640910468223,4.4409862875324437,4.5633007336576439,4.6838695962144179,4.802753375740533,4.9200109538083643,5.0356996389904713,5.1498752115390234,5.2625919668152443,5.3739027575039202,5.4838590346471419,5.5925108875303797,5.6999070824531941,5.8060951004158206,5.9111211737521501,6.0150303217386485]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1104,\" (\",B1114,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1112+E1113","v":0},{"$f":"X1069","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.49683615440205758,1.0064499155442501,1.5292462061990193,2.0656423254312459,2.6160683290830895,3.1809674219449877,3.760796361971801,4.3560258769141109,4.9671410937460454,5.5946419812827273,6.2390438063925053,6.9008776042215914,7.5806906628615209,8.2790470229031214,8.9965279923342649,9.7337326772527586,10.49127852888016,11.269801907377278,12.069958662977491,12.892424734969811,13.737896769080068,14.607092753815325,{"$f":"BD1069","v":15.500752676354077},16.419639198582619,17.364538353896453,18.336260265404633,19.335639886194414,20.363537762333991,21.420840819311675,22.50846317263154,23.627346963307495,24.778463219020679,25.962812741728495,27.181427022537793,28.435369184679775,29.725734955449791,31.053653668001825,32.420289293914699,33.826841507475308,35.274546782653154,36.764679523770312,38.298553230902051]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees per GO OPEX (\",B1117,\")\")","v":"Employees per GO OPEX (p/2018-MNOK)"},"p/2018-MNOK",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(O1114=0,\"\",O990/O1114)","v":""},0.44527201997754257,0.43408428078212696,0.4231776405614705,0.41254503652726271,0.40217958334818565,0.39207456869119611,0.38222344887483445,0.37261984463174808,0.36325753697768404,0.35413046318427488,0.34523271285301171,0.33655852408786063,0.3281022797640451,0.31985850389057663,0.31182185806418022,0.30398713801231647,0.29634927022306223,0.28890330865966868,0.28164443155766694,0.27456793830244919,0.26766924638530221,0.26094388843592276,0.2543875093294925,0.24799586336643986,0.24176481152306201,0.2356903187712262,0.22976845146541652,0.22399537479543113,0.2183673503030836,0.21288073346129757,0.20753197131402881,0.20231760017548539,0.19723424338715662,0.1922786091311979,0.18744748829875574,0.18273775241185231,0.17814635159748418,0.17367031261262272,0.1693067369188383,0.16505279880529961,0.1609057435589353,0.15686288568057008]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
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["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,{"$f":"BD1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":59.2353845011461},59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
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[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[{"$f":"hist!A455","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B1140=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1140+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1141","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1140=1,X1137,X1141)","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,{"$f":"IF($B$1140=1,BD1137,BD1141)","v":50},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
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["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100*(AY1244/100)","v":238.31538275468137},258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.6135000000000006,7.3567153846153834,11.234302603550296,15.251085261113639,19.412060116640799,23.722403300315083,28.187476752121267,32.812834891941009,37.604231529087606,42.56762701987536,47.709195682127309,53.035333475844688,58.552665959592971,64.268056532501433,70.188614972129699,76.135471912035641,82.21616848578924,88.533807645527119,95.096727148180946,101.91355966417086,108.99324326800442,116.34503230633553,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100","v":123.97850865708214},131.90359339369269,140.13055886915592,148.68978249555261,158.48695799352657,168.62212723464944,179.10676272802061,189.31776519056314,199.72728753073727,210.51048503184066,221.68077167400929,233.25204296487118,245.23869322514867,257.65563349476935,270.51831008176111,283.84272377700381,297.64544975874236,311.94365821162035,326.75513568588372,342.09830722332566]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,{"$f":"IF(AL1038>0,AL1164/AL1038,0)","v":0.5},0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,{"$f":"AK1162","v":2050},2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.85441106040375892,1.7534989232247811,2.6995986996322934,3.6951637622343538,4.7427717578052295,5.8451309266558358,7.0050867443292191,8.2256289021064237,9.5098986436525603,10.86119647602073,12.282990274164776,13.778923799093139,15.352825650827409,17.008718678413789,18.75082987037565,20.583600750193746,22.511698302660761,24.540026458281378,26.673738164281545,28.918248072254471,31.279245874010211,{"$f":"AK1107","v":33.762710318813113},36.374923946892899,39.122488575902835,42.012341578878683,45.051772994228372,48.248443510359792,51.610403369738663,55.146112239464749,58.864460097868424,62.774789189168153,66.886917100896824,71.211161021610806,75.758363239343481,80.539917944366195,85.567799403077913,90.854591573272202,96.413519234631309,102.2584807120854,108.40408227365519,114.86567428858257,121.65938923595361]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,34.98438011639913,36.040908395914379,37.129343829470997,38.250650013121017,39.405819643517283,40.595875396751502,41.821870833733399,43.08489133291215,44.38605505116611,45.726513913711329,47.107454633905405,48.530099763849364,49.995708776717613,51.505579181774479,53.061047673064074,54.663491312790605,56.314328750436886,58.015021478700092,59.767075127356833,61.572040796203005,63.431516428248337,65.347148224381428,67.320632100757763,{"$f":"AK909","v":69.353715190200646},71.44819738894472,73.60593295009086,75.828832125183609,78.118862855364142,80.478052513596154,82.908489699506745,85.412326088431854,87.991778336302488,90.649130042058843,93.386733769329012,96.207013129162746,99.112464925663474,102.1056613664185,105.18925233968434,108.36596776034283,111.63861998670517,115.01010631030366,118.48341152087481,122.06161054880525,125.74787118737915]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,{"$f":"AK1163","v":219.25693607060668},238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-34.98438011639913,-36.040908395914379,-33.490821826490681,-30.674055014875297,-27.572650006672568,-24.167556043285227,-20.438565498907163,-16.364246118501065,-11.921869344651562,-7.087334509063183,-1.8350886516610245,3.861958283291564,10.032523138958048,16.707044405607789,23.917782544235401,31.698926087050559,40.0867038456404,48.807855613598704,58.054892719622728,68.027434921124723,78.771763378228485,90.336910578268387,102.7748192833767,116.14051056159293,130.49226141884375,145.89179257859712,162.40446698711401,180.13976960292629,201.03495452614158,223.34764393307717,247.16198924575443,271.16489613351598,296.40196899833086,323.32039590938638,352.02185032051727,382.61395010660232,415.21060027075055,449.93235528473951,486.90680218391066,526.26896560164516,568.16173599610192,612.73632239329629,660.15273104606808,710.58027148825715]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX (\",B1210,\")\")","v":"OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1115","v":0},6.8747219372084889E-2,6.8403483275224483E-2,6.8061465858848355E-2,6.7721158529554112E-2,6.738255273690634E-2,6.7045639973221813E-2,6.6710411773355696E-2,6.6376859714488923E-2,6.6044975415916488E-2,6.5714750538836922E-2,6.5386176786142711E-2,6.5059245902212001E-2,6.4733949672700936E-2,6.4410279924337441E-2,6.408822852471574E-2,6.3767787382092156E-2,6.3448948445181702E-2,6.3131703702955788E-2,6.2816045184441019E-2,6.2501964958518799E-2,6.2189455133726215E-2,6.1878507858057583E-2,6.1569115318767312E-2,6.1261269742173476E-2,6.095496339346259E-2,6.0650188576495283E-2,6.0346937633612818E-2,6.0045202945444749E-2,5.9744976930717536E-2,5.9446252046063949E-2,5.9149020785833624E-2,5.8853275681904453E-2,5.855900930349494E-2,5.8266214256977464E-2,5.7974883185692563E-2,5.7685008769764103E-2,5.739658372591528E-2,5.71096008072857E-2,5.6824052803249273E-2,5.653993253923302E-2,5.6257232876536847E-2,5.5975946712154175E-2]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"CAPEX (\",B1211,\")\")","v":"CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O913","v":0},4.2146110538240773,2.0908504963492502,1.3828726607958615,1.0288425881993455,0.8163932935503605,0.67473578656938205,0.57353193181575313,0.49761266371448315,0.43855072489892355,0.39128976154895317,0.35261209400092769,0.32037260205480511,0.29308620168052513,0.26969211742452426,0.24941244585679079,0.23166375772865438,0.21599989937258016,0.20207386030577726,0.18961168264707889,0.1783941977127621,0.16824398073194721,0.15901586337106657,0.15058992125619158,0.14286621461906601,0.13576079119241449,0.12920261151837054,0.12313115752605489,0.1174945535611725,0.11224807617245602,0.10735296194515227,0.10277544608072245,9.848598124712421E-2,9.4458598460552073E-2,9.0670380756945904E-2,8.7101027095382949E-2,8.3732488948324732E-2,8.0548665827201771E-2,7.753514888686848E-2,7.4679003979419803E-2,7.1968587253757196E-2,6.9393387744330348E-2,6.6943892450869485E-2]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"LCOE (\",B1212,\")\")","v":"LCOE (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1210+O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1210+P1211","v":4.2833582731961624},2.1592539796244745,1.4509341266547098,1.0965637467288996,0.8837758462872668,0.74178142654260382,0.64024234358910881,0.56398952342897202,0.50459570031484002,0.45700451208779008,0.41799827078707041,0.38543184795701713,0.35782015135322609,0.33410239734886171,0.31350067438150653,0.29543154511074654,0.27944884781776186,0.26520556400873307,0.2524277278315199,0.24089616267128089,0.23043343586567344,0.22089437122912414,0.21215903657495888,0.20412748436123948,0.19671575458587709,0.18985280009486583,0.1834780951596677,0.17753975650661724,0.17199305310317356,0.16679921399121622,0.16192446686655607,0.15733925692902867,0.15301760776404702,0.14893659501392337,0.14507591028107553,0.14141749771808884,0.13794524955311704,0.13464474969415419,0.13150305678266908,0.12850851979299022,0.12565062062086718,0.12291983916302365]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Revenue (\",B1213,\")\")","v":"Revenue (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1165","v":0},0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1214,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1213-O1210-O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1213-P1210-P1211","v":-3.7833582731961624},-1.6592539796244747,-0.95093412665470978,-0.59656374672889956,-0.38377584628726685,-0.24178142654260376,-0.14024234358910881,-6.3989523428972073E-2,-4.5957003148400233E-3,4.2995487912209807E-2,8.2001729212929586E-2,0.11456815204298282,0.14217984864677391,0.16589760265113829,0.18649932561849347,0.20456845488925346,0.22055115218223817,0.23479443599126695,0.2475722721684801,0.25910383732871911,0.26956656413432656,0.27910562877087586,0.28784096342504112,0.29587251563876049,0.30328424541412291,0.31014719990513417,0.31652190484033227,0.32246024349338265,0.32800694689682641,0.33320078600878372,0.33807553313344396,0.34266074307097133,0.34698239223595295,0.35106340498607663,0.35492408971892453,0.35858250228191113,0.36205475044688296,0.36535525030584581,0.36849694321733095,0.37149148020700978,0.37434937937913282,0.37708016083697637]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1215,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1164-O911-O1114","v":-30.157419887115459},-27.342330240388669,-24.413318557775348,-21.36616346976367,-18.196489130103704,-14.899759598886247,-11.471273021938302,-7.9061555991620178,-4.1993553341777039,-0.34563555735508977,3.660431785969017,7.8244730905849487,12.152320298621746,16.650018368000083,21.32383301157963,26.180258716796565,31.039792689154019,36.00932394582393,41.191284066953841,46.593319597295498,52.223351552414016,58.089585288369449,64.200520729859733,70.564962969840991,77.192033254114136,84.091180364853557,91.29193367823801,99.699113669903099,108.41186299051209,117.44072816208754,126.16165633384401,135.04581842650128,144.26735845048222,153.83864893631966,163.77251284641264,174.08223991358892,184.78160357117079,195.88487849592903,207.40685878608056,219.36287679728841,231.76882266044879,244.64116450590979,257.996969419658]
[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1226+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1226+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1226+10","v":2070},null,{"$f":"D1227","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},{"$f":"E1227","v":-1.9118460829078907},{"$f":"F1227","v":1.6909868685221172},{"$f":"G1227","v":-5.2056557471082767},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*1","v":-3.1645245976866212},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*2","v":-1.1233934482649657},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*3","v":0.91773770115668984},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*4","v":2.9588688505783454},{"$f":"H1227","v":5},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*1","v":4.66},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*2","v":4.32},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*3","v":3.98},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*4","v":3.6399999999999997},{"$f":"I1227","v":3.3},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*1","v":2.94},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*2","v":2.58},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*3","v":2.2199999999999998},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*4","v":1.8599999999999999},{"$f":"J1227","v":1.5},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*1","v":1.4},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*2","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*3","v":1.2},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*4","v":1.1000000000000001},{"$f":"K1227","v":1},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*1","v":0.9},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*2","v":0.8},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*3","v":0.7},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*4","v":0.6},{"$f":"L1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*1","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*2","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*3","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*4","v":0.5},{"$f":"M1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*1","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*2","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*3","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*4","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*5","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*6","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*7","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*8","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*9","v":0.5},{"$f":"N1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*1","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*2","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*3","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*4","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*5","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*6","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*7","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*8","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*9","v":0.5},{"$f":"O1227","v":0.5}]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1239+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1239+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1239+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1233","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1232=1,S1233,S1226)","v":1.6909868685221172},-5.2056557471082767,-3.1645245976866212,-1.1233934482649657,0.91773770115668984,2.9588688505783454,5,4.66,4.32,3.98,3.6399999999999997,3.3,2.94,2.58,2.2199999999999998,1.8599999999999999,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1000000000000001,1,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,{"$f":"AY1241*BA22","v":5168.0283591996267},5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1236","v":"GDP nominal Mainland (GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1242*S1244/100","v":3063.06},{"$f":"T1242*T1244/100","v":2983.4346009050273},2964.6020040302815,3007.1904980255508,3112.5509743982325,3285.9174077439038,3536.8121481298558,3793.5830746444303,4055.4959021008872,4321.063522395707,4588.6525057543922,4856.4957267412192,5121.7131831321531,5381.6384750627331,5633.9859130135274,5876.4340541593047,6106.6594603465928,6338.6251828155646,6572.3764929576973,6807.4670973239936,7043.4296362714322,7279.7769480661,7516.0034879834193,7751.3319597027803,7985.2014019095404,8217.0379590730754,8446.2570640676422,8680.9034646487908,8920.7812365541413,9165.9674471339695,9416.5391155104553,9672.5731706734114,9934.1464085223288,10201.606688222746,10475.051556863571,10754.579207423216,11040.288455359008,11332.278714353659,11630.649971216004,11935.502759933996,12246.938134878455,12565.057643156875,12889.963296117186,13221.668695171922,13560.269935807022,13905.863225933022,14258.544849645114,14618.411130270541,14985.558392718631,15360.082925149871,15742.080939981615,16131.648534249058]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1268+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1268+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1268+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",{"$f":"E1269","v":1.1499594536442725},{"$f":"F1269","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"G1269","v":1.0545855541260798},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*1","v":1.0636684433008639},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*2","v":1.0727513324756479},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*3","v":1.081834221650432},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*4","v":1.090917110825216},{"$f":"H1269","v":1.1000000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*1","v":1.1200000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*2","v":1.1400000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*3","v":1.1599999999999999},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*4","v":1.18},{"$f":"I1269","v":1.2},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*1","v":1.204},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*2","v":1.208},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*3","v":1.212},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*4","v":1.216},{"$f":"J1269","v":1.22},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*1","v":1.226},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*2","v":1.232},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*3","v":1.238},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*4","v":1.244},{"$f":"K1269","v":1.25},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*1","v":1.26},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*2","v":1.27},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*3","v":1.28},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*4","v":1.29},{"$f":"L1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*1","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*2","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*3","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*4","v":1.3},{"$f":"M1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*1","v":1.31},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*2","v":1.32},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*3","v":1.33},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*4","v":1.34},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*5","v":1.35},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*6","v":1.3599999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*7","v":1.3699999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*8","v":1.38},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*9","v":1.39},{"$f":"N1269","v":1.4},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*1","v":1.4049999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*2","v":1.41},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*3","v":1.415},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*4","v":1.42},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*5","v":1.4249999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*6","v":1.43},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*7","v":1.4350000000000001},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*8","v":1.44},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*9","v":1.4449999999999998},{"$f":"O1269","v":1.45}]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Mainland CO2e emissions per unit GDP (kgCO2e/2018-NOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1302+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1302+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1302+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1318+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1318+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1318+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1318+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1318+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1324+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1324+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1319","v":"Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK)"},{"$f":"E1319","v":1.147582567346553},{"$f":"E1319","v":1.147582567346553},{"$f":"F1319","v":1.1086817092569881},{"$f":"T1325*(1+$E$1316/100)","v":1.113116436094016},1.1175689018383921,1.1220391774457457,1.1265273341555286,1.1310334434921507,1.1355575772661193,1.1400998075751838,1.1446602068054845,1.1492388476327065,1.1538358030232372,1.1584511462353302,1.1630849508202714,1.1677372906235526,1.1724082397860467,1.1770978727451908,1.1818062642361715,1.1865334892931163,1.1912796232502887,1.1960447417432898,1.2008289207102629,1.205632236393104,1.2104547653386764,1.215296584400031,1.220157770737631,1.2250384018205815,1.2299385554278639,1.2348583096495753,1.2397977428881737,1.2447569338597264,1.2497359615951653,1.254734905441546,1.2597538450633121,1.2647928604435654,1.2698520318853397,1.2749314400128811,1.2800311657729326,1.2851512904360243,1.2902918955977685,1.2954530631801595,1.3006348754328803,1.3058374149346117,1.3110607645943502,1.3163050076527276,1.3215702276833385,1.326856508594072,1.3321639346284484,1.3374925903669621,1.34284256072843,1.3482139309713437,1.353606786695229]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1329+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1329+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A430","v":"Offshore emissions (MtCO2e/yr)"},null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1357+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1357+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1357+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,{"$f":"X608*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,13.648112495564767,13.761933661130502,13.739891227692585,13.590446289593469,13.323903692914021,12.952129531478704,12.378809439100664,11.626752239288816,10.728148582875386,9.7168369667024237,8.6266866411635679,7.6859555753223603,6.8896369779102962,6.2130113262590534,5.6343494399855123,5.1361785262088313,4.6826314465861891,4.2673904156159761,3.8868296107172071,3.5378337837319478,3.2175949894364724,2.9280075623640758,2.6664157376694586,2.4300793844515431,2.2165034793191976,2.0234393216855264,1.848861990857994,1.6909481646362456,1.5480560035889355,1.4187070337485084,{"$f":"BD608*BX528","v":1.3015698390510519},1.1846880331672553,1.0689088636566524,0.9559168261472003,0.84727031209182246,0.74428930723114939,0.6480262054515662,0.55925549793050067,0.47847603731834765,0.405924303656783,0.34159708610075645,0.28161289404729678,0.22662072739332784,0.1776256680034265,0.135291778365319,9.9834656317005208E-2,7.1051166591553055E-2,4.8399452429814242E-2,3.1101937836143463E-2,1.8254528510151458E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",null,{"$f":"X614*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,14.329323399412543,15.158022315460572,15.864696751335551,16.438419276216774,16.871118259286533,16.567717577430638,15.994298114281921,15.172750274279446,14.138524697720246,12.930952833691556,11.46787372025903,10.201619405505809,9.126203002498162,8.2091672045508055,7.4218868970094478,6.6397759393535214,5.9314259179235913,5.2874014098384432,4.7019209581181736,4.169955080411528,3.7713892024051163,3.4105294817669431,3.0842147622473153,2.78916604590811,2.5223801419228447,2.3105054235207905,2.1177330156194119,1.9423066369860029,1.7826302138991352,1.6372534108490044,{"$f":"BD614*BX528","v":1.5118253927995293},1.3847332630951443,1.257029320161474,1.130783960071664,1.007966208647405,0.89030168677767574,0.77922632532662073,0.67586231132578634,0.58100961774123594,0.49515184256870176,0.41623708374379498,0.34261905785622254,0.27515736928834761,0.21512476747663262,0.16335396961144719,0.1201082129479681,8.5122318069078204E-2,5.7707023457220341E-2,3.6881895484517764E-2,2.1514976027579454E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,{"$f":"X619*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,14.329323399412543,15.158022315460572,15.864696751335551,16.438419276216774,16.871118259286533,16.567717577430638,15.994298114281921,15.172750274279446,14.138524697720246,12.930952833691556,11.46787372025903,10.201619405505809,9.126203002498162,8.2091672045508055,7.4218868970094478,6.6397759393535214,5.9314259179235913,5.2874014098384432,4.7019209581181736,4.169955080411528,3.7713892024051163,3.4105294817669431,3.0842147622473153,2.78916604590811,2.5223801419228447,2.3105054235207905,2.1177330156194119,1.9423066369860029,1.7826302138991352,1.6372534108490044,{"$f":"BD619*BX528","v":1.5118253927995293},1.3847332630951443,1.257029320161474,1.130783960071664,1.007966208647405,0.89030168677767574,0.77922632532662073,0.67586231132578634,0.58100961774123594,0.49515184256870176,0.41623708374379498,0.34261905785622254,0.27515736928834761,0.21512476747663262,0.16335396961144719,0.1201082129479681,8.5122318069078204E-2,5.7707023457220341E-2,3.6881895484517764E-2,2.1514976027579454E-2]
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["GDP value created by Green Offshore",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"},2018,{"$f":"E1375+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1375+1","v":2056},{"$f":"AQ1375+1","v":2057},2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Percent of investment spending being imported",{"$f":"$B$939","v":50},"pct"]
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["Green offshore investment spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"F909*$B$939/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,17.492190058199565,18.020454197957189,18.564671914735499,19.125325006560509,19.702909821758642,20.297937698375751,20.9109354168667,21.542445666456075,22.193027525583055,22.863256956855665,23.553727316952703,24.265049881924682,24.997854388358807,25.752789590887243,26.530523836532037,27.331745656395302,28.157164375218443,29.007510739350046,29.883537563678416,30.786020398101506,31.715758214124165,32.673574112190714,33.660316050378881,34.676857595100323,{"$f":"AL909*$B$939/100","v":35.72409869447236},36.80296647504543,37.914416062591805,39.059431427682071,40.239026256798077,41.45424484975338,42.706163044215927,43.995889168151244,45.324565021029422,46.693366884664513,48.103506564581373,49.556232462831737,51.052830683209251,52.594626169842179,54.182983880171413,55.819309993352583,57.505053155151828,59.241705760437405,61.030805274402631,62.873935593689573]
["Green offshore operations spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1105","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.60564049986776192,1.2513939676736883,1.939453952877809,2.6721286083238587,3.4518466029465107,4.2811633384362926,5.1627674854716705,6.0994878559291426,7.0943006283246959,8.1503369446257405,9.2708908975038273,10.459427928077591,11.719593655224447,13.055223158621917,14.470350738817004,15.969220178818109,17.556295532961514,19.236272470126416,21.014090199762514,22.894944010655088,24.884298453889233,{"$f":"AK1105","v":26.987901203089471},29.21179762670949,31.562346108931497,34.046234157611813,36.670495339682446,39.442527086492575,42.370109413755188,45.461424603056791,48.725077894298693,52.170119240972923,55.806066182839842,59.642927893376388,63.691230462308148,67.962043476635188,72.467007966816482,77.218365788200003,82.228990511383287,87.512419898972283,93.082890050182499,98.95537129890775,105.14560595527696]
["Green offshore wages paid (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1106","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.248770560535997,0.50210495555109291,0.76014474675448462,1.0230351539104949,1.2909251548587193,1.563967588219543,1.8423192588575481,2.1261410461772812,2.4155980153278644,2.7108595313949899,3.0120993766609483,3.319495871015548,3.6332319956029622,3.9534955197918729,4.2804791315586463,4.6143805713756354,4.9554027696992495,5.3037539881549627,5.6596479645190296,6.0233040615993829,6.3949474201209791,{"$f":"AK1106","v":6.7748091157236425},7.163126320183407,7.5601424669713362,7.9661074212668694,8.3812776545459293,8.8059164238672167,9.2402939559834785,9.6846876364079595,10.139382203569729,10.60466994819523,11.080850918056985,11.568233128234416,12.067132777035338,12.577874467731004,13.100791436261428,13.636225785072199,14.184528723248022,14.746060813113118,15.321192223472691,15.910302989674818,16.513783280676645]
["'GDP' green offshore (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(E1377:E1380)","v":0},{"$f":"SUM(F1377:F1380)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"SUM(L1377:L1380)","v":0},0,17.492190058199565,18.020454197957189,23.912016038523337,30.208917851255791,36.93527685786794,44.116584576310736,51.779784267303398,59.953352734178829,68.667386720756042,77.953694165716655,87.845890586502193,98.379500881107063,109.59206685236401,121.52326077645579,134.21500535548634,147.71160041306405,162.05985671204701,176.99758933203637,192.72890201597949,209.46554903199197,227.26651434916408,246.19412905934948,266.31425918253376,287.69650398452012,310.41440539604662,334.54566915553903,360.17239833264676,387.42160987442929,418.2489203172554,450.93118522181459,485.57270285733171,520.88148383370651,557.92524243975538,597.17433076517352,638.754692057483,682.79937397378444,729.4489282091107,778.85183260042186,831.16493697096917,886.55393405096549,945.19385688572822,1007.2696042219189,1072.976495446441,1142.520856741233]
["'GDP' green offshore (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1381*(100/S1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,14.636682142843849,14.783048964272284,19.231550689990257,23.819525567422062,28.552170333968576,33.434857620522841,38.473142426234197,43.6727688173454,49.039676858265807,54.580009783329494,60.300121417984187,66.206583858463929,72.306195419316424,78.605988858486683,85.113239889999605,91.835475994638216,98.780485539382141,105.77009284996365,112.91254846382098,120.31168107209326,127.97657114435103,135.91661169143015,144.14151942640001,152.66134631982575,161.48649156354469,170.62771395768377,180.09614473616736,189.92304210718382,201.01500328367931,212.47299712755932,224.30944745966769,235.90223147574915,247.72450459888654,259.95245155536799,272.60054361391082,285.68376235902531,299.21761794567317,313.21816800165965,327.7020372009415,342.68643753185614,358.18918928513239,374.22874278743234,390.82420090708399,407.99534235962318]
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["Employment Norway (1000 p)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(O1457:O1459)","v":2024.5},{"$f":"SUM(P1457:P1459)","v":2004.9166666666667},2000.25,2000.4999999999998,2030.9166666666667,2076.3333333333335,2131.75,2198.25,2250.75,2263,2273.5,2281.5,2290.5,2275,2279.5,2291,2355,2436.75,2504.75,2495.75,2497.7500000000005,2541.5,2583,2602.75,2625,2639.75,2638.75,2645.75,2694.5,{"$f":"SUM(AR1457:AR1459)","v":2725.5},{"$f":"SUM(AS1457:AS1459)","v":2844.0997788717273},2734.4713564675089,2680.671019155594,2678.5061537170627,2726.9304635921189,2827.955392632593,2916.5598745303296,2998.2891626607548,3097.3787408882249,3164.1154563774799,3221.8737033741249,3275.5189366375939,3319.0063651804894,3351.4712589093501,3372.3203585568558,3381.2138681693123,3386.9793062522294,3389.2709482447294,3388.1847287557093,3383.7610049714967,3376.0096532915468,3365.5269352112341,3351.6305419455703,3334.3336865452225,3313.66107581601,3289.6537666639165,3265.6295913454287,3241.4110184826345,3216.9981237156039,3192.3928826105544,3167.5982640550828,3142.5588134608747,3117.350698632496,3092.0527903469688,3066.6834626731484,3041.2052947590551,3015.5678451221584,2989.7512572337173,2963.786086473011,2937.7389087493707,2911.6730942877771,2885.5108714587022,2859.2624739003918,2832.9341675577416,2806.5472923789098,2780.1088048144552,2753.620379014947,2727.0922373862463,2700.5458382384836,2674.0023940001397,2647.4688801958769]
["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.614842479969901,53.837424437046501,55.361567021841246,56.298839150286597,57.071367984589948,57.767287749207455,58.287247782257417,58.61864489640768,58.753647459006672,58.688772879944182,58.578964142656048,58.414099854162103,58.196390237160642,57.927041162035913,57.606700023373605,57.245957822307595,56.835441148041092,56.375740638050516,55.867600680311497,55.311999311863779,54.764823240088859,54.224698072747898,53.691391353427626,53.164705675182631,52.644463102977262,{"$f":"BX1460/BA22/10","v":52.12951925962183},51.619546205622235,51.115670233182314,50.618012781650542,50.12577648987601,49.637955560512573,49.154053119136876,48.6744030341262,48.199929305343041,47.731500979288882,47.267673959429871,46.808765171006954,46.354703935535085,45.905667731540397,45.46160019009578,45.022360371421634,44.587948928735337,44.158552054549105,43.734353992376619,43.315308437670879]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.01384022207918,7.7048851174021857,7.5358314584620212,7.4934209712702753,7.5734642142353357,7.7800322920832219,7.9630805238209508,8.1442351754407216,8.260214506357741,8.3530412026691181,8.3313423789962773,8.2790122699434221,8.2137756395347576,8.1344820613865618,8.0388275397527629,7.9251590731791524,7.8118366362600904,7.6961510259328518,7.5777331934264218,7.4564528243770525,7.3322497715711101,7.2051152343750333,7.0753981191158681,6.9431375082969629,6.8081376105899469,6.6706438998655662,6.5372682088974363,6.407784127088104,6.281978612003269,6.1596590914624629,6.0406511464691732,5.924796468317278,5.8112937525940893,5.700148159036269,5.591414895626718,5.4852155923166936,5.3814995275012878,5.2802755778680925,5.1809458642048316,5.0839484865553937,4.9893997450813909,4.897249045876964,4.8072369451997128,4.7193569536411974,4.6336215697983549,4.5500243969687153,4.4685353476991168,4.3891032398171728,4.3116608378986934,4.2361308018564552]
[null,null,null,"plus behavioural change",null,{"$f":"F1495*IF(F1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(F1488-$F1485)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1495*IF(G1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(G1488-$F1485)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.01384022207918,7.7048851174021857,7.5358314584620212,7.4934209712702753,7.5734642142353357,7.7800322920832219,7.9630805238209508,8.1442351754407216,8.260214506357741,8.3530412026691181,8.3313423789962773,8.2790122699434221,8.2137756395347576,8.1344820613865618,8.0388275397527629,7.9251590731791524,7.8118366362600904,7.6961510259328518,7.5777331934264218,7.4564528243770525,7.3322497715711101,7.2051152343750333,7.0753981191158681,6.9431375082969629,6.8081376105899469,6.6706438998655662,6.5372682088974363,6.407784127088104,6.281978612003269,6.1596590914624629,5.9805456632985265,5.8074776378571453,5.6395440663432828,5.4766421528056046,5.3187183733117225,5.1657815039071799,5.017676901268981,4.8743086993561757,4.7350279944987896,4.6001468220026061,4.4696746062837063,4.3434702624818797,4.2212127969323845,4.1028118334345951,3.988195044860642,3.8772750295216221,3.769946054571033,3.6660871910279886,3.5655673123662153,3.4682505615407706]
[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2336874354479566},8.1279269718388019,8.0095078691634463,7.9062904895848121,7.8397252345149164,7.8277866460285779,7.8548454215870525,7.9127233723577861,7.9822215991577767,8.0563855198600454,8.111376891687291,8.144903967338518,8.1586783017777655,8.1538390536995244,8.1308367509101718,8.0897012153639682,8.0341282995431929,7.966532844821125,7.8887729145421845,7.8023088965091585,7.7082970715215486,7.6076607040922459,7.50120818709697,7.3895940513369682,7.273302763187564,7.1527709905231642,7.0296704341980183,6.9052931727760356,6.7806302606214821,6.6564360267896783,6.5212579540914479,6.3785018908445874,6.2307103259443268,6.0798966913165824,5.9276610277156108,5.7752851229539246,5.6237634786169357,5.4738725227647835,5.3261036171115848,5.1809122580897888,5.0386647277285723,4.8996258346792336,4.7639432271298636,4.6317169483908103,4.5030125676847765,4.3778650600521454,4.2562812589559229,4.1382424453703361,4.0237074187695123,3.9126160473237639]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},{"$f":"IF($B$1504=1,AD1502,IF($B$1504=2,AD1503,F1490))","v":8.1577805320073189},8.1169916293472824,8.0764066712005462,8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,{"$f":"BJ1509*BA9","v":42.971989254964022},42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,1,"Future annual RoC, reneawable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.606291868834532},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.312354787522878},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":72.025478335398105},72.745733118752085,73.473190449939608,74.207922354439006,74.9500015779834,75.69950159376323,76.456496609700864,77.221061575797876,77.99327219155586,78.773204913471417,79.560936962606135,80.356546332232199,81.160111795554528,81.971712913510075,82.791430042645175,83.619344343071631,84.455537786502347,85.300093164367368,86.153094096011046,87.014625036971154,87.884771287340868,88.763619000214277,89.651255190216418,90.54776774211858,91.453245419539769,92.367777873735164,93.291455652472521,94.224370208997243,95.166613911087211,96.118280050198081,97.079462850700068,98.050257479207076,99.030760053999145,100.02106765453914,101.02127833108453,102.03149111439538,103.05180602553934,104.08232408579472,105.12314732665267,106.1743787999192,107.23612258791839,108.30848381379758,109.39156865193556,110.48548433845491,111.59033918183945,112.70624257365785,113.83330499939443,114.97163804938837,116.12135442988226,117.28256797418108]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Births (p/yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)*(U20/100)","v":54495},{"$f":"(V22*1000000)*(V20/100)","v":53673.499999999993},53781.69301499999,53875.041907608793,53953.63972068236,54017.581717698486,54066.96536762148,54545.34844669341,55023.243100582047,55500.591407553853,55977.335272212746,56453.41643543703,56815.372547171348,57170.007461830362,57517.195977852207,57856.815167042252,58188.744444135897,58628.503709557757,59065.839136906543,59500.680002266723,59932.95568799146,60362.595695976372,60201.62318453427,60032.258442638798,59854.569582475138,59668.627284466362,59474.504765520636,59272.2777460039,59060.063035562634,58837.964110368484,58606.088642043404,58364.548425979934,58234.026649744861,58096.042924101326,57950.655046472595,57797.923360016699,57637.910718542742,57470.682450002663,57296.306318586969,57114.852485454663,56926.39346812803,56731.004098584614,56528.761480079127,56319.366496961804,56102.905315384523,55879.466566867144,55649.14129292607,55412.022888323001,55168.207042982358,54917.791682626776,54660.876908181286,54397.564933997477]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Deaths (p/yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)*(U21/100)","v":40684},{"$f":"(V22*1000000)*(V21/100)","v":40255.124999999993},40498.26281249999,40732.138539018742,40956.710314283169,41171.937284831161,41377.779618077664,42017.656628652032,42659.720865431023,43303.888860329324,43950.076488825667,44598.198983995251,45588.382762400965,46578.751099379711,47568.893691424484,48558.398443767604,49546.8517049078,50186.924279976462,50826.792813290893,51466.341606657326,52105.454652717723,52744.015656678392,53087.954819955507,53427.530598262034,53762.651927341802,54093.228711166325,54419.171860451381,54978.913563194779,55533.196923115065,56081.806932082385,56624.530317056277,57161.155674928792,57691.473606424253,58216.82471812232,58737.041805975874,59251.959167815861,59761.412692383783,60265.239947571492,60763.28026780083,61255.374840476958,61741.366791449334,62221.101269415376,62755.471707906421,63282.932419579643,63803.304084162788,64316.410096656713,64822.07667088091,65320.132941201948,65810.411062360334,66292.746307313399,66766.977163013391,67232.945424041827]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Calculated life expectancy (yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)/U27","v":130.96578507521383}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB births main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,55000,55000,55000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,60400,60400,60400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,56600,56600,56600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,48000,48000,48000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,46200,46200,46200,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,38100,38100,38100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801358,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471803,3.2485285330564553,3.20074321710708,3.1730704094798714,3.1474210838702015,3.1237413313965736,3.1019832686314186,3.0821047777430293,3.0984144073141411,3.1154101409614663,3.1331076411255419,3.1515233715647897,3.1706746392666538,3.1987236694228254,3.2278941990613936,3.2582276710523468,3.2897680460456624,3.3225619848070598,3.3293869012407038,3.3365822347183074,3.3441492318152832,3.3520892625258996,3.3604038224259862,3.3643268043680004,3.3685434355774855,3.37305279700375,3.3778540335134828,3.382946354014186,3.3870934234738344,3.3915116579566882,3.3961999129509888,3.401157098619124,3.4063821797370077,3.411874175649285,3.4176321602405695,3.4236552619229084,3.4299426636397254,3.4364936028864368,3.4433073717480163,3.4503833169537499,3.4577208399494337,3.4653193969873244,3.4731784992340939,3.4812977128971201,3.4896766593694095,3.4983150153935019,3.5072125132446739,3.5163689409338219]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,4.1145783660573869,3.9679071609619365,3.8421091137346854,3.7326146900171846,3.6357974586250386,3.5487866103214469,3.4736433701531317,3.4083989128965455,3.3514673965965511,3.3015705710035248,3.2576774123514256,3.2258248113439687,3.2037418772674684,3.1896150300390831,3.1819966983442245,3.1797322865287105,3.1835305631075337,3.1924032902983055,3.2055681664491136,3.2224081423684234,3.2424389108561509,3.2598285089330616,3.2751792540901108,3.2889732496351454,3.3015964522132961,3.3133579262558341,3.3235517018782672,3.3325500486181108,3.3406505982952388,3.3480912853388878,3.3550622990739476,3.361468523953925,3.3674771507544778,3.3732217031937801,3.3788087822788491,3.3843234617704807,3.3898336045462414,3.3953933156851068,3.4010457049326672,3.406825096674079,3.4127587979165503,3.4188685126828435,3.4251714735370249,3.4316813468195067,3.43840895685307,3.4453628653292747,3.4525498348428436,3.4599751997481567,3.4676431628772257,3.4755570329507153,3.4837194145473367]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T93","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"U99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!X624/1000","v":1.3549392704400001},{"$f":"V99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!Y624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"W99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!Z624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"X99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AA624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"Y99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AB624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"Z99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AC624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AA99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AD624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AB99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AE624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AC99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AF624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AD99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AG624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AE99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AH624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AF99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AI624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AG99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AJ624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AH99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AK624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AI99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AL624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AJ99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AM624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AK99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AN624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AL99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AO624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AM99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AP624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AN99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AQ624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AO99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AR624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AP99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AS624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AQ99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AT624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AR99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AU624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AS99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AV624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AT99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AW624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AU99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AX624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AV99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AY624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AW99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AZ624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AX99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BA624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AY99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BB624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"AZ99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BC624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BA99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BD624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BB99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BE624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BC99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BF624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BD99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BG624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BE99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BH624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BF99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BI624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BG99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BJ624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BH99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BK624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BI99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BL624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BJ99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BM624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BK99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BN624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BL99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BO624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BM99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BP624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BN99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BQ624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BO99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BR624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BP99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BS624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BQ99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BT624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BR99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BU624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BS99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BV624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002},{"$f":"BT99*ConversionFactors!$C$7*SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BW624/1000","v":1.3853700000000002}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T94","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"(U98/U100)*$E$85","v":41.228435630337565},{"$f":"(V98/V100)*$E$85","v":40.422414228689803},39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,31.760468322541989,27.429495369468079,23.098522416394172,18.767549463320265,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.1549261208197088,0.86619459061478143,0.57746306040985418,0.28873153020492709,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":33.059760208464169}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T101","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B$91=1,$B$92=2),U91/U100,IF(AND($B$91=1,$B$92=1),U94,IF(AND($B$91=2,$B$92=1),U98/U93,IF(AND($B$91=2,$B$92=2),U101,\"oops\"))))","v":41.228435630337565},40.422414228689803,39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,31.760468322541989,27.429495369468079,23.098522416394172,18.767549463320265,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.1549261208197088,0.86619459061478143,0.57746306040985418,0.28873153020492709,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,25.271084688284162,22.261528239043049,19.121481097956977,15.846927459931845,12.433743083946524,11.414176151062911,10.348853043630372,9.2363513414401091,8.0752100299447811,6.8639285254530646,5.8810139606081853,4.8560372417593296,3.7877090485722773,2.6747053127610392,1.5156663438979221,1.2367837366207046,0.94613955851483889,0.64337489979009033,0.32812119889294611,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3898.8833769707335,3722.3039678212995,3549.8773578371852,3384.5495336322733,3228.8419939097357,3087.6968251310673,2959.1139516482503,2841.0425467433697,2731.7566879864312,2629.8295806972978,2534.3673168476025,2444.8262955693094,2360.7492172586772,2281.7172288409702,2207.3435213936036,2138.1367086635814,2073.6670894272434,2013.5316634670367,1957.3595438654984,1904.8099575754391,1855.8585714838969,1810.2177737334785,1767.6233299399257,1727.8324769511057,1690.622172159083,1655.7874856890478,1623.4339047756098,1593.6464801272336,1566.4641733947417,1541.8796317204146,1519.8424612556207,1500.2639103680172,1483.0225248750123,1467.9704622392289,1454.9401505926842,1443.7509816748402,1434.3383701952737,1426.6092306085222,1420.427484416665,1415.6229558986813,1412.0052386412124,1409.3780066020433,1407.5518349736503,1406.3543708345426,1405.6372049669567]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 1",{"$f":"U141/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S156","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"2 | 1",{"$f":"U150/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,6.1403051240709416,5.0567218668819525,3.9731386096929624,2.8895553525039728,1.8059720953149829,1.5651758159396518,1.3243795365643207,1.0835832571889896,0.84278697781365863,0.60199069843832764,0.48159255875066209,0.3611944190629966,0.24079627937533105,0.12039813968766552,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S157","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"3 | 1",{"$f":"U143/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7769173713076754,10.065641962429106,10.288580204331344,10.459487186045871,10.589796666295852,10.688746371596341,10.763652080612502,10.820225061390961,10.862877804611772,10.894993463136226,10.919151418512911,10.937310059930105,10.950951689474014,10.961195672588863,10.96888584691612,10.974657524125762,10.978988559766002,10.982238118395163,10.984676008719774,10.986504832344242,10.987876678421342,10.988905691452352,10.989677523500799,10.990256438195734,10.990690647089005,10.991016316625174,10.991260576014833,10.991443774628312,10.991581175878538,10.991684228104424,10.991761517998466,10.991819485826607,10.991862961926993,10.991895569131254,10.991920024606996,10.99193836625461,10.991952122513274,10.991962439720185,10.991970177632631,10.991975981071048,10.99198033365216,10.991983598089289,10.991986046417862,10.9919878826647,10.991989259850058,10.991990292739207,10.99199106740614,10.991991648406382,10.991992084156585,10.991992410969251,10.991992656078757]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 2",{"$f":"U141/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4130812924033034,9.3679346195380599,9.3232189411631765,9.2789281148393616,9.2350561142963841,9.1915970266996965,9.0847179915055136,8.9802959456261409,8.8782471280622062,8.7784915423536418,8.680952747438603,8.5855576623019143,8.492236383363851,8.4009220136502591,8.311550502866746,8.2240604975734133,8.1383932007236908,8.0544922398914878,7.9723035435660625,7.8917752249441833,7.8128574726947422,7.7355024482126158,7.6596641889164143,7.5852985171793605,7.5123629545141748,7.4408166406616587,7.3706202572591906,7.3017359557894794,7.234127289532168,7.1677591492612311,7.1025977024497653,7.038610335761029,6.9757656006203055,6.9140331616767625,6.8533837479778432,6.7937891066910803,6.7352219592196052,6.6776559595681562,6.6210656548260518,6.5654264476426398,6.5107145605789514,6.4569070022270596,6.4039815349956903,6.3519166444672699,6.3006915102376952,6.2502859781557936,6.2006805338847162,6.1518562777123957,6.1037949005427672,6.056478661003676,6.0098903636113397]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 2",{"$f":"U150/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 2",{"$f":"U143/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7837213682916833,10.024336832922913,10.197451590026303,10.317596135522392,10.396747143899816,10.444509993187285,10.395405232014841,10.329927300133795,10.252799051086249,10.167570463027033,10.076891965679829,9.9827306925661361,9.8865384373903105,9.7893804145023662,9.6920330554864353,9.5950577874340848,9.4988564159638376,9.4037125463804756,9.3098224766595248,9.2173181889848212,9.1262844317411176,9.0367713930026508,8.9488040915259823,8.8623893271305754,8.7775208183966491,8.6941829951999274,8.6123537937186896,8.5320067121586014,8.453112318900688,8.3756393553073263,8.2995555386736619,8.2248281435329833,8.1514244192834671,8.0793118870898297,8.0084585478791936,7.938833024995005,7.870404658952415,7.8031435672016549,7.7370206784430655,7.67200774854527,7.608077363271101,7.5452029316477143,7.4833586728038091,7.4225195983464802,7.3626614917947615,7.3037608861760894,7.2457950405881961,7.1887419163046644,7.1325801528369448,7.0772890442438561,7.0228485158900336]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 3",{"$f":"U141/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.3886753699638241,8.1189370030927517,7.8730616163340041,7.6485301350709554,7.4431382878311316,7.254951351884932,7.0822661729446406,6.9235791776794953,6.7775593417537499,6.6430252703501713,6.5189257034291028,6.4043228826006269,6.2983783168919807,6.2003405658835504,6.1095347245790803,6.0253533480397454,5.9472485976665714,5.8747254269730158,5.8073356542670904,5.7446727940683582,5.6863675392852633,5.6320838029469806,5.5815152422443868,5.5343821992898032,5.4904290027621192,5.449421582793657,5.411145358347099,5.3754033621452972,5.3420145731342465,5.3108124306282409,5.2816435078284147,5.2543663254225548,5.2288502885487311,5.2049747326075577,5.182628065295444,5.1617069938523619,5.1421158279127708,5.1237658495512717,5.1065747431536863,5.0904660786436304,5.075368842374397,5.0612170106731966,5.0479491616140697,5.0355081211092978,5.0238406398574469,5.0128970980781657,5.0026312353071445,4.9929999028257512,4.9839628365644266,4.9754824485516256,4.9675236351852332]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 3",{"$f":"U150/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},6.4422079112141866,6.2350583238983157,6.0462346667781945,5.873802379066996,5.7160686577306086,5.5715477036976724,4.623091821174568,3.7219458626862929,2.8627100783489796,2.0406439903147757,1.2515764672935954,1.0656305681344032,0.88677109147257471,0.71424655176392016,0.54738926470269822,0.38560497033881852,0.30448519602215651,0.22557913468297625,0.14866099054189133,7.3528447359311119E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 3",{"$f":"U143/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.718979462656149,8.687823148823032,8.611313882525188,8.5046940753674374,8.3794213893150307,8.2438788030785854,8.1040519802144875,7.9641105365779401,7.8268776466217229,7.6941952040481425,7.5672005086228662,7.446532085616397,7.3324806932085043,7.2250989117956896,7.1242799383627826,7.0298137496932629,6.9414267787225628,6.8588096628311872,6.781636412631908,6.709577443002634,6.6423082371983737,6.5795149228121534,6.5208976796902052,6.466172639634773,6.4150727494755149,6.3673479332756502,6.3227647916640075,6.2811060060339843,6.2421695649798812,6.2057678943090435,6.1717269462661282,6.1398852853380443,6.1100931950843362,6.0822118213503078,6.0561123608816327,6.0316752999860404,6.0087897049152108,5.9873525636620446,5.9672681775926524,5.948447600548997,5.9308081226166438,5.9142727955451804,5.8987699967599596,5.8842330289586684,5.8705997524066307,5.8578122472040786,5.8458165029783871,5.834562133642005,5.8240021150440802,5.8140925435253745,5.8047924135584736]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" BEFORE contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr BEFORE contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"CONCATENATE(B142,\" | \",B143)","v":"2 | 2"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),U156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),U157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),U158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),U159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),U160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),U161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),U162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),U163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),U164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":9.4065350535732293},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),V156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),V157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),V158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),V159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),V160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),V161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),V162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),V163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),V164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.2289156626506017},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),W156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),W157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),W158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),W159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),W160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),W161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),W162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),W163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),W164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.1942446043165464},7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" AFTER contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr AFTER contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"E142/E143","v":7.4602299294668191},{"$f":"MIN(U109,U165)","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U166*U155","v":78.12857472694742},60,59.999999999999993,60,60,60,60,51,42,33,24,15,13,11.000000000000002,9,7,5,4,3,2,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,58.582969050113284,49.209694002095162,39.438054764536268,29.255866079874174,18.650614625919786,16.487143329313096,14.229672934991765,11.875308867565852,9.4210783682689101,6.8639285254530646,5.6009656767697003,4.2847387427288197,2.9136223450555985,1.4859473959783551,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,29.4,23.8,18.200000000000003,12.600000000000001,7,7.0000000000000009,7.0000000000000009,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,7,6.9999999999999991,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,6.8,6.6000000000000005,6.4,6.1999999999999993,5.9999999999999991,5.8,5.6,5.4,5.2,5,4.5,4,3.4999999999999996,3,2.5,2,1.5,1,0.49999999999999994,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U216","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V216*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":51},48.898800000000001,46.693152000000005,44.379718560000001,41.9550705216,39.415684674240005,33.771358628888834,27.885493267853924,21.750684748926066,15.359329691933944,8.7036201587625666,8.8776925619378204,9.0552464131765777,9.2363513414401091,9.4210783682689101,9.6094999356342896,9.8016899343469746,9.9977237330339133,10.197678207694594,10.401631771848486,10.609664407285454,10.821857695431166,11.038294849339787,11.259060746326583,11.484241961253115,11.713926800478179,11.948205336487741,12.187169443217496,12.430912832081846,12.679531088723484,12.933121710497954,12.814876026287685,12.686727266024812,12.548326604940904,12.399315226507229,12.239324062294234,12.067973525422115,11.884873237450194,11.689621748549225,11.481806250797241,11.261002284435754,10.337600097112022,9.3727574213815679,8.3651859985830477,7.3135626159040363,6.2165282235184316,5.0726870303910401,3.8806055782491455,2.6388117932094186,1.3457940145368035,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G232+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M232+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N232+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D230","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V232+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801358,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471803,3.2485285330564553,3.20074321710708,3.1730704094798714,3.1474210838702015,3.1237413313965736,3.1019832686314186,3.0821047777430293,3.0984144073141411,3.1154101409614663,3.1331076411255419,3.1515233715647897,3.1706746392666538,3.1987236694228254,3.2278941990613936,3.2582276710523468,3.2897680460456624,3.3225619848070598,3.3293869012407038,3.3365822347183074,3.3441492318152832,3.3520892625258996,3.3604038224259862,3.3643268043680004,3.3685434355774855,3.37305279700375,3.3778540335134828,3.382946354014186,3.3870934234738344,3.3915116579566882,3.3961999129509888,3.401157098619124,3.4063821797370077,3.411874175649285,3.4176321602405695,3.4236552619229084,3.4299426636397254,3.4364936028864368,3.4433073717480163,3.4503833169537499,3.4577208399494337,3.4653193969873244,3.4731784992340939,3.4812977128971201,3.4896766593694095,3.4983150153935019,3.5072125132446739]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},4.0835421119661639,3.9430781576889582,3.8222459111163025,3.7167241279224781,3.6230850089492734,3.5386166505808347,3.4655074023606423,3.4018901386625542,3.346260377209358,3.2974049554937701,3.2543449199436218,3.2231588174177257,3.201609082126474,3.1879087939262876,3.180631709453988,3.1786402954165212,3.1826569702177818,3.191704415986504,3.2050090669996725,3.2219608628088703,3.2420810872085082,3.2595422500149471,3.2749502469556191,3.2887900439275519,3.3014498876472214,3.3132406746029743,3.3234579005559794,3.3324750075602805,3.3405905654489745,3.3480432590618761,3.355023878052338,3.3614377871366372,3.3674525613006474,3.3732020316307159,3.3787930450283974,3.3843108719701194,3.3898235327059525,3.3953852582128761,3.4010392589548823,3.4068199398918511,3.412754672490768,3.4188652123422179,3.4251688332645243,3.4316792346015061,3.4384072670786696,3.4453615135097544,3.4525487533872274,3.4599743345836638,3.4676424707456315,3.4755564792454399]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,204.00890451890206,195.52513240050831,184.09537366823238,170.14411623278363,154.13808763789021,140.13213469101385,128.17700846205284,117.94780466308626,109.14539554425657,101.52562598399879,94.449457291776923,87.830588203296401,81.630572189551629,75.81736509839142,70.361738850841718,65.335813826952929,60.712889020616444,56.460851131743119,52.549586290059267,48.951386091542169,45.640797750418358,42.594443793552692,39.790852988819985,37.210304792022832,34.834686470035244,32.353580913437952,29.78742464837616,27.182306732491924,24.584541674326957,22.037170464793956,19.578550887603534,17.241385493004753,15.052062635783315,13.030311646544783,11.189168917843952,9.4126114795665536,7.7291395867513373,6.1817461918572594,4.8045285179837407,3.6177172574689185,2.6272320391690807,1.8261716283930489,1.1974641391077196]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V326+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"B322","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$322=1,U321,U324)","v":353.09500335166928},350,340,330,320,310,300,295,290,285,280,275,270,265,260,255,250,248,246,244,242,240,238,236,234,232,230,228,226,224,222,220,219,218,217,216,215,214,213,212,211,210,209,208,207,206,205,204,203,202,201,200]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U328*U327/1000","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V328*V327/1000","v":67.058292465428963},67.745150375678719,67.654085002984118,66.83559552642447,65.349743279809715,63.266693472324491,61.710564208864128,59.162582310481596,55.724662734144871,51.546704627105065,46.789631964015499,41.617283662230356,37.135015693118675,33.326022200133735,30.076690189086996,27.286348886064143,25.1783552440317,23.234566493777123,21.43066352160432,19.754598469871492,18.196167623613938,16.746093846500326,15.419252063160892,14.206816030824248,13.098917462564405,12.086404846713631,11.160916028871615,10.314820291594549,9.5411554097558042,8.8335693635180359,8.1862670542450235,7.6287963369377181,7.0530806391294734,6.4638711486976259,5.8713782542182553,5.2856764599802952,4.715954479465907,4.1702313390595531,3.6551737245170073,3.1759852161502793,2.7363654457744047,2.3385363038293865,1.9578231877498431,1.5999318944575269,1.2734397155225954,0.98492834618666691,0.73801432052365945,0.53332810395132335,0.3688866689353959,0.24069029196065164,0.14343317351719637]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (Nominal-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U329","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V329*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":68.399458314737544},70.48205445085614,71.795056237846779,72.344998030553995,72.151397049286118,71.248572579626867,70.886040649272857,69.318394568394467,66.596130322561166,62.83514530955901,58.177026283298098,52.780778516605544,48.038102522624101,43.972978550438292,40.479265047076183,37.458309694904024,35.255775879833983,33.184682408798587,31.220430052957123,29.354294154903542,27.579318855036679,25.889120651594574,24.314607232780109,22.850772100419505,21.490162510081905,20.225608807906877,19.050416636607913,17.958351810000124,16.943610173717222,16.000788195588893,15.124855452455778,14.376776365831541,13.55765309907812,12.673557235330053,11.742108030340621,10.78218451368984,9.8124161733259303,8.850476934922316,7.9125181971925338,7.0127013283142121,6.162843507183327,5.3721895825703676,4.5875504531838152,3.8239222520578733,3.104460365684508,2.4491339448850988,1.8718578359816116,1.3797573434870303,0.97342249234446121,0.64783910855552151,0.3937842730671417]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"O&G Production (MSm3 o.e./yr)",{"$f":"T328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":223.13712629148426},{"$f":"U328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":216.50585921492637},{"$f":"V328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":228.0894301545203},{"$f":"W328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":237.20290747786663},{"$f":"X328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":244.06235571062095},{"$f":"Y328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":248.64432859532914},{"$f":"Z328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":250.95907557530614},{"$f":"AA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":251.0583074298591},{"$f":"AB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":249.03375386950816},{"$f":"AC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":242.86774347488341},{"$f":"AD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":232.76801476250989},{"$f":"AE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":219.16115912884808},{"$f":"AF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"AG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":183.49772337844072},{"$f":"AH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":166.82396987025459},{"$f":"AI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":152.5916767405391},{"$f":"AJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":140.41405317034079},{"$f":"AK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":129.93499469554354},{"$f":"AL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":120.86384045714142},{"$f":"AM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":112.43983010925825},{"$f":"AN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":104.56022405154334},{"$f":"AO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":97.179252606609083},{"$f":"AP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":90.2587679742755},{"$f":"AQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":83.763974822430626},{"$f":"AR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":77.780730746372541},{"$f":"AS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":72.277248834067194},{"$f":"AT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":67.215298966360862},{"$f":"AU328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":62.559031297689607},{"$f":"AV328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":58.275459632788298},{"$f":"AW328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":54.334283036212334},{"$f":"AX328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":50.707671182800823},{"$f":"AY328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":47.370063081928556},{"$f":"AZ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"BA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":41.469864845280057},{"$f":"BB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":38.516167754092798},{"$f":"BC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":35.461219819495426},{"$f":"BD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":32.359888967252289},{"$f":"BE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":29.267311517055902},{"$f":"BF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":26.23472674380233},{"$f":"BG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":23.307798675718495},{"$f":"BH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":20.525458920243754},{"$f":"BI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":17.919122185456327},{"$f":"BJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":15.512275769696171},{"$f":"BK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":13.320439187909468},{"$f":"BL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11.205489856626849},{"$f":"BM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9.20135665089445},{"$f":"BN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7.3592216569729283},{"$f":"BO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":5.7196768071235011},{"$f":"BP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":4.3068062588915694},{"$f":"BQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":3.1276571894870009},{"$f":"BR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":2.1740138433250582},{"$f":"BS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":1.4255525465568091},{"$f":"BT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":0.8537688899833118}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A114","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR114+U328","v":6206.7113398939819},{"$f":"U332+V328","v":6398.3064612237786},{"$f":"V332+W328","v":6597.5569035051867},6802.5692823021081,7011.430518322185,7222.2361418054425,7433.125120046524,7642.3134732969111,7846.3223778158135,8041.847510216322,8225.9428838845542,8396.0870001173371,8550.2250877552269,8690.3572224462405,8818.5342309082935,8936.48203557138,9045.6274311156358,9147.1530570996347,9241.6025143914121,9329.4331025947085,9411.06367478426,9486.8810398826517,9557.2427787334927,9622.578592560445,9683.2914815810618,9739.7523327128056,9792.3019190028645,9841.2533050944057,9886.8941028448244,9929.4885466383766,9969.2793996271957,10006.489704419218,10041.324390889255,10073.677971802692,10103.465396451069,10130.64770318356,10155.232244857887,10177.26941532268,10196.847966210284,10214.089351703289,10229.141414339072,10242.171725985618,10253.360894903462,10262.77350638303,10270.50264596978,10276.684392161638,10281.488920679622,10285.10663793709,10287.733869976259,10289.560041604651,10290.757505743759,10291.474671611344]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A116","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (MSm3 o.e.)"},{"$f":"U332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7388.9420713023592},{"$f":"V332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7617.0315014568796},{"$f":"W332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7854.2344089347462},{"$f":"X332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8098.2967646453671},{"$f":"Y332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8346.9410932406972},{"$f":"Z332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8597.9001688160024},{"$f":"AA332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8848.9584762458617},{"$f":"AB332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9097.9922301153711},{"$f":"AC332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9340.8599735902553},{"$f":"AD332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9573.6279883527641},{"$f":"AE332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9792.7891474816133},{"$f":"AF332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9995.3416668063546},{"$f":"AG332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10178.839390184794},{"$f":"AH332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10345.663360055049},{"$f":"AI332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10498.255036795588},{"$f":"AJ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10638.66908996593},{"$f":"AK332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10768.604084661472},{"$f":"AL332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10889.467925118613},{"$f":"AM332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11001.907755227872},{"$f":"AN332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11106.467979279416},{"$f":"AO332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11203.647231886025},{"$f":"AP332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11293.905999860301},{"$f":"AQ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11377.669974682731},{"$f":"AR332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11455.450705429103},{"$f":"AS332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11527.72795426317},{"$f":"AT332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11594.94325322953},{"$f":"AU332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11657.50228452722},{"$f":"AV332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11715.777744160006},{"$f":"AW332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11770.112027196219},{"$f":"AX332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11820.81969837902},{"$f":"AY332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11868.189761460948},{"$f":"AZ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11912.487743356212},{"$f":"BA332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11953.957608201494},{"$f":"BB332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11992.473775955586},{"$f":"BC332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12027.934995775082},{"$f":"BD332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12060.294884742334},{"$f":"BE332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12089.56219625939},{"$f":"BF332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12115.79692300319},{"$f":"BG332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12139.10472167891},{"$f":"BH332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12159.630180599153},{"$f":"BI332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12177.54930278461},{"$f":"BJ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12193.061578554307},{"$f":"BK332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12206.382017742217},{"$f":"BL332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12217.587507598846},{"$f":"BM332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12226.788864249738},{"$f":"BN332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12234.148085906712},{"$f":"BO332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12239.867762713835},{"$f":"BP332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12244.174568972727},{"$f":"BQ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12247.302226162214},{"$f":"BR332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12249.476240005537},{"$f":"BS332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12250.901792552095},{"$f":"BT332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12251.755561442076}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)","Sm^3 o.e./yr",null,226.56913915464031,229.41,242.25,251.2,253.73,253.20999999999998,250.29000000000002,245.52999999999997,238.92000000000002,229.01000000000002,217.81]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S336","v":"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)"},"Mtoe/yr",null,{"$f":"V336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":190.31807688989787},{"$f":"W336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.70439999999999},{"$f":"X336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":203.48999999999998},{"$f":"Y336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":211.00799999999998},{"$f":"Z336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":213.13319999999999},{"$f":"AA336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":212.69639999999998},{"$f":"AB336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":210.24360000000001},{"$f":"AC336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":206.24519999999998},{"$f":"AD336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":200.69280000000001},{"$f":"AE336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.36840000000001},{"$f":"AF336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":182.96039999999999}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,179,179,179,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48,48]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV-GL"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"FIN-PM"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",175,175,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40,40,40,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12,12]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
["Employees per CAPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA496/AA418","v":0.46793525757400095},0.36840691676478465,0.32766852850841177,0.30587646538482754,0.3301743668908238,0.34296137627988055,0.39257563421809422,0.42362883195962125,0.48675570888455405,0.50860170124130655,0.47325278643586405,0.44515488444146301,0.43979893065617826,0.4368879501082088,0.4756588263723695,0.50705232964255653,0.5840313920520841,0.510686302632127,0.44950296368096837,0.44646899462164136,0.44346879472356082,0.44070194456310147,0.43821330868616259,0.43601704211109693,0.43181785554599783,0.42796001167720471,0.42467745326798167,0.42234910453013075,0.4218438326820822,0.42242552837076164,0.42327894970559993,0.42348349587802459,0.42293271554785616,0.42181309720637983,0.41958833051542183,0.41695570650843822,0.41441741280860889,0.41234534537809991,0.41108376862778578,0.40652939739823107,0.40223366525301851,0.3981608131563818,0.39424457825259468,0.39042139647651125,0.38560806449779211,0.38088731870693526,0.37625900939814982,0.37173358847306759,0.3673247168911638,0.36456970075108519,0.36192737604687136,0.36044496856562924,0.36013301036116252,0.36008373369790919,0.3593401528244321,0.35746095367599595,0.35461110213727309,0.35146645408931088,0.34887416485692696,0.34791064549149425,0.34706234686533893,0.34621840045537644,0.34551820018284851,0.34486063101715636,{"$f":"CM496/CM418","v":0.34404348201010687},{"$f":"CN496/CN418","v":0.34311509386590333},{"$f":"CO496/CO418","v":0.34285153744351554},{"$f":"CP496/CP418","v":0.34598280578649088},{"$f":"CQ496/CQ418","v":0.36794232406443189}]
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["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G535+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M535+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N535+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F533","v":"pct/yr - Fraction of O&G exports as oil (pct): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E533","v":-2},{"$f":"F536","v":44.345516215328061},{"$f":"MAX(0,MIN(100,X535*(1+$W535/100)))","v":43.458605891021499},42.589433773201065,41.737645097737044,40.9028921957823,40.084834351866654,39.283137664829319,38.497474911532734,37.727525413302082,36.97297490503604,36.233515406935318,35.508845098796613,34.798668196820678,34.102694832884261,33.420640936226576,32.752228117502042,32.097183555152,31.455239884048961,30.82613508636798,30.209612384640621,29.60542013694781,29.013311734208852,28.433045499524674,27.864384589534179,27.307096897743495,26.760954959788624,26.225735860592852,25.701221143380995,25.187196720513374,24.683452786103107,24.189783730381045,23.705988055773425,23.231868294657957,22.767230928764796,22.3118863101895,21.86564858398571,21.428335612305997,20.999768900059877,20.57977352205868,20.168178051617506,19.764814490585156,19.369518200773452,18.982127836757982,18.602485280022822,18.230435574422366,17.865826862933918,17.508510325675239,17.158340119161736,16.815173316778502,16.47886985044293,16.149292453434072,15.82630660436539]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y538+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
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[]
[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Production costs"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A565,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D559","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y560+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G561+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M561+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N561+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F559","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E559","v":1},{"$f":"F562","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"X561*(1+$W561/100)","v":356.62595338518599},360.19221291903784,363.79413504822821,367.43207639871048,371.10639716269759,374.81746113432456,378.56563574566781,382.35129210312448,386.17480502415572,390.03655307439726,393.93691860514122,397.87628779119262,401.85505066910457,405.87360117579561,409.93233718755357,414.0316605594291,418.17197716502341,422.35369693667366,426.57723390604042,430.84300624510081,435.15143630755182,439.50295067062734,443.89798017733364,448.33695997910695,452.820329578898,457.34853287468701,461.92201820343388,466.5412383854682,471.20665076932289,475.91871727701613,480.6779044497863,485.48468349428418,490.33953032922705,495.2429256325193,500.19535488884452,505.19730843773294,510.24928152211027,515.35177433733134,520.50529208070463,525.71034500151166,530.96744845152682,536.27712293604213,541.63989416540255,547.0562931070566,552.52685603812722,558.0521245985085,563.6326458444936,569.26897230293855,574.96166202596794,580.71127864622758,586.5183914326899]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A565","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR367","v":309.76040951946891},{"$f":"hist!AS367","v":353.09500335166928},330,300,270,260,250,250,250,250,250]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D561","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y564+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production cost (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X568*AR528/1000","v":62.400000000000006},{"$f":"Y568*AS528/1000","v":63.226390038833031},64.55714329917619,65.19393645742106,65.164705638263854,64.506520785876688,63.266693472324491,61.50137585561373,58.754564501443788,55.138087336943343,50.810323132432138,45.938911382851586,41.309007486954577,37.275147827809683,33.838730233981948,30.902324821728598,28.377802841506711,26.19361150387169,24.179061066694892,22.308969403637285,20.57090419176701,18.954341274597855,17.590434712710429,16.333953456738232,15.178222255154111,14.11521278293578,13.137396572514817,12.237846522885542,11.410199437604589,10.648610948388173,9.9477132472049963,9.302576198005708,8.708671617508811,8.088395228359488,7.4468561620940399,6.7955766831229809,6.1461354185817392,5.509292616198489,4.8946377219008834,4.3103463732511882,3.7630156589458288,3.2575779116361958,2.7972922294609881,2.3531528698916384,1.9322848966878343,1.5454365479643148,1.2011321294959352,0.90442931436722962,0.65680800979227016,0.45654290709826223,0.29936603477692991,0.17929146689649547]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Operating cost (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X569","v":62.400000000000006},{"$f":"Y569*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":64.490917839609693},67.165251888462905,69.184326920106898,70.536373079790138,71.220411280908223,71.248572579626867,70.645748986054969,68.840336674819326,65.895118424428944,61.937500376565318,57.11926216905632,52.389809786852908,48.219378381200038,44.649485912752731,41.590460558172389,38.956642082700192,36.67737974595633,34.533653238424549,32.499955874799632,30.567281516676417,28.728457140663213,27.194454465960693,25.756999187267063,24.413218056003743,23.157502704829636,21.98435739989878,20.888614733122711,19.86543341814173,18.910279211737969,18.018905625663169,17.187335741427017,16.411845166474361,15.547767315456559,14.600872390933242,13.590402812894238,12.537423853127722,11.46310300622188,10.387883726434643,9.330799760840252,8.308887829756177,7.3367184609325315,6.4260640939836922,5.5138827562305472,4.6182635894418755,3.7675489874811996,2.9867487132745105,2.2939434264480534,1.699208551092402,1.2047308073570064,0.80577003551681781,0.49223034133392718]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A589,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D583","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y584+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G585+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M585+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N585+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F583","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E583","v":0.2},{"$f":"F586","v":904235.29411764699},{"$f":"X585*(1+$W585/100)","v":906043.76470588229},907855.85223529406,909671.56393976463,911490.90706764418,913313.88888177951,915140.51665954303,916970.79769286211,918804.73928824789,920642.34876682435,922483.63346435805,924328.6007312868,926177.25793274934,928029.61244861479,929885.67167351197,931745.443016859,933608.93390289275,935476.15177069849,937347.10407423985,939221.79828238836,941100.24187895318,942982.44236271107,944868.40724743647,946758.14406193129,948651.6603500552,950548.96367075527,952450.06159809674,954354.96172129293,956263.6716447355,958176.19898802496,960092.55138600105,962012.73648877302,963936.76196175057,965864.63548567402,967796.3647566454,969731.9574861587,971671.42140113097,973614.76424393326,975561.99377242115,977513.11775996594,979468.14399548585,981427.08028347685,983389.93444404379,985356.71431293187,987327.42774155771,989302.0825970408,991280.68676223489,993263.24813575938,995249.77463203087,997240.27418129495,999234.75472965755,1001233.2242391169]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A589","v":"Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr)"},{"$f":"hist!AR341","v":900000},{"$f":"hist!AS341","v":904235.29411764699},925000,925000,925000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D585","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y588+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,55.728628142491758,52.98277894012962,49.485496900519713,45.368551352715329,40.77095267007639,36.768977002605148,33.362367084121672,30.453660596121527,27.954902160016552,25.794739693510696,23.804433829465502,21.958723850917902,20.244966511930691,18.652447460055633,17.171436094545204,15.817005858316111,14.579975217641998,13.45012199225353,12.41798183082455,11.47491899968446,10.613063870105881,9.825245679837149,9.1049304448156452,8.4461643286650112,7.8435220462418158,7.2264414340028233,6.5999098672706502,5.9743996773421086,5.360101285745996,4.7661710817921286,4.2004638995192627,3.669372405466103,3.1777414688979264,2.7288537679635345,2.324482104897359,1.9397306394665041,1.5800300974344856,1.2535691485298259,0.96647542813783371,0.72190089307043703,0.52004904756696446,0.35858356532258712,0.23324600942356058,0.13857160073090186]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.294969953537333,63.319325376307596,60.322544592401393,56.410091161049699,51.707426180322294,47.564592445573183,44.020934853006359,40.986617582389115,38.376090072477417,36.118862916140593,33.998593292611801,31.989714240469862,30.082955270072414,28.270886846530605,26.546691120194065,24.94182489968971,23.450975236481057,22.066350766773049,20.780475739420968,19.586384061113492,18.477601099524289,17.448110371406333,16.492321233672129,15.60503874992726,14.78143568118282,13.890892663196221,12.940285090263171,11.948139498146434,10.93400277382754,9.9169011090861883,8.9146394614771722,7.9432547174931374,7.0165792040403492,6.1459257029856955,5.3399036518493546,4.5451561866352224,3.7763558995425055,3.0560188203794629,2.403248710542361,1.8309886487530576,1.3454034899676783,0.94623454102432281,0.62780216679364542,0.38043721493080018]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-2},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.8497275786665951E-2},6.7127330270932636E-2,6.5784783665513977E-2,6.4469087992203702E-2,6.3179706232359634E-2,6.1916112107712439E-2,6.067778986555819E-2,5.9464234068247024E-2,5.8274949386882081E-2,5.7109450399144439E-2,5.5967261391161552E-2,5.4847916163338319E-2,5.3750957840071549E-2,5.267593868327012E-2,5.1622419909604714E-2,5.0589971511412618E-2,4.9578172081184362E-2,4.8586608639560672E-2,4.7614876466769457E-2,4.6662578937434064E-2,4.572932735868538E-2,4.4814740811511669E-2,4.3918445995281434E-2,4.3040077075375806E-2,4.2179275533868292E-2,4.1335690023190923E-2,4.0508976222727103E-2,3.9698796698272559E-2,3.890482076430711E-2,3.8126724349020966E-2,3.7364189862040549E-2,3.661690606479974E-2,3.5884567943503747E-2,3.5166876584633668E-2,3.4463539052940993E-2,3.3774268271882173E-2,3.3098782906444531E-2,3.2436807248315637E-2,3.1788071103349323E-2,3.1152309681282336E-2,3.0529263487656687E-2,2.9918678217903553E-2,2.9320304653545484E-2,2.8733898560474574E-2,2.8159220589265083E-2,2.7596036177479782E-2,2.7044115453930186E-2,2.6503233144851583E-2,2.5973168481954551E-2,2.5453705112315459E-2]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX per barrel (\",B674,\")\")","v":"OPEX per barrel (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X673/hist!Y27/7.33","v":8.7995191491403588},{"$f":"Y673/hist!Z27/7.33","v":7.0126341024384136},{"$f":"Z673/hist!AA27/7.33","v":7.2037834292765535},{"$f":"AA673/hist!AB27/7.33","v":8.5256004269078023},{"$f":"AB673/hist!AC27/7.33","v":9.2416110207249424},{"$f":"AC673/hist!AD27/7.33","v":9.0308955742745169},{"$f":"AD673/hist!AE27/7.33","v":9.39804525779833},{"$f":"AE673/hist!AF27/7.33","v":9.8936511988424325},{"$f":"AF673/hist!AG27/7.33","v":13.061763254094398},{"$f":"AG673/hist!AH27/7.33","v":13.343537707891755},{"$f":"AH673/hist!AI27/7.33","v":14.305121060656907},{"$f":"AI673/hist!AJ27/7.33","v":14.597651558815638},{"$f":"AJ673/hist!AK27/7.33","v":16.425088748626532},{"$f":"AK673/hist!AL27/7.33","v":16.140570836189607},{"$f":"AL673/hist!AM27/7.33","v":17.563068123387325},{"$f":"AM673/hist!AN27/7.33","v":16.576340566267906},{"$f":"AN673/hist!AO27/7.33","v":11.70789367771901},{"$f":"AO673/hist!AP27/7.33","v":10.383343036121872},{"$f":"AP673/hist!AQ27/7.33","v":9.3705625141665703},{"$f":"AQ673/hist!AR27/7.33","v":9.973391937310577},{"$f":"AR673/hist!AS27/7.33","v":10.516474533365157},{"$f":"AS673/hist!AT27/7.33","v":9.4477226351336494},{"$f":"AT673/Z624/7.33","v":9.8837184424977114},{"$f":"AU673/AA624/7.33","v":9.9396265624143929},10.004366004254349,10.07793457021752,10.160330080130208,10.18165688391432,10.198155817406812,10.209824752469398,10.216661578031456,10.218664199953157,10.102590714111599,9.9867721107931384,9.8712063458399442,9.7558913914883245,9.6408252362372551,9.501752436180734,9.3629244604900492,9.2243393456737905,9.0859951439877342,8.9478899233085833,8.8821876653522356,8.8167205705187932,8.7514867528000124,8.6864843413134345,8.6217114801810748,8.5692930526777022,8.5171005083056386,8.4651320354821689,8.4133858371534753,8.361860130678112,8.313584828778561,8.2655264962251369,8.2176833929236786,8.1700537927355903,8.1226359833658996,8.0754282662522456,8.028428956454734,7.9816363825466858,7.9350488865062694,7.8886648236089894,7.8424825623210337,7.7965004841934977,7.7507169837574361,7.7051304684197621,7.6597393583599871,7.614542086427778,7.5695370980413594,7.5247228510866879,7.4800978158174827,7.4356604747560269]
[]
[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44710123105863941,0.44191411608482178,0.43699495650285813,0.43233550124327097,0.42792826574606802,0.42851648842777124,0.42915121946498436,0.42983369275379857,0.43056519760729128,0.43134708179674214,0.43328390642647813,0.435311303269653,0.43743284257105641,0.43965230310003522,0.44197368742747528,0.44079057238694175,0.43962295370558441,0.43847091588048748,0.43733454622490037,0.43621393495552752,0.43449343615916819,0.43278443931466382,0.43108694195165032,0.42940094196266265,0.4277264376154174,0.42590805675320514,0.42410057400313772,0.42230397792651758,0.42051825721948677,0.41874340072027616,0.41697939741657597,0.41522623645302925,0.41348390713885347,0.41175239895559229,0.4100317015650019,0.40832180481707531,0.4066226987582075,0.40493437363950713,0.40325681992525692,0.40159002830152829,0.39993398968495403,0.39828869523166344,0.39665413634638519,0.39503030469172168,0.39341719219760135]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A696,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Average Gas price (2018-NOK/toe-gass): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y689+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G691+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M691+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N691+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F689","v":"pct/yr - Average Gas price (2018-NOK/toe-gass): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},{"$f":"E689","v":2},{"$f":"F693","v":2162.777442967244},{"$f":"G693","v":1470},1499.4,1529.3880000000001,1559.9757600000003,1591.1752752000002,1622.9987807040002,1655.4587563180803,1688.5679314444419,1722.3392900733309,1756.7860758747975,1791.9217973922935,1827.7602333401394,1864.3154380069423,1901.6017467670811,1939.6337817024228,1978.4264573364712,2017.9949864832006,2058.3548862128646,2099.5219839371221,2141.5124236158645,2184.3426720881816,2228.0295255299452,2272.5901160405442,2318.0419183613553,2364.4027567285825,2411.6908118631541,2459.9246281004171,2509.1231206624257,2559.3055830756743,2610.491694737188,2662.701528631932,2715.9555592045708,2770.2746703886623,2825.6801637964359,2882.1937670723646,2939.8376424138119,2998.6343952620882,3058.6070831673301,3119.7792248306769,3182.1748093272904,3245.8183055138361,3310.7346716241127,3376.9493650565951,3444.4883523577269,3513.3781194048815,3583.6456817929793,3655.3185954288388,3728.4249673374156,3802.9934666841641,3879.0533360178474,3956.6344027382042]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR26","v":71.310059760956193},{"$f":"hist!AS26","v":64.592176348560841},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
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["Offshore, Revenue - Calculations",null,null,null,1980,{"$f":"E714+1","v":1981},1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,{"$f":"BQ714+1","v":2045},2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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[]
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["Oil exports M USD/yr","Million constant USD / yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR728*X699","v":34415.502555145969},28525.792528316917,29194.684825788197,29536.812584887495,29567.773654606615,29306.834666075225,28777.466423955429,28006.69999089868,26775.049250476332,25134.485955576813,23158.363091421084,20923.790702900598,18507.950776422927,16430.996319691931,14681.522729960783,13203.205947703758,11946.537686178684,10871.710377417396,9897.0010284803884,9008.0243143084826,8196.5303932953575,7455.433924226134,6778.3507819142997,6169.6131761977786,5623.1854420111658,5132.8404035421008,4692.9101122843513,4298.2885594037034,3944.3802511829263,3627.0496109560945,3342.5750908452378,3087.6078399116341,2859.1344986680592,2629.9300665568103,2401.9465147912338,2178.3248800096585,1930.7432931816172,1696.0721597520067,1476.7096546703381,1274.4206735373489,1090.3419921792317,925.01249676716566,778.42487048919782,641.73404720494705,516.41895539848508,404.76995629389336,308.30030271749291,227.5012948763156,161.91003203060876,110.29174141817366,70.874497813842581,41.598068512694354]
["Oil exports M NOK/yr","Million constant NOK /yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR729*X624","v":302935.85346518183},256732.13275485224,262752.1634320938,265831.31326398748,266109.96289145952,263761.51199467701,258997.19781559886,252060.29991808813,240975.44325428698,226210.37360019132,208425.26782278976,188314.11632610537,166571.55698780634,147878.96687722739,132133.70456964706,118828.85352933382,107518.83917560815,97845.393396756554,89073.009256323494,81072.218828776342,73768.773539658214,67098.905318035206,61005.157037228695,55526.51858578001,50608.66897810049,46195.563631878904,42236.19101055916,38684.597034633334,35499.422260646337,32643.446498604852,30083.175817607142,27788.470559204707,25732.210488012533,23669.370599011294,21617.518633121104,19604.923920086927,17376.689638634554,15264.649437768059,13290.386892033042,11469.786061836139,9813.0779296130859,8325.1124709044907,7005.8238344027804,5775.6064248445236,4647.7705985863658,3642.9296066450402,2774.702724457436,2047.5116538868403,1457.1902882754789,992.62567276356287,637.87048032458324,374.38261661424917]
["Oil exports G NOK/yr","Giga NOK / yr",null,null,{"$f":"hist!F$20","v":28.5},{"$f":"hist!G$20","v":31.047000000000001},{"$f":"hist!H$20","v":31.879000000000001},{"$f":"hist!I$20","v":40.652999999999999},{"$f":"hist!J$20","v":51.712000000000003},{"$f":"hist!K$20","v":56.076999999999998},{"$f":"hist!L$20","v":28.526},{"$f":"hist!M$20","v":37.097000000000001},{"$f":"hist!N$20","v":33.682000000000002},{"$f":"hist!O$20","v":59.368000000000002},{"$f":"hist!P$20","v":74.563000000000002},{"$f":"hist!Q$20","v":80.396000000000001},{"$f":"hist!R$20","v":82.658000000000001},{"$f":"hist!S$20","v":89.429000000000002},{"$f":"hist!T$20","v":92.119},{"$f":"hist!U$20","v":98.009},{"$f":"hist!V$20","v":135.72999999999999},{"$f":"hist!W$20","v":136.11199999999999},{"$f":"hist!X$20","v":91.082999999999998},{"$f":"hist!Y$20","v":133.678},{"$f":"hist!Z$20","v":258.83600000000001},{"$f":"hist!AA$20","v":234.69800000000001},{"$f":"hist!AB$20","v":197.92099999999999},{"$f":"hist!AC$20","v":195.69900000000001},{"$f":"hist!AD$20","v":237.46799999999999},{"$f":"hist!AE$20","v":289.45299999999997},{"$f":"hist!AF$20","v":309.25200000000001},{"$f":"hist!AG$20","v":309.67500000000001},{"$f":"hist!AH$20","v":359.36900000000003},{"$f":"hist!AI$20","v":243.52099999999999},{"$f":"hist!AJ$20","v":281.98500000000001},{"$f":"hist!AK$20","v":321.24799999999999},{"$f":"hist!AL$20","v":306.82499999999999},{"$f":"hist!AM$20","v":288.12599999999998},{"$f":"hist!AN$20","v":282.66300000000001},{"$f":"hist!AO$20","v":197.11600000000001},{"$f":"hist!AP$20","v":187.595},{"$f":"hist!AQ$20","v":223.07300000000001},{"$f":"hist!AR$20","v":261.334},{"$f":"AR730/1000","v":302.93585346518182},{"$f":"AS730/1000*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":261.86677540994924},273.36735083475043,282.10231628624962,288.04598193012242,291.21402201632941,291.6729108746116,289.53805389928681,282.34113868006449,270.34233643486527,254.06923846189355,234.14493414792139,211.25301035729285,191.29721205703871,174.34761706447293,159.92799164448596,147.60032544821146,137.00717251131553,127.21819123067068,118.10691417137998,109.6165169457721,101.69955250293927,94.312732592045705,87.559726301026487,81.400868330738149,75.788718612137444,70.678807118386345,66.03021553272626,61.805353460974857,57.969691137554896,54.491509003840605,51.341667412969088,48.493395189150057,45.498007476988271,42.38495065574989,39.207682528524131,35.446489269526474,31.760928498247328,28.206172051514709,24.829159370304907,21.667665290729225,18.749822110608015,16.094090033527088,13.533339495360144,11.10841872454875,8.8809312611763875,6.8996071193852542,5.1931929056231416,3.7698538408348692,2.6193523315309228,1.7168845489410804,1.02783744455561]
[]
["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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["O&G Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF736-AF734-AF735","v":251.47357240000002},353.61801609999998,166.82136479999994,207.12990399999998,260.2257312000001,262.5381984,195.63654,157.14817440000004,101.15611680000004,75.147059680000012,175.07180299999999,265.66287999999997,201.09176838571295,139.51191753094869,155.97739732819963,169.73843104649052,180.28482768542139,187.46644071046657,191.25524116756984,208.91945102583213,221.14086041703484,227.96906161216478,229.88622772328932,227.57443850151287,204.82498915354935,185.04559525500093,169.34542701714469,157.49151312511319,148.94579605375193,141.69010336125828,135.67531831197823,130.35704364029414,125.49483681524566,120.98331822956322,113.78443175767416,107.07468020898284,100.87044848849371,95.176066145192323,89.987288740066035,84.881741261056703,80.241814977539633,76.041258890413104,72.251866619062412,68.846329566478204,66.163822359916622,63.085444064074011,59.333235498102454,54.953297970259328,48.762192596006315,42.734246365837471,37.182044154956756,32.149338214990195,27.451006480202548,22.865763280488665,19.048171999318228,15.305127969882516,11.773738210451366,8.568633324148605,5.86202143468606,3.8092462101409739,2.4513496496638165,1.689931685981783,1.3671741566634967,1.3814691186920789]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2027]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",2]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":107.3040700181282},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BF785,BF791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BD1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":110.54465293267566},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BG785,BG791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BE1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":113.88310145124248},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BH785,BH791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BF1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":117.32237111506998},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BG1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":120.86550672274512},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BH1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":124.51564502577202},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BI1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":128.27601750555033},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BJ1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":132.14995323421795},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BK1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":136.14088182189133},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BL1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":140.25233645291243},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BM1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":144.48795701379041},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BN1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":148.85149331560689},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BO1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":153.34680841373819},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BP1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":157.97788202783306},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BQ1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":162.74881406507365},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+(SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BR1244-SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)/SC4_Faster_Rebuild!$S1244)","v":167.66382824983884}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
[]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.6359999999999992,19.617907692307693,29.958140276134127,40.669560696303044,51.765493644375461,63.259742134173557,75.166604672323373,87.500893045176014,100.27795074423361,113.51367205300097,127.22452181900614,141.42755593558584,156.14044255891457,171.3814840866705,187.16963992567918,203.52455007685745,220.46655956679589,238.01674375637322,256.19693455788399,275.02974759329527,294.53861032741355,314.74779121096179,335.68242986981687,357.36856837796415,379.83318365307059,403.10422101497568,427.21062894884659,452.18239511624108,478.05058365887544,504.84737384150174,532.60610008196591,561.36129341824153,591.14872446402467,622.00544790632296,653.96984860039618,687.08168931938485,721.38216021802953,756.91393007201009,793.72119935664637,831.84975523098751,871.34702849568976,912.2621525955351]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.6359999999999992,29.253907692307692,59.212047968441823,99.881608664744874,151.64710230912033,214.90684444329389,290.07344911561728,377.57434216079332,477.85229290502696,591.36596495802792,718.59048677703402,860.01804271261983,1016.1584852715343,1187.5399693582049,1374.709609283884,1578.2341593607414,1798.7007189275373,2036.7174626839105,2292.9143972417946,2567.9441448350899,2862.4827551625035,3177.2305463734651,3512.9129762432822,3870.2815446212462,4250.1147282743168,4653.2189492892921,5080.4295782381387,5532.6119733543801,6010.6625570132555,6515.5099308547569,7048.1160309367224,7609.4773243549644,8200.6260488189891,8822.6314967253129,9476.6013453257092,10163.683034645093,10885.065194863122,11641.979124935133,12435.70032429178,13267.550079522767,14138.897108018456,15051.159260613991]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.64584015519884,48.054544527885845,49.505791772628001,51.000866684161366,52.541092858023049,54.127833862335336,55.762494444977875,57.446521777216205,59.181406734888142,60.968685218281763,62.809939511873871,64.706799685132481,66.660945035623485,68.674105575699315,70.748063564085442,72.884655083720816,75.08577166724919,77.353361971600123,79.689433503142453,82.096054394937354,84.575355237664468,87.129530965841937,89.760842801010369,92.471620253600889,95.264263185259637,98.14124393345449,101.10510950024481,104.15848380715219,107.3040700181282,110.54465293267566,113.88310145124248,117.32237111506998,120.86550672274512,124.51564502577202,128.27601750555033,132.14995323421795,136.14088182189133,140.25233645291243,144.48795701379041,148.85149331560689,153.34680841373819,157.97788202783306,162.74881406507365,167.66382824983884]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,39.811775428535263,40.209893182820615,40.611992114648821,41.018112035795312,41.428293156153266,41.842576087714797,42.261001848591945,42.683611867077865,43.110447985748642,43.541552465606131,43.976967990262196,44.416737670164821,44.860905046866471,45.309514097335139,45.762609238308492,46.22023533069158,46.682437683998494,47.149262060838481,47.620754681446869,48.09696222826134,48.577931850543955,49.063711169049398,49.554348280739895,50.049891763547294,50.550390681182769,51.055894587994594,51.566453533874537,52.08211806921328,52.602939249905411,53.128968642404466,53.660258328828512,54.196860912116797,54.738829521237967,55.286217816450346,55.839079994614849,56.397470794560995,56.961445502506606,57.531059957531674,58.106370557106992,58.68743426267806,59.274308605304839,59.867051691357887,60.465722208271465,61.07037943035418]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},0,0.45375761941851767,0.45143065726765336,0.44911562825602441,0.44681247118804468,0.44452112518195219,0.44224152966819857,0.43997362438784887,0.43771734939098805,0.43547264503513688,0.43323945198367447,0.43101771120427107,0.42880736396732599,0.42660835184441659,0.42442061670675291,0.42224410072364138,0.42007874636095616,0.41792449637961787,0.4157812938340813,0.41364908207082962,0.41152780472687667,0.40941740572827717,0.40731782928864507,0.40522901990767762,0.40315092236968952,0.40108348174215275,0.39902664337424421,0.39698035289540196,0.39494455621388702,0.39291919951535426,0.39090422926142937,0.3888995921882939,0.38690523530527704,0.38492110589345507,0.3829471515042579,0.38098331995808221,0.3790295593429126,0.37708581801294888,0.3751520445872415,0.37322818794833257,0.37131419724090525,0.36941002187043909,0.36751561150187267,0.36563091605827336]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":4.2146110538240791},2.0908504963492502,1.3828726607958615,1.0288425881993455,0.81639329355036072,0.67473578656938193,0.57353193181575313,0.49761266371448315,0.43855072489892355,0.39128976154895317,0.35261209400092769,0.32037260205480517,0.29308620168052518,0.26969211742452426,0.24941244585679084,0.23166375772865433,0.21599989937258018,0.20207386030577726,0.18961168264707895,0.17839419771276219,0.1682439807319473,0.1590158633710666,0.15058992125619156,0.14286621461906601,0.13576079119241447,0.12920261151837054,0.12313115752605489,0.11749455356117253,0.11224807617245602,0.10735296194515227,0.10277544608072248,9.8485981247124252E-2,9.4458598460552087E-2,9.0670380756945917E-2,8.7101027095382977E-2,8.3732488948324732E-2,8.0548665827201771E-2,7.753514888686848E-2,7.4679003979419789E-2,7.1968587253757196E-2,6.9393387744330348E-2,6.6943892450869472E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,119.16520877176099,115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,73.197664853697844,71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,44.961933061321098,43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},11640,11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,4391.8598912218686,4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G942+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M942+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N942+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D942","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y942+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B948=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"}]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,18.245545407709564,18.333498293264672,18.421875156832208,18.510678042203601,18.599909003022429,18.689570102831869,18.779663415122446,18.870191023379956,18.961155021133688,19.052557512004789,19.144400609754967,19.236686438335322,19.329417131935504,19.422594835033038,19.516221702442945,19.610299899367543,19.704831601446546,19.799818994807364,19.895264276115668,19.991169652626176,20.087537342233702,20.184369573524474,20.281668585827617,{"$f":"SUM(AL985:AL987)","v":20.379436629266991},20.477675964813205,20.57638886433589,20.67557761065628,20.775244497599953,20.875391830049921,20.976021923999905,21.077137106607907,21.178739716250021,21.280832102574507,21.383416626556148,21.48649566055083,21.590071588350408,21.694146805237839,21.798723718042577,21.903804745196219,22.00939231678845,22.115488874623225,22.222096872275252,22.329218775146732]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.29496965075797121,0.58251211697634442,0.86285706850250798,1.1362273181297244,1.4028390274680285,1.6629019066397694,1.9166194079850558,2.1641889139568136,2.4058019193797704,2.6416442082424547,2.8718960251862198,3.0967322418503875,3.3163225182278335,3.5308314591806993,3.7404187662614401,3.9452393849800385,4.1454436476540222,4.3411774119737876,4.5325821954117771,4.719795305600214,4.9029499667983192,5.0821754425663492,5.2575971547602389,5.4293367989572472,5.5975124564196763,5.7622387027005155,5.9236267129917772,6.0817843643132221,6.2368163346362993,6.3888241990352093,6.5379065229543141,6.6841589526783931,6.8276743030896627,6.9685426427929631,7.1068513766880805,7.2426853260657698,7.3761268063018086,7.5072557022211095,7.6361495412018146,7.7628835640871729,7.8875307939709662,8.0101621029202885]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.1227727038547819,9.1667491466323359,9.2109375784161038,9.2553390211018005,9.2999545015112144,9.3447850514159345,9.389831707561223,9.435095511689978,9.4805775105668442,9.5262787560023945,9.5722003048774837,9.6183432191676612,9.6647085659677519,9.7112974175165192,9.7581108512214723,9.8051499496837717,9.8524158007232732,9.8999094974036819,9.9476321380578341,9.9955848263130882,10.043768671116851,10.092184786762237,10.140834292913809,10.189718314633495,10.238837982406602,10.288194432167945,10.33778880532814,10.387622248799977,10.43769591502496,10.488010961999953,10.538568553303953,10.589369858125011,10.640416051287254,10.691708313278074,10.743247830275415,10.795035794175204,10.84707340261892,10.899361859021289,10.951902372598109,11.004696158394225,11.057744437311612,11.111048436137626,11.164609387573366]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,24.17534766521517,25.073554813084314,25.952641692789989,26.813219637451418,27.655881822048489,28.481203809042501,29.28974407763263,30.082044537138838,30.858631024987691,31.620013789762737,32.36668795976783,33.099133997537784,33.817818140718067,34.523192829722532,35.215697122565757,35.895757097254808,36.563786242113771,37.220185834402912,37.865345307583802,38.499642607570891,39.123444538300227,39.737107096935475,40.340975799022416,40.935385993893391,41.520663170614199,42.097123254757193,42.665072896275937,43.22480974874815,43.776622740246182,44.320792336086072,44.857590793698783,45.387282409860212,45.910123760508966,46.426363933374496,46.936244753631193,47.440001002787696,47.937860631014424,48.430044963106198,48.916768898270924,49.3982411039295,49.874664203706779,50.346234959787772,50.813144449808185]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,33.298120369069949,34.535273610474619,35.746091388182435,36.931415727055729,38.092063641689428,39.228827887926464,40.342477691833622,41.433759456813874,42.503397449511347,43.552094465144904,44.580532472887768,45.589373241891664,46.579258948536207,47.550812765466887,48.504639432967927,49.441325813200024,50.361441427817084,51.265538979460615,52.154154857615424,53.02780962929576,53.887008515017293,54.732241850496031,55.563985534502578,56.382701463287127,57.188837951978044,57.982830143344813,58.76510040430459,59.536058710539905,60.296103019584365,61.045619632722321,61.78498354603795,62.514558790939539,63.234698764474615,63.945746549742232,64.648035226699562,65.341888173650972,66.027619359699116,66.705533628429293,67.375926973090145,68.039086803525535,68.695292205105559,69.344814189896368,69.987915940301832]
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["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.6359999999999992,19.617907692307693,29.958140276134127,40.669560696303044,51.765493644375461,63.259742134173557,75.166604672323373,87.500893045176014,100.27795074423361,113.51367205300097,127.22452181900614,141.42755593558584,156.14044255891457,171.3814840866705,187.16963992567918,203.52455007685745,220.46655956679589,238.01674375637322,256.19693455788399,275.02974759329527,294.53861032741355,314.74779121096179,335.68242986981687,357.36856837796415,379.83318365307059,403.10422101497568,427.21062894884659,452.18239511624108,478.05058365887544,504.84737384150174,532.60610008196591,561.36129341824153,591.14872446402467,622.00544790632296,653.96984860039618,687.08168931938485,721.38216021802953,756.91393007201009,793.72119935664637,831.84975523098751,871.34702849568976,912.2621525955351]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0.23600897347301952,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.37246873357176469,0.91758270351846249,1.4449425262256455,1.9542466220511301,2.4451913666297855,2.9174712095513371,3.3707787955502795,3.8048050881982931,4.2192394960876811,4.6137700014911047,4.9486007701266033,3.4340557245818104,1.8925418678819597,0.32441228811535439,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,9.6359999999999992,19.617907692307693,29.958140276134127,40.669560696303044,51.765493644375461,63.259742134173557,75.166604672323373,87.500893045176014,100.27795074423361,113.51367205300097,127.22452181900614,141.42755593558584,156.14044255891457,171.3814840866705,187.16963992567918,203.15208134328569,219.54897686327743,236.57180123014757,254.24268793583286,272.58455622666548,291.62113911786219,311.37701241541151,331.87762478161858,353.1493288818765,375.21941365157949,398.15562024484905,423.77657322426478,450.28985324835912,477.72617137076008,504.84737384150174,532.60610008196591,561.36129341824153,591.14872446402467,622.00544790632296,653.96984860039618,687.08168931938485,721.38216021802953,756.91393007201009,793.72119935664637,831.84975523098751,871.34702849568976,912.2621525955351]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,100,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":100},100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,99.816990759379593,99.583799599666506,99.392924000462486,99.237209209616978,99.110935675858002,99.009477498957338,98.929054026850665,98.866546250373062,98.819359096062058,98.78531676534476,98.772376841486164,99.196168004286008,99.581464937971447,99.932138501822891,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
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[]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1063","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"F1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"G1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"H1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"I1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"J1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"K1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"L1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"M1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"N1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"O1063","v":0.35}]
["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore OPEX (Nominal 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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1058,\" (\",B1112,\")\")","v":"Green offshore operations (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"F1114-F1113","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.39034353067648409,0.80350061073190282,1.2398363479051491,1.6997371695442045,2.1836111941371961,2.6918886222309988,3.2250221471092129,3.7834873856190203,4.3677833295545172,4.9784328180225668,5.6159830312360501,6.281006006198691,6.9740991747652856,7.6958859245814271,8.4470161834272659,9.2281670275111871,10.040043314280702,10.883378340340119,11.758934525087296,12.667504120704878,13.609909949165448,14.587006166934474,15.599679058079873,16.648847856523027,17.73546559819227,18.860520003867233,20.02503439353012,21.230068633068726,22.476720114205371,23.766124768556157,25.099458116755944,26.477936353616414,27.902817470317352,29.375402414665018,30.897036290486039,32.469109597261159,34.093059511139579,35.770371208512429,37.50257923336283,39.291268909649773,41.138077800024213,43.044697212217869]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1113,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"X1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.27210467519292603,0.53843260999376408,0.79915859369354336,1.054452597697457,1.3044799113069239,1.5494012736956515,1.7893730021865215,2.0245471169331273,2.2550714621068755,2.4810898236877343,2.7027420439539558,2.920164132763432,3.1334883757167407,3.3428434392893993,3.5483544730184202,3.7501432088258233,3.9483280575595119,4.1430242028295856,4.3343436922160219,4.5223955259215369,4.7072857429413082,4.8891175048192945,5.0679911770588983,5.2440044082537973,5.4172522070030027,5.587827016672275,5.7558187880624292,5.9213150500432565,6.0844009782101924,6.2451594616192247,6.4036711676540419,6.5600146050778179,6.7142661853206258,6.8665002820520291,7.016789289086991,7.1652036766718936,7.3118120461961871,7.4566811833738402,7.5998761099375916,7.7414601338877604,7.8814948983361992,8.0200404289848652]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1104,\" (\",B1114,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1112+E1113","v":0},{"$f":"X1069","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.66244820586941011,1.3419332207256669,2.0389949415986925,2.7541897672416615,3.4880911054441199,4.2412898959266503,5.0143951492957344,5.8080345025521476,6.6228547916613927,7.4595226417103015,8.3187250751900059,9.201170138962123,10.107587550482027,11.038729363870827,11.995370656445687,12.978310236337011,13.988371371840213,15.026402543169704,16.093278217303318,17.189899646626415,18.317195692106758,19.476123671753768,20.667670235138772,21.892852264776824,23.152717805195273,24.448347020539508,25.780853181592551,27.151383683111984,28.561121092415561,30.011284230175381,31.503129284409987,33.037950958694232,34.617083655637977,36.241902696717048,37.913825579573029,39.634313273933053,41.404871557335767,43.227052391886268,45.10245534330042,47.032729043537536,49.019572698360413,51.064737641202733]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore OPEX (\",B1115,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,\"\",SUM(F1114)/F1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(G1036=0,\"\",SUM(G1114)/G1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(H1036=0,0,H1114/H1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O1114/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P1114/P1036)","v":6.8747219372084903E-2},6.8403483275224483E-2,6.8061465858848355E-2,6.7721158529554112E-2,6.7382552736906354E-2,6.7045639973221799E-2,6.6710411773355696E-2,6.6376859714488923E-2,6.6044975415916488E-2,6.5714750538836908E-2,6.5386176786142711E-2,6.5059245902212015E-2,6.4733949672700936E-2,6.4410279924337427E-2,6.408822852471574E-2,6.3767787382092142E-2,6.3448948445181702E-2,6.3131703702955774E-2,6.2816045184441019E-2,6.2501964958518813E-2,6.2189455133726229E-2,6.187850785805759E-2,6.1569115318767298E-2,6.1261269742173462E-2,6.0954963393462597E-2,6.0650188576495283E-2,6.0346937633612818E-2,6.0045202945444756E-2,5.9744976930717522E-2,5.9446252046063942E-2,5.9149020785833631E-2,5.8853275681904467E-2,5.8559009303494919E-2,5.8266214256977464E-2,5.7974883185692577E-2,5.768500876976411E-2,5.7396583725915287E-2,5.7109600807285714E-2,5.6824052803249279E-2,5.653993253923302E-2,5.6257232876536854E-2,5.5975946712154175E-2]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
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[]
[]
["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,59.2353845011461,59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
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[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[{"$f":"hist!A455","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B1140=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1140+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1141","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1140=1,X1137,X1141)","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.9905774178454347,12.440125228627338,19.377024448636018,26.831310820934174,34.834769456841961,43.421034854755895,52.625696601125021,62.486411075672748,73.043019501195914,84.337672697548896,96.414962919787257,109.32206318196722,123.10887449083583,137.82818143767327,153.53581662193724,169.97918644428836,187.37258978415963,205.93861621992698,225.74776370889464,246.87459678442139,269.39797754038335,293.40130967201031,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100*(AY1244/100)","v":318.97279631064481},346.2057124316778,375.19869265896318,406.09630528337215,440.87279882452879,477.82480588989267,517.07761506544364,557.36151275691589,599.76785097274364,644.79206237281596,692.58669929505436,743.31303769547867,797.14157277538004,854.25254270333573,914.83648202336724,979.09480643064205,1047.2404306913213,1119.4984215837683,1196.1066878446077,1277.3167092154533]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.8179999999999996,9.8089538461538464,14.979070138067064,20.334780348151522,25.882746822187734,31.629871067086778,37.583302336161687,43.750446522588007,50.138975372116803,56.756836026500487,63.612260909503078,70.713777967792922,78.070221279457286,85.690742043335248,93.584819962839589,101.57604067164284,109.77448843163872,118.28590061507379,127.12134396791643,136.29227811333274,145.81056955893109,155.68850620770576,{"$f":"BD1144*AL1038/100","v":165.93881239080929},176.57466444093825,187.60970682578971,199.07781012242452,211.88828661213239,225.14492662417956,238.86308568538004,252.42368692075087,266.30305004098295,280.68064670912077,295.57436223201233,311.00272395316148,326.98492430019809,343.54084465969243,360.69108010901471,378.45696503600504,396.86059967832318,415.92487761549376,435.67351424784488,456.13107629776755]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,{"$f":"IF(AL1038>0,AL1164/AL1038,0)","v":0.5},0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1.1392147472050118,2.3379985642997085,3.599464932843059,4.9268850163124718,6.3236956770736406,7.7935079022077804,9.3401156591056242,10.967505202808564,12.679864858203413,14.48159530136097,16.377320365553032,18.371898398790854,20.47043420110321,22.678291571218381,25.0011064938342,27.444801000258327,30.015597736881013,32.720035277708504,35.564984219042046,38.557664096339295,41.705661165346953,45.016947091750822,48.499898595857211,52.163318101203771,56.016455438504913,60.069030658971158,64.331258013813056,68.813871159651555,73.528149652619661,78.485946797157879,83.699718918890852,89.182556134529079,94.948214695481028,101.01115098579129,107.3865572591549,114.09039920410386,121.1394554310296,128.55135897950842,136.34464094944721,144.53877636487357,153.15423238477675,162.21251898127144]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.64584015519884,48.054544527885845,49.505791772628001,51.000866684161366,52.541092858023049,54.127833862335336,55.762494444977875,57.446521777216205,59.181406734888142,60.968685218281763,62.809939511873871,64.706799685132481,66.660945035623485,68.674105575699315,70.748063564085442,72.884655083720816,75.08577166724919,77.353361971600123,79.689433503142453,82.096054394937354,84.575355237664468,87.129530965841937,89.760842801010369,92.471620253600889,95.264263185259637,98.14124393345449,101.10510950024481,104.15848380715219,107.3040700181282,110.54465293267566,113.88310145124248,117.32237111506998,120.86550672274512,124.51564502577202,128.27601750555033,132.14995323421795,136.14088182189133,140.25233645291243,144.48795701379041,148.85149331560689,153.34680841373819,157.97788202783306,162.74881406507365,167.66382824983884]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.9905774178454347,12.440125228627338,19.377024448636018,26.831310820934174,34.834769456841961,43.421034854755895,52.625696601125021,62.486411075672748,73.043019501195914,84.337672697548896,96.414962919787257,109.32206318196722,123.10887449083583,137.82818143767327,153.53581662193724,169.97918644428836,187.37258978415963,205.93861621992698,225.74776370889464,246.87459678442139,269.39797754038335,293.40130967201031,318.97279631064481,346.2057124316778,375.19869265896318,406.09630528337215,440.87279882452879,477.82480588989267,517.07761506544364,557.36151275691589,599.76785097274364,644.79206237281596,692.58669929505436,743.31303769547867,797.14157277538004,854.25254270333573,914.83648202336724,979.09480643064205,1047.2404306913213,1119.4984215837683,1196.1066878446077,1277.3167092154533]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-46.64584015519884,-48.054544527885845,-44.654429101987574,-40.898740019833738,-36.76353334223009,-32.223408057713634,-27.251420665209555,-21.818994824668088,-15.895825792868749,-9.449779345417582,-2.4467848688813731,5.1492777110554471,13.37669751861074,22.276059207477061,31.890376725647172,42.265234782734069,53.448938460853839,65.181023472429899,77.66755854413617,91.122526547281112,105.60742425218811,121.18740172224015,137.93147357402603,155.91274232665862,175.20863452952798,195.90115039701956,218.07712772021347,241.86879081724879,269.23747079258754,298.46628179756544,329.66636396158151,361.55319484468799,395.20262533110764,431.09386121251492,469.36246709402297,510.15193347546938,553.61413369433387,599.90980704631943,649.2090695785472,701.69195413552666,757.54898132813582,816.98176319106165,880.20364139475714,947.4403619843431]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX (\",B1210,\")\")","v":"OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1115","v":0},6.8747219372084903E-2,6.8403483275224483E-2,6.8061465858848355E-2,6.7721158529554112E-2,6.7382552736906354E-2,6.7045639973221799E-2,6.6710411773355696E-2,6.6376859714488923E-2,6.6044975415916488E-2,6.5714750538836908E-2,6.5386176786142711E-2,6.5059245902212015E-2,6.4733949672700936E-2,6.4410279924337427E-2,6.408822852471574E-2,6.3767787382092142E-2,6.3448948445181702E-2,6.3131703702955774E-2,6.2816045184441019E-2,6.2501964958518813E-2,6.2189455133726229E-2,6.187850785805759E-2,6.1569115318767298E-2,6.1261269742173462E-2,6.0954963393462597E-2,6.0650188576495283E-2,6.0346937633612818E-2,6.0045202945444756E-2,5.9744976930717522E-2,5.9446252046063942E-2,5.9149020785833631E-2,5.8853275681904467E-2,5.8559009303494919E-2,5.8266214256977464E-2,5.7974883185692577E-2,5.768500876976411E-2,5.7396583725915287E-2,5.7109600807285714E-2,5.6824052803249279E-2,5.653993253923302E-2,5.6257232876536854E-2,5.5975946712154175E-2]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"CAPEX (\",B1211,\")\")","v":"CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O913","v":0},4.2146110538240791,2.0908504963492502,1.3828726607958615,1.0288425881993455,0.81639329355036072,0.67473578656938193,0.57353193181575313,0.49761266371448315,0.43855072489892355,0.39128976154895317,0.35261209400092769,0.32037260205480517,0.29308620168052518,0.26969211742452426,0.24941244585679084,0.23166375772865433,0.21599989937258018,0.20207386030577726,0.18961168264707895,0.17839419771276219,0.1682439807319473,0.1590158633710666,0.15058992125619156,0.14286621461906601,0.13576079119241447,0.12920261151837054,0.12313115752605489,0.11749455356117253,0.11224807617245602,0.10735296194515227,0.10277544608072248,9.8485981247124252E-2,9.4458598460552087E-2,9.0670380756945917E-2,8.7101027095382977E-2,8.3732488948324732E-2,8.0548665827201771E-2,7.753514888686848E-2,7.4679003979419789E-2,7.1968587253757196E-2,6.9393387744330348E-2,6.6943892450869472E-2]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"LCOE (\",B1212,\")\")","v":"LCOE (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1210+O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1210+P1211","v":4.2833582731961641},2.1592539796244745,1.4509341266547098,1.0965637467288996,0.88377584628726713,0.74178142654260371,0.64024234358910881,0.56398952342897202,0.50459570031484002,0.45700451208779008,0.41799827078707041,0.38543184795701718,0.35782015135322609,0.33410239734886171,0.31350067438150658,0.29543154511074649,0.27944884781776191,0.26520556400873302,0.25242772783151995,0.240896162671281,0.23043343586567352,0.2208943712291242,0.21215903657495885,0.20412748436123948,0.19671575458587706,0.18985280009486583,0.1834780951596677,0.1775397565066173,0.17199305310317353,0.16679921399121622,0.16192446686655609,0.15733925692902873,0.15301760776404699,0.14893659501392337,0.14507591028107555,0.14141749771808884,0.13794524955311704,0.13464474969415419,0.13150305678266908,0.12850851979299022,0.12565062062086721,0.12291983916302365]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Revenue (\",B1213,\")\")","v":"Revenue (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1165","v":0},0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1214,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1213-O1210-O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1213-P1210-P1211","v":-3.7833582731961641},-1.6592539796244747,-0.95093412665470978,-0.59656374672889956,-0.38377584628726696,-0.24178142654260371,-0.14024234358910881,-6.3989523428972073E-2,-4.5957003148400233E-3,4.2995487912209918E-2,8.2001729212929697E-2,0.11456815204298282,0.14217984864677385,0.16589760265113829,0.18649932561849342,0.20456845488925351,0.22055115218223814,0.23479443599126695,0.24757227216848005,0.259103837328719,0.2695665641343265,0.2791056287708758,0.28784096342504117,0.29587251563876055,0.30328424541412291,0.31014719990513417,0.31652190484033227,0.32246024349338276,0.32800694689682647,0.33320078600878378,0.33807553313344391,0.34266074307097127,0.34698239223595301,0.35106340498607658,0.35492408971892447,0.35858250228191113,0.3620547504468829,0.36535525030584581,0.36849694321733095,0.37149148020700978,0.37434937937913282,0.37708016083697637]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1215,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1164-O911-O1114","v":-40.209893182820615},-36.456440320518233,-32.551091410367128,-28.488217959684892,-24.261985506804937,-19.866346131848331,-15.295030695917736,-10.541540798882689,-5.5991404455702716,-0.46084740980678518,4.8805757146253645,10.432630787446602,16.20309373149566,22.200024490666767,28.43177734877284,34.907011622395409,41.448468374467353,48.165362378351631,55.16253584364275,62.450133900069147,70.038667297656929,77.939025586084426,86.162490772404695,94.720751474487756,103.62591758816683,112.8905354867199,122.54734503267176,133.50449418063442,144.86457429866311,156.64170626413596,168.21554177845869,180.061091235335,192.35647793397618,205.11819858175951,218.36335046188344,232.10965321811847,246.37547142822768,261.17983799457198,276.54247838144073,292.48383572971795,309.02509688059831,326.18821934121297,343.99595922621063]
[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1239+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1239+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1239+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1233","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1232=1,S1233,S1226)","v":1.6909868685221172},-5.2056557471082767,-3.1645245976866212,-1.1233934482649657,0.91773770115668984,2.9588688505783454,5,4.66,4.32,3.98,3.6399999999999997,3.3,2.94,2.58,2.2199999999999998,1.8599999999999999,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1000000000000001,1,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,5168.0283591996267,5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1268+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1268+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1268+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",{"$f":"E1269","v":1.1499594536442725},{"$f":"F1269","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"G1269","v":1.0545855541260798},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*1","v":1.0636684433008639},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*2","v":1.0727513324756479},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*3","v":1.081834221650432},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*4","v":1.090917110825216},{"$f":"H1269","v":1.1000000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*1","v":1.1200000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*2","v":1.1400000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*3","v":1.1599999999999999},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*4","v":1.18},{"$f":"I1269","v":1.2},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*1","v":1.204},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*2","v":1.208},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*3","v":1.212},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*4","v":1.216},{"$f":"J1269","v":1.22},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*1","v":1.226},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*2","v":1.232},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*3","v":1.238},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*4","v":1.244},{"$f":"K1269","v":1.25},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*1","v":1.26},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*2","v":1.27},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*3","v":1.28},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*4","v":1.29},{"$f":"L1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*1","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*2","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*3","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*4","v":1.3},{"$f":"M1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*1","v":1.31},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*2","v":1.32},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*3","v":1.33},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*4","v":1.34},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*5","v":1.35},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*6","v":1.3599999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*7","v":1.3699999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*8","v":1.38},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*9","v":1.39},{"$f":"N1269","v":1.4},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*1","v":1.4049999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*2","v":1.41},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*3","v":1.415},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*4","v":1.42},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*5","v":1.4249999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*6","v":1.43},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*7","v":1.4350000000000001},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*8","v":1.44},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*9","v":1.4449999999999998},{"$f":"O1269","v":1.45}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1265,\" (1000 p)\")","v":"Mainland employment (1000 p)"}]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Mainland CO2e emissions per unit GDP (kgCO2e/2018-NOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1302+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1302+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1302+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1318+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1318+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1318+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1318+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1318+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
[{"$f":"D1319","v":"Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B1323=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1323=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\"f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1324+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1324+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1329+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1329+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A430","v":"Offshore emissions (MtCO2e/yr)"},null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1357+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1357+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1357+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,{"$f":"X608*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,13.648112495564767,13.761933661130502,13.739891227692585,13.590446289593469,13.323903692914021,12.952129531478704,12.378809439100664,11.626752239288816,10.728148582875386,9.7168369667024237,8.6266866411635679,7.6859555753223603,6.8896369779102962,6.2130113262590534,5.6343494399855123,5.1361785262088313,4.6826314465861891,4.2673904156159761,3.8868296107172071,3.5378337837319478,3.2175949894364724,2.9280075623640758,2.6664157376694586,2.4300793844515431,2.2165034793191976,2.0234393216855264,1.848861990857994,1.6909481646362456,1.5480560035889355,1.4187070337485084,1.3015698390510519,1.1846880331672553,1.0689088636566524,0.9559168261472003,0.84727031209182246,0.74428930723114939,0.6480262054515662,0.55925549793050067,0.47847603731834765,0.405924303656783,0.34159708610075645,0.28161289404729678,0.22662072739332784,0.1776256680034265,0.135291778365319,9.9834656317005208E-2,7.1051166591553055E-2,4.8399452429814242E-2,3.1101937836143463E-2,1.8254528510151458E-2]
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["GDP value created by Green Offshore",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"},2018,{"$f":"E1375+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1375+1","v":2056},{"$f":"AQ1375+1","v":2057},2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Percent of investment spending being imported",{"$f":"$B$939","v":50},"pct"]
["Green offshore revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,5.9905774178454347,12.440125228627338,19.377024448636018,26.831310820934174,34.834769456841961,43.421034854755895,52.625696601125021,62.486411075672748,73.043019501195914,84.337672697548896,96.414962919787257,109.32206318196722,123.10887449083583,137.82818143767327,153.53581662193724,169.97918644428836,187.37258978415963,205.93861621992698,225.74776370889464,246.87459678442139,269.39797754038335,293.40130967201031,318.97279631064481,346.2057124316778,375.19869265896318,406.09630528337215,440.87279882452879,477.82480588989267,517.07761506544364,557.36151275691589,599.76785097274364,644.79206237281596,692.58669929505436,743.31303769547867,797.14157277538004,854.25254270333573,914.83648202336724,979.09480643064205,1047.2404306913213,1119.4984215837683,1196.1066878446077,1277.3167092154533]
["Green offshore investment spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"F909*$B$939/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.32292007759942,24.027272263942923,24.752895886314001,25.500433342080683,26.270546429011524,27.063916931167668,27.881247222488938,28.723260888608102,29.590703367444071,30.484342609140882,31.404969755936936,32.35339984256624,33.330472517811742,34.337052787849657,35.374031782042721,36.442327541860408,37.542885833624595,38.676680985800061,39.844716751571227,41.04802719746867,42.287677618832234,43.564765482920969,44.880421400505185,46.235810126800445,47.632131592629818,49.070621966727252,50.552554750122411,52.079241903576097,53.6520350090641,55.27232646633783,56.941550725621234,58.661185557534992,60.432753361372562,62.257822512886008,64.138008752775164,66.074976617108973,68.070440910945663,70.126168226456215,72.243978506895203,74.425746657803444,76.673404206869094,78.988941013916531,81.374407032536823,83.831914124919422]
["Green offshore operations spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1105","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.80752066649034915,1.6685252902315846,2.5859386038370791,3.562838144431812,4.6024621372620151,5.7082177845817235,6.883689980628894,8.1326504745721895,9.4590675044329267,10.867115926167651,12.361187863338436,13.945903904103456,15.626124873632593,17.406964211495886,19.293800985089337,21.292293571757479,23.408394043948682,25.648363293501887,28.018786933016678,30.526592014206784,33.179064605185644,35.983868270785969,38.94906350227933,42.083128145241993,45.394978876815756,48.893993786243257,52.590036115323436,56.493479218340248,60.61523280407571,64.966770525731576,69.560158987963888,74.408088243786437,79.523903857835151,84.921640616410841,90.616057968846903,96.622677289088628,102.95782105093335,109.63865401517774,116.68322653196306,124.11052006690998,131.94049506521031,140.1941412737026]
["Green offshore wages paid (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.33169408071466272,0.66947327406812407,1.0135263290059797,1.36404687188066,1.7212335398116256,2.0852901176260574,2.4564256784767307,2.8348547282363747,3.2207973537704855,3.6144793751933189,4.0161325022145977,4.425994494687397,4.8443093274706159,5.2713273597224966,5.707305508744863,6.1525074285008472,6.6072036929323303,7.0716719842066178,7.5461972860253717,8.0310720821325088,8.5265965601613054,9.0330788209648567,9.5508350935778807,10.080189955961782,10.621476561689157,11.175036872727905,11.741221898489622,12.320391941311302,12.912916848543945,13.519176271426307,14.139559930926969,14.774467890742645,15.424310837645882,16.089510369380445,16.770499290308003,17.467721915015236,18.181634380096259,18.912704964330697,19.661414417484156,20.428256297963586,21.213737319566423,22.01837770756886]
["'GDP' green offshore (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(E1377:E1380)","v":0},{"$f":"SUM(F1377:F1380)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"SUM(L1377:L1380)","v":0},0,23.32292007759942,24.027272263942923,31.882688051364447,40.27855713500773,49.247035810490594,58.822112768414321,69.039712356404536,79.937803645571776,91.556515627674713,103.9382588876222,117.12785411533625,131.17266784147611,146.12275580315202,162.03101436860771,178.95334047398177,196.94880055075205,216.07980894939604,236.10066843034676,257.2329042726119,279.70667869510413,303.60042554676886,328.99702636368158,355.98406010623552,384.65406689056164,415.10482649913183,447.43965249960877,481.7677028475905,518.24457784591937,558.85609184740588,601.91100351588204,647.54731544368462,694.50864511160876,743.90032325300706,796.23244102023114,851.67292274331055,910.39916529837899,972.59857094548056,1038.4691101338958,1108.2199159612921,1182.0719120679539,1260.2584758476376,1343.0261389625582,1430.6353272619212,1523.3611423216441]
["'GDP' green offshore (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1381*(100/S1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,19.515576190458464,19.710731952363048,25.642067586653678,31.759367423229421,38.069560445291437,44.579810160697129,51.297523234978932,58.2303584231272,65.386235811021081,72.773346377772654,80.400161890645578,88.275445144618587,96.408260559088561,104.80798514464891,113.48431985333279,122.44730132618429,131.70731405250953,141.08886858888016,150.70299506901438,160.65639851716196,170.96113596280983,181.62968081634511,192.67493777012521,204.11025822569277,215.94945626609268,228.20682519292637,240.89715464847163,254.05548960459942,268.5923469990027,283.61275314805943,299.13333199424284,314.53630863433222,330.29933946518202,346.60326874049059,363.46739148521436,380.91168314536696,398.95682392756407,417.62422400221283,436.93604960125532,456.91525004247484,477.58558571350983,498.97165704990965,521.09893454277858,543.99378981283098]
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["Employment Norway (1000 p)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(O1457:O1459)","v":2024.5},{"$f":"SUM(P1457:P1459)","v":2004.9166666666667},2000.25,2000.4999999999998,2030.9166666666667,2076.3333333333335,2131.75,2198.25,2250.75,2263,2273.5,2281.5,2290.5,2275,2279.5,2291,2355,2436.75,2504.75,2495.75,2497.7500000000005,2541.5,2583,2602.75,2625,2639.75,2638.75,2645.75,2694.5,{"$f":"SUM(AR1457:AR1459)","v":2725.5},{"$f":"SUM(AS1457:AS1459)","v":2844.0997788717273},2734.4713564675089,2680.671019155594,2678.5061537170627,2726.9304635921189,2827.955392632593,2916.5598745303296,2998.2891626607548,3105.7032709804926,3172.7492747800984,3230.8102262211705,3284.7517905693576,3328.529381090912,3361.2784658813316,3382.4059779798145,3391.5723080335156,3397.6051556146072,3400.1589718610157,3399.3298618739313,3395.1583482819697,3387.6544680286811,3377.4146384026012,3363.7567018038121,3346.6940179985222,3326.2514361729645,3302.4701514087815,3278.6681300598329,3254.6679708899587,3230.4698758443583,3206.0759430731782,3181.4892604387082,3156.6544888266963,3131.6479081204907,3106.5484978828049,3081.3747377742243,3056.0893094366897,3030.6418708770543,3005.0126621418976,2979.2323323595206,2953.3675484471055,2927.4817689788956,2901.4973080961377,2875.4244827070665,2849.2696396011543,2823.0541972188348,2796.7851882215623,2770.4643607582193,2744.102009087128,2717.7196612897601,2691.3385975476135,2664.9658591809521]
["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.614842479969901,53.837424437046501,55.510357037264498,56.452459952119888,57.22966704621124,57.930119025759346,58.454487710998862,58.790177079889155,58.929362357052661,58.86856751828509,58.762741837321904,58.60175498957274,58.387822100567732,58.122153752468172,57.805401869126868,57.448161806586334,57.041071105266269,56.584724772728876,56.07987140104909,55.527493073356936,54.983480392723621,54.446470084243209,53.916233609451659,53.392577340413332,52.875326989625947,52.363341703075392,51.856290652148822,51.355303207273721,50.860503785334629,50.371097907107817,49.886082566426197,49.404963593951244,48.92807748150809,48.45635077504069,47.990654993858968,47.529548444889485,47.07335216916784,46.621997817225385,46.17566513757572,45.734299975714869,45.297763554051528,44.866058638957405,44.43937349014454,44.017894375335999,43.601576974058702]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.01384022207918,7.7048851174021857,7.5358314584620212,7.4934209712702753,7.5734642142353357,7.7800322920832219,7.9630805238209508,8.1547806946383314,8.2706587795737754,8.3663655870328437,8.3473663904152051,8.2976636939402511,8.2349874914364722,8.1581911149359634,8.0649741657946539,7.9536870875927814,7.8426931566170284,7.7292836948164219,7.6130921644593643,7.4939906649180603,7.3719213701727364,7.2468777127629016,7.1192121894477829,6.9889661534901677,6.8559460017902047,6.7203993182294663,6.5889399714765249,6.4613452953185888,6.3374043312133228,6.2169265229781514,6.0997394037040094,5.9856865566585791,5.8739668465139703,5.7645870783911022,5.6576040584553162,5.5531409703314081,5.4511486041558035,5.3516373088923217,5.2540106405036324,5.1587080993736869,5.065847353343969,4.9753791456165164,4.8870458772752245,4.8008423741704602,4.7167824251989003,4.6348609008636972,4.55504895962203,4.477296645653416,4.4015379320058097,4.3276966708085665]
[null,null,null,"plus behavioural change",null,{"$f":"F1495*IF(F1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(F1488-$F1485)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1495*IF(G1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(G1488-$F1485)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.01384022207918,7.7048851174021857,7.5358314584620212,7.4934209712702753,7.5734642142353357,7.7800322920832219,7.9630805238209508,8.1547806946383314,8.2706587795737754,8.3663655870328437,8.3473663904152051,8.2976636939402511,8.2349874914364722,8.1581911149359634,8.0649741657946539,7.9536870875927814,7.8426931566170284,7.7292836948164219,7.6130921644593643,7.4939906649180603,7.3719213701727364,7.2468777127629016,7.1192121894477829,6.9889661534901677,6.8559460017902047,6.7203993182294663,6.5889399714765249,6.4613452953185888,6.3374043312133228,6.2169265229781514,6.0390459825504044,5.867162021666819,5.7003648904114979,5.538554385992116,5.3816794525773544,5.2297512158517412,5.0826172699038077,4.9401838797710873,4.8018041721031297,4.6677921170384788,4.5381589833271008,4.4127654446636386,4.2912926555345408,4.1736518548366446,4.0597722564302225,3.9495679293933388,3.8429345451070684,3.7397525157659079,3.6398919962703822,3.5432183543841722]
[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2336874354479566},8.1279269718388019,8.0095078691634463,7.9062904895848121,7.8397252345149164,7.8277866460285779,7.8548454215870525,7.9148324761973079,7.9859977368726014,8.0620713069046506,8.1191303236067611,8.1548369976734598,8.170867096426063,8.1683319001280434,8.1476603532613652,8.1088657001276481,8.0556311914255243,7.9903616921037042,7.9149077865748358,7.8307243622434806,7.7389637638293314,7.6405465536160451,7.5362796807823926,7.4268169753239475,7.3126427806171987,7.1941940881396524,7.0731432648070269,6.9507836709093391,6.8281078029701359,6.7058715469717391,6.5725064340874724,6.4314375516033415,6.285223019364973,6.1358892926904014,5.985047324667792,5.8339881029045815,5.6837139363044269,5.5350079249977586,5.3883671744188328,5.2442521629427619,5.1030335270196296,4.9649799105484318,4.8302424595456532,4.6989243386038515,4.5710939221691254,4.4467887236139685,4.3260178879125881,4.2087648134832518,4.0949902500406781,3.984635870909377]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},{"$f":"IF($B$1504=1,AD1502,IF($B$1504=2,AD1503,F1490))","v":8.1577805320073189},8.1169916293472824,8.0764066712005462,8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,42.971989254964022,42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,1,"Future annual RoC, reneawable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.606291868834532},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.312354787522878},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":72.025478335398105},72.745733118752085,73.473190449939608,74.207922354439006,74.9500015779834,75.69950159376323,76.456496609700864,77.221061575797876,77.99327219155586,78.773204913471417,79.560936962606135,80.356546332232199,81.160111795554528,81.971712913510075,82.791430042645175,83.619344343071631,84.455537786502347,85.300093164367368,86.153094096011046,87.014625036971154,87.884771287340868,88.763619000214277,89.651255190216418,90.54776774211858,91.453245419539769,92.367777873735164,93.291455652472521,94.224370208997243,95.166613911087211,96.118280050198081,97.079462850700068,98.050257479207076,99.030760053999145,100.02106765453914,101.02127833108453,102.03149111439538,103.05180602553934,104.08232408579472,105.12314732665267,106.1743787999192,107.23612258791839,108.30848381379758,109.39156865193556,110.48548433845491,111.59033918183945,112.70624257365785,113.83330499939443,114.97163804938837,116.12135442988226,117.28256797418108]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil fund as share of mainland GDP (\",B1730,\")\")","v":"Oil fund as share of mainland GDP (pct)"},"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"W1652/hist!X389","v":0.1661042324609239},{"$f":"X1652/hist!Y389","v":0.20387149765097701},{"$f":"Y1652/hist!Z389","v":0.33055887604370737},{"$f":"Z1652/hist!AA389","v":0.49489629180324557},{"$f":"AA1652/hist!AB389","v":0.47585857660171821},{"$f":"AB1652/hist!AC389","v":0.63586104562690737},{"$f":"AC1652/hist!AD389","v":0.71301742566474668},{"$f":"AD1652/hist!AE389","v":0.91380714009460162},{"$f":"AE1652/hist!AF389","v":1.064362454172608},{"$f":"AF1652/hist!AG389","v":1.0968180496047975},{"$f":"AG1652/hist!AH389","v":1.1633466782010635},{"$f":"AH1652/hist!AI389","v":1.3385142466280104},{"$f":"AI1652/hist!AJ389","v":1.475649693579334},{"$f":"AJ1652/hist!AK389","v":1.5277176836128656},{"$f":"AK1652/hist!AL389","v":1.6553635077690287},{"$f":"AL1652/hist!AM389","v":2.0690383508305219},{"$f":"AM1652/hist!AN389","v":2.5221976414909011},{"$f":"AN1652/hist!AO389","v":2.8398169777651536},{"$f":"AO1652/hist!AP389","v":2.7728397247549847},{"$f":"AP1652/hist!AQ389","v":3.0219960511444404},{"$f":"AQ1652/hist!AR389","v":2.8225641025641024},{"$f":"AR1652/S1243","v":3.2934385875562349},{"$f":"AS1652/T1243","v":3.7391912196789949},3.9515159250481582,4.0438893441642882,4.064032771744273,4.0085501647332684,3.8786398699244269,3.7672911694945568,3.6598429425713914,3.5637182449167004,3.4781366546984027,3.4018943562212303,3.3322292463838044,3.2704178098774657,3.2174630117264935,3.1742271933164394,3.1414438965401921,3.1115947809809685,3.083163818578742,3.0563879902483859,3.0314552104842107,3.0085332605203066,2.9874696876708495,2.9694987377238582,2.9548363046827739,2.9436744490958247,2.936225920646486,2.929770330396452,2.9246529054273345,2.9210276369678012,2.9190471059108476,2.9188604754508853,2.9206430583796235,2.9243803995435678,2.9301221005027815,2.9379313656615067,2.9478958350358426,2.9601549410743115,2.9748754781910454,2.9921405640158047,3.0120917902238773,3.0348852241626441,3.0607222975513224,3.0888280832535115,3.119350537377068,3.1524526278600948,3.1883141651235563,3.2271295511616738,3.2691006058272967,3.3144288869879466,3.3633128916584893,3.4159513588386492]

{"sheet":"dbPES","index":6,"n_rows":94,"n_cols":11,"rows_kept":94,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Dashboard"]
["Policies"]
["Here you can build your own scenario with predetermined variables you can change. If you want to change a variable not offered on this tab, "]
["you can either enter your changes on tab SC_db manually (all yellow cells can be changed) or you can contact us to add the variable you want to change to this dashboard - also tell us how you want to change it."]
["Note that when you keep the scenario on which your experiments will be built the same, then changes will be additive."]
["You must first choose the scenario on which your policy experiments will be built."]
[null,null,"My policy experiment should be built on scenario",1,{"$f":"CHOOSE(D7,A13,A14,A15,A16,A17)","v":"SC1_BAU"}]
[]
[]
["Option 1:","Investments in O&G fields (green and brown)",null,null,null,null,null,"2018-GNOK/yr"]
["split between green and brown field",30,"green",{"$f":"100-B11","v":70},"brown"]
[null,null,2020,{"$f":"C12+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"I12+10","v":2060},{"$f":"J12+10","v":2070}]
["SC1_BAU",null,{"$f":"'SC-1'!V$167+'SC-1'!V$216","v":110},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AA$167+'SC-1'!AA$216","v":95},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AF$167+'SC-1'!AF$216","v":75},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AK$167+'SC-1'!AK$216","v":67},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AP$167+'SC-1'!AP$216","v":63},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AU$167+'SC-1'!AU$216","v":60},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AZ$167+'SC-1'!AZ$216","v":53},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BJ$167+'SC-1'!BJ$216","v":40},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BT$167+'SC-1'!BT$216","v":10}]
["SC2_Harvest",null,{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!V$167+SC2_Harvest!V$216","v":110},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AA$167+SC2_Harvest!AA$216","v":95},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AF$167+SC2_Harvest!AF$216","v":22},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AK$167+SC2_Harvest!AK$216","v":12},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AP$167+SC2_Harvest!AP$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AU$167+SC2_Harvest!AU$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AZ$167+SC2_Harvest!AZ$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BJ$167+SC2_Harvest!BJ$216","v":5},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BT$167+SC2_Harvest!BT$216","v":0}]
["SC3_Rebuilding",null,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!V$167+SC3_Rebuilding!V$216","v":110},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AA$167+SC3_Rebuilding!AA$216","v":95},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AF$167+SC3_Rebuilding!AF$216","v":22},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AK$167+SC3_Rebuilding!AK$216","v":12},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AP$167+SC3_Rebuilding!AP$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AU$167+SC3_Rebuilding!AU$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AZ$167+SC3_Rebuilding!AZ$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BJ$167+SC3_Rebuilding!BJ$216","v":5},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BT$167+SC3_Rebuilding!BT$216","v":0}]
["SC4_Faster_Rebuild",null,{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!V$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!V$216","v":110},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AA$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AA$216","v":95},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AF$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AF$216","v":22},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AK$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AK$216","v":12},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AP$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AP$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AU$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AU$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AZ$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AZ$216","v":7},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BJ$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BJ$216","v":5},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BT$167+SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BT$216","v":0}]
["SC My Policy","set future investments as an annual rate of change",null,null,null,null,3,"%/yr"]
["SC My Policy","annual RoC",{"$f":"CHOOSE($D$7,C13,C14,C15,C16)","v":110},{"$f":"C18*(1+($G$17/100))^5","v":127.52014817299998},147.83080172785338,171.37641582608404,198.67223581363541,230.31557226196347,266.99887183086241,{"$f":"I18*(1+($G$17/100))^10","v":358.82415711989785},{"$f":"J18*(1+($G$17/100))^10","v":482.22966205777936}]
["SC My Policy","manual",180,180,180,50,50,50,20,10,0]
["select annual RoC or manual entries: ",2,{"$f":"IF(B20=1,\"annual RoC\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"CHOOSE($B$20,C18,C19)","v":180},{"$f":"CHOOSE($B$20,D18,D19)","v":180},180,50,50,50,20,10,0]
["1: copy your choice to SC_mp",null,null,null,null,null,null,"Your experiment will be built by modifying scenario",{"$f":"$E$7","v":"SC1_BAU"}]
["2: select the scenarios you want to see on the comparison tab"]
["3: view the results on tab <Comparisons>",null,null,null,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,1,true,true,true,true,true]
["Option 2:","Investments in Green Offshore",null,null,null,"2018-GNOK/yr"]
["Start year",2037,null,null,"GNOK invested in start year",20]
[null,null,2020,{"$f":"C28+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"I28+10","v":2060},{"$f":"J28+10","v":2070}]
["SC-1 BAU",null,{"$f":"'SC-1'!V$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AA$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AF$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AK$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AP$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AU$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AZ$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BJ$801","v":0},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BT$801","v":0}]
["SC2_Harvest",null,{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!V$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AA$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AF$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AK$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AP$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AU$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AZ$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BJ$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BT$801","v":0}]
["SC3_Rebuilding",null,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!V$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AA$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AF$801","v":30.76358402684648},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AK$801","v":32.332835989311484},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AP$801","v":33.982135573001351},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AU$801","v":35.715566011085151},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AZ$801","v":37.537418822660463},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BJ$801","v":41.46466336233776},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BT$801","v":45.802784572765638}]
["SC4_Faster_Rebuild",null,{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!V$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AA$801","v":0},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AF$801","v":41.018112035795312},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AK$801","v":43.110447985748642},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AP$801","v":45.309514097335139},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AU$801","v":47.620754681446869},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AZ$801","v":50.049891763547294},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BJ$801","v":55.286217816450346},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BT$801","v":61.07037943035418}]
["SC_mp My Policy","set future investments as an annual rate of change",null,null,null,null,5,"%/yr"]
["SC_mp My Policy","annual RoC",{"$f":"IF(C28>=$B$27,1,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(D28>=$B$27,$F$27*(1+$G$33/100)^(D28-$B$27),0)","v":0},0,0,23.152500000000003,29.549108875781251,37.712982846464719,61.430475118356213,100.06377084067574]
["SC_mp My Policy","manual",0,0,12,12,12,12,12,12,12]
["select annual RoC or manual entries: ",1,{"$f":"IF(B36=1,\"annual RoC\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual RoC"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"CHOOSE($B$36,C34,C35)","v":0},0,0,0,23.152500000000003,29.549108875781251,37.712982846464719,61.430475118356213,100.06377084067574]
[{"$f":"A22","v":"1: copy your choice to SC_mp"},null,null,null,null,null,null,"Your experiment will be built by modifying scenario",{"$f":"$E$7","v":"SC1_BAU"}]
["2: select the scenarios you want to see on the comparison tab"]
["3: view the results on tab <Comparisons>",null,null,null,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,true,true,1,true,true]
["Option 3:","Norwegian CO2 price",null,null,"2018-NOK/tCO2"]
[]
[null,null,2020,{"$f":"C44+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"I44+10","v":2060},{"$f":"J44+10","v":2070}]
["SC-1 BAU",null,{"$f":"'SC-1'!Y$616","v":601.66512168318172},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AD$616","v":1300},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AI$616","v":2000},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AN$616","v":2000},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AS$616","v":2000},{"$f":"'SC-1'!AX$616","v":2000},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BC$616","v":2000},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BM$616","v":2000},{"$f":"'SC-1'!BW$616","v":2000}]
["SC2_Harvest",null,{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!Y$616","v":601.66512168318172},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AD$616","v":1300},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AI$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AN$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AS$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AX$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BC$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BM$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BW$616","v":2000}]
["SC3_Rebuilding",null,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!Y$616","v":601.66512168318172},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AD$616","v":1300},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AI$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AN$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AS$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AX$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BC$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BM$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BW$616","v":2000}]
["SC4_Faster_Rebuild",null,{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!Y$616","v":601.66512168318172},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AD$616","v":1300},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AI$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AN$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AS$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!AX$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BC$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BM$616","v":2000},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!BW$616","v":2000}]
["SC_mp My Policy","set future CO2 price as an annual rate of change",null,null,null,null,2,"%/yr"]
["SC_mp My Policy","annual RoC",{"$f":"CHOOSE($D$7,C45,C46,C47,C48)","v":601.66512168318172},{"$f":"CHOOSE($D$7,D45,D46,D47,D48)","v":1300},{"$f":"D50*(1+($G$49/100))^5","v":1435.3050441600001},{"$f":"E50*(1+($G$49/100))^5","v":1584.6927459931844},{"$f":"F50*(1+($G$49/100))^5","v":1749.6288398213687},{"$f":"G50*(1+($G$49/100))^5","v":1931.7316147718609},{"$f":"H50*(1+($G$49/100))^5","v":2132.7877928041494},{"$f":"I50*(1+($G$49/100))^10","v":2599.8564184611923},{"$f":"J50*(1+($G$49/100))^10","v":3169.2104668917477}]
["SC_mp My Policy","manual",650,1300,2000,2000,2000,2000,2000,2000,2000]
["select annual RoC or manual entries: ",1,{"$f":"IF(B52=1,\"annual RoC\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual RoC"},null,"proportinonality factor for CO2 intensities",null,null,null,0.5]
[null,null,{"$f":"CHOOSE($B$52,C50,C51)","v":601.66512168318172},{"$f":"CHOOSE($B$52,D50,D51)","v":1300},1435.3050441600001,1584.6927459931844,1749.6288398213687,1931.7316147718609,2132.7877928041494,2599.8564184611923,3169.2104668917477]
[{"$f":"A38","v":"1: copy your choice to SC_mp"},null,null,null,null,null,null,"Your experiment will be built by modifying scenario",{"$f":"$E$7","v":"SC1_BAU"}]
["2: select the scenarios you want to see on the comparison tab"]
["3: view the results on tab <Comparisons>",null,null,null,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,true,true,1,true,true]
["Option 4:","Annual RoC in real GDP per person-year",null,null,null,null,"pct/year"]
[]
[null,null,2020,{"$f":"C60+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"I60+10","v":2060},{"$f":"J60+10","v":2070}]
["SC-1 BAU",null,{"$f":"'SC-1'!G$1227","v":-5.2056557471082767},{"$f":"'SC-1'!H$1227","v":5},{"$f":"'SC-1'!I$1227","v":3.3},{"$f":"'SC-1'!J$1227","v":1.5},{"$f":"'SC-1'!K$1227","v":1},{"$f":"'SC-1'!L$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"'SC-1'!M$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"'SC-1'!N$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"'SC-1'!O$1227","v":0.5}]
["SC2_Harvest",null,{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!G$1227","v":-5.2056557471082767},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!H$1227","v":5},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!I$1227","v":3.3},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!J$1227","v":1.5},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!K$1227","v":1},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!L$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!M$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!N$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!O$1227","v":0.5}]
["SC3_Rebuilding",null,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!G$1227","v":-5.2056557471082767},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!H$1227","v":5},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!I$1227","v":3.3},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!J$1227","v":1.5},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!K$1227","v":1},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!L$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!M$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!N$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!O$1227","v":0.5}]
["SC4_Faster_Rebuild",null,{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!G$1227","v":-5.2056557471082767},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!H$1227","v":5},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!I$1227","v":3.3},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!J$1227","v":1.5},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!K$1227","v":1},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!L$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!M$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!N$1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild!O$1227","v":0.5}]
["SC_mp My Policy"]
["SC_mp My Policy"]
["SC_mp My Policy","manual",-5.2,5,3,3,3,3,3,3,3]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"A54","v":"1: copy your choice to SC_mp"},null,null,null,null,null,null,"Your experiment will be built by modifying scenario",{"$f":"$E$7","v":"SC1_BAU"}]
["2: select the scenarios you want to see on the comparison tab"]
["3: view the results on tab <Comparisons>",null,null,null,1,1,1,1,1]
[null,null,null,null,true,true,1,true,true]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Comparisons!$F25","v":0},{"$f":"Comparisons!$F26","v":0},{"$f":"Comparisons!$F27","v":0},{"$f":"Comparisons!$F28","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Parameter sensitivity"]
["You can also vary certain parameters up / down by a certain percentage."]
["Select the scenario, then the parameter, then the percentage. Finally, view the result on tab ParaSens."]
["If you want to change a variable not offered on this tab, contact us to add the variable you want to examine to this dashboard."]
["Available Scenarios",1,"SC-1 BAU",null,null,"Available variables",1,"Future Oil & Gas prices"]
[null,2,{"$f":"A14","v":"SC2_Harvest"},null,null,null,2,"Future Elec price in UK/EU"]
[null,3,{"$f":"A15","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"},null,null,null,3,"Future EU ETS price"]
[null,4,{"$f":"A16","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"},null,null,null,4,"Future Real RoI on Oil fund"]
[null,5,{"$f":"A17","v":"SC My Policy"}]
[null,"Which Scenario do you want to examine? ",3,{"$f":"CHOOSE(C88,C83,C84,C85,C86,C87)","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"}]
[null,"Which variable do want to vary? ",1,{"$f":"CHOOSE(C89,H83,H84,H85,H86)","v":"Future Oil & Gas prices"}]
[null,{"$f":"IF(param=4,\"Enter the percentage point up and down from base\",\"Enter the percentage up and down from base\")","v":"Enter the percentage up and down from base"},40,{"$f":"IF(param=4,\"percentage point\",\"pct\")","v":"pct"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,"Excel does a lot of work "]
[null,null,null,null,null,"in the background for this operation"]
[null,null,null,null,null,"please be patient."]
[null,null,null,null,null,"See more graphs on tab <paraplot>"]

{"sheet":"SC_mp","index":7,"n_rows":1730,"n_cols":95,"rows_kept":1730,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[141,15,141,19],[142,15,142,19],[145,13,145,19]]}
["Scenario: My Policy, being built on ",null,"SC-1",null,"2021-08-09"]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801354,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471808,3.2485285330564553,3.2007432171070804,3.1689940711032158,3.1385759817249954,3.109448458137265,3.0815733532531921,3.0549147448410596,3.0580362901188631,3.0615060791661119,3.0653244170150025,3.0694917169117759,3.0740085018061394,3.078875405920801,3.084093176404044,3.0896626750684297,3.0955848802188393,3.1018608885732712,3.0988103899821757,3.0959885519272099,3.0933925231886374,3.0910194960144701,3.0888667055843446,3.0869314294803996,3.0852109871650688,3.0837027394656871,3.0824040880658714,3.0813124750035725,3.0804253821757452,3.0797403308495488,3.0792548811800118,3.0789666317340934,3.0788732190210744,3.0789723170291881,3.0792616367684515,3.0797389258196159,3.0804019678891601,3.0812485823702831,3.081210403171045,3.0813424325013998,3.0816423761699689,3.0821079739227848,3.0827369990138758,3.0835272577812178,3.0844765892279984,3.0855828646091181,3.0868439870228821,3.0882578910078151]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,4.1145783660573869,3.9679071609619365,3.8421091137346854,3.7326146900171846,3.6357974586250386,3.5487866103214469,3.4728281024778007,3.4059776783272397,3.346671834289245,3.2936521380820345,3.2459046594338394,3.2083309855708442,3.1789660042898977,3.1562376868349187,3.13888849285029,3.1259124946414598,3.1165050768973281,3.1100226967986715,3.1059506924526232,3.1038775300058665,3.1034742017193473,3.1025414393719131,3.1012308618829723,3.0996631941441053,3.0979344545181782,3.0961209047314115,3.0942830096812091,3.0924686051779808,3.0907154320355219,3.0890531632415916,3.087505025593988,3.0860890969103396,3.0848193436981814,3.0837064511945473,3.0827584873024567,3.0819814336461802,3.0813796103227817,3.0809560156119158,3.0807125976534557,3.0806504717005967,3.0807700938345342,3.0808581557018364,3.0809550110617492,3.0810924840833933,3.0812955820512715,3.0815838654437924,3.0819725439112773,3.0824733529746213,3.0830952553015205,3.083845001645793,3.0847275795181974]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A91","v":"Exploration "},{"$f":"F91","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"U90*(1+$E$86/100)","v":27.093082849760762},26.280290364267938,25.491881653339899,24.7271252037397,23.98531144762751,23.265752104198683,22.567779541072721,21.890746154840539,21.234023770195321,20.597003057089463,19.979092965376779,19.379720176415475,18.798328571123012,18.234378713989322,17.687347352569642,17.156726931992551,16.642025124032774,16.142764370311792,15.658481439202438,15.188726996026364,14.733065186145573,14.291073230561206,13.86234103364437,13.446470802635039,13.043076678555988,12.651784378199308,12.272230846853327,11.904063921447728,11.546942003804295,11.200533743690166,10.864517731379459,10.538582199438075,10.222424733454933,9.9157519914512839,9.6182794317077445,9.3297310487565124,9.049839117293816,8.7783439437750008,8.5149936254617504,8.2595438166978976,8.0117575021969607,7.7714047771310515,7.5382626338171201,7.3121147548026064,7.0927513121585282,6.8799687727937719,6.6735697096099589,6.4733626183216604,6.2791617397720101,6.09078688757885,5.9080632809514846]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T94","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"(U98/U100)*$E$85","v":41.228435630337565},{"$f":"(V98/V100)*$E$85","v":40.422414228689803},39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,34.647783624591256,33.204125973566626,31.760468322541989,30.316810671517352,28.873153020492715,27.429495369468079,25.985837718443445,24.542180067418808,23.098522416394172,21.654864765369538,20.211207114344901,18.767549463320265,17.323891812295628,15.880234161270995,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357,1.4436576510246357]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":35.947075510513436}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,27.568456023582719,26.948165763052113,26.292036509690842,25.598882819889905,24.867486167893048,24.096594096688367,23.284919348168337,22.431138972068833,21.533893413186082,20.591785576359193,19.603379868693949,18.567201218491554,17.481734070333591,16.345421355761907,15.156663438979221,13.913817036982925,12.615194113531185,11.259060746326583,9.8436359667883853,8.3670905717701274,7.1689232018926443,5.9194823009913549,4.617196194773256,3.2604508513860382,1.8475888157854219,1.8845405921011302,1.9222314039431532,1.9606760320220162,1.9998895526624565,2.0398873437157059,2.0806850905900198,2.1222987924018204,2.1647447682498564,2.208039663614854,2.252200456887151,2.2972444660248938,2.343189355345392,2.3900531424522997,2.4378542053013454,2.4866112894073726,2.53634351519552,2.5870703854994304,2.6388117932094186,2.6915880290736074,2.7454197896550792]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3901.770692272783,3729.7627448033481,3562.4156014564551,3401.6262998672414,3249.0201101331991,3105.9229792373631,2971.272935511216,2843.9135284894896,2722.8264315375727,2607.1339369378061,2496.0797535880574,2389.2020445671105,2286.1039020302364,2186.4269415018002,2089.8455496150077,1996.0635047421219,1904.7959801809689,1815.7823218716223,1728.7850969972674,1643.5879896771362,1560.28251104366,1478.759923643644,1398.9258394367685,1320.6923501576189,1243.97682627425,1169.8563470682375,1098.7025867529642,1030.8610482000643,966.60396333338656,906.12663239940844,849.55004181639822,796.92570035383596,748.24197475023595,703.43154016004655,662.37958447808296,624.93240929896808,591.42972867650565,562.1235773429562,537.08905321031568,516.22748341181807,499.29493308607374,485.94056959753721,475.74818237046685,468.27605923817481,463.09144266843833]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G140+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M140+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N140+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D131","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V140+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,65.475083056008955,63.269606574122349,60.949720999737863,58.511732159748348,55.951843877759359,55.041693884014485,54.072757152968691,53.04304627512748,51.950517859311425,50.793071088352676,50.688739374765788,50.559917164200073,50.405666569461857,50.225021984068398,50.016989348631427,48.543761662362648,46.991598072903663,45.357930435201375,43.640119452761851,41.835452858850637,40.282520848730108,38.650737377061205,36.937569558186055,35.140414731605084,33.256598684137593,32.414098184139441,31.524595024667708,30.586546099543451,29.598365379404356,28.558422812019884,27.465043195788265,26.316505025782568,25.111039311698335,23.846828367040427,22.522004568871509,21.823822427236493,21.088704198108527,20.315451710844549,19.502833642410764,18.649584670555296,17.754404606368642,16.815957505746294,15.832870759256512,14.80373415990484,13.727098948275396]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V202+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)","3 | 3",{"$f":"U192/U196","v":7.8056168577013061},8.0057337133581044,8.2023051610458371,8.395174409142621,8.5842033054272147,8.7692716751831554,8.9502766023874702,9.1271316658470134,9.2997661412008661,9.4681241787512,9.6321639661336942,9.7918568839053961,9.9471866612237498,10.098148537923903,10.244748438479103,10.387002162555433,10.524934596150791,10.658578946640622,10.787976004439972,10.913173433433014,11.034225091815927,11.151190384545455,11.264133648181263,11.373123568553194,11.478232631371341,11.579536605625366,11.677114059385808,11.771045907421977,11.86141498988488,11.948305681166712,12.031803527938004,12.111994915276542,12.188966759736507,12.262806228159079,12.333600480994896,12.401436438892423,12.466400571302014,12.528578705851999,12.588055857268481,12.64491607463359,12.69924230580606,12.751116277862254,12.800618392454119,12.84782763502178,12.892821496842256,12.935675908940988,12.976465186939045,13.015261985955641,13.052137264732156,13.08716025819019,13.120398457681723,13.1519175982341]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,34,33,32,31,30,30,30,30,30,30,30,30,29.999999999999996,30,30,31,32,33,34,35,35,35,35,35,35,34.5,34,33.5,33,32.5,32,31.5,31,30.500000000000004,30,27.5,25.000000000000004,22.5,20,17.5,15,12.5,10,7.5,5]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Brownfield dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U216","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V216*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":51},48.898800000000001,46.693152000000005,44.379718560000001,41.9550705216,39.415684674240005,39.055312700075518,38.664759573074768,38.242962195913954,37.788827019837477,37.301229251839572,38.047253836876372,38.808198913613893,39.58436289188618,40.376050149723902,41.183571152718386,42.00724257577275,42.847387427288204,43.704335175833975,44.578421879350657,45.469990316937661,47.925369794052301,50.460776454124741,53.07842923268246,55.780603811800852,58.569634002390892,59.741026682438701,60.935847216087481,62.15456416040923,63.397655443617417,64.665608552489772,65.016650427488997,65.355867734067203,65.682647072737538,65.996355237861067,66.296338670760449,66.581922898880634,66.852411960657349,67.107087815745544,67.345209740253054,67.566013706614527,63.17422281568458,58.579733883634809,53.776195705176747,48.757084106026909,43.515697564629022,38.045152727932802,32.338379818742879,26.388117932094186,20.186910218052056,13.727098948275396]
[]
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[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G232+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M232+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N232+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D230","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V232+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A234","v":"Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"},{"$f":"E234*(1+$E$230/100)","v":9.6960000000000015},{"$f":"U233*(1+$E$230/100)","v":9.7929600000000008},{"$f":"V233*(1+$E$230/100)","v":9.8908896000000013},9.9897984960000006,10.089696480960001,10.190593445769601,10.292499380227296,10.395424374029568,10.499378617769864,10.604372403947563,10.710416127987038,10.817520289266909,10.925695492159578,11.034952447081174,11.145301971551985,11.256754991267506,11.369322541180182,11.483015766591985,11.597845924257905,11.713824383500484,11.830962627335488,11.949272253608843,12.068764976144932,12.189452625906382,12.311347152165446,12.4344606236871,12.558805229923971,12.68439328222321,12.811237215045443,12.939349587195897,13.068743083067856,13.199430513898534,13.331424819037519,13.464739067227894,13.599386457900174,13.735380322479175,13.872734125703968,14.011461466961007,14.151576081630617,14.293091842446923,14.436022760871392,14.580382988480107,14.726186818364909,14.873448686548558,15.022183173414044,15.172405005148185,15.324129055199668,15.477370345751664,15.632144049209181,15.788465489701274,15.946350144598286,16.105813646044268]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V238+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},3.4214144635100125,3.3812223405801354,3.3389169248256807,3.2946369951471808,3.2485285330564553,3.2007432171070804,3.1689940711032158,3.1385759817249954,3.109448458137265,3.0815733532531921,3.0549147448410596,3.0580362901188631,3.0615060791661119,3.0653244170150025,3.0694917169117759,3.0740085018061394,3.078875405920801,3.084093176404044,3.0896626750684297,3.0955848802188393,3.1018608885732712,3.0988103899821757,3.0959885519272099,3.0933925231886374,3.0910194960144701,3.0888667055843446,3.0869314294803996,3.0852109871650688,3.0837027394656871,3.0824040880658714,3.0813124750035725,3.0804253821757452,3.0797403308495488,3.0792548811800118,3.0789666317340934,3.0788732190210744,3.0789723170291881,3.0792616367684515,3.0797389258196159,3.0804019678891601,3.0812485823702831,3.081210403171045,3.0813424325013998,3.0816423761699689,3.0821079739227848,3.0827369990138758,3.0835272577812178,3.0844765892279984,3.0855828646091181,3.0868439870228821]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},4.0835421119661639,3.9430781576889582,3.8222459111163025,3.7167241279224781,3.6230850089492734,3.5386166505808347,3.4646921346853108,3.3994689040932475,3.3414648149020509,3.2894865225722794,3.2425721670260352,3.2056649916446007,3.1768332091489029,3.1545314507221227,3.1375235039600535,3.1248205035292709,3.1156314840075767,3.10932382248687,3.1053915930031821,3.1034302504463134,3.103116378071705,3.102255180453799,3.101001854748481,3.0994799884365123,3.0977878899521039,3.0960036530785522,3.0941892083589217,3.092393564120151,3.090655399189258,3.0890051369645808,3.0874666045723793,3.0860583600930527,3.0847947542443519,3.083686779631484,3.0827427500520059,3.0819688438458197,3.0813695384824933,3.080947958139685,3.0807061516756713,3.0806453149183692,3.0807659684087518,3.0808548553612103,3.0809523707892481,3.0810903718653924,3.0812938922768707,3.0815825136242716,3.0819714624556607,3.0824724878101284,3.0830945631699262,3.0838444479405176]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,205.21207344300123,199.10761166943507,191.10611226073127,181.47934275453508,170.52662626530406,160.63588144459038,151.90158708914541,144.18561936831111,137.34735936513619,131.26539046409346,125.64525848426752,120.42203434916981,115.55719468970698,111.01796839703849,106.77496373210772,102.81678576935016,99.119261866518912,95.659170780502848,92.415395575254323,89.368840767779631,86.431023413499531,83.587594099539544,80.83207305099387,78.159181534393284,75.564136857037042,72.597417966297826,69.285196203924372,65.700742517702224,61.920988585002746,58.020248234034824,54.0679991135869,50.127383254624633,46.254092241213989,42.495613332988249,38.890832830139487,34.946338273487122,30.749808984574141,26.478181783665114,22.305227449522206,18.376207976768985,14.798021139561163,11.636044878094975,8.915780783316686]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,201,201,201,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,97,97]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV GL (2020a)",210,210,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,210,210,210,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,140,140]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Ministry Finance (2021)",214,214,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,217,217,217,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,83,83]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",175,175,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,110,110,110,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,60,60]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
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["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
["Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed",1,{"$f":"IF(B373=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"B366","v":12},{"$f":"E373","v":12},{"$f":"F373","v":12},12,12,12,12,12,12,{"$f":"M373","v":12},{"$f":"N373","v":12},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A374","v":"Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr))"},{"$f":"E374*(1+$E$370/100)","v":0.7034999999999999},{"$f":"U373*(1+$E$370/100)","v":0.70701749999999985},{"$f":"V373*(1+$E$370/100)","v":0.71055258749999983},0.71410535043749979,0.71767587718968717,0.72126425657563553,0.72487057785851361,0.72849493074780614,0.73213740540154504,0.73579809242855265,0.73947708289069536,0.74317446830514877,0.74689034064667448,0.75062479234990775,0.75437791631165718,0.75814980589321534,0.76194055492268131,0.76575025769729466,0.76957900898578102,0.77342690403070979,0.77729403855086321,0.78118050874361744,0.78508641128733547,0.78901184334377206,0.79295690256049078,0.79692168707329314,0.80090629550865955,0.80491082698620275,0.80893538112113372,0.81298005802673934,0.81704495831687296,0.8211301831084572,0.82523583402399936,0.82936201319411929,0.83350882326008979,0.83767636737639017,0.84186474921327203,0.84607407295933834,0.85030444332413491,0.85455596554075552,0.85882874536845921,0.86312288909530144,0.86743850354077789,0.87177569605848171,0.87613457453877397,0.88051524741146769,0.88491782364852489,0.8893424127667674,0.89378912483060113,0.89825807045475403,0.90274936080702772,0.90726310761106277]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2019,2020,{"$f":"V375+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V379+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
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["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Production costs"]
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[]
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[]
[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC_mp"}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,56.057294941236869,53.953547786225279,51.370008585830597,48.391064372461194,45.105873019417466,42.148912122496249,39.537484685711654,37.228161453507269,35.178139891683756,33.350757948756545,31.666822947803571,30.106984957433376,28.659011862288686,27.312434558502108,26.057904426012296,24.890693290425766,23.803123272787719,22.787958220350259,21.838662949836849,20.949359983151851,20.098201982845037,19.281121542401582,18.495969489428678,17.740926733149681,17.014333510744645,16.215237212749329,15.351312021094497,14.440367359614179,13.500466062205847,12.548545183386507,11.599973854023077,10.668286313032704,9.7650103230178615,8.899581046965702,8.0793350803781916,7.2016658961648199,6.2860326354139113,5.3693941425302461,4.486903172350301,3.6668982138639645,2.9292033154172858,2.2848314987307834,1.7366451492680681,1.280722647810788]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.680055491511027,64.479484010126569,62.619753821210274,60.168206196590042,57.205153343456317,54.524112188075549,52.168871387720081,50.104203794294257,48.292047574981304,46.699112641309917,45.228021047862676,43.860192057115327,42.585784048080662,41.396537830236149,40.284990505635854,39.250115934886161,38.28583012580242,37.386060857918473,36.545214173529097,35.75817924952824,34.99145615270605,34.24027731405279,33.502888593898845,32.777937813835955,32.064202148544815,31.169438192734404,30.098949539851436,28.879139819100338,27.53942985455712,26.109570871667511,24.618610502285865,23.094116982329094,21.561530108831935,20.043640500080382,18.560207802559592,16.874866868647338,15.023952053828729,13.089800090287772,11.157184082844013,9.3005135056159016,7.5780551504228075,6.0292403043471419,4.6743332945186804,3.5161213023591897]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-0.5},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.954570347727819E-2},6.91979749598918E-2,6.885198508509234E-2,6.8507725159666882E-2,6.8165186533868549E-2,6.7824360601199202E-2,6.7485238798193209E-2,6.7147812604202245E-2,6.6812073541181238E-2,6.6478013173475334E-2,6.6145623107607951E-2,6.5814894992069911E-2,6.5485820517109564E-2,6.5158391414524022E-2,6.4832599457451401E-2,6.4508436460164145E-2,{"$f":"AO608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.4185894277863323E-2},6.3864964806474009E-2,6.3545639982441643E-2,6.3227911782529428E-2,6.2911772223616783E-2,6.2597213362498696E-2,6.2284227295686202E-2,6.197280615920777E-2,6.1662942128411731E-2,6.1354627417769675E-2,6.1047854280680824E-2,6.0742615009277419E-2,6.0438901934231029E-2,6.0136707424559871E-2,5.983602388743707E-2,5.9536843767999885E-2,{"$f":"BE608*(1+$W608/100)","v":5.9239159549159884E-2},5.8942963751414085E-2,5.8648248932657014E-2,5.8355007687993732E-2,5.8063232649553764E-2,5.7772916486305996E-2,5.7484051903874463E-2,5.7196631644355088E-2,5.6910648486133315E-2,5.662609524370265E-2,5.6342964767484134E-2,5.606124994364671E-2,5.5780943693928477E-2,5.5502038975458835E-2,5.5224528780581539E-2,5.4948406136678632E-2,{"$f":"BU608*(1+$W608/100)","v":5.4673664105995237E-2},5.4400295785465264E-2]
[null,null,null,null,2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A621,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price EU (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F609","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price EU (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E609","v":2},{"$f":"hist!AS358","v":240.36454824157227},{"$f":"hist!AT358","v":255.64436043750706},{"$f":"hist!AU358","v":517.52605000000005},527.87657100000001,538.43410242000004,549.20278446840007,560.18684015776807,571.39057696092345,582.81838850014196,594.47475627014478,606.36425139554774,618.49153642345868,630.86136715192788,643.4785944949665,656.34816638486586,669.47512971256322,682.86463230681454,696.52192495295083,710.45236345200988,724.66141072105006,739.1546389354711,753.93773171418059,769.01648634846424,784.39681607543355,800.08475239694224,816.08644744488106,832.40817639377872,849.05633992165428,866.03746672008742,883.35821605448916,901.02538037557895,919.04588798309055,937.42680574275244,956.17534185760746,975.29884869475961,994.80482566865487,1014.700922182028,1034.9949406256685,1055.6948394381818,1076.8087362269455,1098.3449109514845,1120.3118091705142,1142.7180453539245,1165.5724062610029,1188.883854386223,1212.6615314739474,1236.9147621034265,1261.653057345495,1286.8861184924049,1312.623840862253,1338.876317679498,1365.653844033088]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A622,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F610","v":"pct/yr - Carbon offset price Norwegian tax (2018-NOK/tCO2): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E610","v":1},{"$f":"F616","v":593.30572471216055},{"$f":"X610*(1+$W610/100)","v":599.23878195928216},{"$f":"Y610*(1+$W610/100)","v":605.23116977887503},611.28348147666384,617.39631629143048,623.57027945434481,629.80598224888831,636.10404207137719,642.46508249209091,648.88973331701186,655.378630650182,661.93241695668382,668.5517411262507,675.23725853751318,681.98963112288834,688.80952743411729,695.69762270845843,702.65459893554305,709.68114492489849,716.77795637414749,723.94573593788903,731.18519329726792,738.49704523024059,745.88201568254306,753.34083583936854,760.87424419776221,768.48298663973981,776.16781650613723,783.92949467119865,791.76878961791067,799.6864775140898,807.68334228923072,815.76017571212299,823.91777746924424,832.15695524393664,840.47852479637606,848.88331004433985,857.37214314478331,865.9458645762312,874.60532322199356,883.35137645421355,892.18489021875564,901.10673912094319,910.11780651215258,919.21898457727411,928.41117442304687,937.69528616727735,947.07223902895009,956.54296141923965,966.1083910334321,975.76947494376645,985.52716969320409]
[null,null,null,null,1.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A623,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/EUR): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F611","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/EUR): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E611","v":1.2},{"$f":"F617","v":9.8510860000000005},{"$f":"G617","v":10.722785},{"$f":"Y611*(1+$W611/100)","v":10.85145842},10.981675921040001,11.113456032092481,11.24681750447759,11.381779314531322,11.518360666305698,11.656580994301367,11.796459966232984,11.93801748582778,12.081273695657714,12.226248980005607,12.372963967765674,12.521439535378862,12.671696809803409,12.82375717152105,12.977642257579303,13.133373964670255,13.290974452246299,13.450466145673255,13.611871739421334,13.775214200294389,13.940516770697922,14.107802971946297,14.277096607609653,14.448421766900969,14.621802828103782,14.797264462041028,14.97483163558552,15.154529615212546,15.336383970595097,15.520420578242238,15.706665625181145,15.895145612683319,16.085887360035517,16.278918008355944,16.474265024456216,16.671956204749691,16.872019679206687,17.074483915357167,17.279377722341454,17.486730255009551,17.696571018069665,17.908929870286503,18.123837028729941,18.341323073074701,18.561418949951598,18.784155977351016,19.00956584907923,19.237680639268181,19.4685328069394]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A624,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/USD): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F612","v":"pct/yr - Exchange rate (NOK/USD): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E612","v":0.2},{"$f":"F618","v":8.802308},{"$f":"X612*(1+$W612/100)","v":8.8199126159999999},{"$f":"Y612*(1+$W612/100)","v":8.837552441231999},8.8552275461144632,8.872938001206693,8.8906838772091064,8.9084652449635247,8.9262821754534514,8.9441347398043582,8.9620230092839677,8.9799470553025351,8.9979069494131405,9.015902763311967,9.0339345688385908,9.0520024379762685,9.0701064428522216,9.088246655737926,9.1064231490494016,9.1246359953475,9.1428852673381957,9.1611710378728723,9.1794933799486174,9.1978523667085152,9.2162480714419317,9.2346805675848156,9.253149928719985,9.2716562285774256,9.2901995410345801,9.3087799401166489,9.3273974999968825,9.346052294996877,9.3647443995868702,9.3834738883860442,9.4022408361628163,9.4210453178351425,9.4398874084708133,9.4587671832877547,9.4776847176543306,9.4966400870896397,9.5156333672638187,9.5346646339983465,9.5537339632663425,9.5728414311928756,9.5919871140552608,9.6111710882833705,9.6303934304599377,9.6496542173208582,9.6689535257554997,9.6882914328070111,9.7076680156726258,9.7270833517039712,9.7465375184073793]
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[]
[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44652685492725275,0.44067221822876107,0.4349954588282347,0.42949089176887117,0.42415312360640361,0.42293211954896659,0.42172587486927948,0.42053445478835,0.41935792689040269,0.41819636119432796,0.4170498302275929,0.41591840910271216,0.41480217559639165,0.41370121023145501,0.4126155963616745,0.41026364494010287,0.40792269936419651,0.40559274087302277,0.40327375042607899,0.40096570870560633,0.39866859611892841,0.39638239280081311,0.39410707861585598,0.39184263316088713,0.38958903576739856,0.38734626550399193,0.38511430117884815,0.38289312134221565,0.38068270428891676,0.37848302806087558,0.37629407044966051,0.3741158089990464,0.37194822100759289,0.36979128353123841,0.3676449733859109,0.36538283023082369,0.36313176264951613,0.36089175012566882,0.35866277183884221,0.35644480666719364,0.35423783319022095,0.35204182969152947,0.34985677416162181,0.34768264430071316,0.34551941752156612]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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[]
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["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2081]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",1.5]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A785","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E779*(1+$E$780/100)","v":24.375},{"$f":"U784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":23.765625},{"$f":"V784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":23.171484374999999},{"$f":"W784*(1+$E$780/100)","v":22.592197265625},22.027392333984373,21.476707525634765,20.939789837493894,20.416295091556545,19.905887714267632,19.408240521410942,18.923034508375668,18.449958645666275,17.988709679524618,17.538991937536501,17.100517139098088,16.673004210620636,16.25617910535512,15.849774627721242,15.453530262028211,15.067192005477505,14.690512205340568,14.323249400207054,13.965168165201877,13.61603896107183,13.275637987045034,12.943747037368908,12.620153361434685,12.304649527398817,11.997033289213848,11.697107456983501,11.404679770558912,11.11956277629494,10.841573706887566,10.570534364215376,10.306271005109991,10.048614229982242,9.7973988742326856,9.5524639023768678,9.3136523048174453,9.080810997197009,8.8537907222670835,8.6324459542104055,8.4166348053551445,8.2062189352212656,8.001063461840733,7.8010368752947148,7.6060109534123468,7.4158606795770377,7.2304641625876114,7.0497025585229212,6.8734599945598482,6.7016234946958519]
["Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B785=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E779","v":25},{"$f":"E785","v":25},{"$f":"F785","v":25},25,25,25,25,25,25,25,25,null,null,null,null,"GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"IF(U783<$E$777,0,IF(U783=$E$777,U784*$E778,T785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V783<$E$777,0,IF(V783=$E$777,V784*$E778,U785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(W783<$E$777,0,IF(W783=$E$777,W784*$E778,V785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(X783<$E$777,0,IF(X783=$E$777,X784*$E778,W785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(AB783<$E$777,0,IF(AB783=$E$777,AB784*$E778,AA785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},{"$f":"IF(AC783<$E$777,0,IF(AC783=$E$777,AC784*$E778,AB785*(1+$E$781/100)))","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T791,SEARCH(\" (\",T791)), \" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual GO planning and constructing spending  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)*(1+(SC_mp!S1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)*(1+(SC_mp!T1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,W785,W791)*(1+(SC_mp!U1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,X785,X791)*(1+(SC_mp!V1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Y785,Y791)*(1+(SC_mp!W1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Z785,Z791)*(1+(SC_mp!X1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AA785,AA791)*(1+(SC_mp!Y1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)*(1+(SC_mp!Z1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AC785,AC791)*(1+(SC_mp!AA1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AD785,AD791)*(1+(SC_mp!AB1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AE785,AE791)*(1+(SC_mp!AC1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AF785,AF791)*(1+(SC_mp!AD1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AG785,AG791)*(1+(SC_mp!AE1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AH785,AH791)*(1+(SC_mp!AF1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AI785,AI791)*(1+(SC_mp!AG1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AJ785,AJ791)*(1+(SC_mp!AH1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AK785,AK791)*(1+(SC_mp!AI1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AL785,AL791)*(1+(SC_mp!AJ1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AM785,AM791)*(1+(SC_mp!AK1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AN785,AN791)*(1+(SC_mp!AL1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AO785,AO791)*(1+(SC_mp!AM1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AP785,AP791)*(1+(SC_mp!AN1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AQ785,AQ791)*(1+(SC_mp!AO1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AR785,AR791)*(1+(SC_mp!AP1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AS785,AS791)*(1+(SC_mp!AQ1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AT785,AT791)*(1+(SC_mp!AR1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AU785,AU791)*(1+(SC_mp!AS1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AV785,AV791)*(1+(SC_mp!AT1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AW785,AW791)*(1+(SC_mp!AU1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AX785,AX791)*(1+(SC_mp!AV1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AY785,AY791)*(1+(SC_mp!AW1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AZ785,AZ791)*(1+(SC_mp!AX1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BA785,BA791)*(1+(SC_mp!AY1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BB785,BB791)*(1+(SC_mp!AZ1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BC785,BC791)*(1+(SC_mp!BA1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BD785,BD791)*(1+(SC_mp!BB1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BE785,BE791)*(1+(SC_mp!BC1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BF785,BF791)*(1+(SC_mp!BD1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BG785,BG791)*(1+(SC_mp!BE1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BH785,BH791)*(1+(SC_mp!BF1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+(SC_mp!BG1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+(SC_mp!BH1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+(SC_mp!BI1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+(SC_mp!BJ1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+(SC_mp!BK1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+(SC_mp!BL1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+(SC_mp!BM1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+(SC_mp!BN1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+(SC_mp!BO1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+(SC_mp!BP1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+(SC_mp!BQ1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+(SC_mp!BR1244-SC_mp!$S1244)/SC_mp!$S1244)","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"E849*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.98},{"$f":"U848*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.9601000000000002},3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T848","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"F849","v":4},{"$f":"G849","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$V850+(($AA850-$V850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"H849","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AA850+(($AF850-$AA850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"I849","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AF850+(($AK850-$AF850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"J849","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AK850+(($AP850-$AK850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"K849","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AP850+(($AU850-$AP850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"L849","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AU850+(($AZ850-$AU850)/5)*4","v":4},{"$f":"M849","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$AZ850+(($BJ850-$AZ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"N849","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*1","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*2","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*3","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*4","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*5","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*6","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*7","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*8","v":4},{"$f":"$BJ850+(($BT850-$BJ850)/10)*9","v":4},{"$f":"O849","v":4}]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T855,SEARCH(\"(\",T855)),\" Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal ( Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U855*(1+(SC_mp!T$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"V855*(1+(SC_mp!T$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"W855*(1+(SC_mp!U$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"X855*(1+(SC_mp!V$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Y855*(1+(SC_mp!W$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Z855*(1+(SC_mp!X$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AA855*(1+(SC_mp!Y$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AB855*(1+(SC_mp!Z$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AC855*(1+(SC_mp!AA$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AD855*(1+(SC_mp!AB$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AE855*(1+(SC_mp!AC$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AF855*(1+(SC_mp!AD$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AG855*(1+(SC_mp!AE$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AH855*(1+(SC_mp!AF$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AI855*(1+(SC_mp!AG$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AJ855*(1+(SC_mp!AH$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AK855*(1+(SC_mp!AI$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AL855*(1+(SC_mp!AJ$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AM855*(1+(SC_mp!AK$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AN855*(1+(SC_mp!AL$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AO855*(1+(SC_mp!AM$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AP855*(1+(SC_mp!AN$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AQ855*(1+(SC_mp!AO$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AR855*(1+(SC_mp!AP$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AS855*(1+(SC_mp!AQ$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AT855*(1+(SC_mp!AR$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AU855*(1+(SC_mp!AS$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AV855*(1+(SC_mp!AT$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AW855*(1+(SC_mp!AU$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AX855*(1+(SC_mp!AV$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AY855*(1+(SC_mp!AW$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AZ855*(1+(SC_mp!AX$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BA855*(1+(SC_mp!AY$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BB855*(1+(SC_mp!AZ$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BC855*(1+(SC_mp!BA$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BD855*(1+(SC_mp!BB$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BE855*(1+(SC_mp!BC$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BF855*(1+(SC_mp!BD$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BG855*(1+(SC_mp!BE$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BH855*(1+(SC_mp!BF$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BI855*(1+(SC_mp!BG$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BJ855*(1+(SC_mp!BH$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BK855*(1+(SC_mp!BI$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BL855*(1+(SC_mp!BJ$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BM855*(1+(SC_mp!BK$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BN855*(1+(SC_mp!BL$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BO855*(1+(SC_mp!BM$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BP855*(1+(SC_mp!BN$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BQ855*(1+(SC_mp!BO$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BR855*(1+(SC_mp!BP$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BS855*(1+(SC_mp!BQ$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"BT855*(1+(SC_mp!BR$1244-SC_mp!$S$1244)/SC_mp!$S$1244)","v":0}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"SC_mp"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC_mp"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,{"$f":"AN937*(1+$W937/100)","v":119.16520877176099},115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,{"$f":"BD937*(1+$W937/100)","v":73.197664853697844},71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,{"$f":"BT937*(1+$W937/100)","v":44.961933061321098},43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},11640,11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,4391.8598912218686,4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A950,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F940","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO decommissioning p/(GW/yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E940","v":-1},{"$f":"F945","v":80},{"$f":"X940*(1+$W940/100)","v":79.2},78.408000000000001,77.623919999999998,76.847680799999992,76.079203991999989,75.318411952079984,74.565227832559188,73.819575554233595,73.081379798691259,72.350566000704347,71.627060340697298,70.91078973729033,70.201681839917427,69.499665021518254,68.804668371303066,68.11662168759004,{"$f":"AN940*(1+$W940/100)","v":67.435455470714146},66.76110091600701,66.093489906846941,65.432555007778475,64.778229457700689,64.130447163123677,63.489142691492439,62.854251264577513,62.225708751931741,61.603451664412425,60.987417147768298,60.377542976290613,59.773767546527708,59.176029871062433,58.584269572351808,57.998426876628287,{"$f":"BD940*(1+$W940/100)","v":57.418442607862005},56.844258181783381,56.275815599965547,55.713057443965894,55.155926869526233,54.604367600830969,54.058323924822659,53.517740685574431,52.982563278718686,52.452737645931499,51.928210269472181,51.408928166777457,50.894838885109685,50.38589049625859,49.882031591296006,49.383211275383047,{"$f":"BT940*(1+$W940/100)","v":48.889379162629218},48.400485371002922,47.916480517292889]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V947","v":"Labor intensity GO Shutdown&Removal  p/(GW/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$951=1,X941,X947)","v":700},693,686.07,679.2093000000001,672.41720700000008,665.69303493000007,659.03610458070011,652.44574353489315,645.9212860995442,639.46207323854878,633.06745250616325,626.73677798110157,620.46941020129054,614.26471609927762,608.12206893828488,602.04084824890208,596.02043976641301,590.06023536874886,584.15963301506133,578.31803668491068,572.53485631806154,566.80950775488088,561.14141267733203,555.52999855055873,549.97469856505313,544.47495157940261,539.03020206360861,533.6399000429725,528.30350104254273,523.02046603211727,517.79026137179608,512.61235875807813,507.48623517049737,502.41137281879242,497.38725909060446,492.41338649969839,487.48925263470142,482.61436010835439,477.78821650727082,473.01033434219812,468.28023099877612,463.59742868878834,458.96145440190043,454.37183985788141,449.82812145930257,445.32984024470954,440.87654184226244,436.46777642383984,432.10309865960141,427.78206767300537,423.5042469962753,419.26920452631254]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC_mp"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (\",C985,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Planning and Constructing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U799*X951/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (\",C986,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Decommissioning (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U823*X953/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (\",C987,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Shutdown&Removal (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U854*X954/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"SUM(AL985:AL987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"SC_mp"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
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["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1063","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"F1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"G1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"H1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"I1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"J1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"K1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"L1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"M1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"N1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"O1063","v":0.35}]
["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,1,"Green offshore wage level relative to O&G sector",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1065","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1066=1,X1062,X1065)","v":0.34825},0.34650874999999998,0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
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["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"SC_mp"}]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1058,\" (\",B1112,\")\")","v":"Green offshore operations (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"F1114-F1113","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1113,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"X1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1104,\" (\",B1114,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1112+E1113","v":0},{"$f":"X1069","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore OPEX (\",B1115,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036=0,\"\",SUM(E1114)/E1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,\"\",SUM(F1114)/F1036)","v":""},{"$f":"IF(G1036=0,0,G1114/G1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(N1036=0,0,N1114/N1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O1114/O1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(BE1036=0,\"\",BE1114/BE1036)","v":""}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore revenue (\",B1116,\")\")","v":"Green offshore revenue (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E1155","v":0},{"$f":"F1164","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees per GO OPEX (\",B1117,\")\")","v":"Employees per GO OPEX (p/2018-MNOK)"},"p/2018-MNOK",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(O1114=0,\"\",O990/O1114)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,59.2353845011461,59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR455","v":42.233249999999998},{"$f":"hist!AS455","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[{"$f":"hist!A455","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},2,{"$f":"IF(B1140=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"manual entries at 5 yr intervals"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1140+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1140","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},null,{"$f":"F1138","v":37.617973856209154},{"$f":"G1138","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$Y1141+(($AD1141-$Y1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"H1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AD1141+(($AI1141-$AD1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"I1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AI1141+(($AN1141-$AI1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"J1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AN1141+(($AS1141-$AN1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"K1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AS1141+(($AX1141-$AS1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"L1138","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$AX1141+(($BC1141-$AX1141)/5)*4","v":50},{"$f":"M1138","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*4","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*5","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*6","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*7","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*8","v":50},{"$f":"$BC1141+(($BM1141-$BC1141)/10)*9","v":50},{"$f":"N1138","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*1","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*2","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*3","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*4","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*5","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*6","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*7","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*8","v":50},{"$f":"$BM1141+(($BW1141-$BM1141)/10)*9","v":50},{"$f":"O1138","v":50}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1141","v":"Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1140=1,X1137,X1141)","v":37.617973856209154},50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50,50]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX (\",B1210,\")\")","v":"OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1115","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,""]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"CAPEX (\",B1211,\")\")","v":"CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O913","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"LCOE (\",B1212,\")\")","v":"LCOE (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1210+O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1210+P1211","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$error":"#VALUE!"}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Revenue (\",B1213,\")\")","v":"Revenue (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1165","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1214,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1213-O1210-O1211","v":0},{"$f":"P1213-P1210-P1211","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$error":"#VALUE!"}]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Profit (\",B1215,\")\")","v":"Profit (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1164-O911-O1114","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1239+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1239+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1239+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1233","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1232=1,S1233,S1226)","v":1.6909868685221172},-5.2056557471082767,-3.1645245976866212,-1.1233934482649657,0.91773770115668984,2.9588688505783454,5,4.66,4.32,3.98,3.6399999999999997,3.3,2.94,2.58,2.2199999999999998,1.8599999999999999,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1000000000000001,1,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,5168.0283591996267,5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1268+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1268+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1268+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",{"$f":"E1269","v":1.1499594536442725},{"$f":"F1269","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"G1269","v":1.0545855541260798},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*1","v":1.0636684433008639},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*2","v":1.0727513324756479},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*3","v":1.081834221650432},{"$f":"$T1268+(($Y1268-$T1268)/5)*4","v":1.090917110825216},{"$f":"H1269","v":1.1000000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*1","v":1.1200000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*2","v":1.1400000000000001},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*3","v":1.1599999999999999},{"$f":"$Y1268+(($AD1268-$Y1268)/5)*4","v":1.18},{"$f":"I1269","v":1.2},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*1","v":1.204},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*2","v":1.208},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*3","v":1.212},{"$f":"$AD1268+(($AI1268-$AD1268)/5)*4","v":1.216},{"$f":"J1269","v":1.22},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*1","v":1.226},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*2","v":1.232},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*3","v":1.238},{"$f":"$AI1268+(($AN1268-$AI1268)/5)*4","v":1.244},{"$f":"K1269","v":1.25},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*1","v":1.26},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*2","v":1.27},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*3","v":1.28},{"$f":"$AN1268+(($AS1268-$AN1268)/5)*4","v":1.29},{"$f":"L1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*1","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*2","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*3","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AS1268+(($AX1268-$AS1268)/5)*4","v":1.3},{"$f":"M1269","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*1","v":1.31},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*2","v":1.32},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*3","v":1.33},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*4","v":1.34},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*5","v":1.35},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*6","v":1.3599999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*7","v":1.3699999999999999},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*8","v":1.38},{"$f":"$AX1268+(($BH1268-$AX1268)/10)*9","v":1.39},{"$f":"N1269","v":1.4},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*1","v":1.4049999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*2","v":1.41},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*3","v":1.415},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*4","v":1.42},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*5","v":1.4249999999999998},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*6","v":1.43},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*7","v":1.4350000000000001},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*8","v":1.44},{"$f":"$BH1268+(($BR1268-$BH1268)/10)*9","v":1.4449999999999998},{"$f":"O1269","v":1.45}]
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[{"$f":"hist!A397","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1271=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1271=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\"f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1265,\" (1000 p)\")","v":"Mainland employment (1000 p)"}]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr -  : Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1302+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1302+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1302+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
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[]
[]
["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"SC_mp"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1318+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1318+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1318+10","v":2070},null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1318+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1318+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1324+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1324+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
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["GDP value created by Green Offshore",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"SC_mp"},2018,{"$f":"E1375+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1375+1","v":2056},{"$f":"AQ1375+1","v":2057},2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Green offshore investment spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"F909*$B$939/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore operations spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1105","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["'GDP' green offshore (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(E1377:E1380)","v":0},{"$f":"SUM(F1377:F1380)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"SUM(L1377:L1380)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["'GDP' green offshore (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1381*(100/S1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Norway",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"SC_mp"},1980,{"$f":"E1399+1","v":1981},1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,{"$f":"M1399+1","v":1989},1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,{"$f":"AP1399+1","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,{"$f":"BQ1399+1","v":2045},2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.713643390366158,54.03858815695795,55.221339561330169,56.250835213203388,57.117085999899516,57.818656935733735,58.339528985162261,58.669222886918384,58.801141407955114,58.732139781449369,58.614572205021474,58.442033069551755,58.215867265620034,57.937030877418707,57.606264681599988,57.225286923961093,56.793872510765155,56.312608340580006,55.782406785589458,55.204434659451032,54.629960455073885,54.062310364361906,53.501592644149504,52.947696786522066,52.400335337068974,51.865158343297068,51.334097803633348,50.80905829747298,50.290472415933415,49.777267686237266,49.267909885352331,48.761553305795019,48.258636589182061,47.760604755193626,47.26894277058669,46.774900582931032,46.284522424876812,45.799893054832935,45.32189340613877,44.848500698057073,44.377281445041923,43.908359482835237,43.444754205521988,42.989715533862764,42.543706924619201]
[]
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[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1490,\" WITH ONLY hist tech advance\")","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y) WITH ONLY hist tech advance"},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1491*$E1486","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1491*$E1486","v":8.9453022663314794},8.256358330516262,8.057221894808011,7.9987598020827697,8.0732230973431456,8.2821213456047413,8.6360470945074876,8.972284589985918,9.2852939867133415,9.5734677729262607,9.8356176463712099,10.070751563672157,10.276165074944899,10.462395345157818,10.627138903695537,10.767080398298082,10.879213986999218,10.988107342269101,11.091615840698083,11.188917857678849,11.279364264490118,11.36236867877394,11.437395387366402,11.504048104562312,11.561882117189892,11.610493139461644,11.649523569608647,11.690125312881817,11.731853218033223,11.774615117682261,11.81835924967986,11.863041444664066,11.908621528127751,11.952988624837035,11.996286826328259,12.03887137273397,12.081104767984268,12.123328623884143,12.165854749142426,12.208959705789869,12.252881188719277,12.297816041656446,12.34391982564779,12.389003173111384,12.433461149360708,12.478070748799574,12.523582117861515,12.57061051578305,12.61959738870612,12.670800737578508,12.724305832402983]
["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.0123460652255236,7.7026838420069765,7.5329482942609172,7.489880142237328,7.5692889779486805,7.7752449773949603,7.9577025669009327,8.1127091008926708,8.2399600742058663,8.3395582781741542,8.3280999912530884,8.2881529790460071,8.2300116719941592,8.1532041981351071,8.0566139912357624,7.9395293285043369,7.8210087095570797,7.6997625694377456,7.5755337537367433,7.4482185645871573,7.317779258904749,7.1842295547389075,7.0476835088220744,6.9082314399269276,6.7659945862214697,6.6211249256781972,6.4801554228959066,6.3427196274349686,6.2086653475766056,6.0778693030371667,5.9502176949823022,5.8256037139280705,5.7029372049743818,5.5822793059907001,5.4637791135890623,5.3475720882825684,5.2337685459197676,5.1224520311648876,5.013679538304193,4.9074826335975059,4.8038692599895541,4.7028260725011366,4.6034648041263528,4.5059165317561884,4.410432527976111,4.3172275974915202,4.2264465913695686,4.1381587973180869,4.0523630975216598,3.968999347760672]
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[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2333886040772253},8.1272476516631755,8.0083877801827246,7.9046862525936454,7.8376067976646526,7.8251344336107138,7.8516480602687579,7.9038602683935402,7.971080229556005,8.0447758392796356,8.1014406696743269,8.1387831315486636,8.1570288396377624,8.1562639113372306,8.1363339273169366,8.096973007554416,8.0417801479549489,7.9733766322515081,7.8938080565485551,7.8046901581562755,7.7073079783059706,7.6026922935925576,7.491690536638461,7.3749987172961546,7.2531978910812178,7.1267832980006141,6.9974577229796724,6.8665101038707315,6.7349411526119063,6.6035267826969584,6.4610238340952844,6.3108688735968679,6.1555730866124945,5.9971374700088802,5.8371714683707729,5.6769679214025341,5.5175610265287736,5.3597726619329649,5.2042497461488626,5.0514945799672253,4.9018896768938429,4.755718252320583,4.61303088403786,4.4738758362106612,4.338319560231243,4.206435384736178,4.0782891654613858,3.9539274870669674,3.8333697251636845,3.7166041451225702]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
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[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,42.971989254964022,42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,0.6,"Future annual RoC, renewable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.326662990146076},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.748622968086949},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.173114705895472},71.600153394130842,72.029754314495634,72.461932840382602,72.896704437424901,73.334084664049456,73.774089172033754,74.216733707065956,74.662034109308351,75.110006313964206,75.560666351847985,76.014030349959071,76.47011453205883,76.928935219251187,77.390508830566688,77.854851883550083,78.321980994851387,78.79191288082049,79.264664358105421,79.74025234425406,80.218693858319583,80.700006021469505,81.184206057598317,81.671311293943901,82.161339161707559,82.654307196677806,83.150233039857866,83.649134438097008,84.151029244725592,84.655935420193941,85.163871032715107,85.674854258911395,86.188903384464865,86.706036804771657,87.226273025600292,87.749630663753891,88.276128447736411,88.805785218422827,89.338619929733369,89.874651649311772,90.41389955920765,90.956382956562891,91.502121254302267,92.051133981828087,92.603440785719059,93.159061430433368,93.718015799015973,94.280323893810063,94.846005837172925,95.415081872195969]
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["Mainland energy installations and el price",null,null,{"$f":"D1522","v":"SC_mp"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
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["accumulated 2020-2050",null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM('SC-1'!$V$331:$AZ$331)","v":5352.5910524253986},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$AD$1242","v":3829.3137377769276},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$AX$1242","v":5132.5894550720031},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BC$1401","v":4218.987065719678},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BW$1401","v":5279.4595544936356},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$AR$1652","v":10088},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BC$1652","v":16489.124881145897},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BW$1652","v":27205.405945053044},{"$f":"O11/'SC-1'!$S$1242","v":0.16657952476279911},{"$f":"P11/'SC-1'!$AD$1242","v":0.11732460662548634},{"$f":"Q11/'SC-1'!$AX$1242","v":4.9024104879897168E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!$AR$320","v":142.23610000000002},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BC$497","v":95.648111879353479},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BW$497","v":39.233022088812277}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(G11-E11)/E11","v":-0.56850810313360445}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"(G5-E5)/E5","v":-0.55707762557077622},null,null,null,null,null,null,"Export O&G",{"$f":"'SC-1'!$AR$736","v":500.23831286268575},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BC$736","v":449.27272793024878},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BW$736","v":251.62060375090414}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"OPEX O&G",{"$f":"'SC-1'!$AR$734","v":122.31054447697275},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BC$734","v":156.53742116261139},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BW$734","v":89.206037961389029}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CAPEX O& G",{"$f":"'SC-1'!$AR$735","v":176.83600000000001},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BC$735","v":128.39968343866281},{"$f":"'SC-1'!$BW$735","v":107.36782178335856}]
["Scenario 2 \"Harvest\" No new licenses + less tax incentives (from 2025)",null,null,null,null,null,null," a) avvikling av leterefusjonsordninger, b) friinntekten og c) særavskrivningsordning på 6 år fjernes, d) CO2pris til 1500 kr/tonn. Se s. 75"]
["\"O&G halvert i 2050 ift BAU\"","Petrol.investments GNOK",null,null,"Petroleum prod. mSm3oe/yr",null,null,"GDPpp-FastlandsNOrge",null,"GDP-growthrate",null,"Oil fund as share of Mainland GDP \\ GNOKnominal",null,null,"GDP offshore\\ share of mainlandGDP",null,null,"Emissions offshore mtCO2e/yr",null,null,"Employment offshore kp",null,null,"Population, kp"]
[null,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,"2019-2030","2019-2050","2019-2030","2019-2050",2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2060]
["a) Aune (2020) Fysisk&økon",{"$f":"B5","v":175},{"$f":"C5-70","v":40},12,{"$f":"E5","v":219},{"$f":"150/0.84","v":178.57142857142858},{"$f":"40/0.84","v":47.61904761904762},{"$f":"H5+(LN(0.981)/10)","v":1.7081718058322599E-2},{"$f":"I5+(LN(0.991)/31)","v":1.6708363075737129E-2},{"$f":"J5+(LN(0.974)/10)","v":1.0365602466039802E-2},{"$f":"K5+(LN(0.973)/31)","v":1.1117058167866709E-2},{"$f":"L5","v":3.4},"na.",2.2999999999999998,{"$f":"O5","v":500},{"$f":"P5*0.9","v":369},{"$f":"165*0.6","v":99},{"$f":"R5","v":14},{"$f":"(F20*0.84)*0.06","v":9},{"$f":"(G20*0.84)*0.06","v":2.4},null,"se fig 4.5",null,"\"","\"","\"","\""]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14000,22500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"U6-52","v":88},{"$f":"W6-35","v":11.666666666666664}]
[]
["Smartpaths Harvest",{"$f":"hist!$AS$507","v":176.83600000000001},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$418","v":40.71387385325626},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$418","v":9.4451356240591036},{"$f":"hist!$AS$88","v":215.63937899999988},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AF$331","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AZ$331","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AB$1252","v":1.6984332282685033},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AB$1253","v":1.3458518144600085},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$V$1407","v":1.5335442117752507},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$V$1408","v":1.2390577917036349},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$T$1714","v":3.2934385875562349},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$U$1714","v":3.4262520474309577},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$V$1714","v":2.8466460619740248},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AR$736","v":500.23831286268575},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$736","v":419.40375596828449},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$736","v":107.61082491620535},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$X$625","v":13.919},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AI$625","v":13.10109694992434},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$625","v":2.5675110306495754},{"$f":"hist!$AR$303","v":23.504000000000001},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$489*24/52","v":22.653557811577691},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$489*24/52","v":4.0521601661752786},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$U$22*1000","v":5328.2119999999995},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AF$22*1000","v":5645.341643543703},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AZ$22*1000","v":6016.9637552556633},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BJ$22*1000","v":6100.1079675897427}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(SC2_Harvest!$V$331:$AZ$331)","v":4523.5456720538568},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AD$1242","v":3829.3137377769276},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AX$1242","v":5132.5894550720031},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$1401","v":4193.0804371106642},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$1401","v":5195.4015313435202},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AR$1652","v":10088},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$1652","v":16639.578427086799},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$1652","v":27534.392325453075},{"$f":"O23/SC2_Harvest!$S$1242","v":0.16657952476279911},{"$f":"P23/SC2_Harvest!$AD$1242","v":0.10952452180420334},{"$f":"Q23/SC2_Harvest!$AX$1242","v":2.0966185949251169E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!$AR$320-hist!$AR$303","v":118.73210000000002},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$497","v":66.257605181344104},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$497","v":12.249112129152593}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"44*0.84","v":36.96},null,null,null,null,null,null,"Export O&G",{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AR$736","v":500.23831286268575},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$736","v":419.40375596828449},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$736","v":107.61082491620535}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"OPEX O&G",{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AR$734","v":122.31054447697275},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$734","v":146.76007074312588},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$734","v":42.469532007207349}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CAPEX O& G",{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$AR$735","v":176.83600000000001},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BC$735","v":50.622584744359628},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!$BW$735","v":17.450726942588062}]
["Scenario 3 \"Rebuilding\"","investments GNOK/yr",null,null,"Petroleum prod. mSm3oe/yr",null,null,"GDPpp-FastlandsNOrge",null,"GDP-growthrate",null,"Oil fund as share of Mainland GDP \\ GNOKnominal",null,null,"GDP offshore\\ share of mainlandGDP",null,null,"Emissions offshore mtCO2e/yr",null,null,"Employment offshore kp",null,null,"Population, kp"]
["or \"Omstilling\"   ",2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,"2019-2030","2019-2050","2019-2030","2019-2050",2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2019,2030,2050,2060]
["O&G",{"$f":"hist!$AS$507","v":176.83600000000001},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$418","v":40.71387385325626},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$418","v":9.4451356240591036},{"$f":"hist!$AS$88","v":215.63937899999988},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AF$331","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AZ$331","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AB$1252","v":1.6984332282685033},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AB$1253","v":1.3458518144600085},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$V$1407","v":1.5939297943158737},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$V$1408","v":1.3398715008650752},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$T$1714","v":3.2934385875562349},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$U$1714","v":3.4092891426613869},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$V$1714","v":2.9110482024690238},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AR$736","v":500.23831286268575},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$736+SC3_Rebuilding!Q1381","v":453.87130856442229},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$736+SC3_Rebuilding!AK1381","v":412.67637869024253},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$X$625","v":13.919},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AI$625","v":12.930952833691556},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$625","v":1.6372534108490044},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AR497","v":149.80026393381436},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BC497","v":66.257605181344104},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BW497","v":12.249112129152593},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$U$22*1000","v":5328.2119999999995},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AF$22*1000","v":5645.341643543703},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AZ$22*1000","v":6016.9637552556633},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BJ$22*1000","v":6100.1079675897427}]
["      GO-invest:",0,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$Q$909","v":38.250650013121017},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AK$909","v":69.353715190200646},{"$f":"hist!$AS$88","v":215.63937899999988},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AF$331","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AZ$331","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AD$1242","v":3829.3137377769276},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AX$1242","v":5132.5894550720031},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$1401","v":4220.593657555085},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$1401","v":5358.2011335590005},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AR$1652","v":10088},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$1652","v":16557.19815256026},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$1652","v":28157.32674173894},{"$f":"O31/SC3_Rebuilding!$S$1242","v":0.16657952476279911},{"$f":"P31/SC3_Rebuilding!$AD$1242","v":0.11852549559648071},{"$f":"Q31/SC3_Rebuilding!$AX$1242","v":8.0403153671766495E-2},null,null,null,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!F988","v":0},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!Q988","v":13.81640636762415},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AK988","v":15.211251439370709}]
["Sum invest/cap:",{"$f":"B31+B32","v":176.83600000000001},{"$f":"C31+C32","v":78.964523866377277},{"$f":"D31+D32","v":78.798850814259751},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(U31:U32)","v":149.80026393381436},{"$f":"SUM(V31:V32)","v":80.074011548968258},{"$f":"SUM(W31:W32)","v":27.460363568523302}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Export O&G",{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AR$736","v":500.23831286268575},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$736","v":423.66239071316647},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$736","v":124.97987470572242}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"OPEX O&G",{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AR$734","v":122.31054447697275},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$734","v":146.32850298451524},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$734","v":38.963315515956239}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"CAPEX O& G",{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$AR$735","v":176.83600000000001},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BC$735","v":50.622584744359628},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!$BW$735","v":17.450726942588062}]
[]
[]
["Comparisons key charts (2000-2070): "]
[null,{"$f":"dbPES!A13","v":"SC1_BAU"}]
[3,{"$f":"dbPES!A14","v":"SC2_Harvest"},null,null,null,1]
[4,{"$f":"dbPES!A15","v":"SC3_Rebuilding"},null,null,null,1]
[5,{"$f":"dbPES!A16","v":"SC4_Faster_Rebuild"},null,null,null,1]
[6,{"$f":"dbPES!A17","v":"SC My Policy"},null,null,null,1]
[7]
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["Energy production offshore (Mtoe/yr)"]
[null,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore energy exports (2018-GNOK/yr)"]
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[]
["Offshore GDP (2018-GNOK/yr)"]
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["Oil-fund value 2018-GNOK "]
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[]
["GDP Norway (2018-GNOK/yr)"]
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[]
["Employment offshore sector direct+ indirect (kp)"]
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[]
["Rate of change in offshore employment (pct/yr)"]
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[]
["Offshore Emissions (MtCO2e/yr)"]
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["GDPpp Norway (2018-KNOK/p-yr)"]
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[]
["Oil fund in pct of mainland GDP"]
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["Sum of Oil and Gas investments 2020-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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["Sum of Green investments 2020-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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["Annual oil and gas investments 1980-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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[]
["Annual green offshore investments 1980-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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[]
["Annual oil and gas and green offshore investments 1980-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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[]
["CO2 emissions offshore (2000-2070) MtCO2e/yr"]
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["CO2 emissions Norway (2000-2070) MtCO2e/yr"]
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[]
["Drop of CO2 emissions Norway from 2005 (2000-2070) pct"]
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[]
["Carbon productivity Norway (GDP in 2018-NOK/kgCO2e)"]
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[]
["Rate of change in carbon productivity Norway (pct/yr)"]
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[]
["Drop of CO2 emissions Norway from 2005 (2000-2070) pct"]
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[]
["OPEX oil and gas (2000-2070) 2018-GNOK/yr"]
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["OPEX oil and gas (2000-2070) 2018-NOK/toe"]
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["OPEX oil and gas (2000-2070) USD/barrel"]
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[]
["O&G Revenue / OPEX (both in NOK/toe)"]
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["Harvest",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AS716/SC2_Harvest!AS666","v":3.4214144635100125},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AT716/SC2_Harvest!AT666","v":3.3812223405801354},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AU716/SC2_Harvest!AU666","v":3.3389169248256807},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AV716/SC2_Harvest!AV666","v":3.2946369951471808},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AW716/SC2_Harvest!AW666","v":3.2485285330564553},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AX716/SC2_Harvest!AX666","v":3.2007432171070804},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AY716/SC2_Harvest!AY666","v":3.1689940711032158},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!AZ716/SC2_Harvest!AZ666","v":3.138575981724995},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BA716/SC2_Harvest!BA666","v":3.1094484581372646},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BB716/SC2_Harvest!BB666","v":3.0815733532531926},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BC716/SC2_Harvest!BC666","v":3.0549147448410592},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BD716/SC2_Harvest!BD666","v":3.0580362901188636},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BE716/SC2_Harvest!BE666","v":3.0615060791661111},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BF716/SC2_Harvest!BF666","v":3.0653244170150029},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BG716/SC2_Harvest!BG666","v":3.0694917169117759},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BH716/SC2_Harvest!BH666","v":3.0740085018061394},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BI716/SC2_Harvest!BI666","v":3.0788754059208006},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BJ716/SC2_Harvest!BJ666","v":3.0840931764040436},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BK716/SC2_Harvest!BK666","v":3.0896626750684293},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BL716/SC2_Harvest!BL666","v":3.0955848802188397},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BM716/SC2_Harvest!BM666","v":3.1018608885732712},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BN716/SC2_Harvest!BN666","v":3.0988103899821762},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BO716/SC2_Harvest!BO666","v":3.0959885519272095},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BP716/SC2_Harvest!BP666","v":3.0933925231886383},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BQ716/SC2_Harvest!BQ666","v":3.0910194960144706},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BR716/SC2_Harvest!BR666","v":3.0888667055843442},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BS716/SC2_Harvest!BS666","v":3.0869314294803996},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BT716/SC2_Harvest!BT666","v":3.0852109871650693},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BU716/SC2_Harvest!BU666","v":3.0837027394656871},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BV716/SC2_Harvest!BV666","v":3.0824040880658718},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BW716/SC2_Harvest!BW666","v":3.0813124750035716},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BX716/SC2_Harvest!BX666","v":3.0804253821757452},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BY716/SC2_Harvest!BY666","v":3.0797403308495479},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!BZ716/SC2_Harvest!BZ666","v":3.0792548811800109},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CA716/SC2_Harvest!CA666","v":3.0789666317340934},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CB716/SC2_Harvest!CB666","v":3.0788732190210748},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CC716/SC2_Harvest!CC666","v":3.0789723170291876},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CD716/SC2_Harvest!CD666","v":3.0792616367684515},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CE716/SC2_Harvest!CE666","v":3.0797389258196159},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CF716/SC2_Harvest!CF666","v":3.0804019678891592},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CG716/SC2_Harvest!CG666","v":3.0812485823702831},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CH716/SC2_Harvest!CH666","v":3.0812104031710441},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CI716/SC2_Harvest!CI666","v":3.0813424325013998},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CJ716/SC2_Harvest!CJ666","v":3.0816423761699689},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CK716/SC2_Harvest!CK666","v":3.0821079739227857},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CL716/SC2_Harvest!CL666","v":3.0827369990138762},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CM716/SC2_Harvest!CM666","v":3.0835272577812183},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CN716/SC2_Harvest!CN666","v":3.0844765892279984},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CO716/SC2_Harvest!CO666","v":3.0855828646091181},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CP716/SC2_Harvest!CP666","v":3.0868439870228825},{"$f":"SC2_Harvest!CQ716/SC2_Harvest!CQ666","v":3.0882578910078151}]
["Rebuilding",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AS716/SC3_Rebuilding!AS666","v":3.4214144635100125},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AT716/SC3_Rebuilding!AT666","v":3.3812223405801358},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AU716/SC3_Rebuilding!AU666","v":3.3389169248256807},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AV716/SC3_Rebuilding!AV666","v":3.2946369951471803},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AW716/SC3_Rebuilding!AW666","v":3.2485285330564553},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AX716/SC3_Rebuilding!AX666","v":3.20074321710708},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AY716/SC3_Rebuilding!AY666","v":3.1703516863442687},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!AZ716/SC3_Rebuilding!AZ666","v":3.1415188201223816},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BA716/SC3_Rebuilding!BA666","v":3.1141981941505064},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BB716/SC3_Rebuilding!BB666","v":3.0883467506122333},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BC716/SC3_Rebuilding!BC666","v":3.0639246279621704},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BD716/SC3_Rebuilding!BD666","v":3.0780929353806084},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BE716/SC3_Rebuilding!BE666","v":3.0928764576555339},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BF716/SC3_Rebuilding!BF666","v":3.1082872978993756},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BG716/SC3_Rebuilding!BG666","v":3.1243381660730227},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BH716/SC3_Rebuilding!BH666","v":3.141042407899088},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BI716/SC3_Rebuilding!BI666","v":3.1683958980296612},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BJ716/SC3_Rebuilding!BJ666","v":3.1968404380120847},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BK716/SC3_Rebuilding!BK666","v":3.2264157552283481},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BL716/SC3_Rebuilding!BL666","v":3.2571639706986377},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BM716/SC3_Rebuilding!BM666","v":3.2891297704926017},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BN716/SC3_Rebuilding!BN666","v":3.2978691647559666},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BO716/SC3_Rebuilding!BO666","v":3.3070166708008348},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BP716/SC3_Rebuilding!BP666","v":3.3165750431995105},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BQ716/SC3_Rebuilding!BQ666","v":3.3265472071449551},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BR716/SC3_Rebuilding!BR666","v":3.3369362626197194},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BS716/SC3_Rebuilding!BS666","v":3.3406891391553448},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BT716/SC3_Rebuilding!BT666","v":3.3447321371549341},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BU716/SC3_Rebuilding!BU666","v":3.3490642880186527},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BV716/SC3_Rebuilding!BV666","v":3.353684685847572},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BW716/SC3_Rebuilding!BW666","v":3.3585924875356414},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BX716/SC3_Rebuilding!BX666","v":3.3613522406608509},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BY716/SC3_Rebuilding!BY666","v":3.3643636106719543},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!BZ716/SC3_Rebuilding!BZ666","v":3.367624950970816},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CA716/SC3_Rebuilding!CA666","v":3.3711346618855655},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CB716/SC3_Rebuilding!CB666","v":3.3748911903999699},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CC716/SC3_Rebuilding!CC666","v":3.3788930298930726},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CD716/SC3_Rebuilding!CD666","v":3.3831387198891383},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CE716/SC3_Rebuilding!CE666","v":3.3876268458179148},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CF716/SC3_Rebuilding!CF666","v":3.3923560387852714},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CG716/SC3_Rebuilding!CG666","v":3.3973249753542381},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CH716/SC3_Rebuilding!CH666","v":3.4051338580387456},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CI716/SC3_Rebuilding!CI666","v":3.4132207072317464},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CJ716/SC3_Rebuilding!CJ666","v":3.4215854465820659},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CK716/SC3_Rebuilding!CK666","v":3.4302280645857466},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CL716/SC3_Rebuilding!CL666","v":3.4391486150061938},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CM716/SC3_Rebuilding!CM666","v":3.4483472173225351},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CN716/SC3_Rebuilding!CN666","v":3.4578240572068242},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CO716/SC3_Rebuilding!CO666","v":3.467579387030824},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CP716/SC3_Rebuilding!CP666","v":3.4776135264030823},{"$f":"SC3_Rebuilding!CQ716/SC3_Rebuilding!CQ666","v":3.4879268627370847}]
[]
["Flow to fund from exchange fluctuations (2000-2070) GNOK/yr"]
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[{"$f":"_xlfn.CONCAT(A455,\" NPV at X% discount rate\")","v":"SC My Policy NPV at X% discount rate"},2102.6601204046174,3696.422074502027,4808.9140205898648]

{"sheet":"paraplot","index":9,"n_rows":339,"n_cols":92,"rows_kept":339,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Comparisons key charts (2000-2070) - parameter sensitivity "]
[null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(dbPES!szename,\" - base case\")","v":"SC3_Rebuilding - base case"}]
[3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(dbPES!szename,\" - \",dbPES!$D$89,\" plus \",dbPES!pct,\" \",dbPES!$D$90)","v":"SC3_Rebuilding - Future Oil & Gas prices plus 40 pct"}]
[4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(dbPES!szename,\" - \",dbPES!$D$89,\" minus \",dbPES!pct,\" \",dbPES!$D$90)","v":"SC3_Rebuilding - Future Oil & Gas prices minus 40 pct"}]
[7]
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["Energy production offshore (Mtoe/yr)"]
[null,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
["Export revenue from offshore energy (2018-GNOK/yr)"]
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["Offshore GDP (2018-GNOK/yr)"]
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["Oil-fund value 2018-GNOK "]
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[]
["GDP Norway (2018-GNOK/yr)"]
[null,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
["Employment offshore sector direct+ indirect (kp)"]
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[]
["Rate of change in offshore employment (pct/yr)"]
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[]
["Offshore Emissions (MtCO2e/yr)"]
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[]
["GDPpp Norway (2018-KNOK/p-yr)"]
[null,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
["Oil fund in pct of mainland GDP"]
[null,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
["Sum of Oil and Gas investments 2020-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
[null,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
["Sum of Green investments 2020-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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[]
["Annual oil and gas investments 1980-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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["Annual green offshore investments 1980-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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[]
["Annual oil and gas and green offshore investments 1980-2070 (2018-GNOK)"]
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[]
["CO2 emissions offshore (2000-2070) MtCO2e/yr"]
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[]
["CO2 emissions Norway (2000-2070) MtCO2e/yr"]
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[]
["Drop of CO2 emissions Norway from 2005 (2000-2070) pct"]
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[]
["Carbon productivity Norway (GDP in 2018-NOK/kgCO2e)"]
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[]
["Rate of change in carbon productivity Norway (pct/yr)"]
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[]
["OPEX oil and gas (2000-2070) 2018-GNOK/yr"]
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["OPEX oil and gas (2000-2070) 2018-NOK/toe"]
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["OPEX oil and gas (2000-2070) USD/barrel"]
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[]
["Flow to fund from exchange fluctuations (2000-2070) GNOK/yr"]
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[]
["Flow to fund from net govt transfer (GNOK/yr)"]
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[]
["Flow to fund from investment returns (GNOK/yr)"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"upside"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,4.78998016734114,4.7337111961975671,4.6744836151499705,4.6124917146557847,4.5479398688280819,4.4810404276382467,4.4384922852949025,4.3981262732716884,4.3598773975624372,4.3236853772252033,4.2894944060973828,4.309330036145397,4.3300269669778269,4.3516021429517817,4.374073358012204,4.3974592961704362,4.435754181701081,4.4755765369983029,4.5169819803959417,4.5600294813212523,4.6047816002706776,4.6170167520310255,4.6298232602757476,4.6432049814060035,4.6571660106918724,4.6717106881088464,4.6769647151692482,4.6826249122722787,4.688689923378198,4.6951584802285273,4.7020294024748122,4.7058930567843085,4.7101089747280565,4.7146748510687058,4.7195884462656776,4.7248475860962822,4.7304501612912144,4.7363941271844814,4.7426775033777631,4.7492983734193093,4.7562548844973946,4.7671873200695263,4.7785089087469217,4.7902195436379396,4.8023192086370345,4.8148079790129792,4.8276860220365441,4.8409535976486042,4.854611059169617,4.8686588540515467,4.8830975246732633]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,4.3882915068236121,4.4573754446984033,4.5007970787887164,4.5231360059621304,4.5280967785353203,4.5186855083559054,4.5026468637437045,4.4817427456493011,4.4573696760319281,4.4306328162705828,4.4024051342359432,4.3837901146178337,4.3730374850898324,4.3687504166622224,4.3698150049322191,4.3753438631798627,4.3874259268841067,4.4050560489069461,4.4274412352047454,4.4539588844280464,4.4841234275965727,4.5107020924834629,4.5345263260419202,4.5562620571147372,4.5764428478301644,4.5954964158859006,4.6117900757425705,4.625957043048512,4.6385036191144495,4.6498345913372647,4.6602735535647746,4.6693974542086814,4.6775397583125562,4.6849667768637859,4.6918911107441641,4.6984824058145875,4.7048759569099126,4.711179590964826,4.7174791734474137,4.723843013441793,4.730325387652913,4.7376977741362358,4.7458600010583734,4.7547319095742866,4.7642493693868362,4.7743610913120644,4.7850260774569602,4.7962115814952888,4.8078914770301546,4.8200449524344329,4.8326554668821986]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A91","v":"Exploration "},{"$f":"F91","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"U90*(1+$E$86/100)","v":27.093082849760762},26.280290364267938,25.491881653339899,24.7271252037397,23.98531144762751,23.265752104198683,22.567779541072721,21.890746154840539,21.234023770195321,20.597003057089463,19.979092965376779,19.379720176415475,18.798328571123012,18.234378713989322,17.687347352569642,17.156726931992551,16.642025124032774,16.142764370311792,15.658481439202438,15.188726996026364,14.733065186145573,14.291073230561206,13.86234103364437,13.446470802635039,13.043076678555988,12.651784378199308,12.272230846853327,11.904063921447728,11.546942003804295,11.200533743690166,10.864517731379459,10.538582199438075,10.222424733454933,9.9157519914512839,9.6182794317077445,9.3297310487565124,9.049839117293816,8.7783439437750008,8.5149936254617504,8.2595438166978976,8.0117575021969607,7.7714047771310515,7.5382626338171201,7.3121147548026064,7.0927513121585282,6.8799687727937719,6.6735697096099589,6.4733626183216604,6.2791617397720101,6.09078688757885,5.9080632809514846]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T94","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"(U98/U100)*$E$85","v":41.228435630337565},{"$f":"(V98/V100)*$E$85","v":40.422414228689803},39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,31.760468322541989,27.429495369468079,23.098522416394172,18.767549463320265,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.1549261208197088,0.86619459061478143,0.57746306040985418,0.28873153020492709,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":33.059760208464169}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,25.271084688284162,22.261528239043049,19.121481097956977,15.846927459931845,12.433743083946524,11.414176151062911,10.348853043630372,9.2363513414401091,8.0752100299447811,6.8639285254530646,5.8810139606081853,4.8560372417593296,3.7877090485722773,2.6747053127610392,1.5156663438979221,1.2367837366207046,0.94613955851483889,0.64337489979009033,0.32812119889294611,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3898.8833769707335,3722.3039678212995,3549.8773578371852,3384.5495336322733,3228.8419939097357,3087.6968251310673,2959.1139516482503,2841.0425467433697,2731.7566879864312,2629.8295806972978,2534.3673168476025,2444.8262955693094,2360.7492172586772,2281.7172288409702,2207.3435213936036,2138.1367086635814,2073.6670894272434,2013.5316634670367,1957.3595438654984,1904.8099575754391,1855.8585714838969,1810.2177737334785,1767.6233299399257,1727.8324769511057,1690.622172159083,1655.7874856890478,1623.4339047756098,1593.6464801272336,1566.4641733947417,1541.8796317204146,1519.8424612556207,1500.2639103680172,1483.0225248750123,1467.9704622392289,1454.9401505926842,1443.7509816748402,1434.3383701952737,1426.6092306085222,1420.427484416665,1415.6229558986813,1412.0052386412124,1409.3780066020433,1407.5518349736503,1406.3543708345426,1405.6372049669567]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 1",{"$f":"U141/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S156","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"2 | 1",{"$f":"U150/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,6.1403051240709416,5.0567218668819525,3.9731386096929624,2.8895553525039728,1.8059720953149829,1.5651758159396518,1.3243795365643207,1.0835832571889896,0.84278697781365863,0.60199069843832764,0.48159255875066209,0.3611944190629966,0.24079627937533105,0.12039813968766552,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S157","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"3 | 1",{"$f":"U143/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7769173713076754,10.065641962429106,10.288580204331344,10.459487186045871,10.589796666295852,10.688746371596341,10.763652080612502,10.820225061390961,10.862877804611772,10.894993463136226,10.919151418512911,10.937310059930105,10.950951689474014,10.961195672588863,10.96888584691612,10.974657524125762,10.978988559766002,10.982238118395163,10.984676008719774,10.986504832344242,10.987876678421342,10.988905691452352,10.989677523500799,10.990256438195734,10.990690647089005,10.991016316625174,10.991260576014833,10.991443774628312,10.991581175878538,10.991684228104424,10.991761517998466,10.991819485826607,10.991862961926993,10.991895569131254,10.991920024606996,10.99193836625461,10.991952122513274,10.991962439720185,10.991970177632631,10.991975981071048,10.99198033365216,10.991983598089289,10.991986046417862,10.9919878826647,10.991989259850058,10.991990292739207,10.99199106740614,10.991991648406382,10.991992084156585,10.991992410969251,10.991992656078757]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 2",{"$f":"U141/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4130812924033034,9.3679346195380599,9.3232189411631765,9.2789281148393616,9.2350561142963841,9.1915970266996965,9.0847179915055136,8.9802959456261409,8.8782471280622062,8.7784915423536418,8.680952747438603,8.5855576623019143,8.492236383363851,8.4009220136502591,8.311550502866746,8.2240604975734133,8.1383932007236908,8.0544922398914878,7.9723035435660625,7.8917752249441833,7.8128574726947422,7.7355024482126158,7.6596641889164143,7.5852985171793605,7.5123629545141748,7.4408166406616587,7.3706202572591906,7.3017359557894794,7.234127289532168,7.1677591492612311,7.1025977024497653,7.038610335761029,6.9757656006203055,6.9140331616767625,6.8533837479778432,6.7937891066910803,6.7352219592196052,6.6776559595681562,6.6210656548260518,6.5654264476426398,6.5107145605789514,6.4569070022270596,6.4039815349956903,6.3519166444672699,6.3006915102376952,6.2502859781557936,6.2006805338847162,6.1518562777123957,6.1037949005427672,6.056478661003676,6.0098903636113397]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 2",{"$f":"U150/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 2",{"$f":"U143/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7837213682916833,10.024336832922913,10.197451590026303,10.317596135522392,10.396747143899816,10.444509993187285,10.395405232014841,10.329927300133795,10.252799051086249,10.167570463027033,10.076891965679829,9.9827306925661361,9.8865384373903105,9.7893804145023662,9.6920330554864353,9.5950577874340848,9.4988564159638376,9.4037125463804756,9.3098224766595248,9.2173181889848212,9.1262844317411176,9.0367713930026508,8.9488040915259823,8.8623893271305754,8.7775208183966491,8.6941829951999274,8.6123537937186896,8.5320067121586014,8.453112318900688,8.3756393553073263,8.2995555386736619,8.2248281435329833,8.1514244192834671,8.0793118870898297,8.0084585478791936,7.938833024995005,7.870404658952415,7.8031435672016549,7.7370206784430655,7.67200774854527,7.608077363271101,7.5452029316477143,7.4833586728038091,7.4225195983464802,7.3626614917947615,7.3037608861760894,7.2457950405881961,7.1887419163046644,7.1325801528369448,7.0772890442438561,7.0228485158900336]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 3",{"$f":"U141/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.3886753699638241,8.1189370030927517,7.8730616163340041,7.6485301350709554,7.4431382878311316,7.254951351884932,7.0822661729446406,6.9235791776794953,6.7775593417537499,6.6430252703501713,6.5189257034291028,6.4043228826006269,6.2983783168919807,6.2003405658835504,6.1095347245790803,6.0253533480397454,5.9472485976665714,5.8747254269730158,5.8073356542670904,5.7446727940683582,5.6863675392852633,5.6320838029469806,5.5815152422443868,5.5343821992898032,5.4904290027621192,5.449421582793657,5.411145358347099,5.3754033621452972,5.3420145731342465,5.3108124306282409,5.2816435078284147,5.2543663254225548,5.2288502885487311,5.2049747326075577,5.182628065295444,5.1617069938523619,5.1421158279127708,5.1237658495512717,5.1065747431536863,5.0904660786436304,5.075368842374397,5.0612170106731966,5.0479491616140697,5.0355081211092978,5.0238406398574469,5.0128970980781657,5.0026312353071445,4.9929999028257512,4.9839628365644266,4.9754824485516256,4.9675236351852332]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 3",{"$f":"U150/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},6.4422079112141866,6.2350583238983157,6.0462346667781945,5.873802379066996,5.7160686577306086,5.5715477036976724,4.623091821174568,3.7219458626862929,2.8627100783489796,2.0406439903147757,1.2515764672935954,1.0656305681344032,0.88677109147257471,0.71424655176392016,0.54738926470269822,0.38560497033881852,0.30448519602215651,0.22557913468297625,0.14866099054189133,7.3528447359311119E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 3",{"$f":"U143/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.718979462656149,8.687823148823032,8.611313882525188,8.5046940753674374,8.3794213893150307,8.2438788030785854,8.1040519802144875,7.9641105365779401,7.8268776466217229,7.6941952040481425,7.5672005086228662,7.446532085616397,7.3324806932085043,7.2250989117956896,7.1242799383627826,7.0298137496932629,6.9414267787225628,6.8588096628311872,6.781636412631908,6.709577443002634,6.6423082371983737,6.5795149228121534,6.5208976796902052,6.466172639634773,6.4150727494755149,6.3673479332756502,6.3227647916640075,6.2811060060339843,6.2421695649798812,6.2057678943090435,6.1717269462661282,6.1398852853380443,6.1100931950843362,6.0822118213503078,6.0561123608816327,6.0316752999860404,6.0087897049152108,5.9873525636620446,5.9672681775926524,5.948447600548997,5.9308081226166438,5.9142727955451804,5.8987699967599596,5.8842330289586684,5.8705997524066307,5.8578122472040786,5.8458165029783871,5.834562133642005,5.8240021150440802,5.8140925435253745,5.8047924135584736]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" BEFORE contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr BEFORE contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"CONCATENATE(B142,\" | \",B143)","v":"2 | 2"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),U156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),U157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),U158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),U159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),U160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),U161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),U162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),U163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),U164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":9.4065350535732293},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),V156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),V157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),V158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),V159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),V160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),V161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),V162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),V163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),V164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.2289156626506017},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),W156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),W157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),W158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),W159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),W160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),W161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),W162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),W163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),W164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.1942446043165464},7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" AFTER contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr AFTER contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"E142/E143","v":7.4602299294668191},{"$f":"MIN(U109,U165)","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T141,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual New 'green'-field dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U166*U155","v":78.12857472694742},60,59.999999999999993,60,60,60,60,51,42,33,24,15,13,11.000000000000002,9,7,5,4,3,2,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T141,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"New 'green'-field dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,58.582969050113284,49.209694002095162,39.438054764536268,29.255866079874174,18.650614625919786,16.487143329313096,14.229672934991765,11.875308867565852,9.4210783682689101,6.8639285254530646,5.6009656767697003,4.2847387427288197,2.9136223450555985,1.4859473959783551,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T190,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,29.4,23.8,18.200000000000003,12.600000000000001,7,7.0000000000000009,7.0000000000000009,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,7,6.9999999999999991,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,6.8,6.6000000000000005,6.4,6.1999999999999993,5.9999999999999991,5.8,5.6,5.4,5.2,5,4.5,4,3.4999999999999996,3,2.5,2,1.5,1,0.49999999999999994,0]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
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["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},4.78998016734114,4.7337111961975671,4.6744836151499705,4.6124917146557847,4.5479398688280819,4.4810404276382467,4.4384922852949025,4.3981262732716884,4.3598773975624372,4.3236853772252033,4.2894944060973828,4.309330036145397,4.3300269669778269,4.3516021429517817,4.374073358012204,4.3974592961704362,4.435754181701081,4.4755765369983029,4.5169819803959417,4.5600294813212523,4.6047816002706776,4.6170167520310255,4.6298232602757476,4.6432049814060035,4.6571660106918724,4.6717106881088464,4.6769647151692482,4.6826249122722787,4.688689923378198,4.6951584802285273,4.7020294024748122,4.7058930567843085,4.7101089747280565,4.7146748510687058,4.7195884462656776,4.7248475860962822,4.7304501612912144,4.7363941271844814,4.7426775033777631,4.7492983734193093,4.7562548844973946,4.7671873200695263,4.7785089087469217,4.7902195436379396,4.8023192086370345,4.8148079790129792,4.8276860220365441,4.8409535976486042,4.854611059169617,4.8686588540515467]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},4.3572552527323891,4.4325464414254245,4.4809338761703339,4.5072454438674239,4.5153843288595557,4.5085155486152937,4.4945108959512154,4.4752339714153102,4.4521626566447354,4.426467200760829,4.3990726418281394,4.3811241206915907,4.370904689948838,4.3670441805494269,4.3684500160419821,4.3742518720676733,4.3865523339943548,4.4043571745951446,4.4268821357553039,4.4535116048684937,4.4837656039489309,4.5104158335653501,4.5342973189074298,4.5560788514071442,4.5762962832640897,4.5953791642330408,4.6116962744202823,4.6258820019906812,4.6384435862681848,4.6497865650602535,4.660235132543165,4.6693667173913935,4.6775151688587258,4.6849471053007221,4.6918753734937129,4.6984698160142271,4.7048658850696246,4.7111715334925961,4.7174727274696293,4.7238378566595651,4.7303212622271307,4.7376944737956102,4.7458573607858723,4.7547297973562861,4.7642476796124358,4.7743597394925441,4.7850249960013445,4.7962107163307968,4.8078907848985608,4.8200443987291584]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,204.00890451890206,195.52513240050831,184.09537366823238,170.14411623278363,154.13808763789021,140.13213469101385,128.17700846205284,117.94780466308626,109.14539554425657,101.52562598399879,94.449457291776923,87.830588203296401,81.630572189551629,75.81736509839142,70.361738850841718,65.335813826952929,60.712889020616444,56.460851131743119,52.549586290059267,48.951386091542169,45.640797750418358,42.594443793552692,39.790852988819985,37.210304792022832,34.834686470035244,32.353580913437952,29.78742464837616,27.182306732491924,24.584541674326957,22.037170464793956,19.578550887603534,17.241385493004753,15.052062635783315,13.030311646544783,11.189168917843952,9.4126114795665536,7.7291395867513373,6.1817461918572594,4.8045285179837407,3.6177172574689185,2.6272320391690807,1.8261716283930489,1.1974641391077196]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V326+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U328*U327/1000","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V328*V327/1000","v":67.058292465428963},67.745150375678719,67.654085002984118,66.83559552642447,65.349743279809715,63.266693472324491,61.710564208864128,59.162582310481596,55.724662734144871,51.546704627105065,46.789631964015499,41.617283662230356,37.135015693118675,33.326022200133735,30.076690189086996,27.286348886064143,25.1783552440317,23.234566493777123,21.43066352160432,19.754598469871492,18.196167623613938,16.746093846500326,15.419252063160892,14.206816030824248,13.098917462564405,12.086404846713631,11.160916028871615,10.314820291594549,9.5411554097558042,8.8335693635180359,8.1862670542450235,7.6287963369377181,7.0530806391294734,6.4638711486976259,5.8713782542182553,5.2856764599802952,4.715954479465907,4.1702313390595531,3.6551737245170073,3.1759852161502793,2.7363654457744047,2.3385363038293865,1.9578231877498431,1.5999318944575269,1.2734397155225954,0.98492834618666691,0.73801432052365945,0.53332810395132335,0.3688866689353959,0.24069029196065164,0.14343317351719637]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (Nominal-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U329","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V329*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":68.399458314737544},70.48205445085614,71.795056237846779,72.344998030553995,72.151397049286118,71.248572579626867,70.886040649272857,69.318394568394467,66.596130322561166,62.83514530955901,58.177026283298098,52.780778516605544,48.038102522624101,43.972978550438292,40.479265047076183,37.458309694904024,35.255775879833983,33.184682408798587,31.220430052957123,29.354294154903542,27.579318855036679,25.889120651594574,24.314607232780109,22.850772100419505,21.490162510081905,20.225608807906877,19.050416636607913,17.958351810000124,16.943610173717222,16.000788195588893,15.124855452455778,14.376776365831541,13.55765309907812,12.673557235330053,11.742108030340621,10.78218451368984,9.8124161733259303,8.850476934922316,7.9125181971925338,7.0127013283142121,6.162843507183327,5.3721895825703676,4.5875504531838152,3.8239222520578733,3.104460365684508,2.4491339448850988,1.8718578359816116,1.3797573434870303,0.97342249234446121,0.64783910855552151,0.3937842730671417]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"O&G Production (MSm3 o.e./yr)",{"$f":"T328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":223.13712629148426},{"$f":"U328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":216.50585921492637},{"$f":"V328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":228.0894301545203},{"$f":"W328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":237.20290747786663},{"$f":"X328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":244.06235571062095},{"$f":"Y328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":248.64432859532914},{"$f":"Z328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":250.95907557530614},{"$f":"AA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":251.0583074298591},{"$f":"AB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":249.03375386950816},{"$f":"AC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":242.86774347488341},{"$f":"AD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":232.76801476250989},{"$f":"AE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":219.16115912884808},{"$f":"AF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"AG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":183.49772337844072},{"$f":"AH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":166.82396987025459},{"$f":"AI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":152.5916767405391},{"$f":"AJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":140.41405317034079},{"$f":"AK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":129.93499469554354},{"$f":"AL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":120.86384045714142},{"$f":"AM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":112.43983010925825},{"$f":"AN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":104.56022405154334},{"$f":"AO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":97.179252606609083},{"$f":"AP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":90.2587679742755},{"$f":"AQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":83.763974822430626},{"$f":"AR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":77.780730746372541},{"$f":"AS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":72.277248834067194},{"$f":"AT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":67.215298966360862},{"$f":"AU328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":62.559031297689607},{"$f":"AV328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":58.275459632788298},{"$f":"AW328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":54.334283036212334},{"$f":"AX328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":50.707671182800823},{"$f":"AY328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":47.370063081928556},{"$f":"AZ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"BA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":41.469864845280057},{"$f":"BB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":38.516167754092798},{"$f":"BC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":35.461219819495426},{"$f":"BD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":32.359888967252289},{"$f":"BE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":29.267311517055902},{"$f":"BF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":26.23472674380233},{"$f":"BG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":23.307798675718495},{"$f":"BH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":20.525458920243754},{"$f":"BI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":17.919122185456327},{"$f":"BJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":15.512275769696171},{"$f":"BK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":13.320439187909468},{"$f":"BL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11.205489856626849},{"$f":"BM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9.20135665089445},{"$f":"BN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7.3592216569729283},{"$f":"BO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":5.7196768071235011},{"$f":"BP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":4.3068062588915694},{"$f":"BQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":3.1276571894870009},{"$f":"BR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":2.1740138433250582},{"$f":"BS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":1.4255525465568091},{"$f":"BT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":0.8537688899833118}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A114","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR114+U328","v":6206.7113398939819},{"$f":"U332+V328","v":6398.3064612237786},{"$f":"V332+W328","v":6597.5569035051867},6802.5692823021081,7011.430518322185,7222.2361418054425,7433.125120046524,7642.3134732969111,7846.3223778158135,8041.847510216322,8225.9428838845542,8396.0870001173371,8550.2250877552269,8690.3572224462405,8818.5342309082935,8936.48203557138,9045.6274311156358,9147.1530570996347,9241.6025143914121,9329.4331025947085,9411.06367478426,9486.8810398826517,9557.2427787334927,9622.578592560445,9683.2914815810618,9739.7523327128056,9792.3019190028645,9841.2533050944057,9886.8941028448244,9929.4885466383766,9969.2793996271957,10006.489704419218,10041.324390889255,10073.677971802692,10103.465396451069,10130.64770318356,10155.232244857887,10177.26941532268,10196.847966210284,10214.089351703289,10229.141414339072,10242.171725985618,10253.360894903462,10262.77350638303,10270.50264596978,10276.684392161638,10281.488920679622,10285.10663793709,10287.733869976259,10289.560041604651,10290.757505743759,10291.474671611344]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A116","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (MSm3 o.e.)"},{"$f":"U332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7388.9420713023592},{"$f":"V332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7617.0315014568796},{"$f":"W332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7854.2344089347462},{"$f":"X332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8098.2967646453671},{"$f":"Y332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8346.9410932406972},{"$f":"Z332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8597.9001688160024},{"$f":"AA332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8848.9584762458617},{"$f":"AB332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9097.9922301153711},{"$f":"AC332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9340.8599735902553},{"$f":"AD332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9573.6279883527641},{"$f":"AE332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9792.7891474816133},{"$f":"AF332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9995.3416668063546},{"$f":"AG332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10178.839390184794},{"$f":"AH332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10345.663360055049},{"$f":"AI332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10498.255036795588},{"$f":"AJ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10638.66908996593},{"$f":"AK332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10768.604084661472},{"$f":"AL332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10889.467925118613},{"$f":"AM332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11001.907755227872},{"$f":"AN332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11106.467979279416},{"$f":"AO332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11203.647231886025},{"$f":"AP332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11293.905999860301},{"$f":"AQ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11377.669974682731},{"$f":"AR332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11455.450705429103},{"$f":"AS332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11527.72795426317},{"$f":"AT332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11594.94325322953},{"$f":"AU332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11657.50228452722},{"$f":"AV332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11715.777744160006},{"$f":"AW332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11770.112027196219},{"$f":"AX332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11820.81969837902},{"$f":"AY332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11868.189761460948},{"$f":"AZ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11912.487743356212},{"$f":"BA332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11953.957608201494},{"$f":"BB332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11992.473775955586},{"$f":"BC332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12027.934995775082},{"$f":"BD332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12060.294884742334},{"$f":"BE332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12089.56219625939},{"$f":"BF332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12115.79692300319},{"$f":"BG332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12139.10472167891},{"$f":"BH332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12159.630180599153},{"$f":"BI332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12177.54930278461},{"$f":"BJ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12193.061578554307},{"$f":"BK332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12206.382017742217},{"$f":"BL332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12217.587507598846},{"$f":"BM332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12226.788864249738},{"$f":"BN332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12234.148085906712},{"$f":"BO332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12239.867762713835},{"$f":"BP332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12244.174568972727},{"$f":"BQ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12247.302226162214},{"$f":"BR332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12249.476240005537},{"$f":"BS332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12250.901792552095},{"$f":"BT332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12251.755561442076}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)","Sm^3 o.e./yr",null,226.56913915464031,229.41,242.25,251.2,253.73,253.20999999999998,250.29000000000002,245.52999999999997,238.92000000000002,229.01000000000002,217.81]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S336","v":"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)"},"Mtoe/yr",null,{"$f":"V336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":190.31807688989787},{"$f":"W336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.70439999999999},{"$f":"X336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":203.48999999999998},{"$f":"Y336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":211.00799999999998},{"$f":"Z336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":213.13319999999999},{"$f":"AA336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":212.69639999999998},{"$f":"AB336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":210.24360000000001},{"$f":"AC336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":206.24519999999998},{"$f":"AD336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":200.69280000000001},{"$f":"AE336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.36840000000001},{"$f":"AF336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":182.96039999999999}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,179,179,179,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48,48]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV-GL"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"FIN-PM"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",175,175,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40,40,40,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12,12]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
["Employees per CAPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AA496/AA418","v":0.46793525757400095},0.36840691676478465,0.32766852850841177,0.30587646538482754,0.3301743668908238,0.34296137627988055,0.39257563421809422,0.42362883195962125,0.48675570888455405,0.50860170124130655,0.47325278643586405,0.44515488444146301,0.43979893065617826,0.4368879501082088,0.4756588263723695,0.50705232964255653,0.5840313920520841,0.510686302632127,0.44950296368096837,0.44646899462164136,0.44346879472356082,0.44070194456310147,0.43821330868616259,0.43601704211109693,0.43181785554599783,0.42796001167720471,0.42467745326798167,0.42234910453013075,0.4218438326820822,0.42242552837076164,0.42327894970559993,0.42348349587802459,0.42293271554785616,0.42181309720637983,0.41958833051542183,0.41695570650843822,0.41441741280860889,0.41234534537809991,0.41108376862778578,0.40652939739823107,0.40223366525301851,0.3981608131563818,0.39424457825259468,0.39042139647651125,0.38560806449779211,0.38088731870693526,0.37625900939814982,0.37173358847306759,0.3673247168911638,0.36456970075108519,0.36192737604687136,0.36044496856562924,0.36013301036116252,0.36008373369790919,0.3593401528244321,0.35746095367599595,0.35461110213727309,0.35146645408931088,0.34887416485692696,0.34791064549149425,0.34706234686533893,0.34621840045537644,0.34551820018284851,0.34486063101715636,{"$f":"CM496/CM418","v":0.34404348201010687},0.34311509386590333,0.34285153744351554,0.34598280578649088,0.36794232406443189]
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[]
["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"upside"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y538+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"upside"}]
["Production costs"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A565,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D559","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y560+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G561+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M561+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N561+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F559","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E559","v":1},{"$f":"F562","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"X561*(1+$W561/100)","v":356.62595338518599},360.19221291903784,363.79413504822821,367.43207639871048,371.10639716269759,374.81746113432456,378.56563574566781,382.35129210312448,386.17480502415572,390.03655307439726,393.93691860514122,397.87628779119262,401.85505066910457,405.87360117579561,409.93233718755357,414.0316605594291,418.17197716502341,422.35369693667366,426.57723390604042,430.84300624510081,435.15143630755182,439.50295067062734,443.89798017733364,448.33695997910695,452.820329578898,457.34853287468701,461.92201820343388,466.5412383854682,471.20665076932289,475.91871727701613,480.6779044497863,485.48468349428418,490.33953032922705,495.2429256325193,500.19535488884452,505.19730843773294,510.24928152211027,515.35177433733134,520.50529208070463,525.71034500151166,530.96744845152682,536.27712293604213,541.63989416540255,547.0562931070566,552.52685603812722,558.0521245985085,563.6326458444936,569.26897230293855,574.96166202596794,580.71127864622758,586.5183914326899]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D561","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y564+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
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[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A589,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D583","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y584+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G585+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M585+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N585+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F583","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E583","v":0.2},{"$f":"F586","v":904235.29411764699},{"$f":"X585*(1+$W585/100)","v":906043.76470588229},907855.85223529406,909671.56393976463,911490.90706764418,913313.88888177951,915140.51665954303,916970.79769286211,918804.73928824789,920642.34876682435,922483.63346435805,924328.6007312868,926177.25793274934,928029.61244861479,929885.67167351197,931745.443016859,933608.93390289275,935476.15177069849,937347.10407423985,939221.79828238836,941100.24187895318,942982.44236271107,944868.40724743647,946758.14406193129,948651.6603500552,950548.96367075527,952450.06159809674,954354.96172129293,956263.6716447355,958176.19898802496,960092.55138600105,962012.73648877302,963936.76196175057,965864.63548567402,967796.3647566454,969731.9574861587,971671.42140113097,973614.76424393326,975561.99377242115,977513.11775996594,979468.14399548585,981427.08028347685,983389.93444404379,985356.71431293187,987327.42774155771,989302.0825970408,991280.68676223489,993263.24813575938,995249.77463203087,997240.27418129495,999234.75472965755,1001233.2242391169]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A589","v":"Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr)"},{"$f":"hist!AR341","v":900000},{"$f":"hist!AS341","v":904235.29411764699},925000,925000,925000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D585","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y588+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,55.728628142491758,52.98277894012962,49.485496900519713,45.368551352715329,40.77095267007639,36.768977002605148,33.362367084121672,30.453660596121527,27.954902160016552,25.794739693510696,23.804433829465502,21.958723850917902,20.244966511930691,18.652447460055633,17.171436094545204,15.817005858316111,14.579975217641998,13.45012199225353,12.41798183082455,11.47491899968446,10.613063870105881,9.825245679837149,9.1049304448156452,8.4461643286650112,7.8435220462418158,7.2264414340028233,6.5999098672706502,5.9743996773421086,5.360101285745996,4.7661710817921286,4.2004638995192627,3.669372405466103,3.1777414688979264,2.7288537679635345,2.324482104897359,1.9397306394665041,1.5800300974344856,1.2535691485298259,0.96647542813783371,0.72190089307043703,0.52004904756696446,0.35858356532258712,0.23324600942356058,0.13857160073090186]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.294969953537333,63.319325376307596,60.322544592401393,56.410091161049699,51.707426180322294,47.564592445573183,44.020934853006359,40.986617582389115,38.376090072477417,36.118862916140593,33.998593292611801,31.989714240469862,30.082955270072414,28.270886846530605,26.546691120194065,24.94182489968971,23.450975236481057,22.066350766773049,20.780475739420968,19.586384061113492,18.477601099524289,17.448110371406333,16.492321233672129,15.60503874992726,14.78143568118282,13.890892663196221,12.940285090263171,11.948139498146434,10.93400277382754,9.9169011090861883,8.9146394614771722,7.9432547174931374,7.0165792040403492,6.1459257029856955,5.3399036518493546,4.5451561866352224,3.7763558995425055,3.0560188203794629,2.403248710542361,1.8309886487530576,1.3454034899676783,0.94623454102432281,0.62780216679364542,0.38043721493080018]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"upside"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-2},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.8497275786665951E-2},6.7127330270932636E-2,6.5784783665513977E-2,6.4469087992203702E-2,6.3179706232359634E-2,6.1916112107712439E-2,6.067778986555819E-2,5.9464234068247024E-2,5.8274949386882081E-2,5.7109450399144439E-2,5.5967261391161552E-2,5.4847916163338319E-2,5.3750957840071549E-2,5.267593868327012E-2,5.1622419909604714E-2,5.0589971511412618E-2,4.9578172081184362E-2,4.8586608639560672E-2,4.7614876466769457E-2,4.6662578937434064E-2,4.572932735868538E-2,4.4814740811511669E-2,4.3918445995281434E-2,4.3040077075375806E-2,4.2179275533868292E-2,4.1335690023190923E-2,4.0508976222727103E-2,3.9698796698272559E-2,3.890482076430711E-2,3.8126724349020966E-2,3.7364189862040549E-2,3.661690606479974E-2,3.5884567943503747E-2,3.5166876584633668E-2,3.4463539052940993E-2,3.3774268271882173E-2,3.3098782906444531E-2,3.2436807248315637E-2,3.1788071103349323E-2,3.1152309681282336E-2,3.0529263487656687E-2,2.9918678217903553E-2,2.9320304653545484E-2,2.8733898560474574E-2,2.8159220589265083E-2,2.7596036177479782E-2,2.7044115453930186E-2,2.6503233144851583E-2,2.5973168481954551E-2,2.5453705112315459E-2]
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[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44671814959369494,0.44108540788292777,0.43565992187504488,0.43043492656491733,0.42540408161614884,0.42570599097717698,0.42604717947274301,0.42642856883009994,0.42685111968543044,0.42731583356671826,0.42917585064533886,0.43112341718660546,0.43316193882477882,0.43529501814373062,0.43752646895360092,0.43661781580516051,0.43572744038595901,0.4348555031405314,0.4340021698098227,0.43316761161230932,0.43144069753470027,0.42972520625615007,0.42802113373496564,0.42632847626361337,0.42464723048029124,0.42267124696389541,0.42070577439821555,0.41875079483287553,0.41680629026041732,0.41487224262020195,0.41294863380234731,0.41103544565170635,0.40913265997188542,0.40724025852930229,0.40535822305728592,0.40379502973394776,0.40224313878763585,0.40070255055235288,0.39917326585993673,0.397655286055141,0.39614861301107179,0.39465324914498734,0.39316919743447587,0.39169646143402209,0.39023504529197733]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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["Oil exports M NOK/yr","Million constant NOK /yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR729*X624","v":302935.85346518183},359424.97973582213,367853.02254043159,372163.83223167004,372553.94170348742,369266.11050398333,362596.070766864,352884.41387573752,337365.61481069954,316694.51764699223,291795.36998266005,263639.75836678914,233200.17581155349,207030.55010240903,184987.18324719285,166360.39210796671,150526.37228240256,136983.54842264325,124702.21083518685,113501.10442737456,103276.28119673689,93938.465845486717,85407.218397643883,77737.124696236642,70852.135362735993,64673.787983242408,59130.666407793557,54158.434926173999,49699.190318532688,45700.824319766376,42116.445427411199,38903.858120357821,36025.094069713843,33137.118274294036,30264.525570967737,27446.89302070389,24327.365079795814,21370.508848937679,18606.541331978744,16057.700213109585,13738.308867496311,11655.157260780139,9808.1532011320378,8085.848857081146,6506.8787272094269,5100.101362448846,3884.5837480863429,2866.5162666250944,2040.0663688435468,1389.6759182029477,893.01865724639902,524.13565433397173]
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[]
["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2027]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",1.5]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T791,SEARCH(\" (\",T791)), \" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual GO planning and constructing spending  (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)","v":0},29.858831571401446,30.157419887115459,30.458994085986614,30.76358402684648,31.071219867114944,31.381932065786096,31.695751386443956,32.012708900308397,32.332835989311484,32.656164349204602,32.982725992696651,33.312553252623616,33.645678785149855,33.982135573001351,34.321956928731367,34.665176498018681,35.011828262998868,35.361946545628861,35.715566011085151,36.072721671196,36.433448887907957,36.797783376787038,37.165761210554912,37.537418822660463,37.912793010887071,38.291920940995944,38.674840150405906,39.061588551909963,39.45220443742906,39.846726481803351,40.245193746621382,40.6476456840876,41.054122140928477,41.46466336233776,41.879309995961137,42.298103095920752,42.721084126879958,43.148294968148761,43.579777917830249,44.015575697008551,44.455731453978636,44.900288768518422,45.349291656203604,45.802784572765638]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T791,SEARCH(\" (\",T791)), \" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual GO planning and constructing spending  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)*(1+(upside!S1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)*(1+(upside!T1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,W785,W791)*(1+(upside!U1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,X785,X791)*(1+(upside!V1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Y785,Y791)*(1+(upside!W1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Z785,Z791)*(1+(upside!X1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AA785,AA791)*(1+(upside!Y1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)*(1+(upside!Z1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AC785,AC791)*(1+(upside!AA1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":34.98438011639913},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AD785,AD791)*(1+(upside!AB1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":36.040908395914379},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AE785,AE791)*(1+(upside!AC1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":37.129343829470997},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AF785,AF791)*(1+(upside!AD1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":38.250650013121017},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AG785,AG791)*(1+(upside!AE1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":39.405819643517283},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AH785,AH791)*(1+(upside!AF1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":40.595875396751502},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AI785,AI791)*(1+(upside!AG1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":41.821870833733399},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AJ785,AJ791)*(1+(upside!AH1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":43.08489133291215},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AK785,AK791)*(1+(upside!AI1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":44.38605505116611},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AL785,AL791)*(1+(upside!AJ1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":45.726513913711329},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AM785,AM791)*(1+(upside!AK1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":47.107454633905405},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AN785,AN791)*(1+(upside!AL1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":48.530099763849364},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AO785,AO791)*(1+(upside!AM1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":49.995708776717613},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AP785,AP791)*(1+(upside!AN1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":51.505579181774479},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AQ785,AQ791)*(1+(upside!AO1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":53.061047673064074},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AR785,AR791)*(1+(upside!AP1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":54.663491312790605},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AS785,AS791)*(1+(upside!AQ1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":56.314328750436886},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AT785,AT791)*(1+(upside!AR1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":58.015021478700092},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AU785,AU791)*(1+(upside!AS1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":59.767075127356833},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AV785,AV791)*(1+(upside!AT1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":61.572040796203005},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AW785,AW791)*(1+(upside!AU1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":63.431516428248337},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AX785,AX791)*(1+(upside!AV1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":65.347148224381428},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AY785,AY791)*(1+(upside!AW1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":67.320632100757763},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AZ785,AZ791)*(1+(upside!AX1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":69.353715190200646},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BA785,BA791)*(1+(upside!AY1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":71.44819738894472},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BB785,BB791)*(1+(upside!AZ1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":73.60593295009086},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BC785,BC791)*(1+(upside!BA1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":75.828832125183609},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BD785,BD791)*(1+(upside!BB1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":78.118862855364142},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BE785,BE791)*(1+(upside!BC1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":80.478052513596154},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BF785,BF791)*(1+(upside!BD1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":82.908489699506745},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BG785,BG791)*(1+(upside!BE1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":85.412326088431854},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BH785,BH791)*(1+(upside!BF1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":87.991778336302488},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+(upside!BG1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":90.649130042058843},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+(upside!BH1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":93.386733769329012},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+(upside!BI1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":96.207013129162746},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+(upside!BJ1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":99.112464925663474},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+(upside!BK1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":102.1056613664185},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+(upside!BL1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":105.18925233968434},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+(upside!BM1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":108.36596776034283},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+(upside!BN1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":111.63861998670517},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+(upside!BO1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":115.01010631030366},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+(upside!BP1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":118.48341152087481},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+(upside!BQ1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":122.06161054880525},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+(upside!BR1244-upside!$S1244)/upside!$S1244)","v":125.74787118737915}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"upside"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"E849*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.98},{"$f":"U848*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.9601000000000002},3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.64341255764305,165.34991967509694,178.51255781727988,192.14770091841302,206.27231069497151,220.90395774556021,236.06084340822133,251.76182240236258,268.02642628347309,284.87488773980294,302.32816576123179,320.40797171163496,339.1367963371809,358.53793774415658,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,21.940430769230769,44.40903597633136,74.911206498558641,113.73532673184025,161.1801333324704,217.55508683671295,283.18075662059493,358.38921967877013,443.52447371852088,538.94286508277548,645.0135320344649,762.11886395365082,890.65497701865365,1031.0322069629131,1183.6756195205562,1349.0255391956532,1527.5380970129331,1719.6857979313461,1925.9581086263177,2146.862066371878,2382.9229097800994,2634.6847321824621,2902.7111584659351,3187.5860462057381,3489.91421196697,3810.3221836786051,4149.4589800157864,4507.9969177599432,4886.6324481410693,5286.0870232025436,5707.1079932662251,6150.4695366142441,6616.9736225439865,7107.4510089942842,7622.7622759838232,8163.7988961473457,8731.4843437013533,9326.7752432188372,9950.6625596420781,10604.172831013846,11288.369445460497]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"upside"}]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"upside"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,34.98438011639913,36.040908395914379,37.129343829470997,38.250650013121017,39.405819643517283,40.595875396751502,41.821870833733399,43.08489133291215,44.38605505116611,45.726513913711329,47.107454633905405,48.530099763849364,49.995708776717613,51.505579181774479,53.061047673064074,54.663491312790605,56.314328750436886,58.015021478700092,59.767075127356833,61.572040796203005,63.431516428248337,65.347148224381428,67.320632100757763,69.353715190200646,71.44819738894472,73.60593295009086,75.828832125183609,78.118862855364142,80.478052513596154,82.908489699506745,85.412326088431854,87.991778336302488,90.649130042058843,93.386733769329012,96.207013129162746,99.112464925663474,102.1056613664185,105.18925233968434,108.36596776034283,111.63861998670517,115.01010631030366,118.48341152087481,122.06161054880525,125.74787118737915]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,29.858831571401446,30.157419887115459,30.458994085986614,30.76358402684648,31.071219867114944,31.381932065786096,31.695751386443956,32.012708900308397,32.332835989311484,32.656164349204602,32.982725992696651,33.312553252623616,33.645678785149855,33.982135573001351,34.321956928731367,34.665176498018681,35.011828262998868,35.361946545628861,35.715566011085151,36.072721671196,36.433448887907957,36.797783376787038,37.165761210554912,37.537418822660463,37.912793010887071,38.291920940995944,38.674840150405906,39.061588551909963,39.45220443742906,39.846726481803351,40.245193746621382,40.6476456840876,41.054122140928477,41.46466336233776,41.879309995961137,42.298103095920752,42.721084126879958,43.148294968148761,43.579777917830249,44.015575697008551,44.455731453978636,44.900288768518422,45.349291656203604,45.802784572765638]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},0,0.45375761941851767,0.45143065726765341,0.4491156282560243,0.44681247118804479,0.44452112518195214,0.44224152966819857,0.43997362438784887,0.437717349390988,0.43547264503513677,0.43323945198367453,0.43101771120427113,0.42880736396732599,0.42660835184441664,0.42442061670675291,0.42224410072364144,0.4200787463609561,0.41792449637961787,0.41578129383408136,0.41364908207082968,0.41152780472687672,0.40941740572827723,0.40731782928864502,0.40522901990767762,0.40315092236968958,0.40108348174215269,0.39902664337424415,0.39698035289540201,0.39494455621388708,0.39291919951535431,0.39090422926142948,0.38889959218829384,0.38690523530527704,0.38492110589345507,0.3829471515042579,0.38098331995808221,0.37902955934291255,0.37708581801294894,0.3751520445872415,0.37322818794833262,0.3713141972409052,0.36941002187043909,0.36751561150187267,0.3656309160582733]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":4.2146110538240773},2.0908504963492502,1.3828726607958615,1.0288425881993455,0.8163932935503605,0.67473578656938205,0.57353193181575313,0.49761266371448315,0.43855072489892355,0.39128976154895317,0.35261209400092769,0.32037260205480511,0.29308620168052513,0.26969211742452426,0.24941244585679079,0.23166375772865438,0.21599989937258016,0.20207386030577726,0.18961168264707889,0.1783941977127621,0.16824398073194721,0.15901586337106657,0.15058992125619158,0.14286621461906601,0.13576079119241449,0.12920261151837054,0.12313115752605489,0.1174945535611725,0.11224807617245602,0.10735296194515227,0.10277544608072245,9.848598124712421E-2,9.4458598460552073E-2,9.0670380756945904E-2,8.7101027095382949E-2,8.3732488948324732E-2,8.0548665827201771E-2,7.753514888686848E-2,7.4679003979419803E-2,7.1968587253757196E-2,6.9393387744330348E-2,6.6943892450869485E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"upside"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,119.16520877176099,115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,73.197664853697844,71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,44.961933061321098,43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},11640,11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,4391.8598912218686,4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G942+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M942+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N942+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D942","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y942+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B948=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"}]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"upside"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.684159055782173,13.750123719948505,13.81640636762415,13.883008531652701,13.949931752266819,14.017177577123901,14.084747561341834,14.152643267534966,14.220866265850264,14.289418134003594,14.358300457316227,14.427514828751493,14.497062848951627,14.566946126274779,14.637166276832208,14.707724924525657,14.778623701084909,14.849864246105524,14.921448207086751,14.993377239469631,15.065653006675275,15.13827718014335,15.211251439370709,{"$f":"SUM(AL985:AL987)","v":15.284577471950243},15.358256973609901,15.432291648251917,15.506683207992213,15.581433373199967,15.656543872537444,15.732016442999933,15.80785282995593,15.884054787187516,15.96062407693088,16.037562469917113,16.114871745413122,16.192553691262805,16.270610103928384,16.349042788531936,16.427853558897169,16.507044237591337,16.586616655967422,16.666572654206441,16.74691408136005]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.22122723806847841,0.43688408773225823,0.64714280137688096,0.85217048859729327,1.0521292706010212,1.2471764299798271,1.437464555988792,1.6231416854676102,1.8043514395348279,1.9812331561818415,2.1539220188896651,2.3225491813877905,2.4872418886708751,2.6481235943855248,2.8053140746960796,2.958929538735029,3.1090827357405173,3.2558830589803405,3.3994366465588333,3.5398464792001612,3.6772124750987398,3.8116315819247615,3.9431978660701783,4.0720025992179352,4.1981343423147575,4.3216790270253869,4.4427200347438331,4.5613382732349175,4.6776122509772247,4.7916181492764069,4.9034298922157369,5.0131192145087962,5.120755727317249,5.2264069820947245,5.3301385325160613,5.4320139945493278,5.5320951047263573,5.6304417766658315,5.7271121559013611,5.8221626730653799,5.9156480954782253,6.0076215771902159]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.8420795278910864,6.8750618599742523,6.9082031838120752,6.9415042658263504,6.9749658761334095,7.0085887885619504,7.0423737806709168,7.076321633767483,7.1104331329251318,7.1447090670017968,7.1791502286581137,7.2137574143757464,7.2485314244758134,7.2834730631373894,7.3185831384161038,7.3538624622628284,7.3893118505424544,7.4249321230527618,7.4607241035433756,7.4966886197348153,7.5328265033376374,7.5691385900716748,7.6056257196853547,7.6422887359751215,7.6791284868049505,7.7161458241259586,7.7533416039961063,7.7907166865999837,7.8282719362687221,7.8660082214999667,7.9039264149779651,7.942027393593758,7.9803120384654402,8.0187812349585563,8.0574358727065611,8.0962768456314027,8.1353050519641918,8.1745213942659678,8.2139267794485846,8.2535221187956687,8.293308327983711,8.3332863271032203,8.3734570406800248]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,18.131510748911378,18.805166109813236,19.464481269592483,20.109914728088562,20.74191136653636,21.360902856781873,21.967308058224468,22.561533402854128,23.143973268740769,23.715010342322056,24.27501596982588,24.82435049815334,25.363363605538549,25.892394622291899,26.411772841924318,26.921817822941104,27.42283968158533,27.915139375802188,28.399008980687846,28.874731955678165,29.342583403725168,29.802830322701599,30.255731849266805,30.701539495420043,31.140497377960646,31.572842441067895,31.998804672206955,32.418607311561118,32.832467055184644,33.240594252064554,33.643193095274086,34.040461807395161,34.432592820381728,34.819772950030881,35.202183565223407,35.580000752090776,35.953395473260827,36.322533722329659,36.687576673703198,37.04868082794713,37.405998152780093,37.759676219840827,38.109858337356137]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,24.973590276802465,25.901455207855967,26.809568541136816,27.698561795291795,28.569047731267062,29.421620915944843,30.256858268875213,31.075319592610402,31.877548087133512,32.664070848858685,33.435399354665833,34.192029931418752,34.934444211402152,35.663109574100162,36.378479574725944,37.080994359900011,37.771081070862813,38.449154234595468,39.115616143211561,39.770857221971809,40.415256386262968,41.049181387872011,41.672989150876923,42.287026097465343,42.89162846398353,43.48712260750861,44.073825303228446,44.652044032904939,45.222077264688281,45.784214724541741,46.338737659528462,46.885919093204656,47.426024073355961,47.959309912306686,48.486026420024693,49.006416130238236,49.520714519774344,50.029150221321984,50.531945229817616,51.029315102644162,51.521469153829187,52.008610642422269,52.490936955226374]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"upside"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.64341255764305,165.34991967509694,178.51255781727988,192.14770091841302,206.27231069497151,220.90395774556021,236.06084340822133,251.76182240236258,268.02642628347309,284.87488773980294,302.32816576123179,320.40797171163496,339.1367963371809,358.53793774415658,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0.23600897347301952,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.37246873357176469,0.91758270351846249,1.4449425262256455,1.9542466220511301,2.4451913666297855,2.9174712095513371,3.3707787955502795,3.8048050881982931,4.2192394960876811,4.6137700014911047,4.9486007701266033,3.4340557245818104,1.8925418678819597,0.32441228811535439,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.27094382407128,164.43233697157848,177.06761529105424,190.19345429636189,203.82711932834172,217.98648653600887,232.69006461267105,247.95701731416429,263.80718678738538,280.26111773831184,297.37956499110521,316.97391598705315,337.24425446929894,358.21352545604122,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,100,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":100},100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,99.75598767917279,99.445066132888698,99.190565333949991,98.982945612822647,98.814580901143998,98.679303331943146,98.572072035800886,98.488728333830736,98.42581212808274,98.380422353793008,98.363169121981571,98.928224005714682,99.441953250628586,99.909518002430502,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"upside"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1063","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"F1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"G1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"H1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"I1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"J1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"K1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"L1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"M1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"N1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"O1063","v":0.35}]
["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,1,"Green offshore wage level relative to O&G sector",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1065","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1066=1,X1062,X1065)","v":0.34825},0.34650874999999998,0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore OPEX (Nominal GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X1067*U800*(1+(upside!S$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Y1067*V800*(1+(upside!T$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"Z1067*W800*(1+(upside!U$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AA1067*X800*(1+(upside!V$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AB1067*Y800*(1+(upside!W$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AC1067*Z800*(1+(upside!X$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AD1067*AA800*(1+(upside!Y$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AE1067*AB800*(1+(upside!Z$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AF1067*AC800*(1+(upside!AA$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AG1067*AD800*(1+(upside!AB$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"AH1067*AE800*(1+(upside!AC$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0.60564049986776192},{"$f":"AI1067*AF800*(1+(upside!AD$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":1.2513939676736883},{"$f":"AJ1067*AG800*(1+(upside!AE$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":1.939453952877809},{"$f":"AK1067*AH800*(1+(upside!AF$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":2.6721286083238587},{"$f":"AL1067*AI800*(1+(upside!AG$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":3.4518466029465107},{"$f":"AM1067*AJ800*(1+(upside!AH$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":4.2811633384362926},{"$f":"AN1067*AK800*(1+(upside!AI$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":5.1627674854716705},{"$f":"AO1067*AL800*(1+(upside!AJ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":6.0994878559291426},{"$f":"AP1067*AM800*(1+(upside!AK$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":7.0943006283246959},{"$f":"AQ1067*AN800*(1+(upside!AL$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":8.1503369446257405},{"$f":"AR1067*AO800*(1+(upside!AM$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":9.2708908975038273},{"$f":"AS1067*AP800*(1+(upside!AN$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":10.459427928077591},{"$f":"AT1067*AQ800*(1+(upside!AO$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":11.719593655224447},{"$f":"AU1067*AR800*(1+(upside!AP$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":13.055223158621917},{"$f":"AV1067*AS800*(1+(upside!AQ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":14.470350738817004},{"$f":"AW1067*AT800*(1+(upside!AR$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":15.969220178818109},{"$f":"AX1067*AU800*(1+(upside!AS$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":17.556295532961514},{"$f":"AY1067*AV800*(1+(upside!AT$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":19.236272470126416},{"$f":"AZ1067*AW800*(1+(upside!AU$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":21.014090199762514},{"$f":"BA1067*AX800*(1+(upside!AV$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":22.894944010655088},{"$f":"BB1067*AY800*(1+(upside!AW$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":24.884298453889233},{"$f":"BC1067*AZ800*(1+(upside!AX$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":26.987901203089471},{"$f":"BD1067*BA800*(1+(upside!AY$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":29.21179762670949},{"$f":"BE1067*BB800*(1+(upside!AZ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":31.562346108931497},{"$f":"BF1067*BC800*(1+(upside!BA$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":34.046234157611813},{"$f":"BG1067*BD800*(1+(upside!BB$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":36.670495339682446},{"$f":"BH1067*BE800*(1+(upside!BC$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":39.442527086492575},{"$f":"BI1067*BF800*(1+(upside!BD$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":42.370109413755188},{"$f":"BJ1067*BG800*(1+(upside!BE$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":45.461424603056791},{"$f":"BK1067*BH800*(1+(upside!BF$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":48.725077894298693},{"$f":"BL1067*BI800*(1+(upside!BG$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":52.170119240972923},{"$f":"BM1067*BJ800*(1+(upside!BH$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":55.806066182839842},{"$f":"BN1067*BK800*(1+(upside!BI$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":59.642927893376388},{"$f":"BO1067*BL800*(1+(upside!BJ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":63.691230462308148},{"$f":"BP1067*BM800*(1+(upside!BK$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":67.962043476635188},{"$f":"BQ1067*BN800*(1+(upside!BL$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":72.467007966816482},{"$f":"BR1067*BO800*(1+(upside!BM$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":77.218365788200003},{"$f":"BS1067*BP800*(1+(upside!BN$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":82.228990511383287},{"$f":"BT1067*BQ800*(1+(upside!BO$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":87.512419898972283},{"$f":"BU1067*BR800*(1+(upside!BP$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":93.082890050182499},{"$f":"BV1067*BS800*(1+(upside!BQ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":98.95537129890775},{"$f":"BW1067*BT800*(1+(upside!BR$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":105.14560595527696}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore OPEX (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X1067*U800","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.49683615440205758,1.0064499155442501,1.5292462061990193,2.0656423254312459,2.6160683290830895,3.1809674219449877,3.760796361971801,4.3560258769141109,4.9671410937460454,5.5946419812827273,6.2390438063925053,6.9008776042215914,7.5806906628615209,8.2790470229031214,8.9965279923342649,9.7337326772527586,10.49127852888016,11.269801907377278,12.069958662977491,12.892424734969811,13.737896769080068,14.607092753815325,15.500752676354077,16.419639198582619,17.364538353896453,18.336260265404633,19.335639886194414,20.363537762333991,21.420840819311675,22.50846317263154,23.627346963307495,24.778463219020679,25.962812741728495,27.181427022537793,28.435369184679775,29.725734955449791,31.053653668001825,32.420289293914699,33.826841507475308,35.274546782653154,36.764679523770312,38.298553230902051]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
[]
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[]
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[]
[]
["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"upside"}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, Green offshore, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"F990*X592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!S$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"G990*Y592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!T$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"H990*Z592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!U$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"I990*AA592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!V$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"J990*AB592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!W$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"K990*AC592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!X$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"L990*AD592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!Y$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"M990*AE592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!Z$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"N990*AF592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AA$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"O990*AG592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AB$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0},{"$f":"P990*AH592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AC$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0.248770560535997},{"$f":"Q990*AI592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AD$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0.50210495555109291},{"$f":"R990*AJ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AE$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":0.76014474675448462},{"$f":"S990*AK592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AF$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":1.0230351539104949},{"$f":"T990*AL592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AG$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":1.2909251548587193},{"$f":"U990*AM592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AH$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":1.563967588219543},{"$f":"V990*AN592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AI$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":1.8423192588575481},{"$f":"W990*AO592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AJ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":2.1261410461772812},{"$f":"X990*AP592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AK$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":2.4155980153278644},{"$f":"Y990*AQ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AL$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":2.7108595313949899},{"$f":"Z990*AR592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AM$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":3.0120993766609483},{"$f":"AA990*AS592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AN$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":3.319495871015548},{"$f":"AB990*AT592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AO$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":3.6332319956029622},{"$f":"AC990*AU592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AP$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":3.9534955197918729},{"$f":"AD990*AV592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AQ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":4.2804791315586463},{"$f":"AE990*AW592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AR$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":4.6143805713756354},{"$f":"AF990*AX592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AS$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":4.9554027696992495},{"$f":"AG990*AY592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AT$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":5.3037539881549627},{"$f":"AH990*AZ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AU$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":5.6596479645190296},{"$f":"AI990*BA592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AV$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":6.0233040615993829},{"$f":"AJ990*BB592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AW$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":6.3949474201209791},{"$f":"AK990*BC592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AX$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":6.7748091157236425},{"$f":"AL990*BD592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AY$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":7.163126320183407},{"$f":"AM990*BE592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!AZ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":7.5601424669713362},{"$f":"AN990*BF592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BA$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":7.9661074212668694},{"$f":"AO990*BG592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BB$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":8.3812776545459293},{"$f":"AP990*BH592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BC$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":8.8059164238672167},{"$f":"AQ990*BI592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BD$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":9.2402939559834785},{"$f":"AR990*BJ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BE$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":9.6846876364079595},{"$f":"AS990*BK592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BF$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":10.139382203569729},{"$f":"AT990*BL592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BG$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":10.60466994819523},{"$f":"AU990*BM592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BH$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":11.080850918056985},{"$f":"AV990*BN592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BI$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":11.568233128234416},{"$f":"AW990*BO592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BJ$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":12.067132777035338},{"$f":"AX990*BP592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BK$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":12.577874467731004},{"$f":"AY990*BQ592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BL$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":13.100791436261428},{"$f":"AZ990*BR592*$B1067/1000000*(1+(upside!BM$1244-upside!$S$1244)/upside!$S$1244)","v":13.636225785072199},{"$f":"BA990*BS592*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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, Green offshore, operations (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"F990*X592*$B1067/1000000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.20407850639469449,0.40382445749532297,0.59936894527015738,0.79083944827309272,0.9783599334801929,1.1620509552717386,1.3420297516398911,1.5184103376998455,1.6913035965801568,1.8608173677658013,2.0270565329654668,2.190123099572574,2.3501162817875558,2.5071325794670498,2.6612658547638146,2.8126074066193678,2.961246043169635,3.107268152122189,3.2507577691620169,3.3917966444411536,3.5304643072059809,3.6668381286144709,3.800993382794172,3.9330033061903484,4.0629391552522529,4.1908702625042062,4.3168640910468223,4.4409862875324437,4.5633007336576439,4.6838695962144179,4.802753375740533,4.9200109538083643,5.0356996389904713,5.1498752115390234,5.2625919668152443,5.3739027575039202,5.4838590346471419,5.5925108875303797,5.6999070824531941,5.8060951004158206,5.9111211737521501,6.0150303217386485]
[]
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[]
["Green offshore OPEX",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1104+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"A1163","v":"Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)"},null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
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[]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1086,\" (\",B1113,\")\")","v":"Green offshore Wage bill (2018-GNOK/yr)"},"2018-GNOK/yr",null,null,0,{"$f":"X1093","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.20407850639469449,0.40382445749532297,0.59936894527015738,0.79083944827309272,0.9783599334801929,1.1620509552717386,1.3420297516398911,1.5184103376998455,1.6913035965801568,1.8608173677658013,2.0270565329654668,2.190123099572574,2.3501162817875558,2.5071325794670498,2.6612658547638146,2.8126074066193678,2.961246043169635,3.107268152122189,3.2507577691620169,3.3917966444411536,3.5304643072059809,3.6668381286144709,3.800993382794172,3.9330033061903484,4.0629391552522529,4.1908702625042062,4.3168640910468223,4.4409862875324437,4.5633007336576439,4.6838695962144179,4.802753375740533,4.9200109538083643,5.0356996389904713,5.1498752115390234,5.2625919668152443,5.3739027575039202,5.4838590346471419,5.5925108875303797,5.6999070824531941,5.8060951004158206,5.9111211737521501,6.0150303217386485]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore OPEX (\",B1115,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)"},"2018-NOK/kWh",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1114/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O1114/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P1114/P1036)","v":6.8747219372084889E-2},6.8403483275224483E-2,6.8061465858848355E-2,6.7721158529554112E-2,6.738255273690634E-2,6.7045639973221813E-2,6.6710411773355696E-2,6.6376859714488923E-2,6.6044975415916488E-2,6.5714750538836922E-2,6.5386176786142711E-2,6.5059245902212001E-2,6.4733949672700936E-2,6.4410279924337441E-2,6.408822852471574E-2,6.3767787382092156E-2,6.3448948445181702E-2,6.3131703702955788E-2,6.2816045184441019E-2,6.2501964958518799E-2,6.2189455133726215E-2,6.1878507858057583E-2,6.1569115318767312E-2,6.1261269742173476E-2,6.095496339346259E-2,6.0650188576495283E-2,6.0346937633612818E-2,6.0045202945444749E-2,5.9744976930717536E-2,5.9446252046063949E-2,5.9149020785833624E-2,5.8853275681904453E-2,5.855900930349494E-2,5.8266214256977464E-2,5.7974883185692563E-2,5.7685008769764103E-2,5.739658372591528E-2,5.71096008072857E-2,5.6824052803249273E-2,5.653993253923302E-2,5.6257232876536847E-2,5.5975946712154175E-2]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
[]
[]
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[]
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[]
["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,59.2353845011461,59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
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[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.6135000000000006,7.3567153846153834,11.234302603550296,15.251085261113639,19.412060116640799,23.722403300315083,28.187476752121267,32.812834891941009,37.604231529087606,42.56762701987536,47.709195682127309,53.035333475844688,58.552665959592971,64.268056532501433,70.188614972129699,76.135471912035641,82.21616848578924,88.533807645527119,95.096727148180946,101.91355966417086,108.99324326800442,116.34503230633553,123.97850865708214,131.90359339369269,140.13055886915592,148.68978249555261,158.48695799352657,168.62212723464944,179.10676272802061,189.31776519056314,199.72728753073727,210.51048503184066,221.68077167400929,233.25204296487118,245.23869322514867,257.65563349476935,270.51831008176111,283.84272377700381,297.64544975874236,311.94365821162035,326.75513568588372,342.09830722332566]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.85441106040375892,1.7534989232247811,2.6995986996322934,3.6951637622343538,4.7427717578052295,5.8451309266558358,7.0050867443292191,8.2256289021064237,9.5098986436525603,10.86119647602073,12.282990274164776,13.778923799093139,15.352825650827409,17.008718678413789,18.75082987037565,20.583600750193746,22.511698302660761,24.540026458281378,26.673738164281545,28.918248072254471,31.279245874010211,33.762710318813113,36.374923946892899,39.122488575902835,42.012341578878683,45.051772994228372,48.248443510359792,51.610403369738663,55.146112239464749,58.864460097868424,62.774789189168153,66.886917100896824,71.211161021610806,75.758363239343481,80.539917944366195,85.567799403077913,90.854591573272202,96.413519234631309,102.2584807120854,108.40408227365519,114.86567428858257,121.65938923595361]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,34.98438011639913,36.040908395914379,37.129343829470997,38.250650013121017,39.405819643517283,40.595875396751502,41.821870833733399,43.08489133291215,44.38605505116611,45.726513913711329,47.107454633905405,48.530099763849364,49.995708776717613,51.505579181774479,53.061047673064074,54.663491312790605,56.314328750436886,58.015021478700092,59.767075127356833,61.572040796203005,63.431516428248337,65.347148224381428,67.320632100757763,69.353715190200646,71.44819738894472,73.60593295009086,75.828832125183609,78.118862855364142,80.478052513596154,82.908489699506745,85.412326088431854,87.991778336302488,90.649130042058843,93.386733769329012,96.207013129162746,99.112464925663474,102.1056613664185,105.18925233968434,108.36596776034283,111.63861998670517,115.01010631030366,118.48341152087481,122.06161054880525,125.74787118737915]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-34.98438011639913,-36.040908395914379,-33.490821826490681,-30.674055014875297,-27.572650006672568,-24.167556043285227,-20.438565498907163,-16.364246118501065,-11.921869344651562,-7.087334509063183,-1.8350886516610245,3.861958283291564,10.032523138958048,16.707044405607789,23.917782544235401,31.698926087050559,40.0867038456404,48.807855613598704,58.054892719622728,68.027434921124723,78.771763378228485,90.336910578268387,102.7748192833767,116.14051056159293,130.49226141884375,145.89179257859712,162.40446698711401,180.13976960292629,201.03495452614158,223.34764393307717,247.16198924575443,271.16489613351598,296.40196899833086,323.32039590938638,352.02185032051727,382.61395010660232,415.21060027075055,449.93235528473951,486.90680218391066,526.26896560164516,568.16173599610192,612.73632239329629,660.15273104606808,710.58027148825715]
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[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"upside"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1226+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1226+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1226+10","v":2070},null,{"$f":"D1227","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},{"$f":"E1227","v":-1.9118460829078907},{"$f":"F1227","v":1.6909868685221172},{"$f":"G1227","v":-5.2056557471082767},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*1","v":-3.1645245976866212},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*2","v":-1.1233934482649657},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*3","v":0.91773770115668984},{"$f":"$T1226+(($Y1226-$T1226)/5)*4","v":2.9588688505783454},{"$f":"H1227","v":5},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*1","v":4.66},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*2","v":4.32},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*3","v":3.98},{"$f":"$Y1226+(($AD1226-$Y1226)/5)*4","v":3.6399999999999997},{"$f":"I1227","v":3.3},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*1","v":2.94},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*2","v":2.58},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*3","v":2.2199999999999998},{"$f":"$AD1226+(($AI1226-$AD1226)/5)*4","v":1.8599999999999999},{"$f":"J1227","v":1.5},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*1","v":1.4},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*2","v":1.3},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*3","v":1.2},{"$f":"$AI1226+(($AN1226-$AI1226)/5)*4","v":1.1000000000000001},{"$f":"K1227","v":1},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*1","v":0.9},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*2","v":0.8},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*3","v":0.7},{"$f":"$AN1226+(($AS1226-$AN1226)/5)*4","v":0.6},{"$f":"L1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*1","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*2","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*3","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AS1226+(($AX1226-$AS1226)/5)*4","v":0.5},{"$f":"M1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*1","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*2","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*3","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*4","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*5","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*6","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*7","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*8","v":0.5},{"$f":"$AX1226+(($BH1226-$AX1226)/10)*9","v":0.5},{"$f":"N1227","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*1","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*2","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*3","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*4","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*5","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*6","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*7","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*8","v":0.5},{"$f":"$BH1226+(($BR1226-$BH1226)/10)*9","v":0.5},{"$f":"O1227","v":0.5}]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1239+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1239+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1239+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1233","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1232=1,S1233,S1226)","v":1.6909868685221172},-5.2056557471082767,-3.1645245976866212,-1.1233934482649657,0.91773770115668984,2.9588688505783454,5,4.66,4.32,3.98,3.6399999999999997,3.3,2.94,2.58,2.2199999999999998,1.8599999999999999,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1000000000000001,1,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,5168.0283591996267,5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1236","v":"GDP nominal Mainland (GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1242*S1244/100","v":3063.06},{"$f":"T1242*T1244/100","v":2983.4346009050273},2964.6020040302815,3007.1904980255508,3112.5509743982325,3285.9174077439038,3536.8121481298558,3793.5830746444303,4055.4959021008872,4321.063522395707,4588.6525057543922,4856.4957267412192,5121.7131831321531,5381.6384750627331,5633.9859130135274,5876.4340541593047,6106.6594603465928,6338.6251828155646,6572.3764929576973,6807.4670973239936,7043.4296362714322,7279.7769480661,7516.0034879834193,7751.3319597027803,7985.2014019095404,8217.0379590730754,8446.2570640676422,8680.9034646487908,8920.7812365541413,9165.9674471339695,9416.5391155104553,9672.5731706734114,9934.1464085223288,10201.606688222746,10475.051556863571,10754.579207423216,11040.288455359008,11332.278714353659,11630.649971216004,11935.502759933996,12246.938134878455,12565.057643156875,12889.963296117186,13221.668695171922,13560.269935807022,13905.863225933022,14258.544849645114,14618.411130270541,14985.558392718631,15360.082925149871,15742.080939981615,16131.648534249058]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1237","v":"Inflation-GDP deflator  Mainland  (NOKt/NOK2018)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1231=1,S1237,S1230)","v":102},104.04,106.1208,108.243216,110.40808032000001,112.61624192640001,114.868566764928,117.16593810022657,119.5092568622311,121.89944199947573,124.33743083946524,126.82417945625456,129.36066304537965,131.94787630628724,134.58683383241299,137.27857050906127,140.02414191924251,142.82462475762736,145.6811172527799,148.59473959783551,151.56663438979223,154.59796707758807,157.68992641913982,160.84372494752262,164.06059944647308,167.34181143540255,170.68864766411059,174.1024206173928,177.58446902974066,181.13615841033547,184.75888157854217,188.45405921011303,192.22314039431529,196.06760320220161,199.98895526624565,203.98873437157056,208.06850905900197,212.22987924018202,216.47447682498566,220.80396636148538,225.22004568871509,229.72444660248939,234.31893553453918,239.00531424522995,243.78542053013456,248.66112894073726,253.63435151955201,258.70703854994304,263.8811793209419,269.15880290736072,274.54197896550795,280.0328185448181]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1241/S1241)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.3458518144600085},"pct/yr"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,{"$f":"IF($B$1271=1,S1269,S1268)","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"IF($B$1271=1,T1269,T1268)","v":1.0545855541260798},1.0704043374379708,1.0864604024995403,1.1027573085370332,1.1192986681650887,1.1360881481875649,1.1531294704103783,1.1704264124665338,1.1879828086535318,1.2058025507833345,1.2238895890450845,1.2422479328807607,1.2608816518739721,1.2797948766520815,1.2989917998018625,1.3184766767988902,1.3382538269508735,1.3583276343551365,1.3787025488704634,1.3993830871035202,1.4203738334100728,1.4416794409112237,1.463304632524892,1.4852542020127653,1.5075330150429567,1.5301460102686009,1.5530982004226297,1.5763946734289689,1.6000405935304032,1.624041202433359,1.6484018204698592,1.6731278477769069,1.6982247654935603,1.7236981369759634,1.7495536090306028,1.7757969131660616,1.8024338668635522,1.8294703748665053,1.8569124304895028,1.8847661169468453,1.9130376087010477,1.9417331728315632,1.9708591704240366,2.0004220579803969,2.0304283888501025,2.0608848146828538,2.0917980869030965,2.1231750582066429,2.1550226840797424,2.1873480243409382,2.2201582447060519]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Mainland CO2e emissions per unit GDP (kgCO2e/2018-NOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(hist!A435,\" annual RoC in pct/yr\")","v":"  annual RoC in pct/yr"},{"$f":"hist!AR435","v":2.8283906521528777},{"$f":"hist!AS435","v":2.8401785911822031},2.8,2.5,2.2000000000000002,2,1.8,1.6,1.4,1.2,1,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1292+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1292+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1292+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1302+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1302+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1302+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"upside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1329+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1329+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,{"$f":"X608*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,13.648112495564767,13.761933661130502,13.739891227692585,13.590446289593469,13.323903692914021,12.952129531478704,12.378809439100664,11.626752239288816,10.728148582875386,9.7168369667024237,8.6266866411635679,7.6859555753223603,6.8896369779102962,6.2130113262590534,5.6343494399855123,5.1361785262088313,4.6826314465861891,4.2673904156159761,3.8868296107172071,3.5378337837319478,3.2175949894364724,2.9280075623640758,2.6664157376694586,2.4300793844515431,2.2165034793191976,2.0234393216855264,1.848861990857994,1.6909481646362456,1.5480560035889355,1.4187070337485084,1.3015698390510519,1.1846880331672553,1.0689088636566524,0.9559168261472003,0.84727031209182246,0.74428930723114939,0.6480262054515662,0.55925549793050067,0.47847603731834765,0.405924303656783,0.34159708610075645,0.28161289404729678,0.22662072739332784,0.1776256680034265,0.135291778365319,9.9834656317005208E-2,7.1051166591553055E-2,4.8399452429814242E-2,3.1101937836143463E-2,1.8254528510151458E-2]
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["GDP value created by Green Offshore",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"upside"},2018,{"$f":"E1375+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1375+1","v":2056},{"$f":"AQ1375+1","v":2057},2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Percent of investment spending being imported",{"$f":"$B$939","v":50},"pct"]
["Green offshore revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["Green offshore investment spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"F909*$B$939/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,17.492190058199565,18.020454197957189,18.564671914735499,19.125325006560509,19.702909821758642,20.297937698375751,20.9109354168667,21.542445666456075,22.193027525583055,22.863256956855665,23.553727316952703,24.265049881924682,24.997854388358807,25.752789590887243,26.530523836532037,27.331745656395302,28.157164375218443,29.007510739350046,29.883537563678416,30.786020398101506,31.715758214124165,32.673574112190714,33.660316050378881,34.676857595100323,35.72409869447236,36.80296647504543,37.914416062591805,39.059431427682071,40.239026256798077,41.45424484975338,42.706163044215927,43.995889168151244,45.324565021029422,46.693366884664513,48.103506564581373,49.556232462831737,51.052830683209251,52.594626169842179,54.182983880171413,55.819309993352583,57.505053155151828,59.241705760437405,61.030805274402631,62.873935593689573]
["Green offshore operations spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1105","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.60564049986776192,1.2513939676736883,1.939453952877809,2.6721286083238587,3.4518466029465107,4.2811633384362926,5.1627674854716705,6.0994878559291426,7.0943006283246959,8.1503369446257405,9.2708908975038273,10.459427928077591,11.719593655224447,13.055223158621917,14.470350738817004,15.969220178818109,17.556295532961514,19.236272470126416,21.014090199762514,22.894944010655088,24.884298453889233,26.987901203089471,29.21179762670949,31.562346108931497,34.046234157611813,36.670495339682446,39.442527086492575,42.370109413755188,45.461424603056791,48.725077894298693,52.170119240972923,55.806066182839842,59.642927893376388,63.691230462308148,67.962043476635188,72.467007966816482,77.218365788200003,82.228990511383287,87.512419898972283,93.082890050182499,98.95537129890775,105.14560595527696]
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["Employment Norway (1000 p)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(O1457:O1459)","v":2024.5},{"$f":"SUM(P1457:P1459)","v":2004.9166666666667},2000.25,2000.4999999999998,2030.9166666666667,2076.3333333333335,2131.75,2198.25,2250.75,2263,2273.5,2281.5,2290.5,2275,2279.5,2291,2355,2436.75,2504.75,2495.75,2497.7500000000005,2541.5,2583,2602.75,2625,2639.75,2638.75,2645.75,2694.5,{"$f":"SUM(AR1457:AR1459)","v":2725.5},{"$f":"SUM(AS1457:AS1459)","v":2844.0997788717273},2734.4713564675089,2680.671019155594,2678.5061537170627,2726.9304635921189,2827.955392632593,2916.5598745303296,2998.2891626607548,3097.3787408882249,3164.1154563774799,3221.8737033741249,3275.5189366375939,3319.0063651804894,3351.4712589093501,3372.3203585568558,3381.2138681693123,3386.9793062522294,3389.2709482447294,3388.1847287557093,3383.7610049714967,3376.0096532915468,3365.5269352112341,3351.6305419455703,3334.3336865452225,3313.66107581601,3289.6537666639165,3265.6295913454287,3241.4110184826345,3216.9981237156039,3192.3928826105544,3167.5982640550828,3142.5588134608747,3117.350698632496,3092.0527903469688,3066.6834626731484,3041.2052947590551,3015.5678451221584,2989.7512572337173,2963.786086473011,2937.7389087493707,2911.6730942877771,2885.5108714587022,2859.2624739003918,2832.9341675577416,2806.5472923789098,2780.1088048144552,2753.620379014947,2727.0922373862463,2700.5458382384836,2674.0023940001397,2647.4688801958769]
["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.614842479969901,53.837424437046501,55.361567021841246,56.298839150286597,57.071367984589948,57.767287749207455,58.287247782257417,58.61864489640768,58.753647459006672,58.688772879944182,58.578964142656048,58.414099854162103,58.196390237160642,57.927041162035913,57.606700023373605,57.245957822307595,56.835441148041092,56.375740638050516,55.867600680311497,55.311999311863779,54.764823240088859,54.224698072747898,53.691391353427626,53.164705675182631,52.644463102977262,52.12951925962183,51.619546205622235,51.115670233182314,50.618012781650542,50.12577648987601,49.637955560512573,49.154053119136876,48.6744030341262,48.199929305343041,47.731500979288882,47.267673959429871,46.808765171006954,46.354703935535085,45.905667731540397,45.46160019009578,45.022360371421634,44.587948928735337,44.158552054549105,43.734353992376619,43.315308437670879]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"upside"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.4496696420352375,8.1474412543998529,7.9802257582245435,7.9351099789875512,8.0082859335166283,8.2042501325912038,8.373417479060512,8.5341952874827882,8.6241627118807518,8.6864868898072789,8.6279825040167122,8.5374091433235844,8.439740593345034,8.3334141494963738,8.2151377144152189,8.0824165766128644,7.9529424990499855,7.8228286744842466,7.6914555747129922,7.5585319140069638,7.4238591258131432,7.2873055074042234,7.1492339080720768,7.0095709322339399,6.8680117678726837,6.7247047688181771,6.5861758519315483,6.4521241106630578,6.3222689187838954,6.1963579749314563,6.074164063076009,5.9554821968245788,5.8392088506345363,5.7253674171757734,5.6140428933148172,5.505062029821616,5.39875458965781,5.2951472804141346,5.1936530835967574,5.0947144015935697,4.9984459041713087,4.9047902246236248,4.8133967013599728,4.7242691542710897,4.6374377320261129,4.5529058787795664,4.4706436238429061,4.3905912193995587,4.3126662017953423,4.2367717227616142]
[null,null,null,"plus behavioural change",null,{"$f":"F1495*IF(F1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(F1488-$F1485)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1495*IF(G1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(G1488-$F1485)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},8.4496696420352375,8.1474412543998529,7.9802257582245435,7.9351099789875512,8.0082859335166283,8.2042501325912038,8.373417479060512,8.5341952874827882,8.6241627118807518,8.6864868898072789,8.6279825040167122,8.5374091433235844,8.439740593345034,8.3334141494963738,8.2151377144152189,8.0824165766128644,7.9529424990499855,7.8228286744842466,7.6914555747129922,7.5585319140069638,7.4238591258131432,7.2873055074042234,7.1492339080720768,7.0095709322339399,6.8680117678726837,6.7247047688181771,6.5861758519315483,6.4521241106630578,6.3222689187838954,6.1963579749314563,6.0137251208135742,5.8375557482294527,5.6666341485552039,5.5008725496892961,5.3402427905301773,5.1844721748673113,5.0337654145858162,4.8880370110750269,4.7466415185791533,4.609888224768544,4.4777784643897771,4.3501586880292304,4.2266216506722936,4.1070822955061237,3.9914796461294051,3.8797304663497578,3.7717247329772174,3.6673300560483439,3.566398707223486,3.4687753031961148]
[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.3208533194391681},8.2861709064313054,8.2249818767899523,8.1670074972294717,8.1352631844869023,8.1490605741077626,8.1939319550983125,8.2619846215752073,8.3344202396363158,8.4048335696705081,8.4494633565397486,8.4670525138965154,8.4615901297862184,8.4359549337282491,8.3917914898656427,8.3299165072150867,8.2545217055820661,8.1681830993625013,8.072837594432599,7.9699764583474719,7.8607529918406058,7.7460634949533294,7.6266975775770787,7.5032722485084511,7.3762201523812978,7.2459170756686735,7.1139688309212481,6.9815998868696099,6.8497336932524666,6.7190585495882642,6.5779918638333266,6.429904640712552,6.2772505422810827,6.1219749437627256,5.9656285131162159,5.8093972454664353,5.6542708792903111,5.5010241056472546,5.350147588233634,5.202095715540616,5.0572322653104482,4.9158175498542045,4.7779783700178227,4.6437991551154827,4.5133352533182673,4.3866142959245655,4.2636363833350961,4.1443751178777459,4.028779835746894,3.9167789292367381]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},{"$f":"IF($B$1504=1,AD1502,IF($B$1504=2,AD1503,F1490))","v":8.1577805320073189},8.1169916293472824,8.0764066712005462,8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,42.971989254964022,42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"upside"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,1,"Future annual RoC, reneawable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.606291868834532},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.312354787522878},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":72.025478335398105},72.745733118752085,73.473190449939608,74.207922354439006,74.9500015779834,75.69950159376323,76.456496609700864,77.221061575797876,77.99327219155586,78.773204913471417,79.560936962606135,80.356546332232199,81.160111795554528,81.971712913510075,82.791430042645175,83.619344343071631,84.455537786502347,85.300093164367368,86.153094096011046,87.014625036971154,87.884771287340868,88.763619000214277,89.651255190216418,90.54776774211858,91.453245419539769,92.367777873735164,93.291455652472521,94.224370208997243,95.166613911087211,96.118280050198081,97.079462850700068,98.050257479207076,99.030760053999145,100.02106765453914,101.02127833108453,102.03149111439538,103.05180602553934,104.08232408579472,105.12314732665267,106.1743787999192,107.23612258791839,108.30848381379758,109.39156865193556,110.48548433845491,111.59033918183945,112.70624257365785,113.83330499939443,114.97163804938837,116.12135442988226,117.28256797418108]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Births (p/yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)*(U20/100)","v":54495},{"$f":"(V22*1000000)*(V20/100)","v":53673.499999999993},53781.69301499999,53875.041907608793,53953.63972068236,54017.581717698486,54066.96536762148,54545.34844669341,55023.243100582047,55500.591407553853,55977.335272212746,56453.41643543703,56815.372547171348,57170.007461830362,57517.195977852207,57856.815167042252,58188.744444135897,58628.503709557757,59065.839136906543,59500.680002266723,59932.95568799146,60362.595695976372,60201.62318453427,60032.258442638798,59854.569582475138,59668.627284466362,59474.504765520636,59272.2777460039,59060.063035562634,58837.964110368484,58606.088642043404,58364.548425979934,58234.026649744861,58096.042924101326,57950.655046472595,57797.923360016699,57637.910718542742,57470.682450002663,57296.306318586969,57114.852485454663,56926.39346812803,56731.004098584614,56528.761480079127,56319.366496961804,56102.905315384523,55879.466566867144,55649.14129292607,55412.022888323001,55168.207042982358,54917.791682626776,54660.876908181286,54397.564933997477]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Deaths (p/yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)*(U21/100)","v":40684},{"$f":"(V22*1000000)*(V21/100)","v":40255.124999999993},40498.26281249999,40732.138539018742,40956.710314283169,41171.937284831161,41377.779618077664,42017.656628652032,42659.720865431023,43303.888860329324,43950.076488825667,44598.198983995251,45588.382762400965,46578.751099379711,47568.893691424484,48558.398443767604,49546.8517049078,50186.924279976462,50826.792813290893,51466.341606657326,52105.454652717723,52744.015656678392,53087.954819955507,53427.530598262034,53762.651927341802,54093.228711166325,54419.171860451381,54978.913563194779,55533.196923115065,56081.806932082385,56624.530317056277,57161.155674928792,57691.473606424253,58216.82471812232,58737.041805975874,59251.959167815861,59761.412692383783,60265.239947571492,60763.28026780083,61255.374840476958,61741.366791449334,62221.101269415376,62755.471707906421,63282.932419579643,63803.304084162788,64316.410096656713,64822.07667088091,65320.132941201948,65810.411062360334,66292.746307313399,66766.977163013391,67232.945424041827]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Calculated life expectancy (yr)",{"$f":"(U22*1000000)/U27","v":130.96578507521383}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB births main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,55000,55000,55000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,60400,60400,60400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,56600,56600,56600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,48000,48000,48000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,46200,46200,46200,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,38100,38100,38100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB births high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,67500,67500,67500,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,68200,68200,68200]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB deaths main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,42100,42100,42100,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,52800,52800,52800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,61600,61600,61600]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,39400,39400,39400,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48800,48800,48800,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,58300,58300,58300]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB death high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,44900,44900,44900,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,57300,57300,57300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,65300,65300,65300]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB https://www.ssb.no/en/folkfram",null,"SSB net migration main (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,13700,13700,13700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11000,11000,11000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,10500,10500,10500]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration low (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,8700,8700,8700,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,6000,6000,6000,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4100,4100,4100]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"SSB net migration high (p/yr)",null,null,null,null,null,19300,19300,19300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,21300,21300,21300,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26300,26300,26300]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Oil and Gas offshore","Exploration increases reserves (Mtoe) We call both contingent and remaining reservers \"reserves\" since in reality the distinction is one of PDOs (Plans for Development and Operation)"]
["Offshore, Exploration"]
["We use the same logic as Finn Roar Aune, Ådne Cappelen og Ståle Mæland, Konsekvenser av redusert petroleumsvirksomhet, Statistisk sentralbyrå 2020, pg 21:"]
["\"Det finnes ikke tilgjengelige anslag på ressursbruken som er nødvendig for å kunne utvinne den produksjonen som er vist på figur 2.8. Vi må derfor avlede hva vi tror utvinningsnæringen trenger for å kunne utvinne de mengdene olje og gass"]
[" som ligger i tallene bak figuren med tilstrekkelig lønnsomhet. I nasjonalregnskapet, som KVARTS bygger på, er investeringene i petroleumsutvinning inndelt i mange kapitalarter. Vi skal ikke gå i stor detalj i framstillingen her, men vi antar i all hovedsak "]
["at de ulike kapitalartene må stå i et fast forhold til hverandre. Den samlede kapitalen akkumuleres i modellen ved en definisjonslikning hvor kapitalen ved inngangen til året pluss bruttoinvesteringer minus kapitalslit gir oss kapitalen ved utgangen av året. "]
["Ved å anta at kapitalen ved inngangen til året er bestemmende for produksjon, kan vi se hvordan produksjonen per kapitalenhet har utviklet seg over tid og dermed avlede hvor store investeringene må være for at vi skal få den tilstrekkelige kapitalen\""]
["som trengs gitt produksjonsanslagene.\""]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (finding, constructing, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/Mtoe) = Activity volume (Mtoe/yr)"]
["For the future I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to two conflicting influences: 1) as fields are found and developed it gets harder to find new fields - harder: read more expensive"]
["2) Unit Costs, and labour productivty below, are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you find."]
["Thus we ask you to enter both influences separately. Note that both estimates are done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[]
["NOTE: The numbers from OD (Oljedirektoratet) for the past do not add up. If we consider the time from 2000 to 2019, for which OD gives independent estimates for money spent, average cost per find and finds, "]
["the result is off by a factor of 4, i.e. costs per find would have to be 4 times lower to reconcile spending and finds (or spending, or findings, would have had to be four time lower)"]
["Thus, we make the assumption that average costs do not consider unusually large finds, i.e. statistical outliers. Since the history of finds is punctuated by substantial outliers, more frequent and large in the past (see graph to right),"]
["we believe this is a defensible assumption."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"downside"}]
["Spending could be made to be influenced by delayed average field profitability.",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2007,{"$f":"I79+1","v":2008},{"$f":"J79+1","v":2009},2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Future) ratio of unit revenue to unit OPEX",{"$f":"AF716/AF666","v":5.3703068237836016},6.2407303392008204,3.9877346089295598,4.2872256012816274,4.8121834522696805,4.7558520497554078,4.2661044042809797,3.9163393283330157,3.4866299518337143,3.1615400326440968,4.0797342219405932,4.7259488160747694,4.4094615573312916,2.0528487596788847,2.0287334849627037,2.0033502345013914,1.9767822756385758,1.9491171972848287,1.9204460065759132,1.9022110873936364,1.8849113669730744,1.8685189907385744,1.8530081239992644,1.838354849826958,1.8468558346158195,1.8557259483332416,1.8649724528469696,1.8746029741338397,1.8846255196277395,1.9010376143582419,1.9181043390258661,1.9358495300607548,1.9542984600760234,1.9734779407145258,1.9787215774809079,1.9842100813259225,1.9899451049930175,1.9959284035980391,2.002161837130592,2.0044135631414433,2.0068393620375886,2.0094386526591066,2.0122108914666166,2.0151555725964698,2.0168114245373929,2.0186182466158513,2.020575050872925,2.022680877505453,2.0249347947036584,2.0273358984949312,2.0298833125937961,2.0325761882580671,2.0354137041512339,2.0383950662110819,2.0430803960079653,2.0479325057165707,2.052951349526194,2.0581369205344577,2.0634892509994089,2.0690084126085257,2.0746945167650446,2.0805477148920293,2.0865681987546165,2.0927562008009075]
[null,null,null,"Time to smooth ratio",5,"years",null,null,{"$f":"I80","v":5.3703068237836016},{"$f":"I81-(I81-J80)/$E$81","v":5.5443915268670452},5.2330601432795483,5.0438932348799641,4.997551278357907,4.9492114326374068,4.812590026966121,4.6333398872395,4.4039979001583429,4.1555063266554937,4.1403519057125138,4.2574712877849645,4.28786934169423,3.8408652252911608,3.4784388772254693,3.1834211486806536,2.9420933740722379,2.7434981387147559,2.5788877122869875,2.4435523873083174,2.3318241832412689,2.2391631447407301,2.161932140592437,2.097216682439341,2.0471445128746368,2.0088607999663579,1.9800831305424802,1.9589870992607521,1.9441147833341497,1.9354993495389681,1.9320203474363478,1.9327861839612293,1.9370886391841882,1.9443664994902556,1.9512375150883861,1.9578320283358934,1.9642546436673183,1.9705893956534624,1.9769038839488884,1.9824058197873993,1.9872925282374372,1.991721753121771,1.9958195807907402,1.9996867791518862,2.0031117082289875,2.0062130159063605,2.0090854228996733,2.0118045138208291,2.014430569997395,2.0170116356969023,2.0195859710762809,2.022184014512638,2.0248299524403572,2.027542975194502,2.0306504593571946,2.03410686862907,2.0378757648084949,2.0419279959536873,2.0462402469628316,2.0507938800919705,2.0555740074265851,2.0605687489196738,2.0657686388866625,2.0711661512695114]
[null,null,null,"Use the effect of profitability on investment spending?",0,{"$f":"IF(E82=1,\"yes\",\"no\")","v":"no"}]
[null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves in 2018",{"$f":"hist!AR113","v":5213.8199616484053},"Mtoe","Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Resource Report 2019, Discoveries and Fields, Figures 2.4 and 2.5"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Stranding!B28","v":"Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(U81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(V81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(W81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(X81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Y81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(Z81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AT81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AU81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AV81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AW81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AX81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AY81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(AZ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BA81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BB81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BC81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BD81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BE81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BF81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BG81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BH81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BI81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BJ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BK81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BL81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BM81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BN81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BO81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BP81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BQ81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BR81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BS81,effx,effy))","v":1},{"$f":"IF($E$82=0,1,LinInter(BT81,effx,effy))","v":1}]
[null,null,null,"Unusually large find (outlier) factor",2]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A91)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Exploration "}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the difficulty of finding new fields"}]
[null,null,null,null,-1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A92,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per find, (USD/barrel), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G89+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M89+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N89+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V89+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T94","v":"Addition to reserves (Mtoe/yr)"},{"$f":"(U98/U100)*$E$85","v":41.228435630337565},{"$f":"(V98/V100)*$E$85","v":40.422414228689803},39.556219638075021,38.690025047460239,37.823830456845457,36.957635866230682,36.091441275615892,31.760468322541989,27.429495369468079,23.098522416394172,18.767549463320265,14.436576510246358,12.992918859221723,11.549261208197086,10.105603557172451,8.6619459061478139,7.2182882551231788,6.0633621343034703,4.9084360134837617,3.7535098926640527,2.5985837718443441,1.4436576510246357,1.1549261208197088,0.86619459061478143,0.57746306040985418,0.28873153020492709,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AVERAGE(V101:AE101)","v":33.059760208464169}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V103+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T99","v":"Average cost per find, (USD/barrel)"},{"$f":"B92","v":2},{"$f":"IF($B$92=1,U92,U99)","v":21},21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21,21]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T100","v":"Average cost per find, (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)"},null,1.3549392704400001,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002,1.3853700000000002]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T90,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Exploration  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U104","v":27.931013247176043},{"$f":"V104*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":28.560000000000002},28.506959999999999,28.440374400000003,28.359722592000004,28.264468561920001,28.154060481600002,25.271084688284162,22.261528239043049,19.121481097956977,15.846927459931845,12.433743083946524,11.414176151062911,10.348853043630372,9.2363513414401091,8.0752100299447811,6.8639285254530646,5.8810139606081853,4.8560372417593296,3.7877090485722773,2.6747053127610392,1.5156663438979221,1.2367837366207046,0.94613955851483889,0.64337489979009033,0.32812119889294611,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Contingent & remaining reserves (Mtoe)",{"$f":"E83+U107-U328","v":5073.1834755382042},{"$f":"U109+V107-V328","v":4922.0107684370969},4762.3165457937639,4595.9941920443025,4424.9567864810715,4251.1087988640447,4076.3112618985788,3898.8833769707335,3722.3039678212995,3549.8773578371852,3384.5495336322733,3228.8419939097357,3087.6968251310673,2959.1139516482503,2841.0425467433697,2731.7566879864312,2629.8295806972978,2534.3673168476025,2444.8262955693094,2360.7492172586772,2281.7172288409702,2207.3435213936036,2138.1367086635814,2073.6670894272434,2013.5316634670367,1957.3595438654984,1904.8099575754391,1855.8585714838969,1810.2177737334785,1767.6233299399257,1727.8324769511057,1690.622172159083,1655.7874856890478,1623.4339047756098,1593.6464801272336,1566.4641733947417,1541.8796317204146,1519.8424612556207,1500.2639103680172,1483.0225248750123,1467.9704622392289,1454.9401505926842,1443.7509816748402,1434.3383701952737,1426.6092306085222,1420.427484416665,1415.6229558986813,1412.0052386412124,1409.3780066020433,1407.5518349736503,1406.3543708345426,1405.6372049669567]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Developing and maintaining the infrastructure to produce / extract / lift oil and gas",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"(Mtoe/yr)"]
["Greenfield development",null,"builds new infrastructure needed to exploit reserves"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D78","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A142)","v":"Future annual RoC, New 'green'-field dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,7,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-25,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F132,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F132)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,0,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A143,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit greenfield dev., (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,4,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-6,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F136,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F136)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 1",{"$f":"U141/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293,9.4065350535732293]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S156","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"2 | 1",{"$f":"U150/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,7.2238883812599317,6.1403051240709416,5.0567218668819525,3.9731386096929624,2.8895553525039728,1.8059720953149829,1.5651758159396518,1.3243795365643207,1.0835832571889896,0.84278697781365863,0.60199069843832764,0.48159255875066209,0.3611944190629966,0.24079627937533105,0.12039813968766552,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S157","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr"},"3 | 1",{"$f":"U143/U145","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7769173713076754,10.065641962429106,10.288580204331344,10.459487186045871,10.589796666295852,10.688746371596341,10.763652080612502,10.820225061390961,10.862877804611772,10.894993463136226,10.919151418512911,10.937310059930105,10.950951689474014,10.961195672588863,10.96888584691612,10.974657524125762,10.978988559766002,10.982238118395163,10.984676008719774,10.986504832344242,10.987876678421342,10.988905691452352,10.989677523500799,10.990256438195734,10.990690647089005,10.991016316625174,10.991260576014833,10.991443774628312,10.991581175878538,10.991684228104424,10.991761517998466,10.991819485826607,10.991862961926993,10.991895569131254,10.991920024606996,10.99193836625461,10.991952122513274,10.991962439720185,10.991970177632631,10.991975981071048,10.99198033365216,10.991983598089289,10.991986046417862,10.9919878826647,10.991989259850058,10.991990292739207,10.99199106740614,10.991991648406382,10.991992084156585,10.991992410969251,10.991992656078757]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 2",{"$f":"U141/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.4130812924033034,9.3679346195380599,9.3232189411631765,9.2789281148393616,9.2350561142963841,9.1915970266996965,9.0847179915055136,8.9802959456261409,8.8782471280622062,8.7784915423536418,8.680952747438603,8.5855576623019143,8.492236383363851,8.4009220136502591,8.311550502866746,8.2240604975734133,8.1383932007236908,8.0544922398914878,7.9723035435660625,7.8917752249441833,7.8128574726947422,7.7355024482126158,7.6596641889164143,7.5852985171793605,7.5123629545141748,7.4408166406616587,7.3706202572591906,7.3017359557894794,7.234127289532168,7.1677591492612311,7.1025977024497653,7.038610335761029,6.9757656006203055,6.9140331616767625,6.8533837479778432,6.7937891066910803,6.7352219592196052,6.6776559595681562,6.6210656548260518,6.5654264476426398,6.5107145605789514,6.4569070022270596,6.4039815349956903,6.3519166444672699,6.3006915102376952,6.2502859781557936,6.2006805338847162,6.1518562777123957,6.1037949005427672,6.056478661003676,6.0098903636113397]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 2",{"$f":"U150/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 2",{"$f":"U143/U151","v":9.4065350535732293},9.7837213682916833,10.024336832922913,10.197451590026303,10.317596135522392,10.396747143899816,10.444509993187285,10.395405232014841,10.329927300133795,10.252799051086249,10.167570463027033,10.076891965679829,9.9827306925661361,9.8865384373903105,9.7893804145023662,9.6920330554864353,9.5950577874340848,9.4988564159638376,9.4037125463804756,9.3098224766595248,9.2173181889848212,9.1262844317411176,9.0367713930026508,8.9488040915259823,8.8623893271305754,8.7775208183966491,8.6941829951999274,8.6123537937186896,8.5320067121586014,8.453112318900688,8.3756393553073263,8.2995555386736619,8.2248281435329833,8.1514244192834671,8.0793118870898297,8.0084585478791936,7.938833024995005,7.870404658952415,7.8031435672016549,7.7370206784430655,7.67200774854527,7.608077363271101,7.5452029316477143,7.4833586728038091,7.4225195983464802,7.3626614917947615,7.3037608861760894,7.2457950405881961,7.1887419163046644,7.1325801528369448,7.0772890442438561,7.0228485158900336]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","1 | 3",{"$f":"U141/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.3886753699638241,8.1189370030927517,7.8730616163340041,7.6485301350709554,7.4431382878311316,7.254951351884932,7.0822661729446406,6.9235791776794953,6.7775593417537499,6.6430252703501713,6.5189257034291028,6.4043228826006269,6.2983783168919807,6.2003405658835504,6.1095347245790803,6.0253533480397454,5.9472485976665714,5.8747254269730158,5.8073356542670904,5.7446727940683582,5.6863675392852633,5.6320838029469806,5.5815152422443868,5.5343821992898032,5.4904290027621192,5.449421582793657,5.411145358347099,5.3754033621452972,5.3420145731342465,5.3108124306282409,5.2816435078284147,5.2543663254225548,5.2288502885487311,5.2049747326075577,5.182628065295444,5.1617069938523619,5.1421158279127708,5.1237658495512717,5.1065747431536863,5.0904660786436304,5.075368842374397,5.0612170106731966,5.0479491616140697,5.0355081211092978,5.0238406398574469,5.0128970980781657,5.0026312353071445,4.9929999028257512,4.9839628365644266,4.9754824485516256,4.9675236351852332]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","2 | 3",{"$f":"U150/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},6.4422079112141866,6.2350583238983157,6.0462346667781945,5.873802379066996,5.7160686577306086,5.5715477036976724,4.623091821174568,3.7219458626862929,2.8627100783489796,2.0406439903147757,1.2515764672935954,1.0656305681344032,0.88677109147257471,0.71424655176392016,0.54738926470269822,0.38560497033881852,0.30448519602215651,0.22557913468297625,0.14866099054189133,7.3528447359311119E-2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr","3 | 3",{"$f":"U143/U147","v":8.6851647122398248},8.718979462656149,8.687823148823032,8.611313882525188,8.5046940753674374,8.3794213893150307,8.2438788030785854,8.1040519802144875,7.9641105365779401,7.8268776466217229,7.6941952040481425,7.5672005086228662,7.446532085616397,7.3324806932085043,7.2250989117956896,7.1242799383627826,7.0298137496932629,6.9414267787225628,6.8588096628311872,6.781636412631908,6.709577443002634,6.6423082371983737,6.5795149228121534,6.5208976796902052,6.466172639634773,6.4150727494755149,6.3673479332756502,6.3227647916640075,6.2811060060339843,6.2421695649798812,6.2057678943090435,6.1717269462661282,6.1398852853380443,6.1100931950843362,6.0822118213503078,6.0561123608816327,6.0316752999860404,6.0087897049152108,5.9873525636620446,5.9672681775926524,5.948447600548997,5.9308081226166438,5.9142727955451804,5.8987699967599596,5.8842330289586684,5.8705997524066307,5.8578122472040786,5.8458165029783871,5.834562133642005,5.8240021150440802,5.8140925435253745,5.8047924135584736]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" BEFORE contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr BEFORE contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"CONCATENATE(B142,\" | \",B143)","v":"2 | 2"},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),U156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),U157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),U158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),U159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),U160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),U161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),U162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),U163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),U164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":9.4065350535732293},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),V156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),V157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),V158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),V159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),V160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),V161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),V162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),V163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),V164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.2289156626506017},{"$f":"IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=1),W156,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=1),W157,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=1),W158,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=2),W159,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=2),W160,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=2),W161,IF(AND($B142=1,$B143=3),W162,IF(AND($B142=2,$B143=3),W163,IF(AND($B142=3,$B143=3),W164,\"oops\")))))))))","v":7.1942446043165464},7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(S164,\" AFTER contingent reserve constraint\")","v":"Greenfield dev. (Mtoe/yr)/yr AFTER contingent reserve constraint"},{"$f":"E142/E143","v":7.4602299294668191},{"$f":"MIN(U109,U165)","v":9.4065350535732293},7.2289156626506017,7.1942446043165464,7.1599045346062047,7.1258907363420425,7.0921985815602833,7.0588235294117645,5.9302325581395348,4.8275862068965525,3.7499999999999996,2.696629213483146,1.6666666666666667,1.4285714285714286,1.1956521739130437,0.96774193548387089,0.74468085106382975,0.52631578947368418,0.41666666666666669,0.30927835051546393,0.2040816326530612,0.10101010101010101,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T141,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual New 'green'-field dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U166*U155","v":78.12857472694742},60,59.999999999999993,60,60,60,60,51,42,33,24,15,13,11.000000000000002,9,7,5,4,3,2,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(T141,\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"New 'green'-field dev. spending (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U167","v":78.12857472694742},{"$f":"V167*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":61.2},62.423999999999992,63.672480000000007,64.945929600000014,66.244848192000006,67.56974515584001,58.582969050113284,49.209694002095162,39.438054764536268,29.255866079874174,18.650614625919786,16.487143329313096,14.229672934991765,11.875308867565852,9.4210783682689101,6.8639285254530646,5.6009656767697003,4.2847387427288197,2.9136223450555985,1.4859473959783551,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Brownfield dev"]
["Brownfield development",null,"maintains and improves / extends infrastructure needed to exploit reserves",null,null,null,null,null,null,"through IOR (improved oil and gas recovery) and EOR (enhanced oil and gas recovery measures (see e.g. Ekofisk)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D130","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A191)","v":"Future annual RoC, Brownfield dev. spending"}]
[null,null,null,null,3,"Average RoC in greenfield spending in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F181,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F181)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in greenfield spending  - pct/yr"}]
[]
[null,null,null,null,-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A192,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit brownfield dev. (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.2,"Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.  in 2018 (pct/yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,-1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC in the \",LEFT(F185,SEARCH(\" in 2\",F185)),\" - pct/yr\")","v":"Future annual RoC in the Average RoC in cost per unit greenfield dev.   - pct/yr"}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G189+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M189+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N189+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D180","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V189+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Actual \",T190,\" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual Brownfield dev. spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"U214*U204","v":65.808790846007966},{"$f":"V214*V204","v":50},47,44,40.999999999999993,38,35,29.4,23.8,18.200000000000003,12.600000000000001,7,7.0000000000000009,7.0000000000000009,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,7,6.9999999999999991,7,7,7,7,7.0000000000000009,7,6.8,6.6000000000000005,6.4,6.1999999999999993,5.9999999999999991,5.8,5.6,5.4,5.2,5,4.5,4,3.4999999999999996,3,2.5,2,1.5,1,0.49999999999999994,0]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Natural decline"]
["Natural decline is the rate at which fields decline BEFORE any brownfield development"]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A234)","v":"Future annual RoC, Natural decline rate (pct/yr)"}]
[]
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["Offshore, Stranding"]
["Stranding takes infrastructure out of production triggered by purely economic considerations; the same is true in the opposite direction when assets, once stranded, are reactivated."]
["We use the ratio of Unit Revenue to Unit OPEX as our trigger. See tab \"Stranding\"."]
[]
[null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Start year for O&G stranding policy\")","v":"Start year for O&G stranding policy"},2030]
[null,null,"Stranding cost as percent of Shutdown&Removal cost",50,"pct"]
[null,null,"Reactivating cost as percent of brownfield dev. cost",15,"pct"]
[null,null,"Time to smooth stranding flows",5,"years"]
[null,null,{"$f":"D179","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E276+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX",{"$f":"AP716/AP666","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"AQ716/AQ666","v":4.7259488160747694},{"$f":"AR716/AR666","v":4.4094615573312916},2.0528487596788847,2.0287334849627037,2.0033502345013914,1.9767822756385758,1.9491171972848287,1.9204460065759132,1.9022110873936364,1.8849113669730744,1.8685189907385744,1.8530081239992644,1.838354849826958,1.8468558346158195,1.8557259483332416,1.8649724528469696,1.8746029741338397,1.8846255196277395,1.9010376143582419,1.9181043390258661,1.9358495300607548,1.9542984600760234,1.9734779407145258,1.9787215774809079,1.9842100813259225,1.9899451049930175,1.9959284035980391,2.002161837130592,2.0044135631414433,2.0068393620375886,2.0094386526591066,2.0122108914666166,2.0151555725964698,2.0168114245373929,2.0186182466158513,2.020575050872925,2.022680877505453,2.0249347947036584,2.0273358984949312,2.0298833125937961,2.0325761882580671,2.0354137041512339,2.0383950662110819,2.0430803960079653,2.0479325057165707,2.052951349526194,2.0581369205344577,2.0634892509994089,2.0690084126085257,2.0746945167650446,2.0805477148920293,2.0865681987546165]
[null,null,null,"O&G Unit Revenue / Unit OPEX, smoothed to trigger stranding",{"$f":"E277","v":4.0797342219405932},{"$f":"E278-(E278-F277)/$D$274","v":4.2089771407674288},{"$f":"F278-(F278-G277)/$D$274","v":4.2490740240802012},3.8098289711999378,3.453609873952491,3.1635579460622711,2.9262028119775323,2.7307856890389917,2.5687177525463758,2.4354164195158279,2.3253154090072772,2.2339561253535365,2.1577665250826819,2.0938841900315373,2.0444785189483938,2.0067280048253635,1.9783768944296847,1.9576221103705156,1.9430227922219603,1.9346257566492167,1.9313214731245465,1.9322270845117882,1.9366413596246352,1.9440086758426134,1.9509512561702722,1.9576030212014022,1.9640714379597253,1.970442831087388,1.9767866322960288,1.9823120184651117,1.9872174871796071,1.9916617202755069,1.9957715545137289,1.9996483581302771,2.0030809714117002,2.0061884264525305,2.0090657513366095,2.0117887765703784,2.0144179801970346,2.0170015638566139,2.0195779136040501,2.0221775685348535,2.0248247956581298,2.0275388497687201,2.0306471590165693,2.0341042283565698,2.0378736525904948,2.0419263061792874,2.0462388951433117,2.0507927986363543,2.0555731422620922,2.0605680567880795,2.0657680851813871]
[null,null,null,"Percent of productive capacity earmarked for stranding (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,baux,bauy)","v":0},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,baux,bauy)","v":0}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Desired stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"F281-(F281-IF(G276>=$D$271,G279/100*F282,0))/$D$274","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"T328","v":187.43518608484678},{"$f":"U328","v":181.86492174053814},{"$f":"V328","v":191.59512132979705},199.25044228140797,205.01237879692158,208.86123602007646,210.80562348325716,210.88897824108165,209.18835325038685,204.00890451890206,195.52513240050831,184.09537366823238,170.14411623278363,154.13808763789021,140.13213469101385,128.17700846205284,117.94780466308626,109.14539554425657,101.52562598399879,94.449457291776923,87.830588203296401,81.630572189551629,75.81736509839142,70.361738850841718,65.335813826952929,60.712889020616444,56.460851131743119,52.549586290059267,48.951386091542169,45.640797750418358,42.594443793552692,39.790852988819985,37.210304792022832,34.834686470035244,32.353580913437952,29.78742464837616,27.182306732491924,24.584541674326957,22.037170464793956,19.578550887603534,17.241385493004753,15.052062635783315,13.030311646544783,11.189168917843952,9.4126114795665536,7.7291395867513373,6.1817461918572594,4.8045285179837407,3.6177172574689185,2.6272320391690807,1.8261716283930489,1.1974641391077196]
[null,null,null,"Actual stranding (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,0,{"$f":"MIN(G281,G282)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H281,H282)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of Stranding (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G283*U381*$D$272/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D284,SEARCH(\" (\",D284)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of Stranding  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G284*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Currently stranded (Mtoe/yr)",0,{"$f":"E287+E283-E292","v":0},{"$f":"F287+F283-F292-F287*$B$367/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287+G283-G292-G287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"P287+P283-P292-P287*$B$367/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,"Percent of current stranding earmarked for re-activating (pct/yr)",0,{"$f":"LinInter(E278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(F278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(G278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(H278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(I278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(J278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(K278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(L278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(M278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(N278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(O278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(P278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Q278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(R278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(S278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(T278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(U278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(V278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(W278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(X278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Y278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(Z278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AE278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AF278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AG278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AH278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AI278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AJ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AK278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AL278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AM278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AN278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AO278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AP278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AQ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AR278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AS278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AT278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AU278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AV278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AW278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AX278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AY278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(AZ278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BA278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BB278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BC278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30},{"$f":"LinInter(BD278,bauxre,bauyre)","v":30}]
[null,null,null,"Desired reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"F287*F289/100","v":0},{"$f":"G287*G289/100","v":0},{"$f":"H287*H289/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Maximum possible reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"E287","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G290,F287)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H290,G287)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Actual reactivating (Mtoe/yr)/yr",0,{"$f":"MIN(F291,F290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(G291,G290)","v":0},{"$f":"MIN(H291,H290)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,"Cost of reactivating (2018-GNOK/yr)",0,0,{"$f":"G292*U204*$D$273/100","v":0},{"$f":"H292*V204*$D$273/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(D293,SEARCH(\" (\",D293)),\" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Cost of reactivating  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},0,0,{"$f":"G293*(1+(T$1244-$S$1244)/$S$1244)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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[]
["Offshore, Production"]
["Production reduces reserves (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you develop."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D3","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change"]
[null,null,null,null,-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A322,\" reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"Future annual RoC, Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe) reflecting the learning curve"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G320+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M320+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N320+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D317","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V320+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A322","v":"Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe)"},{"$f":"F322","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"U321*(1+$E$318/100)","v":346.0331032846359},339.11244121894316,332.33019239456428,325.68358854667298,319.16991677573952,312.78651844022471,306.5307880714202,300.40017230999177,294.39216886379194,288.50432548651611,282.73423897678578,277.07955419725005,271.53796311330507,266.10720385103895,260.78505977401818,255.56935857853782,250.45797140696706,245.44881197882771,240.53983573925115,235.72903902446612,231.0144582439768,226.39416907909725,221.86628569751531,217.42895998356499,213.0803807838937,208.81877316821581,204.6423977048515,200.54954975075447,196.53855875573936,192.60778758062457,188.75563182901209,184.98051919243184,181.28090880858321,177.65529063241155,174.10218481976332,170.62014112336806,167.2077383009007,163.86358353488268,160.58631186418503,157.37458562690134,154.22709391436331,151.14255203607604,148.11970099535452,145.15730697544743,142.25416083593848,139.40907761921972,136.62089606683531,133.8884781454986,131.21070858258861,128.58649441093684,126.0147645227181]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V326+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U328*U327/1000","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V328*V327/1000","v":67.058292465428963},67.745150375678719,67.654085002984118,66.83559552642447,65.349743279809715,63.266693472324491,61.710564208864128,59.162582310481596,55.724662734144871,51.546704627105065,46.789631964015499,41.617283662230356,37.135015693118675,33.326022200133735,30.076690189086996,27.286348886064143,25.1783552440317,23.234566493777123,21.43066352160432,19.754598469871492,18.196167623613938,16.746093846500326,15.419252063160892,14.206816030824248,13.098917462564405,12.086404846713631,11.160916028871615,10.314820291594549,9.5411554097558042,8.8335693635180359,8.1862670542450235,7.6287963369377181,7.0530806391294734,6.4638711486976259,5.8713782542182553,5.2856764599802952,4.715954479465907,4.1702313390595531,3.6551737245170073,3.1759852161502793,2.7363654457744047,2.3385363038293865,1.9578231877498431,1.5999318944575269,1.2734397155225954,0.98492834618666691,0.73801432052365945,0.53332810395132335,0.3688866689353959,0.24069029196065164,0.14343317351719637]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Money spend on operating (Nominal-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U329","v":64.215595151526387},{"$f":"V329*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":68.399458314737544},70.48205445085614,71.795056237846779,72.344998030553995,72.151397049286118,71.248572579626867,70.886040649272857,69.318394568394467,66.596130322561166,62.83514530955901,58.177026283298098,52.780778516605544,48.038102522624101,43.972978550438292,40.479265047076183,37.458309694904024,35.255775879833983,33.184682408798587,31.220430052957123,29.354294154903542,27.579318855036679,25.889120651594574,24.314607232780109,22.850772100419505,21.490162510081905,20.225608807906877,19.050416636607913,17.958351810000124,16.943610173717222,16.000788195588893,15.124855452455778,14.376776365831541,13.55765309907812,12.673557235330053,11.742108030340621,10.78218451368984,9.8124161733259303,8.850476934922316,7.9125181971925338,7.0127013283142121,6.162843507183327,5.3721895825703676,4.5875504531838152,3.8239222520578733,3.104460365684508,2.4491339448850988,1.8718578359816116,1.3797573434870303,0.97342249234446121,0.64783910855552151,0.3937842730671417]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"O&G Production (MSm3 o.e./yr)",{"$f":"T328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":223.13712629148426},{"$f":"U328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":216.50585921492637},{"$f":"V328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":228.0894301545203},{"$f":"W328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":237.20290747786663},{"$f":"X328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":244.06235571062095},{"$f":"Y328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":248.64432859532914},{"$f":"Z328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":250.95907557530614},{"$f":"AA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":251.0583074298591},{"$f":"AB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":249.03375386950816},{"$f":"AC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":242.86774347488341},{"$f":"AD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":232.76801476250989},{"$f":"AE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":219.16115912884808},{"$f":"AF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":202.55251932474243},{"$f":"AG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":183.49772337844072},{"$f":"AH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":166.82396987025459},{"$f":"AI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":152.5916767405391},{"$f":"AJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":140.41405317034079},{"$f":"AK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":129.93499469554354},{"$f":"AL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":120.86384045714142},{"$f":"AM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":112.43983010925825},{"$f":"AN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":104.56022405154334},{"$f":"AO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":97.179252606609083},{"$f":"AP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":90.2587679742755},{"$f":"AQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":83.763974822430626},{"$f":"AR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":77.780730746372541},{"$f":"AS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":72.277248834067194},{"$f":"AT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":67.215298966360862},{"$f":"AU328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":62.559031297689607},{"$f":"AV328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":58.275459632788298},{"$f":"AW328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":54.334283036212334},{"$f":"AX328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":50.707671182800823},{"$f":"AY328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":47.370063081928556},{"$f":"AZ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":44.297981895265281},{"$f":"BA328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":41.469864845280057},{"$f":"BB328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":38.516167754092798},{"$f":"BC328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":35.461219819495426},{"$f":"BD328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":32.359888967252289},{"$f":"BE328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":29.267311517055902},{"$f":"BF328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":26.23472674380233},{"$f":"BG328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":23.307798675718495},{"$f":"BH328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":20.525458920243754},{"$f":"BI328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":17.919122185456327},{"$f":"BJ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":15.512275769696171},{"$f":"BK328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":13.320439187909468},{"$f":"BL328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11.205489856626849},{"$f":"BM328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9.20135665089445},{"$f":"BN328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7.3592216569729283},{"$f":"BO328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":5.7196768071235011},{"$f":"BP328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":4.3068062588915694},{"$f":"BQ328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":3.1276571894870009},{"$f":"BR328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":2.1740138433250582},{"$f":"BS328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":1.4255525465568091},{"$f":"BT328/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":0.8537688899833118}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A114","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (Mtoe)"},{"$f":"hist!AR114+U328","v":6206.7113398939819},{"$f":"U332+V328","v":6398.3064612237786},{"$f":"V332+W328","v":6597.5569035051867},6802.5692823021081,7011.430518322185,7222.2361418054425,7433.125120046524,7642.3134732969111,7846.3223778158135,8041.847510216322,8225.9428838845542,8396.0870001173371,8550.2250877552269,8690.3572224462405,8818.5342309082935,8936.48203557138,9045.6274311156358,9147.1530570996347,9241.6025143914121,9329.4331025947085,9411.06367478426,9486.8810398826517,9557.2427787334927,9622.578592560445,9683.2914815810618,9739.7523327128056,9792.3019190028645,9841.2533050944057,9886.8941028448244,9929.4885466383766,9969.2793996271957,10006.489704419218,10041.324390889255,10073.677971802692,10103.465396451069,10130.64770318356,10155.232244857887,10177.26941532268,10196.847966210284,10214.089351703289,10229.141414339072,10242.171725985618,10253.360894903462,10262.77350638303,10270.50264596978,10276.684392161638,10281.488920679622,10285.10663793709,10287.733869976259,10289.560041604651,10290.757505743759,10291.474671611344]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!A116","v":"Sold and delivered oil&gas (MSm3 o.e.)"},{"$f":"U332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7388.9420713023592},{"$f":"V332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7617.0315014568796},{"$f":"W332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":7854.2344089347462},{"$f":"X332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8098.2967646453671},{"$f":"Y332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8346.9410932406972},{"$f":"Z332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8597.9001688160024},{"$f":"AA332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":8848.9584762458617},{"$f":"AB332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9097.9922301153711},{"$f":"AC332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9340.8599735902553},{"$f":"AD332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9573.6279883527641},{"$f":"AE332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9792.7891474816133},{"$f":"AF332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":9995.3416668063546},{"$f":"AG332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10178.839390184794},{"$f":"AH332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10345.663360055049},{"$f":"AI332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10498.255036795588},{"$f":"AJ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10638.66908996593},{"$f":"AK332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10768.604084661472},{"$f":"AL332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":10889.467925118613},{"$f":"AM332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11001.907755227872},{"$f":"AN332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11106.467979279416},{"$f":"AO332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11203.647231886025},{"$f":"AP332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11293.905999860301},{"$f":"AQ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11377.669974682731},{"$f":"AR332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11455.450705429103},{"$f":"AS332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11527.72795426317},{"$f":"AT332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11594.94325322953},{"$f":"AU332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11657.50228452722},{"$f":"AV332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11715.777744160006},{"$f":"AW332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11770.112027196219},{"$f":"AX332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11820.81969837902},{"$f":"AY332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11868.189761460948},{"$f":"AZ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11912.487743356212},{"$f":"BA332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11953.957608201494},{"$f":"BB332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":11992.473775955586},{"$f":"BC332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12027.934995775082},{"$f":"BD332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12060.294884742334},{"$f":"BE332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12089.56219625939},{"$f":"BF332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12115.79692300319},{"$f":"BG332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12139.10472167891},{"$f":"BH332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12159.630180599153},{"$f":"BI332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12177.54930278461},{"$f":"BJ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12193.061578554307},{"$f":"BK332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12206.382017742217},{"$f":"BL332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12217.587507598846},{"$f":"BM332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12226.788864249738},{"$f":"BN332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12234.148085906712},{"$f":"BO332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12239.867762713835},{"$f":"BP332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12244.174568972727},{"$f":"BQ332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12247.302226162214},{"$f":"BR332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12249.476240005537},{"$f":"BS332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12250.901792552095},{"$f":"BT332/ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":12251.755561442076}]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)","Sm^3 o.e./yr",null,226.56913915464031,229.41,242.25,251.2,253.73,253.20999999999998,250.29000000000002,245.52999999999997,238.92000000000002,229.01000000000002,217.81]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"S336","v":"NPD forecast (as of 14.01.2021)"},"Mtoe/yr",null,{"$f":"V336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":190.31807688989787},{"$f":"W336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.70439999999999},{"$f":"X336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":203.48999999999998},{"$f":"Y336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":211.00799999999998},{"$f":"Z336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":213.13319999999999},{"$f":"AA336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":212.69639999999998},{"$f":"AB336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":210.24360000000001},{"$f":"AC336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":206.24519999999998},{"$f":"AD336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":200.69280000000001},{"$f":"AE336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":192.36840000000001},{"$f":"AF336*ConversionFactors!$C$5","v":182.96039999999999}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Production","Aune (2020)",219,219,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,179,179,179,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,48,48]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"DNV-GL"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"FIN-PM"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Investment","Aune (2020)",175,175,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40,40,40,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12,12]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Shutdown&Removal",null,"(Mtoe/yr)/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal happens once infrastructure becomes unproductive, roughly less than 5000 b/d per field (well??)"]
["Since smarthpaths does not work on the level of fields, but on the level of the entire Nowegian \"sokkel\", we use the difference between natural decline and brown field and a \"decline rate of stranded assests\" as proxies"]
["Net additions to shutdown and removal in the near future are negative since the natural decline rate is very low and brownfield development normal"]
["Infrastructure to produce and unproductive infrastructure both have the units of Mtoe/yr. But they are not the same. The Mtoe/yr of infrastructure to produce are the ones measured at, or close to, the peak of production of a field. "]
["The Mtoe/yr of unproductive infrastructure are the ones measured at the very end of a field’s lifetime. PES tells me the former are at around 80 000 Mtoe/yr, the latter at 5 000 Mtoe/yr (and less)."]
["Thus, there is a factor of roughly 16 between the two. If we assume that a field does not always produce at its peak capacity, we use a factor of 10 to differentiate between them."]
[]
[]
["Unproductive infrastructure in 2002",10,"Mtoe/yr","this is the first year we have data for shutdown and removal spending, but neither for shutdown and removal nor average unit cost"]
["Average cost per unit shutdown and removal 2002-2019",0.7,"2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously, a rough estimate 1/10 of greenfield unit cost"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A373,\" in 2018\")","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed in 2018"},12,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
["Fraction of currently stranded assets that become unproductive infrastructure",15,"pct/yr",null,null,"We have no independet estimate, hence you need to enter the amount exogenously"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"C275","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A373)","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"}]
[null,null,null,null,0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, \",A374,\", reflecting the learning curve\")","v":"pct-yr - Future annual RoC, Average cost per unit shutdown and removal, (2018-GNOK/(Mtoe/yr)), reflecting the learning curve"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G371+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M371+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N371+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V371+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A373","v":"Pct of unproductive infrastructure shutdown and removed"},{"$f":"MIN(100,E373*(1+$E$369/100))","v":12.600000000000001},{"$f":"MIN(100,U372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.230000000000002},{"$f":"MIN(100,V372*(1+$E$369/100))","v":13.891500000000002},14.586075000000003,15.315378750000004,16.081147687500007,16.885205071875006,17.729465325468759,18.615938591742196,19.546735521329307,20.524072297395772,21.550275912265562,22.62778970787884,23.759179193272782,24.947138152936422,26.194495060583243,27.504219813612405,28.879430804293026,30.323402344507677,31.839572461733063,33.431551084819716,35.103128639060706,36.858285071013746,38.701199324564435,40.636259290792658,42.668072255332291,44.801475868098905,47.041549661503851,49.393627144579042,51.863308501808,54.456473926898404,57.179297623243329,60.038262504405495,63.040175629625772,66.192184411107064,69.501793631662423,72.976883313245551,76.625727478907834,80.457013852853223,84.479864545495886,88.703857772770689,93.139050661409229,97.796003194479695,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
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["Wages associated with investments (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"this is already part of investment spending"]
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[]
["Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"D368","v":"downside"}]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
["Labour intensities","Note: These labor intensities, like the investement spendings, are derived from Norwegian statistics. Thus, for O&G they are numbers without the import fraction. See also SSB tables 08804 and 08050."]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y538+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[]
["Offshore, Operating Expenses OPEX",null,null,{"$f":"D436","v":"downside"}]
["Production costs"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A565,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D559","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y560+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G561+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M561+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N561+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F559","v":"pct/yr - Production cost intensity (2018-MNOK/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E559","v":1},{"$f":"F562","v":353.09500335166928},{"$f":"X561*(1+$W561/100)","v":356.62595338518599},360.19221291903784,363.79413504822821,367.43207639871048,371.10639716269759,374.81746113432456,378.56563574566781,382.35129210312448,386.17480502415572,390.03655307439726,393.93691860514122,397.87628779119262,401.85505066910457,405.87360117579561,409.93233718755357,414.0316605594291,418.17197716502341,422.35369693667366,426.57723390604042,430.84300624510081,435.15143630755182,439.50295067062734,443.89798017733364,448.33695997910695,452.820329578898,457.34853287468701,461.92201820343388,466.5412383854682,471.20665076932289,475.91871727701613,480.6779044497863,485.48468349428418,490.33953032922705,495.2429256325193,500.19535488884452,505.19730843773294,510.24928152211027,515.35177433733134,520.50529208070463,525.71034500151166,530.96744845152682,536.27712293604213,541.63989416540255,547.0562931070566,552.52685603812722,558.0521245985085,563.6326458444936,569.26897230293855,574.96166202596794,580.71127864622758,586.5183914326899]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D561","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y564+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
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[]
[]
["Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",0.2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A589,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D583","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y584+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G585+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M585+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N585+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F583","v":"pct/yr - Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E583","v":0.2},{"$f":"F586","v":904235.29411764699},{"$f":"X585*(1+$W585/100)","v":906043.76470588229},907855.85223529406,909671.56393976463,911490.90706764418,913313.88888177951,915140.51665954303,916970.79769286211,918804.73928824789,920642.34876682435,922483.63346435805,924328.6007312868,926177.25793274934,928029.61244861479,929885.67167351197,931745.443016859,933608.93390289275,935476.15177069849,937347.10407423985,939221.79828238836,941100.24187895318,942982.44236271107,944868.40724743647,946758.14406193129,948651.6603500552,950548.96367075527,952450.06159809674,954354.96172129293,956263.6716447355,958176.19898802496,960092.55138600105,962012.73648877302,963936.76196175057,965864.63548567402,967796.3647566454,969731.9574861587,971671.42140113097,973614.76424393326,975561.99377242115,977513.11775996594,979468.14399548585,981427.08028347685,983389.93444404379,985356.71431293187,987327.42774155771,989302.0825970408,991280.68676223489,993263.24813575938,995249.77463203087,997240.27418129495,999234.75472965755,1001233.2242391169]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A589","v":"Average wage O&G sector (2018-NOK/p-yr)"},{"$f":"hist!AR341","v":900000},{"$f":"hist!AS341","v":904235.29411764699},925000,925000,925000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000,900000]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D585","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y588+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, production (2018 GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X592*AR489/1000000","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y592*AS489/1000000","v":55.372389077083099},{"$f":"Z592*AT489/1000000","v":57.123002372160826},58.303514251060442,58.921718885419196,58.993297478509263,58.543310723132066,57.605481820974184,55.728628142491758,52.98277894012962,49.485496900519713,45.368551352715329,40.77095267007639,36.768977002605148,33.362367084121672,30.453660596121527,27.954902160016552,25.794739693510696,23.804433829465502,21.958723850917902,20.244966511930691,18.652447460055633,17.171436094545204,15.817005858316111,14.579975217641998,13.45012199225353,12.41798183082455,11.47491899968446,10.613063870105881,9.825245679837149,9.1049304448156452,8.4461643286650112,7.8435220462418158,7.2264414340028233,6.5999098672706502,5.9743996773421086,5.360101285745996,4.7661710817921286,4.2004638995192627,3.669372405466103,3.1777414688979264,2.7288537679635345,2.324482104897359,1.9397306394665041,1.5800300974344856,1.2535691485298259,0.96647542813783371,0.72190089307043703,0.52004904756696446,0.35858356532258712,0.23324600942356058,0.13857160073090186]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Wage bill, O&G, operations (GNOK/yr)",null,{"$f":"X593","v":51.487157647058815},{"$f":"Y593*(1+(T1244-$S1244)/$S1244)","v":56.479836858624765},59.430771667996126,61.872155751339356,63.778763444057105,65.133367263489049,65.929276435686489,66.170591345784189,65.294969953537333,63.319325376307596,60.322544592401393,56.410091161049699,51.707426180322294,47.564592445573183,44.020934853006359,40.986617582389115,38.376090072477417,36.118862916140593,33.998593292611801,31.989714240469862,30.082955270072414,28.270886846530605,26.546691120194065,24.94182489968971,23.450975236481057,22.066350766773049,20.780475739420968,19.586384061113492,18.477601099524289,17.448110371406333,16.492321233672129,15.60503874992726,14.78143568118282,13.890892663196221,12.940285090263171,11.948139498146434,10.93400277382754,9.9169011090861883,8.9146394614771722,7.9432547174931374,7.0165792040403492,6.1459257029856955,5.3399036518493546,4.5451561866352224,3.7763558995425055,3.0560188203794629,2.403248710542361,1.8309886487530576,1.3454034899676783,0.94623454102432281,0.62780216679364542,0.38043721493080018]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["CO2 offset cost",null,null,{"$f":"D582","v":"downside"}]
["Note: We only count the CO2 e emissions that are generated while extracting O&G, NOT the emissions that are generated when the extracted O&G is burned, whereever that may be",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D608","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y607+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A620,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F608","v":"pct/yr - Offshore emission intensity (MtCO2e/Mtoe): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E608","v":-2},{"$f":"F614","v":7.8761688327754556E-2},{"$f":"G614","v":6.9895179374148936E-2},{"$f":"Y608*(1+$W608/100)","v":6.8497275786665951E-2},6.7127330270932636E-2,6.5784783665513977E-2,6.4469087992203702E-2,6.3179706232359634E-2,6.1916112107712439E-2,6.067778986555819E-2,5.9464234068247024E-2,5.8274949386882081E-2,5.7109450399144439E-2,5.5967261391161552E-2,5.4847916163338319E-2,5.3750957840071549E-2,5.267593868327012E-2,5.1622419909604714E-2,5.0589971511412618E-2,4.9578172081184362E-2,4.8586608639560672E-2,4.7614876466769457E-2,4.6662578937434064E-2,4.572932735868538E-2,4.4814740811511669E-2,4.3918445995281434E-2,4.3040077075375806E-2,4.2179275533868292E-2,4.1335690023190923E-2,4.0508976222727103E-2,3.9698796698272559E-2,3.890482076430711E-2,3.8126724349020966E-2,3.7364189862040549E-2,3.661690606479974E-2,3.5884567943503747E-2,3.5166876584633668E-2,3.4463539052940993E-2,3.3774268271882173E-2,3.3098782906444531E-2,3.2436807248315637E-2,3.1788071103349323E-2,3.1152309681282336E-2,3.0529263487656687E-2,2.9918678217903553E-2,2.9320304653545484E-2,2.8733898560474574E-2,2.8159220589265083E-2,2.7596036177479782E-2,2.7044115453930186E-2,2.6503233144851583E-2,2.5973168481954551E-2,2.5453705112315459E-2]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"OPEX per barrel (\",B674,\")\")","v":"OPEX per barrel (USD/barrel)"},"USD/barrel",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"X673/hist!Y27/7.33","v":8.7995191491403588},{"$f":"Y673/hist!Z27/7.33","v":7.0126341024384136},{"$f":"Z673/hist!AA27/7.33","v":7.2037834292765535},{"$f":"AA673/hist!AB27/7.33","v":8.5256004269078023},{"$f":"AB673/hist!AC27/7.33","v":9.2416110207249424},{"$f":"AC673/hist!AD27/7.33","v":9.0308955742745169},{"$f":"AD673/hist!AE27/7.33","v":9.39804525779833},{"$f":"AE673/hist!AF27/7.33","v":9.8936511988424325},{"$f":"AF673/hist!AG27/7.33","v":13.061763254094398},{"$f":"AG673/hist!AH27/7.33","v":13.343537707891755},{"$f":"AH673/hist!AI27/7.33","v":14.305121060656907},{"$f":"AI673/hist!AJ27/7.33","v":14.597651558815638},{"$f":"AJ673/hist!AK27/7.33","v":16.425088748626532},{"$f":"AK673/hist!AL27/7.33","v":16.140570836189607},{"$f":"AL673/hist!AM27/7.33","v":17.563068123387325},{"$f":"AM673/hist!AN27/7.33","v":16.576340566267906},{"$f":"AN673/hist!AO27/7.33","v":11.70789367771901},{"$f":"AO673/hist!AP27/7.33","v":10.383343036121872},{"$f":"AP673/hist!AQ27/7.33","v":9.3705625141665703},{"$f":"AQ673/hist!AR27/7.33","v":9.973391937310577},{"$f":"AR673/hist!AS27/7.33","v":10.516474533365157},{"$f":"AS673/hist!AT27/7.33","v":9.4477226351336494},{"$f":"AT673/Z624/7.33","v":9.8837184424977114},{"$f":"AU673/AA624/7.33","v":9.9396265624143929},10.004366004254349,10.07793457021752,10.160330080130208,10.190388125387715,10.217316041751211,10.241111701082406,10.261772992310677,10.27929782129619,10.169287697588935,10.05953245640478,9.9500300535858877,9.8407784613685703,9.7317756682518084,9.5927028681952873,9.4538748925046008,9.3152897776883403,9.1769455760022858,9.0388403553231349,8.9670747352324849,8.8955442782647367,8.8242470984116554,8.7531813247907699,8.6823451015241115,8.6299266740207372,8.5777341296486718,8.5257656568252038,8.4740194584965103,8.4224937520211487,8.3772501311887471,8.3322234797024759,8.2874120574681687,8.2428141383472333,8.1984280100446938,8.1542519739981927,8.1102843452678304,8.0665234524269351,8.0229676374536698,7.9796152556235418,7.9304013132684332,7.881387554073747,7.8325723725705343,7.7839541761657074,7.7355313850387812,7.6873024320394219,7.6392657625858504,7.5914198345640242,7.5437631182276688,7.4962940960990618]
[]
[]
["Employees per OPEX O&G (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AF489/(AF667/(hist!AG154))","v":0.3093179789115591},{"$f":"AG489/(AG667/(hist!AH154))","v":0.34484653221859779},{"$f":"AH489/(AH667/(hist!AI154))","v":0.36914357952600341},{"$f":"AI489/(AI667/(hist!AJ154))","v":0.3967182304188564},{"$f":"AJ489/(AJ667/(hist!AK154))","v":0.45070538636222324},{"$f":"AK489/(AK667/(hist!AL154))","v":0.44701079968434126},{"$f":"AL489/(AL667/(hist!AM154))","v":0.47217733058439798},{"$f":"AM489/(AM667/(hist!AN154))","v":0.47091316273410561},{"$f":"AN489/(AN667/(hist!AO154))","v":0.46026622676503631},{"$f":"AO489/(AO667/(hist!AP154))","v":0.44966043508791181},{"$f":"AP489/(AP667/(hist!AQ154))","v":0.44637292016503693},{"$f":"AQ489/(AQ667)","v":0.4815404413585409},{"$f":"AR489/(AR667/(S1244/100))","v":0.47484703995357019},0.49154831046289199,0.48431507242875821,0.47677500210422114,0.46895283703765966,0.46087420293237324,0.45256536208636111,0.44671814959369494,0.44108540788292777,0.43565992187504488,0.43043492656491733,0.42540408161614884,0.42570599097717698,0.42604717947274301,0.42642856883009994,0.42685111968543044,0.42731583356671826,0.42917585064533886,0.43112341718660546,0.43316193882477882,0.43529501814373062,0.43752646895360092,0.43661781580516051,0.43572744038595901,0.4348555031405314,0.4340021698098227,0.43316761161230932,0.43144069753470027,0.42972520625615007,0.42802113373496564,0.42632847626361337,0.42464723048029124,0.42267124696389541,0.42070577439821555,0.41875079483287553,0.41680629026041732,0.41487224262020195,0.41294863380234731,0.41103544565170635,0.40913265997188542,0.40724025852930229,0.40535822305728592,0.40379502973394776,0.40224313878763585,0.40070255055235288,0.39917326585993673,0.397655286055141,0.39614861301107179,0.39465324914498734,0.39316919743447587,0.39169646143402209,0.39023504529197733]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D557","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A695,\": Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later\")","v":"pct/yr - Oil price  Brent (constant USD/barrel): Future annual RoC in the 2018 price, inflation is added automatically later"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D688","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
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[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR26","v":71.310059760956193},{"$f":"hist!AS26","v":64.592176348560841},30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896,30.000001192092896]
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["for future revenue calculation"]
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[]
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["Oil exports M NOK/yr","Million constant NOK /yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AR729*X624","v":302935.85346518183},154039.28577388238,157651.30432375602,159498.79429630487,159665.98407943166,158256.91348537069,155398.3248643337,151236.18596043874,144585.27169787447,135726.22955339038,125055.16566291949,112988.47428542163,99942.938164059204,88727.383652045741,79280.22589210124,71297.314950700937,64511.306068813785,58707.238370869905,53443.807677460121,48643.333230178127,44261.265882579552,40259.344790583695,36603.0956768135,33315.91247532337,30365.202593464994,27717.339280515407,25341.715613324759,23210.759143092662,21299.654202759986,19586.068677443323,18049.906207803087,16673.082998051592,15439.326906311226,14201.622923728544,12970.51169527447,11762.954819469967,10426.0141974733,9158.790026598439,7974.2324520873408,6881.8719105626933,5887.8469917298626,4995.0676810288423,4203.4944676735249,3465.3639926079018,2788.6624699633057,2185.7578508412339,1664.8217008285299,1228.507041148586,874.31420770741113,595.57542732417801,382.72230340276724,224.62957889452667]
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[]
["Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit"]
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[]
["Green (wind) offshore (GO)"]
["Green Offshore, Planning and Constructing GW/yr"]
["Green offshore planning and constructing evaluates and selects the locations to build operating capacity, and then builds"]
["NOTE: Money spent GNOK/yr) / Cost per activity (planning, constructing, maintenance, Shutdown&Removal) (GNOK/GW) = Activity volume (GW/yr)"]
["I need to ask for two, to calculate the third. I have chosen to ask for money and cost since I assume these things are known more easily and since money rules the world (and political decision making)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Planning and Constructing start year",2027]
[null,null,null,"Successful planning and constructing first year GW",1.5]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A785, \" - in the first year\")","v":"Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW) - in the first year"},25]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-2.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",A785,\", reflecting learning curves\")","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, Cost of GO construction (2018-GNOK/GW), reflecting learning curves"}]
[null,null,null,null,1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Future annual RoC, \",A786)","v":"Future annual RoC, GO planning and constructing spending (2018-GNOK/yr)"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G783+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M783+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N783+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",2019,2020,{"$f":"V783+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T791,SEARCH(\" (\",T791)), \" (2018-GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual GO planning and constructing spending  (2018-GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)","v":0},29.858831571401446,30.157419887115459,30.458994085986614,30.76358402684648,31.071219867114944,31.381932065786096,31.695751386443956,32.012708900308397,32.332835989311484,32.656164349204602,32.982725992696651,33.312553252623616,33.645678785149855,33.982135573001351,34.321956928731367,34.665176498018681,35.011828262998868,35.361946545628861,35.715566011085151,36.072721671196,36.433448887907957,36.797783376787038,37.165761210554912,37.537418822660463,37.912793010887071,38.291920940995944,38.674840150405906,39.061588551909963,39.45220443742906,39.846726481803351,40.245193746621382,40.6476456840876,41.054122140928477,41.46466336233776,41.879309995961137,42.298103095920752,42.721084126879958,43.148294968148761,43.579777917830249,44.015575697008551,44.455731453978636,44.900288768518422,45.349291656203604,45.802784572765638]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(LEFT(T791,SEARCH(\" (\",T791)), \" (Nominal GNOK/yr)\")","v":"Actual GO planning and constructing spending  (Nominal GNOK/yr)"},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,U785,U791)*(1+(downside!S1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,V785,V791)*(1+(downside!T1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,W785,W791)*(1+(downside!U1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,X785,X791)*(1+(downside!V1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Y785,Y791)*(1+(downside!W1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,Z785,Z791)*(1+(downside!X1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AA785,AA791)*(1+(downside!Y1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AB785,AB791)*(1+(downside!Z1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":0},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AC785,AC791)*(1+(downside!AA1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":34.98438011639913},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AD785,AD791)*(1+(downside!AB1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":36.040908395914379},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AE785,AE791)*(1+(downside!AC1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":37.129343829470997},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AF785,AF791)*(1+(downside!AD1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":38.250650013121017},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AG785,AG791)*(1+(downside!AE1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":39.405819643517283},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AH785,AH791)*(1+(downside!AF1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":40.595875396751502},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AI785,AI791)*(1+(downside!AG1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":41.821870833733399},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AJ785,AJ791)*(1+(downside!AH1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":43.08489133291215},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AK785,AK791)*(1+(downside!AI1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":44.38605505116611},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AL785,AL791)*(1+(downside!AJ1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":45.726513913711329},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AM785,AM791)*(1+(downside!AK1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":47.107454633905405},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AN785,AN791)*(1+(downside!AL1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":48.530099763849364},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AO785,AO791)*(1+(downside!AM1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":49.995708776717613},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AP785,AP791)*(1+(downside!AN1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":51.505579181774479},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AQ785,AQ791)*(1+(downside!AO1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":53.061047673064074},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AR785,AR791)*(1+(downside!AP1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":54.663491312790605},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AS785,AS791)*(1+(downside!AQ1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":56.314328750436886},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AT785,AT791)*(1+(downside!AR1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":58.015021478700092},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AU785,AU791)*(1+(downside!AS1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":59.767075127356833},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AV785,AV791)*(1+(downside!AT1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":61.572040796203005},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AW785,AW791)*(1+(downside!AU1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":63.431516428248337},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AX785,AX791)*(1+(downside!AV1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":65.347148224381428},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AY785,AY791)*(1+(downside!AW1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":67.320632100757763},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,AZ785,AZ791)*(1+(downside!AX1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":69.353715190200646},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BA785,BA791)*(1+(downside!AY1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":71.44819738894472},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BB785,BB791)*(1+(downside!AZ1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":73.60593295009086},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BC785,BC791)*(1+(downside!BA1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":75.828832125183609},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BD785,BD791)*(1+(downside!BB1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":78.118862855364142},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BE785,BE791)*(1+(downside!BC1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":80.478052513596154},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BF785,BF791)*(1+(downside!BD1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":82.908489699506745},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BG785,BG791)*(1+(downside!BE1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":85.412326088431854},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BH785,BH791)*(1+(downside!BF1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":87.991778336302488},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BI785,BI791)*(1+(downside!BG1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":90.649130042058843},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BJ785,BJ791)*(1+(downside!BH1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":93.386733769329012},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BK785,BK791)*(1+(downside!BI1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":96.207013129162746},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BL785,BL791)*(1+(downside!BJ1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":99.112464925663474},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BM785,BM791)*(1+(downside!BK1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":102.1056613664185},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BN785,BN791)*(1+(downside!BL1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":105.18925233968434},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BO785,BO791)*(1+(downside!BM1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":108.36596776034283},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BP785,BP791)*(1+(downside!BN1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":111.63861998670517},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BQ785,BQ791)*(1+(downside!BO1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":115.01010631030366},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BR785,BR791)*(1+(downside!BP1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":118.48341152087481},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BS785,BS791)*(1+(downside!BQ1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":122.06161054880525},{"$f":"IF($B$786=1,BT785,BT791)*(1+(downside!BR1244-downside!$S1244)/downside!$S1244)","v":125.74787118737915}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr",null,null,{"$f":"E776","v":"downside"}]
["Green offshore operating capacity is decommissioned X years after construction"]
["Green offshore avg. lifetime",45,"years"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"V822+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A819","v":"Green Offshore, Decommissioning GW/yr"},0,{"$f":"IF(U$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(U$799),COLUMN(U$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(V$822-$B$821>=2019,INDIRECT(ADDRESS(ROW(V$799),COLUMN(V$799)-$B$821)),0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Unproductive GO infrastructure (GW)",0,{"$f":"U825+T823-U854","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Shutdown&Removal GW/yr"]
["Shutdown and removal dismantles unproductive GO infrastructure"]
[null,null,"Fraction of unproductive GO capacity shut down and removed",50,"pct/yr","i.e. it takes",{"$f":"(1/D842)*100","v":2},"years to remove unproductive GO capacity"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, \",D849)","v":"pct/yr - Future annual RoC, 2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"}]
[null,null,{"$f":"D819","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G847+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M847+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N847+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D845","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"V847+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"E849*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.98},{"$f":"U848*(1+$E$845/100)","v":3.9601000000000002},3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A852","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,4,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D847","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
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[null,"Forecast choice",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected"]
["2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B852=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B852=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",#REF!))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"T850","v":"2018-Cost per unit GO Shutdown&Removal GNOK/GW"},{"$f":"B852","v":1},{"$f":"IF($B852=1,U848,U850)","v":3.98},3.9601000000000002,3.9402995000000001,3.9205980025000002,3.9009950124875004,3.8814900374250629,3.8620825872379374,3.8427721743017478,3.8235583134302389,3.8044405218630875,3.7854183192537718,3.7664912276575029,3.7476587715192156,3.7289204776616196,3.7102758752733114,3.6917244958969446,3.6732658734174599,3.6548995440503727,3.6366250463301206,3.6184419210984702,3.6003497114929779,3.5823479629355131,3.5644362231208353,3.5466140420052312,3.5288809717952052,3.5112365669362293,3.4936803841015482,3.4762119821810407,3.4588309222701352,3.4415367676587847,3.4243290838204907,3.4072074384013882,3.3901714012093813,3.3732205442033343,3.3563544414823174,3.3395726692749057,3.3228748059285311,3.3062604318988886,3.2897291297393942,3.2732804840906971,3.2569140816702435,3.2406295112618921,3.2244263637055828,3.2083042318870549,3.1922627107276198,3.1763013971739817,3.1604198901881118,3.1446177907371711,3.1288947017834854,3.113250228274568,3.0976839771331952,3.082195557247529]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"GO Shutdown&Removal GW/yr",{"$f":"hist!AR960","v":0},{"$f":"U825*$D$842/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Actual costs of GO Shutdown&Removal (2018-GNOK/yr)",{"$f":"U854*U852","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
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["Green Offshore, Production TWh/yr"]
["Production uses the GO infrastructure previously built up (and generates revenue)"]
["Future Unit Costs are subject to learning curves: It gets cheaper the more you do."]
["Note that your estimates should be done in 2018-costs, inflation is added later by the model."]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"V889+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Hours per year",8760,"h/yr",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)",0,{"$f":"U800*$C$890*($C$891/100)/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.64341255764305,165.34991967509694,178.51255781727988,192.14770091841302,206.27231069497151,220.90395774556021,236.06084340822133,251.76182240236258,268.02642628347309,284.87488773980294,302.32816576123179,320.40797171163496,339.1367963371809,358.53793774415658,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
[null,"Average percent of the time the windfarm operates",55,"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Sold and delivered green offshore (TWh)",{"$f":"hist!AR785+U890","v":0},{"$f":"U891+V890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,21.940430769230769,44.40903597633136,74.911206498558641,113.73532673184025,161.1801333324704,217.55508683671295,283.18075662059493,358.38921967877013,443.52447371852088,538.94286508277548,645.0135320344649,762.11886395365082,890.65497701865365,1031.0322069629131,1183.6756195205562,1349.0255391956532,1527.5380970129331,1719.6857979313461,1925.9581086263177,2146.862066371878,2382.9229097800994,2634.6847321824621,2902.7111584659351,3187.5860462057381,3489.91421196697,3810.3221836786051,4149.4589800157864,4507.9969177599432,4886.6324481410693,5286.0870232025436,5707.1079932662251,6150.4695366142441,6616.9736225439865,7107.4510089942842,7622.7622759838232,8163.7988961473457,8731.4843437013533,9326.7752432188372,9950.6625596420781,10604.172831013846,11288.369445460497]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"D687","v":"downside"}]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, CAPEX",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"downside"},2018,{"$f":"E908+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR786","v":0},{"$f":"U802+U856","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,34.98438011639913,36.040908395914379,37.129343829470997,38.250650013121017,39.405819643517283,40.595875396751502,41.821870833733399,43.08489133291215,44.38605505116611,45.726513913711329,47.107454633905405,48.530099763849364,49.995708776717613,51.505579181774479,53.061047673064074,54.663491312790605,56.314328750436886,58.015021478700092,59.767075127356833,61.572040796203005,63.431516428248337,65.347148224381428,67.320632100757763,69.353715190200646,71.44819738894472,73.60593295009086,75.828832125183609,78.118862855364142,80.478052513596154,82.908489699506745,85.412326088431854,87.991778336302488,90.649130042058843,93.386733769329012,96.207013129162746,99.112464925663474,102.1056613664185,105.18925233968434,108.36596776034283,111.63861998670517,115.01010631030366,118.48341152087481,122.06161054880525,125.74787118737915]
["Wages associated with GO capital expenditures (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,"Already part of the investment spending"]
["GO capital expenditures (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"U801+U855","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,29.858831571401446,30.157419887115459,30.458994085986614,30.76358402684648,31.071219867114944,31.381932065786096,31.695751386443956,32.012708900308397,32.332835989311484,32.656164349204602,32.982725992696651,33.312553252623616,33.645678785149855,33.982135573001351,34.321956928731367,34.665176498018681,35.011828262998868,35.361946545628861,35.715566011085151,36.072721671196,36.433448887907957,36.797783376787038,37.165761210554912,37.537418822660463,37.912793010887071,38.291920940995944,38.674840150405906,39.061588551909963,39.45220443742906,39.846726481803351,40.245193746621382,40.6476456840876,41.054122140928477,41.46466336233776,41.879309995961137,42.298103095920752,42.721084126879958,43.148294968148761,43.579777917830249,44.015575697008551,44.455731453978636,44.900288768518422,45.349291656203604,45.802784572765638]
["Employees per CAPEX Green (p/M 2018-NOK)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F911=0,\"\",F990/F911)","v":""},"","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(M911=0,\"\",M988/M911)","v":""},0,0.45375761941851767,0.45143065726765341,0.4491156282560243,0.44681247118804479,0.44452112518195214,0.44224152966819857,0.43997362438784887,0.437717349390988,0.43547264503513677,0.43323945198367453,0.43101771120427113,0.42880736396732599,0.42660835184441664,0.42442061670675291,0.42224410072364144,0.4200787463609561,0.41792449637961787,0.41578129383408136,0.41364908207082968,0.41152780472687672,0.40941740572827723,0.40731782928864502,0.40522901990767762,0.40315092236968958,0.40108348174215269,0.39902664337424415,0.39698035289540201,0.39494455621388708,0.39291919951535431,0.39090422926142948,0.38889959218829384,0.38690523530527704,0.38492110589345507,0.3829471515042579,0.38098331995808221,0.37902955934291255,0.37708581801294894,0.3751520445872415,0.37322818794833262,0.3713141972409052,0.36941002187043909,0.36751561150187267,0.3656309160582733]
["GO CAPEX (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F911/F1036)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,0,O911/O1036)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(P1036=0,0,P911/P1036)","v":4.2146110538240773},2.0908504963492502,1.3828726607958615,1.0288425881993455,0.8163932935503605,0.67473578656938205,0.57353193181575313,0.49761266371448315,0.43855072489892355,0.39128976154895317,0.35261209400092769,0.32037260205480511,0.29308620168052513,0.26969211742452426,0.24941244585679079,0.23166375772865438,0.21599989937258016,0.20207386030577726,0.18961168264707889,0.1783941977127621,0.16824398073194721,0.15901586337106657,0.15058992125619158,0.14286621461906601,0.13576079119241449,0.12920261151837054,0.12313115752605489,0.1174945535611725,0.11224807617245602,0.10735296194515227,0.10277544608072245,9.848598124712421E-2,9.4458598460552073E-2,9.0670380756945904E-2,8.7101027095382949E-2,8.3732488948324732E-2,8.0548665827201771E-2,7.753514888686848E-2,7.4679003979419803E-2,7.1968587253757196E-2,6.9393387744330348E-2,6.6943892450869485E-2]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Green Offshore, Employment",null,null,{"$f":"C846","v":"downside"}]
["Labour intensities for green offshore are for the entire effort. For investments, we need to make an assumption of how much will be imported, i.e. not be delivered by Norwegian companies and workers. Only the Norwegian part is counted in the GDP and the employment Norway."]
["For the LCOE and labor per GNOK spending, the entire spending and labor is used, i.e. both the 'Norwegian' and the 'imported' part."]
["Future Labour intensities are subject to learning curves: Over time, labour becomes more productive"]
[]
["Labour intensities","Source: calculated from IRENA figure 2.3 in https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/May/IRENA_Leveraging_for_Offshore_Wind_2018.pdf",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D937","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y936+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A948,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F937","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E937","v":-3},{"$f":"F943","v":200},{"$f":"X937*(1+$W937/100)","v":194},188.18,182.53460000000001,177.05856199999999,171.74680513999999,166.59440098579998,161.59656895622598,156.74867188753919,152.046211730913,147.48482537898562,143.06028061761606,138.76847219908757,134.60541803311494,130.56725549212149,126.65023782735784,122.8507306925371,119.16520877176099,115.59025250860816,112.12254493334991,108.75886858534942,105.49610252778893,102.33121945195526,99.261282868396606,96.283444382344712,93.394941050874365,90.593092819348129,87.875300034767676,85.239041033724646,82.68186980271291,80.20141370863152,77.795371297372569,75.461510158451389,73.197664853697844,71.001734908086902,68.871682860844288,66.805532375018956,64.801366403768384,62.857325411655331,60.971605649305673,59.142457479826504,57.368183755431708,55.647138242768754,53.977724095485691,52.358392372621118,50.787640601442483,49.264011383399207,47.78609104189723,46.35250831064031,44.961933061321098,43.613075069481461,42.304682817397016]
[null,null,null,null,-3,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A949,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F938","v":"pct/yr - Labor intensity GO planning and construction p/GW: Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E938","v":-3},{"$f":"F944","v":12000},11640,11290.8,10952.075999999999,10623.513719999999,10304.808308399999,9995.6640591479991,9695.7941373735594,9404.9203132523526,9122.7727038547819,8849.0895227391375,8583.616837056963,8326.1083319452537,8076.3250819868954,7834.035329527288,7599.0142696414696,7371.0438415522249,7149.9125263056576,6935.4151505164873,6727.3526960009922,6525.5321151209619,6329.7661516673325,6139.8731671173127,5955.6769721037936,5777.0066629406792,5603.696463052459,5435.5855691608849,5272.518002086058,5114.3424620234764,4960.9121881627716,4812.0848225178879,4667.7222778423511,4527.6906095070808,4391.8598912218686,4260.104094485212,4132.3009716506558,4008.3319425011359,3888.0819842261017,3771.4395246993186,3658.2963389583388,3548.5474487895885,3442.0910253259008,3338.8282945661235,3238.6634457291398,3141.5035423572654,3047.2584360865471,2955.8406830039507,2867.1654625138322,2781.150498638417,2697.7159836792644,2616.7845041688865,2538.2809690438198]
["Import fraction of investments ",50,"pct"]
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[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G942+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M942+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N942+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D942","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"},2019,2020,{"$f":"Y942+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Labor intensity GO operation and maintenance p/GW",1,{"$f":"IF(B948=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"}]
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["Green offshore investment wage earners employed",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"downside"},2018,{"$f":"E984+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C988,\")\")","v":"All wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"SUM(F985:F987)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,13.684159055782173,13.750123719948505,13.81640636762415,13.883008531652701,13.949931752266819,14.017177577123901,14.084747561341834,14.152643267534966,14.220866265850264,14.289418134003594,14.358300457316227,14.427514828751493,14.497062848951627,14.566946126274779,14.637166276832208,14.707724924525657,14.778623701084909,14.849864246105524,14.921448207086751,14.993377239469631,15.065653006675275,15.13827718014335,15.211251439370709,{"$f":"SUM(AL985:AL987)","v":15.284577471950243},15.358256973609901,15.432291648251917,15.506683207992213,15.581433373199967,15.656543872537444,15.732016442999933,15.80785282995593,15.884054787187516,15.96062407693088,16.037562469917113,16.114871745413122,16.192553691262805,16.270610103928384,16.349042788531936,16.427853558897169,16.507044237591337,16.586616655967422,16.666572654206441,16.74691408136005]
["Green offshore Number of Norwegian wage earners employed"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (\",C990,\")\")","v":"Employees, Green offshore, Operations and Maintenance (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,0,{"$f":"U800*X950/1000","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.22122723806847841,0.43688408773225823,0.64714280137688096,0.85217048859729327,1.0521292706010212,1.2471764299798271,1.437464555988792,1.6231416854676102,1.8043514395348279,1.9812331561818415,2.1539220188896651,2.3225491813877905,2.4872418886708751,2.6481235943855248,2.8053140746960796,2.958929538735029,3.1090827357405173,3.2558830589803405,3.3994366465588333,3.5398464792001612,3.6772124750987398,3.8116315819247615,3.9431978660701783,4.0720025992179352,4.1981343423147575,4.3216790270253869,4.4427200347438331,4.5613382732349175,4.6776122509772247,4.7916181492764069,4.9034298922157369,5.0131192145087962,5.120755727317249,5.2264069820947245,5.3301385325160613,5.4320139945493278,5.5320951047263573,5.6304417766658315,5.7271121559013611,5.8221626730653799,5.9156480954782253,6.0076215771902159]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (\",C991,\")\")","v":"Norwegian wage earners, Green offshore, Investing (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E988*($B$939/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.8420795278910864,6.8750618599742523,6.9082031838120752,6.9415042658263504,6.9749658761334095,7.0085887885619504,7.0423737806709168,7.076321633767483,7.1104331329251318,7.1447090670017968,7.1791502286581137,7.2137574143757464,7.2485314244758134,7.2834730631373894,7.3185831384161038,7.3538624622628284,7.3893118505424544,7.4249321230527618,7.4607241035433756,7.4966886197348153,7.5328265033376374,7.5691385900716748,7.6056257196853547,7.6422887359751215,7.6791284868049505,7.7161458241259586,7.7533416039961063,7.7907166865999837,7.8282719362687221,7.8660082214999667,7.9039264149779651,7.942027393593758,7.9803120384654402,8.0187812349585563,8.0574358727065611,8.0962768456314027,8.1353050519641918,8.1745213942659678,8.2139267794485846,8.2535221187956687,8.293308327983711,8.3332863271032203,8.3734570406800248]
["\"Ringvirkninger\" of GO",165,"pct","100 pct means that for each job created offshore there is another created onshore"]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (\",C993,\")\")","v":"Indirect employment of GO through ringvirkninger (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"(E990+E991)*($B$992/100+1)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,18.131510748911378,18.805166109813236,19.464481269592483,20.109914728088562,20.74191136653636,21.360902856781873,21.967308058224468,22.561533402854128,23.143973268740769,23.715010342322056,24.27501596982588,24.82435049815334,25.363363605538549,25.892394622291899,26.411772841924318,26.921817822941104,27.42283968158533,27.915139375802188,28.399008980687846,28.874731955678165,29.342583403725168,29.802830322701599,30.255731849266805,30.701539495420043,31.140497377960646,31.572842441067895,31.998804672206955,32.418607311561118,32.832467055184644,33.240594252064554,33.643193095274086,34.040461807395161,34.432592820381728,34.819772950030881,35.202183565223407,35.580000752090776,35.953395473260827,36.322533722329659,36.687576673703198,37.04868082794713,37.405998152780093,37.759676219840827,38.109858337356137]
[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (\",C994,\")\")","v":"Nowegian wage earners, GO, Total (1000 p)"},null,"1000 p",null,{"$f":"E990+E991+E993","v":0},{"$f":"F990+F991+F993","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,24.973590276802465,25.901455207855967,26.809568541136816,27.698561795291795,28.569047731267062,29.421620915944843,30.256858268875213,31.075319592610402,31.877548087133512,32.664070848858685,33.435399354665833,34.192029931418752,34.934444211402152,35.663109574100162,36.378479574725944,37.080994359900011,37.771081070862813,38.449154234595468,39.115616143211561,39.770857221971809,40.415256386262968,41.049181387872011,41.672989150876923,42.287026097465343,42.89162846398353,43.48712260750861,44.073825303228446,44.652044032904939,45.222077264688281,45.784214724541741,46.338737659528462,46.885919093204656,47.426024073355961,47.959309912306686,48.486026420024693,49.006416130238236,49.520714519774344,50.029150221321984,50.531945229817616,51.029315102644162,51.521469153829187,52.008610642422269,52.490936955226374]
[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Production and Export",null,null,{"$f":"D984","v":"downside"},2018,{"$f":"E1035+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"S890","v":"Green offshore production (TWh/yr)"},null,null,null,0,{"$f":"U890","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.64341255764305,165.34991967509694,178.51255781727988,192.14770091841302,206.27231069497151,220.90395774556021,236.06084340822133,251.76182240236258,268.02642628347309,284.87488773980294,302.32816576123179,320.40797171163496,339.1367963371809,358.53793774415658,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
["Mainland import (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"MIN(0,AQ1608)*-1","v":0},0.23600897347301952,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.37246873357176469,0.91758270351846249,1.4449425262256455,1.9542466220511301,2.4451913666297855,2.9174712095513371,3.3707787955502795,3.8048050881982931,4.2192394960876811,4.6137700014911047,4.9486007701266033,3.4340557245818104,1.8925418678819597,0.32441228811535439,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]
["Green offshore, export (TWh/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR768","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,F1036-F1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,G1036-G1037)","v":0},{"$f":"MAX(0,H1036-H1037)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,7.2270000000000012,14.713430769230769,22.468605207100591,30.502170522227278,38.824120233281597,47.444806600630159,56.374953504242534,65.625669783882017,75.208463058175212,85.135254039750734,95.418391364254617,106.07066695168939,117.10533191918594,128.53611306500287,140.3772299442594,152.27094382407128,164.43233697157848,177.06761529105424,190.19345429636189,203.82711932834172,217.98648653600887,232.69006461267105,247.95701731416429,263.80718678738538,280.26111773831184,297.37956499110521,316.97391598705315,337.24425446929894,358.21352545604122,378.63553038112633,399.45457506147454,421.02097006368132,443.36154334801859,466.50408592974236,490.47738645029733,515.31126698953869,541.03662016352223,567.68544755400762,595.29089951748472,623.88731642324069,653.51027137176743,684.19661444665132]
["Green offshore, percent exported (pct)",null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AR769","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1036=0,0,F1038/F1036*100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,100,{"$f":"IF(Q1036=0,0,Q1038/Q1036*100)","v":100},100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,99.75598767917279,99.445066132888698,99.190565333949991,98.982945612822647,98.814580901143998,98.679303331943146,98.572072035800886,98.488728333830736,98.42581212808274,98.380422353793008,98.363169121981571,98.928224005714682,99.441953250628586,99.909518002430502,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100,100]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
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[]
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[]
["Green Offshore, Operations Costs",null,null,{"$f":"D931","v":"downside"}]
["Green offshore operations"]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(A1066,\" in 2018\")","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW) in 2018"},0.35,null,"Source: Equinor call Jan 20, 2021"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1063,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1060","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1061+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1062+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1062+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1062+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1060","v":"pct/yr - GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1060","v":-0.5},{"$f":"E1063*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34825},{"$f":"X1062*(1+$W1062/100)","v":0.34650874999999998},0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"A1066","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},{"$f":"E1059","v":0.35},0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1062","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1064+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1063","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"F1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"G1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$Y1065+(($AD1065-$Y1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"H1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AD1065+(($AI1065-$AD1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"I1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AI1065+(($AN1065-$AI1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"J1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AN1065+(($AS1065-$AN1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"K1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AS1065+(($AX1065-$AS1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"L1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$AX1065+(($BC1065-$AX1065)/5)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"M1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BC1065+(($BM1065-$BC1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"N1063","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*1","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*2","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*3","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*4","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*5","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*6","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*7","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*8","v":0.35},{"$f":"$BM1065+(($BW1065-$BM1065)/10)*9","v":0.35},{"$f":"O1063","v":0.35}]
["GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)",1,{"$f":"IF(B1066=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
[null,1,"Green offshore wage level relative to O&G sector",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V1065","v":"GO estimated OPEX for O&M (2018-GNOK/GW)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1066=1,X1062,X1065)","v":0.34825},0.34650874999999998,0.34477620624999999,0.34305232521875001,0.34133706359265625,0.33963037827469295,0.33793222638331949,0.33624256525140289,0.3345613524251459,0.33288854566302017,0.33122410293470506,0.32956798242003155,0.32792014250793139,0.32628054179539173,0.3246491390864148,0.3230258933909827,0.32141076392402779,0.31980371010440767,0.31820469155388564,0.31661366809611624,0.31503059975563563,0.31345544675685744,0.31188816952307313,0.31032872867545774,0.30877708503208046,0.30723319960692003,0.30569703360888545,0.30416854844084101,0.3026477056986368,0.30113446717014364,0.29962879483429294,0.29813065086012147,0.29663999760582088,0.29515679761779179,0.29368101362970284,0.29221260856155434,0.29075154551874655,0.28929778779115284,0.28785129885219707,0.2864120423579361,0.28497998214614645,0.2835550822354157,0.2821373068242386,0.28072662029011741,0.27932298718866683,0.27792637225272349,0.27653674039145987,0.27515405668950255,0.273778286406055,0.27240939497402472,0.27104734799915459,0.26969211125915882]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Green offshore OPEX (Nominal 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["Green offshore Wage bill",null,null,{"$f":"D1057","v":"downside"}]
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["Green offshore OPEX",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1104+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Green offshore OPEX (\",B1108,\")\")","v":"Green offshore OPEX (NOK/kWh)"},"NOK/kWh",null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036=0,\"\",SUM(E1105:E1106)/E1036*1000)","v":""},"","","","","","","","","",{"$f":"IF(O1036=0,\"\",SUM(O1105:O1106)/O1036)","v":""},0.1182248596103167,0.11917675426806358,0.12014981236036666,0.12114428904466475,0.12216044379904673,0.12319854048215682,0.12425884739403016,0.12534163733787412,0.1264471876828073,0.12757578042757114,0.12872770226522806,0.12990324464886077,0.13110270385828673,0.13232638106780306,0.13357458241497697,0.13484761907049686,0.13614580730909909,0.13746946858158748,0.13881892958795986,0.14019452235165869,0.14159658429496322,0.1430254583155372,0.14448149286415218,0.14596504202360133,0.14747646558882235,0.14901612914824711,0.15058440416639529,0.15218166806773131,0.15380830432180259,0.15546470252967737,0.15715125851170275,0.15886837439660043,0.16061645871192146,0.16239592647587878,0.16420719929057878,0.16605070543667158,0.16792687996944167,0.1698361648163596,0.17177900887611652,0.1737558681191631,0.17576720568977569,0.17781349200967103]
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[]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Employment per million 2018-NOK spent (p)"]
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["Green offshore, Revenue - Assumptions",null,null,{"$f":"D1086","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rates of change",1,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1140,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1135","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"Y1136+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1137+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1137+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1137+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F1135","v":"pct/yr - Nordpool SYS spot price (2018-ore/kWh): Future annual RoC"},{"$f":"E1135","v":1},{"$f":"E1138*(1+$W1137/100)","v":42.655582500000001},{"$f":"X1137*(1+$W1137/100)","v":43.082138325000003},43.512959708250001,43.948089305332502,44.387570198385831,44.831445900369687,45.279760359373384,45.732557962967121,46.189883542596796,46.651782378022766,47.118300201802995,47.589483203821025,48.065378035859233,48.546031816217827,49.031492134380002,49.521807055723805,50.017025126281041,50.51719537754385,51.022367331319288,51.532591004632479,52.047916914678808,52.568396083825597,53.094080044663855,53.625020845110491,54.161271053561599,54.702883764097216,55.249912601738188,55.802411727755569,56.360435845033123,56.924040203483457,57.493280605518294,58.068213411573474,58.648895545689207,59.2353845011461,59.82773834615756,60.426015729619138,61.030275886915327,61.64057864578448,62.256984432242326,62.879554276564747,63.508349819330398,64.143433317523701,64.784867650698942,65.432716327205938,66.087043490477996,66.747913925382775,67.415393064636604,68.089546995282973,68.770442465235803,69.458146889888155,70.152728358787044,70.854255642374909]
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[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1137","v":"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"}]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"selected"]
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["Green Offshore, Revenue",null,null,null,2018,{"$f":"E1162+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1162+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Green offshore export (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100*(S1244/100)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["Green offshore export (2018-GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,0,{"$f":"X1144*F1038/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.6135000000000006,7.3567153846153834,11.234302603550296,15.251085261113639,19.412060116640799,23.722403300315083,28.187476752121267,32.812834891941009,37.604231529087606,42.56762701987536,47.709195682127309,53.035333475844688,58.552665959592971,64.268056532501433,70.188614972129699,76.135471912035641,82.21616848578924,88.533807645527119,95.096727148180946,101.91355966417086,108.99324326800442,116.34503230633553,123.97850865708214,131.90359339369269,140.13055886915592,148.68978249555261,158.48695799352657,168.62212723464944,179.10676272802061,189.31776519056314,199.72728753073727,210.51048503184066,221.68077167400929,233.25204296487118,245.23869322514867,257.65563349476935,270.51831008176111,283.84272377700381,297.64544975874236,311.94365821162035,326.75513568588372,342.09830722332566]
["Green offshore export (2018-NOK/kWh)",null,null,null,{"$f":"IF(E1036>0,E1164/E1036,0)","v":0},{"$f":"IF(F1038>0,F1164/F1038,0)","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.50000000000000011,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49999999999999989,0.5,0.49999999999999994,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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["Green Offshore, OPEX, CAPEX, Revenue, Profit",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1162","v":2018},2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["GO OPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1107","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.85441106040375892,1.7534989232247811,2.6995986996322934,3.6951637622343538,4.7427717578052295,5.8451309266558358,7.0050867443292191,8.2256289021064237,9.5098986436525603,10.86119647602073,12.282990274164776,13.778923799093139,15.352825650827409,17.008718678413789,18.75082987037565,20.583600750193746,22.511698302660761,24.540026458281378,26.673738164281545,28.918248072254471,31.279245874010211,33.762710318813113,36.374923946892899,39.122488575902835,42.012341578878683,45.051772994228372,48.248443510359792,51.610403369738663,55.146112239464749,58.864460097868424,62.774789189168153,66.886917100896824,71.211161021610806,75.758363239343481,80.539917944366195,85.567799403077913,90.854591573272202,96.413519234631309,102.2584807120854,108.40408227365519,114.86567428858257,121.65938923595361]
["GO CAPEX (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,34.98438011639913,36.040908395914379,37.129343829470997,38.250650013121017,39.405819643517283,40.595875396751502,41.821870833733399,43.08489133291215,44.38605505116611,45.726513913711329,47.107454633905405,48.530099763849364,49.995708776717613,51.505579181774479,53.061047673064074,54.663491312790605,56.314328750436886,58.015021478700092,59.767075127356833,61.572040796203005,63.431516428248337,65.347148224381428,67.320632100757763,69.353715190200646,71.44819738894472,73.60593295009086,75.828832125183609,78.118862855364142,80.478052513596154,82.908489699506745,85.412326088431854,87.991778336302488,90.649130042058843,93.386733769329012,96.207013129162746,99.112464925663474,102.1056613664185,105.18925233968434,108.36596776034283,111.63861998670517,115.01010631030366,118.48341152087481,122.06161054880525,125.74787118737915]
["GO Revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["GO Offshore profit (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1187-E1185-E1186","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-34.98438011639913,-36.040908395914379,-33.490821826490681,-30.674055014875297,-27.572650006672568,-24.167556043285227,-20.438565498907163,-16.364246118501065,-11.921869344651562,-7.087334509063183,-1.8350886516610245,3.861958283291564,10.032523138958048,16.707044405607789,23.917782544235401,31.698926087050559,40.0867038456404,48.807855613598704,58.054892719622728,68.027434921124723,78.771763378228485,90.336910578268387,102.7748192833767,116.14051056159293,130.49226141884375,145.89179257859712,162.40446698711401,180.13976960292629,201.03495452614158,223.34764393307717,247.16198924575443,271.16489613351598,296.40196899833086,323.32039590938638,352.02185032051727,382.61395010660232,415.21060027075055,449.93235528473951,486.90680218391066,526.26896560164516,568.16173599610192,612.73632239329629,660.15273104606808,710.58027148825715]
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[]
["Main Indicators"]
["GDP and GDP  per person",null,null,{"$f":"D1134","v":"downside"}]
["Note: We conceptualize Norway as consisting of two \"countries\": offshore (historically only O&G, but in future also green offshore) and mainland (fastland) Norway"]
["The share of offshore GDP is calculated from Macroeconomic indicators for the petroleum sector, 1971-2020 https://www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/governments-revenues/"]
["and EINAR W. NORDBØ AND NJÅL STENSLAND, The petroleum sector and the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank ECONOMIC COMMENTARIES NO. 4, 2015"]
["Mainland GDP"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",2,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1231,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Inflation-GDP deflator (NOKt/NOK2018): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,-20,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1232,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr): Future annual RoC"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1225+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1225+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1225+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1239+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1239+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1239+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1233","v":"Annual RoC in 'GDPpp' Mainland (2018-KNOK/p-yr) (pct/yr)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1232=1,S1233,S1226)","v":1.6909868685221172},-5.2056557471082767,-3.1645245976866212,-1.1233934482649657,0.91773770115668984,2.9588688505783454,5,4.66,4.32,3.98,3.6399999999999997,3.3,2.94,2.58,2.2199999999999998,1.8599999999999999,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1000000000000001,1,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1235","v":"GDP Mainland (2018-GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1241*U22","v":3003},2867.5841992551204,2793.6106814406617,2778.1791867913003,2819.1333146786046,2917.8006223040234,3079.007815399787,3237.786626518799,3393.4575518079041,3544.7771142498677,3690.4836096210647,3829.3137377769276,3959.250874692455,4078.6093916134523,4186.1345219168652,4280.6637863201104,4361.1475683018616,4438.0478461415023,4511.4813895568768,4581.2302075753651,4647.0845411513574,4708.8439037575436,4766.3180893406479,4819.1696394943319,4867.2267618495553,4910.3316670173754,4948.3414273037051,4986.0900462297013,5023.4017002129558,5060.2637969001817,5096.6638437391839,5132.5894550720031,5168.0283591996267,5203.1067456371056,5237.8150297940783,5272.1436997758328,5306.0833209644024,5339.6245405807549,5372.7580922249326,5405.4748003910372,5437.7655849539251,5469.6214656245102,5501.0335663705573,5531.9559470572731,5562.3793688395835,5592.2947366844655,5621.6931043530039,5650.5656793131575,5678.9038275794001,5706.6990784754362,5733.9431293162534,5760.6278500058215]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1236","v":"GDP nominal Mainland (GNOK/yr)"},null,{"$f":"S1242*S1244/100","v":3063.06},{"$f":"T1242*T1244/100","v":2983.4346009050273},2964.6020040302815,3007.1904980255508,3112.5509743982325,3285.9174077439038,3536.8121481298558,3793.5830746444303,4055.4959021008872,4321.063522395707,4588.6525057543922,4856.4957267412192,5121.7131831321531,5381.6384750627331,5633.9859130135274,5876.4340541593047,6106.6594603465928,6338.6251828155646,6572.3764929576973,6807.4670973239936,7043.4296362714322,7279.7769480661,7516.0034879834193,7751.3319597027803,7985.2014019095404,8217.0379590730754,8446.2570640676422,8680.9034646487908,8920.7812365541413,9165.9674471339695,9416.5391155104553,9672.5731706734114,9934.1464085223288,10201.606688222746,10475.051556863571,10754.579207423216,11040.288455359008,11332.278714353659,11630.649971216004,11935.502759933996,12246.938134878455,12565.057643156875,12889.963296117186,13221.668695171922,13560.269935807022,13905.863225933022,14258.544849645114,14618.411130270541,14985.558392718631,15360.082925149871,15742.080939981615,16131.648534249058]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"Q1237","v":"Inflation-GDP deflator  Mainland  (NOKt/NOK2018)"},null,{"$f":"IF($B$1231=1,S1237,S1230)","v":102},104.04,106.1208,108.243216,110.40808032000001,112.61624192640001,114.868566764928,117.16593810022657,119.5092568622311,121.89944199947573,124.33743083946524,126.82417945625456,129.36066304537965,131.94787630628724,134.58683383241299,137.27857050906127,140.02414191924251,142.82462475762736,145.6811172527799,148.59473959783551,151.56663438979223,154.59796707758807,157.68992641913982,160.84372494752262,164.06059944647308,167.34181143540255,170.68864766411059,174.1024206173928,177.58446902974066,181.13615841033547,184.75888157854217,188.45405921011303,192.22314039431529,196.06760320220161,199.98895526624565,203.98873437157056,208.06850905900197,212.22987924018202,216.47447682498566,220.80396636148538,225.22004568871509,229.72444660248939,234.31893553453918,239.00531424522995,243.78542053013456,248.66112894073726,253.63435151955201,258.70703854994304,263.8811793209419,269.15880290736072,274.54197896550795,280.0328185448181]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1242/S1242)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":2.2343580537963703},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1242/S1242)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.744061654435014},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2030 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AD1241/S1241)^(1/11)-1)*100","v":1.6984332282685033},"pct/yr"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Average Growth rate (CAGR) mainland GDP per person 2019-2050 (2018-NOK)",{"$f":"((AX1241/S1241)^(1/31)-1)*100","v":1.3458518144600085},"pct/yr"]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland employment"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",1.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1271,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p): Future annual RoC"},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"D1269","v":"Labour productivity mainland (2018-MNOK/p)"}]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1267+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1267+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1267+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,{"$f":"IF($B$1271=1,S1269,S1268)","v":1.1663907024328743},{"$f":"IF($B$1271=1,T1269,T1268)","v":1.0545855541260798},1.0704043374379708,1.0864604024995403,1.1027573085370332,1.1192986681650887,1.1360881481875649,1.1531294704103783,1.1704264124665338,1.1879828086535318,1.2058025507833345,1.2238895890450845,1.2422479328807607,1.2608816518739721,1.2797948766520815,1.2989917998018625,1.3184766767988902,1.3382538269508735,1.3583276343551365,1.3787025488704634,1.3993830871035202,1.4203738334100728,1.4416794409112237,1.463304632524892,1.4852542020127653,1.5075330150429567,1.5301460102686009,1.5530982004226297,1.5763946734289689,1.6000405935304032,1.624041202433359,1.6484018204698592,1.6731278477769069,1.6982247654935603,1.7236981369759634,1.7495536090306028,1.7757969131660616,1.8024338668635522,1.8294703748665053,1.8569124304895028,1.8847661169468453,1.9130376087010477,1.9417331728315632,1.9708591704240366,2.0004220579803969,2.0304283888501025,2.0608848146828538,2.0917980869030965,2.1231750582066429,2.1550226840797424,2.1873480243409382,2.2201582447060519]
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[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Mainland CO2e emissions"]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",-0.5,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",A1296,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Mainland CO2e emissions per unit GDP (kgCO2e/2018-NOK): Future annual RoC"}]
[]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1291+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1291+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1291+10","v":2070}]
[null,null,null,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(hist!A435,\" annual RoC in pct/yr\")","v":"  annual RoC in pct/yr"},{"$f":"hist!AR435","v":2.8283906521528777},{"$f":"hist!AS435","v":2.8401785911822031},2.8,2.5,2.2000000000000002,2,1.8,1.6,1.4,1.2,1,null,"Manual entries",2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1292+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1292+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1292+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1302+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1302+1","v":2043},{"$f":"AQ1302+1","v":2044},2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["GDP value created by Offshore O&G",null,null,{"$f":"D1218","v":"downside"}]
[null,null,null,"Forecast by future annual rate of change",0.4,{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"pct/yr - \",D1319,\": Future annual RoC\")","v":"pct/yr - Offshore GDP divided by offshore exports (GNOK/GNOK): Future annual RoC"}]
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[null,"Forecast choices"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",null,2019,2020,{"$f":"T1329+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,{"$f":"AP1329+1","v":2043},2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["Offshore O&G CO2e emissions"]
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[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Annual rate of change",null,{"$f":"X608*AR528","v":13.919},13.391575372557993,13.648112495564767,13.761933661130502,13.739891227692585,13.590446289593469,13.323903692914021,12.952129531478704,12.378809439100664,11.626752239288816,10.728148582875386,9.7168369667024237,8.6266866411635679,7.6859555753223603,6.8896369779102962,6.2130113262590534,5.6343494399855123,5.1361785262088313,4.6826314465861891,4.2673904156159761,3.8868296107172071,3.5378337837319478,3.2175949894364724,2.9280075623640758,2.6664157376694586,2.4300793844515431,2.2165034793191976,2.0234393216855264,1.848861990857994,1.6909481646362456,1.5480560035889355,1.4187070337485084,1.3015698390510519,1.1846880331672553,1.0689088636566524,0.9559168261472003,0.84727031209182246,0.74428930723114939,0.6480262054515662,0.55925549793050067,0.47847603731834765,0.405924303656783,0.34159708610075645,0.28161289404729678,0.22662072739332784,0.1776256680034265,0.135291778365319,9.9834656317005208E-2,7.1051166591553055E-2,4.8399452429814242E-2,3.1101937836143463E-2,1.8254528510151458E-2]
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["GDP value created by Green Offshore",null,null,{"$f":"D1315","v":"downside"},2018,{"$f":"E1375+1","v":2019},2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1375+1","v":2056},{"$f":"AQ1375+1","v":2057},2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,"Percent of investment spending being imported",{"$f":"$B$939","v":50},"pct"]
["Green offshore revenue (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1163","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.4929330633840774,9.3300939214705014,14.532768336477011,20.12348311570063,26.126077092631466,32.56577614106692,39.469272450843768,46.864808306754568,54.782264625896943,63.253254523161658,72.311222189840436,81.991547386475403,92.331655868126887,103.37113607825495,115.15186246645294,127.40647784249255,140.33366614964032,154.1395021756091,168.87701797075837,184.60230687490429,201.37469725814466,219.25693607060668,238.31538275468137,258.62021410459079,280.24564069117628,303.31040545251881,329.76145055009749,357.86653700232256,387.72042757365102,418.02113456768689,449.82588822955785,483.5940467796122,519.44002447129083,557.48477827160923,597.85617958153523,640.68940702750183,686.12736151752563,734.32110482298162,785.43032301849098,839.62381618782626,897.08001588345587,957.98753191158994]
["Green offshore investment spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E909","v":0},{"$f":"F909*$B$939/100","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,17.492190058199565,18.020454197957189,18.564671914735499,19.125325006560509,19.702909821758642,20.297937698375751,20.9109354168667,21.542445666456075,22.193027525583055,22.863256956855665,23.553727316952703,24.265049881924682,24.997854388358807,25.752789590887243,26.530523836532037,27.331745656395302,28.157164375218443,29.007510739350046,29.883537563678416,30.786020398101506,31.715758214124165,32.673574112190714,33.660316050378881,34.676857595100323,35.72409869447236,36.80296647504543,37.914416062591805,39.059431427682071,40.239026256798077,41.45424484975338,42.706163044215927,43.995889168151244,45.324565021029422,46.693366884664513,48.103506564581373,49.556232462831737,51.052830683209251,52.594626169842179,54.182983880171413,55.819309993352583,57.505053155151828,59.241705760437405,61.030805274402631,62.873935593689573]
["Green offshore operations spending (GNOK/yr)",null,null,null,{"$f":"E1105","v":0},0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.60564049986776192,1.2513939676736883,1.939453952877809,2.6721286083238587,3.4518466029465107,4.2811633384362926,5.1627674854716705,6.0994878559291426,7.0943006283246959,8.1503369446257405,9.2708908975038273,10.459427928077591,11.719593655224447,13.055223158621917,14.470350738817004,15.969220178818109,17.556295532961514,19.236272470126416,21.014090199762514,22.894944010655088,24.884298453889233,26.987901203089471,29.21179762670949,31.562346108931497,34.046234157611813,36.670495339682446,39.442527086492575,42.370109413755188,45.461424603056791,48.725077894298693,52.170119240972923,55.806066182839842,59.642927893376388,63.691230462308148,67.962043476635188,72.467007966816482,77.218365788200003,82.228990511383287,87.512419898972283,93.082890050182499,98.95537129890775,105.14560595527696]
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["Employment Norway (1000 p)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(O1457:O1459)","v":2024.5},{"$f":"SUM(P1457:P1459)","v":2004.9166666666667},2000.25,2000.4999999999998,2030.9166666666667,2076.3333333333335,2131.75,2198.25,2250.75,2263,2273.5,2281.5,2290.5,2275,2279.5,2291,2355,2436.75,2504.75,2495.75,2497.7500000000005,2541.5,2583,2602.75,2625,2639.75,2638.75,2645.75,2694.5,{"$f":"SUM(AR1457:AR1459)","v":2725.5},{"$f":"SUM(AS1457:AS1459)","v":2844.0997788717273},2734.4713564675089,2680.671019155594,2678.5061537170627,2726.9304635921189,2827.955392632593,2916.5598745303296,2998.2891626607548,3097.3787408882249,3164.1154563774799,3221.8737033741249,3275.5189366375939,3319.0063651804894,3351.4712589093501,3372.3203585568558,3381.2138681693123,3386.9793062522294,3389.2709482447294,3388.1847287557093,3383.7610049714967,3376.0096532915468,3365.5269352112341,3351.6305419455703,3334.3336865452225,3313.66107581601,3289.6537666639165,3265.6295913454287,3241.4110184826345,3216.9981237156039,3192.3928826105544,3167.5982640550828,3142.5588134608747,3117.350698632496,3092.0527903469688,3066.6834626731484,3041.2052947590551,3015.5678451221584,2989.7512572337173,2963.786086473011,2937.7389087493707,2911.6730942877771,2885.5108714587022,2859.2624739003918,2832.9341675577416,2806.5472923789098,2780.1088048144552,2753.620379014947,2727.0922373862463,2700.5458382384836,2674.0023940001397,2647.4688801958769]
["Participation rate Norway (pct)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"O1460/hist!P7/10","v":47.825289928270337},{"$f":"P1460/hist!Q7/10","v":47.176396859795958},{"$f":"Q1460/hist!R7/10","v":46.804429204747052},{"$f":"R1460/hist!S7/10","v":46.532270088600882},{"$f":"S1460/hist!T7/10","v":46.959619467345235},{"$f":"T1460/hist!U7/10","v":47.749253941862278},{"$f":"U1460/hist!V7/10","v":48.781944536296351},{"$f":"V1460/hist!W7/10","v":50.043094087163425},{"$f":"W1460/hist!X7/10","v":50.949622181642113},{"$f":"X1460/hist!Y7/10","v":50.907368161051743},{"$f":"Y1460/hist!Z7/10","v":50.76479899394819},{"$f":"Z1460/hist!AA7/10","v":50.661317269746924},{"$f":"AA1460/hist!AB7/10","v":50.629234852011436},{"$f":"AB1460/hist!AC7/10","v":49.975264989723762},{"$f":"AC1460/hist!AD7/10","v":49.798392426187732},{"$f":"AD1460/hist!AE7/10","v":49.735550585136259},{"$f":"AE1460/hist!AF7/10","v":50.751914941945628},{"$f":"AF1460/hist!AG7/10","v":52.054694439424296},{"$f":"AG1460/hist!AH7/10","v":52.874384310804906},{"$f":"AH1460/hist!AI7/10","v":52.002895451207813},{"$f":"AI1460/hist!AJ7/10","v":51.41308538411046},{"$f":"AJ1460/hist!AK7/10","v":51.653301980263414},{"$f":"AK1460/hist!AL7/10","v":51.806404900248097},{"$f":"AL1460/hist!AM7/10","v":51.52659477062722},{"$f":"AM1460/hist!AN7/10","v":51.379354620501331},{"$f":"AN1460/hist!AO7/10","v":51.100487397697393},{"$f":"AO1460/hist!AP7/10","v":50.60908307177715},{"$f":"AP1460/hist!AQ7/10","v":50.315528713845133},{"$f":"AQ1460/hist!AR7/10","v":50.881681631552418},{"$f":"AR1460/U22/10","v":51.152243942245541},52.988901019529706,50.640530603639263,49.359138421881873,49.048851821168455,49.674559483203971,51.25858767800603,52.614842479969901,53.837424437046501,55.361567021841246,56.298839150286597,57.071367984589948,57.767287749207455,58.287247782257417,58.61864489640768,58.753647459006672,58.688772879944182,58.578964142656048,58.414099854162103,58.196390237160642,57.927041162035913,57.606700023373605,57.245957822307595,56.835441148041092,56.375740638050516,55.867600680311497,55.311999311863779,54.764823240088859,54.224698072747898,53.691391353427626,53.164705675182631,52.644463102977262,52.12951925962183,51.619546205622235,51.115670233182314,50.618012781650542,50.12577648987601,49.637955560512573,49.154053119136876,48.6744030341262,48.199929305343041,47.731500979288882,47.267673959429871,46.808765171006954,46.354703935535085,45.905667731540397,45.46160019009578,45.022360371421634,44.587948928735337,44.158552054549105,43.734353992376619,43.315308437670879]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Forecasting mainland energy use",null,null,{"$f":"D1399","v":"downside"}]
["Forecast by formula"]
["Formula:","All energy use, mainland pp = a + b * constant GDPpp * exp( - c * (year - 1965 )) * exp( - d * (year - policyyr )) * exp( - e * (year - behaviouralyr))"]
[null,"historical tech advance",1.4950000000000001,"pct/yr","a =",-0.50577000000000005]
[null,null,null,null,"b =",3.08867,"c =",-1.5,"future annual technological change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"policy effect start yr",2030,"d =",-1,"annual change due to policy (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,null,null,"behavioural effect start yr",2050,"e =",-1,"annual change due to behavioural change (pct / yr)"]
[null,null,"cumulative historical tech advance","1965 to 2019",{"$f":"EXP((-$C$1482/100)*(F1488-1965))","v":0.44606080596973691},null,"AT =",5,"adjustment time (yrs)"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1488+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,{"$f":"M1488+1","v":2027},2028,2029,2030,2031,2032,2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,{"$f":"AP1488+1","v":2056},2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
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["cumulative tech advance from 2019 to yeart",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(F1488-$F$1488))","v":1},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(G1488-$F$1488))","v":0.98511193960306265},{"$f":"EXP(($H$1483/100)*(H1488-$F$1488))","v":0.97044553354850815},0.95599748183309996,0.94176453358424872,0.92774348632855286,0.91393118527122819,0.90032452258626561,0.88692043671715748,0.87371591168803442,0.86070797642505781,0.84789370408791587,0.835270211411272,0.82283465805601841,0.81058424597018708,0.79851621875937706,0.78662786106655347,0.77491649796108097,0.76337949433685315,0.75201425431938262,0.74081822068171788,0.72978887426905681,0.71892373343192617,0.70822035346779999,0.69767632607103103,0.68728927879097224,0.67705687449816465,0.66697681085847438,0.65704681981505675,0.64726466707803465,0.63762815162177333,0.62813510518964089,0.61878339180614084,0.60957090729630925,0.6004955788122659,0.59155536436681511,0.58274825237398964,0.57407226119643606,0.56552543869953709,0.55710586181217392,0.54881163609402639,0.54064089530931658,0.53259180100689718,0.52466254210659291,0.51685133449169929,0.50915642060754918,0.50157606906605556,0.49410857425614169,0.48675225595997168,0.47950545897489411,0.47236655274101469,0.46533393097431341]
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[null,null,null,"plus policy change",null,{"$f":"F1494*IF(F1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(F1488-$F1484)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1494*IF(G1488>=$F1484,EXP(($H$1484/100)*(G1488-$F1484)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},7.5780108021231189,7.2623289804045195,7.0914371586994953,7.0517319635529967,7.1386424949540395,7.3558144515752355,7.5527435685813842,7.7542750633986524,7.8962663008347267,8.0195955155309573,8.0347022539758441,8.0206153965632563,7.9878106857244831,7.9355499732767534,7.8625173650903069,7.7679015697454457,7.6707307734701962,7.5694733773814571,7.4640108121398567,7.3543737347471438,7.2406404173290744,7.1229249613458405,7.0015623301596621,6.8767040843599867,6.7482634533072119,6.6165830309129587,6.4883605658633252,6.3634441435131519,6.2416883052226453,6.1229602079934677,6.0071382298623384,5.8941107398099737,5.7833786545536414,5.6749289008967629,5.5687868979386197,5.4653691548117722,5.3642444653447656,5.2654038753220522,5.1682386448129076,5.0731825715172194,4.980353585991474,4.8897078671303031,4.8010771890394492,4.7144447530113043,4.6298054075705943,4.5471429151578668,4.4664270715553274,4.3876152602347878,4.3106554740020426,4.235489880951298]
[null,null,null,"plus behavioural change",null,{"$f":"F1495*IF(F1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(F1488-$F1485)),1)","v":9.0180576886936272},{"$f":"G1495*IF(G1488>=$F1485,EXP(($H$1485/100)*(G1488-$F1485)),1)","v":8.8121240659214752},7.5780108021231189,7.2623289804045195,7.0914371586994953,7.0517319635529967,7.1386424949540395,7.3558144515752355,7.5527435685813842,7.7542750633986524,7.8962663008347267,8.0195955155309573,8.0347022539758441,8.0206153965632563,7.9878106857244831,7.9355499732767534,7.8625173650903069,7.7679015697454457,7.6707307734701962,7.5694733773814571,7.4640108121398567,7.3543737347471438,7.2406404173290744,7.1229249613458405,7.0015623301596621,6.8767040843599867,6.7482634533072119,6.6165830309129587,6.4883605658633252,6.3634441435131519,6.2416883052226453,6.1229602079934677,5.9473662057834797,5.7773995274848335,5.6124539841313617,5.4524117559219105,5.2971939560932695,5.1470908329470486,5.0015883879521468,4.8605803876373255,4.7234144704184269,4.5904054192366708,4.4615707481776354,4.336781836934529,4.2158039431924728,4.0985413713630665,3.9849104435918763,3.8748195926934885,3.7681673761648482,3.6648443260076342,3.5647359175089433,3.4677258198854277]
[null,null,null,"with smoothing adjustment",null,{"$f":"E1490-(E1490-F1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.5276064343327533},{"$f":"F1490-(F1490-G1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.2886492387901498},{"$f":"G1490-(G1490-H1496)*1/$H$1486","v":8.1465215514567433},7.9696830372462983,7.7940338615369376,7.6455734819401497,7.5441872845429279,7.5065127179493896,7.5157588880757888,7.5634621231403614,7.6300229586792341,7.7079374700495791,7.7732904268348317,7.822755420780517,7.85576647376931,7.8717231736707989,7.8698820119547008,7.8494859235128498,7.8137348935043187,7.764882590279746,7.7047082346517684,7.6346413346708433,7.5558411512024897,7.4692579132311598,7.3757187966168605,7.2759158541654854,7.170385373993831,7.0596249053776567,6.9453720374747903,6.8289864586824622,6.7115268279904985,6.5938135039910923,6.4645240443495702,6.3270991409766228,6.184170109607571,6.0378184388704392,5.8896935423150056,5.7411730004414139,5.5932560779435603,5.4467209398823133,5.3020596459895364,5.1597288006389634,5.0200971901466982,4.8834341195042645,4.7499080842419064,4.6196347416661387,4.4926898820512866,4.369115824179727,4.2489261345767515,4.1321097728629281,4.0186350017921315,3.9084531654107906]
[]
[]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,-0.5,"Future annual RoC, all energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1501+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1501+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"RoC",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"AD1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.1169916293472824},{"$f":"AE1502*(1+$G$1500/100)","v":8.0764066712005462},8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1503+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1503+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1503+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"manual",{"$f":"F1504","v":8.1577805320073189},{"$f":"G1504","v":8.5},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*1","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*2","v":8.6999999999999993},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*3","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AE1503+(($AJ1503-$AE1503)/5)*4","v":8.9},{"$f":"H1504","v":9},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*1","v":8.8000000000000007},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*2","v":8.6},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*3","v":8.4},{"$f":"$AJ1503+(($AO1503-$AJ1503)/5)*4","v":8.1999999999999993},{"$f":"I1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*1","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*2","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*3","v":8},{"$f":"$AO1503+(($AT1503-$AO1503)/5)*4","v":8},{"$f":"J1504","v":8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*1","v":7.8},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*2","v":7.6},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*3","v":7.4},{"$f":"$AT1503+(($AY1503-$AT1503)/5)*4","v":7.2},{"$f":"K1504","v":7},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*1","v":6.8},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*2","v":6.6},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*3","v":6.4},{"$f":"$AY1503+(($BD1503-$AY1503)/5)*4","v":6.2},{"$f":"L1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*1","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*2","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*3","v":6},{"$f":"$BD1503+(($BI1503-$BD1503)/5)*4","v":6},{"$f":"M1504","v":6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*1","v":5.95},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*2","v":5.9},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*3","v":5.85},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*4","v":5.8},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*5","v":5.75},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*6","v":5.7},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*7","v":5.65},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*8","v":5.6},{"$f":"$BI1503+(($BS1503-$BI1503)/10)*9","v":5.55},{"$f":"N1504","v":5.5},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*1","v":5.35},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*2","v":5.2},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*3","v":5.05},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*4","v":4.9000000000000004},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*5","v":4.75},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*6","v":4.5999999999999996},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*7","v":4.45},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*8","v":4.3},{"$f":"$BS1503+(($CC1503-$BS1503)/10)*9","v":4.1500000000000004},{"$f":"O1504","v":4}]
[{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1504=1,\"annual rate of change\",IF(B1504=2,\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\",\" formula: f(GDPpp)\"))","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"E1490","v":8.404993620742534},{"$f":"F1490","v":8.1577805320073189},8.5,9,8,8,7,6,6,5.5,4]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"Selected",2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1508+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1508+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1490","v":"All energy use pp, mainland (toe/p-y)"},{"$f":"IF($B$1504=1,AD1502,IF($B$1504=2,AD1503,F1490))","v":8.1577805320073189},8.1169916293472824,8.0764066712005462,8.0360246378445428,7.9958445146553201,7.9558652920820432,7.9160859656216331,7.876505535793525,7.8371230081145571,7.7979373930739841,7.7589477061086143,7.7201529675780716,7.681552202740181,7.6431444417264798,7.6049287195178472,7.5669040759202577,7.5290695555406568,7.4914242077629538,7.4539670867241394,7.4166972512905183,7.3796137650340654,7.3427156962088951,7.3060021177278509,7.2694721071392117,7.233124746603516,7.1969591228704983,7.1609743272561461,7.125169455619865,7.0895436083417653,7.0540958903000561,7.0188254108485557,6.9837312837943131,6.9488126273753412,6.9140685642384643,6.879498221417272,6.8451007303101852,6.8108752266586343,6.7768208505253416,6.742936746272715,6.7092220625413512,6.6756759522286444,6.6422975724675011,6.6090860846051633,6.5760406541821377,6.5431604509112269,6.5104446486566712,6.4778924254133878,6.4455029632863212,6.4132754484698893,6.3812090712275396,6.3493030258714018,6.3175565107420448]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1489","v":"All energy use, mainland (Mtoe/y)"},{"$f":"AD1509*U9","v":43.466384124007782},43.566735021777127,43.658520388895766,43.741860448238874,43.816873620478248,43.883676587607241,43.942384354805519,43.993110310673657,44.035966285866692,44.071062610155202,44.098508167941567,44.118410452258537,44.130875617276359,44.136008529344338,44.133912816591526,44.124690917111387,44.108444125754019,44.085272639549075,44.055275601782363,44.018551144747953,43.975196431197631,43.925307694508469,43.86898027758955,43.80630867054758,43.737386547131244,43.662306799973521,43.581161574650693,43.494042302576538,43.401039732749574,43.302243962371222,43.197744466351828,43.087630125721752,42.971989254964022,42.850909628284732,42.724478504837379,42.592782652916561,42.455908373136715,42.313941520610861,42.166967526144369,42.01507141645839,41.858337833457398,41.696851052555147,41.530695000073031,41.359953269724777,41.184709138201121,41.005045579868089,40.821045280592152,40.63279065070563,40.440363837125467,40.243846734638261,40.043320996364621,39.838868043415566]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Fraction of mainland use renewable",null,null,{"$f":"D1479","v":"downside"}]
["Forecast by future annual rates of change",null,null,null,null,null,1,"Future annual RoC, reneawable as fraction of total (pct/yr)"]
[]
["Forecast by future manual entries every 5 yrs"]
[null,"Forecast",null,null,2018,2019,2020,{"$f":"G1526+5","v":2025},2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,{"$f":"M1526+10","v":2060},{"$f":"N1526+10","v":2070},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2019,2020,{"$f":"AE1526+1","v":2021},2022,2023,2024,2025,2026,2027,2028,2029,2030,2031,{"$f":"AP1526+1","v":2032},2033,2034,2035,2036,2037,2038,2039,2040,2041,2042,2043,2044,2045,2046,2047,2048,2049,2050,2051,2052,2053,2054,2055,2056,2057,2058,2059,2060,2061,2062,2063,2064,2065,2066,2067,2068,2069,2070]
[{"$f":"hist!A448","v":"Renewable as fraction of total (percent)"},1,{"$f":"IF(B1527=1,\"annual rate of change\",\"manual entries at 5 yr intervals\")","v":"annual rate of change"},null,{"$f":"hist!AR448","v":69.907219672113399},70,69,69,70,71,72,73,74,72,70,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"A1523","v":"Forecast by future annual rates of change"},{"$f":"E1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":70.606291868834532},{"$f":"AD1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":71.312354787522878},{"$f":"AE1527*(1+$G$1523/100)","v":72.025478335398105},72.745733118752085,73.473190449939608,74.207922354439006,74.9500015779834,75.69950159376323,76.456496609700864,77.221061575797876,77.99327219155586,78.773204913471417,79.560936962606135,80.356546332232199,81.160111795554528,81.971712913510075,82.791430042645175,83.619344343071631,84.455537786502347,85.300093164367368,86.153094096011046,87.014625036971154,87.884771287340868,88.763619000214277,89.651255190216418,90.54776774211858,91.453245419539769,92.367777873735164,93.291455652472521,94.224370208997243,95.166613911087211,96.118280050198081,97.079462850700068,98.050257479207076,99.030760053999145,100.02106765453914,101.02127833108453,102.03149111439538,103.05180602553934,104.08232408579472,105.12314732665267,106.1743787999192,107.23612258791839,108.30848381379758,109.39156865193556,110.48548433845491,111.59033918183945,112.70624257365785,113.83330499939443,114.97163804938837,116.12135442988226,117.28256797418108]
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[{"$f":"CONCATENATE(\"Oil fund as share of mainland GDP (\",B1730,\")\")","v":"Oil fund as share of mainland GDP (pct)"},"pct",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"W1652/hist!X389","v":0.1661042324609239},{"$f":"X1652/hist!Y389","v":0.20387149765097701},{"$f":"Y1652/hist!Z389","v":0.33055887604370737},{"$f":"Z1652/hist!AA389","v":0.49489629180324557},{"$f":"AA1652/hist!AB389","v":0.47585857660171821},{"$f":"AB1652/hist!AC389","v":0.63586104562690737},{"$f":"AC1652/hist!AD389","v":0.71301742566474668},{"$f":"AD1652/hist!AE389","v":0.91380714009460162},{"$f":"AE1652/hist!AF389","v":1.064362454172608},{"$f":"AF1652/hist!AG389","v":1.0968180496047975},{"$f":"AG1652/hist!AH389","v":1.1633466782010635},{"$f":"AH1652/hist!AI389","v":1.3385142466280104},{"$f":"AI1652/hist!AJ389","v":1.475649693579334},{"$f":"AJ1652/hist!AK389","v":1.5277176836128656},{"$f":"AK1652/hist!AL389","v":1.6553635077690287},{"$f":"AL1652/hist!AM389","v":2.0690383508305219},{"$f":"AM1652/hist!AN389","v":2.5221976414909011},{"$f":"AN1652/hist!AO389","v":2.8398169777651536},{"$f":"AO1652/hist!AP389","v":2.7728397247549847},{"$f":"AP1652/hist!AQ389","v":3.0219960511444404},{"$f":"AQ1652/hist!AR389","v":2.8225641025641024},{"$f":"AR1652/S1243","v":3.2934385875562349},{"$f":"AS1652/T1243","v":3.6959273404015494},3.8449029222913862,3.8714464807171352,3.8270272760447259,3.7125787082871922,3.5330919194272434,3.3756844022334405,3.2280957343678036,3.0954066601695973,2.9765582228874874,2.8701941414657846,2.7732390420164403,2.685873321218176,2.6081659430092325,2.5401999221359715,2.4820451689055014,2.427364356716561,2.3744530625346862,2.3233364657041786,2.2740062639784093,2.2264461204796508,2.1803335974084979,2.1366911768925783,2.0955537565055975,2.0569372897342166,2.0208811996574521,1.9854300029879064,1.9508150335007266,1.9171093503272321,1.8843875411105795,1.8527232016455812,1.8222169810938238,1.7928553389000932,1.7646568938856162,1.7376471783541212,1.7119253054520744,1.6875767425193333,1.6647076261007896,1.6433344869619058,1.6235272161872822,1.6053658918921445,1.5889730982583639,1.5734974500617092,1.5590139359082147,1.5456047611982964,1.533362249588152,1.5223882503913135,1.5127886282506786,1.5046670158921431,1.498123085241378,1.4932564919830564]

{"sheet":"UIC","index":12,"n_rows":128,"n_cols":57,"rows_kept":128,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Calculating the investment cost per unit of production for O&G"]
["UIC = Unit Investment Cost",null,1965,{"$f":"C2+1","v":1966},{"$f":"D2+1","v":1967},1968,1969,1970,1971,1972,1973,1974,1975,1976,1977,1978,1979,1980,1981,1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019]
[]
["Norwegian Costs per barrel in 2016","http://graphics.wsj.com/oil-barrel-breakdown/",null,null,null,"see also https://www.eia.gov/finance/performanceprofiles/oil_gas.php"]
["Capital spending",13.76,"USD / barrel",null,{"$f":"B5*hist!$AP$27*ConversionFactors!$C$7","v":846.87659773120004},"NOK/toe",null,{"$f":"E5/1000","v":0.84687659773120005},"GNOK/Mtoe",null,null,{"$f":"B5/H5","v":16.247939826018719},"(USD/barrel)/(GNOK/Mtoe)"]
["Production",4.24,"USD / barrel",null,{"$f":"B6*hist!$AP$27*ConversionFactors!$C$7","v":260.95616092880005},"NOK/toe",null,{"$f":"E6/1000","v":0.26095616092880003},"GNOK/Mtoe"]
["Admin / Transport",3.12,"USD / barrel",null,{"$f":"B7*hist!$AP$27*ConversionFactors!$C$7","v":192.02434483440001},"NOK/toe",null,{"$f":"E7/1000","v":0.19202434483440001},"GNOK/Mtoe"]
["Taxes",0.19,"USD / barrel",null,{"$f":"B8*hist!$AP$27*ConversionFactors!$C$7","v":11.693790230300001},"NOK/toe",null,{"$f":"E8/1000","v":1.16937902303E-2},"GNOK/Mtoe",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AJ10+AJ12","v":187.31569199074232}]
[]
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[]
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["Pct of investment spent on new ('green') field development (pct)",{"$f":"AVERAGE(AN29:BD29)","v":28.845848388788738},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AB180","v":33.203378817413906},{"$f":"hist!AC180","v":26.913449504187923},{"$f":"hist!AD180","v":20.621175904628757},{"$f":"hist!AE180","v":24.237532286906422},{"$f":"hist!AF180","v":23.240803331952289},{"$f":"hist!AG180","v":27.907609681750557},{"$f":"hist!AH180","v":27.575612699955325},{"$f":"hist!AI180","v":26.130965562071847},{"$f":"hist!AJ180","v":23.118816029005156},{"$f":"hist!AK180","v":24.530018589793944},{"$f":"hist!AL180","v":29.04393688821348},{"$f":"hist!AM180","v":29.350460044379655},{"$f":"hist!AN180","v":33.077720772841388},{"$f":"hist!AO180","v":30.207460024693994},{"$f":"hist!AP180","v":33.81656714132599},{"$f":"hist!AQ180","v":35.99669948992117},{"$f":"hist!AR180","v":41.407215840366739},{"$f":"hist!AS180","v":43.920355583704676}]
["Pct of invest. spent on brown field development (pct)",{"$f":"AVERAGE(AN30:BD30)","v":44.759172360146231},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AB181","v":50.078900956093939},{"$f":"hist!AC181","v":47.796925644234776},{"$f":"hist!AD181","v":46.97154196545349},{"$f":"hist!AE181","v":42.711851778263473},{"$f":"hist!AF181","v":42.535816306504728},{"$f":"hist!AG181","v":41.734405051348119},{"$f":"hist!AH181","v":45.157573810064974},{"$f":"hist!AI181","v":45.40934774378352},{"$f":"hist!AJ181","v":47.40377950596784},{"$f":"hist!AK181","v":49.428560207367852},{"$f":"hist!AL181","v":49.73852411388728},{"$f":"hist!AM181","v":48.787915362975475},{"$f":"hist!AN181","v":40.963504712003775},{"$f":"hist!AO181","v":41.169865199254097},{"$f":"hist!AP181","v":41.40437911499005},{"$f":"hist!AQ181","v":42.225389378358472},{"$f":"hist!AR181","v":37.387649271933867},{"$f":"hist!AS181","v":36.994729579949784}]
["Pct of investment spent on Shutdown&Removal (pct)",{"$f":"AVERAGE(AN31:BD31)","v":2.2169486972964774},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AB182","v":1.7451034994894643},{"$f":"hist!AC182","v":1.3735117614967425},{"$f":"hist!AD182","v":1.7919692118041464},{"$f":"hist!AE182","v":2.5630836479237038},{"$f":"hist!AF182","v":1.37813733400205},{"$f":"hist!AG182","v":1.3263417643429982},{"$f":"hist!AH182","v":1.0886347783150849},{"$f":"hist!AI182","v":0.89220021287082729},{"$f":"hist!AJ182","v":1.4235986807528542},{"$f":"hist!AK182","v":0.90985259078888803},{"$f":"hist!AL182","v":0.56820721405265273},{"$f":"hist!AM182","v":1.3016795565747814},{"$f":"hist!AN182","v":3.7045628206527668},{"$f":"hist!AO182","v":5.604418497121574},{"$f":"hist!AP182","v":5.5777063236870319},{"$f":"hist!AQ182","v":3.5575952647227291},{"$f":"hist!AR182","v":2.8815246954418181},{"$f":"hist!AS182","v":2.2223981542219908}]
["Pct of investment spent on onshore activities (pct)",{"$f":"AVERAGE(AM32:BD32)","v":8.3406890225651154},null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"hist!AB183","v":6.6629536804975409},{"$f":"hist!AC183","v":17.2828214755624},{"$f":"hist!AD183","v":24.586960116658403},{"$f":"hist!AE183","v":21.128054838068746},{"$f":"hist!AF183","v":20.057131642643757},{"$f":"hist!AG183","v":10.502776064157928},{"$f":"hist!AH183","v":4.1280341089888788},{"$f":"hist!AI183","v":5.1853333428577546},{"$f":"hist!AJ183","v":5.1703519769664936},{"$f":"hist!AK183","v":3.5569345167962716},{"$f":"hist!AL183","v":2.3074688240289638},{"$f":"hist!AM183","v":2.2018067535072001},{"$f":"hist!AN183","v":3.7354910308190514},{"$f":"hist!AO183","v":5.5134673719189671},{"$f":"hist!AP183","v":5.1005971520440978},{"$f":"hist!AQ183","v":3.3550639644308662},{"$f":"hist!AR183","v":1.3164665236596433},{"$f":"hist!AS183","v":1.1609626999027347}]
[]
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[]
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["Ratio annual greenfield spending to annual production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN35/(AN$10+AN$12)","v":0.14730020147406428},{"$f":"AO35/(AO$10+AO$12)","v":0.13286321801992615},0.1016488482374763,0.13683602731889363,0.14222310550332667,0.20857351293878645,0.21129145768829968,0.23465130016524677,0.19080244045886821,0.23343025264788006,0.30456373778214324,0.38009783929804664,0.43080730136058021,0.34367609389300424,0.31985078622023733,0.28705034801596152,0.33165566107524819,0.45190644364811022]
["Ratio annual brownfield spending to annual production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN36/(AN$10+AN$12)","v":0.22216510678014448},0.23595835797874914,0.23153883962819474,0.2411351142347242,0.26029977552079586,0.3119110368546581,0.34600897901394845,0.4077676526121366,0.39122923965332312,0.4703674094249331,0.52157360326865021,0.63181909875630704,0.53351248232735604,0.46839749009729964,0.39161938459171042,0.33672011289704573,0.29946049942446268,0.38064711580799265]
["Ratio annual Shutdown&removal spending to annual production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN37/(AN$10+AN$12)","v":2.95588718529727E-2},6.7805946834231662E-3,8.8332308157083716E-3,1.4470210082293086E-2,8.4335712777352662E-3,9.9126999517751054E-3,8.3414004868419805E-3,8.0117950276480474E-3,1.1749135517185842E-2,8.6582535338373106E-3,5.9583972246160287E-3,1.6857166332807001E-2,4.8248569556718725E-2,6.3762549252995515E-2,5.2756205131084519E-2,2.8369516464267174E-2,2.3079889781909689E-2,2.2866755810538236E-2]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(BB39:BB42)","v":0.89759698215067019}]
["Ratio annual exploration spending to annual production (2016-usd/bbl)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN39*$L$5*0.943","v":0.56482572567847633},{"$f":"AO39*$L$5*0.943","v":0.50173510346496664},0.45530004246808264,0.80960587947542928,1.19904484662592,2.1217557343586542,2.5886790269247149,3.0794940188052817,2.8936760128988017,3.1456666376525675,2.9469729425966178,3.6426640493018185,3.6954595589468111,3.0514199892249789,2.043478721920724,1.8162585136488316,2.0871456628927345,2.4753426098881257]
["Ratio annual greenfield spending to annual production (2016-usd/bbl)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN40*$L$5*0.943","v":2.2569052957461011},{"$f":"AO40*$L$5*0.943","v":2.0357046179046647},1.5574440604824662,2.0965752362480332,2.1791150098625724,3.1957231639414867,3.2373669895258104,3.5952819934866125,2.9234382166729169,3.576573338775181,4.6664668874453259,5.8237858321222742,6.6007464358965953,5.2657388691014546,4.9006920971259547,4.3981301050498134,5.0815641143348733,6.924023427291691]
["Ratio annual brownfield spending to annual production (2016-usd/bbl)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN41*$L$5*0.943","v":3.4039709450797364},3.6153084813774603,3.5475934730461955,3.6946257429424691,3.9882629892929518,4.779040787686113,5.3014828852748019,6.2477373785284822,5.9943390028544741,7.2068787866825952,7.991450219066107,9.6806104517631084,8.1743754228555243,7.1766960624348526,6.0003167284023231,5.159160669005427,4.5882760529478466,5.8322017409378795]
["Ratio annual Shutdown&removal spending to annual production (2016-usd/bbl)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AN42*$L$5*0.943","v":0.45289533723414921},0.10389096482003177,0.13534106000547491,0.22170976983379143,0.12921755359665471,0.15188047804702079,0.12780533050396065,0.12275517918768702,0.18001798981818928,0.13266009181847899,9.1293413829868719E-2,0.25828225343251643,0.73925528312264888,0.97695748980150099,0.80832040657308046,0.43467226320959473,0.35362562272665898,0.35036002509761344]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"SUM(BB44:BB47)","v":13.752807954022083}]
["Cumulative"]
["Ratio of cumulative investment spending to cumulative production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"I20/I14","v":56.667424003970396},14.182460681518977,10.543041281355753,11.861923108078466,6.4126920719213816,4.7706845976414209,4.2061328166394176,3.1493085663084464,2.4985604402448032,2.0455234130868885,1.8636887341873964,1.7153650613334337,1.6677450966551608,1.6402235920705606,1.624255662420538,1.6119624264414916,1.5697918365413561,1.4942894132542486,1.4021197353953909,1.3145990175890232,1.2512225351026656,1.2020122513650588,1.1674956353972348,1.1182014467545378,1.063818389519281,1.0022513385322531,0.9622054104819141,0.94927661317062062,0.92709901724222987,0.88913798698226909,0.85596210195991862,0.82584630212586352,0.80300899614778432,0.78287646880636608,0.76991748339455823,0.76135021826397276,0.7606612811303205,0.76092827401324703,0.76712951131297413,0.76955867551260471,0.7764736206342111,0.78670872161903171,0.80424779977275263,0.82105459658454572,0.83193667675146399,0.83576784935837833,0.83449057092182011,0.83345082627631073,0.83902108487634552]
["Cumulative exploration spending (2018-GNOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"V20*$B28/100","v":89.860641038275574},{"$f":"V51+W19*W28/100","v":112.18118049019387},{"$f":"W51+X19*X28/100","v":132.63065005859877},147.00651685792357,159.86543196526864,173.81129976307693,185.63657113047535,205.346904031565,222.80640186629711,235.949891674463,247.57156402522688,258.89102393454169,271.27417790742601,290.57786843913999,304.24880014574347,314.38416355037072,325.56091080702953,{"$f":"AL51+AM19*AM28/100","v":336.5869228674855},344.44321915269262,351.49726897227816,357.96235625587491,369.13572738144228,385.12247243261874,412.16170537746257,445.89764704730811,485.53628936287743,521.40241663858762,558.27436861062813,593.81177254738759,635.55374235518104,678.40615088218647,715.73057485736877,741.04693444299755,764.106420929504,789.55642092950404,818.10722480744482]
["Cumulative greenfield spending (2018-GNOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM$20*$B29/100","v":667.82989957895438},{"$f":"AM52+AN$19*AN29/100","v":699.22173583027916},727.84233999668163,749.95745278199263,778.89228860908872,807.94621115243228,848.67187134873495,890.86158385715339,937.13934770184881,973.37436734277537,1015.2971950172966,1071.569893127154,1138.3057460856767,1214.8477507652865,1279.2573275482118,1339.9712865527249,1395.810596299191,1457.773596299191,1537.6358481463433]
["Cumulative brownfield spending (2018-GNOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM$20*$B30/100","v":1036.2501105750539},{"$f":"AM53+AN$19*AN30/100","v":1083.5967576468729},1134.4255036618254,1184.799980513691,1235.789512139522,1288.9646238013472,1349.8677687857601,1418.9572601908744,1499.3769089113425,1573.6746964493323,1658.1501730653729,1754.5186840789911,1865.4506129446122,1960.2403595203125,2048.0244231763199,2122.3614712181588,2187.8629374657376,2243.8109374657374,2311.0800287894745]
["Cumulative Shutdown&Removal spending (2018-GNOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM$20*$B31/100","v":51.326090532411953},{"$f":"AM54+AN$19*AN32/100","v":57.625520239205599},{"$f":"AN54+AO$19*AO31/100","v":59.086155615491329},61.007947147173958,64.067763785514273,65.790608507544036,67.726143102401153,69.391715825064665,70.97179638716041,73.20305797482817,74.758034104717012,75.858936959013036,78.818641691250249,87.391017844419991,99.340987263196226,109.35515078429779,114.87381407160933,119.18581407160933,123.22689522266845]
["Cumulative onshore activities spending (2018-GNOK)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM$20*$B32/100","v":193.10097721112109},{"$f":"AM55+AN$19*AN31/100","v":194.75086963920302},{"$f":"AN55+AO$19*AO32/100","v":213.12996267421892},239.49816779223016,264.72090048831649,289.79483364216094,305.12156688748297,311.43731312957709,320.62050352209354,328.7241972926065,334.80314714139496,339.27387358017825,344.28025002276064,352.92419420274626,364.68023392741907,373.83779995396281,379.04228977063383,381.01228977063386,383.12331765946959]
[]
["Ratio cum. exploration spending to cum. production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM51/AM$14","v":0.12444264482319434},{"$f":"AN51/AN$14","v":0.11804610967267698},0.11218173866718999,0.1068273921430421,0.10362273871851978,0.10224702818365297,0.10403272994407267,0.10714773496694784,0.11139369515314498,0.11462795367539273,0.11807223059206109,0.12086518197855071,0.12489793578806234,0.12882134092841602,0.13123834686732042,0.13131006574086806,0.13088458074691256,0.13105004943370746,0.13191938568084588]
["Ratio cum. greenfield spending to cum. production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM52/AM$14","v":0.24690953019684742},{"$f":"AN52/AN$14","v":0.23963428839268372},0.23229375128619675,0.22381124020110993,0.21864844317550367,0.21450345003440924,0.21421119539064654,0.21407110244121638,0.2150022914886541,0.21399193469009503,0.21473026753475224,0.21810866022400049,0.22369790075492621,0.23068528502276536,0.23456817800300106,0.23743667175462599,0.23908984363262209,0.24196029161951391,0.24794302059373052]
["Ratio cum. brownfield spending to cum. production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM53/AM$14","v":0.38312155255377062},0.37136565500926627,0.36205637034187921,0.35358212928661109,0.34690734119917788,0.34221010626848464,0.34071682841492773,0.34097075293206819,0.34399310199882421,0.34596523615610297,0.35069045006970345,0.35711690107836602,0.36659516787354551,0.37222656564512824,0.37553144868111887,0.37607256890012669,0.37476131001957746,0.37242624653549983,0.3726605124761449]
["Ratio cum. Shutdown&removal spending to cum. production (2018-GNOK/Mtoe)",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,{"$f":"AM54/AM$14","v":1.8976240668751962E-2},1.9749172298516866E-2,1.8857579427249364E-2,1.8206718611144954E-2,1.7984921682116073E-2,1.7466896075423063E-2,1.7094590457095354E-2,1.6674600607024383E-2,1.6282635972681789E-2,1.6093359889914033E-2,1.5810949485982318E-2,1.5440421770214792E-2,1.5489304826332938E-2,1.6594525402191373E-2,1.8215439444077816E-2,1.9377223453979797E-2,1.9676854665442615E-2,1.9782382122221567E-2,1.9870275954302331E-2]
[]
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["Note: There are three ways to arrive at an estimate of how much a marginal unit of exploration / production / development (green and brown) and Shutdown&Removal (e,p,d,d) needs in investment."]
["1) Divide the cumulative investment spending in e,p,d,d with cumulative output"]
["2) Divide the current annual investment spending in e,p,d,d with current annual output"]
["3) Examine company accounts"]
["We do not have access to company accounts, so we need to use 1) or 2)"]
["The second choice gives volatile results and needs to be averaged."]
["The first choice, in situations where activities have been going on for a long time, the average is already factored in. This method is similar to the "]
["\"Reported accumulated annualised return on the portfolio of the oil fund\", and we use this method."]

{"sheet":"Stranding","index":13,"n_rows":38,"n_cols":9,"rows_kept":38,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["Table (VLOOKUP) functions for stranding"]
[null,"TEST"]
["Unit revenue / Unit OPEX (no dimension)","Percent of installed production capacity earmarked for stranding",null,"x",0.1,null,{"$f":"LinInter(x,baux,bauy)","v":30},null,{"$f":"LinInter(x,bauxre,bauyre)","v":0}]
[0.5,30,{"$f":"B4-B$9","v":15}]
[0.6,28,{"$f":"B5-B$9","v":13}]
[0.7,24,{"$f":"B6-B$9","v":9}]
[0.8,19,{"$f":"B7-B$9","v":4}]
[0.9,16,{"$f":"B8-B$9","v":1}]
[1,15]
[1.1000000000000001,14,{"$f":"B$9-B10","v":1}]
[1.2,11,{"$f":"B$9-B11","v":4}]
[1.3,6,{"$f":"B$9-B12","v":9}]
[1.4,2,{"$f":"B$9-B13","v":13}]
[1.5,0,{"$f":"B$9-B14","v":15}]
[{"$f":"A3","v":"Unit revenue / Unit OPEX (no dimension)"},"Percent of stranded asset capacity earmarked for renewed production"]
[{"$f":"A4","v":0.5},0]
[{"$f":"A5","v":0.6},2]
[0.7,6]
[0.8,11]
[0.9,14]
[1,15]
[1.1000000000000001,16]
[1.2,19]
[1.3,24]
[1.4,28]
[1.5,30]
[]
["Unit revenue / Unit OPEX (no dimension)","Effect of profitability on investment spending (no dimension)"]
[0,0]
[0.5,0.53]
[1,0.8]
[2,1]
[3,1]
[4,1]
[5,1.1000000000000001]
[6,1.25]
[7,1.5]
[8,2]

{"sheet":"ConversionFactors","index":14,"n_rows":7,"n_cols":6,"rows_kept":7,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[null,"1 m^3 = ",35310.73446,"Btu"]
[null,"1 Mtoe =",4.4000000000000004,"TWh in a modern power plant"]
[null,"1 Gcm =",0.85985,"Mtoe",null,"BP, approximate conversion factors"]
["for oil","1 Sm^3 o.e. =",0.84,"toe",null,"https://www.npd.no/en/about-us/information-services/conversion-table/"]
["for gas","1 Sm^3 o.e. =",{"$f":"AVERAGE(hist!F43:AS43)","v":0.73183053726703395},"toe",null,"https://www.npd.no/en/about-us/information-services/conversion-table/"]
[null,"1 toe =",7.33,"barrels"]