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Olsson, Jonna Sofia Kristina; Boppart, Timo, Krusell, Per, Harmenberg, Karl & Hassler, John
(2025)
Integrated Epi-Econ Assessment: Quantitative Theory
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Srisuma, Sorawoot; Sanches, Fabio Miessi & Silva Junior, Daniel
(2025)
The Welfare Effects of Supply and Demand Frictions in a Dynamic Pricing Game
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Sanches, Fabio Miessi; Silva Junior, Daniel, Srisuma, Sorawoot & Rostom, May
(2025)
Identification and estimation of a search model with heterogeneous consumers and firms
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Mysliwski, Mateusz; Sanches, Fabio Miessi, Junior, Daniel Silva & Srisuma, Sorawoot
(2025)
The Welfare Effects of Supply and Demand Frictions in a Dynamic Pricing Game
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Mysliwski, Mateusz; Rostom, May, Sanches, Fabio Miessi, Junior, Daniel Silva & Srisuma, Sorawoot
(2025)
Identification and estimation of a search model with heterogeneous consumers and firms
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Sørensen, Rune Jørgen & Geys, Benny
(2025)
The Causal Effect of Affluence on Voter Turnout:
New Evidence from Lottery Winnings
British Journal of Political Science.
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Hjort, Anders Dahl; Hermansen, Gudmund Horn, Pensar, Johan & Williams, Jonathan P.
(2024)
Uncertainty quantification in automated valuation models with locally weighted conformal prediction
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Heggedal, Tom-Reiel & McKay, Thomas
(2024)
Discounting in finite-time bargaining experiments
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Evensen, Per-Idar; Hvinden, Even Soltvedt, Holhjem, Helene Rødal, Tveit, Daniel Myklatun & Eikås, Karolina Di Remigio
(2024)
Requirements for Simulation of the Future Operating Environment and Multi-Domain Operations
Vis sammendrag
The future operating environment is expected to become increasingly complex, lethal, and ambiguous. The operational tempo in high-intensity operations is expected to increase, and effects will be increasingly cross-domain and contemporaneous. An essential question is: How can our forces conduct successful military operations in the envisioned future operating environment?
The proposed solution is multi-domain operations (MDO). MDO is an operational concept where the underlying idea is seamless integration of capabilities and activities in all the operational domains (land, maritime, air, space, and cyberspace), to present the enemy with multiple simultaneous dilemmas and achieve overwhelming superiority in time and space on the battlefield. MDO will, however, be inherently much more complex to execute than current operations of the same scale, due to a higher diversity of combat elements and capabilities (from all operational domains), higher requirements for synchronization of capabilities, activities and actions, and higher requirements for operational tempo.
Modeling and simulation (M&S) and wargaming will be essential in experimentation with, and further development and detailing of, the MDO concept. However, M&S of the future operating environment and MDO will also be correspondingly more complex. In addition, very few, if any, of the simulation tools currently available can represent combat elements and capabilities in all operational domains at a sufficient and balanced level of fidelity throughout the combat model.
In this paper we first give a summary of how the future operating environment is envisioned to be like in a 2025–2045 perspective and what technologies are expected to dominate on the battlefield, based on recent literature. Moreover, we provide a description of the concept of MDO, including definitions, historical origin, characteristics, and challenges. Finally, we outline and discuss a set of overall requirements for simulation of the future operating environment and MDO for concept development, experimentation, and analysis.
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Straume, Hans-Martin
(2024)
Buyers in Norwegian salmon exports: Structure and trade margins
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Cross, Jamie; Hoogerheide, Lennart, Labonne, Paul & van Dijk, Herman K.
(2024)
Bayesian mode inference for discrete distributions in economics and finance
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Oglend, Atle; Asche, Frank & Straume, Hans-Martin
(2024)
Crisis averted: Cross-market reallocation during the great trade collapse
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Fiva, Jon H.; Izzo, Federica & Tukiainen, Janne
(2024)
The gatekeeper's dilemma: Political selection or team effort
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Cox, Gary W.; Fiva, Jon H. & King, Max-Emil Mohn
(2024)
Bound by Borders: Voter Mobilization Through Social Networks
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Aastveit, Knut Are; Fastbø, Tuva Marie, Granziera, Eleonora, Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen & Torstensen, Kjersti Næss
(2024)
Nowcasting Norwegian household consumption with debit card transaction data
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Korobilis, Dimitris & Schröder, Maximilian
(2024)
Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis
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Bacher, Annika
(2024)
The Gender Investment Gap over the Life Cycle
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Bacher, Annika; Grübener, Philipp & Nord, Lukas
(2024)
Joint search over the life cycle
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Foldnes, Njål; Uppstad, Per Henning, Grønneberg, Steffen & Thomson, Jenny
(2024)
School entry detection of struggling readers using gameplay data and machine learning
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Geys, Benny & Sørensen, Rune Jørgen
(2024)
Transitory Income Windfalls and Charitable Giving: Evidence from Norwegian Register Data, 1993-2021
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Ɖorđević, Jasmina & Dahl, Kristina Rognlien
(2024)
Stochastic optimal control of pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV infection for a jump model
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Canova, Fabio
(2024)
Should we trust cross sectional multipliers_
Journal of applied econometrics.
-
Stauskas, Ovidijus & De Vos, Ignace
(2024)
Handling Distinct Correlated Effects with CCE
-
Ile, Runar
(2024)
Versality for pairs
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Fiva, Jon H. & Nedregård, Oda
(2024)
How Does Party Discipline Affect Legislative Behavior? Evidence from Within-Term Variation in Lame-Duck Status
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Canova, Fabio
(2024)
Should we trust cross sectional multiplier estimates?
-
Schönhage, Nanna Lauritz & Geys, Benny
(2024)
Partisanship, blame avoidance behaviours and voter reactions to allegations of political misconduct
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De Vos, Ignace & Stauskas, Ovidijus
(2024)
Cross-section Bootstrap for CCE regressions
-
Galle, Simon & Lorentzen, Linnea
(2024)
The unequal effects of trade and automation across local labor markets
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Fagereng, Andreas; Onshuus, Helene & Torstensen, Kjersti Næss
(2024)
The consumption expenditure response to unemployment: Evidence from Norwegian households
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Oglend, Atle; Asche, Frank & Straume, Hans-Martin
(2024)
Rent formation and distortions due to quotas in biological production processes
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Korobilis, Dimitris & Schröder, Maximilian
(2024)
Monitoring multi-country macroeconomic risk: A quantile factor-augmented vector autoregressive (QFAVAR) approach
-
Kinnerud, Karin
(2024)
The Effects of Monetary Policy through Housing and Mortgage Choices on Aggregate Demand
Quantitative Economics.
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Asche, Frank; Landazuri Concha, Ursula Alejandra, Øglend, Atle, Santika, Nita & Straume, Hans-Martin
(2024)
Spillover effects from agglomeration in seafood exports
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Korotov, Sergey & Vatne, Jon Eivind
(2024)
Conforming simplicial partitions of product-decomposed polytopes
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Santika, Nita; Oglend, Atle, Straume, Hans-Martin & Asche, Frank
(2024)
Brexsea Trade and Uncertainty: Impact of Brexit on Seafood Exports
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Canova, Fabio & Pappa, Evi
(2024)
The macroeconomic effects of EU regional structural funds
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Bhuller, Manudeep & Sigstad, Henrik
(2024)
Feedback and Learning: The Causal Effects of Reversals on Judicial Decision-Making
Vis sammendrag
Do judges respond to reversals of their decisions? Using random assignment of cases across two stages of the criminal justice system in Norway and a novel dataset linking trial court decisions to reversals in appeals courts, we provide causal evidence on feedback effects in judicial decision-making. By exploiting differences in the tendencies of randomly assigned appeal panels to reverse trial court decisions, we show that trial court judges who receive a reversal of a sentence respond by updating the likelihood of imposing a prison sentence in the direction of the reversal in future cases. Consistent with a Bayesian learning model, we find that the responses are stronger for judges with weaker priors and for reversals corresponding to stronger signals. Our estimates, however, also indicate that judges overreact to reversals compared to Bayes’ rule.
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Vantaggiato, Francesca P.; Murdoch, Zuzana, Kassim, Hussein, Geys, Benny & Connolly, Sara Jane
(2024)
Intraorganizational mobility and employees’ work-related contact patterns: evidence from panel data in the European Commission
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Grønneberg, Steffen & Irmer, Julien
(2024)
Non-parametric Regression Among Factor Scores: Motivation and Diagnostics for Nonlinear Structural Equation Models
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Campos-Martins, Susana & Sucarrat, Genaro
(2024)
Modeling Nonstationary Financial Volatility with the R Package tvgarch
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Labonne, Paul
(2024)
Asymmetric uncertainty: Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data
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Bjørnland, Hilde C & Zhulanova Skretting, Julia
(2024)
The shale oil boom and the US economy: Spillovers and time-varying effects
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Bhuller, Manudeep & Sigstad, Henrik
(2024)
2SLS with multiple treatments
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Gola, Pawel
(2024)
On the Importance of Social Status for Occupational Sorting
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Foldnes, Njål; Moss, Jonas & Grønneberg, Steffen
(2024)
Improved Goodness of Fit Procedures for Structural Equation Models
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Korotov, Sergey & Vatne, Jon Eivind
(2024)
On dihedral angle sums and number of facets for product polytopes
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Sørensen, Rune Jørgen
(2024)
Are politicians more generous? Evidence from charitable giving
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Mehlum, Halvor; Natvik, Gisle James & Torvik, Ragnar
(2024)
The impossible trinity: Competitive markets, free entry, and efficiency
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Hamang, Jonas Hveding
(2024)
Economic development and known natural resource endowment: Discovery rate differentials of oil
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Canova, Fabio
(2024)
FAQ: how do I estimate the output gap?
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Godøy, Anna Aasen; Haaland, Venke Furre, Huitfeldt, Ingrid Marie Schaumburg & Votruba, Mark E
(2024)
Hospital Queues, Patient Health, and Labor Supply
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Fjære-Lindkjenn, Jeanette; Aastveit, Knut Are, Karlman, Markus Johan, Kinnerud, Karin, Juelsrud, Ragnar Enger & Wold, Ella Getz
(2024)
Hvordan virker utlånsforskriften? En oppsummering av forskningslitteraturen
Samfunnsøkonomen.
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Geys, Benny; Lægreid, Per, Murdoch, Zuzana & Yackee, Susan Webb
(2024)
I’m a Survivor: Political Dynamics in Bureaucratic Elites’ Partisan Identification
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Røed Larsen, Erling
(2023)
House price seasonality, market activity, and the December discount
Vis sammendrag
In Norway, house prices tend to drop in December. This regularity is persistent across regions and over time. I exploit a transaction data set with high temporal granularity to document and estimate the size of the December discount. I control for a composition effect using a hedonic model and I control for unobserved heterogeneity by using repeat sales and involving ask prices and appraisal values. By segmenting into submarkets, I search for determinants of price seasonality. The evidence suggests that the December effect is linked to time-on-market for each unit and transaction volumes within each submarkets.
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Cui, Guowei; Sarafidis, Vasilis & Yamagata, Takashi
(2023)
IV estimation of spatial dynamic panels with interactive effects: large sample theory and an application on bank attitude towards risk
Vis sammendrag
This paper develops a new instrumental variables estimator for spatial, dynamic
panels with interactive effects under large N and T asymptotics. For this class of models, most
approaches available in the literature are based on quasi-maximum likelihood estimation. The
approach put forward here is appealing from both a theoretical and a practical point of view
for a number of reasons. First, it is linear in the parameters of interest and computationally
inexpensive. Second, the IV estimator is free from asymptotic bias. Third, the approach can
accommodate endogenous regressors as long as external instruments are available. The IV
estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal as N, T → ∞ , such that N/T → c , where
0 < c < ∞ . We study the determinants of risk attitude of banking institutions. The results
show that the capital regulation introduced by the Dodd–Frank Act has succeeded in influencing
banks’ behaviour.
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Hunting, Martin Henrik; Hjort, Ingrid & Gjefsen, Hege Marie
(2023)
COVID-19 among guestworkers in Norway
Vis sammendrag
Guestworkers in Norway is a group we have little knowledge about, even though this group makes up nearly 4% of the Norwegian workforce in high seasons during a normal year. During the COVID-19 pandemic, migrant guestworkers in Norway were the subject of strict infection prevention measures, but there is little knowledge about actual infections in this group compared to residents. In this analysis, we study whether infection rates were higher among guestworkers compared to a relevant comparison group in the general population. A guestworker is a non-resident migrant worker with a temporary id-number (d number) and active employment. Our study gives valuable information on whether additional precautionary measures for this group would have been justified. In this paper we use employment data from the State Register of Employers and Employees (Aa-registeret) from April 1st, 2020 to October 1st, 2021, together with results from PCR tests. We compare the probability of infection among guestworkers in Norway with a group of employees who are permanent residents, controlling for gender, age, occupation and local infection rate. We find a lower confirmed incidence of COVID-19 among guestworkers, and no difference in positivity rate.
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Straume, Hans-Martin; Asche, Frank, Oglend, Atle, Gaasland, Ivar, Pettersen, Ingrid Kristine & Sogn-Grundvåg, Geir
(2023)
The structure of Norwegian seafood trade
Vis sammendrag
While seafood is a highly traded commodity, lack of data has largely prevented examination of the firms and industries that are conducting the actual transactions. In this paper we use highly disaggregated data to provide an overview of the seafood exports from Norway, the world’s 2nd largest seafood exporting country, and a country where fisheries as well as aquaculture are important industries. The industry has a global reach with Norwegian seafood reaching 172 different countries in the period 2016–2020. While there are as many as 437 different exporting firms, this is relatively few firms compared to the 11,024 different buyers that import Norwegian seafood. There is significant heterogeneity in the export sector from very small firms handling only a few products to very large firms handling a large variety of products. The average firm is quite specialized and serves only 9 markets. However, there are also a handful of large exporters who ship products from all three main sectors in the Norwegian seafood industry to a large number of markets. The 10% largest companies make up 39% of the total export value and provide significant synergies between the aquaculture, pelagic and whitefish sectors.
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Straume, Hans-Martin; Asche, Frank & Øglend, Atle
(2023)
Intermediaries in Norwegian salmon exports
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Straume, Hans-Martin; Asche, Frank, Landazuri-Tveteraas, Ursula, Misund, Bård, Pettersen, Ingrid Kristine & Zhang, Dengjun
(2023)
Product forms and price transmission in major European salmon markets
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De Vos, Ignace; Everaert, Gerdie & Sarafidis, Vasilis
(2023)
A method to evaluate the rank condition for CCE estimators
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Gilbert, Richard; Riis, Christian & Riis, Erlend S.
(2023)
Innovation, Antitrust Enforcement, and the Inverted-U
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Garibaldi, Pietro; Moen, Espen Rasmus & Pissarides, Christopher A.
(2023)
Static and dynamic inefficiencies in an optimizing model of epidemics
Vis sammendrag
Several externalities arise when agents shield optimally to avoid infection during an epidemic. We classify externalities into static and dynamic and compare the decentralized and optimal solutions when agents derive utility from social interaction. For low infection costs agents shield too little; for high costs they shield too much because of a “rat race to shield”: they delay social action until other agents contract the disease and society reaches herd immunity. Other externalities drive more wedges between the private and social outcomes. The expectation of a fully effective vaccine that ends the disease faster changes results, reversing excessive shielding.
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Brekke, Kjell Arne; Ciccone, Alice, Heggedal, Tom-Reiel & Helland, Leif
(2023)
Reference points in sequential bargaining: theory and experiment
Vis sammendrag
We introduce loss aversion in an infinite-horizon, alternating-offers model. When outside options serve as reference points, the equilibrium of our model follows that of the standard Rubinstein bargaining model, i.e., outside options do not affect the equilibrium unless they are binding. However, when reference points are given by the resources players contribute to the pie, the bargaining outcome changes such that a player's share increases in her contribution. We test our model's predictions in the laboratory. As predicted, only binding outside options impact the division of the pie. Data also show that contributions matter for bargaining outcomes when they are activated as reference points, but not quite as predicted by our theory. Proposers gain a higher share of the pie only when they have contributed a higher share than the opponent has.
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Røisland, Øistein; Sveen, Tommy & Torvik, Ragnar
(2023)
Samspillet mellom penge- og finanspolitikken i en liten, åpen økonomi
Samfunnsøkonomen, 137(6), p. 41-52.
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Grytten, Jostein Ivar; Skau, Irene & Sørensen, Rune Jørgen
(2023)
Fertility and immigration: Do immigrant mothers hand down their fertility pattern to the next generation? Evidence from Norway