AMOR Trade & Transport

From Regulation to Strategy:

How FuelEU Maritime Impacts the Norwegian Shipping Fleet.

This project examines how FuelEU Maritime will influence Norwegian shipowners’ strategic choices — from fleet size and composition to technology adoption and fuel pathways. The framework caps onboard energy GHG-intensity and introduces on-shore power/zero-emission at berth requirements for selected EU/EEA ports from 2030. We analyse the legal boundaries, operational and financial impacts, and the evolving risk landscape for the industry.

We combine legal doctrine (to interpret obligations, liabilities, enforcement, and interactions with Norwegian law) with quantitative modelling (to compare compliance routes such as efficiency upgrades, alternative fuels, OPS investments, routing, and speed strategies). In close collaboration with industry partners, we will gather data (interviews and secondary sources), run workshops/breakfast seminars, and build logistics and optimisation models that simulate multiple implementation scenarios and their cost, risk, and competitiveness implications.

Objectives 

  • Analyze the impact of the new regulations on Norwegian fleet composition and logistics flows under various scenarios using optimization and simulation methods.
  • Map the current logistics research for supporting fleet composition decisions under tightening GHG-intensity limits.
  • Identify directions for future research based on insights from specific cases of fleet owners.

The project is lead by:

Ellen J. Eftestøl, Professor, Department of Law and Governance

See BI’s news article (in Norwegian): Oslo Maritime Foundation supports BI research

Learn more about the foundation at oslomaritimestiftelse.no