BI Research Centre

Centre for Applied Macroeconomics and Commodity Prices (CAMP)

CAMP is established to bring together economists working on applied macroeconomic issues, with special emphasis on energy economics.

Publications

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

  • Publication Thomas S. Gundersen

    The Impact of U.S. Supply Shocks on the Global Oil Price

    Published in: The Energy Journal, 2020, Vol. 41


     

  • Working paper Davide Ferrari, Francesco Ravazzolo and Joaquin Vespignani

    Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 11/2019

  • Working paper Even Comfort Hvinden

    OPEC's crude game: The supply curve in a dynamic, strategic environment

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 10/2019 

  • Working paper Andrew Binning, Hilde C. Bjørnland and Junior Maih

    Is Monetary Policy Always Effective? Incomplete Interest Rate Pass-through in a DSGE Model

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 09/2019

  • Working paper Hilde C. Bjørnland

    Supply flexibility in the shale patch: Facts, no fiction

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 08/2019

  • Working paper Stylianos Asimakopoulos, Marco Lorusso, and Francesco Ravazzolo

    A New Economic Framework: A DSGE Model with Cryptocurrency

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 07/2019

  • Working paper Saskia ter Ellen, Vegard H. Larsen and Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 06/2019

  • Publication Frode Martin Nordvik

    Does Oil Promote or Prevent Coups? The Answer is Yes

    Published in: The Economic Journal, 2019, Vol. 129, Issue 619, pp. 1425–1456

  • Publication Kenichiro McAlinn, Knut Are Aastveit, Jouchi Nakajima and Mike West

    Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting

    Published in: Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA), 2019

  • Publication Jamie Cross and Aubrey Poon

    On the contribution of international shocks in Australian business cycle fluctuations

    Published in: Empirical Economics, 2019, pp. 1-25.

  • Publication Ragnar Torvik

    Ny teknologi, produktivitetsvekst og renter

    Published in: Samfunnsøkonomene, 2019, Vol. 133, pp. 40-48

  • Publication Hilde C. Bjørnland, Leif Anders Thorsrud and Ragnar Torvik

    Dutch Disease Dynamics Reconsidered

    Published in: European Economic Review, 2019, Vol.119, pp. 411-433.

  • Publication Knut Are Aastveit, André K. Anundsen and Eyo Herstad

    Residential investment and recession predictability

    Published in: International Journal of Forecasting:: 2019, Vol. 35(4), pp. 1790-1799

  • Publication Drago Bergholt, Vegard H. Larsen and Martin Seneca

    Business Cycles In An Oil Economy

    Published in: Journal of International Money and Finance, 2019, 96, pp. 283-303.

  • Publication Leopoldo Catania, Stefano Grassi and Francesco Ravazzolo

    Forecasting Cryptocurrencies under Model and Parameter Instability

    Published in: International Journal of Forecasting 35 (2019) pp. 485–501

  • Publication Vegard H. Larsen and Leif Anders Thorsrud

    The Value of News for Economic Developments

    Published in: Journal of Econometrics Volume 210, Issue 1, May 2019, Pages 203-218

  • Publication Hilde C. Bjørnland and Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Commodity Prices and Fiscal Policy Design: Procyclical Despite a Rule

    Published in: Journal of Applied Econometrics  34(2), 2019,  pp. 161-180

  • Publication Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Words are the new numbers. A newsy coincident index of the business cycle

    Publised in: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , 2018

  • Working paper Isabel Hovdahl

    On the use of machine learning for causal inference in climate economics

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 05/2019

  • Working paper Knut Are Aastveit, Bruno Albuquerque and André Anundsen

    Changing supply elasticities and regional housing booms

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 04/2019

  • Working paper Vegard H. Larsen, Leif Anders Thorsrud and Julia Zhulanova

    News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 03/2019

  • Working paper Jamie Cross, Bao H. Nguyen and Bo Zhang

    New Kid on the Block? China vs the US in World Oil Markets

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 02/2019

  • Working paper Kenichiro McAlinn, Knut Are Aastveit, Jouchi Nakajima and Mike West

    Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 01/2019

2018

2017

  • Publication Massimiliano Caporin, Loriana Pelizzon, Francesco Ravazzolo and Roberto Rigobon

    Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe

    Published in: Journal of Financial Stability, 2017, vol 34, 150-181

  • Working paper Andrew Binning and Junior Maih

    Modelling Occasionally Binding Constraints Using Regime-Switching

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 9/2017

  • Working paper Knut Are Aastveit, André K. Anundsen and Eyo I. Herstad

    Residential investment and recession predictability

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 8/2017

  • Working paper Knut Are Aastveit and André K. Anundsen

    Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in regional housing markets

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 7/2017

  • Working paper Hilde C. Bjørnland, Vegard H. Larsen, Junior Maih

    Oil and macroeconomic (in)stability

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 6/2017

  • Working paper Vegard Høghaug Larsen and Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Asset returns, news topics, and media effects

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 5/2017

  • Publication Jørgen Juel Andersen and Mads Greaker

    Emission Trading with Fiscal Externalities: The Case for a Common Carbon Tax for the Non-ETS Emissions in the EU

    Published in: Environmental and Resource Economics, 2017, 1–21

  • Working paper Vegard Høghaug Larsen

    Components of Uncertainty

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 4/2017

  • Publication James A. Robinson, Ragnar Torvik and Thierry Verdier

    The political economy of public income volatility: with an application to the resource curse

    Published in: Journal of Public Economics, 2017, vol. 145(C), 243-252

  • Publication Jørgen Juel Andersen, Niels Johannesen, David Dreyer Lassen and Elena Paltseva

    Petro Rents, Political Institutions, and Hidden Wealth: Evidence from Offshore Bank Accounts

    Published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2017, vol 15(4), 818–860

  • Publication Hilde C. Bjørnland, Francesco Ravazzolo and Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different

    Published in: International Journal of Forecasting, 2017, vol. 33(1), 153-173

  • Publication Fabian Kruger, Todd E. Clark and Francesco Ravazzolo

    Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts

    Published in: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2017, vol. 35 (3), 470-485

  • Working paper Ragnar Torvik

    Should Developing Countries Establish Petroleum Funds?

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 3/2017

  • Publication Knut Are Aastveit, Claudia Foroni and Francesco Ravazzolo

    Density Forecasts with MIDAS Models

    Published in: Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2017, vol 32(4), 783–801

  • Working paper Hilde C. Bjørnland, Frode Martin Nordvik, Maximilian Rohrer

    Supply Flexibility in the Shale Patch: Evidence from North Dakota

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 2/2017

  • Working paper Jørgen Juel Andersen, Frode Martin Nordvik, Andrea Tesei

    Oil and Civil conflict: On and off (shore)

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 1/2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

  • Working paper Ragna Alstadheim, Hilde C. Bjørnland, Junior Maih

    Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? A Markov-Switching Structural Investigation

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 9/2013.

  • Working paper Jørgen Juel Andersen, Jon H. Fiva, Gisle James Natvik

    Voting when the Stakes are High

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 8/2013.

  • Working paper Jørgen Juel Andersen, Niels Johannesen, David Dreyer Lassen, Elena Paltseva

    Petro Rents, Political Institutions, and Hidden Wealth: Evidence from Bank Deposits in Tax Havens

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 7/2013.

  • Publication Ida Wolden Bache, Tommy Sveen and Kjersti Næss Torstensen

    Revisiting the importance of non-tradable goods' prices in cyclical real exchange rate fluctuations

    Published in: European Economic Review, Elsevier, 2013, vol. 57(C), 98-107

  • Publication Hilde C. Bjørnland and Dag H. Jacobsen

    House prices and stock prices: Different roles in the U.S. monetary transmission mechanism

    Published in: Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2013, vol. 115(4), 1084-1106.

  • Working paper Hilde C. Bjørnland, Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Bloom or gloom? Examining the Dutch disease in a two-speed economy

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 6/2013.

  • Working paper Lars-Erik Borge, Pernille Parmer, Ragnar Torvik

    Local Natural Resource Curse?

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 5/2013.

  • Publication Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman van Dijk

    Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering

    Published in: Journal of Econometrics, 177(2), 2013, 213–232

  • Working paper Halvor Mehlum, Ragnar Torvik and Simone Valente

    China's Savings Multiplier

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 4/2013.

  • Working paper Leif Anders Thorsrud

    Global and regional business cycles: Shocks and propagations

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 3/2013.

  • Publication Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson and Ragnar Torvik

    Why do voters dismantle checks and balances?

    Published in: Review of Economic Studies, 2013, 845-875

  • Working paper Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinsen, Ragnar Torvik

    Online appendix: Why do voters dismantle checks and balances? Extensions and robustness

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 2/2013.

  • Publication Jørgen Juel Andersen and Silje Asalksen

    Oil and political survival

    Published in: Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, 2013, vol. 100(1), 89-106

  • Working paper Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson, Ragnar Torvik

    Why do voters dismantle checks and balances?

    CAMP Working Paper Series No 1/2013.

  • Publication Francesco Ravazzolo and Philip Rothman

    Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination

    Published in: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2013, Vol 45(22-3), 449-463

  • Publication James A. Robinson and Ragnar Torvik

    Institutional comparative statics

    Published in: Daron Acemoglu, Manuel Arellano and Eddie Dekel (eds.), Advances in Economics and Econometrics, 2013, Cambridge University Press: New York, 97-134

2012

2011

2010